Marist Red Foxes v Lafayette Leopards — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 15 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated 4 Sep 2026, 03:45 UTC

Marist Red Foxes

19:00 UTC

Lafayette Leopards

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Marist Red Foxes win

53.2%

Draw

0.0%

Lafayette Leopards win

46.8%

53047

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	53047	61.83–60.98	62-61 0%	49%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Marist Red Foxes to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	1.8%	0.20×	283.36
Marist Red Foxes to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.6%	0.64×	283.36
Marist Red Foxes to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	2.91×	283.36
Marist Red Foxes to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	7.58×	283.36
Lafayette Leopards to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.5%	0.72×	283.36
Lafayette Leopards to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	4.74×	283.36
Lafayette Leopards to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	18.95×	283.36
Lafayette Leopards to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	37.89×	283.36
Both sides to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	6.32×	283.36

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Marist Red Foxes to win H1	49.7%	47.3%	56.4%	0.84×	2.11
Lafayette Leopards to win H1	45.8%	47.3%	39.9%	1.19×	2.11
H1 tied	4.5%	3.9%	3.7%	1.05×	25.85

H1 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 71.5	89.4%	87.7%	81.4%	1.08×	1.14
H1 over 47.5	87.3%	87.7%	90.6%	0.97×	1.14
H1 under 67.5	80.4%	82.5%	70.4%	1.17×	1.21
H1 over 51.5	76.9%	77.4%	82.0%	0.94×	1.29
H1 under 64.5	71.2%	73.5%	60.7%	1.21×	1.36
H1 over 54.5	66.8%	67.4%	74.0%	0.91×	1.48
H1 under 62.5	64.1%	62.7%	53.7%	1.17×	1.59
H1 over 56.5	59.3%	58.2%	68.2%	0.85×	1.72
H1 under 60.5	56.5%	58.2%	46.1%	1.26×	1.72
H1 under 59.5	52.6%	52.6%	42.2%	1.25×	1.90
H1 over 58.5	51.4%	52.6%	61.4%	0.86×	1.90
H1 under 58.5	48.6%	47.4%	38.6%	1.23×	2.11
H1 over 59.5	47.4%	47.4%	57.8%	0.82×	2.11
H1 over 60.5	43.5%	41.8%	53.9%	0.78×	2.39
H1 under 56.5	40.7%	41.8%	31.8%	1.31×	2.39
H1 over 62.5	35.9%	37.3%	46.3%	0.80×	2.68
H1 under 54.5	33.2%	32.6%	26.0%	1.25×	3.07
H1 over 64.5	28.8%	26.5%	39.3%	0.68×	3.77
H1 under 51.5	23.1%	22.6%	18.0%	1.25×	4.43
H1 over 67.5	19.6%	17.5%	29.6%	0.59×	5.72
H1 under 47.5	12.7%	12.3%	9.4%	1.30×	8.14
H1 over 71.5	10.6%	12.3%	18.6%	0.66×	8.14

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Marist Red Foxes to win H2	49.9%	47.1%	56.0%	0.84×	2.12
Lafayette Leopards to win H2	45.8%	47.1%	40.6%	1.16×	2.12
H2 tied	4.4%	3.9%	3.4%	1.16×	25.35

