LSU Tigers v Troy Trojans — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 16 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated 4 Sep 2026, 03:45 UTC

LSU Tigers

05:00 UTC

Troy Trojans

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

LSU Tigers win

99.9%

Draw

0.0%

Troy Trojans win

0.1%

10000

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	10000	99.76–65.71	100-66 0%	50%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LSU Tigers to score 100+	51.2%	52.3%	1.8%	29.09×	1.91
LSU Tigers to score 110+	15.4%	17.5%	0.6%	31.87×	5.71
LSU Tigers to score 120+	1.9%	0.4%	0.1%	2.92×	282.98
LSU Tigers to score 130+	0.1%	0.4%	0.0%	7.58×	283.34
Troy Trojans to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.5%	0.72×	283.35
Troy Trojans to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	4.74×	283.36
Troy Trojans to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	18.95×	283.36
Troy Trojans to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	37.89×	283.36
Both sides to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	6.32×	283.35

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LSU Tigers to win H1	96.3%	98.5%	56.4%	1.75×	1.02
Troy Trojans to win H1	2.8%	3.9%	39.9%	0.10×	25.87
H1 tied	0.8%	3.9%	3.7%	1.05×	25.89

H1 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 91.5	89.0%	87.7%	99.2%	0.88×	1.14
H1 over 67.5	87.1%	87.7%	29.6%	2.96×	1.14
H1 under 87.5	79.8%	77.4%	98.6%	0.79×	1.29
H1 over 71.5	77.0%	77.4%	18.6%	4.17×	1.29
H1 under 84.5	70.5%	73.5%	97.4%	0.75×	1.36
H1 over 74.5	67.1%	67.4%	12.8%	5.25×	1.48
H1 under 82.5	63.4%	62.7%	96.2%	0.65×	1.59
H1 over 76.5	59.7%	58.2%	9.8%	5.95×	1.72
H1 under 80.5	55.8%	58.2%	94.9%	0.61×	1.72
H1 over 78.5	52.0%	52.6%	7.2%	7.28×	1.90
H1 under 79.5	51.9%	52.6%	93.9%	0.56×	1.90
H1 under 78.5	48.0%	47.4%	92.8%	0.51×	2.11
H1 over 79.5	48.1%	47.4%	6.1%	7.73×	2.11
H1 over 80.5	44.2%	41.8%	5.1%	8.13×	2.39
H1 under 76.5	40.3%	41.8%	90.2%	0.46×	2.39
H1 over 82.5	36.6%	37.3%	3.8%	9.88×	2.68
H1 under 74.5	32.9%	32.6%	87.2%	0.37×	3.07
H1 over 84.5	29.5%	26.5%	2.6%	10.07×	3.77
H1 under 71.5	23.0%	22.6%	81.4%	0.28×	4.43
H1 over 87.5	20.2%	22.6%	1.4%	15.63×	4.43
H1 under 67.5	12.9%	12.3%	70.4%	0.17×	8.14
H1 over 91.5	11.0%	12.3%	0.8%	16.09×	8.14

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LSU Tigers to win H2	97.1%	95.5%	56.0%	1.70×	1.05
Troy Trojans to win H2	2.2%	3.9%	40.6%	0.10×	25.37
H2 tied	0.7%	3.9%	3.4%	1.16×	25.38

