Memphis Grizzlies v Orlando Magic — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 8 October 2026 · NBA · 2027

NBA results-only Prediction generated 4 Sep 2026, 03:45 UTC

Memphis Grizzlies

00:00 UTC

Orlando Magic

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Memphis Grizzlies win

32.2%

Draw

0.0%

Orlando Magic win

67.8%

32068

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	32068	113.20–119.70	113-120 0%	49%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Magic to score 100+	95.8%	94.9%	85.9%	1.10×	1.05
Memphis Grizzlies to score 100+	87.6%	85.0%	89.3%	0.95×	1.18
Both sides to score 100+	84.4%	79.3%	77.5%	1.02×	1.26
Orlando Magic to score 110+	81.0%	79.2%	60.9%	1.30×	1.26
Memphis Grizzlies to score 110+	61.9%	61.8%	67.0%	0.92×	1.62
Orlando Magic to score 120+	51.0%	52.3%	29.7%	1.76×	1.91
Memphis Grizzlies to score 120+	29.4%	27.6%	36.5%	0.75×	3.63
Orlando Magic to score 130+	20.3%	21.9%	10.0%	2.20×	4.56
Memphis Grizzlies to score 130+	8.3%	8.8%	12.8%	0.69×	11.36

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Magic to win H1	60.0%	62.2%	44.1%	1.41×	1.61
Memphis Grizzlies to win H1	36.6%	37.8%	52.8%	0.72×	2.64
H1 tied	3.4%	3.9%	3.1%	1.25×	25.86

H1 total 40

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 over 104.5	82.3%	83.2%	78.3%	1.06×	1.20
H1 under 128.5	81.5%	83.2%	86.7%	0.96×	1.20
H1 over 105.5	82.3%	82.5%	75.8%	1.09×	1.21
H1 under 129.5	82.1%	82.5%	88.1%	0.94×	1.21
H1 over 108.5	73.4%	74.0%	67.7%	1.09×	1.35
H1 under 124.5	72.4%	74.0%	78.4%	0.94×	1.35
H1 over 109.5	73.2%	73.5%	65.0%	1.13×	1.36
H1 under 125.5	73.0%	73.5%	80.7%	0.91×	1.36
H1 over 111.5	65.4%	68.0%	59.0%	1.15×	1.47
H1 over 112.5	65.1%	67.4%	55.8%	1.21×	1.48
H1 under 121.5	64.3%	63.3%	71.2%	0.89×	1.58
H1 under 122.5	64.8%	62.7%	74.0%	0.85×	1.59
H1 over 114.5	59.3%	58.2%	49.6%	1.17×	1.72
H1 under 120.5	59.0%	58.2%	68.4%	0.85×	1.72
H1 over 113.5	59.6%	58.2%	52.4%	1.11×	1.72
H1 under 119.5	58.4%	58.2%	65.9%	0.88×	1.72
H1 under 118.5	52.9%	52.6%	62.9%	0.84×	1.90
H1 over 116.5	53.2%	52.6%	43.4%	1.21×	1.90
H1 over 117.5	50.1%	52.6%	40.4%	1.30×	1.90
H1 over 115.5	53.6%	52.5%	46.4%	1.13×	1.90
H1 under 115.5	46.4%	47.5%	53.6%	0.89×	2.11
H1 under 117.5	49.9%	47.4%	59.6%	0.79×	2.11
H1 over 118.5	47.1%	47.4%	37.1%	1.28×	2.11
H1 under 116.5	46.8%	47.4%	56.6%	0.84×	2.11
H1 over 119.5	41.6%	41.9%	34.1%	1.23×	2.39
H1 under 113.5	40.4%	41.8%	47.6%	0.88×	2.39
H1 under 114.5	40.7%	41.8%	50.4%	0.83×	2.39
H1 over 120.5	41.0%	41.8%	31.6%	1.32×	2.39
H1 over 122.5	35.2%	37.3%	26.0%	1.43×	2.68
H1 over 121.5	35.7%	36.7%	28.8%	1.27×	2.72
H1 under 112.5	34.9%	32.6%	44.2%	0.74×	3.07
H1 under 111.5	34.6%	32.0%	41.0%	0.78×	3.13
H1 under 109.5	26.8%	26.5%	35.0%	0.76×	3.77
H1 over 125.5	27.0%	26.5%	19.3%	1.37×	3.77
H1 over 124.5	27.6%	26.0%	21.7%	1.20×	3.84
H1 under 108.5	26.6%	26.0%	32.3%	0.81×	3.84
H1 under 105.5	17.7%	17.5%	24.2%	0.72×	5.73
H1 over 129.5	17.9%	17.5%	11.9%	1.47×	5.73
H1 over 128.5	18.5%	16.8%	13.3%	1.26×	5.96
H1 under 104.5	17.7%	16.8%	21.7%	0.77×	5.96

