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Marist Red Foxes v Binghamton Bearcats — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 24 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Marist Red Foxes win
29.0%
Draw
0.0%
Binghamton Bearcats win
71.0%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 59.67–65.79 60-66 0% 51% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Marist Red Foxes to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.36
Marist Red Foxes to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Marist Red Foxes to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Marist Red Foxes to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Binghamton Bearcats to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.72× 283.35
Binghamton Bearcats to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Binghamton Bearcats to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Binghamton Bearcats to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Binghamton Bearcats to win H1 60.8% 62.2% 39.9% 1.56× 1.61
Marist Red Foxes to win H1 34.9% 33.2% 56.4% 0.59× 3.02
H1 tied 4.3% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 72.5 89.0% 87.7% 83.6% 1.05× 1.14
H1 over 48.5 87.8% 87.7% 88.8% 0.99× 1.14
H1 under 68.5 79.7% 77.4% 73.5% 1.05× 1.29
H1 over 52.5 77.7% 77.4% 79.6% 0.97× 1.29
H1 under 65.5 70.3% 73.5% 63.9% 1.15× 1.36
H1 over 55.5 67.7% 67.4% 71.0% 0.95× 1.48
H1 under 63.5 63.2% 62.7% 57.1% 1.10× 1.59
H1 over 57.5 60.3% 62.7% 64.8% 0.97× 1.59
H1 under 61.5 55.5% 58.2% 49.8% 1.17× 1.72
H1 over 59.5 52.4% 52.6% 57.8% 0.91× 1.90
H1 under 60.5 51.5% 52.6% 46.1% 1.14× 1.90
H1 over 60.5 48.5% 47.4% 53.9% 0.88× 2.11
H1 under 59.5 47.6% 47.4% 42.2% 1.12× 2.11
H1 over 61.5 44.5% 41.8% 50.2% 0.83× 2.39
H1 under 57.5 39.7% 37.3% 35.2% 1.06× 2.68
H1 over 63.5 36.8% 37.3% 42.9% 0.87× 2.68
H1 under 55.5 32.3% 32.6% 29.0% 1.12× 3.07
H1 over 65.5 29.7% 26.5% 36.1% 0.73× 3.77
H1 under 52.5 22.3% 22.6% 20.4% 1.11× 4.43
H1 over 68.5 20.3% 22.6% 26.5% 0.85× 4.43
H1 under 48.5 12.2% 12.3% 11.2% 1.10× 8.14
H1 over 72.5 11.0% 12.3% 16.4% 0.75× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Binghamton Bearcats to win H2 61.7% 58.8% 40.6% 1.45× 1.70
Marist Red Foxes to win H2 34.2% 36.3% 56.0% 0.65× 2.75
H2 tied 4.1% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.35
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 78.5 88.4% 85.2% 80.1% 1.06× 1.17
H2 over 54.5 86.1% 85.2% 88.0% 0.97× 1.17
H2 under 74.5 79.4% 75.8% 69.9% 1.08× 1.32
H2 over 58.5 75.8% 75.8% 79.6% 0.95× 1.32
H2 under 71.5 70.4% 72.2% 61.1% 1.18× 1.39
H2 over 61.5 66.0% 66.4% 71.3% 0.93× 1.51
H2 under 69.5 63.6% 61.6% 54.8% 1.12× 1.62
H2 over 63.5 58.7% 57.3% 65.3% 0.88× 1.74
H2 under 67.5 56.3% 57.3% 47.9% 1.20× 1.74
H2 under 66.5 52.6% 52.4% 44.6% 1.17× 1.91
H2 over 65.5 51.2% 52.4% 58.8% 0.89× 1.91
H2 under 65.5 48.8% 47.6% 41.2% 1.16× 2.10
H2 over 66.5 47.4% 47.6% 55.4% 0.86× 2.10
