Mercyhurst Lakers v Canisius Golden Griffins — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Wednesday 25 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Mercyhurst Lakers win
66.5%
Draw
0.0%
Canisius Golden Griffins win
33.6%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 69.14–64.50 | 69-64 0% | 51% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercyhurst Lakers to score 100+ | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.20× | 283.34 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.64× | 283.36 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.91× | 283.36 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.36 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.72× | 283.35 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.36 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.36 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.36 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercyhurst Lakers to win H1 | 58.0% | 57.3% | 56.4% | 1.01× | 1.75 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins to win H1 | 37.7% | 37.8% | 39.9% | 0.95× | 2.64 |
| H1 tied | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.86 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 76.5 | 89.3% | 87.7% | 90.2% | 0.97× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 52.5 | 86.9% | 87.7% | 79.6% | 1.10× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 72.5 | 80.2% | 82.5% | 83.6% | 0.99× | 1.21 |
| H1 over 56.5 | 76.5% | 77.4% | 68.2% | 1.14× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 69.5 | 71.1% | 73.5% | 76.2% | 0.96× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 59.5 | 66.6% | 67.4% | 57.8% | 1.17× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 67.5 | 64.0% | 62.7% | 70.4% | 0.89× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 61.5 | 59.1% | 58.2% | 50.2% | 1.16× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 65.5 | 56.5% | 58.2% | 63.9% | 0.91× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 64.5 | 52.6% | 52.6% | 60.7% | 0.87× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 63.5 | 51.4% | 52.6% | 42.9% | 1.23× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 63.5 | 48.6% | 47.4% | 57.1% | 0.83× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 64.5 | 47.4% | 47.4% | 39.3% | 1.21× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 65.5 | 43.5% | 41.8% | 36.1% | 1.16× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 61.5 | 40.9% | 41.8% | 49.8% | 0.84× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 67.5 | 36.0% | 37.3% | 29.6% | 1.26× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 59.5 | 33.4% | 32.6% | 42.2% | 0.77× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 69.5 | 28.9% | 26.5% | 23.8% | 1.11× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 56.5 | 23.5% | 22.6% | 31.8% | 0.71× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 72.5 | 19.8% | 17.5% | 16.4% | 1.07× | 5.72 |
| H1 under 52.5 | 13.1% | 12.3% | 20.4% | 0.60× | 8.14 |
| H1 over 76.5 | 10.7% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 1.26× | 8.14 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercyhurst Lakers to win H2 | 58.6% | 55.0% | 56.0% | 0.98× | 1.82 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins to win H2 | 37.2% | 41.2% | 40.6% | 1.02× | 2.43 |
| H2 tied | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.35 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 82.5 | 88.1% | 85.2% | 87.4% | 0.97× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 58.5 | 85.9% | 85.2% | 79.6% | 1.07× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 78.5 | 78.9% | 75.8% | 80.1% | 0.95× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 62.5 | 75.7% | 75.8% | 68.3% | 1.11× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 75.5 | 70.0% | 66.4% | 73.0% | 0.91× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 65.5 | 66.1% | 66.4% | 58.8% | 1.13× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 73.5 | 63.2% | 61.6% | 67.1% | 0.92× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 67.5 | 59.0% | 57.3% | 52.1% | 1.10× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 71.5 | 55.9% | 57.3% | 61.1% | 0.94× | 1.74 |
