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Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks v Oregon Ducks — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 26 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks win
2.0%
Draw
0.0%
Oregon Ducks win
98.0%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 52.84–75.78 53-76 0% 55% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.36
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Oregon Ducks to score 100+ 0.6% 0.4% 0.5% 0.72× 283.24
Oregon Ducks to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.35
Oregon Ducks to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Oregon Ducks to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Oregon Ducks to win H1 87.6% 88.7% 39.9% 2.22× 1.13
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks to win H1 10.2% 10.7% 56.4% 0.19× 9.32
H1 tied 2.2% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.87
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 74.5 89.2% 87.7% 87.2% 1.01× 1.14
H1 over 50.5 88.8% 87.7% 84.5% 1.04× 1.14
H1 under 70.5 79.8% 77.4% 78.9% 0.98× 1.29
H1 over 54.5 78.8% 77.4% 74.0% 1.05× 1.29
H1 under 67.5 70.3% 73.5% 70.4% 1.04× 1.36
H1 over 57.5 68.7% 67.4% 64.8% 1.04× 1.48
H1 under 65.5 63.0% 62.7% 63.9% 0.98× 1.59
H1 over 59.5 61.1% 62.7% 57.8% 1.08× 1.59
H1 under 63.5 55.1% 58.2% 57.1% 1.02× 1.72
H1 over 61.5 53.0% 52.6% 50.2% 1.05× 1.90
H1 under 62.5 51.0% 52.6% 53.7% 0.98× 1.90
H1 over 62.5 49.0% 47.4% 46.3% 1.02× 2.11
H1 under 61.5 47.0% 47.4% 49.8% 0.95× 2.11
H1 over 63.5 44.9% 41.8% 42.9% 0.97× 2.39
H1 under 59.5 38.9% 37.3% 42.2% 0.88× 2.68
H1 over 65.5 37.0% 37.3% 36.1% 1.03× 2.68
H1 under 57.5 31.3% 32.6% 35.2% 0.93× 3.07
H1 over 67.5 29.7% 26.5% 29.6% 0.90× 3.77
H1 under 54.5 21.2% 22.6% 26.0% 0.87× 4.43
H1 over 70.5 20.2% 22.6% 21.1% 1.07× 4.43
H1 under 50.5 11.2% 12.3% 15.5% 0.80× 8.14
H1 over 74.5 10.8% 12.3% 12.8% 0.96× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Oregon Ducks to win H2 89.0% 84.2% 40.6% 2.08× 1.19
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks to win H2 9.0% 11.3% 56.0% 0.20× 8.82
H2 tied 2.0% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.37
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 80.5 88.3% 85.2% 84.0% 1.01× 1.17
H2 over 56.5 87.6% 85.2% 84.1% 1.01× 1.17
H2 under 76.5 79.0% 75.8% 75.6% 1.00× 1.32
H2 over 60.5 77.5% 75.8% 74.5% 1.02× 1.32
H2 under 73.5 69.8% 66.4% 67.1% 0.99× 1.51
H2 over 63.5 67.6% 66.4% 65.3% 1.02× 1.51
H2 under 71.5 62.8% 61.6% 61.1% 1.01× 1.62
H2 over 65.5 60.3% 61.6% 58.8% 1.05× 1.62
H2 under 69.5 55.2% 57.3% 54.8% 1.05× 1.74
H2 over 67.5 52.6% 52.4% 52.1% 1.00× 1.91
H2 under 68.5 51.3% 52.4% 51.3% 1.02× 1.91
H2 over 68.5 48.7% 47.6% 48.7% 0.98× 2.10
H2 under 67.5 47.4% 47.6% 47.9% 1.00× 2.10
H2 over 69.5 44.8% 42.7% 45.2% 0.94× 2.34
H2 under 65.5 39.7% 38.4% 41.2% 0.93× 2.61
H2 over 71.5 37.2% 38.4% 38.9% 0.99× 2.61
H2 under 63.5 32.4% 33.6% 34.7% 0.97× 2.97
H2 over 73.5 30.2% 33.6% 32.9% 1.02× 2.97
H2 under 60.5 22.5% 24.2% 25.5% 0.95× 4.13
H2 over 76.5 21.0% 24.2% 24.4% 0.99× 4.13
H2 under 56.5 12.4% 14.8% 15.9% 0.93× 6.76
H2 over 80.5 11.7% 14.8% 16.0% 0.93× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Oregon Ducks leading at half time 87.6% 89.4% 39.9% 2.24× 1.12
