Maryland Terrapins v Virginia Cavaliers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 13 November 2026 · NCAAB · 2027

NCAAB results-only Prediction generated 4 Sep 2026, 03:45 UTC

Maryland Terrapins

05:00 UTC

Virginia Cavaliers

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Maryland Terrapins win

16.1%

Draw

0.0%

Virginia Cavaliers win

83.9%

16084

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	16084	66.21–76.51	66-76 0%	51%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Maryland Terrapins to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	3.4%	0.10×	283.35
Maryland Terrapins to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.7%	0.52×	283.36
Maryland Terrapins to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	4.87×	283.36
Maryland Terrapins to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	19.47×	283.36
Virginia Cavaliers to score 100+	0.8%	0.4%	1.1%	0.33×	283.20
Virginia Cavaliers to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.2%	1.95×	283.35
Virginia Cavaliers to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	12.98×	283.36
Virginia Cavaliers to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	38.95×	283.36
Both sides to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.4%	0.87×	283.36

H1 result 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virginia Cavaliers to win H1	69.7%	68.3%	38.2%	1.79×	1.46
Virginia Cavaliers to win H1	69.7%	68.3%	38.2%	1.79×	1.46
Maryland Terrapins to win H1	26.4%	26.5%	57.9%	0.46×	3.77
Maryland Terrapins to win H1	26.4%	26.5%	57.9%	0.46×	3.77
H1 tied	3.9%	3.9%	3.9%	0.99×	25.86
H1 tied	3.9%	3.9%	3.9%	0.99×	25.86

H1 total 40

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 over 55.5	87.2%	87.7%	89.4%	0.98×	1.14
H1 under 79.5	87.0%	87.7%	83.1%	1.06×	1.14
H1 under 75.5	78.1%	77.4%	72.8%	1.06×	1.29
H1 over 59.5	78.3%	77.4%	80.7%	0.96×	1.29
H1 over 59.5	77.6%	77.4%	80.7%	0.96×	1.29
H1 under 75.5	77.3%	77.4%	72.8%	1.06×	1.29
H1 under 72.5	68.6%	67.4%	63.3%	1.06×	1.48
H1 over 62.5	68.2%	67.4%	72.0%	0.94×	1.48
H1 under 72.5	68.0%	67.4%	63.3%	1.06×	1.48
H1 over 62.5	68.8%	67.4%	72.0%	0.94×	1.48
H1 under 70.5	61.4%	62.7%	56.5%	1.11×	1.59
H1 over 64.5	61.2%	62.7%	65.3%	0.96×	1.59
H1 under 70.5	61.0%	62.7%	56.5%	1.11×	1.59
H1 over 64.5	61.6%	62.7%	65.3%	0.96×	1.59
H1 over 66.5	54.0%	52.6%	58.2%	0.90×	1.90
H1 under 68.5	53.8%	52.6%	49.3%	1.07×	1.90
H1 over 66.5	53.9%	52.6%	58.2%	0.90×	1.90
H1 under 68.5	53.6%	52.6%	49.3%	1.07×	1.90
H1 over 67.5	50.1%	52.6%	54.4%	0.97×	1.90
H1 over 67.5	50.1%	52.6%	54.4%	0.97×	1.90
H1 under 67.5	49.9%	47.4%	45.6%	1.04×	2.11
H1 under 67.5	49.9%	47.4%	45.6%	1.04×	2.11
H1 over 68.5	46.4%	47.4%	50.7%	0.93×	2.11
H1 under 66.5	46.0%	47.4%	41.8%	1.13×	2.11
H1 over 68.5	46.2%	47.4%	50.7%	0.93×	2.11
H1 under 66.5	46.1%	47.4%	41.8%	1.13×	2.11
H1 over 70.5	38.6%	37.3%	43.5%	0.86×	2.68
H1 under 64.5	38.8%	37.3%	34.8%	1.07×	2.68
H1 over 70.5	39.0%	37.3%	43.5%	0.86×	2.68
H1 under 64.5	38.4%	37.3%	34.8%	1.07×	2.68
H1 over 72.5	31.4%	32.6%	36.7%	0.89×	3.07
H1 under 62.5	31.8%	32.6%	28.0%	1.16×	3.07
H1 over 72.5	32.0%	32.6%	36.7%	0.89×	3.07
H1 under 62.5	31.2%	32.6%	28.0%	1.16×	3.07
H1 under 59.5	22.4%	22.6%	19.3%	1.17×	4.43
H1 over 75.5	22.7%	22.6%	27.2%	0.83×	4.43
H1 over 75.5	21.9%	22.6%	27.2%	0.83×	4.43
H1 under 59.5	21.7%	22.6%	19.3%	1.17×	4.43
H1 under 55.5	12.8%	12.3%	10.6%	1.16×	8.14
H1 over 79.5	13.0%	12.3%	16.9%	0.73×	8.14

