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Manhattan Jaspers v Le Moyne Dolphins — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 2 December 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Manhattan Jaspers win
89.3%
Draw
0.0%
Le Moyne Dolphins win
10.7%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 68.17–54.25 68-54 0% 53% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Manhattan Jaspers to score 100+ 0.1% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.35
Manhattan Jaspers to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Manhattan Jaspers to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Manhattan Jaspers to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Le Moyne Dolphins to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.71× 283.36
Le Moyne Dolphins to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Le Moyne Dolphins to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Le Moyne Dolphins to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Manhattan Jaspers to win H1 75.2% 79.2% 56.4% 1.40× 1.26
Le Moyne Dolphins to win H1 21.3% 21.4% 39.9% 0.54× 4.68
H1 tied 3.5% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 71.5 89.4% 87.7% 81.4% 1.08× 1.14
H1 over 47.5 88.2% 87.7% 90.6% 0.97× 1.14
H1 under 67.5 80.2% 82.5% 70.4% 1.17× 1.21
H1 over 51.5 78.0% 77.4% 82.0% 0.94× 1.29
H1 under 64.5 70.8% 73.5% 60.7% 1.21× 1.36
H1 over 54.5 67.8% 67.4% 74.0% 0.91× 1.48
H1 under 62.5 63.6% 62.7% 53.7% 1.17× 1.59
H1 over 56.5 60.2% 62.7% 68.2% 0.92× 1.59
H1 under 60.5 55.8% 58.2% 46.1% 1.26× 1.72
H1 over 58.5 52.2% 52.6% 61.4% 0.86× 1.90
H1 under 59.5 51.8% 52.6% 42.2% 1.25× 1.90
H1 under 58.5 47.8% 47.4% 38.6% 1.23× 2.11
H1 over 59.5 48.2% 47.4% 57.8% 0.82× 2.11
H1 over 60.5 44.2% 41.8% 53.9% 0.78× 2.39
H1 under 56.5 39.8% 37.3% 31.8% 1.17× 2.68
H1 over 62.5 36.4% 37.3% 46.3% 0.80× 2.68
H1 under 54.5 32.2% 32.6% 26.0% 1.25× 3.07
H1 over 64.5 29.2% 26.5% 39.3% 0.68× 3.77
H1 under 51.5 22.0% 22.6% 18.0% 1.25× 4.43
H1 over 67.5 19.8% 17.5% 29.6% 0.59× 5.72
H1 under 47.5 11.8% 12.3% 9.4% 1.30× 8.14
H1 over 71.5 10.6% 12.3% 18.6% 0.66× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Manhattan Jaspers to win H2 76.6% 73.9% 56.0% 1.32× 1.35
Le Moyne Dolphins to win H2 20.1% 26.8% 40.6% 0.66× 3.73
H2 tied 3.3% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.36
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 77.5 89.0% 85.2% 77.9% 1.09× 1.17
H2 over 53.5 86.3% 85.2% 89.7% 0.95× 1.17
H2 under 73.5 80.2% 81.8% 67.1% 1.22× 1.22