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks leading at half time 10.2% 10.2% 56.4% 0.18× 9.78
Level at half time 2.2% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.43
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Oregon Ducks +5.5 99.4% 97.4% 50.3% 1.94× 1.03
Oregon Ducks +6.5 99.5% 97.4% 52.4% 1.86× 1.03
Oregon Ducks +7.5 99.6% 97.4% 55.2% 1.76× 1.03
Oregon Ducks +8.5 99.7% 97.4% 58.0% 1.68× 1.03
Oregon Ducks +9.5 99.8% 97.4% 60.7% 1.61× 1.03
Oregon Ducks +10.5 99.8% 97.4% 63.2% 1.54× 1.03
Oregon Ducks +12.5 99.9% 97.4% 67.9% 1.44× 1.03
Oregon Ducks +14.5 100.0% 97.4% 72.1% 1.35× 1.03
Oregon Ducks +16.5 100.0% 97.4% 75.7% 1.29× 1.03
Oregon Ducks +18.5 100.0% 97.4% 79.3% 1.23× 1.03
Oregon Ducks +20.5 100.0% 97.4% 82.0% 1.19× 1.03
Oregon Ducks +1.5 98.4% 97.4% 41.3% 2.36× 1.03
Oregon Ducks −1.5 97.4% 97.4% 38.8% 2.51× 1.03
Oregon Ducks +2.5 98.7% 97.4% 43.3% 2.25× 1.03
Oregon Ducks −2.5 96.7% 97.4% 36.7% 2.66× 1.03
Oregon Ducks +3.5 99.0% 97.4% 45.8% 2.13× 1.03
Oregon Ducks −3.5 95.9% 97.4% 34.3% 2.84× 1.03
Oregon Ducks +4.5 99.2% 97.4% 47.8% 2.04× 1.03
Oregon Ducks −4.5 95.0% 91.1% 32.2% 2.83× 1.10
Oregon Ducks −5.5 93.9% 91.1% 29.9% 3.05× 1.10
Oregon Ducks −6.5 92.6% 91.1% 27.7% 3.29× 1.10
Oregon Ducks −7.5 91.2% 91.1% 25.5% 3.58× 1.10
Oregon Ducks −8.5 89.6% 85.9% 23.5% 3.65× 1.16
Oregon Ducks −9.5 87.8% 85.9% 21.3% 4.03× 1.16
Oregon Ducks −10.5 85.8% 85.9% 19.6% 4.38× 1.16
Oregon Ducks −12.5 81.2% 81.1% 16.2% 4.99× 1.23
Oregon Ducks −14.5 75.8% 76.5% 13.3% 5.77× 1.31
Oregon Ducks −16.5 69.7% 66.7% 10.9% 6.14× 1.50
Oregon Ducks −18.5 62.9% 61.9% 8.9% 6.94× 1.62
Oregon Ducks −20.5 55.7% 57.1% 7.3% 7.84× 1.75
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks +20.5 44.3% 42.9% 92.7% 0.46× 2.33
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks +18.5 37.1% 38.1% 91.1% 0.42× 2.63
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks +16.5 30.3% 33.3% 89.1% 0.37× 3.01
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks +14.5 24.2% 23.5% 86.7% 0.27× 4.25
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks +12.5 18.8% 18.9% 83.8% 0.23× 5.29
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks +10.5 14.2% 14.1% 80.4% 0.18× 7.09
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks +9.5 12.2% 14.1% 78.7% 0.18× 7.09
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks +8.5 10.4% 14.1% 76.5% 0.18× 7.09
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks +7.5 8.8% 8.9% 74.5% 0.12× 11.25
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks +5.5 6.1% 8.9% 70.1% 0.13× 11.25
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks +6.5 7.4% 8.9% 72.3% 0.12× 11.25
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks +4.5 5.0% 8.9% 67.8% 0.13× 11.25
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks −1.5 1.6% 2.6% 58.7% 0.04× 38.73
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks +1.5 2.6% 2.6% 61.2% 0.04× 38.73
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks −2.5 1.3% 2.6% 56.7% 0.05× 38.74
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks +2.5 3.3% 2.6% 63.3% 0.04× 38.73
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks −3.5 1.0% 2.6% 54.2% 0.05× 38.74
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks +3.5 4.1% 2.6% 65.7% 0.04× 38.72