H2 over 67.5 43.7% 42.7% 52.1% 0.82× 2.34
H2 under 63.5 41.3% 42.7% 34.7% 1.23× 2.34
H2 over 69.5 36.4% 38.4% 45.2% 0.85× 2.61
H2 under 61.5 34.0% 33.6% 28.7% 1.17× 2.97
H2 over 71.5 29.6% 27.8% 38.9% 0.72× 3.59
H2 under 58.5 24.2% 24.2% 20.4% 1.19× 4.13
H2 over 74.5 20.6% 24.2% 30.1% 0.81× 4.13
H2 under 54.5 13.9% 14.8% 12.0% 1.23× 6.76
H2 over 78.5 11.6% 14.8% 19.9% 0.74× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Binghamton Bearcats leading at half time 60.8% 62.5% 39.9% 1.57× 1.60
Marist Red Foxes leading at half time 34.9% 32.8% 56.4% 0.58× 3.05
Level at half time 4.3% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Binghamton Bearcats +14.5 96.6% 97.4% 72.1% 1.35× 1.03
Binghamton Bearcats +16.5 97.8% 97.4% 75.7% 1.29× 1.03
Binghamton Bearcats +18.5 98.6% 97.4% 79.3% 1.23× 1.03
Binghamton Bearcats +20.5 99.1% 97.4% 82.0% 1.19× 1.03
Binghamton Bearcats +12.5 95.0% 91.1% 67.9% 1.34× 1.10
Binghamton Bearcats +10.5 92.8% 91.1% 63.2% 1.44× 1.10
Binghamton Bearcats +9.5 91.5% 91.1% 60.7% 1.50× 1.10
Marist Red Foxes +20.5 90.5% 91.1% 92.7% 0.98× 1.10
Binghamton Bearcats +8.5 90.0% 85.9% 58.0% 1.48× 1.16
Binghamton Bearcats +7.5 88.3% 85.9% 55.2% 1.55× 1.16
Marist Red Foxes +18.5 87.0% 85.9% 91.1% 0.94× 1.16
Binghamton Bearcats +6.5 86.4% 85.9% 52.4% 1.64× 1.16
Binghamton Bearcats +5.5 84.3% 81.1% 50.3% 1.61× 1.23
Binghamton Bearcats +4.5 82.0% 81.1% 47.8% 1.70× 1.23
Marist Red Foxes +16.5 82.6% 81.1% 89.1% 0.91× 1.23
Binghamton Bearcats +3.5 79.6% 76.5% 45.8% 1.67× 1.31
Marist Red Foxes +14.5 77.5% 76.5% 86.7% 0.88× 1.31
Binghamton Bearcats +2.5 76.9% 76.5% 43.3% 1.77× 1.31
Binghamton Bearcats +1.5 74.0% 71.6% 41.3% 1.73× 1.40
Marist Red Foxes +12.5 71.6% 71.6% 83.8% 0.86× 1.40
Binghamton Bearcats −1.5 67.6% 66.7% 38.8% 1.72× 1.50
Binghamton Bearcats −2.5 64.1% 61.9% 36.7% 1.69× 1.62
Marist Red Foxes +10.5 65.0% 61.9% 80.4% 0.77× 1.62
Marist Red Foxes +9.5 61.5% 61.9% 78.7% 0.79× 1.62
Binghamton Bearcats −3.5 60.5% 61.9% 34.3% 1.80× 1.62
Marist Red Foxes +8.5 57.9% 57.1% 76.5% 0.75× 1.75
Binghamton Bearcats −4.5 56.9% 57.1% 32.2% 1.77× 1.75
Marist Red Foxes +7.5 54.3% 52.4% 74.5% 0.70× 1.91
Binghamton Bearcats −5.5 53.2% 52.4% 29.9% 1.75× 1.91
Marist Red Foxes +6.5 50.6% 52.4% 72.3% 0.72× 1.91
Binghamton Bearcats −6.5 49.5% 47.6% 27.7% 1.72× 2.10
Marist Red Foxes +5.5 46.8% 47.6% 70.1% 0.68× 2.10
Binghamton Bearcats −7.5 45.7% 47.6% 25.5% 1.87× 2.10
Marist Red Foxes +4.5 43.1% 42.9% 67.8% 0.63× 2.33
Binghamton Bearcats −8.5 42.1% 42.9% 23.5% 1.82× 2.33
Marist Red Foxes +3.5 39.5% 38.1% 65.7% 0.58× 2.63
Binghamton Bearcats −9.5 38.5% 38.1% 21.3% 1.79× 2.63
Marist Red Foxes +2.5 35.9% 38.1% 63.3% 0.60× 2.63
Binghamton Bearcats −10.5 35.0% 38.1% 19.6% 1.94× 2.63
Marist Red Foxes +1.5 32.4% 33.3% 61.2% 0.54× 3.01
Binghamton Bearcats −12.5 28.4% 28.4% 16.2% 1.75× 3.53
Marist Red Foxes −1.5 26.0% 28.4% 58.7% 0.48× 3.53
Marist Red Foxes −2.5 23.1% 23.5% 56.7% 0.41× 4.25
