Memphis Grizzlies v Oklahoma City Thunder — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 7 November 2026 · NBA · 2027
NBA results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Memphis Grizzlies win
12.6%
Draw
0.0%
Oklahoma City Thunder win
87.4%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 108.67–124.88 | 109-125 0% | 50% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to score 100+ | 98.6% | 94.9% | 85.9% | 1.11× | 1.05 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder to score 110+ | 90.8% | 90.3% | 60.9% | 1.48× | 1.11 |
| Memphis Grizzlies to score 100+ | 77.9% | 76.9% | 89.3% | 0.86× | 1.30 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 77.1% | 76.9% | 77.5% | 0.99× | 1.30 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder to score 120+ | 68.2% | 63.8% | 29.7% | 2.15× | 1.57 |
| Memphis Grizzlies to score 110+ | 46.7% | 46.9% | 67.0% | 0.70× | 2.13 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder to score 130+ | 35.0% | 31.4% | 10.0% | 3.15× | 3.18 |
| Memphis Grizzlies to score 120+ | 17.6% | 17.6% | 36.5% | 0.48× | 5.70 |
| Memphis Grizzlies to score 130+ | 3.8% | 0.4% | 12.8% | 0.03× | 282.62 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to win H1 | 75.6% | 79.2% | 44.1% | 1.79× | 1.26 |
| Memphis Grizzlies to win H1 | 21.7% | 21.4% | 52.8% | 0.40× | 4.68 |
| H1 tied | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.25× | 25.87 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 130.5 | 83.4% | 82.5% | 89.6% | 0.92× | 1.21 |
| H1 over 106.5 | 80.9% | 82.5% | 73.3% | 1.13× | 1.21 |
| H1 under 126.5 | 74.6% | 73.5% | 82.8% | 0.89× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 110.5 | 71.5% | 73.5% | 61.9% | 1.19× | 1.36 |
| H1 under 123.5 | 66.7% | 67.4% | 76.0% | 0.89× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 113.5 | 63.2% | 62.7% | 52.4% | 1.20× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 121.5 | 61.0% | 62.7% | 71.2% | 0.88× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 115.5 | 57.2% | 58.2% | 46.4% | 1.26× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 119.5 | 55.0% | 52.6% | 65.9% | 0.80× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 118.5 | 51.9% | 52.6% | 62.9% | 0.84× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 117.5 | 51.1% | 52.6% | 40.4% | 1.30× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 117.5 | 48.9% | 47.4% | 59.6% | 0.79× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 118.5 | 48.1% | 47.4% | 37.1% | 1.28× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 119.5 | 45.0% | 47.4% | 34.1% | 1.39× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 115.5 | 42.8% | 41.8% | 53.6% | 0.78× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 121.5 | 39.0% | 37.3% | 28.8% | 1.29× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 113.5 | 36.8% | 37.3% | 47.6% | 0.78× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 123.5 | 33.3% | 32.6% | 24.0% | 1.36× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 110.5 | 28.5% | 26.5% | 38.1% | 0.70× | 3.77 |
| H1 over 126.5 | 25.4% | 26.5% | 17.2% | 1.54× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 106.5 | 19.1% | 17.5% | 26.7% | 0.65× | 5.72 |
| H1 over 130.5 | 16.6% | 17.5% | 10.4% | 1.68× | 5.73 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to win H2 | 75.3% | 73.9% | 44.7% | 1.65× | 1.35 |
| Memphis Grizzlies to win H2 | 22.0% | 26.8% | 51.6% | 0.52× | 3.73 |
| H2 tied | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.06× | 25.37 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 over 103.5 | 82.8% | 81.8% | 76.2% | 1.07× | 1.22 |
| H2 under 127.5 | 82.1% | 81.8% | 84.9% | 0.96× | 1.22 |
| H2 over 107.5 | 73.7% | 72.2% | 66.2% | 1.09× | 1.39 |
| H2 under 123.5 | 72.8% | 72.2% | 76.9% | 0.94× | 1.39 |
