Merrimack Warriors v UMass Lowell River Hawks — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 22 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Merrimack Warriors win
95.4%
Draw
0.0%
UMass Lowell River Hawks win
4.6%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 73.32–54.57 | 73-54 0% | 51% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merrimack Warriors to score 100+ | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.20× | 283.29 |
| Merrimack Warriors to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.64× | 283.35 |
| Merrimack Warriors to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.91× | 283.36 |
| Merrimack Warriors to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.36 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.71× | 283.36 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.36 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.36 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.36 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merrimack Warriors to win H1 | 82.7% | 83.6% | 56.4% | 1.48× | 1.20 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks to win H1 | 14.5% | 10.9% | 39.9% | 0.27× | 9.22 |
| H1 tied | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.87 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 over 49.5 | 89.2% | 87.7% | 86.7% | 1.01× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 73.5 | 88.3% | 87.7% | 85.6% | 1.02× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 53.5 | 79.6% | 77.4% | 76.8% | 1.01× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 69.5 | 78.5% | 77.4% | 76.2% | 1.02× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 56.5 | 69.8% | 67.4% | 68.2% | 0.99× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 66.5 | 68.8% | 67.4% | 67.1% | 1.00× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 58.5 | 62.4% | 62.7% | 61.4% | 1.02× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 64.5 | 61.4% | 62.7% | 60.7% | 1.03× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 60.5 | 54.5% | 52.6% | 53.9% | 0.98× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 62.5 | 53.6% | 52.6% | 53.7% | 0.98× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 61.5 | 50.5% | 52.6% | 50.2% | 1.05× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 61.5 | 49.5% | 47.4% | 49.8% | 0.95× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 62.5 | 46.4% | 47.4% | 46.3% | 1.02× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 60.5 | 45.5% | 47.4% | 46.1% | 1.03× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 64.5 | 38.6% | 37.3% | 39.3% | 0.95× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 58.5 | 37.6% | 37.3% | 38.6% | 0.97× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 66.5 | 31.2% | 32.6% | 32.9% | 0.99× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 56.5 | 30.2% | 32.6% | 31.8% | 1.02× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 69.5 | 21.5% | 22.6% | 23.8% | 0.95× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 53.5 | 20.4% | 22.6% | 23.2% | 0.97× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 73.5 | 11.7% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 0.85× | 8.14 |
| H1 under 49.5 | 10.8% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 0.93× | 8.14 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merrimack Warriors to win H2 | 84.3% | 79.6% | 56.0% | 1.42× | 1.26 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks to win H2 | 13.2% | 14.8% | 40.6% | 0.36× | 6.77 |
