Memphis Tigers v Alabama Crimson Tide — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Thursday 12 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 55.02–77.15 | 55-77 0% | 52% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis Tigers to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.20× | 283.36 |
| Memphis Tigers to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.64× | 283.36 |
| Memphis Tigers to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.91× | 283.36 |
| Memphis Tigers to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.36 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide to score 100+ | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.72× | 283.19 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.35 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.36 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.36 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide to win H1 | 87.0% | 88.7% | 39.9% | 2.22× | 1.13 |
| Memphis Tigers to win H1 | 10.7% | 10.7% | 56.4% | 0.19× | 9.31 |
| H1 tied | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.87 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 over 51.5 | 89.3% | 87.7% | 82.0% | 1.07× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 75.5 | 88.2% | 87.7% | 88.8% | 0.99× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 55.5 | 79.7% | 77.4% | 71.0% | 1.09× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 71.5 | 78.4% | 77.4% | 81.4% | 0.95× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 58.5 | 69.9% | 67.4% | 61.4% | 1.10× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 68.5 | 68.7% | 67.4% | 73.5% | 0.92× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 60.5 | 62.5% | 62.7% | 53.9% | 1.16× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 66.5 | 61.3% | 62.7% | 67.1% | 0.93× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 62.5 | 54.6% | 52.6% | 46.3% | 1.14× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 64.5 | 53.4% | 52.6% | 60.7% | 0.87× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 63.5 | 50.6% | 52.6% | 42.9% | 1.23× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 63.5 | 49.4% | 47.4% | 57.1% | 0.83× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 64.5 | 46.6% | 47.4% | 39.3% | 1.21× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 62.5 | 45.4% | 47.4% | 53.7% | 0.88× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 66.5 | 38.7% | 37.3% | 32.9% | 1.13× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 60.5 | 37.5% | 37.3% | 46.1% | 0.81× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 68.5 | 31.3% | 32.6% | 26.5% | 1.23× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 58.5 | 30.1% | 32.6% | 38.6% | 0.84× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 71.5 | 21.6% | 22.6% | 18.6% | 1.22× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 55.5 | 20.3% | 22.6% | 29.0% | 0.78× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 75.5 | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 1.10× | 8.14 |
| H1 under 51.5 | 10.7% | 12.3% | 18.0% | 0.68× | 8.14 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide to win H2 | 88.4% | 84.2% | 40.6% | 2.08× | 1.19 |
| Memphis Tigers to win H2 | 9.6% | 11.4% | 56.0% | 0.20× | 8.81 |
| H2 tied | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.37 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 82.5 | 88.9% | 85.2% | 87.4% | 0.97× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 58.5 | 86.3% | 85.2% | 79.6% | 1.07× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 78.5 | 80.0% | 81.8% | 80.1% | 1.02× | 1.22 |
