Memphis Grizzlies v Utah Jazz — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Thursday 22 October 2026 · NBA · 2027
NBA results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 126.12–123.15 | 126-123 0% | 49% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis Grizzlies to score 100+ | 98.8% | 94.9% | 89.3% | 1.06× | 1.05 |
| Utah Jazz to score 100+ | 97.8% | 94.9% | 85.9% | 1.11× | 1.05 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 96.7% | 94.9% | 77.5% | 1.22× | 1.05 |
| Memphis Grizzlies to score 110+ | 92.0% | 90.3% | 67.0% | 1.35× | 1.11 |
| Utah Jazz to score 110+ | 87.7% | 85.0% | 60.9% | 1.40× | 1.18 |
| Memphis Grizzlies to score 120+ | 71.3% | 72.3% | 36.5% | 1.98× | 1.38 |
| Utah Jazz to score 120+ | 62.1% | 61.8% | 29.7% | 2.08× | 1.62 |
| Memphis Grizzlies to score 130+ | 38.9% | 36.0% | 12.8% | 2.81× | 2.78 |
| Utah Jazz to score 130+ | 29.3% | 27.6% | 10.0% | 2.76× | 3.63 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis Grizzlies to win H1 | 53.7% | 51.9% | 52.8% | 0.98× | 1.93 |
| Utah Jazz to win H1 | 42.9% | 42.7% | 44.1% | 0.97× | 2.34 |
| H1 tied | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.25× | 25.86 |
H1 total 36
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 133.5 | 82.0% | 83.2% | 93.1% | 0.89× | 1.20 |
| H1 over 109.5 | 81.9% | 83.2% | 65.0% | 1.28× | 1.20 |
| H1 under 138.5 | 83.6% | 82.5% | 96.9% | 0.85× | 1.21 |
| H1 over 114.5 | 80.8% | 82.5% | 49.6% | 1.66× | 1.21 |
| H1 over 113.5 | 72.8% | 74.0% | 52.4% | 1.41× | 1.35 |
| H1 under 134.5 | 74.8% | 73.5% | 94.0% | 0.78× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 118.5 | 71.3% | 73.5% | 37.1% | 1.98× | 1.36 |
| H1 under 131.5 | 66.9% | 67.4% | 91.0% | 0.74× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 116.5 | 64.7% | 63.3% | 43.4% | 1.46× | 1.58 |
| H1 over 121.5 | 63.0% | 62.7% | 28.8% | 2.18× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 129.5 | 61.2% | 62.7% | 88.1% | 0.71× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 123.5 | 57.0% | 58.2% | 24.0% | 2.42× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 127.5 | 55.2% | 58.2% | 84.8% | 0.69× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 124.5 | 59.1% | 58.2% | 78.4% | 0.74× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 126.5 | 52.1% | 52.6% | 82.8% | 0.64× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 125.5 | 50.9% | 52.6% | 19.3% | 2.73× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 122.5 | 53.1% | 52.5% | 74.0% | 0.71× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 120.5 | 52.9% | 52.5% | 31.6% | 1.66× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 120.5 | 47.1% | 47.5% | 68.4% | 0.69× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 122.5 | 46.9% | 47.5% | 26.0% | 1.82× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 125.5 | 49.1% | 47.4% | 80.7% | 0.59× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 126.5 | 47.9% | 47.4% | 17.2% | 2.75× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 124.5 | 40.9% | 41.8% | 21.7% | 1.93× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 127.5 | 44.8% | 41.8% | 15.2% | 2.76× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 123.5 | 43.0% | 41.8% | 76.0% | 0.55× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 129.5 | 38.8% | 37.3% | 11.9% | 3.14× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 121.5 | 37.0% | 37.3% | 71.2% | 0.52× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 116.5 | 35.3% | 36.7% | 56.6% | 0.65× | 2.72 |
| H1 over 131.5 | 33.1% | 32.6% | 9.0% | 3.61× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 118.5 | 28.7% | 26.5% | 62.9% | 0.42× | 3.77 |
| H1 over 134.5 | 25.2% | 26.5% | 6.0% | 4.39× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 113.5 | 27.2% | 26.0% | 47.6% | 0.55× | 3.84 |
| H1 under 114.5 | 19.2% | 17.5% | 50.4% | 0.35× | 5.72 |
| H1 over 138.5 | 16.5% | 17.5% | 3.1% | 5.66× | 5.73 |
