LSU Tigers v Belmont Bruins — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 23 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated 4 Sep 2026, 03:45 UTC

LSU Tigers

05:00 UTC

Belmont Bruins

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

LSU Tigers win

100.0%

Draw

0.0%

Belmont Bruins win

0.0%

10000

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	10000	95.14–56.67	95-57 0%	50%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LSU Tigers to score 100+	33.0%	31.4%	1.8%	17.45×	3.19
LSU Tigers to score 110+	6.8%	8.8%	0.6%	15.99×	11.38
LSU Tigers to score 120+	0.5%	0.4%	0.1%	2.92×	283.25
LSU Tigers to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	7.58×	283.35
Belmont Bruins to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.5%	0.71×	283.36
Belmont Bruins to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	4.74×	283.36
Belmont Bruins to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	18.95×	283.36
Belmont Bruins to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	37.89×	283.36
Both sides to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	6.32×	283.36

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LSU Tigers to win H1	97.8%	98.7%	56.4%	1.75×	1.01
Belmont Bruins to win H1	1.7%	3.9%	39.9%	0.10×	25.88
H1 tied	0.5%	3.9%	3.7%	1.05×	25.89

H1 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 85.5	89.6%	87.7%	97.7%	0.90×	1.14
H1 over 61.5	87.3%	87.7%	50.2%	1.75×	1.14
H1 under 81.5	80.6%	82.5%	95.5%	0.86×	1.21
H1 over 65.5	76.9%	77.4%	36.1%	2.14×	1.29
H1 under 78.5	71.4%	73.5%	92.8%	0.79×	1.36
H1 over 68.5	66.7%	67.4%	26.5%	2.54×	1.48
H1 under 76.5	64.3%	62.7%	90.2%	0.70×	1.59
H1 over 70.5	59.2%	58.2%	21.1%	2.76×	1.72
H1 under 74.5	56.7%	58.2%	87.2%	0.67×	1.72
H1 under 73.5	52.7%	52.6%	85.6%	0.62×	1.90
H1 over 72.5	51.3%	52.6%	16.4%	3.21×	1.90
H1 under 72.5	48.7%	47.4%	83.6%	0.57×	2.11
H1 over 73.5	47.3%	47.4%	14.4%	3.29×	2.11
H1 over 74.5	43.3%	41.8%	12.8%	3.26×	2.39
H1 under 70.5	40.8%	41.8%	78.9%	0.53×	2.39
H1 over 76.5	35.7%	37.3%	9.8%	3.81×	2.68
H1 under 68.5	33.3%	32.6%	73.5%	0.44×	3.07
H1 over 78.5	28.6%	26.5%	7.2%	3.67×	3.77
H1 under 65.5	23.1%	22.6%	63.9%	0.35×	4.43
H1 over 81.5	19.4%	17.5%	4.5%	3.89×	5.72
H1 under 61.5	12.7%	12.3%	49.8%	0.25×	8.14
H1 over 85.5	10.4%	12.3%	2.3%	5.39×	8.14

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LSU Tigers to win H2	98.4%	95.6%	56.0%	1.71×	1.05
Belmont Bruins to win H2	1.2%	3.9%	40.6%	0.10×	25.38
H2 tied	0.4%	3.9%	3.4%	1.16×	25.38

