Louisville Cardinals v Lindenwood Lions — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Tuesday 10 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Louisville Cardinals win
98.1%
Draw
0.0%
Lindenwood Lions win
1.9%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 81.51–58.50 | 82-59 0% | 50% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals to score 100+ | 3.0% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.20× | 282.76 |
| Louisville Cardinals to score 110+ | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.64× | 283.32 |
| Louisville Cardinals to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.91× | 283.36 |
| Louisville Cardinals to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.36 |
| Lindenwood Lions to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.71× | 283.36 |
| Lindenwood Lions to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.36 |
| Lindenwood Lions to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.36 |
| Lindenwood Lions to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.36 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals to win H1 | 88.3% | 88.7% | 56.4% | 1.57× | 1.13 |
| Lindenwood Lions to win H1 | 9.6% | 7.2% | 39.9% | 0.18× | 13.83 |
| H1 tied | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.88 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 79.5 | 89.1% | 87.7% | 93.9% | 0.93× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 55.5 | 87.7% | 87.7% | 71.0% | 1.24× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 75.5 | 79.8% | 77.4% | 88.8% | 0.87× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 59.5 | 77.5% | 77.4% | 57.8% | 1.34× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 72.5 | 70.5% | 73.5% | 83.6% | 0.88× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 62.5 | 67.5% | 67.4% | 46.3% | 1.46× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 70.5 | 63.3% | 62.7% | 78.9% | 0.79× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 64.5 | 60.1% | 62.7% | 39.3% | 1.60× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 68.5 | 55.7% | 58.2% | 73.5% | 0.79× | 1.72 |
| H1 over 66.5 | 52.2% | 52.6% | 32.9% | 1.60× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 67.5 | 51.7% | 52.6% | 70.4% | 0.75× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 66.5 | 47.8% | 47.4% | 67.1% | 0.71× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 67.5 | 48.3% | 47.4% | 29.6% | 1.60× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 68.5 | 44.3% | 41.8% | 26.5% | 1.58× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 64.5 | 39.9% | 37.3% | 60.7% | 0.61× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 70.5 | 36.7% | 37.3% | 21.1% | 1.77× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 62.5 | 32.5% | 32.6% | 53.7% | 0.61× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 72.5 | 29.5% | 26.5% | 16.4% | 1.62× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 59.5 | 22.5% | 22.6% | 42.2% | 0.54× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 75.5 | 20.2% | 22.6% | 11.2% | 2.02× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 55.5 | 12.3% | 12.3% | 29.0% | 0.42× | 8.14 |
| H1 over 79.5 | 10.9% | 12.3% | 6.1% | 2.01× | 8.14 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals to win H2 | 89.7% | 84.2% | 56.0% | 1.50× | 1.19 |
| Lindenwood Lions to win H2 | 8.5% | 11.3% | 40.6% | 0.28× | 8.84 |
