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Manhattan Jaspers v Bryant Bulldogs — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 8 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Manhattan Jaspers win
35.7%
Draw
0.0%
Bryant Bulldogs win
64.3%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 57.24–61.38 57-61 0% 52% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bryant Bulldogs to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.72× 283.36
Bryant Bulldogs to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Bryant Bulldogs to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Bryant Bulldogs to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
Manhattan Jaspers to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.36
Manhattan Jaspers to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Manhattan Jaspers to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Manhattan Jaspers to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bryant Bulldogs to win H1 56.4% 57.3% 39.9% 1.44× 1.75
Manhattan Jaspers to win H1 39.2% 37.8% 56.4% 0.67× 2.64
H1 tied 4.4% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 69.5 89.2% 87.7% 76.2% 1.15× 1.14
H1 over 45.5 88.2% 87.7% 93.5% 0.94× 1.14
H1 under 65.5 80.0% 82.5% 63.9% 1.29× 1.21
H1 over 49.5 77.9% 77.4% 86.7% 0.89× 1.29
H1 under 62.5 70.6% 73.5% 53.7% 1.37× 1.36
H1 over 52.5 67.9% 67.4% 79.6% 0.85× 1.48
H1 under 60.5 63.4% 62.7% 46.1% 1.36× 1.59
H1 over 54.5 60.3% 62.7% 74.0% 0.85× 1.59
H1 under 58.5 55.7% 58.2% 38.6% 1.51× 1.72
H1 over 56.5 52.3% 52.6% 68.2% 0.77× 1.90
H1 under 57.5 51.7% 52.6% 35.2% 1.50× 1.90
H1 under 56.5 47.7% 47.4% 31.8% 1.49× 2.11
H1 over 57.5 48.3% 47.4% 64.8% 0.73× 2.11
H1 over 58.5 44.3% 41.8% 61.4% 0.68× 2.39
H1 under 54.5 39.7% 37.3% 26.0% 1.43× 2.68
H1 over 60.5 36.6% 37.3% 53.9% 0.69× 2.68
H1 under 52.5 32.2% 32.6% 20.4% 1.60× 3.07
H1 over 62.5 29.4% 26.5% 46.3% 0.57× 3.77
H1 under 49.5 22.1% 22.6% 13.3% 1.70× 4.43
H1 over 65.5 20.0% 17.5% 36.1% 0.48× 5.72
H1 under 45.5 11.8% 12.3% 6.5% 1.89× 8.14
H1 over 69.5 10.8% 12.3% 23.8% 0.52× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bryant Bulldogs to win H2 56.9% 55.0% 40.6% 1.36× 1.82
Manhattan Jaspers to win H2 38.8% 41.2% 56.0% 0.74× 2.43
H2 tied 4.3% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.35
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 50.5 88.0% 85.2% 94.0% 0.91× 1.17
H2 under 74.5 87.3% 85.2% 69.9% 1.22× 1.17
H2 over 54.5 78.2% 75.8% 88.0% 0.86× 1.32
H2 under 70.5 77.8% 75.8% 57.8% 1.31× 1.32
H2 over 57.5 68.6% 66.4% 82.2% 0.81× 1.51
H2 under 67.5 68.4% 66.4% 47.9% 1.39× 1.51
H2 over 59.5 61.4% 61.6% 77.0% 0.80× 1.62
H2 under 65.5 61.3% 61.6% 41.2% 1.49× 1.62
H2 over 61.5 53.8% 52.4% 71.3% 0.73× 1.91
H2 under 63.5 53.8% 52.4% 34.7% 1.51× 1.91
H2 under 62.5 50.0% 52.4% 31.7% 1.65× 1.91
H2 over 62.5 50.0% 47.6% 68.3% 0.70× 2.10
H2 under 61.5 46.2% 47.6% 28.7% 1.66× 2.10