| H2 tied | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.37 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 over 55.5 | 87.9% | 85.2% | 86.1% | 0.99× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 79.5 | 87.5% | 85.2% | 82.0% | 1.04× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 59.5 | 78.1% | 75.8% | 77.0% | 0.98× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 75.5 | 77.9% | 75.8% | 73.0% | 1.04× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 62.5 | 68.5% | 66.4% | 68.3% | 0.97× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 72.5 | 68.6% | 66.4% | 64.1% | 1.04× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 64.5 | 61.3% | 61.6% | 62.1% | 0.99× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 70.5 | 61.5% | 61.6% | 57.8% | 1.07× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 66.5 | 53.7% | 52.4% | 55.4% | 0.95× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 68.5 | 54.0% | 52.4% | 51.3% | 1.02× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 67.5 | 50.1% | 52.4% | 47.9% | 1.09× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 67.5 | 49.9% | 47.6% | 52.1% | 0.91× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 66.5 | 46.3% | 47.6% | 44.6% | 1.07× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 68.5 | 46.0% | 47.6% | 48.7% | 0.98× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 64.5 | 38.7% | 38.4% | 37.9% | 1.01× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 70.5 | 38.5% | 38.4% | 42.2% | 0.91× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 62.5 | 31.5% | 33.6% | 31.7% | 1.06× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 72.5 | 31.4% | 33.6% | 36.0% | 0.94× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 59.5 | 21.9% | 24.2% | 23.0% | 1.05× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 75.5 | 22.1% | 24.2% | 27.0% | 0.90× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 55.5 | 12.1% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 1.06× | 6.76 |
| H2 over 79.5 | 12.5% | 14.8% | 18.0% | 0.82× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merrimack Warriors leading at half time | 82.7% | 83.3% | 56.4% | 1.48× | 1.20 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks leading at half time | 14.5% | 10.4% | 39.9% | 0.26× | 9.63 |
| Level at half time | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.42 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merrimack Warriors +9.5 | 99.4% | 97.4% | 78.7% | 1.24× | 1.03 |
| Merrimack Warriors +10.5 | 99.5% | 97.4% | 80.4% | 1.21× | 1.03 |
| Merrimack Warriors +12.5 | 99.7% | 97.4% | 83.8% | 1.16× | 1.03 |
| Merrimack Warriors +14.5 | 99.8% | 97.4% | 86.7% | 1.12× | 1.03 |
| Merrimack Warriors +16.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 89.1% | 1.09× | 1.03 |
| Merrimack Warriors +18.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 91.1% | 1.07× | 1.03 |
| Merrimack Warriors +20.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 92.7% | 1.05× | 1.03 |
| Merrimack Warriors +1.5 | 96.2% | 97.4% | 61.2% | 1.59× | 1.03 |
| Merrimack Warriors +2.5 | 96.9% | 97.4% | 63.3% | 1.54× | 1.03 |
| Merrimack Warriors +3.5 | 97.5% | 97.4% | 65.7% | 1.48× | 1.03 |
| Merrimack Warriors +4.5 | 97.9% | 97.4% | 67.8% | 1.44× | 1.03 |
| Merrimack Warriors +5.5 | 98.4% | 97.4% | 70.1% | 1.39× | 1.03 |
| Merrimack Warriors +6.5 | 98.7% | 97.4% | 72.3% | 1.35× | 1.03 |
| Merrimack Warriors +7.5 | 99.0% | 97.4% | 74.5% | 1.31× | 1.03 |
| Merrimack Warriors +8.5 | 99.2% | 97.4% | 76.5% | 1.27× | 1.03 |
| Merrimack Warriors −1.5 | 94.3% | 91.1% | 58.7% | 1.55× | 1.10 |
| Merrimack Warriors −2.5 | 93.0% | 91.1% | 56.7% | 1.61× | 1.10 |
| Merrimack Warriors −3.5 | 91.6% | 91.1% | 54.2% | 1.68× | 1.10 |
| Merrimack Warriors −4.5 | 90.0% | 91.1% | 52.2% | 1.75× | 1.10 |
| Merrimack Warriors −5.5 | 88.2% | 85.9% | 49.7% | 1.73× | 1.16 |
| Merrimack Warriors −6.5 | 86.3% | 85.9% | 47.6% | 1.80× | 1.16 |
| Merrimack Warriors −7.5 | 84.1% | 81.1% | 44.8% | 1.81× | 1.23 |
| Merrimack Warriors −8.5 | 81.7% | 81.1% | 42.0% | 1.93× | 1.23 |
| Merrimack Warriors −9.5 | 79.1% | 76.5% | 39.3% | 1.95× | 1.31 |
| Merrimack Warriors −10.5 | 76.3% | 76.5% | 36.8% | 2.08× | 1.31 |