| H2 tied | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.37 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 over 61.5 | 87.3% | 85.2% | 71.3% | 1.20× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 85.5 | 87.2% | 85.2% | 91.2% | 0.93× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 65.5 | 77.5% | 75.8% | 58.8% | 1.29× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 81.5 | 77.7% | 75.8% | 85.8% | 0.88× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 78.5 | 68.4% | 66.4% | 80.1% | 0.83× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 68.5 | 68.1% | 66.4% | 48.7% | 1.36× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 76.5 | 61.4% | 61.6% | 75.6% | 0.81× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 70.5 | 61.0% | 61.6% | 42.2% | 1.46× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 72.5 | 53.5% | 52.4% | 36.0% | 1.46× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 74.5 | 54.0% | 52.4% | 69.9% | 0.75× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 73.5 | 50.2% | 52.4% | 67.1% | 0.78× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 73.5 | 49.8% | 47.6% | 32.9% | 1.45× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 72.5 | 46.5% | 47.6% | 64.1% | 0.74× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 74.5 | 46.0% | 47.6% | 30.1% | 1.58× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 70.5 | 39.0% | 38.4% | 57.8% | 0.66× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 76.5 | 38.6% | 38.4% | 24.4% | 1.57× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 68.5 | 31.9% | 33.6% | 51.3% | 0.66× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 78.5 | 31.6% | 33.6% | 19.9% | 1.69× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 65.5 | 22.5% | 24.2% | 41.2% | 0.59× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 81.5 | 22.3% | 24.2% | 14.2% | 1.70× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 85.5 | 12.8% | 14.8% | 8.8% | 1.69× | 6.76 |
| H2 under 61.5 | 12.7% | 14.8% | 28.7% | 0.51× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals leading at half time | 88.3% | 89.4% | 56.4% | 1.58× | 1.12 |
| Lindenwood Lions leading at half time | 9.6% | 6.8% | 39.9% | 0.17× | 14.75 |
| Level at half time | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.43 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals +5.5 | 99.4% | 97.4% | 70.1% | 1.39× | 1.03 |
| Louisville Cardinals +6.5 | 99.6% | 97.4% | 72.3% | 1.35× | 1.03 |
| Louisville Cardinals +7.5 | 99.7% | 97.4% | 74.5% | 1.31× | 1.03 |
| Louisville Cardinals +8.5 | 99.7% | 97.4% | 76.5% | 1.27× | 1.03 |
| Louisville Cardinals +9.5 | 99.8% | 97.4% | 78.7% | 1.24× | 1.03 |
| Louisville Cardinals +10.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 80.4% | 1.21× | 1.03 |
| Louisville Cardinals +12.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 83.8% | 1.16× | 1.03 |
| Louisville Cardinals +14.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 86.7% | 1.12× | 1.03 |
| Louisville Cardinals +16.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 89.1% | 1.09× | 1.03 |
| Louisville Cardinals +18.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 91.1% | 1.07× | 1.03 |
| Louisville Cardinals +20.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 92.7% | 1.05× | 1.03 |
| Louisville Cardinals −1.5 | 97.6% | 97.4% | 58.7% | 1.66× | 1.03 |
| Louisville Cardinals +1.5 | 98.5% | 97.4% | 61.2% | 1.59× | 1.03 |
| Louisville Cardinals −2.5 | 96.9% | 97.4% | 56.7% | 1.72× | 1.03 |
| Louisville Cardinals +2.5 | 98.8% | 97.4% | 63.3% | 1.54× | 1.03 |