H2 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 over 52.5	87.5%	85.2%	91.3%	0.93×	1.17
H2 under 76.5	87.2%	85.2%	75.6%	1.13×	1.17
H2 over 56.5	77.6%	75.8%	84.1%	0.90×	1.32
H2 under 72.5	77.7%	75.8%	64.1%	1.18×	1.32
H2 under 69.5	68.4%	66.4%	54.8%	1.21×	1.51
H2 over 59.5	68.1%	66.4%	77.0%	0.86×	1.51
H2 over 61.5	61.0%	61.6%	71.3%	0.86×	1.62
H2 under 67.5	61.4%	61.6%	47.9%	1.29×	1.62
H2 over 63.5	53.6%	52.4%	65.3%	0.80×	1.91
H2 under 65.5	54.0%	52.4%	41.2%	1.27×	1.91
H2 under 64.5	50.2%	52.4%	37.9%	1.38×	1.91
H2 over 64.5	49.8%	47.6%	62.1%	0.77×	2.10
H2 under 63.5	46.4%	47.6%	34.7%	1.37×	2.10
H2 over 65.5	46.0%	47.6%	58.8%	0.81×	2.10
H2 under 61.5	39.0%	38.4%	28.7%	1.34×	2.61
H2 over 67.5	38.6%	38.4%	52.1%	0.74×	2.61
H2 under 59.5	31.9%	33.6%	23.0%	1.46×	2.97
H2 over 69.5	31.6%	33.6%	45.2%	0.74×	2.97
H2 under 56.5	22.4%	24.2%	15.9%	1.53×	4.13
H2 over 72.5	22.3%	24.2%	36.0%	0.67×	4.13
H2 over 76.5	12.8%	14.8%	24.4%	0.61×	6.76
H2 under 52.5	12.5%	14.8%	8.7%	1.70×	6.76

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Marist Red Foxes leading at half time	49.7%	47.3%	56.4%	0.84×	2.12
Lafayette Leopards leading at half time	45.8%	47.2%	39.9%	1.18×	2.12
Level at half time	4.5%	3.8%	3.7%	1.03×	26.40

