Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks v Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Monday 30 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks win
62.9%
Draw
0.0%
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers win
37.1%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 62.06–58.42 | 62-58 0% | 52% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.20× | 283.36 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.64× | 283.36 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.91× | 283.36 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.36 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.71× | 283.36 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.36 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.36 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.36 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks to win H1 | 55.6% | 57.3% | 56.4% | 1.01× | 1.75 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers to win H1 | 40.0% | 37.8% | 39.9% | 0.95× | 2.64 |
| H1 tied | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.86 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 70.5 | 89.5% | 87.7% | 78.9% | 1.11× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 46.5 | 87.5% | 87.7% | 92.3% | 0.95× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 66.5 | 80.5% | 82.5% | 67.1% | 1.23× | 1.21 |
| H1 over 50.5 | 77.1% | 77.4% | 84.5% | 0.92× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 63.5 | 71.3% | 73.5% | 57.1% | 1.29× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 53.5 | 66.9% | 67.4% | 76.8% | 0.88× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 61.5 | 64.2% | 62.7% | 49.8% | 1.26× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 55.5 | 59.3% | 58.2% | 71.0% | 0.82× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 59.5 | 56.5% | 58.2% | 42.2% | 1.38× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 58.5 | 52.6% | 52.6% | 38.6% | 1.36× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 57.5 | 51.4% | 52.6% | 64.8% | 0.81× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 57.5 | 48.6% | 47.4% | 35.2% | 1.35× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 58.5 | 47.4% | 47.4% | 61.4% | 0.77× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 59.5 | 43.5% | 41.8% | 57.8% | 0.72× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 55.5 | 40.7% | 41.8% | 29.0% | 1.44× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 61.5 | 35.8% | 37.3% | 50.2% | 0.74× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 53.5 | 33.1% | 32.6% | 23.2% | 1.41× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 63.5 | 28.7% | 26.5% | 42.9% | 0.62× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 50.5 | 22.9% | 22.6% | 15.5% | 1.46× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 66.5 | 19.5% | 17.5% | 32.9% | 0.53× | 5.72 |
| H1 under 46.5 | 12.5% | 12.3% | 7.7% | 1.60× | 8.14 |
| H1 over 70.5 | 10.5% | 12.3% | 21.1% | 0.58× | 8.14 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks to win H2 | 56.1% | 55.0% | 56.0% | 0.98× | 1.82 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers to win H2 | 39.6% | 41.2% | 40.6% | 1.02× | 2.43 |
| H2 tied | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.35 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 over 51.5 | 87.5% | 85.2% | 92.7% | 0.92× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 75.5 | 87.5% | 85.2% | 73.0% | 1.17× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 71.5 | 78.1% | 75.8% | 61.1% | 1.24× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 55.5 | 77.5% | 75.8% | 86.1% | 0.88× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 68.5 | 68.8% | 66.4% | 51.3% | 1.29× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 58.5 | 67.9% | 66.4% | 79.6% | 0.83× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 66.5 | 61.8% | 61.6% | 44.6% | 1.38× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 60.5 | 60.8% | 61.6% | 74.5% | 0.83× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 