H2 over 57.5 75.8% 75.8% 82.2% 0.92× 1.32
H2 under 70.5 71.3% 72.2% 57.8% 1.25× 1.39
H2 over 60.5 65.7% 66.4% 74.5% 0.89× 1.51
H2 under 68.5 64.4% 61.6% 51.3% 1.20× 1.62
H2 over 62.5 58.3% 57.3% 68.3% 0.84× 1.74
H2 under 66.5 57.0% 57.3% 44.6% 1.29× 1.74
H2 under 65.5 53.2% 52.4% 41.2% 1.27× 1.91
H2 over 64.5 50.6% 52.4% 62.1% 0.84× 1.91
H2 under 64.5 49.4% 47.6% 37.9% 1.26× 2.10
H2 over 65.5 46.8% 47.6% 58.8% 0.81× 2.10
H2 over 66.5 43.0% 42.7% 55.4% 0.77× 2.34
H2 under 62.5 41.7% 42.7% 31.7% 1.35× 2.34
H2 over 68.5 35.6% 38.4% 48.7% 0.79× 2.61
H2 under 60.5 34.3% 33.6% 25.5% 1.32× 2.97
H2 over 70.5 28.7% 27.8% 42.2% 0.66× 3.59
H2 under 57.5 24.2% 24.2% 17.8% 1.36× 4.13
H2 over 73.5 19.8% 18.2% 32.9% 0.55× 5.50
H2 under 53.5 13.7% 14.8% 10.3% 1.43× 6.76
H2 over 77.5 11.0% 14.8% 22.1% 0.67× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Manhattan Jaspers leading at half time 75.2% 79.6% 56.4% 1.41× 1.26
Le Moyne Dolphins leading at half time 21.3% 20.9% 39.9% 0.52× 4.78
Level at half time 3.5% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.41
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Manhattan Jaspers +14.5 99.4% 97.4% 86.7% 1.12× 1.03
Manhattan Jaspers +16.5 99.7% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
Manhattan Jaspers +18.5 99.8% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Manhattan Jaspers +20.5 99.9% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Manhattan Jaspers +5.5 95.5% 97.4% 70.1% 1.39× 1.03
Manhattan Jaspers +6.5 96.3% 97.4% 72.3% 1.35× 1.03
Manhattan Jaspers +7.5 97.0% 97.4% 74.5% 1.31× 1.03
Manhattan Jaspers +8.5 97.6% 97.4% 76.5% 1.27× 1.03
Manhattan Jaspers +9.5 98.0% 97.4% 78.7% 1.24× 1.03
Manhattan Jaspers +10.5 98.4% 97.4% 80.4% 1.21× 1.03
Manhattan Jaspers +12.5 99.0% 97.4% 83.8% 1.16× 1.03
Manhattan Jaspers +4.5 94.6% 91.1% 67.8% 1.34× 1.10
Manhattan Jaspers +2.5 92.3% 91.1% 63.3% 1.44× 1.10
Manhattan Jaspers +3.5 93.5% 91.1% 65.7% 1.39× 1.10
Manhattan Jaspers +1.5 90.9% 91.1% 61.2% 1.49× 1.10
Manhattan Jaspers −1.5 87.4% 85.9% 58.7% 1.46× 1.16
Manhattan Jaspers −2.5 85.2% 85.9% 56.7% 1.51× 1.16
Manhattan Jaspers −3.5 82.8% 81.1% 54.2% 1.50× 1.23
Manhattan Jaspers −4.5 80.2% 81.1% 52.2% 1.56× 1.23
Manhattan Jaspers −5.5 77.4% 76.5% 49.7% 1.54× 1.31
Manhattan Jaspers −6.5 74.5% 71.6% 47.6% 1.51× 1.40
Le Moyne Dolphins +20.5 74.4% 71.6% 82.0% 0.87× 1.40
Manhattan Jaspers −7.5 71.3% 71.6% 44.8% 1.60× 1.40
Manhattan Jaspers −8.5 68.0% 66.7% 42.0% 1.59× 1.50
Le Moyne Dolphins +18.5 68.0% 66.7% 79.3% 0.84× 1.50
Manhattan Jaspers −9.5 64.6% 61.9% 39.3% 1.58× 1.62