H2 result 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virginia Cavaliers to win H2	71.2%	67.6%	38.9%	1.74×	1.48
Virginia Cavaliers to win H2	71.2%	67.6%	38.5%	1.76×	1.48
Maryland Terrapins to win H2	25.2%	31.3%	57.5%	0.54×	3.20
Maryland Terrapins to win H2	25.1%	31.3%	56.9%	0.55×	3.20
H2 tied	3.6%	3.9%	4.2%	0.95×	25.36
H2 tied	3.6%	3.9%	4.1%	0.97×	25.36

H2 total 40

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 87.5	86.1%	85.2%	77.7%	1.10×	1.17
H2 over 63.5	85.3%	85.2%	88.2%	0.97×	1.17
H2 under 83.5	77.4%	75.8%	71.6%	1.06×	1.32
H2 under 83.5	76.8%	75.8%	68.0%	1.11×	1.32
H2 over 67.5	76.2%	75.8%	78.2%	0.97×	1.32
H2 over 67.5	75.5%	75.8%	80.0%	0.95×	1.32
H2 under 80.5	68.4%	66.4%	62.9%	1.06×	1.51
H2 under 80.5	67.9%	66.4%	59.2%	1.12×	1.51
H2 over 70.5	66.9%	66.4%	69.8%	0.95×	1.51
H2 over 70.5	66.4%	66.4%	71.9%	0.92×	1.51
H2 under 78.5	61.6%	61.6%	56.4%	1.09×	1.62
H2 under 78.5	61.3%	61.6%	53.0%	1.16×	1.62
H2 over 72.5	60.0%	57.3%	63.4%	0.90×	1.74
H2 over 72.5	59.7%	57.3%	65.9%	0.87×	1.74
H2 under 76.5	54.5%	52.4%	49.7%	1.05×	1.91
H2 under 76.5	54.4%	52.4%	46.6%	1.12×	1.91
H2 over 74.5	52.8%	52.4%	57.0%	0.92×	1.91
H2 over 74.5	52.7%	52.4%	60.0%	0.87×	1.91
H2 under 75.5	50.9%	52.4%	46.6%	1.12×	1.91
H2 under 75.5	50.8%	52.4%	43.6%	1.20×	1.91
H2 over 75.5	49.1%	47.6%	53.4%	0.89×	2.10
H2 over 75.5	49.2%	47.6%	56.4%	0.84×	2.10
H2 under 74.5	47.2%	47.6%	43.0%	1.11×	2.10
H2 under 74.5	47.3%	47.6%	40.0%	1.19×	2.10
H2 over 76.5	45.5%	47.6%	50.3%	0.95×	2.10
H2 over 76.5	45.6%	47.6%	53.4%	0.89×	2.10
H2 under 72.5	40.0%	42.7%	36.6%	1.17×	2.35
H2 under 72.5	40.3%	42.7%	34.1%	1.25×	2.35
H2 over 78.5	38.4%	38.4%	43.6%	0.88×	2.61
H2 over 78.5	38.7%	38.4%	47.0%	0.82×	2.61
H2 under 70.5	33.1%	33.6%	30.2%	1.11×	2.97
H2 under 70.5	33.6%	33.6%	28.1%	1.20×	2.97
H2 over 80.5	32.1%	33.6%	40.8%	0.82×	2.97
H2 over 80.5	31.6%	33.6%	37.1%	0.91×	2.97
H2 under 67.5	23.8%	24.2%	21.8%	1.11×	4.13
H2 under 67.5	24.5%	24.2%	20.0%	1.21×	4.13
H2 over 83.5	22.6%	24.2%	28.4%	0.85×	4.13
H2 over 83.5	23.2%	24.2%	32.0%	0.76×	4.13
H2 under 63.5	14.7%	14.8%	11.8%	1.25×	6.76
H2 over 87.5	13.9%	14.8%	22.3%	0.66×	6.76