H2 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 92.5	88.7%	85.2%	96.6%	0.88×	1.17
H2 over 68.5	86.1%	85.2%	48.7%	1.75×	1.17
H2 under 88.5	79.7%	75.8%	94.1%	0.81×	1.32
H2 over 72.5	75.7%	75.8%	36.0%	2.11×	1.32
H2 under 85.5	70.8%	72.2%	91.2%	0.79×	1.39
H2 over 75.5	65.8%	66.4%	27.0%	2.46×	1.51
H2 under 83.5	64.0%	61.6%	88.9%	0.69×	1.62
H2 over 77.5	58.5%	57.3%	22.1%	2.59×	1.74
H2 under 81.5	56.7%	57.3%	85.8%	0.67×	1.74
H2 under 80.5	52.9%	52.4%	84.0%	0.62×	1.91
H2 over 79.5	50.9%	52.4%	18.0%	2.91×	1.91
H2 under 79.5	49.1%	47.6%	82.0%	0.58×	2.10
H2 over 80.5	47.1%	47.6%	16.0%	2.98×	2.10
H2 over 81.5	43.3%	42.7%	14.2%	3.00×	2.34
H2 under 77.5	41.5%	42.7%	77.9%	0.55×	2.34
H2 over 83.5	36.0%	38.4%	11.1%	3.45×	2.61
H2 under 75.5	34.2%	33.6%	73.0%	0.46×	2.97
H2 over 85.5	29.2%	27.8%	8.8%	3.17×	3.59
H2 under 72.5	24.3%	24.2%	64.1%	0.38×	4.13
H2 over 88.5	20.3%	24.2%	5.9%	4.11×	4.13
H2 under 68.5	13.9%	14.8%	51.3%	0.29×	6.76
H2 over 92.5	11.3%	14.8%	3.4%	4.35×	6.76

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LSU Tigers leading at half time	97.8%	98.5%	56.4%	1.75×	1.02
Belmont Bruins leading at half time	1.7%	3.8%	39.9%	0.09×	26.43
Level at half time	0.5%	3.8%	3.7%	1.03×	26.45