| H2 over 69.5 | 51.6% | 52.4% | 45.2% | 1.16× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 70.5 | 52.2% | 52.4% | 57.8% | 0.91× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 69.5 | 48.4% | 47.6% | 54.8% | 0.87× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 70.5 | 47.8% | 47.6% | 42.2% | 1.13× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 71.5 | 44.1% | 42.7% | 38.9% | 1.10× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 67.5 | 41.0% | 42.7% | 47.9% | 0.89× | 2.35 |
| H2 over 73.5 | 36.8% | 38.4% | 32.9% | 1.17× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 65.5 | 33.9% | 33.6% | 41.2% | 0.82× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 75.5 | 30.0% | 33.6% | 27.0% | 1.25× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 62.5 | 24.3% | 24.2% | 31.7% | 0.76× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 78.5 | 21.1% | 24.2% | 19.9% | 1.22× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 58.5 | 14.1% | 14.8% | 20.4% | 0.73× | 6.76 |
| H2 over 82.5 | 11.9% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 1.17× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercyhurst Lakers leading at half time | 58.0% | 56.9% | 56.4% | 1.01× | 1.76 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins leading at half time | 37.7% | 37.9% | 39.9% | 0.95× | 2.64 |
| Level at half time | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.40 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercyhurst Lakers +16.5 | 96.9% | 97.4% | 89.1% | 1.09× | 1.03 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +18.5 | 98.0% | 97.4% | 91.1% | 1.07× | 1.03 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +20.5 | 98.7% | 97.4% | 92.7% | 1.05× | 1.03 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +14.5 | 95.4% | 97.4% | 86.7% | 1.12× | 1.03 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +12.5 | 93.4% | 91.1% | 83.8% | 1.09× | 1.10 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +10.5 | 90.8% | 91.1% | 80.4% | 1.13× | 1.10 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins +20.5 | 92.0% | 91.1% | 82.0% | 1.11× | 1.10 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +9.5 | 89.2% | 85.9% | 78.7% | 1.09× | 1.16 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins +18.5 | 89.0% | 85.9% | 79.3% | 1.08× | 1.16 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +8.5 | 87.5% | 85.9% | 76.5% | 1.12× | 1.16 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +7.5 | 85.5% | 85.9% | 74.5% | 1.15× | 1.16 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins +16.5 | 85.1% | 85.9% | 75.7% | 1.13× | 1.16 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +6.5 | 83.4% | 81.1% | 72.3% | 1.12× | 1.23 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +5.5 | 81.0% | 81.1% | 70.1% | 1.16× | 1.23 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins +14.5 | 80.5% | 81.1% | 72.1% | 1.12× | 1.23 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +4.5 | 78.5% | 76.5% | 67.8% | 1.13× | 1.31 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins +12.5 | 75.2% | 76.5% | 67.9% | 1.13× | 1.31 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +3.5 | 75.7% | 76.5% | 65.7% | 1.16× | 1.31 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +2.5 | 72.8% | 71.6% | 63.3% | 1.13× | 1.40 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins +10.5 | 69.1% | 66.7% | 63.2% | 1.06× | 1.50 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers +1.5 | 69.7% | 66.7% | 61.2% | 1.09× | 1.50 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins +9.5 | 65.8% | 66.7% | 60.7% | 1.10× | 1.50 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −1.5 | 63.0% | 61.9% | 58.7% | 1.05× | 1.62 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins +8.5 | 62.4% | 61.9% | 58.0% | 1.07× | 1.62 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −2.5 | 59.4% | 