| Louisville Cardinals −3.5 | 96.2% | 97.4% | 54.2% | 1.80× | 1.03 |
| Louisville Cardinals +3.5 | 99.1% | 97.4% | 65.7% | 1.48× | 1.03 |
| Louisville Cardinals +4.5 | 99.3% | 97.4% | 67.8% | 1.44× | 1.03 |
| Louisville Cardinals −4.5 | 95.3% | 97.4% | 52.2% | 1.87× | 1.03 |
| Louisville Cardinals −5.5 | 94.3% | 91.1% | 49.7% | 1.83× | 1.10 |
| Louisville Cardinals −6.5 | 93.2% | 91.1% | 47.6% | 1.91× | 1.10 |
| Louisville Cardinals −7.5 | 91.8% | 91.1% | 44.8% | 2.04× | 1.10 |
| Louisville Cardinals −8.5 | 90.3% | 91.1% | 42.0% | 2.17× | 1.10 |
| Louisville Cardinals −9.5 | 88.7% | 85.9% | 39.3% | 2.19× | 1.16 |
| Louisville Cardinals −10.5 | 86.8% | 85.9% | 36.8% | 2.33× | 1.16 |
| Louisville Cardinals −12.5 | 82.5% | 81.1% | 32.1% | 2.52× | 1.23 |
| Louisville Cardinals −14.5 | 77.4% | 76.5% | 27.9% | 2.74× | 1.31 |
| Louisville Cardinals −16.5 | 71.6% | 71.6% | 24.3% | 2.95× | 1.40 |
| Louisville Cardinals −18.5 | 65.2% | 66.7% | 20.7% | 3.22× | 1.50 |
| Louisville Cardinals −20.5 | 58.3% | 57.1% | 18.0% | 3.17× | 1.75 |
| Lindenwood Lions +20.5 | 41.7% | 42.9% | 82.0% | 0.52× | 2.33 |
| Lindenwood Lions +18.5 | 34.8% | 33.3% | 79.3% | 0.42× | 3.01 |
| Lindenwood Lions +16.5 | 28.4% | 28.4% | 75.7% | 0.37× | 3.53 |
| Lindenwood Lions +14.5 | 22.6% | 23.5% | 72.1% | 0.33× | 4.25 |
| Lindenwood Lions +12.5 | 17.5% | 18.9% | 67.9% | 0.28× | 5.29 |
| Lindenwood Lions +10.5 | 13.2% | 14.1% | 63.2% | 0.22× | 7.09 |
| Lindenwood Lions +9.5 | 11.3% | 14.1% | 60.7% | 0.23× | 7.09 |
| Lindenwood Lions +7.5 | 8.2% | 8.9% | 55.2% | 0.16× | 11.25 |
| Lindenwood Lions +8.5 | 9.7% | 8.9% | 58.0% | 0.15× | 11.25 |
| Lindenwood Lions +6.5 | 6.8% | 8.9% | 52.4% | 0.17× | 11.25 |
| Lindenwood Lions +5.5 | 5.7% | 8.9% | 50.3% | 0.18× | 11.25 |
| Lindenwood Lions +4.5 | 4.7% | 2.6% | 47.8% | 0.05× | 38.72 |
| Lindenwood Lions +1.5 | 2.4% | 2.6% | 41.3% | 0.06× | 38.73 |
| Lindenwood Lions −1.5 | 1.5% | 2.6% | 38.8% | 0.07× | 38.73 |
| Lindenwood Lions +2.5 | 3.1% | 2.6% | 43.3% | 0.06× | 38.73 |
| Lindenwood Lions −2.5 | 1.2% | 2.6% | 36.7% | 0.07× | 38.74 |
| Lindenwood Lions +3.5 | 3.8% | 2.6% | 45.8% | 0.06× | 38.73 |
| Lindenwood Lions −3.5 | 0.9% | 2.6% | 34.3% | 0.08× | 38.74 |
| Lindenwood Lions −4.5 | 0.7% | 2.6% | 32.2% | 0.08× | 38.74 |
| Lindenwood Lions −5.5 | 0.6% | 2.6% | 29.9% | 0.09× | 38.74 |
| Lindenwood Lions −6.5 | 0.4% | 2.6% | 27.7% | 0.09× | 38.74 |
| Lindenwood Lions −7.5 | 0.3% | 2.6% | 25.5% | 0.10× | 38.74 |
| Lindenwood Lions −8.5 | 0.3% | 2.6% | 23.5% | 0.11× | 38.74 |
| Lindenwood Lions −9.5 | 0.2% | 2.6% | 21.3% | 0.12× | 38.74 |
| Lindenwood Lions −10.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 19.6% | 0.13× | 38.74 |
| Lindenwood Lions −12.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 16.2% | 0.16× | 38.74 |
| Lindenwood Lions −14.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 13.3% | 0.19× | 38.74 |
| Lindenwood Lions −16.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 10.9% | 0.24× | 38.74 |
| Lindenwood Lions −18.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 8.9% | 0.29× | 38.74 |
| Lindenwood Lions −20.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 7.3% | 0.35× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 73.5% | 67.1% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 26.5% | 32.9% | 33.3% | 0.99× | 3.04 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 highest scoring | 35.0% | 31.9% | 31.2% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 33.2% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 16.7% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 15.1% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.02× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals at HT / Louisville Cardinals at FT | 87.6% | 89.1% | 48.3% | 1.85× | 1.12 |
