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Manhattan Jaspers v Fordham Rams — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 15 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Manhattan Jaspers win
55.7%
Draw
0.0%
Fordham Rams win
44.3%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 62.14–60.57 62-61 0% 52% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Manhattan Jaspers to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.36
Manhattan Jaspers to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Manhattan Jaspers to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Manhattan Jaspers to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Fordham Rams to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.72× 283.36
Fordham Rams to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Fordham Rams to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Fordham Rams to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Manhattan Jaspers to win H1 51.2% 51.8% 56.4% 0.92× 1.93
Fordham Rams to win H1 44.3% 42.7% 39.9% 1.07× 2.34
H1 tied 4.5% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.85
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 71.5 89.5% 87.7% 81.4% 1.08× 1.14
H1 over 47.5 87.2% 87.7% 90.6% 0.97× 1.14
H1 under 67.5 80.5% 82.5% 70.4% 1.17× 1.21
H1 over 51.5 76.8% 77.4% 82.0% 0.94× 1.29
H1 under 64.5 71.4% 73.5% 60.7% 1.21× 1.36
H1 over 54.5 66.7% 67.4% 74.0% 0.91× 1.48
H1 under 62.5 64.3% 62.7% 53.7% 1.17× 1.59
H1 over 56.5 59.1% 58.2% 68.2% 0.85× 1.72
H1 under 60.5 56.6% 58.2% 46.1% 1.26× 1.72
H1 under 59.5 52.7% 52.6% 42.2% 1.25× 1.90
H1 over 58.5 51.3% 52.6% 61.4% 0.86× 1.90
H1 under 58.5 48.7% 47.4% 38.6% 1.23× 2.11
H1 over 59.5 47.3% 47.4% 57.8% 0.82× 2.11
H1 over 60.5 43.4% 41.8% 53.9% 0.78× 2.39
H1 under 56.5 40.9% 41.8% 31.8% 1.31× 2.39
H1 over 62.5 35.7% 37.3% 46.3% 0.80× 2.68
H1 under 54.5 33.3% 32.6% 26.0% 1.25× 3.07
H1 over 64.5 28.6% 26.5% 39.3% 0.68× 3.77
H1 under 51.5 23.2% 22.6% 18.0% 1.25× 4.43
H1 over 67.5 19.5% 17.5% 29.6% 0.59× 5.72
H1 under 47.5 12.8% 12.3% 9.4% 1.30× 8.14
H1 over 71.5 10.5% 12.3% 18.6% 0.66× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Manhattan Jaspers to win H2 51.5% 51.2% 56.0% 0.91× 1.95
Fordham Rams to win H2 44.2% 43.6% 40.6% 1.07× 2.30
H2 tied 4.3% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.35
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 52.5 87.4% 85.2% 91.3% 0.93× 1.17
H2 under 76.5 87.3% 85.2% 75.6% 1.13× 1.17
H2 under 72.5 77.8% 75.8% 64.1% 1.18× 1.32
H2 over 56.5 77.5% 75.8% 84.1% 0.90× 1.32
H2 under 69.5 68.5% 66.4% 54.8% 1.21× 1.51
H2 over 59.5 68.0% 66.4% 77.0% 0.86× 1.51
H2 under 67.5 61.5% 61.6% 47.9% 1.29× 1.62
H2 over 61.5 60.9% 61.6% 71.3% 0.86× 1.62
H2 over 63.5 53.4% 52.4% 65.3% 0.80× 1.91
H2 under 65.5 54.1% 52.4% 41.2% 1.27× 1.91
H2 under 64.5 50.4% 52.4% 37.9% 1.38× 1.91
H2 over 64.5 49.6% 47.6% 62.1% 0.77× 2.10