Manhattan Jaspers −10.5 61.0% 61.9% 36.8% 1.68× 1.62
Le Moyne Dolphins +16.5 61.1% 61.9% 75.7% 0.82× 1.62
Manhattan Jaspers −12.5 53.7% 52.4% 32.1% 1.63× 1.91
Le Moyne Dolphins +14.5 53.8% 52.4% 72.1% 0.73× 1.91
Le Moyne Dolphins +12.5 46.3% 47.6% 67.9% 0.70× 2.10
Manhattan Jaspers −14.5 46.2% 47.6% 27.9% 1.71× 2.10
Le Moyne Dolphins +10.5 39.0% 38.1% 63.2% 0.60× 2.63
Manhattan Jaspers −16.5 38.9% 38.1% 24.3% 1.57× 2.63
Le Moyne Dolphins +9.5 35.4% 38.1% 60.7% 0.63× 2.63
Le Moyne Dolphins +8.5 32.0% 33.3% 58.0% 0.57× 3.01
Manhattan Jaspers −18.5 32.0% 33.3% 20.7% 1.61× 3.01
Le Moyne Dolphins +7.5 28.7% 28.4% 55.2% 0.51× 3.53
Le Moyne Dolphins +6.5 25.5% 28.4% 52.4% 0.54× 3.53
Manhattan Jaspers −20.5 25.6% 28.4% 18.0% 1.58× 3.53
Le Moyne Dolphins +5.5 22.6% 23.5% 50.3% 0.47× 4.25
Le Moyne Dolphins +4.5 19.8% 18.9% 47.8% 0.39× 5.29
Le Moyne Dolphins +3.5 17.2% 18.9% 45.8% 0.41× 5.29
Le Moyne Dolphins +2.5 14.8% 14.1% 43.3% 0.33× 7.09
Le Moyne Dolphins +1.5 12.7% 14.1% 41.3% 0.34× 7.09
Le Moyne Dolphins −1.5 9.1% 8.9% 38.8% 0.23× 11.25
Le Moyne Dolphins −2.5 7.7% 8.9% 36.7% 0.24× 11.25
Le Moyne Dolphins −3.5 6.5% 8.9% 34.3% 0.26× 11.25
Le Moyne Dolphins −4.5 5.4% 8.9% 32.2% 0.28× 11.25
Le Moyne Dolphins −5.5 4.5% 2.6% 29.9% 0.09× 38.72
Le Moyne Dolphins −6.5 3.7% 2.6% 27.7% 0.09× 38.73
Le Moyne Dolphins −7.5 3.0% 2.6% 25.5% 0.10× 38.73
Le Moyne Dolphins −8.5 2.4% 2.6% 23.5% 0.11× 38.73
Le Moyne Dolphins −9.5 2.0% 2.6% 21.3% 0.12× 38.73
Le Moyne Dolphins −10.5 1.6% 2.6% 19.6% 0.13× 38.73
Le Moyne Dolphins −12.5 1.0% 2.6% 16.2% 0.16× 38.74
Le Moyne Dolphins −14.5 0.6% 2.6% 13.3% 0.19× 38.74
Le Moyne Dolphins −16.5 0.3% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.74
Le Moyne Dolphins −18.5 0.2% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.74
Le Moyne Dolphins −20.5 0.1% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 71.0% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 29.0% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.0% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.2% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.6% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 16.1% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Manhattan Jaspers at HT / Manhattan Jaspers at FT 71.7% 73.1% 48.3% 1.52× 1.37
Le Moyne Dolphins at HT / Manhattan Jaspers at FT 14.7% 12.2% 9.8% 1.25× 8.17
Le Moyne Dolphins at HT / Le Moyne Dolphins at FT 6.6% 8.3% 30.1% 0.27× 12.09
Manhattan Jaspers at HT / Le Moyne Dolphins at FT 3.5% 2.1% 8.2% 0.26× 47.73