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks −4.5 0.8% 2.6% 52.2% 0.05× 38.74
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks −5.5 0.6% 2.6% 49.7% 0.05× 38.74
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks −6.5 0.5% 2.6% 47.6% 0.05× 38.74
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks −7.5 0.4% 2.6% 44.8% 0.06× 38.74
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks −8.5 0.3% 2.6% 42.0% 0.06× 38.74
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks −9.5 0.2% 2.6% 39.3% 0.07× 38.74
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks −10.5 0.2% 2.6% 36.8% 0.07× 38.74
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks −12.5 0.1% 2.6% 32.1% 0.08× 38.74
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks −14.5 0.0% 2.6% 27.9% 0.09× 38.74
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks −16.5 0.0% 2.6% 24.3% 0.11× 38.74
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks −18.5 0.0% 2.6% 20.7% 0.12× 38.74
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks −20.5 0.0% 2.6% 18.0% 0.14× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 72.1% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 27.9% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.5% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.6% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.2% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 15.7% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Oregon Ducks at HT / Oregon Ducks at FT 86.9% 89.1% 30.1% 2.96× 1.12
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks at HT / Oregon Ducks at FT 9.0% 8.3% 8.2% 1.01× 12.08
Level at HT / Oregon Ducks at FT 2.1% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.76
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks at HT / Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks at FT 1.2% 2.1% 48.3% 0.04× 47.77
Level at HT / Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks at FT 0.1% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.79
Oregon Ducks at HT / Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks at FT 0.7% 2.1% 9.8% 0.21× 47.78
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Oregon Ducks to win 98.0% 97.5% 40.1% 2.43× 1.03
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks to win 2.0% 2.5% 59.9% 0.04× 39.40
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks even 50.4% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Oregon Ducks even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Total points odd 50.2% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks odd 49.6% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Oregon Ducks odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 49.8% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 98.2% 97.0% 95.6% 1.02× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 1.8% 3.0% 4.4% 0.67× 33.54
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Oregon Ducks to win Q1 77.0% 79.9% 40.4% 1.98× 1.25
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks to win Q1 18.6% 15.7% 54.7% 0.29× 6.35
Q1 tied 4.4% 4.2% 4.9% 0.85× 23.95
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 39.5 89.0% 87.4% 87.5% 1.00× 1.14