| Merrimack Warriors −12.5 | 70.3% | 71.6% | 32.1% | 2.23× | 1.40 |
| Merrimack Warriors −14.5 | 63.6% | 61.9% | 27.9% | 2.22× | 1.62 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks +20.5 | 58.3% | 57.1% | 82.0% | 0.70× | 1.75 |
| Merrimack Warriors −16.5 | 56.4% | 57.1% | 24.3% | 2.35× | 1.75 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks +18.5 | 50.9% | 52.4% | 79.3% | 0.66× | 1.91 |
| Merrimack Warriors −18.5 | 49.1% | 47.6% | 20.7% | 2.30× | 2.10 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks +16.5 | 43.6% | 42.9% | 75.7% | 0.57× | 2.33 |
| Merrimack Warriors −20.5 | 41.7% | 42.9% | 18.0% | 2.39× | 2.33 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks +14.5 | 36.4% | 38.1% | 72.1% | 0.53× | 2.63 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks +12.5 | 29.7% | 28.4% | 67.9% | 0.42× | 3.53 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks +10.5 | 23.7% | 23.5% | 63.2% | 0.37× | 4.25 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks +9.5 | 20.9% | 23.5% | 60.7% | 0.39× | 4.25 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks +8.5 | 18.3% | 18.9% | 58.0% | 0.33× | 5.29 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks +7.5 | 15.9% | 18.9% | 55.2% | 0.34× | 5.30 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks +6.5 | 13.7% | 14.1% | 52.4% | 0.27× | 7.09 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks +5.5 | 11.8% | 14.1% | 50.3% | 0.28× | 7.09 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks +4.5 | 10.0% | 8.9% | 47.8% | 0.19× | 11.25 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks +3.5 | 8.4% | 8.9% | 45.8% | 0.19× | 11.25 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks +2.5 | 7.0% | 8.9% | 43.3% | 0.21× | 11.25 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks +1.5 | 5.7% | 8.9% | 41.3% | 0.22× | 11.25 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks −1.5 | 3.8% | 2.6% | 38.8% | 0.07× | 38.73 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks −2.5 | 3.1% | 2.6% | 36.7% | 0.07× | 38.73 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks −3.5 | 2.5% | 2.6% | 34.3% | 0.08× | 38.73 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks −4.5 | 2.1% | 2.6% | 32.2% | 0.08× | 38.73 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks −5.5 | 1.6% | 2.6% | 29.9% | 0.09× | 38.73 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks −6.5 | 1.3% | 2.6% | 27.7% | 0.09× | 38.74 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks −7.5 | 1.0% | 2.6% | 25.5% | 0.10× | 38.74 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks −8.5 | 0.8% | 2.6% | 23.5% | 0.11× | 38.74 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks −9.5 | 0.6% | 2.6% | 21.3% | 0.12× | 38.74 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks −10.5 | 0.5% | 2.6% | 19.6% | 0.13× | 38.74 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks −12.5 | 0.3% | 2.6% | 16.2% | 0.16× | 38.74 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks −14.5 | 0.2% | 2.6% | 13.3% | 0.19× | 38.74 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks −16.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 10.9% | 0.24× | 38.74 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks −18.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 8.9% | 0.29× | 38.74 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks −20.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 7.3% | 0.35× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 71.9% | 67.1% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 28.1% | 32.9% | 33.3% | 0.99× | 3.04 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 highest scoring | 34.4% | 31.9% | 31.2% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 32.6% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 17.3% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 15.8% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.02× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merrimack Warriors at HT / Merrimack Warriors at FT | 81.2% | 84.5% | 48.3% | 1.75× | 1.18 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks at HT / Merrimack Warriors at FT | 11.7% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 1.25× | 8.18 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks at HT / UMass Lowell River Hawks at FT | 2.8% | 2.1% | 30.1% | 0.07× | 47.74 |