H2 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 over 74.5	87.0%	85.2%	30.1%	2.83×	1.17
H2 under 98.5	86.9%	85.2%	98.4%	0.87×	1.17
H2 over 78.5	77.4%	75.8%	19.9%	3.82×	1.32
H2 under 94.5	77.2%	75.8%	97.4%	0.78×	1.32
H2 over 81.5	68.1%	66.4%	14.2%	4.67×	1.51
H2 under 91.5	67.9%	66.4%	96.1%	0.69×	1.51
H2 over 83.5	61.2%	61.6%	11.1%	5.55×	1.62
H2 under 89.5	61.0%	61.6%	94.8%	0.65×	1.62
H2 over 85.5	53.8%	52.4%	8.8%	5.97×	1.91
H2 under 87.5	53.6%	52.4%	93.2%	0.56×	1.91
H2 over 86.5	50.1%	52.4%	7.8%	6.73×	1.91
H2 under 86.5	49.9%	47.6%	92.2%	0.52×	2.10
H2 under 85.5	46.2%	47.6%	91.2%	0.52×	2.10
H2 over 87.5	46.4%	47.6%	6.8%	7.01×	2.10
H2 over 89.5	39.0%	38.4%	5.2%	7.37×	2.61
H2 under 83.5	38.8%	38.4%	88.9%	0.43×	2.61
H2 under 81.5	31.9%	33.6%	85.8%	0.39×	2.97
H2 over 91.5	32.1%	33.6%	3.9%	8.58×	2.97
H2 under 78.5	22.6%	24.2%	80.1%	0.30×	4.13
H2 over 94.5	22.8%	24.2%	2.6%	9.15×	4.13
H2 under 74.5	13.0%	14.8%	69.9%	0.21×	6.76
H2 over 98.5	13.1%	14.8%	1.6%	9.02×	6.76

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LSU Tigers leading at half time	96.3%	98.3%	56.4%	1.74×	1.02
Troy Trojans leading at half time	2.8%	3.8%	39.9%	0.09×	26.42
Level at half time	0.8%	3.8%	3.7%	1.03×	26.44