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LSU Tigers −1.5	100.0%	97.4%	58.7%	1.66×	1.03
LSU Tigers +1.5	100.0%	97.4%	61.2%	1.59×	1.03
LSU Tigers −2.5	99.9%	97.4%	56.7%	1.72×	1.03
LSU Tigers +2.5	100.0%	97.4%	63.3%	1.54×	1.03
LSU Tigers −3.5	99.9%	97.4%	54.2%	1.80×	1.03
LSU Tigers +3.5	100.0%	97.4%	65.7%	1.48×	1.03
LSU Tigers −4.5	99.9%	97.4%	52.2%	1.87×	1.03
LSU Tigers +4.5	100.0%	97.4%	67.8%	1.44×	1.03
LSU Tigers −5.5	99.8%	97.4%	49.7%	1.96×	1.03
LSU Tigers +5.5	100.0%	97.4%	70.1%	1.39×	1.03
LSU Tigers −6.5	99.8%	97.4%	47.6%	2.05×	1.03
LSU Tigers +6.5	100.0%	97.4%	72.3%	1.35×	1.03
LSU Tigers −7.5	99.7%	97.4%	44.8%	2.18×	1.03
LSU Tigers +7.5	100.0%	97.4%	74.5%	1.31×	1.03
LSU Tigers −8.5	99.6%	97.4%	42.0%	2.32×	1.03
LSU Tigers +8.5	100.0%	97.4%	76.5%	1.27×	1.03
LSU Tigers −9.5	99.5%	97.4%	39.3%	2.48×	1.03
LSU Tigers +9.5	100.0%	97.4%	78.7%	1.24×	1.03
LSU Tigers −10.5	99.3%	97.4%	36.8%	2.65×	1.03
LSU Tigers +10.5	100.0%	97.4%	80.4%	1.21×	1.03
LSU Tigers +12.5	100.0%	97.4%	83.8%	1.16×	1.03
LSU Tigers +14.5	100.0%	97.4%	86.7%	1.12×	1.03
LSU Tigers +16.5	100.0%	97.4%	89.1%	1.09×	1.03
LSU Tigers +18.5	100.0%	97.4%	91.1%	1.07×	1.03
LSU Tigers +20.5	100.0%	97.4%	92.7%	1.05×	1.03
LSU Tigers −12.5	98.9%	97.4%	32.1%	3.03×	1.03
LSU Tigers −14.5	98.3%	97.4%	27.9%	3.49×	1.03
LSU Tigers −16.5	97.4%	97.4%	24.3%	4.02×	1.03
LSU Tigers −18.5	96.1%	97.4%	20.7%	4.70×	1.03
LSU Tigers −20.5	94.3%	91.1%	18.0%	5.06×	1.10
Belmont Bruins +20.5	5.7%	8.9%	82.0%	0.11×	11.25
Belmont Bruins +12.5	1.1%	2.6%	67.9%	0.04×	38.74
Belmont Bruins +14.5	1.7%	2.6%	72.1%	0.04×	38.73
Belmont Bruins +16.5	2.6%	2.6%	75.7%	0.03×	38.73
Belmont Bruins +18.5	3.9%	2.6%	79.3%	0.03×	38.72
Belmont Bruins +1.5	0.0%	2.6%	41.3%	0.06×	38.74
Belmont Bruins −1.5	0.0%	2.6%	38.8%	0.07×	38.74
Belmont Bruins +2.5	0.1%	2.6%	43.3%	0.06×	38.74
Belmont Bruins −2.5	0.0%	2.6%	36.7%	0.07×	38.74
Belmont Bruins +3.5	0.1%	2.6%	45.8%	0.06×	38.74
Belmont Bruins −3.5	0.0%	2.6%	34.3%	0.08×	38.74
Belmont Bruins +4.5	0.1%	2.6%	47.8%	0.05×	38.74
Belmont Bruins −4.5	0.0%	2.6%	32.2%	0.08×	38.74
Belmont Bruins +5.5	0.2%	2.6%	50.3%	0.05×	38.74
Belmont Bruins −5.5	0.0%	2.6%	29.9%	0.09×	38.74
Belmont Bruins +6.5	0.2%	2.6%	52.4%	0.05×	38.74
Belmont Bruins −6.5	0.0%	2.6%	27.7%	0.09×	38.74
Belmont Bruins +7.5	0.3%	2.6%	55.2%	0.05×	38.74
Belmont Bruins −7.5	0.0%	2.6%	25.5%	0.10×	38.74
Belmont Bruins +8.5	0.4%	2.6%	58.0%	0.04×	38.74
Belmont Bruins −8.5	0.0%	2.6%	23.5%	0.11×	38.74
Belmont Bruins +9.5	0.5%	2.6%	60.7%	0.04×	38.74
Belmont Bruins −9.5	0.0%	2.6%	21.3%	0.12×	38.74
Belmont Bruins +10.5	0.7%	2.6%	63.2%	0.04×	38.74
Belmont Bruins −10.5	0.0%	2.6%	19.6%	0.13×	38.74
Belmont Bruins −12.5	0.0%	2.6%	16.2%	0.16×	38.74
Belmont Bruins −14.5	0.0%	2.6%	13.3%	0.19×	38.74
Belmont Bruins −16.5	0.0%	2.6%	10.9%	0.24×	38.74
Belmont Bruins −18.5	0.0%	2.6%	8.9%	0.29×	38.74
Belmont Bruins −20.5	0.0%	2.6%	7.3%	0.35×	38.74

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	75.3%	71.6%	66.7%	1.07×	1.40
1st half highest scoring	24.7%	28.4%	33.3%	0.85×	3.53

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 highest scoring	33.9%	31.9%	31.3%	1.02×	3.14
Q4 highest scoring	35.7%	28.6%	31.2%	0.92×	3.50
Q2 highest scoring	14.4%	18.3%	17.9%	1.03×	5.45
Q1 highest scoring	16.0%	18.3%	19.6%	0.94×	5.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LSU Tigers at HT / LSU Tigers at FT	97.8%	98.5%	48.3%	2.04×	1.02
Belmont Bruins at HT / LSU Tigers at FT	1.6%	2.1%	9.8%	0.21×	47.76
Level at HT / LSU Tigers at FT	0.5%	2.1%	1.9%	1.09×	47.78
LSU Tigers at HT / Belmont Bruins at FT	0.0%	2.1%	8.2%	0.26×	47.79
Level at HT / Belmont Bruins at FT	0.0%	2.1%	1.8%	1.20×	47.79
Belmont Bruins at HT / Belmont Bruins at FT	0.0%	2.1%	30.1%	0.07×	47.79

