Loyola Chicago Ramblers v Arkansas State Red Wolves — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Wednesday 11 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Loyola Chicago Ramblers win
22.2%
Draw
0.0%
Arkansas State Red Wolves win
77.8%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 60.72–69.14 | 61-69 0% | 49% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.20× | 283.36 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.64× | 283.36 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.91× | 283.36 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.36 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves to score 100+ | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.72× | 283.35 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.36 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.36 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.36 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves to win H1 | 65.7% | 68.3% | 39.9% | 1.71× | 1.47 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers to win H1 | 30.2% | 33.1% | 56.4% | 0.59× | 3.02 |
| H1 tied | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.86 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 74.5 | 88.8% | 87.7% | 87.2% | 1.01× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 50.5 | 87.7% | 87.7% | 84.5% | 1.04× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 70.5 | 79.5% | 77.4% | 78.9% | 0.98× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 54.5 | 77.6% | 77.4% | 74.0% | 1.05× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 67.5 | 70.2% | 73.5% | 70.4% | 1.04× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 57.5 | 67.8% | 67.4% | 64.8% | 1.04× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 65.5 | 63.0% | 62.7% | 63.9% | 0.98× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 59.5 | 60.3% | 62.7% | 57.8% | 1.08× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 63.5 | 55.3% | 58.2% | 57.1% | 1.02× | 1.72 |
| H1 over 61.5 | 52.5% | 52.6% | 50.2% | 1.05× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 62.5 | 51.4% | 52.6% | 53.7% | 0.98× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 62.5 | 48.6% | 47.4% | 46.3% | 1.02× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 61.5 | 47.5% | 47.4% | 49.8% | 0.95× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 63.5 | 44.7% | 41.8% | 42.9% | 0.97× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 59.5 | 39.7% | 37.3% | 42.2% | 0.88× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 65.5 | 37.0% | 37.3% | 36.1% | 1.03× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 57.5 | 32.2% | 32.6% | 35.2% | 0.93× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 67.5 | 29.8% | 26.5% | 29.6% | 0.90× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 54.5 | 22.4% | 22.6% | 26.0% | 0.87× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 70.5 | 20.5% | 22.6% | 21.1% | 1.07× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 50.5 | 12.3% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 0.80× | 8.14 |
| H1 over 74.5 | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 0.96× | 8.14 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves to win H2 | 66.7% | 62.8% | 40.6% | 1.55× | 1.59 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers to win H2 | 29.4% | 31.3% | 56.0% | 0.56× | 3.19 |
| H2 tied | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.36 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 80.5 | 87.9% | 85.2% | 84.0% | 1.01× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 56.5 | 86.4% | 85.2% | 84.1% | 1.01× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 76.5 | 78.7% | 75.8% | 75.6% | 1.00× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 60.5 | 76.3% | 75.8% | 74.5% | 1.02× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 73.5 | 69.6% | 66.4% | 67.1% | 0.99× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 63.5 | 66.7% | 66.4% | 65.3% | 1.02× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 71.5 | 62.8% | 61.6% | 61.1% | 1.01× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 65.5 | 59.5% | 57.3% | 58.8% | 0.98× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 69.5 | 55.4% | 57.3% | 54.8% | 1.05× | 1.74 |