| Merrimack Warriors at HT / UMass Lowell River Hawks at FT | 1.6% | 2.1% | 8.2% | 0.26× | 47.76 |
| Level at HT / Merrimack Warriors at FT | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.75 |
| Level at HT / UMass Lowell River Hawks at FT | 0.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.79 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merrimack Warriors to win | 95.4% | 97.4% | 59.9% | 1.63× | 1.03 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks to win | 4.6% | 2.6% | 40.1% | 0.06× | 38.66 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merrimack Warriors even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks even | 50.3% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 50.5% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Merrimack Warriors odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks odd | 49.7% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 49.5% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 97.4% | 97.0% | 95.6% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Match to go to overtime | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 0.67× | 33.48 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merrimack Warriors to win Q1 | 72.5% | 73.8% | 54.7% | 1.35× | 1.36 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks to win Q1 | 22.6% | 22.1% | 40.4% | 0.55× | 4.53 |
| Q1 tied | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 0.85× | 23.93 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 under 39.5 | 89.8% | 87.4% | 87.5% | 1.00× | 1.14 |
| Q1 over 23.5 | 87.0% | 87.4% | 85.4% | 1.02× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 36.5 | 79.5% | 76.9% | 77.4% | 0.99× | 1.30 |
| Q1 over 26.5 | 75.0% | 72.7% | 72.9% | 1.00× | 1.38 |
| Q1 under 34.5 | 70.0% | 72.7% | 68.5% | 1.06× | 1.38 |
| Q1 over 28.5 | 64.5% | 61.7% | 62.7% | 0.99× | 1.62 |
| Q1 under 32.5 | 58.9% | 58.6% | 59.1% | 0.99× | 1.71 |
| Q1 under 31.5 | 53.1% | 52.7% | 54.0% | 0.98× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 30.5 | 52.9% | 52.7% | 51.2% | 1.03× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 30.5 | 47.1% | 47.3% | 48.8% | 0.97× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 31.5 | 47.0% | 47.3% | 46.0% | 1.03× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 32.5 | 41.1% | 41.4% | 40.9% | 1.01× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 28.5 | 35.5% | 38.3% | 37.3% | 1.02× | 2.61 |
| Q1 over 34.5 | 30.0% | 27.3% | 31.5% | 0.87× | 3.66 |
| Q1 under 26.5 | 25.0% | 27.3% | 27.1% | 1.01× | 3.67 |
| Q1 over 36.5 | 20.5% | 23.1% | 22.6% | 1.02× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 23.5 | 13.0% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 0.86× | 7.95 |
| Q1 over 39.5 | 10.2% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 1.00× | 7.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merrimack Warriors to win Q2 | 71.9% | 75.2% | 52.9% | 1.42× | 1.33 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks to win Q2 | 23.2% | 20.1% | 41.5% | 0.48× | 4.99 |
| Q2 tied | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 0.77× | 22.88 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 over 22.5 | 89.0% | 87.3% | 87.4% | 1.00× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 38.5 | 87.9% | 87.3% | 85.6% | 1.02× | 1.15 |
| Q2 over 25.5 | 78.1% | 76.8% | 76.2% | 1.01× | 1.30 |
| Q2 under 35.5 | 76.5% | 76.8% | 74.6% | 1.03× | 1.30 |