64.5 | 54.4% | 52.4% | 37.9% | 1.38× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 62.5 | 53.3% | 52.4% | 68.3% | 0.77× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 63.5 | 50.6% | 52.4% | 34.7% | 1.51× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 63.5 | 49.4% | 47.6% | 65.3% | 0.73× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 62.5 | 46.8% | 47.6% | 31.7% | 1.50× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 64.5 | 45.6% | 47.6% | 62.1% | 0.77× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 60.5 | 39.2% | 38.4% | 25.5% | 1.50× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 66.5 | 38.2% | 38.4% | 55.4% | 0.69× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 58.5 | 32.1% | 33.6% | 20.4% | 1.65× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 68.5 | 31.2% | 33.6% | 48.7% | 0.69× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 55.5 | 22.5% | 24.2% | 13.9% | 1.74× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 71.5 | 21.9% | 24.2% | 38.9% | 0.62× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 51.5 | 12.5% | 14.8% | 7.3% | 2.02× | 6.76 |
| H2 over 75.5 | 12.5% | 14.8% | 27.0% | 0.55× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks leading at half time | 55.6% | 56.9% | 56.4% | 1.01× | 1.76 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers leading at half time | 40.0% | 37.9% | 39.9% | 0.95× | 2.64 |
| Level at half time | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.40 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks +16.5 | 96.5% | 97.4% | 89.1% | 1.09× | 1.03 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks +18.5 | 97.7% | 97.4% | 91.1% | 1.07× | 1.03 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks +20.5 | 98.6% | 97.4% | 92.7% | 1.05× | 1.03 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks +14.5 | 94.8% | 91.1% | 86.7% | 1.05× | 1.10 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks +12.5 | 92.5% | 91.1% | 83.8% | 1.09× | 1.10 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers +20.5 | 93.9% | 91.1% | 82.0% | 1.11× | 1.10 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers +18.5 | 91.2% | 91.1% | 79.3% | 1.15× | 1.10 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks +10.5 | 89.5% | 85.9% | 80.4% | 1.07× | 1.16 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks +9.5 | 87.7% | 85.9% | 78.7% | 1.09× | 1.16 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers +16.5 | 87.9% | 85.9% | 75.7% | 1.13× | 1.16 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks +8.5 | 85.8% | 85.9% | 76.5% | 1.12× | 1.16 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks +7.5 | 83.6% | 81.1% | 74.5% | 1.09× | 1.23 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers +14.5 | 83.7% | 81.1% | 72.1% | 1.12× | 1.23 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks +6.5 | 81.2% | 81.1% | 72.3% | 1.12× | 1.23 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks +5.5 | 78.6% | 76.5% | 70.1% | 1.09× | 1.31 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers +12.5 | 78.7% | 76.5% | 67.9% | 1.13× | 1.31 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks +4.5 | 75.8% | 76.5% | 67.8% | 1.13× | 1.31 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks +3.5 | 72.8% | 71.6% | 65.7% | 1.09× | 1.40 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers +10.5 | 72.9% | 71.6% | 63.2% | 1.13× | 1.40 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks +2.5 | 69.7% | 66.7% | 63.3% | 1.05× | 1.50 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers +9.5 | 69.8% | 66.7% | 60.7% | 1.10× | 1.50 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks +1.5 | 66.3% | 66.7% | 61.2% | 1.09× | 1.50 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers +8.5 | 66.4% | 66.7% | 58.0% | 1.15× | 1.50 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers +7.5 | 63.0% | 61.9% | 55.2% | 1.12× | 1.62 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks −1.5 | 59.2% | 57.1% | 58.7% | 0.97× | 1.75 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers +6.5 | 59.4% | 57.1% | 52.4% | 1.09× | 1.75 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks −2.5 | 55.5% | 57.1% | 56.7% | 1.01× | 1.75 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers +5.5 | 55.7% | 57.1% | 50.3% | 1.13× | 1.75 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers +4.5 | 52.0% | 52.4% | 47.8% | 1.10× | 1.91 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks −3.5 | 51.7% | 52.4% | 54.2% | 0.97× | 1.91 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers +3.5 | 48.3% | 47.6% | 45.8% | 1.04× | 2.10 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks −4.5 | 48.0% | 47.6% | 52.2% | 0.91× | 2.10 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers +2.5 | 44.5% | 42.9% | 43.3% | 0.99× | 2.33 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks −5.5 | 44.3% | 42.9% | 49.7% | 0.86× | 2.33 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers +1.5 | 40.8% | 42.9% | 41.3% | 1.04× | 2.33 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks −6.5 | 40.6% | 42.9% | 47.6% | 0.90× | 2.33 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks −7.5 | 37.0% | 38.1% | 44.8% | 0.85× | 2.63 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers −1.5 | 33.7% | 33.3% | 38.8% | 0.86× | 3.01 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks −8.5 | 33.6% | 33.3% | 42.0% | 0.79× | 3.01 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers −2.5 | 30.3% | 33.3% | 36.7% | 0.91× | 3.01 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks −9.5 | 30.2% | 33.3% | 39.3% | 0.85× | 3.01 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers −3.5 | 27.2% | 28.4% | 34.3% | 0.83× | 3.53 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks −10.5 | 27.1% | 28.4% | 36.8% | 0.77× | 3.53 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers −4.5 | 24.2% | 23.5% | 32.2% | 0.73× | 4.25 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers −5.5 | 21.4% | 23.5% | 29.9% | 0.79× | 4.25 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks −12.5 | 21.3% | 23.5% | 32.1% | 0.73× | 4.25 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers −6.5 | 18.8% | 18.9% | 27.7% | 0.68× | 5.29 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers −7.5 | 16.4% | 18.9% | 25.5% | 0.74× | 5.30 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks −14.5 | 16.3% | 18.9% | 27.9% | 0.68× | 5.30 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers −8.5 | 14.2% | 14.1% | 23.5% | 0.60× | 7.09 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers −9.5 | 12.3% | 14.1% | 21.3% | 0.66× | 7.09 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks −16.5 | 12.1% | 14.1% | 24.3% | 0.58× | 7.09 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers −10.5 | 10.5% | 14.1% | 19.6% | 0.72× | 7.09 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks −18.5 | 8.8% | 8.9% | 20.7% | 0.43× | 11.25 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers −12.5 | 7.5% | 8.9% | 16.2% | 0.55× | 11.25 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks −20.5 | 6.1% | 8.9% | 18.0% | 0.49× | 11.25 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers −14.5 | 5.2% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 0.67× | 11.25 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers −16.5 | 3.5% | 2.6% | 10.9% | 0.24× | 38.73 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers −18.5 | 2.3% | 2.6% | 8.9% | 0.29× | 38.73 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers −20.5 | 1.4% | 2.6% | 7.3% | 0.35× | 38.73 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 70.5% | 67.1% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 29.5% | 32.9% | 33.3% | 0.99× | 3.04 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 highest scoring | 33.8% | 31.9% | 31.2% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 32.0% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 17.9% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 16.4% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.02× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks at HT / Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks at FT | 45.0% | 41.0% | 48.3% | 0.85× | 2.44 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers at HT / Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers at FT | 24.7% | 24.4% | 30.1% | 0.81× | 4.09 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers at HT / Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks at FT | 15.2% | 15.4% | 9.8% | 1.58× | 6.47 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks at HT / Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers at FT | 10.6% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 1.49× | 8.18 |
| Level at HT / Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks at FT | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.75 |
| Level at HT / Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers at FT | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.76 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks to win | 62.9% | 60.7% | 59.9% | 1.01× | 1.65 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers to win | 37.1% | 39.3% | 40.1% | 0.98× | 2.54 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total points odd | 51.8% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks even | 50.1% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers even | 50.1% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks odd | 49.9% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers odd | 49.9% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 48.2% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 94.1% | 94.0% | 95.6% | 0.98× | 1.06 |
| Match to go to overtime | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.35× | 16.66 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks to win Q1 | 52.2% | 52.6% | 54.7% | 0.96× | 1.90 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers to win Q1 | 41.7% | 42.9% | 40.4% | 1.06× | 2.33 |
| Q1 tied | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.11× | 18.31 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 under 37.5 | 89.4% | 87.4% | 81.6% | 1.07× | 1.14 |
| Q1 over 21.5 | 87.3% | 87.4% | 91.5% | 0.96× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 34.5 | 78.9% | 76.9% | 68.5% | 1.12× | 1.30 |
| Q1 over 24.5 | 75.4% | 76.9% | 81.8% | 0.94× | 1.30 |
| Q1 under 32.5 | 69.4% | 67.6% | 59.1% | 1.14× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 26.5 | 65.1% | 67.6% | 72.9% | 0.93× | 1.48 |
| Q1 under 30.5 | 58.3% | 58.6% | 48.8% | 1.20× | 1.71 |
| Q1 over 28.5 | 53.6% | 52.7% | 62.7% | 0.84× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 29.5 | 52.4% | 52.7% | 43.1% | 1.22× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 29.5 | 47.6% | 47.3% | 56.9% | 0.83× | 2.11 |
| Q1 under 28.5 | 46.4% | 47.3% | 37.3% | 1.27× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 30.5 | 41.7% | 41.4% | 51.2% | 0.81× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 26.5 | 34.9% | 32.4% | 27.1% | 1.20× | 3.08 |
| Q1 over 32.5 | 30.6% | 32.4% | 40.9% | 0.79× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 24.5 | 24.6% | 23.1% | 18.2% | 1.27× | 4.33 |
| Q1 over 34.5 | 21.1% | 23.1% | 31.5% | 0.73× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 21.5 | 12.7% | 12.6% | 8.5% | 1.49× | 7.95 |
| Q1 over 37.5 | 10.6% | 12.6% | 18.4% | 0.68× | 7.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks to win Q2 | 52.2% | 51.4% | 52.9% | 0.97× | 1.95 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers to win Q2 | 41.9% | 43.9% | 41.5% | 1.06× | 2.28 |
| Q2 tied | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 1.07× | 16.49 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 37.5 | 90.2% | 90.8% | 82.3% | 1.10× | 1.10 |
| Q2 over 21.5 | 86.3% | 87.3% | 90.2% | 0.97× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 34.5 | 80.2% | 83.0% | 70.1% | 1.18× | 1.21 |
| Q2 over 24.5 | 74.0% | 72.0% | 80.7% | 0.89× | 1.39 |
| Q2 under 32.5 | 70.9% | 72.0% | 60.8% | 1.18× | 1.39 |
| Q2 over 26.5 | 63.4% | 60.7% | 71.6% | 0.85× | 1.65 |
| Q2 under 30.5 | 60.0% | 60.7% | 50.1% | 1.21× | 1.65 |