| H1 under 109.5 | 18.1% | 16.8% | 35.0% | 0.48× | 5.96 |
| H1 over 133.5 | 18.0% | 16.8% | 6.9% | 2.44× | 5.96 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis Grizzlies to win H2 | 53.6% | 51.2% | 51.6% | 0.99× | 1.95 |
| Utah Jazz to win H2 | 42.9% | 43.5% | 44.7% | 0.97× | 2.30 |
| H2 tied | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.06× | 25.36 |
H2 total 32
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 135.5 | 82.5% | 81.8% | 93.5% | 0.87× | 1.22 |
| H2 over 111.5 | 82.4% | 81.8% | 55.3% | 1.48× | 1.22 |
| H2 over 107.5 | 81.6% | 81.5% | 66.2% | 1.23× | 1.23 |
| H2 under 127.5 | 73.8% | 72.5% | 84.9% | 0.85× | 1.38 |
| H2 under 131.5 | 73.4% | 72.2% | 90.1% | 0.80× | 1.39 |
| H2 over 115.5 | 73.2% | 72.2% | 44.6% | 1.62× | 1.39 |
| H2 under 128.5 | 65.2% | 66.4% | 86.3% | 0.77× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 118.5 | 65.0% | 66.4% | 36.4% | 1.82× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 114.5 | 64.1% | 62.6% | 47.5% | 1.32× | 1.60 |
| H2 over 116.5 | 58.2% | 58.0% | 41.9% | 1.38× | 1.72 |
| H2 under 126.5 | 59.3% | 57.3% | 83.2% | 0.69× | 1.74 |
| H2 over 120.5 | 59.1% | 57.3% | 30.7% | 1.87× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 124.5 | 53.2% | 52.4% | 79.1% | 0.66× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 122.5 | 53.0% | 52.4% | 25.6% | 2.05× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 123.5 | 50.1% | 52.4% | 76.9% | 0.68× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 119.5 | 50.9% | 52.0% | 66.4% | 0.78× | 1.92 |
| H2 over 119.5 | 49.1% | 48.0% | 33.6% | 1.43× | 2.09 |
| H2 over 123.5 | 49.9% | 47.6% | 23.1% | 2.06× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 124.5 | 46.8% | 47.6% | 20.9% | 2.28× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 122.5 | 47.0% | 47.6% | 74.4% | 0.64× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 126.5 | 40.7% | 42.7% | 16.8% | 2.54× | 2.35 |
| H2 under 120.5 | 40.9% | 42.7% | 69.3% | 0.62× | 2.35 |
| H2 under 116.5 | 41.8% | 42.0% | 58.1% | 0.72× | 2.38 |
| H2 under 114.5 | 35.9% | 37.4% | 52.5% | 0.71× | 2.67 |
| H2 over 128.5 | 34.8% | 33.6% | 13.7% | 2.45× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 118.5 | 35.0% | 33.6% | 63.6% | 0.53× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 131.5 | 26.6% | 27.8% | 9.9% | 2.80× | 3.59 |
| H2 under 115.5 | 26.8% | 27.8% | 55.4% | 0.50× | 3.59 |
| H2 over 127.5 | 26.2% | 27.5% | 15.1% | 1.82× | 3.64 |
| H2 under 107.5 | 18.4% | 18.5% | 33.8% | 0.55× | 5.41 |
| H2 over 135.5 | 17.5% | 18.2% | 6.5% | 2.81× | 5.50 |
| H2 under 111.5 | 17.7% | 18.2% | 44.7% | 0.41× | 5.50 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis Grizzlies leading at half time | 53.7% | 51.9% | 52.8% | 0.98× | 1.93 |
| Utah Jazz leading at half time | 42.9% | 42.8% | 44.1% | 0.97× | 2.33 |
| Level at half time | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.22× | 26.41 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis Grizzlies +20.5 | 94.6% | 91.1% | 93.1% | 0.98× | 1.10 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +18.5 | 92.9% | 91.1% | 91.5% | 1.00× | 1.10 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +16.5 | 90.8% | 91.1% | 89.7% | 1.02× | 1.10 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +14.5 | 88.3% | 85.9% | 87.0% | 0.99× | 1.16 |
| Utah Jazz +20.5 | 88.4% | 85.9% | 89.1% | 0.96× | 1.16 |
| Utah Jazz +18.5 | 85.4% | 85.9% | 86.4% | 0.99× | 1.16 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +12.5 | 85.3% | 85.9% | 83.9% | 1.02× | 1.16 |
| Utah Jazz +16.5 | 82.0% | 81.1% | 83.5% | 0.97× | 1.23 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +10.5 | 81.9% | 81.1% | 80.3% | 1.01× | 1.23 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +9.5 | 80.0% | 76.5% | 78.1% | 0.98× | 1.31 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +8.5 | 78.0% | 76.5% | 75.7% | 1.01× | 1.31 |