| Q2 over 27.5 | 68.3% | 67.4% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| Q2 under 33.5 | 66.4% | 67.4% | 65.6% | 1.03× | 1.49 |
| Q2 over 29.5 | 56.9% | 58.2% | 55.8% | 1.04× | 1.72 |
| Q2 under 31.5 | 55.0% | 52.7% | 55.7% | 0.95× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 30.5 | 51.0% | 52.7% | 49.9% | 1.06× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 30.5 | 49.0% | 47.3% | 50.1% | 0.95× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 31.5 | 45.0% | 47.3% | 44.3% | 1.07× | 2.11 |
| Q2 under 29.5 | 43.1% | 41.8% | 44.2% | 0.95× | 2.39 |
| Q2 over 33.5 | 33.6% | 32.6% | 34.4% | 0.95× | 3.06 |
| Q2 under 27.5 | 31.7% | 32.6% | 33.3% | 0.98× | 3.06 |
| Q2 over 35.5 | 23.5% | 23.2% | 25.4% | 0.91× | 4.31 |
| Q2 under 25.5 | 21.9% | 23.2% | 23.8% | 0.97× | 4.31 |
| Q2 over 38.5 | 12.1% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 0.88× | 7.89 |
| Q2 under 22.5 | 11.0% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 1.01× | 7.90 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merrimack Warriors to win Q3 | 73.9% | 73.2% | 53.3% | 1.37× | 1.37 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks to win Q3 | 21.4% | 22.4% | 41.8% | 0.54× | 4.47 |
| Q3 tied | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 0.86× | 23.43 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 42.5 | 89.9% | 87.2% | 87.8% | 0.99× | 1.15 |
| Q3 over 26.5 | 85.5% | 87.2% | 83.8% | 1.04× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 39.5 | 80.0% | 77.3% | 77.9% | 0.99× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 29.5 | 73.2% | 71.8% | 71.8% | 1.00× | 1.39 |
| Q3 under 37.5 | 70.9% | 71.8% | 69.7% | 1.03× | 1.39 |
| Q3 over 31.5 | 62.7% | 61.9% | 61.6% | 1.01× | 1.61 |
| Q3 under 35.5 | 60.2% | 61.9% | 59.7% | 1.04× | 1.62 |
| Q3 under 34.5 | 54.5% | 52.3% | 54.6% | 0.96× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 33.5 | 51.3% | 52.3% | 50.9% | 1.03× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 33.5 | 48.7% | 47.7% | 49.1% | 0.97× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 34.5 | 45.5% | 47.7% | 45.4% | 1.05× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 35.5 | 39.8% | 38.1% | 40.3% | 0.94× | 2.63 |
| Q3 under 31.5 | 37.3% | 38.1% | 38.4% | 0.99× | 2.63 |
| Q3 over 37.5 | 29.1% | 28.2% | 30.3% | 0.93× | 3.55 |
| Q3 under 29.5 | 26.8% | 28.2% | 28.2% | 1.00× | 3.55 |
| Q3 over 39.5 | 20.0% | 22.7% | 22.1% | 1.03× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 26.5 | 14.5% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 0.79× | 7.83 |
| Q3 over 42.5 | 10.1% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 1.05× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merrimack Warriors to win Q4 | 73.5% | 66.3% | 52.8% | 1.26× | 1.51 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks to win Q4 | 21.9% | 29.0% | 41.5% | 0.70× | 3.45 |
| Q4 tied | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 0.91× | 19.29 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 42.5 | 88.4% | 85.6% | 86.2% | 0.99× | 1.17 |
| Q4 over 26.5 | 84.3% | 82.0% | 82.6% | 0.99× | 1.22 |
| Q4 under 39.5 | 78.3% | 76.9% | 77.0% | 1.00× | 1.30 |
| Q4 over 29.5 | 72.3% | 71.5% | 70.8% | 1.01× | 1.40 |
| Q4 under 37.5 | 69.5% | 67.4% | 68.8% | 0.98× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 31.5 | 62.4% | 61.4% | 61.1% | 1.01× | 1.63 |
| Q4 under 35.5 | 59.3% | 58.4% | 59.4% | 0.98× | 1.71 |
| Q4 under 34.5 | 53.9% | 52.5% | 54.4% | 0.96× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 33.5 | 51.6% | 52.5% | 50.4% | 1.04× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 33.5 | 48.4% | 47.5% | 49.6% | 0.96× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 34.5 | 46.1% | 47.5% | 45.6% | 1.04× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 35.5 | 40.7% | 41.6% | 40.6% | 1.02× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 31.5 | 37.6% | 38.6% | 38.9% | 0.99× | 2.59 |