| Q2 under 29.5 | 54.2% | 52.7% | 44.2% | 1.19× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 28.5 | 51.8% | 52.7% | 61.2% | 0.86× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 28.5 | 48.2% | 47.3% | 38.8% | 1.22× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 29.5 | 45.8% | 47.3% | 55.8% | 0.85× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 30.5 | 40.0% | 39.3% | 49.9% | 0.79× | 2.54 |
| Q2 under 26.5 | 36.6% | 39.3% | 28.4% | 1.38× | 2.55 |
| Q2 over 32.5 | 29.1% | 28.0% | 39.2% | 0.71× | 3.57 |
| Q2 under 24.5 | 26.0% | 28.0% | 19.3% | 1.45× | 3.57 |
| Q2 over 34.5 | 19.8% | 17.0% | 29.9% | 0.57× | 5.88 |
| Q2 under 21.5 | 13.7% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 1.30× | 7.89 |
| Q2 over 37.5 | 9.8% | 9.2% | 17.7% | 0.52× | 10.83 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks to win Q3 | 52.6% | 52.7% | 53.3% | 0.99× | 1.90 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers to win Q3 | 41.4% | 42.3% | 41.8% | 1.01× | 2.37 |
| Q3 tied | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 1.07× | 18.96 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 over 23.5 | 88.4% | 87.2% | 92.2% | 0.95× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 39.5 | 87.1% | 87.2% | 77.9% | 1.12× | 1.15 |
| Q3 over 26.5 | 77.4% | 77.3% | 83.8% | 0.92× | 1.29 |
| Q3 under 36.5 | 75.8% | 77.3% | 64.6% | 1.20× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 28.5 | 67.8% | 67.8% | 76.4% | 0.89× | 1.48 |
| Q3 under 34.5 | 65.9% | 67.8% | 54.6% | 1.24× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 30.5 | 56.7% | 58.4% | 66.8% | 0.87× | 1.71 |
| Q3 under 32.5 | 54.8% | 52.3% | 43.9% | 1.19× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 31.5 | 51.0% | 52.3% | 61.6% | 0.85× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 31.5 | 49.0% | 47.7% | 38.4% | 1.24× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 32.5 | 45.2% | 47.7% | 56.1% | 0.85× | 2.10 |
| Q3 under 30.5 | 43.3% | 41.6% | 33.2% | 1.26× | 2.40 |
| Q3 over 34.5 | 34.1% | 32.2% | 45.4% | 0.71× | 3.10 |
| Q3 under 28.5 | 32.2% | 32.2% | 23.6% | 1.36× | 3.10 |
| Q3 over 36.5 | 24.2% | 22.7% | 35.4% | 0.64× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 26.5 | 22.6% | 22.7% | 16.2% | 1.40× | 4.40 |
| Q3 over 39.5 | 12.9% | 12.8% | 22.1% | 0.58× | 7.83 |
| Q3 under 23.5 | 11.6% | 12.8% | 7.8% | 1.64× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks to win Q4 | 52.6% | 51.4% | 52.8% | 0.97× | 1.95 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers to win Q4 | 41.6% | 43.1% | 41.5% | 1.04× | 2.32 |
| Q4 tied | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.02× | 17.25 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 40.5 | 88.4% | 85.6% | 80.6% | 1.06× | 1.17 |
| Q4 over 24.5 | 84.0% | 82.0% | 89.0% | 0.92× | 1.22 |
| Q4 under 37.5 | 78.5% | 76.9% | 68.8% | 1.12× | 1.30 |
| Q4 over 27.5 | 71.9% | 71.5% | 78.9% | 0.91× | 1.40 |
| Q4 under 35.5 | 69.7% | 67.4% | 59.4% | 1.14× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 29.5 | 62.0% | 61.4% | 70.8% | 0.87× | 1.63 |
| Q4 under 33.5 | 59.6% | 58.4% | 49.6% | 1.18× | 1.71 |
| Q4 under 32.5 | 54.2% | 52.5% | 44.6% | 1.18× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 31.5 | 51.3% | 52.5% | 61.1% | 0.86× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 31.5 | 48.7% | 47.5% | 38.9% | 1.22× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 32.5 | 45.8% | 47.5% | 55.4% | 0.86× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 33.5 | 40.4% | 41.6% | 50.4% | 0.83× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 29.5 | 38.0% | 38.6% | 29.2% | 1.32× | 2.59 |
| Q4 over 35.5 | 30.3% | 32.6% | 40.6% | 0.80× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 27.5 | 28.1% | 28.5% | 21.1% | 1.35× | 3.51 |
| Q4 over 37.5 | 21.5% | 23.1% | 31.2% | 0.74× | 4.33 |
| Q4 under 24.5 | 16.0% | 18.0% | 11.0% | 1.64× | 5.56 |