Binghamton Bearcats −14.5 22.5% 23.5% 13.3% 1.77× 4.25
Marist Red Foxes −3.5 20.4% 23.5% 54.2% 0.43× 4.25
Marist Red Foxes −4.5 18.0% 18.9% 52.2% 0.36× 5.29
Binghamton Bearcats −16.5 17.4% 18.9% 10.9% 1.74× 5.29
Marist Red Foxes −5.5 15.7% 18.9% 49.7% 0.38× 5.30
Marist Red Foxes −6.5 13.6% 14.1% 47.6% 0.30× 7.09
Marist Red Foxes −7.5 11.7% 14.1% 44.8% 0.32× 7.09
Binghamton Bearcats −18.5 13.0% 14.1% 8.9% 1.58× 7.09
Marist Red Foxes −8.5 10.0% 14.1% 42.0% 0.34× 7.09
Marist Red Foxes −9.5 8.5% 8.9% 39.3% 0.23× 11.25
Binghamton Bearcats −20.5 9.5% 8.9% 7.3% 1.22× 11.25
Marist Red Foxes −10.5 7.2% 8.9% 36.8% 0.24× 11.25
Marist Red Foxes −12.5 5.0% 8.9% 32.1% 0.28× 11.25
Marist Red Foxes −14.5 3.4% 2.6% 27.9% 0.09× 38.73
Marist Red Foxes −16.5 2.2% 2.6% 24.3% 0.11× 38.73
Marist Red Foxes −18.5 1.4% 2.6% 20.7% 0.12× 38.73
Marist Red Foxes −20.5 0.9% 2.6% 18.0% 0.14× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 71.3% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 28.8% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.1% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.3% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.5% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 16.0% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Binghamton Bearcats at HT / Binghamton Bearcats at FT 52.2% 51.1% 30.1% 1.69× 1.96
Marist Red Foxes at HT / Marist Red Foxes at FT 19.0% 15.5% 48.3% 0.32× 6.47
Marist Red Foxes at HT / Binghamton Bearcats at FT 15.8% 15.4% 8.2% 1.89× 6.47
Binghamton Bearcats at HT / Marist Red Foxes at FT 8.6% 8.3% 9.8% 0.85× 12.08
Level at HT / Binghamton Bearcats at FT 2.9% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.74
Level at HT / Marist Red Foxes at FT 1.4% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.77
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Binghamton Bearcats to win 71.0% 68.7% 40.1% 1.71× 1.46
Marist Red Foxes to win 29.0% 31.3% 59.9% 0.52× 3.20
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.6% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Marist Red Foxes even 50.1% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Binghamton Bearcats even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Marist Red Foxes odd 49.9% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Binghamton Bearcats odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.4% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 94.4% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 5.6% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Binghamton Bearcats to win Q1 55.9% 57.3% 40.4% 1.42× 1.75
Marist Red Foxes to win Q1 38.2% 38.2% 54.7% 0.70× 2.61
Q1 tied 6.0% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.32
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 38.5 89.0% 87.4% 84.8% 1.03× 1.14
Q1 over 22.5 87.5% 87.4% 88.8% 0.98× 1.14
Q1 under 35.5 78.3% 76.9% 73.2% 1.05× 1.30
Q1 over 25.5 75.9% 76.9% 77.6% 0.99× 1.30