Level at HT / Manhattan Jaspers at FT 2.9% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.74
Level at HT / Le Moyne Dolphins at FT 0.5% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.78
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Manhattan Jaspers to win 89.3% 85.6% 59.9% 1.43× 1.17
Le Moyne Dolphins to win 10.7% 14.4% 40.1% 0.36× 6.93
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Manhattan Jaspers even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Le Moyne Dolphins even 50.3% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Total points odd 50.9% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Manhattan Jaspers odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Le Moyne Dolphins odd 49.7% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 49.1% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 96.1% 97.0% 95.6% 1.02× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 3.9% 3.0% 4.4% 0.68× 33.39
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Manhattan Jaspers to win Q1 66.3% 72.2% 54.7% 1.32× 1.38
Le Moyne Dolphins to win Q1 28.2% 22.4% 40.4% 0.56× 4.46
Q1 tied 5.4% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.33
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 over 21.5 89.2% 87.4% 91.5% 0.96× 1.14
Q1 under 37.5 87.8% 87.4% 81.6% 1.07× 1.14
Q1 over 24.5 78.3% 76.9% 81.8% 0.94× 1.30
Q1 under 34.5 76.3% 76.9% 68.5% 1.12× 1.30
Q1 over 26.5 68.5% 67.6% 72.9% 0.93× 1.48
Q1 under 32.5 66.2% 67.6% 59.1% 1.14× 1.48
Q1 over 28.5 57.2% 58.6% 62.7% 0.94× 1.71
Q1 under 30.5 54.7% 52.7% 48.8% 1.08× 1.90
Q1 over 29.5 51.2% 52.7% 56.9% 0.93× 1.90
Q1 under 29.5 48.8% 47.3% 43.1% 1.10× 2.11
Q1 over 30.5 45.3% 47.3% 51.2% 0.92× 2.11
Q1 under 28.5 42.8% 41.4% 37.3% 1.11× 2.42
Q1 over 32.5 33.8% 32.4% 40.9% 0.79× 3.08
Q1 under 26.5 31.5% 32.4% 27.1% 1.20× 3.08
Q1 over 34.5 23.7% 23.1% 31.5% 0.73× 4.33
Q1 under 24.5 21.7% 23.1% 18.2% 1.27× 4.33
Q1 over 37.5 12.2% 12.6% 18.4% 0.68× 7.95
Q1 under 21.5 10.8% 12.6% 8.5% 1.49× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Manhattan Jaspers to win Q2 65.8% 68.3% 52.9% 1.29× 1.46
Le Moyne Dolphins to win Q2 28.8% 27.8% 41.5% 0.67× 3.60
Q2 tied 5.4% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.50
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 37.5 88.7% 87.3% 82.3% 1.06× 1.15
Q2 over 21.5 88.3% 87.3% 90.2% 0.97× 1.15
Q2 under 34.5 77.7% 76.8% 70.1% 1.10× 1.30
Q2 over 24.5 76.9% 76.8% 80.7% 0.95× 1.30
Q2 under 32.5 67.9% 67.4% 60.8% 1.11× 1.49
Q2 over 26.5 66.8% 67.4% 71.6% 0.94× 1.49
Q2 under 30.5 56.6% 58.2% 50.1% 1.16× 1.72