57.1% | 56.7% | 1.01× | 1.75 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins +7.5 | 58.9% | 57.1% | 55.2% | 1.03× | 1.75 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins +6.5 | 55.3% | 57.1% | 52.4% | 1.09× | 1.75 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −3.5 | 55.7% | 57.1% | 54.2% | 1.05× | 1.75 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −4.5 | 52.1% | 52.4% | 52.2% | 1.00× | 1.91 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins +5.5 | 51.6% | 52.4% | 50.3% | 1.04× | 1.91 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −5.5 | 48.4% | 47.6% | 49.7% | 0.96× | 2.10 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins +4.5 | 47.9% | 47.6% | 47.8% | 1.00× | 2.10 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −6.5 | 44.7% | 42.9% | 47.6% | 0.90× | 2.33 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins +3.5 | 44.3% | 42.9% | 45.8% | 0.94× | 2.33 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −7.5 | 41.1% | 42.9% | 44.8% | 0.96× | 2.33 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins +2.5 | 40.6% | 42.9% | 43.3% | 0.99× | 2.33 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −8.5 | 37.6% | 38.1% | 42.0% | 0.91× | 2.63 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins +1.5 | 37.0% | 38.1% | 41.3% | 0.92× | 2.63 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −9.5 | 34.2% | 33.3% | 39.3% | 0.85× | 3.01 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −10.5 | 30.9% | 33.3% | 36.8% | 0.90× | 3.01 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins −1.5 | 30.3% | 33.3% | 38.8% | 0.86× | 3.01 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins −2.5 | 27.2% | 28.4% | 36.7% | 0.77× | 3.53 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −12.5 | 24.8% | 23.5% | 32.1% | 0.73× | 4.25 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins −3.5 | 24.3% | 23.5% | 34.3% | 0.69× | 4.25 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins −4.5 | 21.5% | 23.5% | 32.2% | 0.73× | 4.25 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins −5.5 | 19.0% | 18.9% | 29.9% | 0.63× | 5.29 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −14.5 | 19.5% | 18.9% | 27.9% | 0.68× | 5.29 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins −6.5 | 16.6% | 18.9% | 27.7% | 0.68× | 5.30 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins −7.5 | 14.5% | 14.1% | 25.5% | 0.55× | 7.09 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −16.5 | 14.9% | 14.1% | 24.3% | 0.58× | 7.09 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins −8.5 | 12.5% | 14.1% | 23.5% | 0.60× | 7.09 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins −9.5 | 10.8% | 14.1% | 21.3% | 0.66× | 7.09 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −18.5 | 11.0% | 14.1% | 20.7% | 0.68× | 7.09 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins −10.5 | 9.2% | 8.9% | 19.6% | 0.45× | 11.25 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers −20.5 | 8.0% | 8.9% | 18.0% | 0.49× | 11.25 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins −12.5 | 6.6% | 8.9% | 16.2% | 0.55× | 11.25 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins −14.5 | 4.6% | 2.6% | 13.3% | 0.19× | 38.72 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins −16.5 | 3.1% | 2.6% | 10.9% | 0.24× | 38.73 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins −18.5 | 2.0% | 2.6% | 8.9% | 0.29× | 38.73 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins −20.5 | 1.3% | 2.6% | 7.3% | 0.35× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 72.6% | 67.1% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.4% | 32.9% | 33.3% | 0.99× | 3.04 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 highest scoring | 34.6% | 31.9% | 31.2% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 32.9% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 17.0% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 15.5% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.02× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercyhurst Lakers at HT / Mercyhurst Lakers at FT | 48.3% | 46.6% | 48.3% | 0.97× | 2.15 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins at HT / Canisius Golden Griffins at FT | 22.3% | 24.4% | 30.1% | 0.81× | 4.10 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins at HT / Mercyhurst Lakers at FT | 15.4% | 15.4% | 9.8% | 1.58× | 6.47 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers at HT / Canisius Golden Griffins at FT | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 1.01× | 12.08 |