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LSU Tigers −1.5	99.8%	97.4%	58.7%	1.66×	1.03
LSU Tigers +1.5	99.9%	97.4%	61.2%	1.59×	1.03
LSU Tigers −2.5	99.8%	97.4%	56.7%	1.72×	1.03
LSU Tigers +2.5	99.9%	97.4%	63.3%	1.54×	1.03
LSU Tigers −3.5	99.7%	97.4%	54.2%	1.80×	1.03
LSU Tigers +3.5	100.0%	97.4%	65.7%	1.48×	1.03
LSU Tigers −4.5	99.6%	97.4%	52.2%	1.87×	1.03
LSU Tigers +4.5	100.0%	97.4%	67.8%	1.44×	1.03
LSU Tigers −5.5	99.5%	97.4%	49.7%	1.96×	1.03
LSU Tigers +5.5	100.0%	97.4%	70.1%	1.39×	1.03
LSU Tigers +6.5	100.0%	97.4%	72.3%	1.35×	1.03
LSU Tigers +7.5	100.0%	97.4%	74.5%	1.31×	1.03
LSU Tigers +8.5	100.0%	97.4%	76.5%	1.27×	1.03
LSU Tigers +9.5	100.0%	97.4%	78.7%	1.24×	1.03
LSU Tigers +10.5	100.0%	97.4%	80.4%	1.21×	1.03
LSU Tigers +12.5	100.0%	97.4%	83.8%	1.16×	1.03
LSU Tigers +14.5	100.0%	97.4%	86.7%	1.12×	1.03
LSU Tigers +16.5	100.0%	97.4%	89.1%	1.09×	1.03
LSU Tigers +18.5	100.0%	97.4%	91.1%	1.07×	1.03
LSU Tigers +20.5	100.0%	97.4%	92.7%	1.05×	1.03
LSU Tigers −6.5	99.3%	97.4%	47.6%	2.05×	1.03
LSU Tigers −7.5	99.1%	97.4%	44.8%	2.18×	1.03
LSU Tigers −8.5	98.9%	97.4%	42.0%	2.32×	1.03
LSU Tigers −9.5	98.6%	97.4%	39.3%	2.48×	1.03
LSU Tigers −10.5	98.2%	97.4%	36.8%	2.65×	1.03
LSU Tigers −12.5	97.3%	97.4%	32.1%	3.03×	1.03
LSU Tigers −14.5	95.9%	97.4%	27.9%	3.49×	1.03
LSU Tigers −16.5	94.1%	91.1%	24.3%	3.76×	1.10
LSU Tigers −18.5	91.7%	91.1%	20.7%	4.40×	1.10
LSU Tigers −20.5	88.6%	85.9%	18.0%	4.77×	1.16
Troy Trojans +20.5	11.4%	14.1%	82.0%	0.17×	7.09
Troy Trojans +18.5	8.3%	8.9%	79.3%	0.11×	11.25
Troy Trojans +16.5	5.9%	8.9%	75.7%	0.12×	11.25
Troy Trojans +6.5	0.7%	2.6%	52.4%	0.05×	38.74
Troy Trojans +7.5	0.9%	2.6%	55.2%	0.05×	38.74
Troy Trojans +8.5	1.1%	2.6%	58.0%	0.04×	38.74
Troy Trojans +9.5	1.4%	2.6%	60.7%	0.04×	38.73
Troy Trojans +10.5	1.8%	2.6%	63.2%	0.04×	38.73
Troy Trojans +12.5	2.7%	2.6%	67.9%	0.04×	38.73
Troy Trojans +14.5	4.1%	2.6%	72.1%	0.04×	38.72
Troy Trojans +1.5	0.2%	2.6%	41.3%	0.06×	38.74
Troy Trojans −1.5	0.1%	2.6%	38.8%	0.07×	38.74
Troy Trojans +2.5	0.2%	2.6%	43.3%	0.06×	38.74
Troy Trojans −2.5	0.1%	2.6%	36.7%	0.07×	38.74
Troy Trojans +3.5	0.3%	2.6%	45.8%	0.06×	38.74
Troy Trojans −3.5	0.0%	2.6%	34.3%	0.08×	38.74
Troy Trojans +4.5	0.4%	2.6%	47.8%	0.05×	38.74
Troy Trojans −4.5	0.0%	2.6%	32.2%	0.08×	38.74
Troy Trojans +5.5	0.5%	2.6%	50.3%	0.05×	38.74
Troy Trojans −5.5	0.0%	2.6%	29.9%	0.09×	38.74
Troy Trojans −6.5	0.0%	2.6%	27.7%	0.09×	38.74
Troy Trojans −7.5	0.0%	2.6%	25.5%	0.10×	38.74
Troy Trojans −8.5	0.0%	2.6%	23.5%	0.11×	38.74
Troy Trojans −9.5	0.0%	2.6%	21.3%	0.12×	38.74
Troy Trojans −10.5	0.0%	2.6%	19.6%	0.13×	38.74
Troy Trojans −12.5	0.0%	2.6%	16.2%	0.16×	38.74
Troy Trojans −14.5	0.0%	2.6%	13.3%	0.19×	38.74
Troy Trojans −16.5	0.0%	2.6%	10.9%	0.24×	38.74
Troy Trojans −18.5	0.0%	2.6%	8.9%	0.29×	38.74
Troy Trojans −20.5	0.0%	2.6%	7.3%	0.35×	38.74

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	77.0%	71.6%	66.7%	1.07×	1.40
1st half highest scoring	23.0%	28.4%	33.3%	0.85×	3.53

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 highest scoring	34.6%	31.9%	31.3%	1.02×	3.14
Q4 highest scoring	36.4%	28.6%	31.2%	0.92×	3.49
Q2 highest scoring	13.7%	18.3%	17.9%	1.02×	5.46
Q1 highest scoring	15.3%	18.3%	19.6%	0.93×	5.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LSU Tigers at HT / LSU Tigers at FT	96.3%	98.3%	48.3%	2.04×	1.02
Troy Trojans at HT / LSU Tigers at FT	2.8%	2.1%	9.8%	0.21×	47.74
Level at HT / LSU Tigers at FT	0.8%	2.1%	1.9%	1.09×	47.78
LSU Tigers at HT / Troy Trojans at FT	0.0%	2.1%	8.2%	0.26×	47.79
Level at HT / Troy Trojans at FT	0.0%	2.1%	1.8%	1.20×	47.79
Troy Trojans at HT / Troy Trojans at FT	0.1%	2.1%	30.1%	0.07×	47.79