Q2 over 28.5 55.3% 58.2% 61.2% 0.95× 1.72
Q2 under 29.5 50.6% 52.7% 44.2% 1.19× 1.90
Q2 over 29.5 49.4% 47.3% 55.8% 0.85× 2.11
Q2 under 28.5 44.7% 41.8% 38.8% 1.08× 2.39
Q2 over 30.5 43.4% 41.8% 49.9% 0.84× 2.39
Q2 under 26.5 33.2% 32.6% 28.4% 1.15× 3.06
Q2 over 32.5 32.1% 32.6% 39.2% 0.83× 3.06
Q2 under 24.5 23.1% 23.2% 19.3% 1.21× 4.31
Q2 over 34.5 22.3% 23.2% 29.9% 0.78× 4.31
Q2 under 21.5 11.7% 12.7% 9.8% 1.30× 7.89
Q2 over 37.5 11.3% 12.7% 17.7% 0.72× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Manhattan Jaspers to win Q3 67.5% 66.7% 53.3% 1.25× 1.50
Le Moyne Dolphins to win Q3 27.3% 28.8% 41.8% 0.69× 3.47
Q3 tied 5.2% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.98
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 40.5 88.3% 87.2% 81.9% 1.07× 1.15
Q3 over 24.5 87.5% 87.2% 89.9% 0.97× 1.15
Q3 under 37.5 77.5% 77.3% 69.7% 1.11× 1.29
Q3 over 27.5 76.0% 77.3% 80.0% 0.97× 1.29
Q3 under 35.5 67.8% 67.8% 59.7% 1.14× 1.48
Q3 over 29.5 66.1% 67.8% 71.8% 0.94× 1.48
Q3 under 33.5 56.8% 58.4% 49.1% 1.19× 1.71
Q3 over 31.5 54.8% 52.3% 61.6% 0.85× 1.91
Q3 under 32.5 51.0% 52.3% 43.9% 1.19× 1.91
Q3 over 32.5 49.0% 47.7% 56.1% 0.85× 2.10
Q3 under 31.5 45.2% 47.7% 38.4% 1.24× 2.10
Q3 over 33.5 43.2% 41.6% 50.9% 0.82× 2.40
Q3 under 29.5 33.9% 32.2% 28.2% 1.14× 3.10
Q3 over 35.5 32.2% 32.2% 40.3% 0.80× 3.10
Q3 under 27.5 24.0% 22.7% 20.0% 1.14× 4.40
Q3 over 37.5 22.5% 22.7% 30.3% 0.75× 4.40
Q3 under 24.5 12.5% 12.8% 10.1% 1.27× 7.83
Q3 over 40.5 11.7% 12.8% 18.1% 0.70× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Manhattan Jaspers to win Q4 67.1% 60.6% 52.8% 1.15× 1.65
Le Moyne Dolphins to win Q4 27.7% 33.3% 41.5% 0.80× 3.00
Q4 tied 5.1% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.26
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 40.5 86.7% 85.6% 80.6% 1.06× 1.17
Q4 over 24.5 86.3% 85.6% 89.0% 0.96× 1.17
Q4 under 37.5 75.9% 76.9% 68.8% 1.12× 1.30
Q4 over 27.5 75.1% 76.9% 78.9% 0.97× 1.30
Q4 under 35.5 66.6% 67.4% 59.4% 1.14× 1.48
Q4 over 29.5 65.5% 67.4% 70.8% 0.95× 1.48
Q4 under 33.5 56.1% 58.4% 49.6% 1.18× 1.71
Q4 over 31.5 54.9% 52.5% 61.1% 0.86× 1.91
Q4 under 32.5 50.6% 52.5% 44.6% 1.18× 1.91
Q4 over 32.5 49.4% 47.5% 55.4% 0.86× 2.11
Q4 under 31.5 45.1% 47.5% 38.9% 1.22× 2.11
Q4 over 33.5 43.9% 41.6% 50.4% 0.83× 2.40
Q4 under 29.5 34.5% 32.6% 29.2% 1.12× 3.07
Q4 over 35.5 33.4% 32.6% 40.6% 0.80× 3.07
Q4 under 27.5 24.9% 23.1% 21.1% 1.09× 4.33
Q4 over 37.5 24.1% 23.1% 31.2% 0.74× 4.33
Q4 under 24.5 13.7% 14.4% 11.0% 1.31× 6.95