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Magic to win H2	59.9%	55.0%	44.7%	1.23×	1.82
Memphis Grizzlies to win H2	36.7%	41.2%	51.6%	0.80×	2.43
H2 tied	3.4%	3.9%	3.7%	1.06×	25.36

H2 total 40

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 127.5	82.7%	81.8%	84.9%	0.96×	1.22
H2 over 103.5	82.1%	81.8%	76.2%	1.07×	1.22
H2 over 102.5	82.2%	81.5%	78.5%	1.04×	1.23
H2 under 126.5	82.1%	81.5%	83.2%	0.98×	1.23
H2 over 106.5	73.1%	72.5%	68.8%	1.05×	1.38
H2 under 122.5	73.0%	72.5%	74.4%	0.97×	1.38
H2 under 123.5	73.6%	72.2%	76.9%	0.94×	1.39
H2 over 107.5	72.9%	72.2%	66.2%	1.09×	1.39
H2 under 120.5	65.5%	66.4%	69.3%	0.96×	1.51
H2 over 109.5	65.0%	64.4%	60.9%	1.06×	1.55
H2 under 119.5	64.9%	62.6%	66.4%	0.94×	1.60
H2 over 110.5	64.7%	61.6%	58.1%	1.06×	1.62
H2 over 111.5	59.2%	58.0%	55.3%	1.05×	1.72
H2 under 117.5	59.0%	58.0%	61.1%	0.95×	1.72
H2 under 118.5	59.6%	57.3%	63.6%	0.90×	1.74
H2 over 112.5	58.8%	57.3%	52.6%	1.09×	1.74
H2 under 116.5	53.5%	52.4%	58.1%	0.90×	1.91
H2 over 114.5	52.6%	52.4%	47.5%	1.10×	1.91
H2 under 115.5	50.5%	52.4%	55.4%	0.95×	1.91
H2 over 113.5	53.1%	52.1%	49.9%	1.04×	1.92
H2 under 113.5	46.9%	48.0%	50.1%	0.96×	2.09
H2 over 115.5	49.5%	47.6%	44.6%	1.07×	2.10
H2 under 114.5	47.4%	47.6%	52.5%	0.91×	2.10
H2 over 116.5	46.5%	47.6%	41.9%	1.14×	2.10
H2 under 112.5	41.2%	42.7%	47.4%	0.90×	2.34
H2 over 118.5	40.4%	42.7%	36.4%	1.17×	2.35
H2 over 117.5	41.0%	42.0%	38.9%	1.08×	2.38
H2 under 111.5	40.8%	42.0%	44.7%	0.94×	2.38
H2 under 110.5	35.3%	38.4%	41.9%	0.92×	2.61
H2 over 119.5	35.1%	37.4%	33.6%	1.11×	2.67
H2 under 109.5	35.0%	35.6%	39.1%	0.91×	2.81
H2 over 120.5	34.5%	33.6%	30.7%	1.10×	2.97
H2 under 107.5	27.1%	27.8%	33.8%	0.82×	3.59
H2 over 123.5	26.4%	27.8%	23.1%	1.20×	3.59
H2 under 106.5	26.9%	27.5%	31.2%	0.88×	3.63
H2 over 122.5	27.0%	27.5%	25.6%	1.08×	3.63
H2 under 102.5	17.8%	18.5%	21.5%	0.86×	5.41
H2 over 126.5	17.9%	18.5%	16.8%	1.10×	5.41
H2 under 103.5	17.9%	18.2%	23.8%	0.76×	5.50
H2 over 127.5	17.3%	18.2%	15.1%	1.20×	5.50

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Magic leading at half time	60.0%	62.5%	44.1%	1.42×	1.60
Memphis Grizzlies leading at half time	36.6%	37.8%	52.8%	0.72×	2.64
Level at half time	3.4%	3.8%	3.1%	1.22×	26.41