H2 over 63.5 46.2% 47.6% 65.3% 0.73× 2.10
H2 under 59.5 38.6% 38.4% 23.0% 1.67× 2.61
H2 over 65.5 38.7% 38.4% 58.8% 0.65× 2.61
H2 under 57.5 31.4% 33.6% 17.8% 1.89× 2.97
H2 over 67.5 31.6% 33.6% 52.1% 0.64× 2.97
H2 under 54.5 21.8% 24.2% 12.0% 2.01× 4.13
H2 over 70.5 22.2% 24.2% 42.2% 0.57× 4.13
H2 under 50.5 12.0% 14.8% 6.0% 2.45× 6.76
H2 over 74.5 12.7% 14.8% 30.1% 0.49× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bryant Bulldogs leading at half time 56.4% 56.9% 39.9% 1.43× 1.76
Manhattan Jaspers leading at half time 39.2% 37.9% 56.4% 0.67× 2.64
Level at half time 4.4% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bryant Bulldogs +16.5 96.8% 97.4% 75.7% 1.29× 1.03
Bryant Bulldogs +18.5 97.9% 97.4% 79.3% 1.23× 1.03
Bryant Bulldogs +20.5 98.7% 97.4% 82.0% 1.19× 1.03
Bryant Bulldogs +14.5 95.2% 97.4% 72.1% 1.35× 1.03
Bryant Bulldogs +12.5 93.0% 91.1% 67.9% 1.34× 1.10
Manhattan Jaspers +20.5 93.7% 91.1% 92.7% 0.98× 1.10
Bryant Bulldogs +10.5 90.2% 91.1% 63.2% 1.44× 1.10
Manhattan Jaspers +18.5 91.0% 91.1% 91.1% 1.00× 1.10
Bryant Bulldogs +9.5 88.5% 85.9% 60.7% 1.42× 1.16
Manhattan Jaspers +16.5 87.5% 85.9% 89.1% 0.96× 1.16
Bryant Bulldogs +8.5 86.6% 85.9% 58.0% 1.48× 1.16
Bryant Bulldogs +7.5 84.5% 81.1% 55.2% 1.47× 1.23
Bryant Bulldogs +6.5 82.2% 81.1% 52.4% 1.55× 1.23
Manhattan Jaspers +14.5 83.2% 81.1% 86.7% 0.94× 1.23
Bryant Bulldogs +5.5 79.7% 76.5% 50.3% 1.52× 1.31
Manhattan Jaspers +12.5 78.0% 76.5% 83.8% 0.91× 1.31
Bryant Bulldogs +4.5 77.0% 76.5% 47.8% 1.60× 1.31
Bryant Bulldogs +3.5 74.1% 71.6% 45.8% 1.56× 1.40
Manhattan Jaspers +10.5 72.0% 71.6% 80.4% 0.89× 1.40
Bryant Bulldogs +2.5 71.0% 71.6% 43.3% 1.66× 1.40
Manhattan Jaspers +9.5 68.8% 66.7% 78.7% 0.85× 1.50
Bryant Bulldogs +1.5 67.7% 66.7% 41.3% 1.62× 1.50
Manhattan Jaspers +8.5 65.4% 66.7% 76.5% 0.87× 1.50
Manhattan Jaspers +7.5 61.8% 61.9% 74.5% 0.83× 1.62
Bryant Bulldogs −1.5 60.6% 61.9% 38.8% 1.60× 1.62
Manhattan Jaspers +6.5 58.2% 57.1% 72.3% 0.79× 1.75
Bryant Bulldogs −2.5 56.9% 57.1% 36.7% 1.56× 1.75
Manhattan Jaspers +5.5 54.5% 52.4% 70.1% 0.75× 1.91
Bryant Bulldogs −3.5 53.1% 52.4% 34.3% 1.53× 1.91
Manhattan Jaspers +4.5 50.7% 52.4% 67.8% 0.77× 1.91
Bryant Bulldogs −4.5 49.3% 47.6% 32.2% 1.48× 2.10
Manhattan Jaspers +3.5 46.9% 47.6% 65.7% 0.72× 2.10
Bryant Bulldogs −5.5 45.5% 47.6% 29.9% 1.59× 2.10
Manhattan Jaspers +2.5 43.1% 42.9% 63.3% 0.68× 2.33
Bryant Bulldogs −6.5 41.8% 42.9% 27.7% 1.55× 2.33
Manhattan Jaspers +1.5 39.4% 38.1% 61.2% 0.62× 2.63
Bryant Bulldogs −7.5 38.2% 38.1% 25.5% 1.50× 2.63
Bryant Bulldogs −8.5 34.6% 33.3% 23.5% 1.41× 3.01
Manhattan Jaspers −1.5 32.3% 33.3% 58.7% 0.57× 3.01
Bryant Bulldogs −9.5 31.2% 33.3% 21.3% 1.56× 3.01
Manhattan Jaspers −2.5 29.0% 28.4% 56.7% 0.50× 3.53
Bryant Bulldogs −10.5 28.0% 28.4% 19.6% 1.45× 3.53
Manhattan Jaspers −3.5 25.9% 28.4% 54.2% 0.52× 3.53
Manhattan Jaspers −4.5 23.0% 23.5% 52.2% 0.45× 4.25
Bryant Bulldogs −12.5 22.0% 23.5% 16.2% 1.45× 4.25