| Utah Jazz +14.5 | 78.1% | 76.5% | 80.1% | 0.95× | 1.31 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +7.5 | 75.8% | 76.5% | 73.0% | 1.05× | 1.31 |
| Utah Jazz +12.5 | 73.7% | 71.6% | 76.0% | 0.94× | 1.40 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +6.5 | 73.6% | 71.6% | 70.6% | 1.01× | 1.40 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +5.5 | 71.3% | 71.6% | 68.0% | 1.05× | 1.40 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +4.5 | 68.8% | 66.7% | 65.7% | 1.02× | 1.50 |
| Utah Jazz +10.5 | 69.0% | 66.7% | 71.0% | 0.94× | 1.50 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +3.5 | 66.3% | 66.7% | 63.1% | 1.06× | 1.50 |
| Utah Jazz +9.5 | 66.5% | 66.7% | 68.7% | 0.97× | 1.50 |
| Utah Jazz +8.5 | 63.9% | 61.9% | 65.9% | 0.94× | 1.62 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +2.5 | 63.7% | 61.9% | 60.5% | 1.02× | 1.62 |
| Memphis Grizzlies +1.5 | 61.1% | 61.9% | 57.9% | 1.07× | 1.62 |
| Utah Jazz +7.5 | 61.2% | 61.9% | 63.0% | 0.98× | 1.62 |
| Utah Jazz +6.5 | 58.5% | 57.1% | 60.0% | 0.95× | 1.75 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −1.5 | 55.5% | 57.1% | 53.7% | 1.06× | 1.75 |
| Utah Jazz +5.5 | 55.7% | 57.1% | 57.1% | 1.00× | 1.75 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −2.5 | 52.7% | 52.4% | 50.9% | 1.03× | 1.91 |
| Utah Jazz +4.5 | 52.9% | 52.4% | 54.1% | 0.97× | 1.91 |
| Utah Jazz +3.5 | 50.1% | 52.4% | 51.6% | 1.02× | 1.91 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −3.5 | 49.9% | 47.6% | 48.4% | 0.98× | 2.10 |
| Utah Jazz +2.5 | 47.3% | 47.6% | 49.1% | 0.97× | 2.10 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −4.5 | 47.1% | 47.6% | 46.0% | 1.04× | 2.10 |
| Utah Jazz +1.5 | 44.5% | 42.9% | 46.3% | 0.93× | 2.33 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −5.5 | 44.3% | 42.9% | 42.9% | 1.00× | 2.33 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −6.5 | 41.5% | 42.9% | 40.0% | 1.07× | 2.33 |
| Utah Jazz −1.5 | 39.0% | 38.1% | 42.1% | 0.90× | 2.63 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −7.5 | 38.8% | 38.1% | 37.0% | 1.03× | 2.63 |
| Utah Jazz −2.5 | 36.3% | 38.1% | 39.5% | 0.96× | 2.63 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −8.5 | 36.1% | 38.1% | 34.1% | 1.12× | 2.63 |
| Utah Jazz −3.5 | 33.7% | 33.3% | 36.9% | 0.90× | 3.01 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −9.5 | 33.5% | 33.3% | 31.3% | 1.06× | 3.01 |
| Utah Jazz −4.5 | 31.2% | 33.3% | 34.3% | 0.97× | 3.01 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −10.5 | 31.0% | 33.3% | 29.0% | 1.15× | 3.01 |
| Utah Jazz −5.5 | 28.7% | 28.4% | 32.0% | 0.89× | 3.53 |
| Utah Jazz −6.5 | 26.4% | 28.4% | 29.4% | 0.96× | 3.53 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −12.5 | 26.3% | 28.4% | 24.0% | 1.18× | 3.53 |
| Utah Jazz −7.5 | 24.2% | 23.5% | 27.0% | 0.87× | 4.25 |
| Utah Jazz −8.5 | 22.0% | 23.5% | 24.3% | 0.97× | 4.25 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −14.5 | 21.9% | 23.5% | 19.9% | 1.19× | 4.25 |
| Utah Jazz −9.5 | 20.0% | 23.5% | 21.9% | 1.08× | 4.25 |
| Utah Jazz −10.5 | 18.1% | 18.9% | 19.7% | 0.96× | 5.29 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −16.5 | 18.0% | 18.9% | 16.5% | 1.15× | 5.29 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −18.5 | 14.6% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 1.04× | 7.09 |
| Utah Jazz −12.5 | 14.7% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 0.87× | 7.09 |
| Utah Jazz −14.5 | 11.7% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 1.09× | 7.09 |
| Memphis Grizzlies −20.5 | 11.6% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 1.30× | 7.09 |
| Utah Jazz −16.5 | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 0.86× | 11.25 |
| Utah Jazz −18.5 | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 1.04× | 11.25 |
| Utah Jazz −20.5 | 5.4% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 1.29× | 11.25 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half highest scoring | 57.2% | 52.6% | 53.5% | 0.98× | 1.90 |