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virginia Cavaliers leading at half time	69.7%	68.5%	38.2%	1.79×	1.46
Maryland Terrapins leading at half time	26.4%	26.5%	57.9%	0.46×	3.78
Level at half time	3.9%	3.8%	3.9%	0.97×	26.41

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virginia Cavaliers +16.5	99.4%	97.4%	80.7%	1.21×	1.03
Virginia Cavaliers +18.5	99.6%	97.4%	83.9%	1.16×	1.03
Virginia Cavaliers +20.5	99.8%	97.4%	86.5%	1.13×	1.03
Virginia Cavaliers +8.5	95.9%	97.4%	61.5%	1.58×	1.03
Virginia Cavaliers +9.5	96.7%	97.4%	64.5%	1.51×	1.03
Virginia Cavaliers +10.5	97.3%	97.4%	67.4%	1.45×	1.03
Virginia Cavaliers +12.5	98.3%	97.4%	72.4%	1.35×	1.03
Virginia Cavaliers +14.5	98.9%	97.4%	77.2%	1.26×	1.03
Virginia Cavaliers +7.5	95.0%	97.4%	58.7%	1.66×	1.03
Virginia Cavaliers +5.5	92.8%	91.1%	53.0%	1.72×	1.10
Virginia Cavaliers +6.5	94.0%	91.1%	55.7%	1.64×	1.10
Virginia Cavaliers +4.5	91.4%	91.1%	49.3%	1.85×	1.10
Virginia Cavaliers +3.5	89.8%	85.9%	45.9%	1.87×	1.16
Virginia Cavaliers +2.5	88.0%	85.9%	42.3%	2.03×	1.16
Virginia Cavaliers +1.5	86.1%	85.9%	39.2%	2.19×	1.16
Maryland Terrapins +20.5	82.7%	81.1%	96.5%	0.84×	1.23
Virginia Cavaliers −1.5	81.2%	81.1%	34.6%	2.35×	1.23
Virginia Cavaliers −2.5	78.4%	76.5%	32.0%	2.39×	1.31
Maryland Terrapins +18.5	77.4%	76.5%	95.4%	0.80×	1.31
Virginia Cavaliers −3.5	75.4%	76.5%	29.3%	2.61×	1.31
Virginia Cavaliers −4.5	72.2%	71.6%	26.3%	2.72×	1.40
Maryland Terrapins +16.5	71.4%	71.6%	94.0%	0.76×	1.40
Virginia Cavaliers −5.5	68.8%	66.7%	23.6%	2.83×	1.50
Virginia Cavaliers −6.5	65.3%	66.7%	21.2%	3.14×	1.50
Maryland Terrapins +14.5	64.6%	61.9%	92.2%	0.67×	1.62
Virginia Cavaliers −7.5	61.6%	61.9%	19.0%	3.26×	1.62
Virginia Cavaliers −8.5	57.9%	57.1%	16.7%	3.43×	1.75
Maryland Terrapins +12.5	57.3%	57.1%	89.9%	0.63×	1.75
Virginia Cavaliers −9.5	54.1%	52.4%	14.7%	3.58×	1.91
Virginia Cavaliers −10.5	50.3%	52.4%	12.8%	4.09×	1.91
Maryland Terrapins +10.5	49.7%	47.6%	87.2%	0.55×	2.10
Maryland Terrapins +9.5	45.9%	47.6%	85.3%	0.56×	2.10
Virginia Cavaliers −12.5	42.7%	42.9%	10.1%	4.26×	2.33
Maryland Terrapins +8.5	42.1%	42.9%	83.3%	0.52×	2.33
Maryland Terrapins +7.5	38.4%	38.1%	81.0%	0.47×	2.63
Virginia Cavaliers −14.5	35.4%	38.1%	7.8%	4.87×	2.63
Maryland Terrapins +6.5	34.7%	33.3%	78.8%	0.42×	3.01
Maryland Terrapins +5.5	31.2%	33.3%	76.4%	0.44×	3.01
Maryland Terrapins +4.5	27.8%	28.4%	73.7%	0.38×	3.53
Virginia Cavaliers −16.5	28.6%	28.4%	6.0%	4.76×	3.53
Maryland Terrapins +3.5	24.6%	23.5%	70.8%	0.33×	4.25
Maryland Terrapins +2.5	21.6%	23.5%	68.0%	0.35×	4.25
Virginia Cavaliers −18.5	22.6%	23.5%	4.6%	5.15×	4.25
Maryland Terrapins +1.5	18.8%	18.9%	65.4%	0.29×	5.29
Virginia Cavaliers −20.5	17.3%	18.9%	3.5%	5.46×	5.29
Maryland Terrapins −1.5	13.9%	14.1%	60.8%	0.23×	7.09
Maryland Terrapins −2.5	12.0%	14.1%	57.7%	0.24×	7.09
Maryland Terrapins −3.5	10.2%	14.1%	54.1%	0.26×	7.09
Maryland Terrapins −4.5	8.6%	8.9%	50.7%	0.18×	11.25
Maryland Terrapins −5.5	7.2%	8.9%	47.0%	0.19×	11.25
Maryland Terrapins −6.5	6.0%	8.9%	44.3%	0.20×	11.25
Maryland Terrapins −7.5	5.0%	2.6%	41.3%	0.06×	38.72
Maryland Terrapins −8.5	4.1%	2.6%	38.5%	0.07×	38.72
Maryland Terrapins −9.5	3.3%	2.6%	35.5%	0.07×	38.73
Maryland Terrapins −10.5	2.7%	2.6%	32.6%	0.08×	38.73
Maryland Terrapins −12.5	1.7%	2.6%	27.6%	0.09×	38.73
Maryland Terrapins −14.5	1.1%	2.6%	22.8%	0.11×	38.74
Maryland Terrapins −16.5	0.6%	2.6%	19.3%	0.13×	38.74
Maryland Terrapins −18.5	0.4%	2.6%	16.1%	0.16×	38.74
Maryland Terrapins −20.5	0.2%	2.6%	13.5%	0.19×	38.74