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LSU Tigers to win	100.0%	97.5%	59.9%	1.63×	1.03
Belmont Bruins to win	0.0%	2.5%	40.1%	0.06×	39.98

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LSU Tigers even	50.0%	50.5%	49.4%	1.02×	1.98
Belmont Bruins even	50.2%	50.5%	50.1%	1.01×	1.98
Total points odd	50.0%	50.5%	51.5%	0.98×	1.98
LSU Tigers odd	50.0%	49.5%	50.6%	0.98×	2.02
Belmont Bruins odd	49.8%	49.5%	49.9%	0.99×	2.02
Total points even	50.0%	49.5%	48.5%	1.02×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	99.5%	97.0%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Match to go to overtime	0.5%	3.0%	4.4%	0.67×	33.63

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LSU Tigers to win Q1	90.8%	92.0%	54.7%	1.68×	1.09
Belmont Bruins to win Q1	6.9%	5.5%	40.4%	0.14×	18.30
Q1 tied	2.3%	4.2%	4.9%	0.85×	24.04

Q1 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 over 28.5	88.8%	87.4%	62.7%	1.40×	1.14
Q1 under 44.5	87.9%	87.4%	96.2%	0.91×	1.14
Q1 over 31.5	77.7%	76.9%	46.0%	1.67×	1.30
Q1 under 41.5	76.6%	76.9%	91.9%	0.84×	1.30
Q1 over 33.5	67.9%	67.6%	36.0%	1.88×	1.48
Q1 under 39.5	66.6%	67.6%	87.5%	0.77×	1.48
Q1 over 35.5	56.6%	58.6%	26.8%	2.19×	1.71
Q1 under 37.5	55.2%	58.6%	81.6%	0.72×	1.71
Q1 over 36.5	50.7%	52.7%	22.6%	2.33×	1.90
Q1 under 36.5	49.3%	47.3%	77.4%	0.61×	2.11
Q1 over 37.5	44.8%	41.4%	18.4%	2.25×	2.42
Q1 under 35.5	43.4%	41.4%	73.2%	0.57×	2.42
Q1 over 39.5	33.4%	32.4%	12.5%	2.59×	3.08
Q1 under 33.5	32.1%	32.4%	64.0%	0.51×	3.08
Q1 over 41.5	23.4%	23.1%	8.1%	2.86×	4.33
Q1 under 31.5	22.3%	23.1%	54.0%	0.43×	4.33
Q1 over 44.5	12.1%	12.6%	3.8%	3.34×	7.95
Q1 under 28.5	11.3%	12.6%	37.3%	0.34×	7.95

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LSU Tigers to win Q2	90.1%	93.4%	52.9%	1.77×	1.07
Belmont Bruins to win Q2	7.5%	6.1%	41.5%	0.15×	16.47
Q2 tied	2.4%	4.4%	5.7%	0.77×	22.97

Q2 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 under 44.5	89.0%	87.3%	96.7%	0.90×	1.15
Q2 over 28.5	87.6%	87.3%	61.2%	1.43×	1.15
Q2 under 41.5	78.3%	76.8%	92.7%	0.83×	1.30
Q2 over 31.5	76.0%	76.8%	44.3%	1.73×	1.30
Q2 under 39.5	68.6%	67.4%	88.4%	0.76×	1.49
Q2 over 33.5	65.8%	67.4%	34.4%	1.96×	1.49
Q2 under 37.5	57.5%	58.2%	82.3%	0.71×	1.72
Q2 over 35.5	54.3%	52.7%	25.4%	2.07×	1.90
Q2 under 36.5	51.6%	52.7%	78.7%	0.67×	1.90
Q2 over 36.5	48.4%	47.3%	21.3%	2.22×	2.11
Q2 under 35.5	45.7%	47.3%	74.6%	0.63×	2.11
Q2 over 37.5	42.5%	41.8%	17.7%	2.37×	2.39
Q2 under 33.5	34.2%	32.6%	65.6%	0.50×	3.06
Q2 over 39.5	31.4%	32.6%	11.6%	2.82×	3.06
Q2 under 31.5	24.0%	23.2%	55.7%	0.42×	4.31
Q2 over 41.5	21.7%	23.2%	7.3%	3.16×	4.31
Q2 under 28.5	12.4%	12.7%	38.8%	0.33×	7.89
Q2 over 44.5	11.0%	12.7%	3.3%	3.87×	7.90