| H2 over 110.5 | 65.6% | 66.4% | 58.1% | 1.14× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 120.5 | 64.6% | 61.6% | 69.3% | 0.89× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 112.5 | 59.7% | 57.3% | 52.6% | 1.09× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 118.5 | 58.7% | 57.3% | 63.6% | 0.90× | 1.74 |
| H2 over 114.5 | 53.6% | 52.4% | 47.5% | 1.10× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 116.5 | 52.5% | 52.4% | 58.1% | 0.90× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 115.5 | 50.6% | 52.4% | 44.6% | 1.17× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 115.5 | 49.4% | 47.6% | 55.4% | 0.86× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 116.5 | 47.5% | 47.6% | 41.9% | 1.14× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 114.5 | 46.4% | 47.6% | 52.5% | 0.91× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 118.5 | 41.3% | 42.7% | 36.4% | 1.17× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 112.5 | 40.3% | 42.7% | 47.4% | 0.90× | 2.35 |
| H2 over 120.5 | 35.4% | 38.4% | 30.7% | 1.25× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 110.5 | 34.4% | 33.6% | 41.9% | 0.80× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 123.5 | 27.2% | 27.8% | 23.1% | 1.20× | 3.59 |
| H2 under 107.5 | 26.3% | 27.8% | 33.8% | 0.82× | 3.59 |
| H2 over 127.5 | 17.9% | 18.2% | 15.1% | 1.20× | 5.50 |
| H2 under 103.5 | 17.2% | 18.2% | 23.8% | 0.76× | 5.50 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder leading at half time | 75.6% | 79.6% | 44.1% | 1.80× | 1.26 |
| Memphis Grizzlies leading at half time | 21.7% | 20.9% | 52.8% | 0.40× | 4.78 |
| Level at half time | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.22× | 26.42 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder +20.5 | 99.4% | 97.4% | 89.1% | 1.09× | 1.03 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +8.5 | 95.5% | 97.4% | 65.9% | 1.48× | 1.03 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +9.5 | 96.1% | 97.4% | 68.7% | 1.42× | 1.03 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +10.5 | 96.7% | 97.4% | 71.0% | 1.37× | 1.03 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +12.5 | 97.6% | 97.4% | 76.0% | 1.28× | 1.03 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +14.5 | 98.3% | 97.4% | 80.1% | 1.22× | 1.03 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +16.5 | 98.8% | 97.4% | 83.5% | 1.17× | 1.03 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +18.5 | 99.2% | 97.4% | 86.4% | 1.13× | 1.03 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +7.5 | 94.8% | 91.1% | 63.0% | 1.45× | 1.10 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +4.5 | 92.2% | 91.1% | 54.1% | 1.69× | 1.10 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +5.5 | 93.2% | 91.1% | 57.1% | 1.60× | 1.10 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +6.5 | 94.0% | 91.1% | 60.0% | 1.52× | 1.10 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +3.5 | 91.2% | 91.1% | 51.6% | 1.77× | 1.10 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +2.5 | 90.0% | 91.1% | 49.1% | 1.86× | 1.10 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +1.5 | 88.7% | 85.9% | 46.3% | 1.85× | 1.16 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −1.5 | 85.7% | 85.9% | 42.1% | 2.04× | 1.16 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −2.5 | 84.0% | 81.1% | 39.5% | 2.05× | 1.23 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −3.5 | 82.2% | 81.1% | 36.9% | 2.20× | 1.23 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −4.5 | 80.2% | 81.1% | 34.3% | 2.37× | 1.23 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −5.5 | 78.1% | 76.5% | 32.0% | 2.39× | 1.31 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −6.5 | 76.0% | 76.5% | 29.4% | 2.60× | 1.31 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −7.5 | 73.7% | 71.6% | 27.0% | 2.65× | 1.40 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −8.5 | 71.3% | 71.6% | 24.3% | 2.95× | 1.40 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −9.5 | 68.8% | 66.7% | 21.9% | 3.05× | 1.50 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −10.5 | 66.3% | 66.7% | 19.7% | 3.38× | 1.50 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −12.5 | 61.0% | 61.9% | 16.1% | 3.84× | 1.62 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +20.5 | 61.1% | 61.9% | 93.1% | 0.66× | 1.62 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −14.5 | 55.5% | 57.1% | 13.0% | 4.39× | 1.75 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +18.5 | 55.6% | 57.1% | 91.5% | 0.62× | 1.75 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +16.5 | 50.1% | 52.4% | 89.7% | 0.58× | 1.91 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −16.5 | 49.9% | 47.6% | 10.3% | 4.61× | 2.10 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +14.5 | 44.5% | 42.9% | 87.0% | 0.49× | 2.33 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −18.5 | 44.4% | 42.9% | 8.5% | 5.04× | 2.33 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +12.5 | 39.0% | 38.1% | 83.9% | 0.45× | 2.63 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −20.5 | 38.9% | 38.1% | 6.9% | 5.53× | 2.63 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +10.5 | 33.7% | 33.3% | 80.3% | 0.41× | 3.01 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +9.5 | 31.2% | 33.3% | 78.1% | 0.43× | 3.01 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +8.5 | 28.7% | 28.4% | 75.7% | 0.37× | 3.53 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +7.5 | 26.3% | 28.4% | 73.0% | 0.39× | 3.53 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +6.5 | 24.0% | 23.5% | 70.6% | 0.33× | 4.25 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +5.5 | 21.9% | 23.5% | 68.0% | 0.35× | 4.25 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +4.5 | 19.8% | 18.9% | 65.7% | 0.29× | 5.29 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +3.5 | 17.8% | 18.9% | 63.1% | 0.30× | 5.29 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +2.5 | 16.0% | 18.9% | 60.5% | 0.31× | 5.30 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +1.5 | 14.3% | 14.1% | 57.9% | 0.24× | 7.09 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −1.5 | 11.3% | 14.1% | 53.7% | 0.26× | 7.09 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −2.5 | 10.0% | 8.9% | 50.9% | 0.17× | 11.25 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −3.5 | 8.8% | 8.9% | 48.4% | 0.18× | 11.25 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −4.5 | 7.8% | 8.9% | 46.0% | 0.19× | 11.25 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −5.5 | 6.8% | 8.9% | 42.9% | 0.21× | 11.25 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −6.5 | 6.0% | 8.9% | 40.0% | 0.22× | 11.25 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −7.5 | 5.2% | 8.9% | 37.0% | 0.24× | 11.25 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −8.5 | 4.5% | 2.6% | 34.1% | 0.08× | 38.72 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −9.5 | 3.9% | 2.6% | 31.3% | 0.08× | 38.73 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −10.5 | 3.3% | 2.6% | 29.0% | 0.09× | 38.73 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −12.5 | 2.4% | 2.6% | 24.0% | 0.11× | 38.73 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −14.5 | 1.7% | 2.6% | 19.9% | 0.13× | 38.73 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −16.5 | 1.2% | 2.6% | 16.5% | 0.16× | 38.74 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −18.5 | 0.8% | 2.6% | 13.6% | 0.19× | 38.74 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −20.5 | 0.6% | 2.6% | 10.9% | 0.24× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half highest scoring | 56.8% | 52.6% | 53.5% | 0.98× | 1.90 |