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Magic +18.5	95.7%	97.4%	86.4%	1.13×	1.03
Orlando Magic +20.5	96.8%	97.4%	89.1%	1.09×	1.03
Orlando Magic +16.5	94.2%	91.1%	83.5%	1.09×	1.10
Orlando Magic +14.5	92.4%	91.1%	80.1%	1.14×	1.10
Orlando Magic +12.5	90.3%	91.1%	76.0%	1.20×	1.10
Orlando Magic +10.5	87.7%	85.9%	71.0%	1.21×	1.16
Orlando Magic +9.5	86.2%	85.9%	68.7%	1.25×	1.16
Orlando Magic +8.5	84.6%	81.1%	65.9%	1.23×	1.23
Orlando Magic +7.5	82.9%	81.1%	63.0%	1.29×	1.23
Memphis Grizzlies +20.5	82.8%	81.1%	93.1%	0.87×	1.23
Orlando Magic +6.5	81.0%	81.1%	60.0%	1.35×	1.23
Orlando Magic +5.5	79.1%	76.5%	57.1%	1.34×	1.31
Memphis Grizzlies +18.5	79.1%	76.5%	91.5%	0.84×	1.31
Orlando Magic +4.5	77.0%	76.5%	54.1%	1.41×	1.31
Orlando Magic +3.5	74.9%	71.6%	51.6%	1.39×	1.40
Memphis Grizzlies +16.5	74.8%	71.6%	89.7%	0.80×	1.40
Orlando Magic +2.5	72.6%	71.6%	49.1%	1.46×	1.40
Orlando Magic +1.5	70.2%	71.6%	46.3%	1.55×	1.40
Memphis Grizzlies +14.5	70.2%	71.6%	87.0%	0.82×	1.40
Orlando Magic −1.5	65.1%	66.7%	42.1%	1.58×	1.50
Memphis Grizzlies +12.5	65.2%	66.7%	83.9%	0.80×	1.50
Orlando Magic −2.5	62.4%	61.9%	39.5%	1.57×	1.62
Orlando Magic −3.5	59.7%	57.1%	36.9%	1.55×	1.75
Memphis Grizzlies +10.5	59.9%	57.1%	80.3%	0.71×	1.75
Orlando Magic −4.5	56.9%	57.1%	34.3%	1.67×	1.75
Memphis Grizzlies +9.5	57.1%	57.1%	78.1%	0.73×	1.75
Memphis Grizzlies +8.5	54.3%	52.4%	75.7%	0.69×	1.91
Orlando Magic −5.5	54.1%	52.4%	32.0%	1.64×	1.91
Orlando Magic −6.5	51.3%	52.4%	29.4%	1.78×	1.91
Memphis Grizzlies +7.5	51.5%	52.4%	73.0%	0.72×	1.91
Memphis Grizzlies +6.5	48.7%	47.6%	70.6%	0.67×	2.10
Orlando Magic −7.5	48.5%	47.6%	27.0%	1.76×	2.10
Memphis Grizzlies +5.5	45.9%	47.6%	68.0%	0.70×	2.10
Orlando Magic −8.5	45.7%	47.6%	24.3%	1.96×	2.10
Memphis Grizzlies +4.5	43.1%	42.9%	65.7%	0.65×	2.33
Orlando Magic −9.5	42.9%	42.9%	21.9%	1.96×	2.33
Memphis Grizzlies +3.5	40.3%	42.9%	63.1%	0.68×	2.33
Orlando Magic −10.5	40.1%	42.9%	19.7%	2.18×	2.33
Memphis Grizzlies +2.5	37.6%	38.1%	60.5%	0.63×	2.63
Memphis Grizzlies +1.5	34.9%	33.3%	57.9%	0.58×	3.01
Orlando Magic −12.5	34.8%	33.3%	16.1%	2.06×	3.01
Memphis Grizzlies −1.5	29.8%	28.4%	53.7%	0.53×	3.53
Orlando Magic −14.5	29.8%	28.4%	13.0%	2.18×	3.53
Memphis Grizzlies −2.5	27.4%	28.4%	50.9%	0.56×	3.53
Memphis Grizzlies −3.5	25.1%	28.4%	48.4%	0.59×	3.53
Orlando Magic −16.5	25.2%	28.4%	10.3%	2.74×	3.53
Memphis Grizzlies −4.5	23.0%	23.5%	46.0%	0.51×	4.25
Memphis Grizzlies −5.5	20.9%	23.5%	42.9%	0.55×	4.25
Orlando Magic −18.5	20.9%	23.5%	8.5%	2.76×	4.25
Memphis Grizzlies −6.5	19.0%	18.9%	40.0%	0.47×	5.29
Memphis Grizzlies −7.5	17.1%	18.9%	37.0%	0.51×	5.29
Orlando Magic −20.5	17.2%	18.9%	6.9%	2.74×	5.29
Memphis Grizzlies −8.5	15.4%	18.9%	34.1%	0.55×	5.30
Memphis Grizzlies −9.5	13.8%	14.1%	31.3%	0.45×	7.09
Memphis Grizzlies −10.5	12.3%	14.1%	29.0%	0.49×	7.09
Memphis Grizzlies −12.5	9.7%	8.9%	24.0%	0.37×	11.25
Memphis Grizzlies −14.5	7.6%	8.9%	19.9%	0.45×	11.25
Memphis Grizzlies −16.5	5.8%	8.9%	16.5%	0.54×	11.25
Memphis Grizzlies −18.5	4.3%	2.6%	13.6%	0.19×	38.72
Memphis Grizzlies −20.5	3.2%	2.6%	10.9%	0.24×	38.73

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1st half highest scoring	56.8%	52.6%	53.5%	0.98×	1.90
2nd half highest scoring	43.2%	47.4%	46.5%	1.02×	2.11