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Marist Red Foxes +18.5	96.0%	97.4%	91.1%	1.07×	1.03
Lafayette Leopards +20.5	96.2%	97.4%	82.0%	1.19×	1.03
Marist Red Foxes +20.5	97.3%	97.4%	92.7%	1.05×	1.03
Lafayette Leopards +18.5	94.4%	91.1%	79.3%	1.15×	1.10
Marist Red Foxes +16.5	94.1%	91.1%	89.1%	1.02×	1.10
Marist Red Foxes +14.5	91.5%	91.1%	86.7%	1.05×	1.10
Lafayette Leopards +16.5	91.9%	91.1%	75.7%	1.20×	1.10
Lafayette Leopards +14.5	88.8%	85.9%	72.1%	1.19×	1.16
Marist Red Foxes +12.5	88.3%	85.9%	83.8%	1.03×	1.16
Lafayette Leopards +12.5	84.9%	81.1%	67.9%	1.20×	1.23
Marist Red Foxes +10.5	84.2%	81.1%	80.4%	1.01×	1.23
Marist Red Foxes +9.5	81.9%	81.1%	78.7%	1.03×	1.23
Lafayette Leopards +10.5	80.2%	81.1%	63.2%	1.28×	1.23
Marist Red Foxes +8.5	79.4%	76.5%	76.5%	1.00×	1.31
Lafayette Leopards +9.5	77.5%	76.5%	60.7%	1.26×	1.31
Marist Red Foxes +7.5	76.7%	76.5%	74.5%	1.03×	1.31
Marist Red Foxes +6.5	73.8%	71.6%	72.3%	0.99×	1.40
Lafayette Leopards +8.5	74.7%	71.6%	58.0%	1.23×	1.40
Lafayette Leopards +7.5	71.6%	71.6%	55.2%	1.30×	1.40
Marist Red Foxes +5.5	70.7%	71.6%	70.1%	1.02×	1.40
Marist Red Foxes +4.5	67.4%	66.7%	67.8%	0.98×	1.50
Lafayette Leopards +6.5	68.4%	66.7%	52.4%	1.27×	1.50
Lafayette Leopards +5.5	65.0%	66.7%	50.3%	1.33×	1.50
Marist Red Foxes +3.5	64.0%	61.9%	65.7%	0.94×	1.62
Lafayette Leopards +4.5	61.6%	61.9%	47.8%	1.29×	1.62
Marist Red Foxes +2.5	60.5%	61.9%	63.3%	0.98×	1.62
Lafayette Leopards +3.5	58.0%	57.1%	45.8%	1.25×	1.75
Marist Red Foxes +1.5	56.9%	57.1%	61.2%	0.93×	1.75
Lafayette Leopards +2.5	54.3%	52.4%	43.3%	1.21×	1.91
Lafayette Leopards +1.5	50.6%	52.4%	41.3%	1.27×	1.91
Marist Red Foxes −1.5	49.4%	47.6%	58.7%	0.81×	2.10
Marist Red Foxes −2.5	45.7%	47.6%	56.7%	0.84×	2.10
Lafayette Leopards −1.5	43.1%	42.9%	38.8%	1.11×	2.33
Marist Red Foxes −3.5	42.0%	42.9%	54.2%	0.79×	2.33
Lafayette Leopards −2.5	39.5%	38.1%	36.7%	1.04×	2.63
Marist Red Foxes −4.5	38.4%	38.1%	52.2%	0.73×	2.63
Lafayette Leopards −3.5	36.0%	38.1%	34.3%	1.11×	2.63
Marist Red Foxes −5.5	35.0%	33.3%	49.7%	0.67×	3.01
Lafayette Leopards −4.5	32.6%	33.3%	32.2%	1.03×	3.01
Marist Red Foxes −6.5	31.6%	33.3%	47.6%	0.70×	3.01
Lafayette Leopards −5.5	29.3%	28.4%	29.9%	0.95×	3.53
Marist Red Foxes −7.5	28.4%	28.4%	44.8%	0.63×	3.53
Lafayette Leopards −6.5	26.2%	28.4%	27.7%	1.02×	3.53
Marist Red Foxes −8.5	25.3%	28.4%	42.0%	0.68×	3.53
Lafayette Leopards −7.5	23.3%	23.5%	25.5%	0.92×	4.25
Marist Red Foxes −9.5	22.5%	23.5%	39.3%	0.60×	4.25
Lafayette Leopards −8.5	20.6%	23.5%	23.5%	1.00×	4.25
Marist Red Foxes −10.5	19.8%	18.9%	36.8%	0.51×	5.29
Lafayette Leopards −9.5	18.1%	18.9%	21.3%	0.89×	5.29
Lafayette Leopards −10.5	15.8%	18.9%	19.6%	0.96×	5.30
Marist Red Foxes −12.5	15.1%	18.9%	32.1%	0.59×	5.30
Lafayette Leopards −12.5	11.7%	14.1%	16.2%	0.87×	7.09
Marist Red Foxes −14.5	11.2%	14.1%	27.9%	0.51×	7.09
Lafayette Leopards −14.5	8.5%	8.9%	13.3%	0.67×	11.25
Marist Red Foxes −16.5	8.1%	8.9%	24.3%	0.37×	11.25
Lafayette Leopards −16.5	5.9%	8.9%	10.9%	0.82×	11.25
Marist Red Foxes −18.5	5.6%	8.9%	20.7%	0.43×	11.25
Lafayette Leopards −18.5	4.0%	2.6%	8.9%	0.29×	38.72
Marist Red Foxes −20.5	3.8%	2.6%	18.0%	0.14×	38.73
Lafayette Leopards −20.5	2.7%	2.6%	7.3%	0.36×	38.73

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	70.9%	67.1%	66.7%	1.01×	1.49
1st half highest scoring	29.1%	32.9%	33.3%	0.99×	3.04

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 highest scoring	34.0%	31.9%	31.2%	1.02×	3.14
Q3 highest scoring	32.2%	31.9%	31.3%	1.02×	3.14
Q1 highest scoring	17.7%	18.3%	19.6%	0.94×	5.46
Q2 highest scoring	16.2%	18.3%	17.9%	1.02×	5.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Marist Red Foxes at HT / Marist Red Foxes at FT	37.0%	37.7%	48.3%	0.78×	2.65
Lafayette Leopards at HT / Lafayette Leopards at FT	32.1%	33.2%	30.1%	1.10×	3.01
Lafayette Leopards at HT / Marist Red Foxes at FT	13.8%	12.2%	9.8%	1.25×	8.17
Marist Red Foxes at HT / Lafayette Leopards at FT	12.6%	12.2%	8.2%	1.49×	8.17
Level at HT / Marist Red Foxes at FT	2.4%	2.1%	1.9%	1.09×	47.75
Level at HT / Lafayette Leopards at FT	2.1%	2.1%	1.8%	1.20×	47.76