| H2 over 62.5 | 75.8% | 75.8% | 68.3% | 1.11× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 75.5 | 71.1% | 72.2% | 73.0% | 0.99× | 1.39 |
| H2 over 65.5 | 65.8% | 66.4% | 58.8% | 1.13× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 73.5 | 64.3% | 61.6% | 67.1% | 0.92× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 67.5 | 58.4% | 57.3% | 52.1% | 1.10× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 71.5 | 56.9% | 57.3% | 61.1% | 0.94× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 70.5 | 53.1% | 52.4% | 57.8% | 0.91× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 69.5 | 50.8% | 52.4% | 45.2% | 1.16× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 69.5 | 49.2% | 47.6% | 54.8% | 0.87× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 70.5 | 46.9% | 47.6% | 42.2% | 1.13× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 71.5 | 43.1% | 42.7% | 38.9% | 1.10× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 67.5 | 41.6% | 42.7% | 47.9% | 0.89× | 2.34 |
| H2 over 73.5 | 35.7% | 38.4% | 32.9% | 1.17× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 65.5 | 34.2% | 33.6% | 41.2% | 0.82× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 75.5 | 28.9% | 27.8% | 27.0% | 1.03× | 3.59 |
| H2 under 62.5 | 24.2% | 24.2% | 31.7% | 0.76× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 78.5 | 20.0% | 18.2% | 19.9% | 0.92× | 5.50 |
| H2 under 58.5 | 13.7% | 14.8% | 20.4% | 0.73× | 6.76 |
| H2 over 82.5 | 11.1% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 1.17× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide leading at half time | 87.0% | 89.4% | 39.9% | 2.24× | 1.12 |
| Memphis Tigers leading at half time | 10.7% | 10.2% | 56.4% | 0.18× | 9.76 |
| Level at half time | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.43 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide +6.5 | 99.4% | 97.4% | 52.4% | 1.86× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +7.5 | 99.6% | 97.4% | 55.2% | 1.76× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +8.5 | 99.7% | 97.4% | 58.0% | 1.68× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +9.5 | 99.7% | 97.4% | 60.7% | 1.61× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +10.5 | 99.8% | 97.4% | 63.2% | 1.54× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +12.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 67.9% | 1.44× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +14.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 72.1% | 1.35× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +16.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 75.7% | 1.29× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +18.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 79.3% | 1.23× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +20.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 82.0% | 1.19× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +1.5 | 98.1% | 97.4% | 41.3% | 2.36× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −1.5 | 97.0% | 97.4% | 38.8% | 2.51× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +2.5 | 98.5% | 97.4% | 43.3% | 2.25× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −2.5 | 96.2% | 97.4% | 36.7% | 2.66× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +3.5 | 98.8% | 97.4% | 45.8% | 2.13× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +4.5 | 99.0% | 97.4% | 47.8% | 2.04× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +5.5 | 99.3% | 97.4% | 50.3% | 1.94× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −3.5 | 95.4% | 97.4% | 34.3% | 2.84× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −4.5 | 94.3% | 91.1% | 32.2% | 2.83× | 1.10 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −5.5 | 93.2% | 91.1% | 29.9% | 3.05× | 1.10 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −6.5 | 91.8% | 91.1% | 27.7% | 3.29× | 1.10 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −7.5 | 90.3% | 91.1% | 25.5% | 3.58× | 1.10 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −8.5 | 88.6% | 85.9% | 23.5% | 3.65× | 1.16 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −9.5 | 86.7% | 85.9% | 21.3% | 4.03× | 1.16 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −10.5 | 84.6% | 81.1% | 19.6% | 4.14× | 1.23 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −12.5 | 79.8% | 76.5% | 16.2% | 4.71× | 1.31 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −14.5 | 74.2% | 71.6% | 13.3% | 5.40× | 1.40 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −16.5 | 67.9% | 66.7% | 10.9% | 6.14× | 1.50 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −18.5 | 61.1% | 61.9% | 8.9% | 6.94× | 1.62 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −20.5 | 53.9% | 52.4% | 7.3% | 7.20× | 1.91 |
| Memphis Tigers +20.5 | 46.1% | 47.6% | 92.7% | 0.51× | 2.10 |
| Memphis Tigers +18.5 | 38.9% | 38.1% | 91.1% | 0.42× | 2.63 |
| Memphis Tigers +16.5 | 32.1% | 33.3% | 89.1% | 0.37× | 3.01 |
| Memphis Tigers +14.5 | 25.8% | 28.4% | 86.7% | 0.33× | 3.53 |
| Memphis Tigers +12.5 | 20.2% | 23.5% | 83.8% | 0.28× | 4.25 |
| Memphis Tigers +10.5 | 15.4% | 18.9% | 80.4% | 0.24× | 5.30 |
| Memphis Tigers +9.5 | 13.3% | 14.1% | 78.7% | 0.18× | 7.09 |
| Memphis Tigers +8.5 | 11.4% | 14.1% | 76.5% | 0.18× | 7.09 |
| Memphis Tigers +6.5 | 8.2% | 8.9% | 72.3% | 0.12× | 11.25 |
| Memphis Tigers +7.5 | 9.7% | 8.9% | 74.5% | 0.12× | 11.25 |
| Memphis Tigers +5.5 | 6.8% | 8.9% | 70.1% | 0.13× | 11.25 |
| Memphis Tigers +4.5 | 5.7% | 8.9% | 67.8% | 0.13× | 11.25 |
| Memphis Tigers +3.5 | 4.6% | 2.6% | 65.7% | 0.04× | 38.72 |
| Memphis Tigers −1.5 | 1.9% | 2.6% | 58.7% | 0.04× | 38.73 |
| Memphis Tigers +1.5 | 3.0% | 2.6% | 61.2% | 0.04× | 38.73 |
| Memphis Tigers −2.5 | 1.5% | 2.6% | 56.7% | 0.05× | 38.73 |
| Memphis Tigers +2.5 | 3.8% | 2.6% | 63.3% | 0.04× | 38.73 |
| Memphis Tigers −3.5 | 1.2% | 2.6% | 54.2% | 0.05× | 38.74 |
| Memphis Tigers −4.5 | 1.0% | 2.6% | 52.2% | 0.05× | 38.74 |
| Memphis Tigers −5.5 | 0.7% | 2.6% | 49.7% | 0.05× | 38.74 |
| Memphis Tigers −6.5 | 0.6% | 2.6% | 47.6% | 0.05× | 38.74 |
| Memphis Tigers −7.5 | 0.4% | 2.6% | 44.8% | 0.06× | 38.74 |
| Memphis Tigers −8.5 | 0.3% | 2.6% | 42.0% | 0.06× | 38.74 |
| Memphis Tigers −9.5 | 0.3% | 2.6% | 39.3% | 0.07× | 38.74 |
| Memphis Tigers −10.5 | 0.2% | 2.6% | 36.8% | 0.07× | 38.74 |
| Memphis Tigers −12.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 32.1% | 0.08× | 38.74 |
| Memphis Tigers −14.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 27.9% | 0.09× | 38.74 |
| Memphis Tigers −16.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 24.3% | 0.11× | 38.74 |
| Memphis Tigers −18.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 20.7% | 0.12× | 38.74 |
| Memphis Tigers −20.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 18.0% | 0.14× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 72.6% | 67.1% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.4% | 32.9% | 33.3% | 0.99× | 3.04 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 highest scoring | 34.6% | 31.9% | 31.2% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 32.9% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 17.0% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 15.5% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.02× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide at HT / Alabama Crimson Tide at FT | 86.1% | 89.1% | 30.1% | 2.95× | 1.12 |