| H2 over 67.5 | 52.1% | 52.4% | 52.1% | 1.00× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 68.5 | 51.7% | 52.4% | 51.3% | 1.02× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 67.5 | 47.9% | 47.6% | 47.9% | 1.00× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 68.5 | 48.3% | 47.6% | 48.7% | 0.98× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 69.5 | 44.6% | 42.7% | 45.2% | 0.94× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 65.5 | 40.5% | 42.7% | 41.2% | 1.03× | 2.35 |
| H2 over 71.5 | 37.2% | 38.4% | 38.9% | 0.99× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 63.5 | 33.3% | 33.6% | 34.7% | 0.97× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 73.5 | 30.4% | 33.6% | 32.9% | 1.02× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 60.5 | 23.7% | 24.2% | 25.5% | 0.95× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 76.5 | 21.3% | 24.2% | 24.4% | 0.99× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 56.5 | 13.6% | 14.8% | 15.9% | 0.93× | 6.76 |
| H2 over 80.5 | 12.1% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 0.93× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves leading at half time | 65.7% | 68.4% | 39.9% | 1.71× | 1.46 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers leading at half time | 30.2% | 32.7% | 56.4% | 0.58× | 3.06 |
| Level at half time | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.40 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves +20.5 | 99.5% | 97.4% | 82.0% | 1.19× | 1.03 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves +12.5 | 96.8% | 97.4% | 67.9% | 1.44× | 1.03 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves +14.5 | 97.9% | 97.4% | 72.1% | 1.35× | 1.03 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves +16.5 | 98.6% | 97.4% | 75.7% | 1.29× | 1.03 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves +18.5 | 99.2% | 97.4% | 79.3% | 1.23× | 1.03 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves +10.5 | 95.2% | 97.4% | 63.2% | 1.54× | 1.03 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves +9.5 | 94.3% | 91.1% | 60.7% | 1.50× | 1.10 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves +8.5 | 93.1% | 91.1% | 58.0% | 1.57× | 1.10 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves +6.5 | 90.4% | 91.1% | 52.4% | 1.74× | 1.10 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves +7.5 | 91.9% | 91.1% | 55.2% | 1.65× | 1.10 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves +5.5 | 88.8% | 85.9% | 50.3% | 1.71× | 1.16 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves +4.5 | 87.0% | 85.9% | 47.8% | 1.80× | 1.16 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers +20.5 | 86.3% | 85.9% | 92.7% | 0.93× | 1.16 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves +3.5 | 85.0% | 81.1% | 45.8% | 1.77× | 1.23 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves +2.5 | 82.8% | 81.1% | 43.3% | 1.87× | 1.23 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers +18.5 | 81.8% | 81.1% | 91.1% | 0.89× | 1.23 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves +1.5 | 80.4% | 81.1% | 41.3% | 1.96× | 1.23 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers +16.5 | 76.5% | 76.5% | 89.1% | 0.86× | 1.31 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves −1.5 | 74.8% | 71.6% | 38.8% | 1.85× | 1.40 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves −2.5 | 71.7% | 71.6% | 36.7% | 1.95× | 1.40 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers +14.5 | 70.5% | 71.6% | 86.7% | 0.83× | 1.40 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves −3.5 | 68.4% | 66.7% | 34.3% | 1.95× | 1.50 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers +12.5 | 63.9% | 61.9% | 83.8% | 0.74× | 1.62 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves −4.5 | 65.0% | 