Q1 over 23.5 88.2% 87.4% 85.4% 1.02× 1.14
Q1 under 36.5 78.2% 76.9% 77.4% 0.99× 1.30
Q1 over 26.5 76.6% 76.9% 72.9% 1.06× 1.30
Q1 under 34.5 68.4% 67.6% 68.5% 0.99× 1.48
Q1 over 28.5 66.4% 67.6% 62.7% 1.08× 1.48
Q1 under 32.5 57.1% 58.6% 59.1% 0.99× 1.71
Q1 over 30.5 54.9% 52.7% 51.2% 1.03× 1.90
Q1 under 31.5 51.1% 52.7% 54.0% 0.98× 1.90
Q1 over 31.5 48.9% 47.3% 46.0% 1.03× 2.11
Q1 under 30.5 45.1% 47.3% 48.8% 0.97× 2.11
Q1 over 32.5 42.9% 41.4% 40.9% 1.01× 2.42
Q1 under 28.5 33.6% 32.4% 37.3% 0.87× 3.08
Q1 over 34.5 31.6% 32.4% 31.5% 1.03× 3.08
Q1 under 26.5 23.4% 23.1% 27.1% 0.85× 4.33
Q1 over 36.5 21.8% 23.1% 22.6% 1.02× 4.33
Q1 under 23.5 11.8% 12.6% 14.6% 0.86× 7.95
Q1 over 39.5 11.0% 12.6% 12.5% 1.00× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Oregon Ducks to win Q2 76.3% 80.6% 41.5% 1.95× 1.24
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks to win Q2 19.3% 14.7% 52.9% 0.28× 6.80
Q2 tied 4.4% 4.4% 5.7% 0.77× 22.89
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 39.5 89.9% 87.3% 88.4% 0.99× 1.15
Q2 over 23.5 87.1% 87.3% 84.6% 1.03× 1.15
Q2 under 36.5 79.6% 76.8% 78.7% 0.98× 1.30
Q2 over 26.5 75.1% 76.8% 71.6% 1.07× 1.30
Q2 under 34.5 70.1% 72.0% 70.1% 1.03× 1.39
Q2 over 28.5 64.6% 60.7% 61.2% 0.99× 1.65
Q2 under 32.5 59.0% 58.2% 60.8% 0.96× 1.72
Q2 under 31.5 53.1% 52.7% 55.7% 0.95× 1.90
Q2 over 30.5 52.9% 52.7% 49.9% 1.06× 1.90
Q2 under 30.5 47.1% 47.3% 50.1% 0.94× 2.11
Q2 over 31.5 46.9% 47.3% 44.3% 1.07× 2.11
Q2 over 32.5 41.0% 41.8% 39.2% 1.07× 2.39
Q2 under 28.5 35.4% 39.3% 38.8% 1.01× 2.55
Q2 over 34.5 29.9% 28.0% 29.9% 0.94× 3.57
Q2 under 26.5 24.9% 23.2% 28.4% 0.82× 4.31
Q2 over 36.5 20.4% 23.2% 21.3% 1.09× 4.31
Q2 under 23.5 12.9% 12.7% 15.4% 0.82× 7.89
Q2 over 39.5 10.1% 12.7% 11.6% 1.09× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Oregon Ducks to win Q3 78.5% 81.6% 41.8% 1.95× 1.23
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks to win Q3 17.3% 15.1% 53.3% 0.28× 6.63
Q3 tied 4.1% 4.3% 4.9% 0.86× 23.45
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 42.5 89.1% 87.2% 87.8% 0.99× 1.15
Q3 over 26.5 86.9% 87.2% 83.8% 1.04× 1.15
Q3 under 39.5 78.7% 77.3% 77.9% 0.99× 1.29
Q3 over 29.5 75.0% 71.8% 71.8% 1.00× 1.39
Q3 under 37.5 69.2% 67.8% 69.7% 0.97× 1.48
Q3 over 31.5 64.8% 62.0% 61.6% 1.01× 1.61
Q3 under 35.5 58.3% 58.4% 59.7% 0.98× 1.71
Q3 over 33.5 53.4% 52.3% 50.9% 1.03× 1.91
Q3 under 34.5 52.5% 52.3% 54.6% 0.96× 1.91
Q3 over 34.5 47.5% 47.7% 45.4% 1.05× 2.10
Q3 under 33.5 46.6% 47.7% 49.1% 0.97× 2.10
Q3 over 35.5 41.7% 41.6% 40.3% 1.03× 2.40
Q3 under 31.5 35.2% 38.0% 38.4% 0.99× 2.63
Q3 over 37.5 30.8% 32.2% 30.3% 1.06× 3.11
Q3 under 29.5 25.0% 28.2% 28.2% 1.00× 3.55
Q3 over 39.5 21.3% 22.7% 22.1% 1.03× 4.40
Q3 under 26.5 13.1% 12.8% 16.2% 0.79× 7.83
Q3 over 42.5 10.9% 12.8% 12.2% 1.05× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Oregon Ducks to win Q4 78.1% 71.5% 41.5% 1.72× 1.40
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks to win Q4 17.8% 22.6% 52.8% 0.43× 4.42
Q4 tied 4.1% 5.2% 5.7% 0.91× 19.30
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 42.5 87.5% 85.6% 86.2% 0.99× 1.17
Q4 over 26.5 85.6% 85.6% 82.6% 1.04× 1.17
Q4 under 39.5 77.0% 76.9% 77.0% 1.00× 1.30
Q4 over 29.5 74.0% 71.5% 70.8% 1.01× 1.40