H2 under 63.5 46.6% 47.6% 34.7% 1.37× 2.10
H2 over 65.5 45.9% 47.6% 58.8% 0.81× 2.10
H2 under 61.5 39.1% 38.4% 28.7% 1.34× 2.61
H2 over 67.5 38.5% 38.4% 52.1% 0.74× 2.61
H2 under 59.5 32.0% 33.6% 23.0% 1.46× 2.97
H2 over 69.5 31.5% 33.6% 45.2% 0.74× 2.97
H2 under 56.5 22.5% 24.2% 15.9% 1.53× 4.13
H2 over 72.5 22.2% 24.2% 36.0% 0.67× 4.13
H2 under 52.5 12.6% 14.8% 8.7% 1.70× 6.76
H2 over 76.5 12.7% 14.8% 24.4% 0.61× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Manhattan Jaspers leading at half time 51.2% 51.9% 56.4% 0.92× 1.93
Fordham Rams leading at half time 44.3% 42.9% 39.9% 1.07× 2.33
Level at half time 4.5% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Manhattan Jaspers +18.5 96.5% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Fordham Rams +20.5 95.6% 97.4% 82.0% 1.19× 1.03
Manhattan Jaspers +20.5 97.7% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Manhattan Jaspers +16.5 94.8% 91.1% 89.1% 1.02× 1.10
Manhattan Jaspers +14.5 92.5% 91.1% 86.7% 1.05× 1.10
Fordham Rams +18.5 93.6% 91.1% 79.3% 1.15× 1.10
Fordham Rams +16.5 91.0% 91.1% 75.7% 1.20× 1.10
Manhattan Jaspers +12.5 89.5% 85.9% 83.8% 1.03× 1.16
Fordham Rams +14.5 87.6% 85.9% 72.1% 1.19× 1.16
Manhattan Jaspers +10.5 85.7% 85.9% 80.4% 1.07× 1.16
Manhattan Jaspers +9.5 83.5% 81.1% 78.7% 1.03× 1.23
Fordham Rams +12.5 83.4% 81.1% 67.9% 1.20× 1.23
Manhattan Jaspers +8.5 81.2% 81.1% 76.5% 1.06× 1.23
Manhattan Jaspers +7.5 78.6% 76.5% 74.5% 1.03× 1.31
Fordham Rams +10.5 78.4% 76.5% 63.2% 1.21× 1.31
Manhattan Jaspers +6.5 75.8% 76.5% 72.3% 1.06× 1.31
Fordham Rams +9.5 75.6% 76.5% 60.7% 1.26× 1.31
Manhattan Jaspers +5.5 72.8% 71.6% 70.1% 1.02× 1.40
Fordham Rams +8.5 72.6% 71.6% 58.0% 1.23× 1.40
Manhattan Jaspers +4.5 69.7% 66.7% 67.8% 0.98× 1.50
Fordham Rams +7.5 69.4% 66.7% 55.2% 1.21× 1.50
Manhattan Jaspers +3.5 66.4% 66.7% 65.7% 1.02× 1.50
Fordham Rams +6.5 66.1% 66.7% 52.4% 1.27× 1.50
Manhattan Jaspers +2.5 62.9% 61.9% 63.3% 0.98× 1.62
Fordham Rams +5.5 62.7% 61.9% 50.3% 1.23× 1.62
Manhattan Jaspers +1.5 59.4% 57.1% 61.2% 0.93× 1.75
Fordham Rams +4.5 59.1% 57.1% 47.8% 1.19× 1.75
Fordham Rams +3.5 55.5% 57.1% 45.8% 1.25× 1.75
Manhattan Jaspers −1.5 52.0% 52.4% 58.7% 0.89× 1.91
Fordham Rams +2.5 51.8% 52.4% 43.3% 1.21× 1.91
Manhattan Jaspers −2.5 48.2% 47.6% 56.7% 0.84× 2.10
Fordham Rams +1.5 48.0% 47.6% 41.3% 1.15× 2.10
Manhattan Jaspers −3.5 44.5% 42.9% 54.2% 0.79× 2.33
Fordham Rams −1.5 40.6% 42.9% 38.8% 1.11× 2.33
Manhattan Jaspers −4.5 40.9% 42.9% 52.2% 0.82× 2.33
Fordham Rams −2.5 37.1% 38.1% 36.7% 1.04× 2.63
Manhattan Jaspers −5.5 37.3% 38.1% 49.7% 0.77× 2.63
Fordham Rams −3.5 33.6% 33.3% 34.3% 0.97× 3.01
Manhattan Jaspers −6.5 33.9% 33.3% 47.6% 0.70× 3.01
Fordham Rams −4.5 30.3% 33.3% 32.2% 1.03× 3.01
Manhattan Jaspers −7.5 30.6% 33.3% 44.8% 0.74× 3.01
Fordham Rams −5.5 27.2% 28.4% 29.9% 0.95× 3.53
Manhattan Jaspers −8.5 27.4% 28.4% 42.0% 0.68× 3.53