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LSU Tigers to win	99.9%	97.5%	59.9%	1.63×	1.03
Troy Trojans to win	0.1%	2.5%	40.1%	0.06×	39.96

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LSU Tigers even	50.0%	50.5%	49.4%	1.02×	1.98
Troy Trojans even	50.0%	50.5%	50.1%	1.01×	1.98
Total points odd	50.0%	50.5%	51.5%	0.98×	1.98
LSU Tigers odd	50.0%	49.5%	50.6%	0.98×	2.02
Troy Trojans odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.9%	0.99×	2.02
Total points even	50.0%	49.5%	48.5%	1.02×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	99.5%	97.0%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Match to go to overtime	0.5%	3.0%	4.4%	0.67×	33.63

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LSU Tigers to win Q1	88.1%	91.7%	54.7%	1.68×	1.09
Troy Trojans to win Q1	9.1%	5.5%	40.4%	0.14×	18.26
Q1 tied	2.8%	4.2%	4.9%	0.85×	24.02

Q1 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 over 31.5	88.7%	87.4%	46.0%	1.90×	1.14
Q1 under 47.5	87.4%	87.4%	98.3%	0.89×	1.14
Q1 over 34.5	77.9%	76.9%	31.5%	2.44×	1.30
Q1 under 44.5	76.0%	76.9%	96.2%	0.80×	1.30
Q1 over 36.5	68.2%	67.6%	22.6%	2.99×	1.48
Q1 under 42.5	65.9%	67.6%	93.6%	0.72×	1.48
Q1 over 38.5	57.1%	58.6%	15.2%	3.85×	1.71
Q1 under 40.5	54.6%	52.7%	89.9%	0.59×	1.90
Q1 over 39.5	51.3%	52.7%	12.5%	4.21×	1.90
Q1 under 39.5	48.7%	47.3%	87.5%	0.54×	2.11
Q1 over 40.5	45.4%	47.3%	10.1%	4.68×	2.11
Q1 under 38.5	42.9%	41.4%	84.8%	0.49×	2.42
Q1 over 42.5	34.1%	32.4%	6.4%	5.09×	3.08
Q1 under 36.5	31.8%	32.4%	77.4%	0.42×	3.08
Q1 over 44.5	24.0%	23.1%	3.8%	6.12×	4.33
Q1 under 34.5	22.1%	23.1%	68.5%	0.34×	4.33
Q1 over 47.5	12.6%	12.6%	1.7%	7.34×	7.95
Q1 under 31.5	11.3%	12.6%	54.0%	0.23×	7.95

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LSU Tigers to win Q2	87.4%	92.0%	52.9%	1.74×	1.09
Troy Trojans to win Q2	9.8%	6.1%	41.5%	0.15×	16.44
Q2 tied	2.9%	4.4%	5.7%	0.77×	22.95

Q2 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 under 47.5	88.6%	87.3%	98.7%	0.89×	1.15
Q2 over 31.5	87.5%	87.3%	44.3%	1.97×	1.15
Q2 under 44.5	77.8%	76.8%	96.7%	0.79×	1.30
Q2 over 34.5	76.0%	76.8%	29.9%	2.57×	1.30
Q2 under 42.5	68.1%	67.4%	94.3%	0.71×	1.49
Q2 over 36.5	66.0%	67.4%	21.3%	3.17×	1.49
Q2 under 40.5	57.0%	58.2%	90.8%	0.64×	1.72
Q2 over 38.5	54.7%	52.7%	14.4%	3.65×	1.90
Q2 under 39.5	51.2%	52.7%	88.4%	0.60×	1.90
Q2 over 39.5	48.8%	47.3%	11.6%	4.09×	2.11
Q2 under 38.5	45.3%	47.3%	85.6%	0.55×	2.11
Q2 over 40.5	43.0%	41.8%	9.2%	4.56×	2.39
Q2 under 36.5	34.0%	32.6%	78.7%	0.41×	3.06
Q2 over 42.5	31.9%	32.6%	5.7%	5.75×	3.06
Q2 under 34.5	24.0%	23.2%	70.1%	0.33×	4.31
Q2 over 44.5	22.2%	23.2%	3.3%	7.10×	4.31
Q2 under 31.5	12.5%	12.7%	55.7%	0.23×	7.89
Q2 over 47.5	11.4%	12.7%	1.4%	9.38×	7.90