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 highest scoring	28.3%	27.4%	29.2%	0.94×	3.65
Q3 highest scoring	28.0%	27.4%	27.5%	1.00×	3.65
Q2 highest scoring	26.6%	27.4%	26.3%	1.04×	3.65
Q4 highest scoring	17.1%	18.3%	17.0%	1.08×	5.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Magic at HT / Orlando Magic at FT	50.9%	51.1%	30.9%	1.65×	1.96
Memphis Grizzlies at HT / Memphis Grizzlies at FT	21.9%	24.4%	40.8%	0.60×	4.10
Memphis Grizzlies at HT / Orlando Magic at FT	14.7%	12.2%	12.0%	1.02×	8.17
Orlando Magic at HT / Memphis Grizzlies at FT	9.1%	8.3%	13.3%	0.62×	12.08
Level at HT / Orlando Magic at FT	2.1%	2.1%	1.4%	1.50×	47.76
Level at HT / Memphis Grizzlies at FT	1.2%	2.1%	1.7%	1.22×	47.77

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Magic to win	67.8%	64.5%	44.3%	1.46×	1.55
Memphis Grizzlies to win	32.2%	35.5%	55.7%	0.64×	2.82

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Memphis Grizzlies even	50.0%	50.5%	49.7%	1.02×	1.98
Orlando Magic even	50.0%	50.5%	50.3%	1.00×	1.98
Total points odd	51.3%	50.5%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
Memphis Grizzlies odd	50.0%	49.5%	50.3%	0.98×	2.02
Orlando Magic odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.7%	1.00×	2.02
Total points even	48.7%	49.5%	49.0%	1.01×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	93.6%	94.0%	94.8%	0.99×	1.06
Match to go to overtime	6.4%	6.0%	5.2%	1.16×	16.65

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Magic to win Q1	55.7%	57.3%	44.1%	1.30×	1.75
Memphis Grizzlies to win Q1	39.6%	38.3%	51.3%	0.75×	2.61
Q1 tied	4.7%	4.2%	4.6%	0.90×	23.94

Q1 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 over 50.5	82.5%	83.2%	79.4%	1.05×	1.20
Q1 under 66.5	82.5%	83.2%	86.1%	0.97×	1.20
Q1 under 67.5	84.4%	82.8%	88.8%	0.93×	1.21
Q1 over 51.5	80.9%	82.8%	76.0%	1.09×	1.21
Q1 over 53.5	72.1%	73.1%	68.2%	1.07×	1.37
Q1 under 63.5	72.1%	73.1%	76.8%	0.95×	1.37
Q1 under 64.5	74.4%	72.7%	80.1%	0.91×	1.38
Q1 over 54.5	69.9%	67.6%	63.3%	1.07×	1.48
Q1 under 62.5	66.3%	67.6%	72.9%	0.93×	1.48
Q1 over 55.5	63.7%	62.3%	59.2%	1.05×	1.61
Q1 under 61.5	63.7%	62.3%	68.5%	0.91×	1.61
Q1 over 56.5	61.2%	61.7%	54.6%	1.13×	1.62
Q1 under 60.5	57.4%	58.6%	64.5%	0.91×	1.71
Q1 over 57.5	54.7%	52.7%	49.6%	1.06×	1.90
Q1 under 59.5	52.7%	52.7%	60.0%	0.88×	1.90
Q1 over 58.5	52.0%	52.7%	44.3%	1.19×	1.90
Q1 under 58.5	48.0%	47.3%	55.7%	0.85×	2.11
Q1 over 59.5	47.3%	47.3%	40.0%	1.18×	2.11
Q1 under 57.5	45.3%	47.3%	50.4%	0.94×	2.11
Q1 over 60.5	42.6%	41.4%	35.5%	1.17×	2.42
Q1 under 56.5	38.8%	38.3%	45.4%	0.84×	2.61
Q1 under 55.5	36.3%	37.7%	40.8%	0.92×	2.65
Q1 over 61.5	36.3%	37.7%	31.5%	1.20×	2.65
Q1 over 62.5	33.7%	32.4%	27.1%	1.20×	3.08
Q1 under 54.5	30.1%	32.4%	36.7%	0.88×	3.08
Q1 over 64.5	25.6%	27.3%	19.9%	1.37×	3.66
Q1 under 53.5	27.9%	26.9%	31.8%	0.85×	3.72
Q1 over 63.5	27.9%	26.9%	23.2%	1.16×	3.72
Q1 under 51.5	19.1%	17.2%	24.0%	0.71×	5.83
Q1 over 67.5	15.6%	17.2%	11.2%	1.53×	5.83
Q1 under 50.5	17.5%	16.8%	20.6%	0.82×	5.95
Q1 over 66.5	17.5%	16.8%	13.9%	1.21×	5.95