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LSU Tigers to win Q3	92.1%	94.5%	53.3%	1.77×	1.06
Belmont Bruins to win Q3	5.9%	5.3%	41.8%	0.13×	18.96
Q3 tied	2.0%	4.3%	4.9%	0.86×	23.52

Q3 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 under 48.5	89.4%	87.2%	97.2%	0.90×	1.15
Q3 over 32.5	85.8%	87.2%	56.1%	1.56×	1.15
Q3 under 45.5	79.3%	77.3%	93.8%	0.82×	1.29
Q3 over 35.5	73.6%	71.8%	40.3%	1.78×	1.39
Q3 under 43.5	70.2%	71.8%	90.2%	0.80×	1.39
Q3 over 37.5	63.3%	62.0%	30.3%	2.05×	1.61
Q3 under 41.5	59.5%	58.4%	85.1%	0.69×	1.71
Q3 under 40.5	53.8%	52.3%	81.9%	0.64×	1.91
Q3 over 39.5	52.0%	52.3%	22.1%	2.37×	1.91
Q3 under 39.5	48.0%	47.7%	77.9%	0.61×	2.10
Q3 over 40.5	46.2%	47.7%	18.1%	2.63×	2.10
Q3 over 41.5	40.5%	41.6%	14.9%	2.79×	2.40
Q3 under 37.5	36.7%	38.0%	69.7%	0.55×	2.63
Q3 over 43.5	29.8%	28.2%	9.8%	2.87×	3.55
Q3 under 35.5	26.4%	28.2%	59.7%	0.47×	3.55
Q3 over 45.5	20.7%	22.7%	6.2%	3.67×	4.40
Q3 under 32.5	14.2%	12.8%	43.9%	0.29×	7.83
Q3 over 48.5	10.6%	12.8%	2.8%	4.49×	7.83

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LSU Tigers to win Q4	91.7%	85.6%	52.8%	1.62×	1.17
Belmont Bruins to win Q4	6.3%	5.8%	41.5%	0.14×	17.24
Q4 tied	2.0%	5.2%	5.7%	0.91×	19.35

Q4 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 under 48.5	87.9%	85.6%	96.3%	0.89×	1.17
Q4 over 32.5	84.6%	82.0%	55.4%	1.48×	1.22
Q4 under 45.5	77.7%	76.9%	92.4%	0.83×	1.30
Q4 over 35.5	72.8%	71.5%	40.6%	1.76×	1.40
Q4 under 43.5	68.7%	67.4%	88.6%	0.76×	1.48
Q4 over 37.5	63.0%	61.4%	31.2%	1.97×	1.63
Q4 under 41.5	58.5%	58.4%	83.6%	0.70×	1.71
Q4 under 40.5	53.1%	52.5%	80.6%	0.65×	1.91
Q4 over 39.5	52.3%	52.5%	23.0%	2.28×	1.91
Q4 under 39.5	47.7%	47.5%	77.0%	0.62×	2.11
Q4 over 40.5	46.9%	47.5%	19.4%	2.45×	2.11
Q4 over 41.5	41.5%	41.6%	16.4%	2.54×	2.40
Q4 under 37.5	37.0%	38.6%	68.8%	0.56×	2.59
Q4 over 43.5	31.3%	32.6%	11.4%	2.86×	3.07
Q4 under 35.5	27.2%	28.5%	59.4%	0.48×	3.51
Q4 over 45.5	22.3%	23.1%	7.6%	3.02×	4.33
Q4 under 32.5	15.4%	18.0%	44.6%	0.40×	5.56
Q4 over 48.5	12.1%	14.4%	3.7%	3.92×	6.95