Manhattan Jaspers −9.5 24.4% 23.5% 39.3% 0.60× 4.25
Fordham Rams −6.5 24.2% 23.5% 27.7% 0.85× 4.25
Fordham Rams −7.5 21.4% 23.5% 25.5% 0.92× 4.25
Manhattan Jaspers −10.5 21.6% 23.5% 36.8% 0.64× 4.25
Fordham Rams −8.5 18.8% 18.9% 23.5% 0.80× 5.29
Fordham Rams −9.5 16.5% 18.9% 21.3% 0.89× 5.30
Manhattan Jaspers −12.5 16.6% 18.9% 32.1% 0.59× 5.30
Fordham Rams −10.5 14.3% 14.1% 19.6% 0.72× 7.09
Manhattan Jaspers −14.5 12.4% 14.1% 27.9% 0.51× 7.09
Fordham Rams −12.5 10.5% 14.1% 16.2% 0.87× 7.09
Manhattan Jaspers −16.5 9.0% 8.9% 24.3% 0.37× 11.25
Fordham Rams −14.5 7.5% 8.9% 13.3% 0.67× 11.25
Manhattan Jaspers −18.5 6.4% 8.9% 20.7% 0.43× 11.25
Fordham Rams −16.5 5.2% 8.9% 10.9% 0.82× 11.25
Fordham Rams −18.5 3.5% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.73
Manhattan Jaspers −20.5 4.4% 2.6% 18.0% 0.14× 38.72
Fordham Rams −20.5 2.3% 2.6% 7.3% 0.36× 38.73
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 70.9% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 29.1% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.0% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.2% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.7% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 16.2% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Manhattan Jaspers at HT / Manhattan Jaspers at FT 39.1% 37.8% 48.3% 0.78× 2.65
Fordham Rams at HT / Fordham Rams at FT 30.1% 33.2% 30.1% 1.10× 3.01
Fordham Rams at HT / Manhattan Jaspers at FT 14.2% 12.2% 9.8% 1.25× 8.17
Manhattan Jaspers at HT / Fordham Rams at FT 12.1% 12.2% 8.2% 1.49× 8.18
Level at HT / Manhattan Jaspers at FT 2.5% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.75
Level at HT / Fordham Rams at FT 2.0% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.76
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Manhattan Jaspers to win 55.7% 55.2% 59.9% 0.92× 1.81
Fordham Rams to win 44.3% 44.8% 40.1% 1.12× 2.23
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.9% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Manhattan Jaspers even 50.1% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Fordham Rams even 50.1% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Manhattan Jaspers odd 49.9% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Fordham Rams odd 49.9% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.1% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 93.9% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 6.1% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Manhattan Jaspers to win Q1 49.3% 47.6% 54.7% 0.87× 2.10
Fordham Rams to win Q1 44.6% 43.0% 40.4% 1.06× 2.33
Q1 tied 6.1% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.31
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 over 21.5 88.6% 87.4% 91.5% 0.96× 1.14
Q1 under 37.5 88.0% 87.4% 81.6% 1.07× 1.14
Q1 over 24.5 77.5% 76.9% 81.8% 0.94× 1.30
Q1 under 34.5 76.7% 76.9% 68.5% 1.12× 1.30
Q1 over 26.5 67.7% 67.6% 72.9% 0.93× 1.48