| 2nd half highest scoring | 42.8% | 47.4% | 46.5% | 1.02× | 2.11 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 highest scoring | 28.5% | 27.4% | 29.2% | 0.94× | 3.65 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 28.3% | 27.4% | 27.5% | 1.00× | 3.65 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 26.6% | 27.4% | 26.3% | 1.04× | 3.65 |
| Q4 highest scoring | 16.6% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 1.08× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis Grizzlies at HT / Memphis Grizzlies at FT | 42.6% | 41.0% | 40.8% | 1.01× | 2.44 |
| Utah Jazz at HT / Utah Jazz at FT | 29.0% | 29.6% | 30.9% | 0.96× | 3.38 |
| Utah Jazz at HT / Memphis Grizzlies at FT | 13.8% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 0.92× | 8.17 |
| Memphis Grizzlies at HT / Utah Jazz at FT | 11.1% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 1.02× | 8.18 |
| Level at HT / Memphis Grizzlies at FT | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.22× | 47.76 |
| Level at HT / Utah Jazz at FT | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.49× | 47.77 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis Grizzlies to win | 58.3% | 55.2% | 55.7% | 0.99× | 1.81 |
| Utah Jazz to win | 41.7% | 44.8% | 44.3% | 1.01× | 2.23 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total points odd | 51.4% | 50.5% | 51.0% | 0.99× | 1.98 |
| Memphis Grizzlies odd | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.3% | 1.00× | 1.98 |
| Utah Jazz odd | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.7% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Memphis Grizzlies even | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.7% | 1.00× | 2.02 |
| Utah Jazz even | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.3% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 48.6% | 49.5% | 49.0% | 1.01× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 93.0% | 94.0% | 94.8% | 0.99× | 1.06 |
| Match to go to overtime | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 1.16× | 16.65 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis Grizzlies to win Q1 | 51.3% | 52.6% | 51.3% | 1.02× | 1.90 |
| Utah Jazz to win Q1 | 43.9% | 42.9% | 44.1% | 0.97× | 2.33 |
| Q1 tied | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 0.90× | 23.94 |
Q1 total 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 under 69.5 | 84.3% | 83.2% | 92.7% | 0.90× | 1.20 |
| Q1 over 53.5 | 80.6% | 83.2% | 68.2% | 1.22× | 1.20 |
| Q1 under 71.5 | 84.0% | 82.8% | 95.1% | 0.87× | 1.21 |
| Q1 over 55.5 | 81.3% | 82.8% | 59.2% | 1.40× | 1.21 |
| Q1 under 68.5 | 73.9% | 72.7% | 90.7% | 0.80× | 1.38 |
| Q1 over 58.5 | 70.4% | 72.7% | 44.3% | 1.64× | 1.38 |
| Q1 over 56.5 | 69.6% | 69.3% | 54.6% | 1.27× | 1.44 |
| Q1 under 66.5 | 65.7% | 67.6% | 86.1% | 0.78× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 60.5 | 61.9% | 61.7% | 35.5% | 1.74× | 1.62 |
| Q1 under 64.5 | 56.7% | 58.6% | 80.1% | 0.73× | 1.71 |
| Q1 under 61.5 | 52.9% | 52.7% | 68.5% | 0.77× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 62.5 | 52.7% | 52.7% | 27.1% | 1.94× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 63.5 | 52.0% | 52.7% | 76.8% | 0.69× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 63.5 | 48.0% | 47.3% | 23.2% | 2.04× | 2.11 |
| Q1 under 62.5 | 47.3% | 47.3% | 72.9% | 0.65× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 61.5 | 47.2% | 47.3% | 31.5% | 1.50× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 64.5 | 43.3% | 41.4% | 19.9% | 2.08× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 60.5 | 38.1% | 38.3% | 64.5% | 0.59× | 2.61 |
| Q1 over 66.5 | 34.3% | 32.4% | 13.9% | 2.33× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 56.5 | 30.4% | 30.7% | 45.4% | 0.68× | 3.25 |
| Q1 under 58.5 | 29.6% | 27.3% | 55.7% | 0.49× | 3.66 |