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LSU Tigers to win Q3	89.5%	87.7%	53.3%	1.65×	1.14
Troy Trojans to win Q3	8.0%	5.3%	41.8%	0.13×	18.92
Q3 tied	2.5%	4.3%	4.9%	0.86×	23.50

Q3 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 under 51.5	88.2%	87.2%	98.7%	0.88×	1.15
Q3 over 35.5	86.6%	87.2%	40.3%	2.16×	1.15
Q3 under 48.5	77.5%	77.3%	97.2%	0.80×	1.29
Q3 over 38.5	75.1%	77.3%	26.1%	2.96×	1.29
Q3 under 46.5	68.1%	67.8%	95.3%	0.71×	1.48
Q3 over 40.5	65.2%	67.8%	18.1%	3.74×	1.48
Q3 under 44.5	57.3%	58.4%	92.1%	0.63×	1.71
Q3 over 42.5	54.1%	52.3%	12.2%	4.30×	1.91
Q3 under 43.5	51.6%	52.3%	90.2%	0.58×	1.91
Q3 over 43.5	48.4%	47.7%	9.8%	4.86×	2.10
Q3 under 42.5	45.9%	47.7%	87.8%	0.54×	2.10
Q3 over 44.5	42.7%	41.6%	7.9%	5.30×	2.40
Q3 under 40.5	34.8%	32.2%	81.9%	0.39×	3.10
Q3 over 46.5	31.9%	32.2%	4.7%	6.89×	3.10
Q3 under 38.5	24.9%	22.7%	73.9%	0.31×	4.40
Q3 over 48.5	22.5%	22.7%	2.8%	8.00×	4.40
Q3 under 35.5	13.4%	12.8%	59.7%	0.21×	7.83
Q3 over 51.5	11.8%	12.8%	1.3%	9.65×	7.83

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LSU Tigers to win Q4	89.1%	83.8%	52.8%	1.59×	1.19
Troy Trojans to win Q4	8.4%	5.8%	41.5%	0.14×	17.21
Q4 tied	2.5%	5.2%	5.7%	0.91×	19.33

Q4 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 under 51.5	86.6%	85.6%	98.3%	0.87×	1.17
Q4 over 35.5	85.5%	85.6%	40.6%	2.11×	1.17
Q4 under 48.5	75.9%	76.9%	96.3%	0.80×	1.30
Q4 over 38.5	74.3%	71.5%	26.9%	2.66×	1.40
Q4 under 46.5	66.7%	67.4%	93.9%	0.72×	1.48
Q4 over 40.5	64.8%	61.4%	19.4%	3.17×	1.63
Q4 under 44.5	56.4%	58.4%	90.6%	0.64×	1.71
Q4 over 42.5	54.4%	52.5%	13.8%	3.80×	1.91
Q4 under 43.5	51.0%	52.5%	88.6%	0.59×	1.91
Q4 over 43.5	49.0%	47.5%	11.4%	4.17×	2.11
Q4 under 42.5	45.6%	47.5%	86.2%	0.55×	2.11
Q4 over 44.5	43.6%	41.6%	9.4%	4.42×	2.40
Q4 under 40.5	35.2%	38.6%	80.6%	0.48×	2.59
Q4 over 46.5	33.3%	32.6%	6.1%	5.36×	3.07
Q4 under 38.5	25.7%	28.5%	73.1%	0.39×	3.51
Q4 over 48.5	24.1%	23.1%	3.7%	6.29×	4.33
Q4 under 35.5	14.5%	14.4%	59.4%	0.24×	6.95
Q4 over 51.5	13.4%	14.4%	1.7%	8.26×	6.95