Q1 under 33.5 68.6% 67.6% 64.0% 1.06× 1.48
Q1 over 27.5 65.7% 67.6% 67.7% 1.00× 1.48
Q1 under 31.5 57.5% 58.6% 54.0% 1.09× 1.71
Q1 over 29.5 54.3% 52.7% 56.9% 0.93× 1.90
Q1 under 30.5 51.6% 52.7% 48.8% 1.08× 1.90
Q1 over 30.5 48.4% 47.3% 51.2% 0.92× 2.11
Q1 under 29.5 45.7% 47.3% 43.1% 1.10× 2.11
Q1 over 31.5 42.5% 41.4% 46.0% 0.90× 2.42
Q1 under 27.5 34.3% 32.4% 32.3% 1.00× 3.08
Q1 over 33.5 31.4% 32.4% 36.0% 0.90× 3.08
Q1 under 25.5 24.1% 23.1% 22.4% 1.03× 4.33
Q1 over 35.5 21.7% 23.1% 26.8% 0.86× 4.33
Q1 under 22.5 12.5% 12.6% 11.2% 1.12× 7.95
Q1 over 38.5 11.0% 12.6% 15.2% 0.83× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Binghamton Bearcats to win Q2 55.7% 59.4% 41.5% 1.43× 1.69
Marist Red Foxes to win Q2 38.5% 35.8% 52.9% 0.68× 2.80
Q2 tied 5.9% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.49
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 38.5 89.8% 87.3% 85.6% 1.02× 1.15
Q2 over 22.5 86.5% 87.3% 87.4% 1.00× 1.15
Q2 under 35.5 79.6% 76.8% 74.6% 1.03× 1.30
Q2 over 25.5 74.4% 72.0% 76.2% 0.94× 1.39
Q2 under 33.5 70.3% 72.0% 65.6% 1.10× 1.39
Q2 over 27.5 64.0% 60.7% 66.7% 0.91× 1.65
Q2 under 31.5 59.3% 58.2% 55.7% 1.04× 1.72
Q2 under 30.5 53.5% 52.7% 50.1% 1.05× 1.90
Q2 over 29.5 52.4% 52.7% 55.8% 0.94× 1.90
Q2 under 29.5 47.6% 47.3% 44.2% 1.07× 2.11
Q2 over 30.5 46.5% 47.3% 49.9% 0.95× 2.11
Q2 over 31.5 40.7% 41.8% 44.3% 0.94× 2.39
Q2 under 27.5 36.0% 39.3% 33.3% 1.18× 2.55
Q2 over 33.5 29.7% 28.0% 34.4% 0.81× 3.57
Q2 under 25.5 25.6% 28.0% 23.8% 1.18× 3.57
Q2 over 35.5 20.4% 23.2% 25.4% 0.91× 4.31
Q2 under 22.5 13.5% 12.7% 12.6% 1.01× 7.89
Q2 over 38.5 10.2% 12.7% 14.4% 0.88× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Binghamton Bearcats to win Q3 56.5% 56.8% 41.8% 1.36× 1.76
Marist Red Foxes to win Q3 37.7% 38.8% 53.3% 0.73× 2.58
Q3 tied 5.8% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.97
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 41.5 89.3% 87.2% 85.1% 1.03× 1.15
Q3 over 25.5 85.9% 87.2% 86.9% 1.00× 1.15
Q3 under 38.5 79.1% 77.3% 73.9% 1.05× 1.29
Q3 over 28.5 73.8% 71.8% 76.4% 0.94× 1.39
Q3 under 36.5 69.9% 67.8% 64.6% 1.05× 1.48
Q3 over 30.5 63.6% 62.0% 66.8% 0.93× 1.61
Q3 under 34.5 59.2% 58.4% 54.6% 1.07× 1.71
Q3 under 33.5 53.5% 52.3% 49.1% 1.07× 1.91
Q3 over 32.5 52.3% 52.3% 56.1% 0.93× 1.91
Q3 under 32.5 47.7% 47.7% 43.9% 1.09× 2.10
Q3 over 33.5 46.5% 47.7% 50.9% 0.94× 2.10
Q3 over 34.5 40.8% 41.6% 45.4% 0.92× 2.40
Q3 under 30.5 36.4% 38.0% 33.2% 1.15× 2.63
Q3 over 36.5 30.1% 32.2% 35.4% 0.91× 3.11
Q3 under 28.5 26.2% 28.2% 23.6% 1.19× 3.55
Q3 over 38.5 20.9% 22.7% 26.1% 0.87× 4.40
Q3 under 25.5 14.2% 12.8% 13.1% 0.98× 7.83
Q3 over 41.5 10.7% 12.8% 14.9% 0.86× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Binghamton Bearcats to win Q4 56.4% 52.0% 41.5% 1.25× 1.92
Marist Red Foxes to win Q4 38.0% 42.4% 52.8% 0.80× 2.36
Q4 tied 5.7% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.25