| Q1 over 68.5 | 26.1% | 27.3% | 9.3% | 2.92× | 3.66 |
| Q1 under 55.5 | 18.7% | 17.2% | 40.8% | 0.42× | 5.83 |
| Q1 over 71.5 | 16.0% | 17.2% | 4.9% | 3.51× | 5.83 |
| Q1 under 53.5 | 19.4% | 16.8% | 31.8% | 0.53× | 5.95 |
| Q1 over 69.5 | 15.7% | 16.8% | 7.3% | 2.29× | 5.96 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis Grizzlies to win Q2 | 51.3% | 51.4% | 49.3% | 1.04× | 1.95 |
| Utah Jazz to win Q2 | 44.0% | 43.9% | 46.2% | 0.95× | 2.28 |
| Q2 tied | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 0.98× | 22.88 |
Q2 total 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 over 52.5 | 82.6% | 83.1% | 70.3% | 1.18× | 1.20 |
| Q2 under 68.5 | 82.2% | 83.1% | 90.6% | 0.92× | 1.20 |
| Q2 over 54.5 | 83.3% | 83.0% | 61.1% | 1.36× | 1.21 |
| Q2 under 70.5 | 81.8% | 83.0% | 94.0% | 0.88× | 1.21 |
| Q2 over 55.5 | 72.2% | 73.0% | 56.3% | 1.30× | 1.37 |
| Q2 over 57.5 | 73.0% | 72.0% | 47.3% | 1.52× | 1.39 |
| Q2 under 67.5 | 71.1% | 72.0% | 88.7% | 0.81× | 1.39 |
| Q2 over 59.5 | 64.8% | 60.7% | 38.1% | 1.59× | 1.65 |
| Q2 under 65.5 | 62.7% | 60.7% | 83.6% | 0.73× | 1.65 |
| Q2 over 61.5 | 55.8% | 58.2% | 29.6% | 1.96× | 1.72 |
| Q2 under 63.5 | 53.5% | 52.7% | 77.5% | 0.68× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 62.5 | 51.1% | 52.7% | 25.6% | 2.06× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 60.5 | 50.4% | 52.2% | 34.3% | 1.52× | 1.92 |
| Q2 under 60.5 | 49.6% | 47.8% | 65.7% | 0.73× | 2.09 |
| Q2 under 62.5 | 48.9% | 47.3% | 74.4% | 0.64× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 63.5 | 46.5% | 47.3% | 22.5% | 2.11× | 2.11 |
| Q2 under 61.5 | 44.2% | 41.8% | 70.4% | 0.59× | 2.39 |
| Q2 over 65.5 | 37.3% | 39.3% | 16.4% | 2.40× | 2.55 |
| Q2 under 59.5 | 35.2% | 39.3% | 61.9% | 0.63× | 2.55 |
| Q2 over 67.5 | 28.9% | 28.0% | 11.3% | 2.48× | 3.57 |
| Q2 under 57.5 | 27.0% | 28.0% | 52.7% | 0.53× | 3.57 |
| Q2 under 55.5 | 27.8% | 27.0% | 43.7% | 0.62× | 3.71 |
| Q2 over 70.5 | 18.2% | 17.0% | 6.0% | 2.82× | 5.88 |
| Q2 under 54.5 | 16.7% | 17.0% | 38.9% | 0.44× | 5.88 |
| Q2 over 68.5 | 17.8% | 16.9% | 9.4% | 1.79× | 5.93 |
| Q2 under 52.5 | 17.4% | 16.9% | 29.7% | 0.57× | 5.93 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis Grizzlies to win Q3 | 51.3% | 52.7% | 50.9% | 1.04× | 1.90 |
| Utah Jazz to win Q3 | 44.0% | 42.3% | 44.3% | 0.95× | 2.37 |
| Q3 tied | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 0.88× | 23.43 |
Q3 total 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 71.5 | 83.7% | 82.3% | 94.4% | 0.87× | 1.22 |
| Q3 over 55.5 | 82.1% | 82.3% | 59.9% | 1.37× | 1.22 |
| Q3 under 69.5 | 84.1% | 82.2% | 91.4% | 0.90× | 1.22 |
| Q3 over 53.5 | 81.4% | 82.2% | 68.3% | 1.20× | 1.22 |
| Q3 over 56.5 | 70.5% | 72.5% | 55.0% | 1.32× | 1.38 |
| Q3 under 68.5 | 73.4% | 71.8% | 89.3% | 0.80× | 1.39 |
| Q3 over 58.5 | 71.3% | 71.8% | 45.2% | 1.59× | 1.39 |
| Q3 under 66.5 | 65.1% | 67.8% | 84.7% | 0.80× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 60.5 | 62.8% | 61.9% | 36.5% | 1.70× | 1.61 |
| Q3 under 64.5 | 56.0% | 58.4% | 79.2% | 0.74× | 1.71 |
| Q3 under 61.5 | 52.1% | 52.6% | 67.7% | 0.78× | 1.90 |
| Q3 over 62.5 | 53.5% | 52.3% | 28.1% | 1.86× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 63.5 | 51.2% | 52.3% | 75.9% | 0.69× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 63.5 | 48.8% | 47.7% | 24.1% | 1.98× | 2.10 |
| Q3 under 62.5 | 46.5% | 47.7% | 71.9% | 0.66× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 61.5 | 47.9% | 47.4% | 32.3% | 1.47× | 2.11 |
| Q3 over 64.5 | 44.0% | 41.6% | 20.8% | 2.00× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 60.5 | 37.2% | 38.1% | 63.5% | 0.60× | 2.63 |
| Q3 over 66.5 | 34.9% | 32.2% | 15.3% | 2.11× | 3.10 |
| Q3 under 58.5 | 28.7% | 28.2% | 54.8% | 0.51× | 3.55 |
| Q3 over 68.5 | 26.6% | 28.2% | 10.7% | 2.64× | 3.55 |
| Q3 under 56.5 | 29.5% | 27.5% | 45.0% | 0.61× | 3.63 |
| Q3 under 53.5 | 18.6% | 17.8% | 31.7% | 0.56× | 5.62 |