Q4 under 37.5 67.9% 67.4% 68.8% 0.98× 1.48
Q4 over 31.5 64.3% 61.4% 61.1% 1.01× 1.63
Q4 under 35.5 57.5% 58.4% 59.4% 0.98× 1.71
Q4 over 33.5 53.5% 52.5% 50.4% 1.04× 1.91
Q4 under 34.5 52.0% 52.5% 54.4% 0.96× 1.91
Q4 over 34.5 48.0% 47.5% 45.6% 1.04× 2.11
Q4 under 33.5 46.5% 47.5% 49.6% 0.96× 2.11
Q4 over 35.5 42.5% 41.6% 40.6% 1.02× 2.40
Q4 under 31.5 35.7% 38.6% 38.9% 0.99× 2.59
Q4 over 37.5 32.1% 32.6% 31.2% 1.04× 3.07
Q4 under 29.5 26.0% 28.5% 29.2% 0.98× 3.51
Q4 over 39.5 23.0% 23.1% 23.0% 1.00× 4.33
Q4 under 26.5 14.4% 14.4% 17.4% 0.83× 6.95
Q4 over 42.5 12.5% 14.4% 13.8% 1.04× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks over 44.5 88.0% 83.9% 96.7% 0.87× 1.19
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks under 64.5 88.1% 83.9% 41.6% 2.02× 1.19
Oregon Ducks under 86.5 86.8% 83.9% 96.1% 0.87× 1.19
Oregon Ducks over 66.5 85.7% 83.9% 37.3% 2.25× 1.19
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks under 61.5 80.4% 80.7% 33.1% 2.44× 1.24
Oregon Ducks under 83.5 78.5% 75.1% 93.9% 0.80× 1.33
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks over 47.5 77.4% 75.1% 94.4% 0.80× 1.33
Oregon Ducks over 69.5 77.0% 75.1% 28.8% 2.61× 1.33
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks under 59.5 73.9% 70.7% 27.8% 2.54× 1.41
Oregon Ducks under 81.5 71.6% 70.7% 92.0% 0.77× 1.41
Oregon Ducks over 71.5 69.8% 66.4% 23.9% 2.77× 1.51
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks over 49.5 69.2% 66.4% 92.1% 0.72× 1.51
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks under 57.5 66.2% 66.4% 22.8% 2.91× 1.51
Oregon Ducks under 79.5 63.8% 61.2% 89.7% 0.68× 1.63
Oregon Ducks over 73.5 61.8% 61.2% 19.8% 3.09× 1.63
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks over 51.5 60.3% 61.2% 89.3% 0.69× 1.63
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks under 55.5 57.8% 57.1% 18.5% 3.10× 1.75
Oregon Ducks under 77.5 55.4% 57.1% 87.2% 0.65× 1.75
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks over 53.5 51.2% 52.3% 85.8% 0.61× 1.91
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks under 54.5 53.3% 52.3% 16.2% 3.23× 1.91
Oregon Ducks over 75.5 53.3% 52.3% 15.9% 3.29× 1.91
Oregon Ducks under 76.5 51.1% 52.3% 85.8% 0.61× 1.91
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks under 53.5 48.8% 47.7% 14.2% 3.36× 2.09
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks over 54.5 46.7% 47.7% 83.8% 0.57× 2.09
Oregon Ducks under 75.5 46.7% 47.7% 84.1% 0.57× 2.09
Oregon Ducks over 76.5 48.9% 47.7% 14.2% 3.36× 2.09
Oregon Ducks over 77.5 44.6% 42.9% 12.8% 3.35× 2.33
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks over 55.5 42.2% 42.9% 81.6% 0.53× 2.33
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks under 51.5 39.7% 38.8% 10.7% 3.61× 2.58
Oregon Ducks under 73.5 38.2% 38.8% 80.2% 0.48× 2.58
Oregon Ducks over 79.5 36.2% 38.8% 10.3% 3.75× 2.58
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks over 57.5 33.8% 33.6% 77.2% 0.44× 2.98
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks under 49.5 30.8% 33.6% 7.9% 4.26× 2.98
Oregon Ducks under 71.5 30.2% 33.6% 76.1% 0.44× 2.98
Oregon Ducks over 81.5 28.4% 29.3% 8.0% 3.65× 3.42
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks over 59.5 26.1% 29.3% 72.2% 0.41× 3.42