| Memphis Tigers at HT / Alabama Crimson Tide at FT | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 1.01× | 12.08 |
| Level at HT / Alabama Crimson Tide at FT | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.75 |
| Memphis Tigers at HT / Memphis Tigers at FT | 1.4% | 2.1% | 48.3% | 0.04× | 47.77 |
| Level at HT / Memphis Tigers at FT | 0.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.79 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide at HT / Memphis Tigers at FT | 0.8% | 2.1% | 9.8% | 0.21× | 47.78 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide to win | 97.7% | 97.5% | 40.1% | 2.43× | 1.03 |
| Memphis Tigers to win | 2.3% | 2.5% | 59.9% | 0.04× | 39.30 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis Tigers even | 50.3% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 50.3% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Memphis Tigers odd | 49.7% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 49.7% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 98.1% | 97.0% | 95.6% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Match to go to overtime | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 0.67× | 33.53 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide to win Q1 | 76.4% | 79.8% | 40.4% | 1.98× | 1.25 |
| Memphis Tigers to win Q1 | 19.1% | 15.8% | 54.7% | 0.29× | 6.34 |
| Q1 tied | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 0.85× | 23.95 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 under 40.5 | 89.7% | 87.4% | 89.9% | 0.97× | 1.14 |
| Q1 over 24.5 | 87.1% | 87.4% | 81.8% | 1.07× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 37.5 | 79.4% | 76.9% | 81.6% | 0.94× | 1.30 |
| Q1 over 27.5 | 75.1% | 76.9% | 67.7% | 1.14× | 1.30 |
| Q1 under 35.5 | 69.9% | 67.6% | 73.2% | 0.92× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 29.5 | 64.7% | 61.7% | 56.9% | 1.09× | 1.62 |
| Q1 under 33.5 | 58.8% | 58.6% | 64.0% | 0.92× | 1.71 |
| Q1 over 31.5 | 53.1% | 52.7% | 46.0% | 1.14× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 32.5 | 52.9% | 52.7% | 59.1% | 0.89× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 32.5 | 47.1% | 47.3% | 40.9% | 1.16× | 2.11 |
| Q1 under 31.5 | 46.9% | 47.3% | 54.0% | 0.88× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 33.5 | 41.2% | 41.4% | 36.0% | 1.15× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 29.5 | 35.3% | 38.3% | 43.1% | 0.89× | 2.61 |
| Q1 over 35.5 | 30.1% | 32.4% | 26.8% | 1.21× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 27.5 | 24.9% | 23.1% | 32.3% | 0.72× | 4.33 |
| Q1 over 37.5 | 20.6% | 23.1% | 18.4% | 1.25× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 24.5 | 12.9% | 12.6% | 18.2% | 0.69× | 7.95 |
| Q1 over 40.5 | 10.3% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 1.24× | 7.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide to win Q2 | 75.8% | 80.6% | 41.5% | 1.94× | 1.24 |
| Memphis Tigers to win Q2 | 19.7% | 14.7% | 52.9% | 0.28× | 6.79 |
| Q2 tied | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 0.77× | 22.89 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 over 23.5 | 89.1% | 87.3% | 84.6% | 1.03× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 39.5 | 87.8% | 87.3% | 88.4% | 0.99× | 1.15 |
| Q2 over 26.5 | 78.2% | 76.8% | 71.6% | 1.07× | 1.30 |
| Q2 under 36.5 | 76.4% | 76.8% | 78.7% | 0.98× | 1.30 |
| Q2 over 28.5 | 68.3% | 67.4% | 61.2% | 1.10× | 1.49 |
| Q2 under 34.5 | 66.3% | 67.4% | 70.1% | 0.96× | 1.49 |
| Q2 over 30.5 | 57.0% | 58.2% | 49.9% | 1.17× | 1.72 |