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Magic to win Q2	55.6%	59.4%	46.2%	1.28×	1.69
Memphis Grizzlies to win Q2	39.7%	35.8%	49.3%	0.73×	2.79
Q2 tied	4.7%	4.4%	4.5%	0.98×	22.88

Q2 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 over 50.5	82.9%	83.0%	78.1%	1.06×	1.21
Q2 under 66.5	82.2%	83.0%	86.5%	0.96×	1.21
Q2 over 53.5	72.5%	72.0%	65.8%	1.09×	1.39
Q2 under 63.5	71.6%	72.0%	77.5%	0.93×	1.39
Q2 over 55.5	64.2%	60.7%	56.3%	1.08×	1.65
Q2 under 61.5	63.2%	60.7%	70.4%	0.86×	1.65
Q2 over 57.5	55.2%	58.2%	47.3%	1.23×	1.72
Q2 under 59.5	54.1%	52.7%	61.9%	0.85×	1.90
Q2 over 58.5	50.6%	52.7%	42.7%	1.23×	1.90
Q2 under 58.5	49.4%	47.3%	57.3%	0.83×	2.11
Q2 over 59.5	45.9%	47.3%	38.1%	1.24×	2.11
Q2 under 57.5	44.8%	41.8%	52.7%	0.79×	2.39
Q2 over 61.5	36.8%	39.3%	29.6%	1.33×	2.55
Q2 under 55.5	35.8%	39.3%	43.7%	0.90×	2.55
Q2 over 63.5	28.4%	28.0%	22.5%	1.25×	3.57
Q2 under 53.5	27.5%	28.0%	34.2%	0.82×	3.57
Q2 over 66.5	17.8%	17.0%	13.5%	1.26×	5.88
Q2 under 50.5	17.1%	17.0%	21.9%	0.78×	5.88

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Magic to win Q3	55.6%	56.8%	44.3%	1.28×	1.76
Memphis Grizzlies to win Q3	39.7%	38.8%	50.9%	0.76×	2.58
Q3 tied	4.6%	4.3%	4.9%	0.88×	23.43

Q3 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 under 67.5	84.1%	82.3%	87.0%	0.95×	1.22
Q3 over 51.5	81.6%	82.3%	76.1%	1.08×	1.22
Q3 over 50.5	83.3%	82.2%	79.7%	1.03×	1.22
Q3 under 66.5	82.3%	82.2%	84.7%	0.97×	1.22
Q3 over 53.5	72.9%	72.5%	68.3%	1.06×	1.38
Q3 under 63.5	71.6%	72.5%	75.9%	0.95×	1.38
Q3 under 64.5	74.0%	71.8%	79.2%	0.91×	1.39
Q3 over 54.5	70.7%	71.8%	63.9%	1.12×	1.39
Q3 under 62.5	65.8%	67.8%	71.9%	0.94×	1.48
Q3 over 55.5	64.6%	62.6%	59.9%	1.05×	1.60
Q3 under 61.5	63.1%	62.6%	67.7%	0.92×	1.60
Q3 over 56.5	62.1%	61.9%	55.0%	1.13×	1.61
Q3 under 60.5	56.7%	58.4%	63.5%	0.92×	1.71
Q3 over 57.5	55.5%	57.8%	50.2%	1.15×	1.73
Q3 over 58.5	52.8%	52.3%	45.2%	1.16×	1.91
Q3 under 59.5	52.0%	52.3%	59.0%	0.89×	1.91
Q3 over 59.5	48.0%	47.7%	41.0%	1.16×	2.10
Q3 under 58.5	47.2%	47.7%	54.8%	0.87×	2.10
Q3 under 57.5	44.5%	42.2%	49.8%	0.85×	2.37
Q3 over 60.5	43.3%	41.6%	36.5%	1.14×	2.40
Q3 under 56.5	37.9%	38.1%	45.0%	0.85×	2.63
Q3 over 61.5	36.9%	37.4%	32.3%	1.16×	2.67
Q3 under 55.5	35.4%	37.4%	40.1%	0.93×	2.67
Q3 over 62.5	34.2%	32.2%	28.1%	1.15×	3.10
Q3 under 54.5	29.3%	28.2%	36.1%	0.78×	3.55
Q3 over 64.5	26.0%	28.2%	20.8%	1.35×	3.55
Q3 over 63.5	28.4%	27.5%	24.1%	1.14×	3.63
Q3 under 53.5	27.1%	27.5%	31.7%	0.87×	3.64
Q3 over 66.5	17.7%	17.8%	15.3%	1.16×	5.62
Q3 under 50.5	16.7%	17.8%	20.3%	0.88×	5.63
Q3 under 51.5	18.4%	17.7%	23.9%	0.74×	5.66
Q3 over 67.5	15.9%	17.7%	13.0%	1.36×	5.66