Manhattan Jaspers −5.5 20.3% 23.5% 49.7% 0.47× 4.25
Manhattan Jaspers −6.5 17.8% 18.9% 47.6% 0.40× 5.29
Bryant Bulldogs −14.5 16.8% 18.9% 13.3% 1.42× 5.29
Manhattan Jaspers −7.5 15.5% 18.9% 44.8% 0.42× 5.30
Manhattan Jaspers −8.5 13.4% 14.1% 42.0% 0.34× 7.09
Bryant Bulldogs −16.5 12.5% 14.1% 10.9% 1.30× 7.09
Manhattan Jaspers −9.5 11.5% 14.1% 39.3% 0.36× 7.09
Manhattan Jaspers −10.5 9.8% 8.9% 36.8% 0.24× 11.25
Bryant Bulldogs −18.5 9.0% 8.9% 8.9% 1.00× 11.25
Manhattan Jaspers −12.5 7.0% 8.9% 32.1% 0.28× 11.25
Bryant Bulldogs −20.5 6.3% 8.9% 7.3% 1.22× 11.25
Manhattan Jaspers −14.5 4.8% 2.6% 27.9% 0.09× 38.72
Manhattan Jaspers −16.5 3.2% 2.6% 24.3% 0.11× 38.73
Manhattan Jaspers −18.5 2.1% 2.6% 20.7% 0.12× 38.73
Manhattan Jaspers −20.5 1.3% 2.6% 18.0% 0.14× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 70.4% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 29.7% 33.0% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 33.7% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.0% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.9% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 16.4% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bryant Bulldogs at HT / Bryant Bulldogs at FT 46.0% 46.6% 30.1% 1.55× 2.15
Manhattan Jaspers at HT / Manhattan Jaspers at FT 23.7% 24.4% 48.3% 0.51× 4.09
Manhattan Jaspers at HT / Bryant Bulldogs at FT 15.5% 15.4% 8.2% 1.88× 6.47
Bryant Bulldogs at HT / Manhattan Jaspers at FT 10.3% 12.2% 9.8% 1.25× 8.18
Level at HT / Manhattan Jaspers at FT 1.7% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.76
Level at HT / Bryant Bulldogs at FT 2.7% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.75
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bryant Bulldogs to win 64.3% 60.7% 40.1% 1.51× 1.65
Manhattan Jaspers to win 35.7% 39.3% 59.9% 0.66× 2.54
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.8% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Bryant Bulldogs even 50.1% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Manhattan Jaspers even 50.2% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Bryant Bulldogs odd 49.9% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Manhattan Jaspers odd 49.8% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Total points even 48.2% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 94.1% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 5.9% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bryant Bulldogs to win Q1 52.8% 52.6% 40.4% 1.30× 1.90
Manhattan Jaspers to win Q1 41.2% 42.9% 54.7% 0.78× 2.33
Q1 tied 6.1% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.31
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 over 20.5 89.2% 87.4% 93.7% 0.93× 1.14
Q1 under 36.5 87.7% 87.4% 77.4% 1.13× 1.14
Q1 over 23.5 78.3% 76.9% 85.4% 0.90× 1.30
Q1 under 33.5 76.3% 76.9% 64.0% 1.20× 1.30
Q1 over 25.5 68.5% 67.6% 77.6% 0.87× 1.48