| Q2 under 32.5 | 54.9% | 52.7% | 60.8% | 0.87× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 31.5 | 51.1% | 52.7% | 44.3% | 1.19× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 31.5 | 48.9% | 47.3% | 55.7% | 0.85× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 32.5 | 45.1% | 47.3% | 39.2% | 1.21× | 2.11 |
| Q2 under 30.5 | 43.0% | 41.8% | 50.1% | 0.84× | 2.39 |
| Q2 over 34.5 | 33.7% | 32.6% | 29.9% | 1.09× | 3.06 |
| Q2 under 28.5 | 31.7% | 32.6% | 38.8% | 0.84× | 3.06 |
| Q2 over 36.5 | 23.6% | 23.2% | 21.3% | 1.09× | 4.31 |
| Q2 under 26.5 | 21.8% | 23.2% | 28.4% | 0.82× | 4.31 |
| Q2 over 39.5 | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 1.09× | 7.89 |
| Q2 under 23.5 | 10.9% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 0.82× | 7.90 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide to win Q3 | 77.9% | 81.5% | 41.8% | 1.95× | 1.23 |
| Memphis Tigers to win Q3 | 17.9% | 15.1% | 53.3% | 0.28× | 6.62 |
| Q3 tied | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 0.86× | 23.44 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 43.5 | 89.6% | 87.2% | 90.2% | 0.97× | 1.15 |
| Q3 over 27.5 | 85.9% | 87.2% | 80.0% | 1.09× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 40.5 | 79.5% | 77.3% | 81.9% | 0.94× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 30.5 | 73.7% | 71.8% | 66.8% | 1.07× | 1.39 |
| Q3 under 38.5 | 70.3% | 71.8% | 73.9% | 0.97× | 1.39 |
| Q3 over 32.5 | 63.4% | 62.0% | 56.1% | 1.10× | 1.61 |
| Q3 under 36.5 | 59.6% | 58.4% | 64.6% | 0.90× | 1.71 |
| Q3 under 35.5 | 53.8% | 52.3% | 59.7% | 0.88× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 34.5 | 52.0% | 52.3% | 45.4% | 1.15× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 34.5 | 48.0% | 47.7% | 54.6% | 0.87× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 35.5 | 46.2% | 47.7% | 40.3% | 1.18× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 36.5 | 40.4% | 41.6% | 35.4% | 1.17× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 32.5 | 36.6% | 38.0% | 43.9% | 0.87× | 2.63 |
| Q3 over 38.5 | 29.7% | 28.2% | 26.1% | 1.08× | 3.55 |
| Q3 under 30.5 | 26.3% | 28.2% | 33.2% | 0.85× | 3.55 |
| Q3 over 40.5 | 20.5% | 22.7% | 18.1% | 1.25× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 27.5 | 14.1% | 12.8% | 20.0% | 0.64× | 7.83 |
| Q3 over 43.5 | 10.4% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 1.30× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide to win Q4 | 77.5% | 71.5% | 41.5% | 1.72× | 1.40 |
| Memphis Tigers to win Q4 | 18.3% | 22.7% | 52.8% | 0.43× | 4.41 |
| Q4 tied | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 0.91× | 19.30 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 43.5 | 88.1% | 85.6% | 88.6% | 0.97× | 1.17 |
| Q4 over 27.5 | 84.7% | 82.0% | 78.9% | 1.04× | 1.22 |
| Q4 under 40.5 | 77.9% | 76.9% | 80.6% | 0.95× | 1.30 |
| Q4 over 30.5 | 72.9% | 71.5% | 66.3% | 1.08× | 1.40 |
| Q4 under 38.5 | 68.9% | 67.4% | 73.1% | 0.92× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 32.5 | 63.0% | 61.4% | 55.4% | 1.11× | 1.63 |
| Q4 under 36.5 | 58.7% | 58.4% | 64.3% | 0.91× | 1.71 |
| Q4 under 35.5 | 53.2% | 52.5% | 59.4% | 0.88× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 34.5 | 52.2% | 52.5% | 45.6% | 1.15× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 34.5 | 47.8% | 47.5% | 54.4% | 0.87× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 35.5 | 46.8% | 47.5% | 40.6% | 1.17× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 36.5 | 41.3% | 41.6% | 35.7% | 1.17× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 32.5 | 37.0% | 38.6% | 44.6% | 0.87× | 2.59 |
| Q4 over 38.5 | 31.1% | 32.6% | 26.9% | 1.21× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 30.5 | 27.2% | 28.5% | 33.7% | 0.84× | 3.51 |