Q4 over 40.5 13.3% 14.4% 19.4% 0.74× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Le Moyne Dolphins over 45.5 87.4% 83.9% 91.3% 0.92× 1.19
Le Moyne Dolphins under 65.5 88.3% 83.9% 59.8% 1.40× 1.19
Manhattan Jaspers over 58.5 86.0% 83.9% 74.7% 1.12× 1.19
Manhattan Jaspers under 78.5 85.2% 83.9% 79.4% 1.06× 1.19
Le Moyne Dolphins under 62.5 80.6% 80.7% 51.0% 1.58× 1.24
Manhattan Jaspers under 75.5 76.7% 75.1% 73.2% 1.03× 1.33
Le Moyne Dolphins over 48.5 77.3% 75.1% 86.7% 0.87× 1.33
Manhattan Jaspers over 61.5 77.6% 75.1% 66.9% 1.12× 1.33
Le Moyne Dolphins under 60.5 73.9% 70.7% 44.4% 1.59× 1.41
Manhattan Jaspers over 63.5 70.8% 70.7% 61.5% 1.15× 1.41
Manhattan Jaspers under 73.5 69.7% 66.4% 68.5% 0.97× 1.51
Le Moyne Dolphins over 50.5 69.2% 66.4% 83.1% 0.80× 1.51
Le Moyne Dolphins under 58.5 66.2% 66.4% 37.9% 1.75× 1.51
Manhattan Jaspers over 65.5 63.1% 61.2% 55.3% 1.11× 1.63
Manhattan Jaspers under 71.5 61.9% 61.2% 63.0% 0.97× 1.63
Le Moyne Dolphins over 52.5 60.4% 61.2% 78.5% 0.78× 1.63
Le Moyne Dolphins under 56.5 57.7% 57.1% 32.0% 1.79× 1.75
Manhattan Jaspers over 67.5 54.8% 52.3% 48.7% 1.07× 1.91
Manhattan Jaspers under 69.5 53.6% 52.3% 57.4% 0.91× 1.91
Le Moyne Dolphins over 54.5 51.3% 52.3% 73.5% 0.71× 1.91
Le Moyne Dolphins under 55.5 53.2% 52.3% 29.2% 1.79× 1.91
Manhattan Jaspers over 68.5 50.6% 52.3% 45.6% 1.15× 1.91
Manhattan Jaspers under 68.5 49.4% 47.7% 54.4% 0.88× 2.09
Le Moyne Dolphins under 54.5 48.7% 47.7% 26.5% 1.80× 2.09
Le Moyne Dolphins over 55.5 46.8% 47.7% 70.8% 0.67× 2.09
Manhattan Jaspers under 67.5 45.2% 47.7% 51.3% 0.93× 2.09
Manhattan Jaspers over 69.5 46.4% 47.7% 42.6% 1.12× 2.09
Le Moyne Dolphins over 56.5 42.3% 42.9% 68.0% 0.63× 2.33
Manhattan Jaspers over 71.5 38.1% 38.8% 37.0% 1.05× 2.58
Le Moyne Dolphins under 52.5 39.6% 38.8% 21.5% 1.80× 2.58
Manhattan Jaspers under 65.5 36.9% 38.8% 44.7% 0.87× 2.58
Le Moyne Dolphins over 58.5 33.8% 33.6% 62.1% 0.54× 2.98
Le Moyne Dolphins under 50.5 30.8% 33.6% 16.9% 1.99× 2.98
Manhattan Jaspers over 73.5 30.3% 33.6% 31.5% 1.07× 2.98
Manhattan Jaspers under 63.5 29.2% 29.3% 38.5% 0.76× 3.42
Le Moyne Dolphins over 60.5 26.1% 29.3% 55.6% 0.53× 3.42
Manhattan Jaspers over 75.5 23.3% 24.9% 26.8% 0.93× 4.02
Le Moyne Dolphins under 48.5 22.7% 24.9% 13.3% 1.87× 4.02
Manhattan Jaspers under 61.5 22.4% 24.9% 33.1% 0.75× 4.02
Le Moyne Dolphins over 62.5 19.4% 19.3% 49.0% 0.39× 5.18
Manhattan Jaspers over 78.5 14.8% 16.1% 20.6% 0.78× 6.21
Manhattan Jaspers under 58.5 14.0% 16.1% 25.3% 0.64× 6.21
Le Moyne Dolphins under 45.5 12.6% 16.1% 8.7% 1.86× 6.21