61.9% | 32.2% | 1.92× | 1.62 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves −5.5 | 61.4% | 61.9% | 29.9% | 2.07× | 1.62 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves −6.5 | 57.8% | 57.1% | 27.7% | 2.06× | 1.75 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers +10.5 | 56.8% | 57.1% | 80.4% | 0.71× | 1.75 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers +9.5 | 53.2% | 52.4% | 78.7% | 0.67× | 1.91 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves −7.5 | 54.2% | 52.4% | 25.5% | 2.06× | 1.91 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves −8.5 | 50.5% | 52.4% | 23.5% | 2.23× | 1.91 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers +8.5 | 49.5% | 47.6% | 76.5% | 0.62× | 2.10 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves −9.5 | 46.8% | 47.6% | 21.3% | 2.23× | 2.10 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers +7.5 | 45.8% | 47.6% | 74.5% | 0.64× | 2.10 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves −10.5 | 43.2% | 42.9% | 19.6% | 2.19× | 2.33 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers +6.5 | 42.2% | 42.9% | 72.3% | 0.59× | 2.33 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers +5.5 | 38.6% | 38.1% | 70.1% | 0.54× | 2.63 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves −12.5 | 36.1% | 38.1% | 16.2% | 2.34× | 2.63 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers +4.5 | 35.0% | 38.1% | 67.8% | 0.56× | 2.63 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers +3.5 | 31.6% | 33.3% | 65.7% | 0.51× | 3.01 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves −14.5 | 29.5% | 28.4% | 13.3% | 2.14× | 3.53 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers +2.5 | 28.3% | 28.4% | 63.3% | 0.45× | 3.53 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers +1.5 | 25.2% | 28.4% | 61.2% | 0.46× | 3.53 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves −16.5 | 23.5% | 23.5% | 10.9% | 2.16× | 4.25 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves −18.5 | 18.2% | 18.9% | 8.9% | 2.12× | 5.29 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers −1.5 | 19.6% | 18.9% | 58.7% | 0.32× | 5.29 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers −2.5 | 17.2% | 18.9% | 56.7% | 0.33× | 5.29 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers −3.5 | 15.0% | 18.9% | 54.2% | 0.35× | 5.30 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves −20.5 | 13.7% | 14.1% | 7.3% | 1.94× | 7.09 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers −4.5 | 13.0% | 14.1% | 52.2% | 0.27× | 7.09 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers −5.5 | 11.2% | 14.1% | 49.7% | 0.28× | 7.09 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers −6.5 | 9.6% | 8.9% | 47.6% | 0.19× | 11.25 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers −7.5 | 8.1% | 8.9% | 44.8% | 0.20× | 11.25 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers −8.5 | 6.9% | 8.9% | 42.0% | 0.21× | 11.25 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers −9.5 | 5.7% | 8.9% | 39.3% | 0.23× | 11.25 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers −10.5 | 4.8% | 2.6% | 36.8% | 0.07× | 38.72 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers −12.5 | 3.2% | 2.6% | 32.1% | 0.08× | 38.73 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers −14.5 | 2.1% | 2.6% | 27.9% | 0.09× | 38.73 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers −16.5 | 1.4% | 2.6% | 24.3% | 0.11× | 38.73 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers −18.5 | 0.8% | 2.6% | 20.7% | 0.12× | 38.74 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers −20.5 | 0.5% | 2.6% | 18.0% | 0.14× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 72.0% | 67.1% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 28.0% | 32.9% | 33.3% | 0.99× | 3.04 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 highest scoring | 34.4% | 31.9% | 31.2% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 32.6% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 