| Q4 over 37.5 | 30.5% | 32.6% | 31.2% | 1.04× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 29.5 | 27.7% | 28.5% | 29.2% | 0.98× | 3.51 |
| Q4 over 39.5 | 21.7% | 23.1% | 23.0% | 1.00× | 4.33 |
| Q4 under 26.5 | 15.7% | 18.0% | 17.4% | 1.04× | 5.56 |
| Q4 over 42.5 | 11.6% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 1.04× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMass Lowell River Hawks over 45.5 | 88.1% | 83.9% | 91.3% | 0.92× | 1.19 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks under 65.5 | 87.6% | 83.9% | 59.8% | 1.40× | 1.19 |
| Merrimack Warriors over 63.5 | 86.1% | 83.9% | 61.5% | 1.37× | 1.19 |
| Merrimack Warriors under 83.5 | 85.0% | 83.9% | 87.7% | 0.96× | 1.19 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks under 62.5 | 79.6% | 75.1% | 51.0% | 1.47× | 1.33 |
| Merrimack Warriors over 66.5 | 77.8% | 75.1% | 51.8% | 1.45× | 1.33 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks over 48.5 | 78.3% | 75.1% | 86.7% | 0.87× | 1.33 |
| Merrimack Warriors under 80.5 | 76.4% | 75.1% | 82.9% | 0.91× | 1.33 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks under 60.5 | 72.8% | 70.7% | 44.4% | 1.59× | 1.41 |
| Merrimack Warriors over 68.5 | 71.0% | 70.7% | 45.6% | 1.55× | 1.41 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks over 50.5 | 70.4% | 70.7% | 83.1% | 0.85× | 1.41 |
| Merrimack Warriors under 78.5 | 69.4% | 66.4% | 79.4% | 0.84× | 1.51 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks under 58.5 | 64.9% | 61.2% | 37.9% | 1.62× | 1.63 |
| Merrimack Warriors over 70.5 | 63.4% | 61.2% | 39.7% | 1.54× | 1.63 |
| Merrimack Warriors under 76.5 | 61.6% | 61.2% | 75.4% | 0.81× | 1.63 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks over 52.5 | 61.8% | 61.2% | 78.5% | 0.78× | 1.63 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks under 56.5 | 56.3% | 57.1% | 32.0% | 1.79× | 1.75 |
| Merrimack Warriors over 72.5 | 55.1% | 57.1% | 34.3% | 1.66× | 1.75 |
| Merrimack Warriors under 74.5 | 53.3% | 52.3% | 70.7% | 0.74× | 1.91 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks over 54.5 | 52.7% | 52.3% | 73.5% | 0.71× | 1.91 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks under 55.5 | 51.8% | 52.3% | 29.2% | 1.79× | 1.91 |
| Merrimack Warriors over 73.5 | 50.9% | 52.3% | 31.5% | 1.66× | 1.91 |
| Merrimack Warriors under 73.5 | 49.1% | 47.7% | 68.5% | 0.70× | 2.09 |
| Merrimack Warriors over 74.5 | 46.7% | 47.7% | 29.3% | 1.63× | 2.09 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks under 54.5 | 47.3% | 47.7% | 26.5% | 1.80× | 2.09 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks over 55.5 | 48.2% | 47.7% | 70.8% | 0.67× | 2.09 |
| Merrimack Warriors under 72.5 | 44.9% | 42.9% | 65.7% | 0.65× | 2.33 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks over 56.5 | 43.7% | 42.9% | 68.0% | 0.63× | 2.33 |
| Merrimack Warriors over 76.5 | 38.4% | 38.8% | 24.6% | 1.58× | 2.58 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks under 52.5 | 38.2% | 38.8% | 21.5% | 1.80× | 2.58 |
| Merrimack Warriors under 70.5 | 36.6% | 38.8% | 60.3% | 0.64× | 2.58 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks over 58.5 | 35.1% | 38.8% | 62.1% | 0.62× | 2.58 |
| Merrimack Warriors over 78.5 | 30.6% | 33.6% | 20.6% | 1.63× | 2.98 |
| Merrimack Warriors under 68.5 | 29.0% | 29.3% | 54.4% | 0.54× | 3.42 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks under 50.5 | 29.6% | 29.3% | 16.9% | 1.74× | 3.42 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks over 60.5 | 27.2% | 29.3% | 55.6% | 0.53× | 3.42 |
| Merrimack Warriors over 80.5 | 23.6% | 24.9% | 17.1% | 1.46× | 4.02 |
| Merrimack Warriors under 66.5 | 22.2% | 24.9% | 48.2% | 0.52× | 4.02 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks under 48.5 | 21.8% | 24.9% | 13.3% | 1.87× | 4.02 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks over 62.5 | 20.4% | 24.9% | 49.0% | 0.51× | 4.02 |