| 2nd half highest scoring | 43.2% | 47.4% | 46.5% | 1.02× | 2.11 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 highest scoring | 28.3% | 27.4% | 29.2% | 0.94× | 3.65 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 28.0% | 27.4% | 27.5% | 1.00× | 3.65 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 26.6% | 27.4% | 26.3% | 1.04× | 3.65 |
| Q4 highest scoring | 17.1% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 1.08× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder at HT / Oklahoma City Thunder at FT | 71.5% | 73.1% | 30.9% | 2.37× | 1.37 |
| Memphis Grizzlies at HT / Oklahoma City Thunder at FT | 13.6% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 1.02× | 8.17 |
| Memphis Grizzlies at HT / Memphis Grizzlies at FT | 8.1% | 8.3% | 40.8% | 0.20× | 12.08 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder at HT / Memphis Grizzlies at FT | 4.0% | 2.1% | 13.3% | 0.16× | 47.72 |
| Level at HT / Oklahoma City Thunder at FT | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.50× | 47.75 |
| Level at HT / Memphis Grizzlies at FT | 0.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.22× | 47.78 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to win | 87.4% | 85.5% | 44.3% | 1.93× | 1.17 |
| Memphis Grizzlies to win | 12.6% | 14.5% | 55.7% | 0.26× | 6.91 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis Grizzlies even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.7% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder odd | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.7% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 50.7% | 50.5% | 51.0% | 0.99× | 1.98 |
| Memphis Grizzlies odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.3% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder even | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.3% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 49.3% | 49.5% | 49.0% | 1.01× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 96.4% | 97.0% | 94.8% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Match to go to overtime | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 0.58× | 33.41 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to win Q1 | 67.1% | 72.3% | 44.1% | 1.64× | 1.38 |
| Memphis Grizzlies to win Q1 | 28.7% | 22.5% | 51.3% | 0.44× | 4.45 |
| Q1 tied | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 0.90× | 23.96 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 under 67.5 | 83.9% | 82.8% | 88.8% | 0.93× | 1.21 |
| Q1 over 51.5 | 81.4% | 82.8% | 76.0% | 1.09× | 1.21 |
| Q1 under 64.5 | 73.8% | 72.7% | 80.1% | 0.91× | 1.38 |
| Q1 over 54.5 | 70.5% | 72.7% | 63.3% | 1.15× | 1.38 |
| Q1 under 62.5 | 65.6% | 67.6% | 72.9% | 0.93× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 56.5 | 62.0% | 61.7% | 54.6% | 1.13× | 1.62 |
| Q1 under 60.5 | 56.6% | 58.6% | 64.5% | 0.91× | 1.71 |
| Q1 over 58.5 | 52.8% | 52.7% | 44.3% | 1.19× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 59.5 | 51.9% | 52.7% | 60.0% | 0.88× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 59.5 | 48.1% | 47.3% | 40.0% | 1.18× | 2.11 |
| Q1 under 58.5 | 47.2% | 47.3% | 55.7% | 0.85× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 60.5 | 43.4% | 41.4% | 35.5% | 1.17× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 56.5 | 38.0% | 38.3% | 45.4% | 0.84× | 2.61 |
| Q1 over 62.5 | 34.4% | 32.4% | 27.1% | 1.20× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 54.5 | 29.5% | 27.3% | 36.7% | 0.74× | 3.66 |
| Q1 over 64.5 | 26.2% | 27.3% | 19.9% | 1.37× | 3.66 |
| Q1 under 51.5 | 18.6% | 17.2% | 24.0% | 0.71× | 5.83 |
| Q1 over 67.5 | 16.1% | 17.2% | 11.2% | 1.53× | 5.83 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to win Q2 | 66.8% | 68.4% | 46.2% | 1.48× | 1.46 |