| Lindenwood Lions at HT / Louisville Cardinals at FT | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 0.85× | 12.08 |
| Level at HT / Louisville Cardinals at FT | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.76 |
| Level at HT / Lindenwood Lions at FT | 0.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.79 |
| Lindenwood Lions at HT / Lindenwood Lions at FT | 1.1% | 2.1% | 30.1% | 0.07× | 47.77 |
| Louisville Cardinals at HT / Lindenwood Lions at FT | 0.7% | 2.1% | 8.2% | 0.26× | 47.78 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals to win | 98.1% | 97.5% | 59.9% | 1.63× | 1.03 |
| Lindenwood Lions to win | 1.9% | 2.5% | 40.1% | 0.06× | 39.44 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Lindenwood Lions even | 50.1% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 50.2% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Louisville Cardinals odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Lindenwood Lions odd | 49.9% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 49.8% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 98.4% | 97.0% | 95.6% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Match to go to overtime | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 0.67× | 33.55 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals to win Q1 | 77.8% | 79.9% | 54.7% | 1.46× | 1.25 |
| Lindenwood Lions to win Q1 | 17.9% | 15.7% | 40.4% | 0.39× | 6.37 |
| Q1 tied | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 0.85× | 23.96 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 over 25.5 | 89.0% | 87.4% | 77.6% | 1.13× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 41.5 | 87.5% | 87.4% | 91.9% | 0.95× | 1.14 |
| Q1 over 28.5 | 78.1% | 76.9% | 62.7% | 1.23× | 1.30 |
| Q1 under 38.5 | 76.1% | 76.9% | 84.8% | 0.91× | 1.30 |
| Q1 over 30.5 | 68.4% | 67.6% | 51.2% | 1.32× | 1.48 |
| Q1 under 36.5 | 66.0% | 67.6% | 77.4% | 0.87× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 32.5 | 57.2% | 58.6% | 40.9% | 1.43× | 1.71 |
| Q1 under 34.5 | 54.6% | 52.7% | 68.5% | 0.77× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 33.5 | 51.3% | 52.7% | 36.0% | 1.46× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 33.5 | 48.7% | 47.3% | 64.0% | 0.74× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 34.5 | 45.4% | 47.3% | 31.5% | 1.50× | 2.11 |
| Q1 under 32.5 | 42.8% | 41.4% | 59.1% | 0.70× | 2.42 |
| Q1 over 36.5 | 34.0% | 32.4% | 22.6% | 1.44× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 30.5 | 31.6% | 32.4% | 48.8% | 0.67× | 3.08 |
| Q1 over 38.5 | 23.9% | 23.1% | 15.2% | 1.52× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 28.5 | 21.9% | 23.1% | 37.3% | 0.62× | 4.33 |
| Q1 over 41.5 | 12.5% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 1.56× | 7.95 |
| Q1 under 25.5 | 11.0% | 12.6% | 22.4% | 0.56× | 7.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals to win Q2 | 77.1% | 80.7% | 52.9% | 1.53× | 1.24 |
| Lindenwood Lions to win Q2 | 18.5% | 14.6% | 41.5% | 0.35× | 6.83 |
| Q2 tied | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 0.77× | 22.90 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 41.5 | 88.6% | 87.3% | 92.7% | 0.94× | 1.15 |