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks under 47.5 22.6% 24.9% 5.6% 4.41× 4.02
Oregon Ducks under 69.5 23.0% 24.9% 71.2% 0.35× 4.02
Oregon Ducks over 83.5 21.5% 24.9% 6.1% 4.11× 4.02
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks over 61.5 19.6% 19.3% 66.9% 0.29× 5.18
Oregon Ducks under 66.5 14.3% 16.1% 62.7% 0.26× 6.21
Oregon Ducks over 86.5 13.2% 16.1% 3.9% 4.10× 6.21
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks under 44.5 12.0% 16.1% 3.3% 4.83× 6.21
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks over 64.5 11.9% 16.1% 58.4% 0.28× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 110.5 points 93.4% 88.8% 86.4% 1.03× 1.13
Under 150.5 points 92.0% 88.8% 86.1% 1.03× 1.13
Over 115.5 points 86.4% 85.0% 78.8% 1.08× 1.18
Under 145.5 points 85.7% 85.0% 79.5% 1.07× 1.18
Under 140.5 points 76.5% 75.6% 71.8% 1.05× 1.32
Over 120.5 points 76.1% 75.6% 69.8% 1.08× 1.32
Under 137.5 points 69.7% 65.9% 66.2% 1.00× 1.52
Over 123.5 points 68.5% 65.9% 63.3% 1.04× 1.52
Under 135.5 points 64.7% 61.5% 62.4% 0.99× 1.63
Over 125.5 points 63.1% 61.5% 59.5% 1.03× 1.63
Under 133.5 points 59.4% 56.5% 58.0% 0.97× 1.77
Over 127.5 points 57.5% 56.5% 55.1% 1.03× 1.77
Under 131.5 points 53.8% 52.3% 53.9% 0.97× 1.91
Over 129.5 points 51.8% 52.3% 50.5% 1.04× 1.91
Under 130.5 points 51.0% 52.3% 51.7% 1.01× 1.91
Over 130.5 points 49.0% 47.7% 48.3% 0.99× 2.10
Under 129.5 points 48.2% 47.7% 49.5% 0.96× 2.10
Over 131.5 points 46.2% 47.7% 46.1% 1.03× 2.10
Under 127.5 points 42.5% 43.5% 44.9% 0.97× 2.30
Over 133.5 points 40.6% 43.5% 42.0% 1.04× 2.30
Under 125.5 points 36.9% 38.5% 40.5% 0.95× 2.60
Over 135.5 points 35.3% 38.5% 37.6% 1.02× 2.60
Under 123.5 points 31.5% 34.1% 36.7% 0.93× 2.93
Over 137.5 points 30.3% 34.1% 33.8% 1.01× 2.93
Under 120.5 points 23.9% 24.4% 30.2% 0.81× 4.10
Over 140.5 points 23.5% 24.4% 28.2% 0.86× 4.10
Over 145.5 points 14.3% 15.0% 20.5% 0.73× 6.68
Under 115.5 points 13.6% 15.0% 21.2% 0.71× 6.68
Over 150.5 points 8.0% 11.2% 13.9% 0.80× 8.96
Under 110.5 points 6.6% 11.2% 13.6% 0.82× 8.97
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Oregon Ducks to win both halves 77.2% 77.1% 20.4% 3.79× 1.30
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks to win both halves 0.4% 3.0% 36.0% 0.08× 33.83
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Oregon Ducks by 26+ 37.2% 39.8% 4.6% 8.64× 2.51
Oregon Ducks by 21-25 18.5% 16.8% 2.7% 6.27× 5.97
Oregon Ducks by 16-20 17.2% 16.8% 4.8% 3.53× 5.97
Oregon Ducks by 11-15 13.0% 12.3% 7.6% 1.62× 8.11
Oregon Ducks by 6-10 8.1% 7.5% 10.3% 0.72× 13.40
Oregon Ducks by 1-5 4.1% 2.0% 10.2% 0.20× 49.29
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks by 1-5 1.4% 2.0% 10.2% 0.20× 49.32
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks by 6-10 0.5% 2.0% 12.9% 0.16× 49.32
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks by 11-15 0.1% 2.0% 10.8% 0.19× 49.33
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks by 16-20 0.0% 2.0% 8.0% 0.25× 49.33
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks by 21-25 0.0% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.33
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks by 26+ 0.0% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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