| Memphis Grizzlies to win Q2 | 28.9% | 27.8% | 49.3% | 0.56× | 3.60 |
| Q2 tied | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 0.98× | 22.90 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 67.5 | 84.6% | 83.0% | 88.7% | 0.94× | 1.21 |
| Q2 over 51.5 | 80.3% | 83.0% | 74.2% | 1.12× | 1.21 |
| Q2 under 64.5 | 74.8% | 72.0% | 80.9% | 0.89× | 1.39 |
| Q2 over 54.5 | 69.2% | 67.4% | 61.1% | 1.10× | 1.48 |
| Q2 under 62.5 | 66.8% | 67.4% | 74.4% | 0.91× | 1.49 |
| Q2 over 56.5 | 60.5% | 60.7% | 51.7% | 1.17× | 1.65 |
| Q2 under 60.5 | 58.0% | 58.2% | 65.7% | 0.88× | 1.72 |
| Q2 under 59.5 | 53.3% | 52.7% | 61.9% | 0.85× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 58.5 | 51.3% | 52.7% | 42.7% | 1.23× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 58.5 | 48.7% | 47.3% | 57.3% | 0.83× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 59.5 | 46.7% | 47.3% | 38.1% | 1.24× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 60.5 | 42.1% | 41.8% | 34.3% | 1.22× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 56.5 | 39.5% | 39.3% | 48.3% | 0.81× | 2.55 |
| Q2 over 62.5 | 33.2% | 32.6% | 25.6% | 1.27× | 3.06 |
| Q2 under 54.5 | 30.8% | 32.6% | 38.9% | 0.84× | 3.06 |
| Q2 over 64.5 | 25.2% | 28.0% | 19.1% | 1.46× | 3.57 |
| Q2 under 51.5 | 19.7% | 17.0% | 25.8% | 0.66× | 5.88 |
| Q2 over 67.5 | 15.4% | 17.0% | 11.3% | 1.50× | 5.89 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to win Q3 | 66.9% | 66.7% | 44.3% | 1.51× | 1.50 |
| Memphis Grizzlies to win Q3 | 28.9% | 28.9% | 50.9% | 0.57× | 3.47 |
| Q3 tied | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 0.88× | 23.44 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 67.5 | 83.7% | 82.3% | 87.0% | 0.95× | 1.22 |
| Q3 over 51.5 | 82.2% | 82.3% | 76.1% | 1.08× | 1.22 |
| Q3 under 64.5 | 73.4% | 71.8% | 79.2% | 0.91× | 1.39 |
| Q3 over 54.5 | 71.4% | 71.8% | 63.9% | 1.12× | 1.39 |
| Q3 under 62.5 | 65.0% | 67.8% | 71.9% | 0.94× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 56.5 | 62.8% | 61.9% | 55.0% | 1.13× | 1.61 |
| Q3 under 60.5 | 55.9% | 58.4% | 63.5% | 0.92× | 1.71 |
| Q3 over 58.5 | 53.6% | 52.3% | 45.2% | 1.16× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 59.5 | 51.2% | 52.3% | 59.0% | 0.89× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 59.5 | 48.8% | 47.7% | 41.0% | 1.16× | 2.10 |
| Q3 under 58.5 | 46.4% | 47.7% | 54.8% | 0.87× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 60.5 | 44.1% | 41.6% | 36.5% | 1.14× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 56.5 | 37.2% | 38.1% | 45.0% | 0.85× | 2.63 |
| Q3 over 62.5 | 35.0% | 32.2% | 28.1% | 1.15× | 3.10 |
| Q3 under 54.5 | 28.6% | 28.2% | 36.1% | 0.78× | 3.55 |
| Q3 over 64.5 | 26.6% | 28.2% | 20.8% | 1.35× | 3.55 |
| Q3 under 51.5 | 17.8% | 17.7% | 23.9% | 0.74× | 5.66 |
| Q3 over 67.5 | 16.3% | 17.7% | 13.0% | 1.36× | 5.66 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to win Q4 | 66.6% | 60.6% | 46.4% | 1.31× | 1.65 |
| Memphis Grizzlies to win Q4 | 29.1% | 33.4% | 48.3% | 0.69× | 3.00 |
| Q4 tied | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 0.97× | 19.29 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 64.5 | 82.4% | 82.0% | 86.3% | 0.95× | 1.22 |
| Q4 over 48.5 | 82.0% | 82.0% | 75.5% | 1.09× | 1.22 |
| Q4 under 61.5 | 72.1% | 71.5% | 77.5% | 0.92× | 1.40 |
| Q4 over 51.5 | 71.5% | 71.5% | 64.7% | 1.11× | 1.40 |
| Q4 under 59.5 | 63.8% | 61.4% | 70.2% | 0.87× | 1.63 |
| Q4 over 53.5 | 63.2% | 61.4% | 55.7% | 1.10× | 1.63 |
| Q4 under 57.5 | 54.9% | 52.5% | 61.9% | 0.85× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 55.5 | 54.3% | 52.5% | 47.1% | 1.11× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 56.5 | 50.3% | 52.5% | 57.2% | 0.92× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 56.5 | 49.7% | 47.5% | 42.8% | 1.11× | 2.11 |