Le Moyne Dolphins over 65.5 11.7% 16.1% 40.2% 0.40× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 104.5 points 92.0% 88.8% 92.9% 0.96× 1.13
Under 144.5 points 92.4% 88.8% 78.1% 1.14× 1.13
Under 139.5 points 86.3% 85.0% 69.9% 1.22× 1.18
Over 109.5 points 84.5% 80.6% 87.6% 0.92× 1.24
Under 134.5 points 77.5% 75.6% 60.2% 1.26× 1.32
Over 114.5 points 74.0% 70.8% 80.4% 0.88× 1.41
Under 131.5 points 70.9% 70.8% 53.9% 1.31× 1.41
Over 117.5 points 66.5% 65.9% 75.3% 0.88× 1.52
Under 129.5 points 66.1% 65.9% 49.5% 1.33× 1.52
Over 119.5 points 61.1% 61.5% 71.6% 0.86× 1.63
Under 127.5 points 60.9% 61.5% 44.9% 1.37× 1.63
Over 121.5 points 55.6% 56.5% 67.7% 0.83× 1.77
Under 125.5 points 55.5% 56.5% 40.5% 1.39× 1.77
Under 124.5 points 52.7% 52.3% 38.5% 1.36× 1.91
Over 123.5 points 50.0% 52.3% 63.3% 0.83× 1.91
Under 123.5 points 50.0% 47.7% 36.7% 1.30× 2.10
Over 124.5 points 47.3% 47.7% 61.5% 0.78× 2.10
Under 121.5 points 44.4% 43.5% 32.3% 1.35× 2.30
Over 125.5 points 44.5% 43.5% 59.5% 0.73× 2.30
Under 119.5 points 38.9% 38.5% 28.4% 1.36× 2.60
Over 127.5 points 39.1% 38.5% 55.1% 0.70× 2.60
Over 129.5 points 33.9% 34.1% 50.5% 0.68× 2.93
Under 117.5 points 33.5% 34.1% 24.7% 1.38× 2.93
Over 131.5 points 29.1% 29.2% 46.1% 0.63× 3.43
Under 114.5 points 26.0% 29.2% 19.6% 1.49× 3.43
Over 134.5 points 22.5% 24.4% 39.8% 0.61× 4.10
Under 109.5 points 15.5% 19.4% 12.4% 1.57× 5.15
Over 139.5 points 13.7% 15.0% 30.1% 0.50× 6.68
Under 104.5 points 8.0% 11.2% 7.1% 1.56× 8.96
Over 144.5 points 7.6% 11.2% 21.9% 0.51× 8.97
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Manhattan Jaspers to win both halves 55.6% 57.7% 36.0% 1.60× 1.73
Le Moyne Dolphins to win both halves 2.7% 3.0% 20.4% 0.15× 33.68
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Manhattan Jaspers by 11-15 18.5% 16.8% 10.8% 1.55× 5.97
Manhattan Jaspers by 6-10 16.4% 16.8% 12.9% 1.30× 5.97
Manhattan Jaspers by 16-20 17.0% 16.8% 8.0% 2.08× 5.97
Manhattan Jaspers by 1-5 11.9% 12.3% 10.2% 1.21× 8.11
Manhattan Jaspers by 21-25 12.6% 12.3% 5.4% 2.29× 8.11
Manhattan Jaspers by 26+ 12.9% 12.3% 12.6% 0.98× 8.11
Le Moyne Dolphins by 1-5 6.2% 7.5% 10.2% 0.73× 13.40
Le Moyne Dolphins by 6-10 2.9% 2.0% 10.3% 0.20× 49.30
Le Moyne Dolphins by 11-15 1.1% 2.0% 7.6% 0.27× 49.32
Le Moyne Dolphins by 16-20 0.3% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.32
Le Moyne Dolphins by 21-25 0.1% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.33
Le Moyne Dolphins by 26+ 0.0% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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