Q1 under 31.5 66.1% 67.6% 54.0% 1.25× 1.48
Q1 over 27.5 57.2% 58.6% 67.7% 0.87× 1.71
Q1 under 29.5 54.7% 52.7% 43.1% 1.22× 1.90
Q1 over 28.5 51.3% 52.7% 62.7% 0.84× 1.90
Q1 under 28.5 48.7% 47.3% 37.3% 1.27× 2.11
Q1 over 29.5 45.3% 47.3% 56.9% 0.83× 2.11
Q1 under 27.5 42.8% 41.4% 32.3% 1.28× 2.42
Q1 over 31.5 33.9% 32.4% 46.0% 0.70× 3.08
Q1 under 25.5 31.5% 32.4% 22.4% 1.45× 3.08
Q1 over 33.5 23.7% 23.1% 36.0% 0.64× 4.33
Q1 under 23.5 21.7% 23.1% 14.6% 1.58× 4.33
Q1 over 36.5 12.3% 12.6% 22.6% 0.56× 7.95
Q1 under 20.5 10.8% 12.6% 6.3% 1.99× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bryant Bulldogs to win Q2 52.6% 51.4% 41.5% 1.24× 1.95
Manhattan Jaspers to win Q2 41.4% 43.9% 52.9% 0.83× 2.28
Q2 tied 6.0% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.49
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 36.5 88.6% 87.3% 78.7% 1.11× 1.15
Q2 over 20.5 88.3% 87.3% 92.7% 0.94× 1.15
Q2 under 33.5 77.6% 76.8% 65.6% 1.17× 1.30
Q2 over 23.5 77.0% 76.8% 84.6% 0.91× 1.30
Q2 under 31.5 67.8% 67.4% 55.7% 1.21× 1.49
Q2 over 25.5 66.9% 67.4% 76.2% 0.88× 1.49
Q2 under 29.5 56.5% 58.2% 44.2% 1.32× 1.72
Q2 over 27.5 55.4% 58.2% 66.7% 0.87× 1.72
Q2 under 28.5 50.5% 52.7% 38.8% 1.36× 1.90
Q2 over 28.5 49.5% 47.3% 61.2% 0.77× 2.11
Q2 under 27.5 44.6% 41.8% 33.3% 1.26× 2.39
Q2 over 29.5 43.6% 41.8% 55.8% 0.75× 2.39
Q2 under 25.5 33.1% 32.6% 23.8% 1.37× 3.06
Q2 over 31.5 32.2% 32.6% 44.3% 0.74× 3.06
Q2 under 23.5 23.0% 23.2% 15.4% 1.51× 4.31
Q2 over 33.5 22.4% 23.2% 34.4% 0.67× 4.31
Q2 under 20.5 11.7% 12.7% 7.3% 1.74× 7.89
Q2 over 36.5 11.4% 12.7% 21.3% 0.60× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bryant Bulldogs to win Q3 53.2% 52.7% 41.8% 1.26× 1.90
Manhattan Jaspers to win Q3 40.9% 42.2% 53.3% 0.79× 2.37
Q3 tied 5.9% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.96
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 39.5 88.4% 87.2% 77.9% 1.12× 1.15
Q3 over 23.5 87.2% 87.2% 92.2% 0.95× 1.15
Q3 under 36.5 77.7% 77.3% 64.6% 1.20× 1.29
Q3 over 26.5 75.6% 77.3% 83.8% 0.92× 1.29
Q3 under 34.5 68.2% 67.8% 54.6% 1.24× 1.48
Q3 over 28.5 65.6% 67.8% 76.4% 0.89× 1.48
Q3 under 32.5 57.2% 58.4% 43.9% 1.33× 1.71
Q3 over 30.5 54.3% 52.3% 66.8% 0.78× 1.91
Q3 under 31.5 51.5% 52.3% 38.4% 1.36× 1.91
Q3 over 31.5 48.5% 47.7% 61.6% 0.77× 2.10
Q3 under 30.5 45.7% 47.7% 33.2% 1.44× 2.10
Q3 over 32.5 42.8% 41.6% 56.1% 0.74× 2.40
Q3 under 28.5 34.4% 32.2% 23.6% 1.36× 3.10
Q3 over 34.5 31.8% 32.2% 45.4% 0.71× 3.11
Q3 under 26.5 24.4% 22.7% 16.2% 1.40× 4.40
Q3 over 36.5 22.3% 22.7% 35.4% 0.64× 4.40
Q3 under 23.5 12.8% 12.8% 7.8% 1.64× 7.83
Q3 over 39.5 11.6% 12.8% 22.1% 0.58× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bryant Bulldogs to win Q4 53.1% 51.4% 41.5% 1.24× 1.95
Manhattan Jaspers to win Q4 41.1% 43.1% 52.8% 0.82× 2.32
Q4 tied 5.8% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.25
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 39.5 86.9% 85.6% 77.0% 1.11× 1.17