17.2% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 15.7% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.02× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves at HT / Arkansas State Red Wolves at FT | 58.9% | 56.8% | 30.1% | 1.89× | 1.76 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers at HT / Arkansas State Red Wolves at FT | 15.9% | 15.4% | 8.2% | 1.89× | 6.47 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers at HT / Loyola Chicago Ramblers at FT | 14.3% | 12.2% | 48.3% | 0.25× | 8.17 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves at HT / Loyola Chicago Ramblers at FT | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 0.85× | 12.09 |
| Level at HT / Arkansas State Red Wolves at FT | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.74 |
| Level at HT / Loyola Chicago Ramblers at FT | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.77 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves to win | 77.8% | 75.1% | 40.1% | 1.87× | 1.33 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers to win | 22.2% | 24.9% | 59.9% | 0.42× | 4.02 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total points odd | 51.4% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers even | 50.1% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers odd | 49.9% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 48.6% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 94.9% | 94.0% | 95.6% | 0.98× | 1.06 |
| Match to go to overtime | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.35× | 16.66 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves to win Q1 | 59.3% | 57.3% | 40.4% | 1.42× | 1.75 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers to win Q1 | 34.9% | 30.4% | 54.7% | 0.56× | 3.29 |
| Q1 tied | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.11× | 18.32 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 under 39.5 | 88.9% | 87.4% | 87.5% | 1.00× | 1.14 |
| Q1 over 23.5 | 87.5% | 87.4% | 85.4% | 1.02× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 36.5 | 78.2% | 76.9% | 77.4% | 0.99× | 1.30 |
| Q1 over 26.5 | 75.9% | 76.9% | 72.9% | 1.06× | 1.30 |
| Q1 under 34.5 | 68.5% | 67.6% | 68.5% | 0.99× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 28.5 | 65.8% | 67.6% | 62.7% | 1.08× | 1.48 |
| Q1 under 32.5 | 57.4% | 58.6% | 59.1% | 0.99× | 1.71 |
| Q1 over 30.5 | 54.4% | 52.7% | 51.2% | 1.03× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 31.5 | 51.5% | 52.7% | 54.0% | 0.98× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 31.5 | 48.5% | 47.3% | 46.0% | 1.03× | 2.11 |
| Q1 under 30.5 | 45.6% | 47.3% | 48.8% | 0.97× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 32.5 | 42.6% | 41.4% | 40.9% | 1.01× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 28.5 | 34.2% | 32.4% | 37.3% | 0.87× | 3.08 |
| Q1 over 34.5 | 31.5% | 32.4% | 31.5% | 1.03× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 26.5 | 24.1% | 23.1% | 27.1% | 0.85× | 4.33 |
| Q1 over 36.5 | 21.8% | 23.1% | 22.6% | 1.02× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 23.5 | 12.5% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 0.86× | 7.95 |
| Q1 over 39.5 | 11.1% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 1.00× | 7.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves to win Q2 | 59.0% | 59.4% | 41.5% | 1.43× | 1.68 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers to win Q2 | 35.3% | 35.7% | 52.9% | 0.68× | 2.80 |
| Q2 tied | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 1.07× | 16.50 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 39.5 | 89.8% | 87.3% | 88.4% | 0.99× | 1.15 |
| Q2 over 23.5 | 86.5% | 87.3% | 84.6% | 1.03× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 36.5 | 79.5% | 76.8% | 78.7% | 0.98× | 1.30 |
| Q2 over 26.5 | 74.4% | 72.0% | 71.6% | 1.01× | 1.39 |
| Q2 under 34.5 | 70.2% | 72.0% | 70.1% | 1.03× | 1.39 |
| Q2 over 28.5 | 64.0% | 60.7% | 61.2% | 0.99× | 1.65 |
| Q2 under 32.5 | 59.2% | 58.2% | 60.8% | 0.96× | 1.72 |