| Q2 over 25.5 | 87.9% | 87.3% | 76.2% | 1.15× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 38.5 | 77.6% | 76.8% | 85.6% | 0.90× | 1.30 |
| Q2 over 28.5 | 76.5% | 76.8% | 61.2% | 1.26× | 1.30 |
| Q2 under 36.5 | 67.9% | 67.4% | 78.7% | 0.86× | 1.49 |
| Q2 over 30.5 | 66.5% | 67.4% | 49.9% | 1.35× | 1.49 |
| Q2 under 34.5 | 56.7% | 58.2% | 70.1% | 0.83× | 1.72 |
| Q2 over 32.5 | 55.1% | 58.2% | 39.2% | 1.48× | 1.72 |
| Q2 under 33.5 | 50.8% | 52.7% | 65.6% | 0.80× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 33.5 | 49.2% | 47.3% | 34.4% | 1.38× | 2.11 |
| Q2 under 32.5 | 44.9% | 41.8% | 60.8% | 0.69× | 2.39 |
| Q2 over 34.5 | 43.3% | 41.8% | 29.9% | 1.40× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 30.5 | 33.5% | 32.6% | 50.1% | 0.65× | 3.06 |
| Q2 over 36.5 | 32.1% | 32.6% | 21.3% | 1.53× | 3.06 |
| Q2 under 28.5 | 23.5% | 23.2% | 38.8% | 0.60× | 4.31 |
| Q2 over 38.5 | 22.4% | 23.2% | 14.4% | 1.61× | 4.31 |
| Q2 under 25.5 | 12.1% | 12.7% | 23.8% | 0.53× | 7.89 |
| Q2 over 41.5 | 11.4% | 12.7% | 7.3% | 1.72× | 7.90 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals to win Q3 | 79.3% | 81.6% | 53.3% | 1.53× | 1.23 |
| Lindenwood Lions to win Q3 | 16.6% | 15.0% | 41.8% | 0.36× | 6.65 |
| Q3 tied | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 0.86× | 23.45 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 over 28.5 | 88.3% | 87.2% | 76.4% | 1.14× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 44.5 | 87.0% | 87.2% | 92.1% | 0.95× | 1.15 |
| Q3 over 31.5 | 77.4% | 77.3% | 61.6% | 1.25× | 1.29 |
| Q3 under 41.5 | 75.6% | 77.3% | 85.1% | 0.91× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 33.5 | 67.8% | 67.8% | 50.9% | 1.33× | 1.48 |
| Q3 under 39.5 | 65.7% | 67.8% | 77.9% | 0.87× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 35.5 | 56.9% | 58.4% | 40.3% | 1.45× | 1.71 |
| Q3 under 37.5 | 54.6% | 52.3% | 69.7% | 0.75× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 36.5 | 51.1% | 52.3% | 35.4% | 1.48× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 36.5 | 48.9% | 47.7% | 64.6% | 0.74× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 37.5 | 45.4% | 47.7% | 30.3% | 1.58× | 2.10 |
| Q3 under 35.5 | 43.1% | 41.6% | 59.7% | 0.70× | 2.40 |
| Q3 over 39.5 | 34.3% | 32.2% | 22.1% | 1.46× | 3.10 |
| Q3 under 33.5 | 32.2% | 32.2% | 49.1% | 0.66× | 3.10 |
| Q3 over 41.5 | 24.4% | 22.7% | 14.9% | 1.53× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 31.5 | 22.6% | 22.7% | 38.4% | 0.59× | 4.40 |
| Q3 over 44.5 | 13.0% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 1.63× | 7.83 |
| Q3 under 28.5 | 11.7% | 12.8% | 23.6% | 0.54× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals to win Q4 | 78.9% | 71.6% | 52.8% | 1.36× | 1.40 |
| Lindenwood Lions to win Q4 | 17.1% | 22.6% | 41.5% | 0.54× | 4.43 |
| Q4 tied | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 0.91× | 19.30 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 45.5 | 88.3% | 85.6% | 92.4% | 0.93× | 1.17 |
| Q4 over 29.5 | 84.0% | 82.0% | 70.8% | 1.16× | 1.22 |
| Q4 under 42.5 | 78.2% | 76.9% | 86.2% | 0.89× | 1.30 |
| Q4 over 32.5 | 72.0% | 71.5% | 55.4% | 1.29× | 1.40 |
| Q4 under 40.5 | 69.4% | 67.4% | 80.6% | 0.84× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 34.5 | 62.2% | 61.4% | 45.6% | 1.35× | 1.63 |
| Q4 under 38.5 | 59.3% | 58.4% | 73.1% | 0.80× | 1.71 |