Team total 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belmont Bruins under 67.5	87.4%	83.9%	65.6%	1.28×	1.19
Belmont Bruins over 47.5	86.6%	83.9%	88.4%	0.95×	1.19
LSU Tigers over 85.5	85.0%	83.9%	9.8%	8.57×	1.19
LSU Tigers under 105.5	85.8%	83.9%	99.2%	0.85×	1.19
Belmont Bruins under 64.5	79.4%	75.1%	56.9%	1.32×	1.33
Belmont Bruins over 50.5	77.2%	75.1%	83.1%	0.90×	1.33
LSU Tigers over 88.5	76.5%	75.1%	6.9%	10.84×	1.33
LSU Tigers under 102.5	77.5%	75.1%	98.8%	0.76×	1.33
Belmont Bruins under 62.5	72.6%	70.7%	51.0%	1.39×	1.41
LSU Tigers under 100.5	70.7%	70.7%	98.4%	0.72×	1.41
Belmont Bruins over 52.5	69.6%	66.4%	78.5%	0.85×	1.51
LSU Tigers over 90.5	69.5%	66.4%	5.5%	12.12×	1.51
Belmont Bruins under 60.5	64.9%	61.2%	44.4%	1.38×	1.63
LSU Tigers under 98.5	63.1%	61.2%	98.0%	0.62×	1.63
Belmont Bruins over 54.5	61.2%	61.2%	73.5%	0.83×	1.63
LSU Tigers over 92.5	61.7%	61.2%	4.3%	14.10×	1.63
Belmont Bruins under 58.5	56.4%	57.1%	37.9%	1.51×	1.75
LSU Tigers under 96.5	54.9%	52.3%	97.5%	0.54×	1.91
Belmont Bruins over 56.5	52.4%	52.3%	68.0%	0.77×	1.91
Belmont Bruins under 57.5	52.0%	52.3%	34.9%	1.50×	1.91
LSU Tigers over 94.5	53.5%	52.3%	3.3%	15.80×	1.91
LSU Tigers under 95.5	50.7%	52.3%	97.1%	0.54×	1.91
LSU Tigers over 95.5	49.3%	47.7%	2.9%	16.38×	2.09
Belmont Bruins under 56.5	47.6%	47.7%	32.0%	1.49×	2.09
Belmont Bruins over 57.5	48.0%	47.7%	65.1%	0.73×	2.09
LSU Tigers under 94.5	46.5%	47.7%	96.7%	0.49×	2.09
LSU Tigers over 96.5	45.1%	47.7%	2.5%	19.06×	2.09
Belmont Bruins over 58.5	43.6%	42.9%	62.1%	0.69×	2.33
Belmont Bruins under 54.5	38.8%	38.8%	26.5%	1.47×	2.58
LSU Tigers under 92.5	38.3%	38.8%	95.7%	0.41×	2.58
LSU Tigers over 98.5	36.9%	38.8%	2.0%	19.11×	2.58
Belmont Bruins over 60.5	35.1%	38.8%	55.6%	0.70×	2.58
Belmont Bruins under 52.5	30.4%	33.6%	21.5%	1.56×	2.98
LSU Tigers under 90.5	30.5%	33.6%	94.5%	0.36×	2.98
LSU Tigers over 100.5	29.3%	29.3%	1.6%	18.82×	3.42
Belmont Bruins over 62.5	27.4%	29.3%	49.0%	0.60×	3.42
Belmont Bruins under 50.5	22.8%	24.9%	16.9%	1.48×	4.02
LSU Tigers under 88.5	23.5%	24.9%	93.1%	0.27×	4.02
LSU Tigers over 102.5	22.5%	24.9%	1.2%	21.20×	4.02
Belmont Bruins over 64.5	20.6%	24.9%	43.2%	0.58×	4.02
LSU Tigers under 85.5	15.0%	16.1%	90.2%	0.18×	6.21
LSU Tigers over 105.5	14.2%	16.1%	0.8%	19.42×	6.21
Belmont Bruins under 47.5	13.4%	16.1%	11.6%	1.39×	6.21
Belmont Bruins over 67.5	12.6%	16.1%	34.4%	0.47×	6.21