| Q2 under 31.5 | 53.4% | 52.7% | 55.7% | 0.95× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 30.5 | 52.5% | 52.7% | 49.9% | 1.06× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 30.5 | 47.5% | 47.3% | 50.1% | 0.94× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 31.5 | 46.6% | 47.3% | 44.3% | 1.07× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 32.5 | 40.8% | 41.8% | 39.2% | 1.07× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 28.5 | 36.0% | 39.3% | 38.8% | 1.01× | 2.55 |
| Q2 over 34.5 | 29.8% | 28.0% | 29.9% | 0.94× | 3.57 |
| Q2 under 26.5 | 25.6% | 28.0% | 28.4% | 0.99× | 3.57 |
| Q2 over 36.5 | 20.5% | 23.2% | 21.3% | 1.09× | 4.31 |
| Q2 under 23.5 | 13.5% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 0.82× | 7.89 |
| Q2 over 39.5 | 10.2% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 1.09× | 7.90 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves to win Q3 | 60.1% | 60.8% | 41.8% | 1.46× | 1.64 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers to win Q3 | 34.3% | 33.8% | 53.3% | 0.63× | 2.96 |
| Q3 tied | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 1.07× | 18.97 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 42.5 | 88.9% | 87.2% | 87.8% | 0.99× | 1.15 |
| Q3 over 26.5 | 86.1% | 87.2% | 83.8% | 1.04× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 39.5 | 78.6% | 77.3% | 77.9% | 0.99× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 29.5 | 74.2% | 71.8% | 71.8% | 1.00× | 1.39 |
| Q3 under 37.5 | 69.3% | 67.8% | 69.7% | 0.97× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 31.5 | 64.1% | 62.0% | 61.6% | 1.01× | 1.61 |
| Q3 under 35.5 | 58.5% | 58.4% | 59.7% | 0.98× | 1.71 |
| Q3 over 33.5 | 52.9% | 52.3% | 50.9% | 1.03× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 34.5 | 52.8% | 52.3% | 54.6% | 0.96× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 33.5 | 47.1% | 47.7% | 49.1% | 0.97× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 34.5 | 47.2% | 47.7% | 45.4% | 1.05× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 35.5 | 41.5% | 41.6% | 40.3% | 1.03× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 31.5 | 35.9% | 38.0% | 38.4% | 0.99× | 2.63 |
| Q3 over 37.5 | 30.7% | 32.2% | 30.3% | 1.06× | 3.11 |
| Q3 under 29.5 | 25.8% | 28.2% | 28.2% | 1.00× | 3.55 |
| Q3 over 39.5 | 21.4% | 22.7% | 22.1% | 1.03× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 26.5 | 13.9% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 0.79× | 7.83 |
| Q3 over 42.5 | 11.1% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 1.05× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves to win Q4 | 59.9% | 52.1% | 41.5% | 1.25× | 1.92 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers to win Q4 | 34.6% | 37.4% | 52.8% | 0.71× | 2.67 |
| Q4 tied | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.02× | 17.26 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 42.5 | 87.4% | 85.6% | 86.2% | 0.99× | 1.17 |
| Q4 over 26.5 | 84.9% | 82.0% | 82.6% | 0.99× | 1.22 |
| Q4 under 39.5 | 77.0% | 76.9% | 77.0% | 1.00× | 1.30 |
| Q4 over 29.5 | 73.4% | 71.5% | 70.8% | 1.01× | 1.40 |
| Q4 under 37.5 | 68.0% | 67.4% | 68.8% | 0.98× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 31.5 | 63.7% | 61.4% | 61.1% | 1.01× | 1.63 |
| Q4 under 35.5 | 57.7% | 58.4% | 59.4% | 0.98× | 1.71 |
| Q4 over 33.5 | 53.1% | 52.5% | 50.4% | 1.04× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 34.5 | 52.3% | 52.5% | 54.4% | 0.96× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 34.5 | 47.7% | 47.5% | 45.6% | 1.04× | 2.11 |
| Q4 under 33.5 | 46.9% | 47.5% | 49.6% | 0.96× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 35.5 | 42.3% | 41.6% | 40.6% | 1.02× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 31.5 | 36.3% | 38.6% | 38.9% | 0.99× | 2.59 |
| Q4 over 37.5 | 32.0% | 32.6% | 31.2% | 1.04× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 29.5 | 26.6% | 28.5% | 29.2% | 0.98× | 3.51 |
| Q4 over 39.5 | 23.0% | 23.1% | 23.0% | 1.00× | 4.33 |
| Q4 under 26.5 | 15.1% | 18.0% | 17.4% | 1.04× | 5.56 |