| Q4 over 40.5 | 22.1% | 23.1% | 19.4% | 1.19× | 4.33 |
| Q4 under 27.5 | 15.3% | 18.0% | 21.1% | 0.85× | 5.56 |
| Q4 over 43.5 | 11.9% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 1.26× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis Tigers under 66.5 | 88.1% | 83.9% | 48.2% | 1.74× | 1.19 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide over 67.5 | 86.2% | 83.9% | 34.4% | 2.44× | 1.19 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide under 87.5 | 86.2% | 83.9% | 96.6% | 0.87× | 1.19 |
| Memphis Tigers over 46.5 | 85.8% | 83.9% | 95.2% | 0.88× | 1.19 |
| Memphis Tigers under 63.5 | 80.5% | 80.7% | 38.5% | 2.09× | 1.24 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide over 70.5 | 77.7% | 75.1% | 26.3% | 2.86× | 1.33 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide under 84.5 | 77.7% | 75.1% | 94.7% | 0.79× | 1.33 |
| Memphis Tigers over 49.5 | 75.7% | 75.1% | 92.1% | 0.82× | 1.33 |
| Memphis Tigers under 61.5 | 74.1% | 70.7% | 33.1% | 2.14× | 1.41 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide over 72.5 | 70.7% | 70.7% | 21.8% | 3.24× | 1.41 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide under 82.5 | 70.7% | 70.7% | 93.0% | 0.76× | 1.41 |
| Memphis Tigers over 51.5 | 67.8% | 66.4% | 89.3% | 0.74× | 1.51 |
| Memphis Tigers under 59.5 | 66.6% | 66.4% | 27.8% | 2.38× | 1.51 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide over 74.5 | 62.8% | 61.2% | 17.7% | 3.45× | 1.63 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide under 80.5 | 62.8% | 61.2% | 91.0% | 0.67× | 1.63 |
| Memphis Tigers over 53.5 | 59.2% | 57.1% | 85.8% | 0.67× | 1.75 |
| Memphis Tigers under 57.5 | 58.3% | 57.1% | 22.8% | 2.50× | 1.75 |
| Memphis Tigers under 56.5 | 54.0% | 52.3% | 20.5% | 2.55× | 1.91 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide over 76.5 | 54.3% | 52.3% | 14.2% | 3.68× | 1.91 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide under 78.5 | 54.4% | 52.3% | 88.3% | 0.59× | 1.91 |
| Memphis Tigers over 55.5 | 50.4% | 52.3% | 81.6% | 0.64× | 1.91 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide under 77.5 | 50.0% | 52.3% | 87.2% | 0.60× | 1.91 |
| Memphis Tigers under 55.5 | 49.6% | 47.7% | 18.5% | 2.59× | 2.09 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide over 77.5 | 50.0% | 47.7% | 12.8% | 3.73× | 2.09 |
| Memphis Tigers over 56.5 | 46.0% | 47.7% | 79.5% | 0.60× | 2.09 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide under 76.5 | 45.7% | 47.7% | 85.8% | 0.56× | 2.09 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide over 78.5 | 45.6% | 47.7% | 11.7% | 4.09× | 2.09 |
| Memphis Tigers over 57.5 | 41.7% | 42.9% | 77.2% | 0.56× | 2.33 |
| Memphis Tigers under 53.5 | 40.8% | 42.9% | 14.2% | 3.02× | 2.33 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide under 74.5 | 37.2% | 38.8% | 82.3% | 0.47× | 2.58 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide over 80.5 | 37.2% | 38.8% | 9.0% | 4.31× | 2.58 |
| Memphis Tigers over 59.5 | 33.4% | 33.6% | 72.2% | 0.47× | 2.98 |
| Memphis Tigers under 51.5 | 32.2% | 33.6% | 10.7% | 3.13× | 2.98 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide under 72.5 | 29.3% | 29.3% | 78.2% | 0.37× | 3.42 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide over 82.5 | 29.3% | 29.3% | 7.0% | 4.20× | 3.42 |
| Memphis Tigers over 61.5 | 25.9% | 29.3% | 66.9% | 0.44× | 3.42 |
| Memphis Tigers under 49.5 | 24.3% | 24.9% | 7.9% | 3.15× | 4.02 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide under 70.5 | 22.3% | 24.9% | 73.7% | 0.34× | 4.02 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide over 84.5 | 22.3% | 24.9% | 5.3% | 4.67× | 4.02 |