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 41.5 87.8% 85.6% 83.6% 1.02× 1.17
Q4 over 25.5 84.7% 82.0% 86.1% 0.95× 1.22
Q4 under 38.5 77.5% 76.9% 73.1% 1.05× 1.30
Q4 over 28.5 72.9% 71.5% 75.1% 0.95× 1.40
Q4 under 36.5 68.5% 67.4% 64.3% 1.05× 1.48
Q4 over 30.5 63.2% 61.4% 66.3% 0.93× 1.63
Q4 under 34.5 58.3% 58.4% 54.4% 1.07× 1.71
Q4 under 33.5 52.9% 52.5% 49.6% 1.06× 1.91
Q4 over 32.5 52.5% 52.5% 55.4% 0.95× 1.91
Q4 under 32.5 47.5% 47.5% 44.6% 1.07× 2.11
Q4 over 33.5 47.1% 47.5% 50.4% 0.94× 2.11
Q4 over 34.5 41.7% 41.6% 45.6% 0.91× 2.40
Q4 under 30.5 36.8% 38.6% 33.7% 1.14× 2.59
Q4 over 36.5 31.5% 32.6% 35.7% 0.91× 3.07
Q4 under 28.5 27.1% 28.5% 24.9% 1.14× 3.51
Q4 over 38.5 22.5% 23.1% 26.9% 0.86× 4.33
Q4 under 25.5 15.3% 18.0% 13.9% 1.30× 5.56
Q4 over 41.5 12.2% 14.4% 16.4% 0.88× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Marist Red Foxes under 70.5 87.0% 83.9% 60.3% 1.39× 1.19
Binghamton Bearcats under 76.5 87.1% 83.9% 85.8% 0.98× 1.19
Binghamton Bearcats over 56.5 84.9% 80.7% 68.0% 1.19× 1.24
Marist Red Foxes over 50.5 84.4% 80.7% 90.8% 0.89× 1.24
Marist Red Foxes under 67.5 79.2% 75.1% 51.3% 1.46× 1.33
Binghamton Bearcats under 73.5 79.0% 75.1% 80.2% 0.94× 1.33
Binghamton Bearcats over 59.5 76.0% 75.1% 58.8% 1.28× 1.33
Marist Red Foxes over 53.5 75.0% 75.1% 85.8% 0.88× 1.33
Marist Red Foxes under 65.5 72.7% 70.7% 44.7% 1.58× 1.41
Binghamton Bearcats under 71.5 72.2% 70.7% 76.1% 0.93× 1.41
Binghamton Bearcats over 61.5 68.8% 66.4% 52.1% 1.27× 1.51
Marist Red Foxes over 55.5 67.6% 66.4% 81.6% 0.81× 1.51
Marist Red Foxes under 63.5 65.3% 66.4% 38.5% 1.72× 1.51
Binghamton Bearcats under 69.5 64.6% 61.2% 71.2% 0.86× 1.63
Binghamton Bearcats over 63.5 60.8% 61.2% 46.1% 1.33× 1.63
Marist Red Foxes over 57.5 59.6% 57.1% 77.2% 0.74× 1.75
Marist Red Foxes under 61.5 57.3% 57.1% 33.1% 1.73× 1.75
Binghamton Bearcats under 67.5 56.3% 57.1% 65.6% 0.87× 1.75
Marist Red Foxes over 59.5 51.2% 52.3% 72.2% 0.72× 1.91
Marist Red Foxes under 60.5 53.1% 52.3% 30.5% 1.71× 1.91
Binghamton Bearcats over 65.5 52.3% 52.3% 40.2% 1.30× 1.91
Binghamton Bearcats under 66.5 52.0% 52.3% 62.7% 0.83× 1.91
Marist Red Foxes under 59.5 48.8% 47.7% 27.8% 1.72× 2.09
Marist Red Foxes over 60.5 46.9% 47.7% 69.5% 0.69× 2.09
Binghamton Bearcats under 65.5 47.7% 47.7% 59.8% 0.80× 2.09
Binghamton Bearcats over 66.5 48.0% 47.7% 37.3% 1.28× 2.09
Binghamton Bearcats over 67.5 43.7% 42.9% 34.4% 1.25× 2.33
Marist Red Foxes over 61.5 42.7% 42.9% 66.9% 0.64× 2.33
Marist Red Foxes under 57.5 40.4% 42.9% 22.8% 1.88× 2.33
Binghamton Bearcats under 63.5 39.2% 38.8% 53.9% 0.72× 2.58
Binghamton Bearcats over 69.5 35.4% 38.8% 28.8% 1.35× 2.58
Marist Red Foxes over 63.5 34.7% 33.6% 61.5% 0.55× 2.98
Marist Red Foxes under 55.5 32.4% 33.6% 18.5% 1.82× 2.98
Binghamton Bearcats under 61.5 31.2% 33.6% 47.9% 0.70× 2.98
Marist Red Foxes over 65.5 27.3% 29.3% 55.3% 0.53× 3.42
Binghamton Bearcats over 71.5 27.8% 29.3% 23.9% 1.22× 3.42