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Marist Red Foxes to win	53.2%	51.0%	59.9%	0.85×	1.96
Lafayette Leopards to win	46.8%	49.0%	40.1%	1.22×	2.04

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Total points odd	51.9%	50.5%	51.5%	0.98×	1.98
Marist Red Foxes even	50.1%	50.5%	49.4%	1.02×	1.98
Lafayette Leopards even	50.1%	50.5%	50.1%	1.01×	1.98
Marist Red Foxes odd	49.9%	49.5%	50.6%	0.98×	2.02
Lafayette Leopards odd	49.9%	49.5%	49.9%	0.99×	2.02
Total points even	48.1%	49.5%	48.5%	1.02×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	93.9%	94.0%	95.6%	0.98×	1.06
Match to go to overtime	6.1%	6.0%	4.4%	1.35×	16.66

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Marist Red Foxes to win Q1	48.2%	47.6%	54.7%	0.87×	2.10
Lafayette Leopards to win Q1	45.6%	47.6%	40.4%	1.18×	2.10
Q1 tied	6.1%	5.5%	4.9%	1.11×	18.31

Q1 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 over 21.5	88.7%	87.4%	91.5%	0.96×	1.14
Q1 under 37.5	87.9%	87.4%	81.6%	1.07×	1.14
Q1 over 24.5	77.6%	76.9%	81.8%	0.94×	1.30
Q1 under 34.5	76.6%	76.9%	68.5%	1.12×	1.30
Q1 over 26.5	67.8%	67.6%	72.9%	0.93×	1.48
Q1 under 32.5	66.7%	67.6%	59.1%	1.14×	1.48
Q1 over 28.5	56.5%	58.6%	62.7%	0.94×	1.71
Q1 under 30.5	55.3%	58.6%	48.8%	1.20×	1.71
Q1 over 29.5	50.6%	52.7%	56.9%	0.93×	1.90
Q1 under 29.5	49.4%	47.3%	43.1%	1.10×	2.11
Q1 over 30.5	44.7%	41.4%	51.2%	0.81×	2.42
Q1 under 28.5	43.5%	41.4%	37.3%	1.11×	2.42
Q1 over 32.5	33.3%	32.4%	40.9%	0.79×	3.08
Q1 under 26.5	32.2%	32.4%	27.1%	1.20×	3.08
Q1 over 34.5	23.4%	23.1%	31.5%	0.73×	4.33
Q1 under 24.5	22.4%	23.1%	18.2%	1.27×	4.33
Q1 over 37.5	12.1%	12.6%	18.4%	0.68×	7.95
Q1 under 21.5	11.3%	12.6%	8.5%	1.49×	7.95

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Marist Red Foxes to win Q2	48.3%	47.0%	52.9%	0.89×	2.13
Lafayette Leopards to win Q2	45.7%	47.0%	41.5%	1.13×	2.13
Q2 tied	6.0%	6.1%	5.7%	1.07×	16.49

Q2 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 under 37.5	88.8%	87.3%	82.3%	1.06×	1.15
Q2 over 21.5	87.7%	87.3%	90.2%	0.97×	1.15
Q2 under 34.5	78.0%	76.8%	70.1%	1.10×	1.30
Q2 over 24.5	76.2%	76.8%	80.7%	0.95×	1.30
Q2 under 32.5	68.3%	67.4%	60.8%	1.11×	1.49
Q2 over 26.5	66.1%	67.4%	71.6%	0.94×	1.49
Q2 under 30.5	57.1%	58.2%	50.1%	1.16×	1.72
Q2 over 28.5	54.7%	52.7%	61.2%	0.86×	1.90
Q2 under 29.5	51.2%	52.7%	44.2%	1.19×	1.90
Q2 over 29.5	48.8%	47.3%	55.8%	0.85×	2.11
Q2 under 28.5	45.3%	47.3%	38.8%	1.22×	2.11
Q2 over 30.5	42.9%	41.8%	49.9%	0.84×	2.39
Q2 under 26.5	33.9%	32.6%	28.4%	1.15×	3.06
Q2 over 32.5	31.7%	32.6%	39.2%	0.83×	3.06
Q2 under 24.5	23.8%	23.2%	19.3%	1.21×	4.31
Q2 over 34.5	22.0%	23.2%	29.9%	0.78×	4.31
Q2 under 21.5	12.3%	12.7%	9.8%	1.30×	7.89
Q2 over 37.5	11.2%	12.7%	17.7%	0.72×	7.90