| Q4 over 42.5 | 12.6% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 1.04× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 71.5 | 87.1% | 83.9% | 63.0% | 1.33× | 1.19 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves under 79.5 | 86.3% | 83.9% | 89.7% | 0.94× | 1.19 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves over 59.5 | 85.6% | 83.9% | 58.8% | 1.43× | 1.19 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 51.5 | 84.1% | 80.7% | 89.3% | 0.90× | 1.24 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 68.5 | 79.3% | 75.1% | 54.4% | 1.38× | 1.33 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves under 76.5 | 78.0% | 75.1% | 85.8% | 0.88× | 1.33 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves over 62.5 | 77.0% | 75.1% | 49.0% | 1.53× | 1.33 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 54.5 | 74.8% | 70.7% | 83.8% | 0.84× | 1.41 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 66.5 | 72.8% | 70.7% | 48.2% | 1.47× | 1.41 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves over 64.5 | 70.0% | 70.7% | 43.2% | 1.64× | 1.41 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves under 74.5 | 71.0% | 70.7% | 82.3% | 0.86× | 1.41 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 56.5 | 67.5% | 66.4% | 79.5% | 0.83× | 1.51 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 64.5 | 65.4% | 66.4% | 41.6% | 1.60× | 1.51 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves over 66.5 | 62.1% | 61.2% | 37.3% | 1.64× | 1.63 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves under 72.5 | 63.2% | 61.2% | 78.2% | 0.78× | 1.63 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 58.5 | 59.4% | 57.1% | 74.7% | 0.76× | 1.75 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 62.5 | 57.4% | 57.1% | 35.7% | 1.60× | 1.75 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves over 68.5 | 53.7% | 52.3% | 31.4% | 1.66× | 1.91 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves under 70.5 | 54.9% | 52.3% | 73.7% | 0.71× | 1.91 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 60.5 | 51.0% | 52.3% | 69.5% | 0.75× | 1.91 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 61.5 | 53.2% | 52.3% | 33.1% | 1.58× | 1.91 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves under 69.5 | 50.6% | 52.3% | 71.2% | 0.73× | 1.91 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves over 69.5 | 49.4% | 47.7% | 28.8% | 1.66× | 2.09 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 60.5 | 49.0% | 47.7% | 30.5% | 1.56× | 2.09 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 61.5 | 46.8% | 47.7% | 66.9% | 0.71× | 2.09 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves under 68.5 | 46.3% | 47.7% | 68.6% | 0.70× | 2.09 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves over 70.5 | 45.1% | 47.7% | 26.3% | 1.81× | 2.09 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 62.5 | 42.6% | 42.9% | 64.3% | 0.67× | 2.33 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 58.5 | 40.6% | 42.9% | 25.3% | 1.70× | 2.33 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves under 66.5 | 37.9% | 38.8% | 62.7% | 0.62× | 2.58 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves over 72.5 | 36.8% | 38.8% | 21.8% | 1.78× | 2.58 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 64.5 | 34.6% | 33.6% | 58.4% | 0.58× | 2.98 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 56.5 | 32.5% | 33.6% | 20.5% | 1.64× | 2.98 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves under 64.5 | 30.0% | 29.3% | 56.9% | 0.52× | 3.42 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves over 74.5 | 29.0% | 29.3% | 17.7% | 1.65× | 3.42 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 66.5 | 27.2% | 29.3% | 51.8% | 0.56× | 3.42 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 54.5 | 25.2% | 29.3% | 16.2% | 1.81× | 3.42 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves under 62.5 | 23.0% | 24.9% | 51.0% | 0.49× | 4.02 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 68.5 | 20.7% | 24.9% | 45.6% | 0.55× | 4.02 