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Magic to win Q4	55.4%	52.0%	46.4%	1.12×	1.92
Memphis Grizzlies to win Q4	39.8%	42.4%	48.3%	0.88×	2.36
Q4 tied	4.8%	5.2%	5.3%	0.98×	19.28

Q4 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 under 64.5	82.9%	82.0%	86.3%	0.95×	1.22
Q4 over 48.5	81.5%	82.0%	75.5%	1.09×	1.22
Q4 under 61.5	72.7%	71.5%	77.5%	0.92×	1.40
Q4 over 51.5	70.9%	71.5%	64.7%	1.11×	1.40
Q4 under 59.5	64.5%	61.4%	70.2%	0.87×	1.63
Q4 over 53.5	62.5%	61.4%	55.7%	1.10×	1.63
Q4 under 57.5	55.6%	58.4%	61.9%	0.94×	1.71
Q4 over 55.5	53.5%	52.5%	47.1%	1.11×	1.91
Q4 under 56.5	51.1%	52.5%	57.2%	0.92×	1.91
Q4 over 56.5	48.9%	47.5%	42.8%	1.11×	2.11
Q4 under 55.5	46.5%	47.5%	52.9%	0.90×	2.11
Q4 over 57.5	44.4%	41.6%	38.1%	1.09×	2.40
Q4 under 53.5	37.5%	38.6%	44.3%	0.87×	2.59
Q4 over 59.5	35.5%	38.6%	29.8%	1.30×	2.59
Q4 under 51.5	29.1%	28.5%	35.3%	0.81×	3.51
Q4 over 61.5	27.3%	28.5%	22.5%	1.27×	3.51
Q4 under 48.5	18.5%	18.0%	24.5%	0.73×	5.56
Q4 over 64.5	17.1%	18.0%	13.7%	1.31×	5.56