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Marist Red Foxes to win Q3	48.4%	47.6%	53.3%	0.89×	2.10
Lafayette Leopards to win Q3	45.6%	47.5%	41.8%	1.14×	2.10
Q3 tied	6.0%	5.3%	4.9%	1.07×	18.96

Q3 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 under 40.5	88.4%	87.2%	81.9%	1.07×	1.15
Q3 over 24.5	86.9%	87.2%	89.9%	0.97×	1.15
Q3 under 37.5	77.7%	77.3%	69.7%	1.11×	1.29
Q3 over 27.5	75.3%	77.3%	80.0%	0.97×	1.29
Q3 under 35.5	68.3%	67.8%	59.7%	1.14×	1.48
Q3 over 29.5	65.3%	67.8%	71.8%	0.94×	1.48
Q3 under 33.5	57.4%	58.4%	49.1%	1.19×	1.71
Q3 over 31.5	54.1%	52.3%	61.6%	0.85×	1.91
Q3 under 32.5	51.7%	52.3%	43.9%	1.19×	1.91
Q3 over 32.5	48.3%	47.7%	56.1%	0.85×	2.10
Q3 under 31.5	45.9%	47.7%	38.4%	1.24×	2.10
Q3 over 33.5	42.6%	41.6%	50.9%	0.82×	2.40
Q3 under 29.5	34.7%	32.2%	28.2%	1.14×	3.10
Q3 over 35.5	31.7%	32.2%	40.3%	0.80×	3.11
Q3 under 27.5	24.7%	22.7%	20.0%	1.14×	4.40
Q3 over 37.5	22.3%	22.7%	30.3%	0.75×	4.40
Q3 under 24.5	13.1%	12.8%	10.1%	1.27×	7.83
Q3 over 40.5	11.6%	12.8%	18.1%	0.70×	7.83

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Marist Red Foxes to win Q4	48.4%	47.6%	52.8%	0.90×	2.10
Lafayette Leopards to win Q4	45.7%	47.6%	41.5%	1.15×	2.10
Q4 tied	5.8%	5.8%	5.7%	1.02×	17.25

Q4 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 under 40.5	86.9%	85.6%	80.6%	1.06×	1.17
Q4 over 24.5	85.7%	85.6%	89.0%	0.96×	1.17
Q4 under 37.5	76.2%	76.9%	68.8%	1.12×	1.30
Q4 over 27.5	74.3%	71.5%	78.9%	0.91×	1.40
Q4 under 35.5	67.0%	67.4%	59.4%	1.14×	1.48
Q4 over 29.5	64.8%	61.4%	70.8%	0.87×	1.63
Q4 under 33.5	56.6%	58.4%	49.6%	1.18×	1.71
Q4 over 31.5	54.2%	52.5%	61.1%	0.86×	1.91
Q4 under 32.5	51.2%	52.5%	44.6%	1.18×	1.91
Q4 over 32.5	48.8%	47.5%	55.4%	0.86×	2.11
Q4 under 31.5	45.8%	47.5%	38.9%	1.22×	2.11
Q4 over 33.5	43.4%	41.6%	50.4%	0.83×	2.40
Q4 under 29.5	35.2%	38.6%	29.2%	1.32×	2.59
Q4 over 35.5	33.0%	32.6%	40.6%	0.80×	3.07
Q4 under 27.5	25.7%	28.5%	21.1%	1.35×	3.51
Q4 over 37.5	23.8%	23.1%	31.2%	0.74×	4.33
Q4 under 24.5	14.3%	14.4%	11.0%	1.31×	6.95
Q4 over 40.5	13.1%	14.4%	19.4%	0.74×	6.95