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves over 76.5 | 22.1% | 24.9% | 14.2% | 1.75× | 4.02 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 51.5 | 15.9% | 19.3% | 10.7% | 1.80× | 5.18 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves under 59.5 | 14.4% | 16.1% | 41.2% | 0.39× | 6.21 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 71.5 | 12.9% | 16.1% | 37.0% | 0.44× | 6.21 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves over 79.5 | 13.7% | 16.1% | 10.3% | 1.56× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 150.5 points | 91.3% | 88.8% | 86.1% | 1.03× | 1.13 |
| Over 110.5 points | 91.2% | 88.8% | 86.4% | 1.03× | 1.13 |
| Under 145.5 points | 84.8% | 80.6% | 79.5% | 1.01× | 1.24 |
| Over 115.5 points | 84.0% | 80.6% | 78.8% | 1.02× | 1.24 |
| Under 140.5 points | 75.6% | 75.6% | 71.8% | 1.05× | 1.32 |
| Over 120.5 points | 74.3% | 70.8% | 69.8% | 1.01× | 1.41 |
| Under 137.5 points | 69.0% | 65.9% | 66.2% | 1.00× | 1.52 |
| Over 123.5 points | 67.2% | 65.9% | 63.3% | 1.04× | 1.52 |
| Under 135.5 points | 64.1% | 61.5% | 62.4% | 0.99× | 1.63 |
| Over 125.5 points | 62.2% | 61.5% | 59.5% | 1.03× | 1.63 |
| Under 133.5 points | 59.0% | 56.5% | 58.0% | 0.97× | 1.77 |
| Over 127.5 points | 57.0% | 56.5% | 55.1% | 1.03× | 1.77 |
| Under 131.5 points | 53.7% | 52.3% | 53.9% | 0.97× | 1.91 |
| Over 129.5 points | 51.6% | 52.3% | 50.5% | 1.04× | 1.91 |
| Under 130.5 points | 51.0% | 52.3% | 51.7% | 1.01× | 1.91 |
| Over 130.5 points | 49.0% | 47.7% | 48.3% | 0.99× | 2.10 |
| Under 129.5 points | 48.4% | 47.7% | 49.5% | 0.96× | 2.10 |
| Over 131.5 points | 46.3% | 47.7% | 46.1% | 1.03× | 2.10 |
| Under 127.5 points | 43.0% | 43.5% | 44.9% | 0.97× | 2.30 |
| Over 133.5 points | 41.0% | 43.5% | 42.0% | 1.04× | 2.30 |
| Under 125.5 points | 37.8% | 38.5% | 40.5% | 0.95× | 2.60 |
| Over 135.5 points | 35.9% | 38.5% | 37.6% | 1.02× | 2.60 |
| Under 123.5 points | 32.8% | 34.1% | 36.7% | 0.93× | 2.93 |
| Over 137.5 points | 31.0% | 34.1% | 33.8% | 1.01× | 2.93 |
| Under 120.5 points | 25.7% | 29.2% | 30.2% | 0.97× | 3.43 |
| Over 140.5 points | 24.4% | 24.4% | 28.2% | 0.86× | 4.10 |
| Under 115.5 points | 16.0% | 19.4% | 21.2% | 0.92× | 5.15 |
| Over 145.5 points | 15.2% | 19.4% | 20.5% | 0.95× | 5.15 |
| Under 110.5 points | 8.8% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 0.82× | 8.96 |
| Over 150.5 points | 8.7% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 0.80× | 8.96 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves to win both halves | 41.3% | 40.6% | 20.4% | 1.99× | 2.46 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers to win both halves | 6.7% | 8.8% | 36.0% | 0.25× | 11.32 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves by 6-10 | 18.3% | 16.8% | 10.3% | 1.63× | 5.97 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves by 1-5 | 16.3% | 16.8% | 10.2% | 1.65× | 5.97 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves by 11-15 | 16.8% | 16.8% | 7.6% | 2.20× | 5.97 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves by 16-20 | 12.6% | 12.3% | 4.8% | 2.60× | 8.11 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers by 1-5 | 11.0% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 1.21× | 8.11 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves by 21-25 | 7.7% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 2.79× | 13.40 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers by 6-10 | 6.4% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 0.58× | 13.40 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves by 26+ | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 1.62× | 13.40 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers by 11-15 | 3.1% | 2.0% | 10.8% | 0.19× | 49.30 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers by 16-20 | 1.2% | 2.0% | 8.0% | 0.25× | 49.32 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers by 21-25 | 0.4% | 2.0% | 5.4% | 0.38× | 49.32 |
| Loyola Chicago Ramblers by 26+ | 0.1% | 2.0% | 12.6% | 0.16× | 49.33 |