Team total 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Troy Trojans under 76.5	87.7%	83.9%	85.8%	0.98×	1.19
LSU Tigers under 110.5	87.0%	83.9%	99.5%	0.84×	1.19
Troy Trojans over 56.5	84.1%	80.7%	68.0%	1.19×	1.24
LSU Tigers over 90.5	83.5%	80.7%	5.5%	14.74×	1.24
Troy Trojans under 73.5	79.9%	75.1%	80.2%	0.94×	1.33
LSU Tigers under 107.5	79.1%	75.1%	99.3%	0.76×	1.33
Troy Trojans over 59.5	75.0%	70.7%	58.8%	1.20×	1.41
LSU Tigers over 93.5	74.5%	70.7%	3.9%	18.30×	1.41
Troy Trojans under 71.5	73.3%	70.7%	76.1%	0.93×	1.41
LSU Tigers under 105.5	72.6%	70.7%	99.2%	0.71×	1.41
LSU Tigers over 95.5	67.4%	66.4%	2.9%	22.78×	1.51
Troy Trojans over 61.5	67.6%	66.4%	52.1%	1.27×	1.51
Troy Trojans under 69.5	65.8%	66.4%	71.2%	0.93×	1.51
LSU Tigers under 103.5	65.2%	66.4%	99.0%	0.67×	1.51
LSU Tigers over 97.5	59.5%	57.1%	2.3%	25.23×	1.75
Troy Trojans over 63.5	59.5%	57.1%	46.1%	1.24×	1.75
LSU Tigers under 101.5	57.1%	57.1%	98.7%	0.58×	1.75
Troy Trojans under 67.5	57.6%	57.1%	65.6%	0.87×	1.75
LSU Tigers over 99.5	51.2%	52.3%	1.8%	29.07×	1.91
LSU Tigers under 100.5	53.0%	52.3%	98.4%	0.53×	1.91
Troy Trojans over 65.5	51.0%	52.3%	40.2%	1.30×	1.91
Troy Trojans under 66.5	53.3%	52.3%	62.7%	0.83×	1.91
LSU Tigers under 99.5	48.8%	47.7%	98.2%	0.49×	2.09
LSU Tigers over 100.5	47.0%	47.7%	1.6%	30.70×	2.09
Troy Trojans under 65.5	49.0%	47.7%	59.8%	0.80×	2.09
Troy Trojans over 66.5	46.7%	47.7%	37.3%	1.28×	2.09
LSU Tigers over 101.5	42.9%	42.9%	1.3%	33.13×	2.33
Troy Trojans over 67.5	42.4%	42.9%	34.4%	1.25×	2.33
LSU Tigers under 97.5	40.5%	42.9%	97.7%	0.44×	2.33
Troy Trojans under 63.5	40.5%	42.9%	53.9%	0.80×	2.33
LSU Tigers over 103.5	34.8%	33.6%	1.0%	33.73×	2.98
Troy Trojans over 69.5	34.2%	33.6%	28.8%	1.17×	2.98
LSU Tigers under 95.5	32.6%	33.6%	97.1%	0.35×	2.98
Troy Trojans under 61.5	32.4%	33.6%	47.9%	0.70×	2.98
LSU Tigers over 105.5	27.4%	29.3%	0.8%	35.32×	3.42
LSU Tigers under 93.5	25.5%	29.3%	96.1%	0.30×	3.42
Troy Trojans over 71.5	26.7%	29.3%	23.9%	1.22×	3.42
Troy Trojans under 59.5	25.0%	29.3%	41.2%	0.71×	3.42
LSU Tigers over 107.5	20.9%	24.9%	0.7%	36.59×	4.02
Troy Trojans over 73.5	20.1%	24.9%	19.8%	1.25×	4.02
LSU Tigers under 90.5	16.5%	19.3%	94.5%	0.20×	5.18
Troy Trojans under 56.5	15.9%	19.3%	32.0%	0.60×	5.18
LSU Tigers over 110.5	13.0%	16.1%	0.5%	33.88×	6.21
Troy Trojans over 76.5	12.3%	16.1%	14.2%	1.13×	6.21