| Q4 under 55.5 | 45.7% | 47.5% | 52.9% | 0.90× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 57.5 | 45.1% | 47.5% | 38.1% | 1.25× | 2.11 |
| Q4 under 53.5 | 36.8% | 38.6% | 44.3% | 0.87× | 2.59 |
| Q4 over 59.5 | 36.2% | 38.6% | 29.8% | 1.30× | 2.59 |
| Q4 under 51.5 | 28.5% | 28.5% | 35.3% | 0.81× | 3.51 |
| Q4 over 61.5 | 27.9% | 28.5% | 22.5% | 1.27× | 3.51 |
| Q4 under 48.5 | 18.0% | 18.0% | 24.5% | 0.73× | 5.56 |
| Q4 over 64.5 | 17.6% | 18.0% | 13.7% | 1.31× | 5.56 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 135.5 | 81.6% | 80.7% | 95.8% | 0.84× | 1.24 |
| Memphis Grizzlies over 98.5 | 80.4% | 80.7% | 90.6% | 0.89× | 1.24 |
| Memphis Grizzlies under 118.5 | 80.2% | 80.7% | 60.3% | 1.34× | 1.24 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 115.5 | 79.3% | 75.1% | 41.4% | 1.81× | 1.33 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 132.5 | 74.0% | 70.7% | 93.6% | 0.76× | 1.41 |
| Memphis Grizzlies over 101.5 | 72.6% | 70.7% | 86.0% | 0.82× | 1.41 |
| Memphis Grizzlies under 115.5 | 72.3% | 70.7% | 51.6% | 1.37× | 1.41 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 118.5 | 71.2% | 70.7% | 32.6% | 2.17× | 1.41 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 130.5 | 68.1% | 66.4% | 91.5% | 0.73× | 1.51 |
| Memphis Grizzlies over 103.5 | 66.6% | 66.4% | 82.1% | 0.81× | 1.51 |
| Memphis Grizzlies under 113.5 | 66.4% | 66.4% | 45.7% | 1.45× | 1.51 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 120.5 | 65.1% | 66.4% | 27.3% | 2.43× | 1.51 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 128.5 | 61.8% | 61.2% | 88.6% | 0.69× | 1.63 |
| Memphis Grizzlies over 105.5 | 60.2% | 61.2% | 77.4% | 0.79× | 1.63 |
| Memphis Grizzlies under 111.5 | 60.0% | 57.1% | 38.9% | 1.47× | 1.75 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 122.5 | 58.6% | 57.1% | 22.6% | 2.52× | 1.75 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 126.5 | 55.1% | 57.1% | 85.3% | 0.67× | 1.75 |
| Memphis Grizzlies over 107.5 | 53.5% | 52.3% | 72.7% | 0.72× | 1.91 |
| Memphis Grizzlies under 109.5 | 53.3% | 52.3% | 33.0% | 1.58× | 1.91 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 124.5 | 51.8% | 52.3% | 18.6% | 2.81× | 1.91 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 125.5 | 51.7% | 52.3% | 83.4% | 0.63× | 1.91 |
| Memphis Grizzlies over 108.5 | 50.1% | 52.3% | 69.9% | 0.75× | 1.91 |
| Memphis Grizzlies under 108.5 | 49.9% | 47.7% | 30.1% | 1.58× | 2.09 |
| Memphis Grizzlies under 107.5 | 46.5% | 47.7% | 27.3% | 1.75× | 2.09 |
| Memphis Grizzlies over 109.5 | 46.7% | 47.7% | 67.0% | 0.71× | 2.09 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 124.5 | 48.2% | 47.7% | 81.4% | 0.59× | 2.09 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 125.5 | 48.3% | 47.7% | 16.6% | 2.87× | 2.09 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 126.5 | 44.9% | 42.9% | 14.7% | 2.92× | 2.33 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 122.5 | 41.4% | 42.9% | 77.4% | 0.55× | 2.33 |
| Memphis Grizzlies over 111.5 | 40.0% | 42.9% | 61.1% | 0.70× | 2.33 |
| Memphis Grizzlies under 105.5 | 39.8% | 38.8% | 22.6% | 1.72× | 2.58 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 128.5 | 38.2% | 38.8% | 11.5% | 3.39× | 2.58 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 120.5 | 34.9% | 33.6% | 72.7% | 0.46× | 2.98 |
| Memphis Grizzlies under 103.5 | 33.4% | 33.6% | 17.9% | 1.88× | 2.98 |
| Memphis Grizzlies over 113.5 | 33.6% | 33.6% | 54.3% | 0.62× | 2.98 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 130.5 | 31.9% | 33.6% | 8.5% | 3.96× | 2.98 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 118.5 | 28.8% | 29.3% | 67.4% | 0.43× | 3.42 |
| Memphis Grizzlies under 101.5 | 27.4% | 29.3% | 14.0% | 2.08× | 3.42 |