| Level at HT / Mercyhurst Lakers at FT | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.74 |
| Level at HT / Canisius Golden Griffins at FT | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.76 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercyhurst Lakers to win | 66.5% | 64.5% | 59.9% | 1.08× | 1.55 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins to win | 33.5% | 35.5% | 40.1% | 0.89× | 2.82 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total points odd | 51.7% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 48.3% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 94.2% | 94.0% | 95.6% | 0.98× | 1.06 |
| Match to go to overtime | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.35× | 16.66 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercyhurst Lakers to win Q1 | 53.9% | 52.6% | 54.7% | 0.96× | 1.90 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins to win Q1 | 40.1% | 42.9% | 40.4% | 1.06× | 2.33 |
| Q1 tied | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.11× | 18.32 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 under 40.5 | 89.2% | 87.4% | 89.9% | 0.97× | 1.14 |
| Q1 over 24.5 | 86.9% | 87.4% | 81.8% | 1.07× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 37.5 | 78.7% | 76.9% | 81.6% | 0.94× | 1.30 |
| Q1 over 27.5 | 75.1% | 76.9% | 67.7% | 1.14× | 1.30 |
| Q1 under 35.5 | 69.2% | 67.6% | 73.2% | 0.92× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 29.5 | 64.9% | 61.7% | 56.9% | 1.09× | 1.62 |
| Q1 under 33.5 | 58.2% | 58.6% | 64.0% | 0.92× | 1.71 |
| Q1 over 31.5 | 53.5% | 52.7% | 46.0% | 1.14× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 32.5 | 52.4% | 52.7% | 59.1% | 0.89× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 32.5 | 47.6% | 47.3% | 40.9% | 1.16× | 2.11 |
| Q1 under 31.5 | 46.5% | 47.3% | 54.0% | 0.88× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 33.5 | 41.8% | 41.4% | 36.0% | 1.15× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 29.5 | 35.1% | 38.3% | 43.1% | 0.89× | 2.61 |
| Q1 over 35.5 | 30.8% | 32.4% | 26.8% | 1.21× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 27.5 | 24.9% | 23.1% | 32.3% | 0.72× | 4.33 |
| Q1 over 37.5 | 21.3% | 23.1% | 18.4% | 1.25× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 24.5 | 13.1% | 12.6% | 18.2% | 0.69× | 7.95 |
| Q1 over 40.5 | 10.8% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 1.24× | 7.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercyhurst Lakers to win Q2 | 53.8% | 51.4% | 52.9% | 0.97× | 1.95 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins to win Q2 | 40.3% | 43.9% | 41.5% | 1.06× | 2.28 |
| Q2 tied | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 1.07× | 16.49 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 40.5 | 90.1% | 90.8% | 90.8% | 1.00× | 1.10 |
| Q2 over 24.5 | 85.8% | 87.3% | 80.7% | 1.08× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 37.5 | 80.1% | 83.0% | 82.3% | 1.01× | 1.21 |
| Q2 over 27.5 | 73.5% | 72.0% | 66.7% | 1.08× | 1.39 |
| Q2 under 35.5 | 70.9% | 72.0% | 74.6% | 0.96× | 1.39 |
| Q2 over 29.5 | 63.1% | 60.7% | 55.8% | 1.09× | 1.65 |
| Q2 under 33.5 | 60.1% | 60.7% | 65.6% | 0.93× | 1.65 |
| Q2 under 32.5 | 54.3% | 52.7% | 60.8% | 0.87× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 31.5 | 51.5% | 52.7% | 44.3% | 1.19× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 31.5 | 48.5% | 47.3% | 55.7% | 0.85× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 32.5 | 45.7% | 47.3% | 39.2% | 1.21× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 33.5 | 39.9% | 39.3% | 34.4% | 1.14× | 2.54 |