| Q4 under 37.5 | 54.0% | 52.5% | 68.8% | 0.76× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 36.5 | 51.5% | 52.5% | 35.7% | 1.47× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 36.5 | 48.5% | 47.5% | 64.3% | 0.74× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 37.5 | 46.0% | 47.5% | 31.2% | 1.52× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 38.5 | 40.7% | 41.6% | 26.9% | 1.55× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 34.5 | 37.8% | 38.6% | 54.4% | 0.71× | 2.59 |
| Q4 over 40.5 | 30.6% | 32.6% | 19.4% | 1.68× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 32.5 | 28.0% | 28.5% | 44.6% | 0.64× | 3.51 |
| Q4 over 42.5 | 21.8% | 23.1% | 13.8% | 1.67× | 4.33 |
| Q4 under 29.5 | 16.0% | 18.0% | 29.2% | 0.62× | 5.56 |
| Q4 over 45.5 | 11.7% | 14.4% | 7.6% | 1.88× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindenwood Lions under 69.5 | 88.1% | 83.9% | 71.2% | 1.18× | 1.19 |
| Louisville Cardinals over 71.5 | 85.9% | 83.9% | 37.0% | 2.27× | 1.19 |
| Lindenwood Lions over 49.5 | 85.0% | 83.9% | 85.1% | 0.99× | 1.19 |
| Louisville Cardinals under 91.5 | 85.0% | 80.7% | 95.1% | 0.85× | 1.24 |
| Lindenwood Lions under 66.5 | 80.3% | 80.7% | 62.7% | 1.29× | 1.24 |
| Louisville Cardinals over 74.5 | 77.6% | 75.1% | 29.3% | 2.57× | 1.33 |
| Louisville Cardinals under 88.5 | 76.4% | 75.1% | 93.1% | 0.81× | 1.33 |
| Lindenwood Lions over 52.5 | 75.5% | 75.1% | 78.5% | 0.96× | 1.33 |
| Lindenwood Lions under 64.5 | 73.8% | 70.7% | 56.9% | 1.24× | 1.41 |
| Louisville Cardinals over 76.5 | 70.8% | 70.7% | 24.6% | 2.88× | 1.41 |
| Louisville Cardinals under 86.5 | 69.4% | 66.4% | 91.2% | 0.73× | 1.51 |
| Lindenwood Lions over 54.5 | 67.9% | 66.4% | 73.5% | 0.90× | 1.51 |
| Lindenwood Lions under 62.5 | 66.2% | 66.4% | 51.0% | 1.30× | 1.51 |
| Louisville Cardinals over 78.5 | 63.2% | 61.2% | 20.6% | 2.97× | 1.63 |
| Louisville Cardinals under 84.5 | 61.7% | 61.2% | 88.9% | 0.69× | 1.63 |
| Lindenwood Lions over 56.5 | 59.6% | 57.1% | 68.0% | 0.84× | 1.75 |
| Lindenwood Lions under 60.5 | 57.9% | 57.1% | 44.4% | 1.29× | 1.75 |
| Louisville Cardinals over 80.5 | 55.0% | 52.3% | 17.1% | 3.06× | 1.91 |
| Louisville Cardinals under 82.5 | 53.4% | 52.3% | 86.2% | 0.61× | 1.91 |
| Lindenwood Lions under 59.5 | 53.5% | 52.3% | 41.2% | 1.27× | 1.91 |
| Louisville Cardinals over 81.5 | 50.8% | 52.3% | 15.4% | 3.39× | 1.91 |
| Lindenwood Lions over 58.5 | 50.9% | 52.3% | 62.1% | 0.84× | 1.91 |
| Louisville Cardinals under 81.5 | 49.2% | 47.7% | 84.6% | 0.56× | 2.09 |
| Lindenwood Lions under 58.5 | 49.1% | 47.7% | 37.9% | 1.26× | 2.09 |
| Louisville Cardinals over 82.5 | 46.6% | 47.7% | 13.8% | 3.47× | 2.09 |
| Lindenwood Lions over 59.5 | 46.5% | 47.7% | 58.8% | 0.81× | 2.09 |
| Louisville Cardinals under 80.5 | 45.0% | 47.7% | 82.9% | 0.58× | 2.09 |
| Lindenwood Lions over 60.5 | 42.1% | 42.9% | 55.6% | 0.77× | 2.33 |
| Lindenwood Lions under 56.5 | 40.4% | 42.9% | 32.0% | 1.34× | 2.33 |
| Louisville Cardinals over 84.5 | 38.3% | 38.8% | 11.1% | 3.50× | 2.58 |
| Louisville Cardinals under 78.5 | 36.8% | 38.8% | 79.4% | 0.49× | 2.58 |
| Lindenwood Lions over 62.5 | 33.8% | 33.6% | 49.0% | 0.69× | 2.98 |
| Lindenwood Lions under 54.5 | 32.1% | 33.6% | 26.5% | 1.27× | 2.98 |
| Louisville Cardinals over 86.5 | 30.6% | 33.6% | 8.8% | 3.82× | 2.98 |
| Louisville Cardinals under 76.5 | 29.2% | 29.3% | 75.4% | 0.39× | 3.42 |
| Lindenwood Lions over 64.5 | 26.2% | 29.3% | 43.2% | 0.68× | 3.42 |
| Lindenwood Lions under 52.5 | 24.5% | 24.9% | 21.5% | 1.16× | 4.02 |
| Louisville Cardinals under 74.5 | 22.4% | 24.9% | 70.7% | 0.35× | 4.02 |
| Louisville Cardinals over 88.5 | 23.6% | 24.9% | 6.9% | 3.59× | 4.02 |