Total points 30

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 132.5 points	92.2%	88.8%	44.0%	2.02×	1.13
Under 172.5 points	91.2%	88.8%	98.2%	0.91×	1.13
Over 137.5 points	85.2%	85.0%	33.8%	2.52×	1.18
Under 167.5 points	84.6%	80.6%	96.9%	0.83×	1.24
Over 142.5 points	75.4%	75.6%	24.9%	3.04×	1.32
Under 162.5 points	75.3%	75.6%	95.0%	0.80×	1.32
Over 145.5 points	68.3%	65.9%	20.5%	3.22×	1.52
Under 159.5 points	68.5%	65.9%	93.3%	0.71×	1.52
Over 147.5 points	63.2%	61.5%	17.7%	3.47×	1.63
Under 157.5 points	63.5%	61.5%	92.1%	0.67×	1.63
Under 155.5 points	58.3%	56.5%	90.7%	0.62×	1.77
Over 149.5 points	57.9%	56.5%	15.1%	3.75×	1.77
Over 151.5 points	52.5%	52.3%	12.8%	4.10×	1.91
Under 153.5 points	53.0%	52.3%	89.0%	0.59×	1.91
Under 152.5 points	50.2%	52.3%	88.1%	0.59×	1.91
Over 152.5 points	49.8%	47.7%	11.9%	4.01×	2.10
Under 151.5 points	47.5%	47.7%	87.3%	0.55×	2.10
Over 153.5 points	47.0%	47.7%	11.0%	4.35×	2.10
Under 149.5 points	42.1%	43.5%	84.9%	0.51×	2.30
Over 155.5 points	41.7%	43.5%	9.3%	4.68×	2.30
Under 147.5 points	36.8%	38.5%	82.3%	0.47×	2.60
Over 157.5 points	36.5%	38.5%	7.9%	4.88×	2.60
Under 145.5 points	31.7%	34.1%	79.5%	0.43×	2.93
Over 159.5 points	31.5%	34.1%	6.7%	5.09×	2.93
Over 162.5 points	24.7%	24.4%	5.0%	4.85×	4.10
Under 142.5 points	24.6%	24.4%	75.1%	0.32×	4.10
Over 167.5 points	15.4%	19.4%	3.1%	6.19×	5.15
Under 137.5 points	14.8%	15.0%	66.2%	0.23×	6.68
Over 172.5 points	8.8%	11.2%	1.8%	6.08×	8.96
Under 132.5 points	7.8%	11.2%	56.0%	0.20×	8.96

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LSU Tigers to win both halves	96.2%	96.3%	36.0%	2.67×	1.04
Belmont Bruins to win both halves	0.0%	3.0%	20.4%	0.15×	33.85

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LSU Tigers by 26+	87.1%	89.0%	12.6%	7.05×	1.12
LSU Tigers by 21-25	7.2%	7.5%	5.4%	1.39×	13.40
LSU Tigers by 16-20	3.6%	2.0%	8.0%	0.25×	49.30
LSU Tigers by 11-15	1.5%	2.0%	10.8%	0.19×	49.32
LSU Tigers by 1-5	0.1%	2.0%	10.2%	0.20×	49.33
Belmont Bruins by 1-5	0.0%	2.0%	10.2%	0.20×	49.33
LSU Tigers by 6-10	0.5%	2.0%	12.9%	0.16×	49.32
Belmont Bruins by 6-10	0.0%	2.0%	10.3%	0.20×	49.33
Belmont Bruins by 11-15	0.0%	2.0%	7.6%	0.27×	49.33
Belmont Bruins by 16-20	0.0%	2.0%	4.8%	0.43×	49.33
Belmont Bruins by 21-25	0.0%	2.0%	2.7%	0.76×	49.33
Belmont Bruins by 26+	0.0%	2.0%	4.6%	0.44×	49.33

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