| Q2 under 29.5 | 36.9% | 39.3% | 44.2% | 0.89× | 2.55 |
| Q2 over 35.5 | 29.1% | 28.0% | 25.4% | 1.10× | 3.57 |
| Q2 under 27.5 | 26.5% | 28.0% | 33.3% | 0.84× | 3.57 |
| Q2 over 37.5 | 19.9% | 17.0% | 17.7% | 0.96× | 5.88 |
| Q2 under 24.5 | 14.2% | 12.7% | 19.3% | 0.66× | 7.89 |
| Q2 over 40.5 | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 1.01× | 10.82 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercyhurst Lakers to win Q3 | 54.4% | 52.7% | 53.3% | 0.99× | 1.90 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins to win Q3 | 39.7% | 38.8% | 41.8% | 0.93× | 2.58 |
| Q3 tied | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 1.07× | 18.96 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 43.5 | 89.0% | 87.2% | 90.2% | 0.97× | 1.15 |
| Q3 over 27.5 | 85.7% | 87.2% | 80.0% | 1.09× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 40.5 | 78.8% | 77.3% | 81.9% | 0.94× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 30.5 | 73.8% | 71.8% | 66.8% | 1.07× | 1.39 |
| Q3 under 38.5 | 69.6% | 67.8% | 73.9% | 0.92× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 32.5 | 63.6% | 62.0% | 56.1% | 1.10× | 1.61 |
| Q3 under 36.5 | 58.9% | 58.4% | 64.6% | 0.90× | 1.71 |
| Q3 under 35.5 | 53.3% | 52.3% | 59.7% | 0.88× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 34.5 | 52.5% | 52.3% | 45.4% | 1.15× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 34.5 | 47.5% | 47.7% | 54.6% | 0.87× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 35.5 | 46.7% | 47.7% | 40.3% | 1.18× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 36.5 | 41.1% | 41.6% | 35.4% | 1.17× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 32.5 | 36.4% | 38.0% | 43.9% | 0.87× | 2.63 |
| Q3 over 38.5 | 30.4% | 32.2% | 26.1% | 1.23× | 3.11 |
| Q3 under 30.5 | 26.2% | 28.2% | 33.2% | 0.85× | 3.55 |
| Q3 over 40.5 | 21.2% | 22.7% | 18.1% | 1.25× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 27.5 | 14.3% | 12.8% | 20.0% | 0.64× | 7.83 |
| Q3 over 43.5 | 11.0% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 1.30× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercyhurst Lakers to win Q4 | 54.3% | 51.4% | 52.8% | 0.97× | 1.94 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins to win Q4 | 39.9% | 42.4% | 41.5% | 1.02× | 2.36 |
| Q4 tied | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.02× | 17.25 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 43.5 | 87.5% | 85.6% | 88.6% | 0.97× | 1.17 |
| Q4 over 27.5 | 84.6% | 82.0% | 78.9% | 1.04× | 1.22 |
| Q4 under 40.5 | 77.2% | 76.9% | 80.6% | 0.95× | 1.30 |
| Q4 over 30.5 | 72.9% | 71.5% | 66.3% | 1.08× | 1.40 |
| Q4 under 38.5 | 68.3% | 67.4% | 73.1% | 0.92× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 32.5 | 63.3% | 61.4% | 55.4% | 1.11× | 1.63 |
| Q4 under 36.5 | 58.1% | 58.4% | 64.3% | 0.91× | 1.71 |
| Q4 over 34.5 | 52.7% | 52.5% | 45.6% | 1.15× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 35.5 | 52.7% | 52.5% | 59.4% | 0.88× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 34.5 | 47.3% | 47.5% | 54.4% | 0.87× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 35.5 | 47.3% | 47.5% | 40.6% | 1.17× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 36.5 | 41.9% | 41.6% | 35.7% | 1.17× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 32.5 | 36.7% | 38.6% | 44.6% | 0.87× | 2.59 |
| Q4 over 38.5 | 31.7% | 32.6% | 26.9% | 1.21× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 30.5 | 27.1% | 28.5% | 33.7% | 0.84× | 3.51 |
| Q4 over 40.5 | 22.8% | 23.1% | 19.4% | 1.19× | 4.33 |
| Q4 under 27.5 | 15.4% | 18.0% | 21.1% | 0.85× | 5.56 |