Q1 under 32.5 66.8% 67.6% 59.1% 1.14× 1.48
Q1 over 28.5 56.4% 58.6% 62.7% 0.94× 1.71
Q1 under 30.5 55.5% 58.6% 48.8% 1.20× 1.71
Q1 over 29.5 50.5% 52.7% 56.9% 0.93× 1.90
Q1 under 29.5 49.5% 47.3% 43.1% 1.10× 2.11
Q1 over 30.5 44.5% 41.4% 51.2% 0.81× 2.42
Q1 under 28.5 43.6% 41.4% 37.3% 1.11× 2.42
Q1 over 32.5 33.2% 32.4% 40.9% 0.79× 3.08
Q1 under 26.5 32.3% 32.4% 27.1% 1.20× 3.08
Q1 over 34.5 23.3% 23.1% 31.5% 0.73× 4.33
Q1 under 24.5 22.5% 23.1% 18.2% 1.27× 4.33
Q1 over 37.5 12.0% 12.6% 18.4% 0.68× 7.95
Q1 under 21.5 11.4% 12.6% 8.5% 1.49× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Manhattan Jaspers to win Q2 49.3% 47.1% 52.9% 0.89× 2.13
Fordham Rams to win Q2 44.7% 43.9% 41.5% 1.06× 2.28
Q2 tied 6.0% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.49
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 37.5 88.9% 87.3% 82.3% 1.06× 1.15
Q2 over 21.5 87.7% 87.3% 90.2% 0.97× 1.15
Q2 under 34.5 78.1% 76.8% 70.1% 1.10× 1.30
Q2 over 24.5 76.1% 76.8% 80.7% 0.95× 1.30
Q2 under 32.5 68.4% 67.4% 60.8% 1.11× 1.49
Q2 over 26.5 66.0% 67.4% 71.6% 0.94× 1.49
Q2 under 30.5 57.2% 58.2% 50.1% 1.16× 1.72
Q2 over 28.5 54.6% 52.7% 61.2% 0.86× 1.90
Q2 under 29.5 51.4% 52.7% 44.2% 1.19× 1.90
Q2 over 29.5 48.6% 47.3% 55.8% 0.85× 2.11
Q2 under 28.5 45.4% 47.3% 38.8% 1.22× 2.11
Q2 over 30.5 42.8% 41.8% 49.9% 0.84× 2.39
Q2 under 26.5 34.0% 32.6% 28.4% 1.15× 3.06
Q2 over 32.5 31.6% 32.6% 39.2% 0.83× 3.06
Q2 under 24.5 23.9% 23.2% 19.3% 1.21× 4.31
Q2 over 34.5 21.9% 23.2% 29.9% 0.78× 4.31
Q2 under 21.5 12.3% 12.7% 9.8% 1.30× 7.89
Q2 over 37.5 11.1% 12.7% 17.7% 0.72× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Manhattan Jaspers to win Q3 49.5% 47.6% 53.3% 0.89× 2.10
Fordham Rams to win Q3 44.5% 42.3% 41.8% 1.01× 2.37
Q3 tied 5.9% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.96
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 40.5 88.5% 87.2% 81.9% 1.07× 1.15
Q3 over 24.5 86.8% 87.2% 89.9% 0.97× 1.15
Q3 under 37.5 77.8% 77.3% 69.7% 1.11× 1.29
Q3 over 27.5 75.2% 77.3% 80.0% 0.97× 1.29
Q3 under 35.5 68.4% 67.8% 59.7% 1.14× 1.48
Q3 over 29.5 65.2% 67.8% 71.8% 0.94× 1.48
Q3 under 33.5 57.5% 58.4% 49.1% 1.19× 1.71
Q3 over 31.5 54.0% 52.3% 61.6% 0.85× 1.91
Q3 under 32.5 51.8% 52.3% 43.9% 1.19× 1.91
Q3 over 32.5 48.2% 47.7% 56.1% 0.85× 2.10
Q3 under 31.5 46.0% 47.7% 38.4% 1.24× 2.10
Q3 over 33.5 42.5% 41.6% 50.9% 0.82× 2.40
Q3 under 29.5 34.8% 32.2% 28.2% 1.14× 3.10
Q3 over 35.5 31.6% 32.2% 40.3% 0.80× 3.11
Q3 under 27.5 24.8% 22.7% 20.0% 1.14× 4.40
Q3 over 37.5 22.2% 22.7% 30.3% 0.75× 4.40
Q3 under 24.5 13.2% 12.8% 10.1% 1.27× 7.83
Q3 over 40.5 11.5% 12.8% 18.1% 0.70× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Manhattan Jaspers to win Q4 49.5% 47.6% 52.8% 0.90× 2.10
Fordham Rams to win Q4 44.7% 43.1% 41.5% 1.04× 2.32
Q4 tied 5.8% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.25
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 40.5 86.9% 85.6% 80.6% 1.06× 1.17