| Q3 over 69.5 | 15.9% | 17.8% | 8.6% | 2.06× | 5.63 |
| Q3 under 55.5 | 17.9% | 17.7% | 40.1% | 0.44× | 5.66 |
| Q3 over 71.5 | 16.3% | 17.7% | 5.6% | 3.17× | 5.66 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis Grizzlies to win Q4 | 51.2% | 51.4% | 48.3% | 1.06× | 1.95 |
| Utah Jazz to win Q4 | 44.0% | 43.1% | 46.4% | 0.93× | 2.32 |
| Q4 tied | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 0.98× | 19.28 |
Q4 total 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 68.5 | 83.0% | 82.0% | 93.0% | 0.88× | 1.22 |
| Q4 over 52.5 | 81.3% | 82.0% | 60.4% | 1.36× | 1.22 |
| Q4 under 66.5 | 83.1% | 81.9% | 90.4% | 0.91× | 1.22 |
| Q4 over 50.5 | 81.0% | 81.9% | 68.5% | 1.20× | 1.22 |
| Q4 over 53.5 | 70.3% | 72.3% | 55.7% | 1.30× | 1.38 |
| Q4 under 65.5 | 72.8% | 71.5% | 88.4% | 0.81× | 1.40 |
| Q4 over 55.5 | 70.7% | 71.5% | 47.1% | 1.52× | 1.40 |
| Q4 under 63.5 | 64.7% | 61.4% | 83.7% | 0.73× | 1.63 |
| Q4 over 57.5 | 62.3% | 61.4% | 38.1% | 1.61× | 1.63 |
| Q4 under 61.5 | 55.8% | 58.4% | 77.5% | 0.75× | 1.71 |
| Q4 over 59.5 | 53.3% | 52.5% | 29.8% | 1.76× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 60.5 | 51.3% | 52.5% | 74.2% | 0.71× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 58.5 | 51.6% | 52.3% | 66.2% | 0.79× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 58.5 | 48.4% | 47.7% | 33.8% | 1.41× | 2.10 |
| Q4 over 60.5 | 48.7% | 47.5% | 25.8% | 1.84× | 2.11 |
| Q4 under 59.5 | 46.7% | 47.5% | 70.2% | 0.68× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 61.5 | 44.2% | 41.6% | 22.5% | 1.85× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 57.5 | 37.7% | 38.6% | 61.9% | 0.62× | 2.59 |
| Q4 over 63.5 | 35.3% | 38.6% | 16.3% | 2.37× | 2.59 |
| Q4 under 55.5 | 29.3% | 28.5% | 52.9% | 0.54× | 3.51 |
| Q4 over 65.5 | 27.2% | 28.5% | 11.6% | 2.46× | 3.51 |
| Q4 under 53.5 | 29.7% | 27.7% | 44.3% | 0.62× | 3.61 |
| Q4 under 50.5 | 19.0% | 18.1% | 31.5% | 0.57× | 5.53 |
| Q4 over 66.5 | 16.9% | 18.1% | 9.6% | 1.89× | 5.53 |
| Q4 under 52.5 | 18.7% | 18.0% | 39.6% | 0.45× | 5.56 |
| Q4 over 68.5 | 17.0% | 18.0% | 7.0% | 2.57× | 5.56 |
Team total 68
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Jazz under 133.5 | 81.2% | 80.7% | 94.6% | 0.85× | 1.24 |
| Memphis Grizzlies under 136.5 | 80.9% | 80.7% | 95.3% | 0.85× | 1.24 |
| Utah Jazz under 129.5 | 80.6% | 80.3% | 90.0% | 0.89× | 1.25 |
| Memphis Grizzlies over 111.5 | 79.7% | 78.3% | 61.1% | 1.28× | 1.28 |
| Utah Jazz over 109.5 | 78.6% | 78.3% | 60.9% | 1.28× | 1.28 |
| Utah Jazz over 113.5 | 79.4% | 75.1% | 48.0% | 1.57× | 1.33 |
| Memphis Grizzlies over 116.5 | 79.3% | 75.1% | 45.3% | 1.66× | 1.33 |
| Memphis Grizzlies over 114.5 | 72.1% | 71.8% | 51.4% | 1.40× | 1.39 |
| Memphis Grizzlies under 128.5 | 71.6% | 71.8% | 85.5% | 0.84× | 1.39 |
| Utah Jazz over 112.5 | 70.7% | 71.8% | 51.5% | 1.40× | 1.39 |
| Utah Jazz under 130.5 | 73.6% | 70.7% | 91.5% | 0.77× | 1.41 |
| Memphis Grizzlies under 133.5 | 73.2% | 70.7% | 92.3% | 0.77× | 1.41 |
| Utah Jazz over 116.5 | 71.3% | 70.7% | 38.5% | 1.84× | 1.41 |
| Memphis Grizzlies over 119.5 | 71.3% | 70.7% | 36.5% | 1.94× | 1.41 |
| Utah Jazz under 128.5 | 67.7% | 66.4% | 88.6% | 0.75× | 1.51 |
| Memphis Grizzlies under 131.5 | 67.4% | 66.4% | 89.8% | 0.74× | 1.51 |
| Memphis Grizzlies over 121.5 | 65.3% | 66.4% | 30.4% | 2.18× | 1.51 |
| Utah Jazz over 118.5 | 65.3% | 66.4% | 32.6% | 2.04× | 1.51 |
| Utah Jazz under 126.5 | 61.4% | 61.2% | 85.3% | 0.72× | 1.63 |
| Memphis Grizzlies under 129.5 | 61.1% | 61.2% | 87.2% | 0.70× | 1.63 |
| Utah Jazz over 114.5 | 64.8% | 61.2% | 44.5% | 1.38× | 1.63 |
| Memphis Grizzlies over 118.5 | 60.1% | 61.2% | 39.7% | 1.54× | 1.64 |
| Memphis Grizzlies under 124.5 | 59.5% | 57.9% | 76.8% | 0.75× | 1.73 |
| Utah Jazz over 120.5 | 58.8% | 57.1% | 27.3% | 2.09× | 1.75 |
| Memphis Grizzlies over 123.5 | 58.9% | 57.1% | 25.6% | 2.23× | 1.75 |