| Q4 over 43.5 | 12.5% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 1.26× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canisius Golden Griffins over 54.5 | 86.0% | 83.9% | 73.5% | 1.14× | 1.19 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers under 79.5 | 85.8% | 83.9% | 81.3% | 1.03× | 1.19 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins under 74.5 | 85.9% | 83.9% | 82.3% | 1.02× | 1.19 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers over 59.5 | 84.6% | 80.7% | 72.2% | 1.12× | 1.24 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers over 62.5 | 76.0% | 75.1% | 64.3% | 1.17× | 1.33 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers under 76.5 | 77.5% | 75.1% | 75.4% | 1.00× | 1.33 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins over 57.5 | 77.4% | 75.1% | 65.1% | 1.15× | 1.33 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins under 71.5 | 77.5% | 75.1% | 76.1% | 0.99× | 1.33 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers under 74.5 | 70.7% | 70.7% | 70.7% | 1.00× | 1.41 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins over 59.5 | 70.4% | 70.7% | 58.8% | 1.20× | 1.41 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins under 69.5 | 70.6% | 70.7% | 71.2% | 0.99× | 1.41 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers over 64.5 | 69.1% | 66.4% | 58.4% | 1.14× | 1.51 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers under 72.5 | 63.2% | 61.2% | 65.7% | 0.93× | 1.63 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins over 61.5 | 62.5% | 61.2% | 52.1% | 1.17× | 1.63 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins under 67.5 | 62.8% | 61.2% | 65.6% | 0.93× | 1.63 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers over 66.5 | 61.4% | 61.2% | 51.8% | 1.18× | 1.63 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers under 70.5 | 55.1% | 57.1% | 60.3% | 0.95× | 1.75 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins over 63.5 | 54.1% | 52.3% | 46.1% | 1.13× | 1.91 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins under 65.5 | 54.4% | 52.3% | 59.8% | 0.87× | 1.91 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers over 68.5 | 53.2% | 52.3% | 45.6% | 1.15× | 1.91 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers under 69.5 | 50.9% | 52.3% | 57.4% | 0.91× | 1.91 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins under 64.5 | 50.2% | 52.3% | 56.9% | 0.92× | 1.91 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers over 69.5 | 49.1% | 47.7% | 42.6% | 1.12× | 2.09 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins over 64.5 | 49.8% | 47.7% | 43.2% | 1.11× | 2.09 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers under 68.5 | 46.8% | 47.7% | 54.4% | 0.88× | 2.09 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins under 63.5 | 45.9% | 47.7% | 53.9% | 0.89× | 2.09 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins over 65.5 | 45.6% | 47.7% | 40.2% | 1.19× | 2.09 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers over 70.5 | 44.9% | 42.9% | 39.7% | 1.08× | 2.33 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers under 66.5 | 38.6% | 38.8% | 48.2% | 0.81× | 2.58 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers over 72.5 | 36.8% | 38.8% | 34.3% | 1.13× | 2.58 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins under 61.5 | 37.5% | 38.8% | 47.9% | 0.81× | 2.58 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins over 67.5 | 37.2% | 38.8% | 34.4% | 1.13× | 2.58 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers under 64.5 | 30.9% | 33.6% | 41.6% | 0.81× | 2.98 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers over 74.5 | 29.3% | 29.3% | 29.3% | 1.00× | 3.42 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins under 59.5 | 29.6% | 29.3% | 41.2% | 0.71× | 3.42 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins over 69.5 | 29.4% | 29.3% | 28.8% | 1.02× | 3.42 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers under 62.5 | 24.0% | 24.9% | 35.7% | 0.70× | 4.02 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers over 76.5 | 22.5% | 24.9% | 24.6% | 1.01× | 4.02 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins under 57.5 | 22.6% | 24.9% | 34.9% | 0.71× | 4.02 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins over 71.5 | 22.5% | 24.9% | 23.9% | 1.04× | 4.02 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers under 59.5 | 15.4% | 19.3% | 27.8% | 0.69× | 5.18 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers over 79.5 | 14.2% | 16.1% | 18.7% | 0.86× | 6.21 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins over 74.5 | 14.1% | 16.1% | 17.7% | 0.91× | 6.21 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins under 54.5 | 14.0% | 16.1% | 26.5% | 0.61× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 154.5 points | 91.6% | 88.8% | 89.8% | 0.99× | 1.13 |