| Merrimack Warriors over 83.5 | 15.0% | 16.1% | 12.3% | 1.31× | 6.21 |
| Merrimack Warriors under 63.5 | 13.9% | 16.1% | 38.5% | 0.42× | 6.21 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks under 45.5 | 11.9% | 16.1% | 8.7% | 1.86× | 6.21 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks over 65.5 | 12.4% | 16.1% | 40.2% | 0.40× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 109.5 points | 92.3% | 88.8% | 87.6% | 1.01× | 1.13 |
| Under 149.5 points | 92.0% | 88.8% | 84.9% | 1.05× | 1.13 |
| Under 144.5 points | 85.7% | 85.0% | 78.1% | 1.09× | 1.18 |
| Over 114.5 points | 85.1% | 85.0% | 80.4% | 1.06× | 1.18 |
| Under 139.5 points | 76.7% | 75.6% | 69.9% | 1.08× | 1.32 |
| Over 119.5 points | 74.8% | 70.8% | 71.6% | 0.99× | 1.41 |
| Under 136.5 points | 70.0% | 65.9% | 64.2% | 1.03× | 1.52 |
| Over 122.5 points | 67.4% | 65.9% | 65.6% | 1.00× | 1.52 |
| Under 134.5 points | 65.1% | 65.9% | 60.2% | 1.10× | 1.52 |
| Over 124.5 points | 62.1% | 61.5% | 61.5% | 1.00× | 1.63 |
| Under 132.5 points | 59.9% | 56.5% | 56.0% | 1.01× | 1.77 |
| Over 126.5 points | 56.6% | 56.5% | 57.4% | 0.99× | 1.77 |
| Under 130.5 points | 54.4% | 52.3% | 51.7% | 1.01× | 1.91 |
| Under 129.5 points | 51.7% | 52.3% | 49.5% | 1.06× | 1.91 |
| Over 128.5 points | 51.1% | 52.3% | 52.8% | 0.99× | 1.91 |
| Under 128.5 points | 48.9% | 47.7% | 47.2% | 1.01× | 2.10 |
| Over 129.5 points | 48.3% | 47.7% | 50.5% | 0.94× | 2.10 |
| Over 130.5 points | 45.6% | 47.7% | 48.3% | 0.99× | 2.10 |
| Under 126.5 points | 43.4% | 43.5% | 42.6% | 1.02× | 2.30 |
| Over 132.5 points | 40.2% | 43.5% | 44.0% | 0.99× | 2.30 |
| Under 124.5 points | 37.9% | 38.5% | 38.5% | 1.00× | 2.60 |
| Over 134.5 points | 34.9% | 34.1% | 39.8% | 0.86× | 2.93 |
| Under 122.5 points | 32.6% | 34.1% | 34.4% | 0.99× | 2.93 |
| Over 136.5 points | 30.0% | 34.1% | 35.8% | 0.95× | 2.93 |
| Under 119.5 points | 25.2% | 29.2% | 28.4% | 1.03× | 3.43 |
| Over 139.5 points | 23.3% | 24.4% | 30.1% | 0.81× | 4.10 |
| Under 114.5 points | 14.9% | 15.0% | 19.6% | 0.77× | 6.68 |
| Over 144.5 points | 14.3% | 15.0% | 21.9% | 0.68× | 6.68 |
| Over 149.5 points | 8.0% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 0.74× | 8.96 |
| Under 109.5 points | 7.7% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 0.90× | 8.97 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merrimack Warriors to win both halves | 68.5% | 66.9% | 36.0% | 1.86× | 1.50 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks to win both halves | 1.0% | 3.0% | 20.4% | 0.15× | 33.79 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merrimack Warriors by 26+ | 25.0% | 24.1% | 12.6% | 1.91× | 4.15 |
| Merrimack Warriors by 16-20 | 18.3% | 16.8% | 8.0% | 2.08× | 5.97 |
| Merrimack Warriors by 11-15 | 16.3% | 16.8% | 10.8% | 1.55× | 5.97 |
| Merrimack Warriors by 21-25 | 16.7% | 16.8% | 5.4% | 3.11× | 5.97 |
| Merrimack Warriors by 6-10 | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 0.95× | 8.11 |
| Merrimack Warriors by 1-5 | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 0.73× | 13.40 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks by 6-10 | 1.2% | 2.0% | 10.3% | 0.20× | 49.32 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks by 1-5 | 3.0% | 2.0% | 10.2% | 0.20× | 49.30 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks by 11-15 | 0.4% | 2.0% | 7.6% | 0.27× | 49.32 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks by 16-20 | 0.1% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 0.43× | 49.33 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks by 21-25 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 0.76× | 49.33 |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks by 26+ | 0.0% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 0.44× | 49.33 |