| Q4 over 40.5 | 11.6% | 14.4% | 19.4% | 0.74× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers under 69.5 | 88.0% | 83.9% | 71.2% | 1.18× | 1.19 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks over 52.5 | 85.4% | 83.9% | 87.7% | 0.96× | 1.19 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks under 72.5 | 85.6% | 83.9% | 65.7% | 1.28× | 1.19 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers over 49.5 | 84.8% | 80.7% | 85.1% | 0.95× | 1.24 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers under 66.5 | 80.3% | 80.7% | 62.7% | 1.29× | 1.24 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks over 55.5 | 76.7% | 75.1% | 81.6% | 0.92× | 1.33 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks under 69.5 | 77.3% | 75.1% | 57.4% | 1.31× | 1.33 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers over 52.5 | 75.3% | 75.1% | 78.5% | 0.96× | 1.33 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers under 64.5 | 73.7% | 70.7% | 56.9% | 1.24× | 1.41 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks under 67.5 | 70.5% | 70.7% | 51.3% | 1.38× | 1.41 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks over 57.5 | 69.7% | 66.4% | 77.2% | 0.86× | 1.51 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers over 54.5 | 67.7% | 66.4% | 73.5% | 0.90× | 1.51 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers under 62.5 | 66.2% | 66.4% | 51.0% | 1.30× | 1.51 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks under 65.5 | 62.8% | 61.2% | 44.7% | 1.37× | 1.63 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks over 59.5 | 62.0% | 61.2% | 72.2% | 0.85× | 1.63 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers over 56.5 | 59.3% | 57.1% | 68.0% | 0.84× | 1.75 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers under 60.5 | 58.0% | 57.1% | 44.4% | 1.29× | 1.75 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks over 61.5 | 53.7% | 52.3% | 66.9% | 0.78× | 1.91 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks under 63.5 | 54.7% | 52.3% | 38.5% | 1.36× | 1.91 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers under 59.5 | 53.7% | 52.3% | 41.2% | 1.27× | 1.91 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks under 62.5 | 50.5% | 52.3% | 35.7% | 1.46× | 1.91 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers over 58.5 | 50.7% | 52.3% | 62.1% | 0.84× | 1.91 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks over 62.5 | 49.5% | 47.7% | 64.3% | 0.74× | 2.09 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers under 58.5 | 49.3% | 47.7% | 37.9% | 1.26× | 2.09 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks under 61.5 | 46.3% | 47.7% | 33.1% | 1.44× | 2.09 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks over 63.5 | 45.3% | 47.7% | 61.5% | 0.78× | 2.09 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers over 59.5 | 46.3% | 47.7% | 58.8% | 0.81× | 2.09 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers over 60.5 | 42.0% | 42.9% | 55.6% | 0.77× | 2.33 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers under 56.5 | 40.7% | 42.9% | 32.0% | 1.34× | 2.33 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks under 59.5 | 38.0% | 38.8% | 27.8% | 1.39× | 2.58 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks over 65.5 | 37.2% | 38.8% | 55.3% | 0.70× | 2.58 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers over 62.5 | 33.8% | 33.6% | 49.0% | 0.69× | 2.98 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers under 54.5 | 32.3% | 33.6% | 26.5% | 1.27× | 2.98 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks under 57.5 | 30.3% | 33.6% | 22.8% | 1.47× | 2.98 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks over 67.5 | 29.5% | 29.3% | 48.7% | 0.60× | 3.42 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers over 64.5 | 26.3% | 29.3% | 43.2% | 0.68× | 3.42 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers under 52.5 | 24.7% | 24.9% | 21.5% | 1.16× | 4.02 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks under 55.5 | 23.3% | 24.9% | 18.5% | 1.35× | 4.02 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks over 69.5 | 22.7% | 24.9% | 42.6% | 0.58× | 4.02 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers over 66.5 | 19.7% | 19.3% | 37.3% | 0.52× | 5.18 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers under 49.5 | 15.2% | 19.3% | 14.9% | 1.29× | 5.18 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks under 52.5 | 14.6% | 16.1% | 12.3% | 1.30× | 6.21 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks over 72.5 | 14.4% | 16.1% | 34.3% | 0.47× | 6.21 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers over 69.5 | 12.0% | 16.1% | 28.8% | 0.56× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 101.5 points | 91.9% | 88.8% | 94.8% | 0.94× | 1.13 |