| Over 114.5 points | 90.2% | 88.8% | 80.4% | 1.10× | 1.13 |
| Under 149.5 points | 85.3% | 85.0% | 84.9% | 1.00× | 1.18 |
| Over 119.5 points | 82.9% | 80.6% | 71.6% | 1.12× | 1.24 |
| Under 144.5 points | 76.2% | 75.6% | 78.1% | 0.97× | 1.32 |
| Over 124.5 points | 73.1% | 70.8% | 61.5% | 1.15× | 1.41 |
| Under 141.5 points | 69.8% | 65.9% | 73.4% | 0.90× | 1.52 |
| Over 127.5 points | 66.1% | 65.9% | 55.1% | 1.20× | 1.52 |
| Under 139.5 points | 65.0% | 61.5% | 69.9% | 0.88× | 1.63 |
| Over 129.5 points | 61.1% | 61.5% | 50.5% | 1.22× | 1.63 |
| Under 137.5 points | 59.9% | 56.5% | 66.2% | 0.85× | 1.77 |
| Over 131.5 points | 55.9% | 56.5% | 46.1% | 1.23× | 1.77 |
| Under 135.5 points | 54.7% | 52.3% | 62.4% | 0.84× | 1.91 |
| Under 134.5 points | 52.0% | 52.3% | 60.2% | 0.87× | 1.91 |
| Over 133.5 points | 50.6% | 52.3% | 42.0% | 1.25× | 1.91 |
| Under 133.5 points | 49.4% | 47.7% | 58.0% | 0.82× | 2.10 |
| Over 134.5 points | 48.0% | 47.7% | 39.8% | 1.20× | 2.10 |
| Over 135.5 points | 45.3% | 47.7% | 37.6% | 1.27× | 2.10 |
| Under 131.5 points | 44.1% | 43.5% | 53.9% | 0.81× | 2.30 |
| Over 137.5 points | 40.1% | 43.5% | 33.8% | 1.29× | 2.30 |
| Under 129.5 points | 38.9% | 38.5% | 49.5% | 0.78× | 2.60 |
| Over 139.5 points | 35.0% | 38.5% | 30.1% | 1.28× | 2.60 |
| Under 127.5 points | 33.9% | 34.1% | 44.9% | 0.76× | 2.93 |
| Over 141.5 points | 30.2% | 34.1% | 26.6% | 1.28× | 2.93 |
| Under 124.5 points | 26.9% | 29.2% | 38.5% | 0.76× | 3.43 |
| Over 144.5 points | 23.8% | 24.4% | 21.9% | 1.11× | 4.10 |
| Under 119.5 points | 17.1% | 19.4% | 28.4% | 0.68× | 5.15 |
| Over 149.5 points | 14.7% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 0.99× | 6.68 |
| Under 114.5 points | 9.8% | 11.2% | 19.6% | 0.57× | 8.96 |
| Over 154.5 points | 8.4% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 1.10× | 8.96 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercyhurst Lakers to win both halves | 31.3% | 31.2% | 36.0% | 0.87× | 3.20 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins to win both halves | 11.5% | 14.0% | 20.4% | 0.69× | 7.12 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercyhurst Lakers by 1-5 | 18.1% | 16.8% | 10.2% | 1.64× | 5.97 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers by 6-10 | 17.5% | 16.8% | 12.9% | 1.30× | 5.97 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins by 1-5 | 14.6% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 1.21× | 8.11 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers by 11-15 | 13.9% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 1.14× | 8.11 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins by 6-10 | 9.8% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 0.72× | 13.40 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers by 16-20 | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 0.93× | 13.40 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins by 11-15 | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 0.98× | 13.40 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers by 21-25 | 4.8% | 2.0% | 5.4% | 0.38× | 49.29 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins by 16-20 | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 0.43× | 49.31 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins by 21-25 | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 0.76× | 49.32 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers by 26+ | 3.1% | 2.0% | 12.6% | 0.16× | 49.30 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins by 26+ | 0.4% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 0.44× | 49.32 |