Q4 over 24.5 85.6% 85.6% 89.0% 0.96× 1.17
Q4 under 37.5 76.3% 76.9% 68.8% 1.12× 1.30
Q4 over 27.5 74.2% 71.5% 78.9% 0.91× 1.40
Q4 under 35.5 67.1% 67.4% 59.4% 1.14× 1.48
Q4 over 29.5 64.7% 61.4% 70.8% 0.87× 1.63
Q4 under 33.5 56.8% 58.4% 49.6% 1.18× 1.71
Q4 over 31.5 54.1% 52.5% 61.1% 0.86× 1.91
Q4 under 32.5 51.3% 52.5% 44.6% 1.18× 1.91
Q4 over 32.5 48.7% 47.5% 55.4% 0.86× 2.11
Q4 under 31.5 45.9% 47.5% 38.9% 1.22× 2.11
Q4 over 33.5 43.2% 41.6% 50.4% 0.83× 2.40
Q4 under 29.5 35.3% 38.6% 29.2% 1.32× 2.59
Q4 over 35.5 32.9% 32.6% 40.6% 0.80× 3.07
Q4 under 27.5 25.8% 28.5% 21.1% 1.35× 3.51
Q4 over 37.5 23.7% 23.1% 31.2% 0.74× 4.33
Q4 under 24.5 14.4% 14.4% 11.0% 1.31× 6.95
Q4 over 40.5 13.1% 14.4% 19.4% 0.74× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fordham Rams under 71.5 87.7% 83.9% 76.1% 1.10× 1.19
Manhattan Jaspers over 52.5 85.3% 83.9% 87.7% 0.96× 1.19
Manhattan Jaspers under 72.5 85.6% 83.9% 65.7% 1.28× 1.19
Fordham Rams over 51.5 84.5% 80.7% 81.0% 1.00× 1.24
Fordham Rams under 68.5 79.9% 75.1% 68.6% 1.10× 1.33
Manhattan Jaspers over 55.5 76.6% 75.1% 81.6% 0.92× 1.33
Manhattan Jaspers under 69.5 77.3% 75.1% 57.4% 1.31× 1.33
Fordham Rams over 54.5 75.2% 75.1% 73.5% 1.02× 1.33
Fordham Rams under 66.5 73.3% 70.7% 62.7% 1.13× 1.41
Manhattan Jaspers under 67.5 70.5% 70.7% 51.3% 1.38× 1.41
Manhattan Jaspers over 57.5 69.6% 66.4% 77.2% 0.86× 1.51
Fordham Rams over 56.5 67.8% 66.4% 68.0% 0.98× 1.51
Fordham Rams under 64.5 65.8% 66.4% 56.9% 1.17× 1.51
Manhattan Jaspers under 65.5 62.9% 61.2% 44.7% 1.37× 1.63
Manhattan Jaspers over 59.5 61.9% 61.2% 72.2% 0.85× 1.63
Fordham Rams over 58.5 59.6% 57.1% 62.1% 0.92× 1.75
Fordham Rams under 62.5 57.6% 57.1% 51.0% 1.12× 1.75
Manhattan Jaspers over 61.5 53.6% 52.3% 66.9% 0.78× 1.91
Manhattan Jaspers under 63.5 54.7% 52.3% 38.5% 1.36× 1.91
Fordham Rams over 60.5 51.0% 52.3% 55.6% 0.94× 1.91
Fordham Rams under 61.5 53.3% 52.3% 47.9% 1.09× 1.91
Manhattan Jaspers under 62.5 50.6% 52.3% 35.7% 1.46× 1.91
Manhattan Jaspers over 62.5 49.4% 47.7% 64.3% 0.74× 2.09
Fordham Rams under 60.5 49.0% 47.7% 44.4% 1.08× 2.09
Fordham Rams over 61.5 46.7% 47.7% 52.1% 0.92× 2.09
Manhattan Jaspers under 61.5 46.4% 47.7% 33.1% 1.44× 2.09
Manhattan Jaspers over 63.5 45.3% 47.7% 61.5% 0.78× 2.09
Fordham Rams over 62.5 42.4% 42.9% 49.0% 0.87× 2.33
Fordham Rams under 58.5 40.4% 42.9% 37.9% 1.13× 2.33
Manhattan Jaspers under 59.5 38.1% 38.8% 27.8% 1.39× 2.58
Manhattan Jaspers over 65.5 37.1% 38.8% 55.3% 0.70× 2.58
Fordham Rams over 64.5 34.2% 33.6% 43.2% 0.78× 2.98
Fordham Rams under 56.5 32.2% 33.6% 32.0% 1.05× 2.98
Manhattan Jaspers under 57.5 30.4% 33.6% 22.8% 1.47× 2.98
Manhattan Jaspers over 67.5 29.5% 29.3% 48.7% 0.60× 3.42
Fordham Rams over 66.5 26.7% 29.3% 37.3% 0.79× 3.42
Fordham Rams under 54.5 24.8% 24.9% 26.5% 0.94× 4.02
Manhattan Jaspers under 55.5 23.4% 24.9% 18.5% 1.35× 4.02