| Utah Jazz under 124.5 | 54.7% | 52.3% | 81.4% | 0.64× | 1.91 |
| Memphis Grizzlies under 127.5 | 54.5% | 52.3% | 83.5% | 0.63× | 1.91 |
| Utah Jazz under 123.5 | 51.4% | 52.3% | 79.5% | 0.66× | 1.91 |
| Memphis Grizzlies under 126.5 | 51.1% | 52.3% | 81.5% | 0.64× | 1.91 |
| Utah Jazz over 122.5 | 52.0% | 52.3% | 22.6% | 2.31× | 1.91 |
| Memphis Grizzlies over 125.5 | 52.3% | 52.3% | 20.9% | 2.50× | 1.91 |
| Memphis Grizzlies over 120.5 | 53.6% | 52.2% | 33.7% | 1.55× | 1.91 |
| Memphis Grizzlies under 122.5 | 53.0% | 52.2% | 71.8% | 0.73× | 1.91 |
| Utah Jazz under 119.5 | 51.4% | 52.2% | 70.3% | 0.74× | 1.91 |
| Utah Jazz over 119.5 | 48.6% | 47.8% | 29.7% | 1.61× | 2.09 |
| Memphis Grizzlies over 122.5 | 47.0% | 47.8% | 28.2% | 1.69× | 2.09 |
| Memphis Grizzlies under 120.5 | 46.4% | 47.8% | 66.3% | 0.72× | 2.09 |
| Utah Jazz over 123.5 | 48.6% | 47.7% | 20.5% | 2.33× | 2.09 |
| Memphis Grizzlies over 126.5 | 48.9% | 47.7% | 18.5% | 2.59× | 2.09 |
| Utah Jazz under 122.5 | 48.0% | 47.7% | 77.4% | 0.62× | 2.09 |
| Memphis Grizzlies under 125.5 | 47.7% | 47.7% | 79.1% | 0.60× | 2.09 |
| Utah Jazz over 124.5 | 45.3% | 47.7% | 18.6% | 2.57× | 2.09 |
| Memphis Grizzlies over 127.5 | 45.5% | 47.7% | 16.5% | 2.90× | 2.09 |
| Utah Jazz under 120.5 | 41.2% | 42.9% | 72.7% | 0.59× | 2.33 |
| Memphis Grizzlies under 123.5 | 41.1% | 42.9% | 74.4% | 0.58× | 2.33 |
| Memphis Grizzlies over 124.5 | 40.5% | 42.1% | 23.2% | 1.81× | 2.38 |
| Memphis Grizzlies under 118.5 | 39.9% | 38.8% | 60.3% | 0.64× | 2.58 |
| Utah Jazz under 114.5 | 35.2% | 38.8% | 55.5% | 0.70× | 2.58 |
| Utah Jazz over 126.5 | 38.6% | 38.8% | 14.7% | 2.64× | 2.58 |
| Memphis Grizzlies over 129.5 | 38.9% | 38.8% | 12.8% | 3.02× | 2.58 |
| Memphis Grizzlies under 121.5 | 34.7% | 33.6% | 69.6% | 0.48× | 2.98 |
| Utah Jazz under 118.5 | 34.7% | 33.6% | 67.4% | 0.50× | 2.98 |
| Utah Jazz over 128.5 | 32.3% | 33.6% | 11.5% | 2.94× | 2.98 |
| Memphis Grizzlies over 131.5 | 32.6% | 33.6% | 10.2% | 3.29× | 2.98 |
| Utah Jazz under 116.5 | 28.7% | 29.3% | 61.5% | 0.48× | 3.42 |
| Memphis Grizzlies under 119.5 | 28.7% | 29.3% | 63.5% | 0.46× | 3.42 |
| Utah Jazz over 130.5 | 26.4% | 29.3% | 8.5% | 3.45× | 3.42 |
| Memphis Grizzlies over 133.5 | 26.8% | 29.3% | 7.7% | 3.78× | 3.42 |
| Utah Jazz under 112.5 | 29.3% | 28.2% | 48.5% | 0.58× | 3.55 |
| Memphis Grizzlies over 128.5 | 28.4% | 28.2% | 14.5% | 1.94× | 3.55 |
| Memphis Grizzlies under 114.5 | 27.9% | 28.2% | 48.6% | 0.58× | 3.55 |
| Memphis Grizzlies under 116.5 | 20.7% | 24.9% | 54.7% | 0.45× | 4.02 |
| Utah Jazz under 113.5 | 20.6% | 24.9% | 52.0% | 0.48× | 4.02 |
| Utah Jazz under 109.5 | 21.4% | 21.7% | 39.1% | 0.56× | 4.60 |
| Memphis Grizzlies under 111.5 | 20.3% | 21.7% | 38.9% | 0.56× | 4.61 |
| Utah Jazz over 129.5 | 19.4% | 19.7% | 10.0% | 1.98× | 5.07 |
| Memphis Grizzlies over 136.5 | 19.1% | 19.3% | 4.8% | 4.06× | 5.18 |
| Utah Jazz over 133.5 | 18.8% | 19.3% | 5.4% | 3.57× | 5.18 |
Total points 56
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 220.5 points | 85.9% | 85.5% | 64.2% | 1.33× | 1.17 |
| Under 260.5 points | 85.4% | 85.5% | 94.1% | 0.91× | 1.17 |
| Under 269.5 points | 86.4% | 85.0% | 97.6% | 0.87× | 1.18 |
| Over 229.5 points | 85.9% | 85.0% | 46.7% | 1.82× | 1.18 |
| Over 225.5 points | 79.0% | 78.1% | 54.7% | 1.43× | 1.28 |
| Under 255.5 points | 78.5% | 78.1% | 90.8% | 0.86× | 1.28 |
| Under 264.5 points | 79.6% | 75.6% | 96.1% | 0.79× | 1.32 |
| Over 234.5 points | 78.9% | 75.6% | 36.7% | 2.06× | 1.32 |
| Over 230.5 points | 70.6% | 71.0% | 44.6% | 1.59× | 1.41 |
| Under 259.5 points | 71.1% | 70.8% | 93.6% | 0.76× | 1.41 |
| Over 239.5 points | 70.2% | 70.8% | 27.5% | 2.58× | 1.41 |
| Under 256.5 points | 65.3% | 65.9% | 91.6% | 0.72× | 1.52 |
| Over 233.5 points | 64.8% | 61.8% | 38.6% | 1.60× | 1.62 |
| Under 247.5 points | 64.2% | 61.8% | 83.3% | 0.74× | 1.62 |
| Over 235.5 points | 60.8% | 61.7% | 34.7% | 1.78× | 1.62 |