Q4 over 23.5 86.0% 85.6% 91.2% 0.94× 1.17
Q4 under 36.5 76.2% 76.9% 64.3% 1.20× 1.30
Q4 over 26.5 74.6% 71.5% 82.6% 0.87× 1.40
Q4 under 34.5 66.9% 67.4% 54.4% 1.24× 1.48
Q4 over 28.5 65.1% 67.4% 75.1% 0.90× 1.48
Q4 under 32.5 56.5% 58.4% 44.6% 1.31× 1.71
Q4 over 30.5 54.4% 52.5% 66.3% 0.79× 1.91
Q4 under 31.5 51.0% 52.5% 38.9% 1.35× 1.91
Q4 over 31.5 49.0% 47.5% 61.1% 0.78× 2.11
Q4 under 30.5 45.6% 47.5% 33.7% 1.41× 2.11
Q4 over 32.5 43.5% 41.6% 55.4% 0.75× 2.40
Q4 under 28.5 34.9% 32.6% 24.9% 1.31× 3.07
Q4 over 34.5 33.1% 32.6% 45.6% 0.72× 3.07
Q4 under 26.5 25.4% 28.5% 17.4% 1.64× 3.51
Q4 over 36.5 23.8% 23.1% 35.7% 0.65× 4.33
Q4 under 23.5 14.0% 14.4% 8.8% 1.63× 6.95
Q4 over 39.5 13.1% 14.4% 23.0% 0.62× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bryant Bulldogs under 72.5 87.8% 83.9% 78.2% 1.07× 1.19
Manhattan Jaspers under 68.5 87.6% 83.9% 54.4% 1.54× 1.19
Manhattan Jaspers over 48.5 84.6% 80.7% 93.3% 0.86× 1.24
Bryant Bulldogs over 52.5 84.5% 80.7% 78.5% 1.03× 1.24
Bryant Bulldogs under 69.5 79.9% 75.1% 71.2% 1.05× 1.33
Manhattan Jaspers under 65.5 80.0% 75.1% 44.7% 1.68× 1.33
Bryant Bulldogs over 55.5 75.3% 75.1% 70.8% 1.06× 1.33
Manhattan Jaspers over 51.5 74.8% 70.7% 89.3% 0.79× 1.41
Bryant Bulldogs under 67.5 73.3% 70.7% 65.6% 1.08× 1.41
Manhattan Jaspers under 63.5 73.5% 70.7% 38.5% 1.83× 1.41
Manhattan Jaspers over 53.5 67.2% 66.4% 85.8% 0.77× 1.51
Bryant Bulldogs over 57.5 67.8% 66.4% 65.1% 1.02× 1.51
Bryant Bulldogs under 65.5 65.7% 66.4% 59.8% 1.11× 1.51
Manhattan Jaspers under 61.5 66.2% 66.4% 33.1% 2.01× 1.51
Bryant Bulldogs over 59.5 59.7% 57.1% 58.8% 0.97× 1.75
Manhattan Jaspers over 55.5 59.0% 57.1% 81.6% 0.70× 1.75
Manhattan Jaspers under 59.5 58.1% 57.1% 27.8% 2.05× 1.75
Bryant Bulldogs under 63.5 57.5% 57.1% 53.9% 1.06× 1.75
Manhattan Jaspers under 58.5 53.9% 52.3% 25.3% 2.07× 1.91
Bryant Bulldogs over 61.5 51.1% 52.3% 52.1% 1.00× 1.91
Bryant Bulldogs under 62.5 53.2% 52.3% 51.0% 1.03× 1.91
Manhattan Jaspers over 57.5 50.4% 52.3% 77.2% 0.68× 1.91
Manhattan Jaspers under 57.5 49.6% 47.7% 22.8% 2.09× 2.09
Bryant Bulldogs under 61.5 48.9% 47.7% 47.9% 1.00× 2.09
Bryant Bulldogs over 62.5 46.8% 47.7% 49.0% 0.97× 2.09
Manhattan Jaspers over 58.5 46.1% 47.7% 74.7% 0.64× 2.09
Bryant Bulldogs over 63.5 42.5% 42.9% 46.1% 0.93× 2.33
Manhattan Jaspers over 59.5 41.9% 42.9% 72.2% 0.59× 2.33
Manhattan Jaspers under 55.5 41.0% 42.9% 18.5% 2.32× 2.33
Bryant Bulldogs under 59.5 40.3% 42.9% 41.2% 1.04× 2.33
Bryant Bulldogs over 65.5 34.3% 33.6% 40.2% 0.84× 2.98
Manhattan Jaspers over 61.5 33.8% 33.6% 66.9% 0.50× 2.98
Manhattan Jaspers under 53.5 32.8% 33.6% 14.2% 2.36× 2.98
Bryant Bulldogs under 57.5 32.2% 33.6% 34.9% 0.96× 2.98
Bryant Bulldogs over 67.5 26.7% 29.3% 34.4% 0.85× 3.42
Manhattan Jaspers over 63.5 26.5% 29.3% 61.5% 0.48× 3.42
Manhattan Jaspers under 51.5 25.2% 29.3% 10.7% 2.72× 3.42
Bryant Bulldogs under 55.5 24.7% 24.9% 29.2% 0.85× 4.02