Team total 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Marist Red Foxes under 72.5	86.4%	83.9%	65.7%	1.28×	1.19
Lafayette Leopards under 71.5	86.8%	83.9%	76.1%	1.10×	1.19
Lafayette Leopards over 51.5	85.5%	83.9%	81.0%	1.04×	1.19
Marist Red Foxes over 52.5	84.5%	80.7%	87.7%	0.92×	1.24
Marist Red Foxes under 69.5	78.3%	75.1%	57.4%	1.31×	1.33
Lafayette Leopards under 68.5	78.6%	75.1%	68.6%	1.10×	1.33
Lafayette Leopards over 54.5	76.6%	75.1%	73.5%	1.02×	1.33
Marist Red Foxes over 55.5	75.6%	75.1%	81.6%	0.92×	1.33
Marist Red Foxes under 67.5	71.7%	70.7%	51.3%	1.38×	1.41
Lafayette Leopards under 66.5	71.8%	70.7%	62.7%	1.13×	1.41
Marist Red Foxes over 57.5	68.4%	66.4%	77.2%	0.86×	1.51
Lafayette Leopards over 56.5	69.3%	66.4%	68.0%	0.98×	1.51
Marist Red Foxes under 65.5	64.2%	61.2%	44.7%	1.37×	1.63
Lafayette Leopards under 64.5	64.1%	61.2%	56.9%	1.08×	1.63
Marist Red Foxes over 59.5	60.5%	61.2%	72.2%	0.85×	1.63
Lafayette Leopards over 58.5	61.3%	61.2%	62.1%	0.98×	1.63
Marist Red Foxes under 63.5	56.1%	57.1%	38.5%	1.48×	1.75
Lafayette Leopards under 62.5	55.8%	57.1%	51.0%	1.12×	1.75
Marist Red Foxes over 61.5	52.3%	52.3%	66.9%	0.78×	1.91
Marist Red Foxes under 62.5	51.9%	52.3%	35.7%	1.46×	1.91
Lafayette Leopards over 60.5	52.8%	52.3%	55.6%	0.94×	1.91
Lafayette Leopards under 61.5	51.5%	52.3%	47.9%	1.09×	1.91
Marist Red Foxes under 61.5	47.7%	47.7%	33.1%	1.44×	2.09
Marist Red Foxes over 62.5	48.1%	47.7%	64.3%	0.74×	2.09
Lafayette Leopards under 60.5	47.2%	47.7%	44.4%	1.08×	2.09
Lafayette Leopards over 61.5	48.5%	47.7%	52.1%	0.92×	2.09
Marist Red Foxes over 63.5	43.9%	42.9%	61.5%	0.70×	2.33
Lafayette Leopards over 62.5	44.2%	42.9%	49.0%	0.87×	2.33
Marist Red Foxes under 59.5	39.5%	38.8%	27.8%	1.39×	2.58
Lafayette Leopards under 58.5	38.7%	38.8%	37.9%	1.03×	2.58
Marist Red Foxes over 65.5	35.8%	38.8%	55.3%	0.70×	2.58
Lafayette Leopards over 64.5	35.9%	38.8%	43.2%	0.90×	2.58
Marist Red Foxes under 57.5	31.6%	33.6%	22.8%	1.47×	2.98
Lafayette Leopards under 56.5	30.7%	33.6%	32.0%	1.05×	2.98
Marist Red Foxes over 67.5	28.3%	29.3%	48.7%	0.60×	3.42
Lafayette Leopards over 66.5	28.2%	29.3%	37.3%	0.79×	3.42
Marist Red Foxes under 55.5	24.4%	24.9%	18.5%	1.35×	4.02
Lafayette Leopards under 54.5	23.4%	24.9%	26.5%	0.94×	4.02
Marist Red Foxes over 69.5	21.7%	24.9%	42.6%	0.58×	4.02
Lafayette Leopards over 68.5	21.4%	24.9%	31.4%	0.79×	4.02
Marist Red Foxes under 52.5	15.5%	19.3%	12.3%	1.56×	5.18
Lafayette Leopards under 51.5	14.5%	16.1%	19.0%	0.85×	6.21
Marist Red Foxes over 72.5	13.6%	16.1%	34.3%	0.47×	6.21
Lafayette Leopards over 71.5	13.2%	16.1%	23.9%	0.67×	6.21