Highest scoring half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 highest scoring	78.4%	71.6%	70.4%	1.02×	1.40
2nd half highest scoring	76.9%	71.6%	72.5%	0.99×	1.40
1st half highest scoring	23.1%	28.4%	27.5%	1.03×	3.53
H1 highest scoring	21.6%	28.4%	29.6%	0.96×	3.53

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virginia Cavaliers at HT / Virginia Cavaliers at FT	64.4%	62.3%	25.8%	2.41×	1.60
Maryland Terrapins at HT / Virginia Cavaliers at FT	16.3%	15.5%	9.3%	1.66×	6.47
Maryland Terrapins at HT / Maryland Terrapins at FT	10.1%	12.2%	48.6%	0.25×	8.18
Virginia Cavaliers at HT / Maryland Terrapins at FT	5.2%	8.3%	12.4%	0.67×	12.10
Level at HT / Virginia Cavaliers at FT	3.1%	2.1%	1.6%	1.28×	47.74
Level at HT / Maryland Terrapins at FT	0.8%	2.1%	2.3%	0.92×	47.78

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virginia Cavaliers to win	83.9%	80.9%	36.8%	2.20×	1.24
Maryland Terrapins to win	16.1%	19.1%	63.2%	0.30×	5.24

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Maryland Terrapins even	50.0%	50.5%	50.1%	1.01×	1.98
Virginia Cavaliers even	50.0%	50.5%	50.4%	1.00×	1.98
Total points odd	51.2%	50.5%	51.6%	0.98×	1.98
Maryland Terrapins odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.9%	0.99×	2.02
Virginia Cavaliers odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.6%	1.00×	2.02
Total points even	48.8%	49.5%	48.4%	1.02×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	94.0%	94.0%	94.2%	1.00×	1.06
Match to go to overtime	6.0%	6.0%	5.8%	1.04×	16.66