| Under 141.5 points | 91.6% | 88.8% | 73.4% | 1.21× | 1.13 |
| Under 136.5 points | 85.1% | 85.0% | 64.2% | 1.32× | 1.18 |
| Over 106.5 points | 84.7% | 80.6% | 91.0% | 0.89× | 1.24 |
| Under 131.5 points | 76.0% | 75.6% | 53.9% | 1.40× | 1.32 |
| Over 111.5 points | 74.6% | 70.8% | 85.1% | 0.83× | 1.41 |
| Under 128.5 points | 69.2% | 65.9% | 47.2% | 1.40× | 1.52 |
| Over 114.5 points | 67.5% | 65.9% | 80.4% | 0.82× | 1.52 |
| Under 126.5 points | 64.4% | 61.5% | 42.6% | 1.44× | 1.63 |
| Over 116.5 points | 62.3% | 61.5% | 77.2% | 0.80× | 1.63 |
| Under 124.5 points | 59.2% | 56.5% | 38.5% | 1.47× | 1.77 |
| Over 118.5 points | 57.0% | 56.5% | 73.6% | 0.77× | 1.77 |
| Under 122.5 points | 53.9% | 52.3% | 34.4% | 1.52× | 1.91 |
| Over 120.5 points | 51.6% | 52.3% | 69.8% | 0.75× | 1.91 |
| Under 121.5 points | 51.3% | 52.3% | 32.3% | 1.62× | 1.91 |
| Over 121.5 points | 48.7% | 47.7% | 67.7% | 0.70× | 2.10 |
| Under 120.5 points | 48.4% | 47.7% | 30.2% | 1.58× | 2.10 |
| Over 122.5 points | 46.1% | 47.7% | 65.6% | 0.73× | 2.10 |
| Under 118.5 points | 43.0% | 43.5% | 26.4% | 1.64× | 2.30 |
| Over 124.5 points | 40.8% | 43.5% | 61.5% | 0.71× | 2.30 |
| Under 116.5 points | 37.7% | 38.5% | 22.8% | 1.69× | 2.60 |
| Over 126.5 points | 35.6% | 38.5% | 57.4% | 0.67× | 2.60 |
| Under 114.5 points | 32.5% | 34.1% | 19.6% | 1.74× | 2.93 |
| Over 128.5 points | 30.8% | 34.1% | 52.8% | 0.65× | 2.93 |
| Under 111.5 points | 25.4% | 29.2% | 14.9% | 1.95× | 3.43 |
| Over 131.5 points | 24.0% | 24.4% | 46.1% | 0.53× | 4.10 |
| Under 106.5 points | 15.3% | 19.4% | 9.0% | 2.16× | 5.15 |
| Over 136.5 points | 14.9% | 15.0% | 35.8% | 0.42× | 6.68 |
| Under 101.5 points | 8.1% | 11.2% | 5.2% | 2.15× | 8.96 |
| Over 141.5 points | 8.4% | 11.2% | 26.6% | 0.42× | 8.96 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks to win both halves | 28.1% | 27.2% | 36.0% | 0.75× | 3.68 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers to win both halves | 12.9% | 14.0% | 20.4% | 0.69× | 7.12 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks by 1-5 | 18.6% | 16.8% | 10.2% | 1.64× | 5.97 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks by 6-10 | 17.2% | 16.8% | 12.9% | 1.30× | 5.97 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers by 1-5 | 15.7% | 16.8% | 10.2% | 1.65× | 5.97 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks by 11-15 | 13.0% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 1.14× | 8.11 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers by 6-10 | 10.9% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 1.20× | 8.11 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks by 16-20 | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 0.93× | 13.40 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers by 11-15 | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 0.98× | 13.40 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks by 21-25 | 3.9% | 2.0% | 5.4% | 0.38× | 49.29 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers by 16-20 | 2.8% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 0.43× | 49.30 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers by 21-25 | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 0.76× | 49.32 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks by 26+ | 2.2% | 2.0% | 12.6% | 0.16× | 49.31 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers by 26+ | 0.4% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 0.44× | 49.32 |