Team total 76

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Magic under 130.5	82.0%	80.7%	91.5%	0.88×	1.24
Memphis Grizzlies under 123.5	81.0%	80.7%	74.4%	1.08×	1.24
Memphis Grizzlies under 124.5	80.2%	80.3%	76.8%	1.05×	1.25
Memphis Grizzlies over 104.5	78.9%	78.3%	79.8%	0.98×	1.28
Orlando Magic over 107.5	78.4%	78.3%	66.6%	1.18×	1.28
Orlando Magic over 110.5	78.6%	75.1%	57.9%	1.30×	1.33
Memphis Grizzlies over 103.5	79.2%	75.1%	82.1%	0.91×	1.33
Orlando Magic under 124.5	73.3%	71.9%	81.4%	0.88×	1.39
Memphis Grizzlies under 121.5	72.6%	71.9%	69.6%	1.03×	1.39
Memphis Grizzlies over 107.5	71.1%	71.8%	72.7%	0.99×	1.39
Orlando Magic under 127.5	74.5%	70.7%	86.9%	0.81×	1.41
Memphis Grizzlies under 120.5	73.4%	70.7%	66.3%	1.07×	1.41
Memphis Grizzlies over 106.5	71.2%	70.7%	75.1%	0.94×	1.41
Orlando Magic over 113.5	70.5%	70.7%	48.0%	1.47×	1.41
Orlando Magic under 122.5	67.6%	66.6%	77.4%	0.86×	1.50
Memphis Grizzlies under 119.5	66.8%	66.6%	63.5%	1.05×	1.50
Memphis Grizzlies over 109.5	65.2%	66.6%	67.0%	0.99×	1.50
Orlando Magic under 125.5	68.7%	66.4%	83.4%	0.80×	1.51
Memphis Grizzlies under 118.5	67.6%	66.4%	60.3%	1.10×	1.51
Memphis Grizzlies over 108.5	65.1%	66.4%	69.9%	0.95×	1.51
Orlando Magic over 115.5	64.3%	61.2%	41.4%	1.48×	1.63
Orlando Magic under 123.5	62.4%	61.2%	79.5%	0.77×	1.63
Memphis Grizzlies under 116.5	61.3%	61.2%	54.7%	1.12×	1.63
Orlando Magic over 112.5	64.5%	61.2%	51.5%	1.19×	1.63
Memphis Grizzlies under 117.5	60.6%	61.2%	57.8%	1.06×	1.64
Memphis Grizzlies over 111.5	58.9%	57.9%	61.1%	0.95×	1.73
Orlando Magic over 114.5	58.2%	57.9%	44.5%	1.30×	1.73
Memphis Grizzlies over 110.5	58.7%	57.1%	64.1%	0.89×	1.75
Orlando Magic over 117.5	57.8%	57.1%	35.6%	1.60×	1.75
Orlando Magic under 121.5	55.8%	57.1%	74.7%	0.76×	1.75
Memphis Grizzlies under 114.5	54.7%	52.3%	48.6%	1.07×	1.91
Memphis Grizzlies under 113.5	51.4%	52.3%	45.7%	1.14×	1.91
Orlando Magic under 120.5	52.4%	52.3%	72.7%	0.72×	1.91
Memphis Grizzlies over 112.5	52.0%	52.3%	57.7%	0.91×	1.91
Orlando Magic over 119.5	51.0%	52.3%	29.7%	1.76×	1.91
Orlando Magic under 118.5	55.0%	52.2%	67.4%	0.78×	1.91
Memphis Grizzlies under 115.5	54.2%	52.2%	51.6%	1.01×	1.91
Orlando Magic over 116.5	51.6%	52.2%	38.5%	1.36×	1.91
Orlando Magic under 116.5	48.4%	47.8%	61.5%	0.78×	2.09
Memphis Grizzlies over 115.5	45.8%	47.8%	48.4%	0.99×	2.09
Orlando Magic over 118.5	45.0%	47.8%	32.6%	1.46×	2.09
Memphis Grizzlies over 113.5	48.6%	47.7%	54.3%	0.88×	2.09
Orlando Magic over 120.5	47.6%	47.7%	27.3%	1.75×	2.09
Memphis Grizzlies under 112.5	48.0%	47.7%	42.3%	1.13×	2.09
Orlando Magic under 119.5	49.0%	47.7%	70.3%	0.68×	2.09
Memphis Grizzlies over 114.5	45.3%	47.7%	51.4%	0.93×	2.09
Orlando Magic over 121.5	44.2%	42.9%	25.3%	1.70×	2.33
Orlando Magic under 117.5	42.2%	42.9%	64.4%	0.67×	2.33
Memphis Grizzlies under 110.5	41.3%	42.9%	35.9%	1.19×	2.33
Orlando Magic under 114.5	41.8%	42.1%	55.5%	0.76×	2.38
Memphis Grizzlies under 111.5	41.1%	42.1%	38.9%	1.08×	2.38
Memphis Grizzlies over 117.5	39.4%	38.8%	42.2%	0.92×	2.58
Orlando Magic under 112.5	35.5%	38.8%	48.5%	0.80×	2.58
Memphis Grizzlies over 116.5	38.7%	38.8%	45.3%	0.86×	2.58
Orlando Magic over 123.5	37.6%	38.8%	20.5%	1.89×	2.58
Orlando Magic under 115.5	35.7%	38.8%	58.6%	0.66×	2.58
Memphis Grizzlies under 108.5	34.9%	33.6%	30.1%	1.11×	2.98
Memphis Grizzlies over 118.5	32.4%	33.6%	39.7%	0.85×	2.98
Orlando Magic over 125.5	31.3%	33.6%	16.6%	2.02×	2.98
Memphis Grizzlies under 109.5	34.8%	33.4%	33.0%	1.01×	2.99
Memphis Grizzlies over 119.5	33.2%	33.4%	36.5%	0.91×	3.00
Orlando Magic over 122.5	32.4%	33.4%	22.6%	1.48×	3.00
Memphis Grizzlies under 106.5	28.8%	29.3%	24.9%	1.18×	3.42
Orlando Magic under 113.5	29.5%	29.3%	52.0%	0.56×	3.42
Orlando Magic over 127.5	25.5%	29.3%	13.1%	2.23×	3.42
Memphis Grizzlies over 120.5	26.6%	29.3%	33.7%	0.87×	3.42
Memphis Grizzlies under 107.5	28.9%	28.2%	27.3%	1.03×	3.55
Memphis Grizzlies over 121.5	27.4%	28.2%	30.4%	0.93×	3.55
Orlando Magic over 124.5	26.7%	28.1%	18.6%	1.52×	3.55
Orlando Magic under 110.5	21.4%	24.9%	42.1%	0.59×	4.02
Memphis Grizzlies under 103.5	20.8%	24.9%	17.9%	1.39×	4.02
Orlando Magic under 107.5	21.6%	21.7%	33.4%	0.65×	4.60
Memphis Grizzlies under 104.5	21.1%	21.7%	20.2%	1.07×	4.60
Memphis Grizzlies over 124.5	19.8%	19.7%	23.2%	0.85×	5.07
Memphis Grizzlies over 123.5	19.0%	19.3%	25.6%	0.75×	5.18
Orlando Magic over 130.5	18.0%	19.3%	8.5%	2.27×	5.18