| Memphis Grizzlies over 115.5 | 27.7% | 29.3% | 48.4% | 0.60× | 3.42 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 132.5 | 26.0% | 29.3% | 6.4% | 4.59× | 3.42 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 115.5 | 20.7% | 24.9% | 58.6% | 0.42× | 4.02 |
| Memphis Grizzlies over 118.5 | 19.8% | 19.3% | 39.7% | 0.49× | 5.18 |
| Memphis Grizzlies under 98.5 | 19.6% | 19.3% | 9.4% | 2.05× | 5.18 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 135.5 | 18.4% | 19.3% | 4.2% | 4.64× | 5.18 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 213.5 points | 86.2% | 85.0% | 76.4% | 1.11× | 1.18 |
| Under 253.5 points | 86.1% | 85.0% | 89.1% | 0.95× | 1.18 |
| Over 218.5 points | 79.4% | 75.6% | 67.8% | 1.12× | 1.32 |
| Under 248.5 points | 79.2% | 75.6% | 84.4% | 0.90× | 1.32 |
| Over 223.5 points | 70.7% | 70.8% | 58.3% | 1.22× | 1.41 |
| Under 243.5 points | 70.6% | 70.8% | 78.2% | 0.91× | 1.41 |
| Over 226.5 points | 64.9% | 61.5% | 52.7% | 1.17× | 1.63 |
| Under 240.5 points | 64.7% | 61.5% | 74.0% | 0.83× | 1.63 |
| Over 228.5 points | 60.8% | 61.5% | 48.7% | 1.26× | 1.63 |
| Under 238.5 points | 60.6% | 61.5% | 70.9% | 0.87× | 1.63 |
| Over 230.5 points | 56.6% | 56.5% | 44.6% | 1.27× | 1.77 |
| Under 236.5 points | 56.3% | 56.5% | 67.3% | 0.84× | 1.77 |
| Over 232.5 points | 52.3% | 52.3% | 40.6% | 1.29× | 1.91 |
| Under 234.5 points | 52.0% | 52.3% | 63.3% | 0.83× | 1.91 |
| Over 233.5 points | 50.1% | 52.3% | 38.6% | 1.35× | 1.91 |
| Under 233.5 points | 49.9% | 47.7% | 61.4% | 0.78× | 2.10 |
| Under 232.5 points | 47.7% | 47.7% | 59.4% | 0.80× | 2.10 |
| Over 234.5 points | 48.0% | 47.7% | 36.7% | 1.30× | 2.10 |
| Under 230.5 points | 43.4% | 43.5% | 55.4% | 0.79× | 2.30 |
| Over 236.5 points | 43.7% | 43.5% | 32.7% | 1.33× | 2.30 |
| Under 228.5 points | 39.2% | 38.5% | 51.3% | 0.75× | 2.60 |
| Over 238.5 points | 39.4% | 38.5% | 29.1% | 1.32× | 2.60 |
| Under 226.5 points | 35.1% | 38.5% | 47.3% | 0.82× | 2.60 |
| Over 240.5 points | 35.3% | 38.5% | 26.0% | 1.48× | 2.60 |
| Under 223.5 points | 29.3% | 29.2% | 41.7% | 0.70× | 3.43 |
| Over 243.5 points | 29.4% | 29.2% | 21.8% | 1.34× | 3.43 |
| Under 218.5 points | 20.6% | 24.4% | 32.2% | 0.76× | 4.10 |
| Over 248.5 points | 20.8% | 24.4% | 15.6% | 1.57× | 4.10 |
| Over 253.5 points | 13.9% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 1.38× | 6.68 |
| Under 213.5 points | 13.8% | 15.0% | 23.6% | 0.63× | 6.68 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to win both halves | 55.4% | 57.7% | 17.8% | 3.23× | 1.73 |
| Memphis Grizzlies to win both halves | 3.6% | 3.0% | 25.2% | 0.12× | 33.62 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder by 26+ | 26.5% | 30.6% | 3.9% | 7.94× | 3.26 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder by 11-15 | 13.6% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 1.54× | 8.11 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder by 16-20 | 13.8% | 12.3% | 4.9% | 2.54× | 8.11 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder by 6-10 | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 1.00× | 8.11 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder by 21-25 | 12.5% | 12.3% | 3.0% | 4.05× | 8.11 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder by 1-5 | 9.2% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 0.61× | 13.40 |
| Memphis Grizzlies by 1-5 | 5.8% | 7.5% | 12.8% | 0.58× | 13.40 |
| Memphis Grizzlies by 6-10 | 3.5% | 2.0% | 13.9% | 0.15× | 49.30 |
| Memphis Grizzlies by 11-15 | 1.9% | 2.0% | 10.8% | 0.19× | 49.31 |
| Memphis Grizzlies by 16-20 | 0.9% | 2.0% | 7.3% | 0.28× | 49.32 |
| Memphis Grizzlies by 21-25 | 0.4% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 0.43× | 49.32 |
| Memphis Grizzlies by 26+ | 0.2% | 2.0% | 6.2% | 0.33× | 49.33 |