Team total 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Maryland Terrapins under 76.5	85.7%	83.9%	52.3%	1.60×	1.19
Virginia Cavaliers over 66.5	85.7%	83.9%	64.7%	1.30×	1.19
Virginia Cavaliers under 86.5	84.9%	80.7%	90.2%	0.89×	1.24
Maryland Terrapins over 56.5	84.0%	80.7%	95.5%	0.85×	1.24
Maryland Terrapins under 73.5	77.6%	75.1%	42.6%	1.76×	1.33
Virginia Cavaliers over 69.5	77.4%	75.1%	54.8%	1.37×	1.33
Virginia Cavaliers under 83.5	76.4%	75.1%	85.3%	0.88×	1.33
Maryland Terrapins over 59.5	75.3%	75.1%	92.0%	0.82×	1.33
Maryland Terrapins under 71.5	71.1%	70.7%	36.3%	1.95×	1.41
Virginia Cavaliers over 71.5	70.7%	70.7%	48.2%	1.47×	1.41
Virginia Cavaliers under 81.5	69.4%	66.4%	81.2%	0.82×	1.51
Maryland Terrapins over 61.5	68.3%	66.4%	89.0%	0.75×	1.51
Maryland Terrapins under 69.5	63.7%	61.2%	30.4%	2.01×	1.63
Virginia Cavaliers over 73.5	63.1%	61.2%	41.7%	1.47×	1.63
Maryland Terrapins over 63.5	60.6%	61.2%	85.4%	0.72×	1.63
Virginia Cavaliers under 79.5	61.7%	61.2%	76.3%	0.80×	1.63
Maryland Terrapins under 67.5	55.7%	57.1%	24.1%	2.36×	1.75
Virginia Cavaliers over 75.5	54.9%	52.3%	35.3%	1.48×	1.91
Maryland Terrapins over 65.5	52.5%	52.3%	81.1%	0.64×	1.91
Maryland Terrapins under 66.5	51.6%	52.3%	21.3%	2.45×	1.91
Virginia Cavaliers under 77.5	53.5%	52.3%	70.9%	0.74×	1.91
Virginia Cavaliers over 76.5	50.7%	52.3%	32.1%	1.63×	1.91
Virginia Cavaliers under 76.5	49.3%	47.7%	67.9%	0.70×	2.09
Maryland Terrapins under 65.5	47.5%	47.7%	18.9%	2.53×	2.09
Maryland Terrapins over 66.5	48.4%	47.7%	78.7%	0.61×	2.09
Virginia Cavaliers over 77.5	46.5%	47.7%	29.1%	1.64×	2.09
Virginia Cavaliers under 75.5	45.1%	47.7%	64.7%	0.74×	2.09
Maryland Terrapins over 67.5	44.3%	42.9%	75.9%	0.57×	2.33
Maryland Terrapins under 63.5	39.4%	38.8%	14.6%	2.65×	2.58
Virginia Cavaliers over 79.5	38.3%	38.8%	23.7%	1.63×	2.58
Maryland Terrapins over 69.5	36.3%	38.8%	69.6%	0.56×	2.58
Virginia Cavaliers under 73.5	36.9%	38.8%	58.3%	0.67×	2.58
Maryland Terrapins under 61.5	31.7%	33.6%	11.0%	3.06×	2.98
Virginia Cavaliers over 81.5	30.6%	33.6%	18.8%	1.79×	2.98
Maryland Terrapins over 71.5	28.9%	29.3%	63.7%	0.46×	3.42
Virginia Cavaliers under 71.5	29.3%	29.3%	51.8%	0.57×	3.42
Maryland Terrapins under 59.5	24.7%	24.9%	8.0%	3.10×	4.02
Maryland Terrapins over 73.5	22.4%	24.9%	57.4%	0.43×	4.02
Virginia Cavaliers under 69.5	22.6%	24.9%	45.2%	0.55×	4.02
Virginia Cavaliers over 83.5	23.6%	24.9%	14.7%	1.70×	4.02
Maryland Terrapins under 56.5	16.0%	19.3%	4.5%	4.25×	5.18
Virginia Cavaliers over 86.5	15.1%	19.3%	9.8%	1.97×	5.18
Maryland Terrapins over 76.5	14.3%	16.1%	47.7%	0.34×	6.21
Virginia Cavaliers under 66.5	14.3%	16.1%	35.3%	0.46×	6.21