Total points 46

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 251.5 points	86.0%	85.5%	87.2%	0.98×	1.17
Over 211.5 points	85.3%	85.5%	79.7%	1.07×	1.17
Under 253.5 points	86.9%	85.0%	89.1%	0.95×	1.18
Over 213.5 points	85.4%	85.0%	76.4%	1.11×	1.18
Under 248.5 points	80.2%	80.6%	84.4%	0.95×	1.24
Under 246.5 points	79.2%	78.1%	82.0%	0.95×	1.28
Over 216.5 points	78.4%	78.1%	71.6%	1.09×	1.28
Over 218.5 points	78.3%	75.6%	67.8%	1.12×	1.32
Under 241.5 points	70.8%	71.0%	75.5%	0.94×	1.41
Under 243.5 points	71.8%	70.8%	78.2%	0.91×	1.41
Over 221.5 points	69.7%	66.6%	62.2%	1.07×	1.50
Over 223.5 points	69.5%	65.9%	58.3%	1.13×	1.52
Under 240.5 points	66.0%	65.9%	74.0%	0.89×	1.52
Over 224.5 points	64.0%	61.8%	56.5%	1.09×	1.62
Over 226.5 points	63.6%	61.5%	52.7%	1.17×	1.63
Under 238.5 points	61.9%	61.5%	70.9%	0.87×	1.63
Over 228.5 points	59.5%	56.5%	48.7%	1.16×	1.77
Under 236.5 points	57.7%	56.5%	67.3%	0.84×	1.77
Over 230.5 points	55.2%	56.5%	44.6%	1.27×	1.77
Under 234.5 points	53.4%	52.3%	63.3%	0.83×	1.91
Over 232.5 points	50.9%	52.3%	40.6%	1.29×	1.91
Under 233.5 points	51.3%	52.3%	61.4%	0.85×	1.91
Under 231.5 points	50.6%	52.2%	57.4%	0.91×	1.92
Over 231.5 points	49.4%	47.8%	42.6%	1.12×	2.09
Under 232.5 points	49.1%	47.7%	59.4%	0.80×	2.10
Over 233.5 points	48.7%	47.7%	38.6%	1.23×	2.10
Over 234.5 points	46.6%	47.7%	36.7%	1.30×	2.10
Under 230.5 points	44.8%	43.5%	55.4%	0.79×	2.30
Over 236.5 points	42.3%	43.5%	32.7%	1.33×	2.30
Under 228.5 points	40.5%	43.5%	51.3%	0.85×	2.30
Over 238.5 points	38.1%	38.5%	29.1%	1.32×	2.60
Under 226.5 points	36.4%	38.5%	47.3%	0.82×	2.60
Under 224.5 points	36.0%	38.2%	43.5%	0.88×	2.62
Over 240.5 points	34.0%	34.1%	26.0%	1.31×	2.93
Under 223.5 points	30.5%	34.1%	41.7%	0.82×	2.93
Under 221.5 points	30.3%	33.4%	37.8%	0.88×	3.00
Over 243.5 points	28.2%	29.2%	21.8%	1.34×	3.43
Over 241.5 points	29.2%	29.0%	24.5%	1.18×	3.45
Under 218.5 points	21.7%	24.4%	32.2%	0.76×	4.10
Under 216.5 points	21.6%	21.9%	28.4%	0.77×	4.57
Over 246.5 points	20.8%	21.9%	18.0%	1.22×	4.57
Over 248.5 points	19.8%	19.4%	15.6%	1.25×	5.15
Under 213.5 points	14.6%	15.0%	23.6%	0.64×	6.68
Over 253.5 points	13.1%	15.0%	10.9%	1.38×	6.69
Under 211.5 points	14.7%	14.5%	20.3%	0.71×	6.88
Over 251.5 points	14.0%	14.5%	12.8%	1.13×	6.88

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Magic to win both halves	33.9%	31.3%	17.8%	1.75×	3.20
Memphis Grizzlies to win both halves	11.5%	14.0%	25.2%	0.56×	7.12

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Magic by 1-5	13.6%	12.3%	12.3%	1.01×	8.11
Orlando Magic by 6-10	14.0%	12.3%	12.3%	1.00×	8.11
Orlando Magic by 11-15	12.7%	12.3%	8.0%	1.54×	8.11
Memphis Grizzlies by 1-5	11.3%	12.3%	12.8%	0.96×	8.11
Orlando Magic by 16-20	10.3%	12.3%	4.9%	2.54×	8.11
Orlando Magic by 26+	9.8%	7.5%	3.9%	1.93×	13.40
Memphis Grizzlies by 6-10	8.6%	7.5%	13.9%	0.54×	13.40
Orlando Magic by 21-25	7.4%	7.5%	3.0%	2.45×	13.40
Memphis Grizzlies by 11-15	5.7%	7.5%	10.8%	0.69×	13.40
Memphis Grizzlies by 16-20	3.4%	2.0%	7.3%	0.28×	49.30
Memphis Grizzlies by 21-25	1.8%	2.0%	4.7%	0.43×	49.31
Memphis Grizzlies by 26+	1.4%	2.0%	6.2%	0.33×	49.32

Memphis Grizzlies v Orlando Magic — Prediction, Odds & Stats

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