Manhattan Jaspers over 69.5 22.7% 24.9% 42.6% 0.58× 4.02
Fordham Rams over 68.5 20.1% 24.9% 31.4% 0.79× 4.02
Fordham Rams under 51.5 15.5% 19.3% 19.0% 1.02× 5.18
Manhattan Jaspers under 52.5 14.7% 16.1% 12.3% 1.30× 6.21
Manhattan Jaspers over 72.5 14.4% 16.1% 34.3% 0.47× 6.21
Fordham Rams over 71.5 12.3% 16.1% 23.9% 0.67× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 143.5 points 91.4% 88.8% 76.7% 1.16× 1.13
Over 103.5 points 91.5% 88.8% 93.6% 0.95× 1.13
Under 138.5 points 84.9% 80.6% 67.9% 1.19× 1.24
Over 108.5 points 84.4% 80.6% 88.9% 0.91× 1.24
Under 133.5 points 75.8% 75.6% 58.0% 1.30× 1.32
Over 113.5 points 74.4% 70.8% 81.9% 0.87× 1.41
Under 130.5 points 69.0% 65.9% 51.7% 1.28× 1.52
Over 116.5 points 67.4% 65.9% 77.2% 0.85× 1.52
Under 128.5 points 64.1% 61.5% 47.2% 1.30× 1.63
Over 118.5 points 62.3% 61.5% 73.6% 0.84× 1.63
Under 126.5 points 59.0% 56.5% 42.6% 1.33× 1.77
Over 120.5 points 57.1% 56.5% 69.8% 0.81× 1.77
Under 124.5 points 53.7% 52.3% 38.5% 1.36× 1.91
Over 122.5 points 51.7% 52.3% 65.6% 0.80× 1.91
Under 123.5 points 51.1% 52.3% 36.7% 1.43× 1.91
Over 123.5 points 48.9% 47.7% 63.3% 0.75× 2.10
Under 122.5 points 48.3% 47.7% 34.4% 1.39× 2.10
Over 124.5 points 46.3% 47.7% 61.5% 0.78× 2.10
Under 120.5 points 43.0% 43.5% 30.2% 1.44× 2.30
Over 126.5 points 41.0% 43.5% 57.4% 0.76× 2.30
Under 118.5 points 37.7% 38.5% 26.4% 1.46× 2.60
Over 128.5 points 35.9% 38.5% 52.8% 0.73× 2.60
Under 116.5 points 32.6% 34.1% 22.8% 1.50× 2.93
Over 130.5 points 31.0% 34.1% 48.3% 0.71× 2.93
Under 113.5 points 25.6% 29.2% 18.1% 1.61× 3.43
Over 133.5 points 24.2% 24.4% 42.0% 0.58× 4.10
Under 108.5 points 15.6% 19.4% 11.1% 1.75× 5.15
Over 138.5 points 15.1% 19.4% 32.1% 0.61× 5.15
Over 143.5 points 8.6% 11.2% 23.3% 0.48× 8.96
Under 103.5 points 8.5% 11.2% 6.4% 1.74× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Manhattan Jaspers to win both halves 23.3% 23.1% 36.0% 0.64× 4.34
Fordham Rams to win both halves 16.6% 18.9% 20.4% 0.93× 5.30
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Manhattan Jaspers by 1-5 18.4% 16.8% 10.2% 1.64× 5.97
Fordham Rams by 1-5 17.1% 16.8% 10.2% 1.65× 5.97
Manhattan Jaspers by 6-10 15.7% 16.8% 12.9% 1.30× 5.97
Fordham Rams by 6-10 12.9% 12.3% 10.3% 1.20× 8.11
Manhattan Jaspers by 11-15 11.0% 12.3% 10.8% 1.14× 8.11
Fordham Rams by 11-15 8.0% 7.5% 7.6% 0.98× 13.40
Manhattan Jaspers by 16-20 6.3% 7.5% 8.0% 0.93× 13.40
Fordham Rams by 16-20 4.0% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.29
Manhattan Jaspers by 21-25 2.9% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.30
Fordham Rams by 21-25 1.6% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.31
Manhattan Jaspers by 26+ 1.5% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.31
Fordham Rams by 26+ 0.7% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.32
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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