| Lindenwood Lions over 66.5 | 19.7% | 19.3% | 37.3% | 0.52× | 5.18 |
| Louisville Cardinals over 91.5 | 15.0% | 19.3% | 4.9% | 3.95× | 5.18 |
| Louisville Cardinals under 71.5 | 14.1% | 16.1% | 63.0% | 0.26× | 6.21 |
| Lindenwood Lions under 49.5 | 15.0% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 1.08× | 6.21 |
| Lindenwood Lions over 69.5 | 11.9% | 16.1% | 28.8% | 0.56× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 120.5 points | 91.7% | 88.8% | 69.8% | 1.27× | 1.13 |
| Under 160.5 points | 91.1% | 88.8% | 93.9% | 0.95× | 1.13 |
| Over 125.5 points | 84.8% | 80.6% | 59.5% | 1.36× | 1.24 |
| Under 155.5 points | 84.4% | 80.6% | 90.7% | 0.89× | 1.24 |
| Over 130.5 points | 75.1% | 75.6% | 48.3% | 1.56× | 1.32 |
| Under 150.5 points | 75.1% | 75.6% | 86.1% | 0.88× | 1.32 |
| Over 133.5 points | 68.1% | 65.9% | 42.0% | 1.57× | 1.52 |
| Under 147.5 points | 68.3% | 65.9% | 82.3% | 0.80× | 1.52 |
| Under 145.5 points | 63.4% | 61.5% | 79.5% | 0.77× | 1.63 |
| Over 135.5 points | 63.0% | 61.5% | 37.6% | 1.63× | 1.63 |
| Under 143.5 points | 58.3% | 56.5% | 76.7% | 0.74× | 1.77 |
| Over 137.5 points | 57.8% | 56.5% | 33.8% | 1.67× | 1.77 |
| Over 139.5 points | 52.4% | 52.3% | 30.1% | 1.74× | 1.91 |
| Under 141.5 points | 53.0% | 52.3% | 73.4% | 0.71× | 1.91 |
| Under 140.5 points | 50.3% | 52.3% | 71.8% | 0.73× | 1.91 |
| Over 140.5 points | 49.7% | 47.7% | 28.2% | 1.69× | 2.10 |
| Under 139.5 points | 47.6% | 47.7% | 69.9% | 0.68× | 2.10 |
| Over 141.5 points | 47.0% | 47.7% | 26.6% | 1.79× | 2.10 |
| Under 137.5 points | 42.2% | 43.5% | 66.2% | 0.66× | 2.30 |
| Over 143.5 points | 41.7% | 43.5% | 23.3% | 1.86× | 2.30 |
| Under 135.5 points | 37.0% | 38.5% | 62.4% | 0.62× | 2.60 |
| Over 145.5 points | 36.6% | 38.5% | 20.5% | 1.88× | 2.60 |
| Under 133.5 points | 31.9% | 34.1% | 58.0% | 0.59× | 2.93 |
| Over 147.5 points | 31.7% | 34.1% | 17.7% | 1.92× | 2.93 |
| Under 130.5 points | 24.9% | 24.4% | 51.7% | 0.47× | 4.10 |
| Over 150.5 points | 24.9% | 24.4% | 13.9% | 1.75× | 4.10 |
| Under 125.5 points | 15.2% | 19.4% | 40.5% | 0.48× | 5.15 |
| Over 155.5 points | 15.6% | 19.4% | 9.3% | 2.09× | 5.15 |
| Over 160.5 points | 8.9% | 11.2% | 6.1% | 1.83× | 8.96 |
| Under 120.5 points | 8.3% | 11.2% | 30.2% | 0.37× | 8.96 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals to win both halves | 78.5% | 77.2% | 36.0% | 2.14× | 1.30 |
| Lindenwood Lions to win both halves | 0.4% | 3.0% | 20.4% | 0.15× | 33.83 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals by 26+ | 40.4% | 47.4% | 12.6% | 3.75× | 2.11 |
| Louisville Cardinals by 21-25 | 17.9% | 16.8% | 5.4% | 3.11× | 5.97 |
| Louisville Cardinals by 16-20 | 16.3% | 16.8% | 8.0% | 2.08× | 5.97 |
| Louisville Cardinals by 11-15 | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 1.14× | 8.11 |
| Louisville Cardinals by 6-10 | 7.5% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 0.58× | 13.40 |
| Louisville Cardinals by 1-5 | 3.8% | 2.0% | 10.2% | 0.20× | 49.29 |
| Lindenwood Lions by 1-5 | 1.3% | 2.0% | 10.2% | 0.20× | 49.32 |
| Lindenwood Lions by 6-10 | 0.4% | 2.0% | 10.3% | 0.20× | 49.32 |
| Lindenwood Lions by 11-15 | 0.1% | 2.0% | 7.6% | 0.27× | 49.33 |
| Lindenwood Lions by 16-20 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 0.43× | 49.33 |
| Lindenwood Lions by 21-25 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 0.76× | 49.33 |
| Lindenwood Lions by 26+ | 0.0% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 0.44× | 49.33 |