| Under 245.5 points | 60.2% | 61.7% | 80.9% | 0.76× | 1.62 |
| Over 242.5 points | 64.4% | 61.5% | 23.2% | 2.65× | 1.63 |
| Under 254.5 points | 61.2% | 61.5% | 89.9% | 0.68× | 1.63 |
| Over 244.5 points | 60.3% | 61.5% | 20.5% | 3.00× | 1.63 |
| Over 246.5 points | 56.0% | 56.5% | 18.0% | 3.14× | 1.77 |
| Under 252.5 points | 56.9% | 56.5% | 88.1% | 0.64× | 1.77 |
| Over 237.5 points | 56.7% | 56.0% | 30.7% | 1.82× | 1.79 |
| Under 243.5 points | 56.0% | 56.0% | 78.2% | 0.72× | 1.79 |
| Under 250.5 points | 52.6% | 52.3% | 86.1% | 0.61× | 1.91 |
| Over 248.5 points | 51.7% | 52.3% | 15.6% | 3.36× | 1.91 |
| Under 249.5 points | 50.5% | 52.3% | 85.3% | 0.61× | 1.91 |
| Under 241.5 points | 51.8% | 52.2% | 75.5% | 0.69× | 1.92 |
| Over 240.5 points | 50.4% | 52.2% | 26.0% | 2.01× | 1.92 |
| Under 240.5 points | 49.6% | 47.8% | 74.0% | 0.65× | 2.09 |
| Over 241.5 points | 48.2% | 47.8% | 24.5% | 1.95× | 2.09 |
| Over 249.5 points | 49.5% | 47.7% | 14.7% | 3.25× | 2.10 |
| Over 250.5 points | 47.4% | 47.7% | 13.9% | 3.44× | 2.10 |
| Under 248.5 points | 48.3% | 47.7% | 84.4% | 0.56× | 2.10 |
| Over 243.5 points | 44.0% | 44.0% | 21.8% | 2.02× | 2.27 |
| Under 237.5 points | 43.3% | 44.0% | 69.3% | 0.64× | 2.27 |
| Under 246.5 points | 44.0% | 43.5% | 82.0% | 0.53× | 2.30 |
| Over 252.5 points | 43.1% | 43.5% | 11.9% | 3.65× | 2.30 |
| Under 244.5 points | 39.7% | 38.5% | 79.5% | 0.48× | 2.60 |
| Over 254.5 points | 38.8% | 38.5% | 10.1% | 3.83× | 2.60 |
| Under 242.5 points | 35.6% | 38.5% | 76.8% | 0.50× | 2.60 |
| Over 245.5 points | 39.8% | 38.3% | 19.1% | 2.00× | 2.61 |
| Under 235.5 points | 39.2% | 38.3% | 65.3% | 0.59× | 2.61 |
| Over 247.5 points | 35.8% | 38.2% | 16.7% | 2.29× | 2.62 |
| Under 233.5 points | 35.2% | 38.2% | 61.4% | 0.62× | 2.62 |
| Over 256.5 points | 34.7% | 34.1% | 8.4% | 4.04× | 2.93 |
| Under 239.5 points | 29.8% | 29.2% | 72.5% | 0.40× | 3.43 |
| Over 259.5 points | 28.9% | 29.2% | 6.4% | 4.57× | 3.43 |
| Under 230.5 points | 29.4% | 29.0% | 55.4% | 0.52× | 3.45 |
| Under 234.5 points | 21.1% | 24.4% | 63.3% | 0.38× | 4.10 |
| Over 264.5 points | 20.4% | 24.4% | 3.9% | 6.25× | 4.10 |
| Over 255.5 points | 21.5% | 21.9% | 9.2% | 2.38× | 4.57 |
| Under 225.5 points | 21.0% | 21.9% | 45.3% | 0.48× | 4.57 |
| Under 229.5 points | 14.1% | 15.0% | 53.3% | 0.28× | 6.68 |
| Over 269.5 points | 13.6% | 15.0% | 2.4% | 6.22× | 6.68 |
| Over 260.5 points | 14.6% | 14.5% | 5.9% | 2.48× | 6.88 |
| Under 220.5 points | 14.1% | 14.5% | 35.8% | 0.41× | 6.88 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis Grizzlies to win both halves | 26.6% | 27.2% | 25.2% | 1.08× | 3.68 |
| Utah Jazz to win both halves | 16.3% | 18.9% | 17.8% | 1.06× | 5.30 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis Grizzlies by 1-5 | 14.1% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 0.96× | 8.11 |
| Memphis Grizzlies by 6-10 | 13.3% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 0.88× | 8.11 |
| Utah Jazz by 1-5 | 12.9% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 1.01× | 8.11 |
| Utah Jazz by 6-10 | 10.6% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 1.00× | 8.11 |
| Memphis Grizzlies by 11-15 | 11.1% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 1.14× | 8.11 |
| Memphis Grizzlies by 16-20 | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 1.02× | 13.40 |
| Utah Jazz by 11-15 | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 0.93× | 13.40 |
| Memphis Grizzlies by 26+ | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 1.21× | 13.40 |
| Memphis Grizzlies by 21-25 | 5.5% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 1.58× | 13.40 |
| Utah Jazz by 16-20 | 5.0% | 2.0% | 4.9% | 0.42× | 49.28 |
| Utah Jazz by 21-25 | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 0.67× | 49.30 |
| Utah Jazz by 26+ | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 0.53× | 49.31 |