Total points 30

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 185.5 points	90.7%	88.8%	99.5%	0.89×	1.13
Over 145.5 points	90.9%	88.8%	20.5%	4.34×	1.13
Over 150.5 points	84.1%	80.6%	13.9%	5.78×	1.24
Under 180.5 points	84.0%	80.6%	99.2%	0.81×	1.24
Under 175.5 points	74.6%	70.8%	98.6%	0.72×	1.41
Over 155.5 points	74.7%	70.8%	9.3%	7.63×	1.41
Over 158.5 points	68.0%	65.9%	7.3%	9.03×	1.52
Under 172.5 points	67.8%	65.9%	98.2%	0.67×	1.52
Over 160.5 points	63.1%	61.5%	6.1%	10.09×	1.63
Under 170.5 points	62.9%	61.5%	97.7%	0.63×	1.63
Over 162.5 points	57.9%	56.5%	5.0%	11.24×	1.77
Under 168.5 points	57.8%	56.5%	97.2%	0.58×	1.77
Over 164.5 points	52.7%	52.3%	4.1%	12.65×	1.91
Under 166.5 points	52.6%	52.3%	96.6%	0.54×	1.91
Over 165.5 points	50.1%	52.3%	3.7%	14.12×	1.91
Under 165.5 points	49.9%	47.7%	96.3%	0.50×	2.10
Under 164.5 points	47.3%	47.7%	95.9%	0.50×	2.10
Over 166.5 points	47.4%	47.7%	3.4%	14.02×	2.10
Under 162.5 points	42.1%	43.5%	95.0%	0.46×	2.30
Over 168.5 points	42.2%	43.5%	2.8%	15.41×	2.30
Under 160.5 points	36.9%	38.5%	93.9%	0.41×	2.60
Over 170.5 points	37.1%	38.5%	2.3%	16.61×	2.60
Under 158.5 points	32.0%	34.1%	92.7%	0.37×	2.93
Over 172.5 points	32.2%	34.1%	1.8%	18.59×	2.93
Over 175.5 points	25.4%	29.2%	1.4%	21.44×	3.43
Under 155.5 points	25.3%	29.2%	90.7%	0.32×	3.43
Over 180.5 points	16.0%	19.4%	0.8%	23.71×	5.15
Under 150.5 points	15.9%	19.4%	86.1%	0.23×	5.15
Over 185.5 points	9.3%	11.2%	0.5%	23.96×	8.96
Under 145.5 points	9.1%	11.2%	79.5%	0.14×	8.96

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LSU Tigers to win both halves	93.5%	93.3%	36.0%	2.59×	1.07
Troy Trojans to win both halves	0.0%	3.0%	20.4%	0.15×	33.85

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
LSU Tigers by 26+	77.6%	82.6%	12.6%	6.54×	1.21
LSU Tigers by 21-25	11.0%	12.3%	5.4%	2.29×	8.11
LSU Tigers by 16-20	6.5%	7.5%	8.0%	0.93×	13.40
LSU Tigers by 6-10	1.3%	2.0%	12.9%	0.16×	49.32
LSU Tigers by 11-15	3.2%	2.0%	10.8%	0.19×	49.30
LSU Tigers by 1-5	0.4%	2.0%	10.2%	0.20×	49.32
Troy Trojans by 1-5	0.1%	2.0%	10.2%	0.20×	49.33
Troy Trojans by 6-10	0.0%	2.0%	10.3%	0.20×	49.33
Troy Trojans by 11-15	0.0%	2.0%	7.6%	0.27×	49.33
Troy Trojans by 16-20	0.0%	2.0%	4.8%	0.43×	49.33
Troy Trojans by 21-25	0.0%	2.0%	2.7%	0.76×	49.33
Troy Trojans by 26+	0.0%	2.0%	4.6%	0.44×	49.33

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