Total points 30

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 103.5 points	91.6%	88.8%	93.6%	0.95×	1.13
Under 143.5 points	91.3%	88.8%	76.7%	1.16×	1.13
Over 108.5 points	84.5%	80.6%	88.9%	0.91×	1.24
Under 138.5 points	84.7%	80.6%	67.9%	1.19×	1.24
Under 133.5 points	75.6%	75.6%	58.0%	1.30×	1.32
Over 113.5 points	74.6%	70.8%	81.9%	0.87×	1.41
Under 130.5 points	68.8%	65.9%	51.7%	1.28×	1.52
Over 116.5 points	67.6%	65.9%	77.2%	0.85×	1.52
Under 128.5 points	63.9%	61.5%	47.2%	1.30×	1.63
Over 118.5 points	62.5%	61.5%	73.6%	0.84×	1.63
Under 126.5 points	58.8%	56.5%	42.6%	1.33×	1.77
Over 120.5 points	57.3%	56.5%	69.8%	0.81×	1.77
Under 124.5 points	53.5%	52.3%	38.5%	1.36×	1.91
Over 122.5 points	51.9%	52.3%	65.6%	0.80×	1.91
Under 123.5 points	50.9%	52.3%	36.7%	1.43×	1.91
Over 123.5 points	49.1%	47.7%	63.3%	0.75×	2.10
Under 122.5 points	48.1%	47.7%	34.4%	1.39×	2.10
Over 124.5 points	46.5%	47.7%	61.5%	0.78×	2.10
Under 120.5 points	42.7%	43.5%	30.2%	1.44×	2.30
Over 126.5 points	41.2%	43.5%	57.4%	0.76×	2.30
Under 118.5 points	37.5%	38.5%	26.4%	1.46×	2.60
Over 128.5 points	36.1%	38.5%	52.8%	0.73×	2.60
Under 116.5 points	32.4%	34.1%	22.8%	1.50×	2.93
Over 130.5 points	31.2%	34.1%	48.3%	0.71×	2.93
Under 113.5 points	25.4%	29.2%	18.1%	1.61×	3.43
Over 133.5 points	24.4%	24.4%	42.0%	0.58×	4.10
Under 108.5 points	15.5%	19.4%	11.1%	1.75×	5.15
Over 138.5 points	15.3%	19.4%	32.1%	0.61×	5.15
Under 103.5 points	8.4%	11.2%	6.4%	1.74×	8.96
Over 143.5 points	8.7%	11.2%	23.3%	0.48×	8.96

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Marist Red Foxes to win both halves	21.7%	23.0%	36.0%	0.64×	4.34
Lafayette Leopards to win both halves	18.0%	18.9%	20.4%	0.93×	5.30

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Marist Red Foxes by 1-5	18.2%	16.8%	10.2%	1.64×	5.97
Lafayette Leopards by 1-5	17.5%	16.8%	10.2%	1.65×	5.97
Marist Red Foxes by 6-10	15.1%	16.8%	12.9%	1.30×	5.97
Lafayette Leopards by 6-10	13.6%	12.3%	10.3%	1.20×	8.11
Marist Red Foxes by 11-15	10.3%	12.3%	10.8%	1.14×	8.11
Lafayette Leopards by 11-15	8.6%	7.5%	7.6%	0.98×	13.40
Marist Red Foxes by 16-20	5.7%	7.5%	8.0%	0.93×	13.40
Lafayette Leopards by 16-20	4.5%	2.0%	4.8%	0.43×	49.29
Marist Red Foxes by 21-25	2.6%	2.0%	5.4%	0.38×	49.31
Lafayette Leopards by 21-25	1.9%	2.0%	2.7%	0.76×	49.31
Marist Red Foxes by 26+	1.3%	2.0%	12.6%	0.16×	49.32
Lafayette Leopards by 26+	0.8%	2.0%	4.6%	0.44×	49.32

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