Total points 30

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 163.5 points	90.3%	88.8%	80.9%	1.10×	1.13
Over 123.5 points	88.7%	85.0%	90.5%	0.94×	1.18
Under 158.5 points	83.7%	80.6%	73.3%	1.10×	1.24
Over 128.5 points	81.5%	80.6%	84.5%	0.95×	1.24
Under 153.5 points	74.9%	70.8%	64.6%	1.10×	1.41
Over 133.5 points	71.9%	70.8%	76.4%	0.93×	1.41
Under 150.5 points	68.5%	65.9%	58.4%	1.13×	1.52
Over 136.5 points	65.3%	65.9%	71.1%	0.93×	1.52
Under 148.5 points	64.0%	61.5%	54.3%	1.13×	1.63
Over 138.5 points	60.6%	61.5%	67.0%	0.92×	1.63
Under 146.5 points	59.2%	56.5%	50.2%	1.13×	1.77
Over 140.5 points	55.7%	56.5%	62.8%	0.90×	1.77
Under 144.5 points	54.3%	52.3%	45.9%	1.14×	1.91
Under 143.5 points	51.8%	52.3%	43.7%	1.20×	1.91
Over 142.5 points	50.7%	52.3%	58.3%	0.90×	1.91
Under 142.5 points	49.3%	47.7%	41.7%	1.14×	2.10
Over 143.5 points	48.2%	47.7%	56.3%	0.85×	2.10
Over 144.5 points	45.7%	47.7%	54.1%	0.88×	2.10
Under 140.5 points	44.3%	43.5%	37.2%	1.17×	2.30
Over 146.5 points	40.8%	43.5%	49.8%	0.87×	2.30
Under 138.5 points	39.4%	38.5%	33.0%	1.17×	2.60
Over 148.5 points	36.0%	38.5%	45.7%	0.84×	2.60
Under 136.5 points	34.7%	34.1%	28.9%	1.18×	2.93
Over 150.5 points	31.5%	34.1%	41.6%	0.82×	2.93
Under 133.5 points	28.1%	29.2%	23.6%	1.24×	3.43
Over 153.5 points	25.1%	29.2%	35.4%	0.82×	3.43
Under 128.5 points	18.5%	19.4%	15.5%	1.26×	5.15
Over 158.5 points	16.3%	19.4%	26.7%	0.73×	5.15
Under 123.5 points	11.3%	15.0%	9.5%	1.58×	6.69
Over 163.5 points	9.7%	11.2%	19.1%	0.58×	8.96

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virginia Cavaliers to win both halves	46.7%	45.8%	14.5%	3.15×	2.18
Maryland Terrapins to win both halves	4.3%	3.0%	33.2%	0.09×	33.58

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Virginia Cavaliers by 6-10	18.5%	16.8%	10.8%	1.55×	5.97
Virginia Cavaliers by 11-15	18.3%	16.8%	6.1%	2.77×	5.97
Virginia Cavaliers by 1-5	15.1%	16.8%	13.2%	1.27×	5.97
Virginia Cavaliers by 16-20	14.7%	12.3%	3.3%	3.71×	8.11
Virginia Cavaliers by 21-25	9.5%	7.5%	1.9%	3.90×	13.40
Maryland Terrapins by 1-5	8.9%	7.5%	16.2%	0.46×	13.40
Virginia Cavaliers by 26+	7.8%	7.5%	1.6%	4.79×	13.40
Maryland Terrapins by 6-10	4.5%	2.0%	14.4%	0.14×	49.29
Maryland Terrapins by 11-15	1.9%	2.0%	11.6%	0.18×	49.31
Maryland Terrapins by 16-20	0.6%	2.0%	7.6%	0.27×	49.32
Maryland Terrapins by 21-25	0.2%	2.0%	5.6%	0.36×	49.33
Maryland Terrapins by 26+	0.0%	2.0%	7.9%	0.26×	49.33

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