Marist Red Foxes under 53.5 25.0% 24.9% 14.2% 1.75× 4.02
Binghamton Bearcats under 59.5 24.0% 24.9% 41.2% 0.60× 4.02
Marist Red Foxes over 67.5 20.8% 24.9% 48.7% 0.51× 4.02
Binghamton Bearcats over 73.5 21.0% 24.9% 19.8% 1.25× 4.02
Marist Red Foxes under 50.5 15.6% 19.3% 9.2% 2.10× 5.18
Binghamton Bearcats under 56.5 15.1% 19.3% 32.0% 0.60× 5.18
Marist Red Foxes over 70.5 13.0% 16.1% 39.7% 0.41× 6.21
Binghamton Bearcats over 76.5 12.9% 16.1% 14.2% 1.13× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 146.5 points 91.7% 88.8% 80.9% 1.10× 1.13
Over 106.5 points 91.1% 88.8% 91.0% 0.98× 1.13
Under 141.5 points 85.3% 85.0% 73.4% 1.16× 1.18
Over 111.5 points 83.8% 80.6% 85.1% 0.95× 1.24
Under 136.5 points 76.3% 75.6% 64.2% 1.18× 1.32
Over 116.5 points 73.8% 70.8% 77.2% 0.92× 1.41
Under 133.5 points 69.7% 65.9% 58.0% 1.14× 1.52
Over 119.5 points 66.6% 65.9% 71.6% 0.92× 1.52
Under 131.5 points 64.9% 61.5% 53.9% 1.14× 1.63
Over 121.5 points 61.5% 61.5% 67.7% 0.91× 1.63
Under 129.5 points 59.8% 56.5% 49.5% 1.14× 1.77
Over 123.5 points 56.2% 56.5% 63.3% 0.89× 1.77
Under 127.5 points 54.5% 52.3% 44.9% 1.17× 1.91
Under 126.5 points 51.8% 52.3% 42.6% 1.23× 1.91
Over 125.5 points 50.8% 52.3% 59.5% 0.88× 1.91
Under 125.5 points 49.2% 47.7% 40.5% 1.18× 2.10
Over 126.5 points 48.2% 47.7% 57.4% 0.83× 2.10
Over 127.5 points 45.5% 47.7% 55.1% 0.86× 2.10
Under 123.5 points 43.8% 43.5% 36.7% 1.18× 2.30
Over 129.5 points 40.2% 43.5% 50.5% 0.86× 2.30
Under 121.5 points 38.5% 38.5% 32.3% 1.19× 2.60
Over 131.5 points 35.1% 38.5% 46.1% 0.84× 2.60
Under 119.5 points 33.4% 34.1% 28.4% 1.20× 2.93
Over 133.5 points 30.3% 34.1% 42.0% 0.81× 2.93
Under 116.5 points 26.2% 29.2% 22.8% 1.28× 3.43
Over 136.5 points 23.7% 24.4% 35.8% 0.68× 4.10
Under 111.5 points 16.2% 19.4% 14.9% 1.30× 5.15
Over 141.5 points 14.7% 15.0% 26.6% 0.56× 6.68
Under 106.5 points 8.9% 11.2% 9.0% 1.24× 8.96
Over 146.5 points 8.3% 11.2% 19.1% 0.58× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Binghamton Bearcats to win both halves 34.7% 31.3% 20.4% 1.54× 3.20
Marist Red Foxes to win both halves 9.4% 8.9% 36.0% 0.25× 11.30
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Binghamton Bearcats by 1-5 17.8% 16.8% 10.2% 1.65× 5.97
Binghamton Bearcats by 6-10 18.2% 16.8% 10.3% 1.63× 5.97
Binghamton Bearcats by 11-15 15.2% 16.8% 7.6% 2.20× 5.97
Marist Red Foxes by 1-5 13.4% 12.3% 10.2% 1.21× 8.11
Binghamton Bearcats by 16-20 10.4% 12.3% 4.8% 2.60× 8.11
Marist Red Foxes by 6-10 8.5% 7.5% 12.9% 0.58× 13.40
Binghamton Bearcats by 21-25 5.7% 7.5% 2.7% 2.79× 13.40
Marist Red Foxes by 11-15 4.4% 2.0% 10.8% 0.19× 49.29
Binghamton Bearcats by 26+ 3.7% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.30
Marist Red Foxes by 16-20 1.9% 2.0% 8.0% 0.25× 49.31
Marist Red Foxes by 21-25 0.7% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.32
Marist Red Foxes by 26+ 0.2% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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