| Memphis Tigers over 63.5 | 19.5% | 19.3% | 61.5% | 0.31× | 5.18 |
| Memphis Tigers under 46.5 | 14.2% | 16.1% | 4.8% | 3.36× | 6.21 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide under 67.5 | 13.8% | 16.1% | 65.6% | 0.25× | 6.21 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide over 87.5 | 13.8% | 16.1% | 3.4% | 4.80× | 6.21 |
| Memphis Tigers over 66.5 | 11.9% | 16.1% | 51.8% | 0.31× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 113.5 points | 92.6% | 88.8% | 81.9% | 1.08× | 1.13 |
| Under 153.5 points | 91.7% | 88.8% | 89.0% | 1.00× | 1.13 |
| Over 118.5 points | 85.5% | 85.0% | 73.6% | 1.16× | 1.18 |
| Under 148.5 points | 85.3% | 85.0% | 83.7% | 1.02× | 1.18 |
| Under 143.5 points | 76.1% | 75.6% | 76.7% | 0.99× | 1.32 |
| Over 123.5 points | 75.4% | 75.6% | 63.3% | 1.19× | 1.32 |
| Under 140.5 points | 69.3% | 65.9% | 71.8% | 0.92× | 1.52 |
| Over 126.5 points | 68.1% | 65.9% | 57.4% | 1.15× | 1.52 |
| Under 138.5 points | 64.4% | 61.5% | 67.9% | 0.91× | 1.63 |
| Over 128.5 points | 62.8% | 61.5% | 52.8% | 1.16× | 1.63 |
| Under 136.5 points | 59.2% | 56.5% | 64.2% | 0.88× | 1.77 |
| Over 130.5 points | 57.4% | 56.5% | 48.3% | 1.17× | 1.77 |
| Under 134.5 points | 53.7% | 52.3% | 60.2% | 0.87× | 1.91 |
| Over 132.5 points | 51.8% | 52.3% | 44.0% | 1.19× | 1.91 |
| Under 133.5 points | 51.0% | 52.3% | 58.0% | 0.90× | 1.91 |
| Over 133.5 points | 49.0% | 47.7% | 42.0% | 1.14× | 2.10 |
| Under 132.5 points | 48.2% | 47.7% | 56.0% | 0.85× | 2.10 |
| Over 134.5 points | 46.3% | 47.7% | 39.8% | 1.20× | 2.10 |
| Under 130.5 points | 42.7% | 43.5% | 51.7% | 0.84× | 2.30 |
| Over 136.5 points | 40.8% | 43.5% | 35.8% | 1.22× | 2.30 |
| Under 128.5 points | 37.2% | 38.5% | 47.2% | 0.82× | 2.60 |
| Over 138.5 points | 35.6% | 38.5% | 32.1% | 1.20× | 2.60 |
| Under 126.5 points | 31.9% | 34.1% | 42.6% | 0.80× | 2.93 |
| Over 140.5 points | 30.7% | 34.1% | 28.2% | 1.21× | 2.93 |
| Under 123.5 points | 24.6% | 24.4% | 36.7% | 0.66× | 4.10 |
| Over 143.5 points | 23.9% | 24.4% | 23.3% | 1.05× | 4.10 |
| Over 148.5 points | 14.7% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 0.92× | 6.68 |
| Under 118.5 points | 14.5% | 15.0% | 26.4% | 0.57× | 6.68 |
| Over 153.5 points | 8.3% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 1.02× | 8.96 |
| Under 113.5 points | 7.4% | 11.2% | 18.1% | 0.62× | 8.97 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide to win both halves | 76.1% | 77.0% | 20.4% | 3.78× | 1.30 |
| Memphis Tigers to win both halves | 0.5% | 3.0% | 36.0% | 0.08× | 33.82 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide by 26+ | 35.7% | 39.6% | 4.6% | 8.59× | 2.52 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide by 21-25 | 18.2% | 16.8% | 2.7% | 6.27× | 5.97 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide by 16-20 | 17.3% | 16.8% | 4.8% | 3.53× | 5.97 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide by 11-15 | 13.4% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 1.62× | 8.11 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide by 6-10 | 8.6% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 0.72× | 13.40 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide by 1-5 | 4.5% | 2.0% | 10.2% | 0.20× | 49.29 |
| Memphis Tigers by 1-5 | 1.6% | 2.0% | 10.2% | 0.20× | 49.31 |
| Memphis Tigers by 6-10 | 0.5% | 2.0% | 12.9% | 0.16× | 49.32 |
| Memphis Tigers by 11-15 | 0.2% | 2.0% | 10.8% | 0.19× | 49.33 |
| Memphis Tigers by 16-20 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 8.0% | 0.25× | 49.33 |
| Memphis Tigers by 21-25 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 5.4% | 0.38× | 49.33 |
| Memphis Tigers by 26+ | 0.0% | 2.0% | 12.6% | 0.16× | 49.33 |