Bryant Bulldogs over 69.5 20.1% 24.9% 28.8% 0.86× 4.02
Manhattan Jaspers over 65.5 20.0% 24.9% 55.3% 0.45× 4.02
Manhattan Jaspers under 48.5 15.4% 19.3% 6.7% 2.90× 5.18
Bryant Bulldogs under 52.5 15.5% 19.3% 21.5% 0.90× 5.18
Bryant Bulldogs over 72.5 12.2% 16.1% 21.8% 0.74× 6.21
Manhattan Jaspers over 68.5 12.4% 16.1% 45.6% 0.35× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 140.5 points 92.3% 88.8% 71.8% 1.24× 1.13
Over 100.5 points 91.6% 88.8% 95.6% 0.93× 1.13
Under 135.5 points 86.3% 85.0% 62.4% 1.36× 1.18
Over 105.5 points 83.9% 80.6% 91.9% 0.88× 1.24
Under 130.5 points 77.5% 75.6% 51.7% 1.46× 1.32
Over 110.5 points 73.4% 70.8% 86.4% 0.82× 1.41
Under 127.5 points 71.0% 70.8% 44.9% 1.58× 1.41
Over 113.5 points 65.9% 65.9% 81.9% 0.80× 1.52
Under 125.5 points 66.2% 65.9% 40.5% 1.63× 1.52
Under 123.5 points 61.1% 61.5% 36.7% 1.67× 1.63
Over 115.5 points 60.6% 61.5% 78.8% 0.78× 1.63
Over 117.5 points 55.1% 56.5% 75.3% 0.75× 1.77
Under 121.5 points 55.8% 56.5% 32.3% 1.75× 1.77
Under 120.5 points 53.0% 52.3% 30.2% 1.73× 1.91
Under 119.5 points 50.4% 52.3% 28.4% 1.84× 1.91
Over 119.5 points 49.6% 47.7% 71.6% 0.67× 2.10
Over 120.5 points 47.0% 47.7% 69.8% 0.68× 2.10
Under 117.5 points 44.9% 43.5% 24.7% 1.76× 2.30
Over 121.5 points 44.2% 43.5% 67.7% 0.64× 2.30
Under 115.5 points 39.4% 38.5% 21.2% 1.82× 2.60
Over 123.5 points 38.9% 38.5% 63.3% 0.61× 2.60
Under 113.5 points 34.1% 34.1% 18.1% 1.89× 2.93
Over 125.5 points 33.8% 34.1% 59.5% 0.57× 2.93
Over 127.5 points 29.0% 29.2% 55.1% 0.53× 3.43
Under 110.5 points 26.6% 29.2% 13.6% 2.15× 3.43
Over 130.5 points 22.5% 24.4% 48.3% 0.50× 4.10
Under 105.5 points 16.1% 19.4% 8.1% 2.41× 5.15
Over 135.5 points 13.7% 15.0% 37.6% 0.40× 6.68
Under 100.5 points 8.4% 11.2% 4.4% 2.53× 8.96
Over 140.5 points 7.7% 11.2% 28.2% 0.40× 8.97
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bryant Bulldogs to win both halves 28.9% 27.2% 20.4% 1.34× 3.68
Manhattan Jaspers to win both halves 12.2% 14.0% 36.0% 0.39× 7.12
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bryant Bulldogs by 1-5 18.7% 16.8% 10.2% 1.65× 5.97
Bryant Bulldogs by 6-10 17.6% 16.8% 10.3% 1.63× 5.97
Manhattan Jaspers by 1-5 15.4% 16.8% 10.2% 1.64× 5.97
Bryant Bulldogs by 11-15 13.4% 12.3% 7.6% 1.62× 8.11
Manhattan Jaspers by 6-10 10.5% 12.3% 12.9% 0.95× 8.11
Bryant Bulldogs by 16-20 8.3% 7.5% 4.8% 1.57× 13.40
Manhattan Jaspers by 11-15 5.8% 7.5% 10.8% 0.69× 13.40
Bryant Bulldogs by 21-25 4.1% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.29
Manhattan Jaspers by 16-20 2.6% 2.0% 8.0% 0.25× 49.30
Manhattan Jaspers by 21-25 1.0% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.32
Bryant Bulldogs by 26+ 2.2% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.31
Manhattan Jaspers by 26+ 0.4% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.32
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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