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Miami Hurricanes v Le Moyne Dolphins — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 16 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Miami Hurricanes win
99.8%
Draw
0.0%
Le Moyne Dolphins win
0.2%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 80.18–48.42 80-48 0% 60% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Miami Hurricanes to score 100+ 2.5% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 282.87
Miami Hurricanes to score 110+ 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.33
Miami Hurricanes to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Miami Hurricanes to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Le Moyne Dolphins to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.71× 283.36
Le Moyne Dolphins to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Le Moyne Dolphins to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Le Moyne Dolphins to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Miami Hurricanes to win H1 94.5% 93.5% 56.4% 1.66× 1.07
Le Moyne Dolphins to win H1 4.4% 3.9% 39.9% 0.10× 25.86
H1 tied 1.2% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.88
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 75.5 90.1% 90.8% 88.8% 1.02× 1.10
H1 over 51.5 88.9% 87.7% 82.0% 1.07× 1.14
H1 under 71.5 81.0% 82.5% 81.4% 1.01× 1.21
H1 over 55.5 78.6% 77.4% 71.0% 1.09× 1.29
H1 under 68.5 71.6% 73.5% 73.5% 1.00× 1.36
H1 over 58.5 68.2% 67.4% 61.4% 1.10× 1.48
H1 under 66.5 64.2% 62.7% 67.1% 0.93× 1.59
H1 over 60.5 60.4% 62.7% 53.9% 1.16× 1.59
H1 under 64.5 56.2% 58.2% 60.7% 0.96× 1.72
H1 over 62.5 52.1% 52.6% 46.3% 1.14× 1.90
H1 under 63.5 52.0% 52.6% 57.1% 0.92× 1.90
H1 under 62.5 47.9% 47.4% 53.7% 0.88× 2.11
H1 over 63.5 48.0% 47.4% 42.9% 1.10× 2.11
H1 over 64.5 43.8% 41.8% 39.3% 1.06× 2.39
H1 under 60.5 39.6% 37.3% 46.1% 0.81× 2.68
H1 over 66.5 35.8% 37.3% 32.9% 1.13× 2.68
H1 under 58.5 31.8% 32.6% 38.6% 0.84× 3.07
H1 over 68.5 28.4% 26.5% 26.5% 1.00× 3.77
H1 under 55.5 21.4% 22.6% 29.0% 0.78× 4.43
H1 over 71.5 19.0% 17.5% 18.6% 0.94× 5.72
H1 under 51.5 11.1% 12.3% 18.0% 0.68× 8.14
H1 over 75.5 9.9% 9.2% 11.2% 0.82× 10.86
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Miami Hurricanes to win H2 95.5% 95.3% 56.0% 1.70× 1.05
Le Moyne Dolphins to win H2 3.5% 3.9% 40.6% 0.10× 25.36
H2 tied 1.0% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.38
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 81.5 89.1% 85.2% 85.8% 0.99× 1.17
H2 over 57.5 87.9% 85.2% 82.2% 1.04× 1.17
H2 under 77.5 80.1% 81.8% 77.9% 1.05× 1.22
H2 over 61.5 77.6% 75.8% 71.3% 1.06× 1.32
H2 under 74.5 70.8% 72.2% 69.9% 1.03× 1.39
H2 over 64.5 67.5% 66.4% 62.1% 1.07× 1.51
H2 under 72.5 63.7% 61.6% 64.1% 0.96× 1.62
H2 over 66.5 59.9% 57.3% 55.4% 1.04× 1.74
H2 under 70.5 56.0% 57.3% 57.8% 0.99× 1.74
H2 over 68.5 52.0% 52.4% 48.7% 1.08× 1.91
H2 under 69.5 52.0% 52.4% 54.8% 0.96× 1.91
H2 under 68.5 48.0% 47.6% 51.3% 0.93× 2.10
H2 over 69.5 48.0% 47.6% 45.2% 1.05× 2.10
H2 over 70.5 44.0% 42.7% 42.2% 1.01× 2.34
H2 under 66.5 40.1% 42.7% 44.6% 0.96× 2.35
H2 over 72.5 36.3% 38.4% 36.0% 1.07× 2.61
H2 under 64.5 32.5% 33.6% 37.9% 0.89× 2.97
H2 over 74.5 29.2% 27.8% 30.1% 0.93× 3.59
H2 under 61.5 22.4% 24.2% 28.7% 0.84× 4.13
H2 over 77.5 19.9% 18.2% 22.1% 0.82× 5.50
H2 under 57.5 12.1% 14.8% 17.8% 0.83× 6.76
H2 over 81.5 10.9% 14.8% 14.2% 1.04× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Miami Hurricanes leading at half time 94.5% 94.1% 56.4% 1.67× 1.06
Le Moyne Dolphins leading at half time 4.4% 3.8% 39.9% 0.09× 26.40
Level at half time 1.2% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.44
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Miami Hurricanes −1.5 99.7% 97.4% 58.7% 1.66× 1.03
Miami Hurricanes +1.5 99.8% 97.4% 61.2% 1.59× 1.03
Miami Hurricanes −2.5 99.5% 97.4% 56.7% 1.72× 1.03
Miami Hurricanes +2.5 99.9% 97.4% 63.3% 1.54× 1.03
Miami Hurricanes −3.5 99.4% 97.4% 54.2% 1.80× 1.03
Miami Hurricanes +3.5 99.9% 97.4% 65.7% 1.48× 1.03
Miami Hurricanes +4.5 99.9% 97.4% 67.8% 1.44× 1.03
Miami Hurricanes +5.5 99.9% 97.4% 70.1% 1.39× 1.03
Miami Hurricanes +6.5 100.0% 97.4% 72.3% 1.35× 1.03
Miami Hurricanes +7.5 100.0% 97.4% 74.5% 1.31× 1.03
Miami Hurricanes +8.5 100.0% 97.4% 76.5% 1.27× 1.03
Miami Hurricanes +9.5 100.0% 97.4% 78.7% 1.24× 1.03
Miami Hurricanes +10.5 100.0% 97.4% 80.4% 1.21× 1.03
Miami Hurricanes +12.5 100.0% 97.4% 83.8% 1.16× 1.03
Miami Hurricanes +14.5 100.0% 97.4% 86.7% 1.12× 1.03
Miami Hurricanes +16.5 100.0% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
Miami Hurricanes +18.5 100.0% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Miami Hurricanes +20.5 100.0% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Miami Hurricanes −4.5 99.2% 97.4% 52.2% 1.87× 1.03
Miami Hurricanes −5.5 98.9% 97.4% 49.7% 1.96× 1.03
Miami Hurricanes −6.5 98.6% 97.4% 47.6% 2.05× 1.03
Miami Hurricanes −7.5 98.2% 97.4% 44.8% 2.18× 1.03
Miami Hurricanes −8.5 97.8% 97.4% 42.0% 2.32× 1.03
Miami Hurricanes −9.5 97.2% 97.4% 39.3% 2.48× 1.03
Miami Hurricanes −10.5 96.6% 97.4% 36.8% 2.65× 1.03
Miami Hurricanes −12.5 94.9% 91.1% 32.1% 2.84× 1.10
Miami Hurricanes −14.5 92.6% 91.1% 27.9% 3.27× 1.10
Miami Hurricanes −16.5 89.6% 85.9% 24.3% 3.54× 1.16
Miami Hurricanes −18.5 85.9% 85.9% 20.7% 4.15× 1.16
Miami Hurricanes −20.5 81.3% 81.1% 18.0% 4.51× 1.23
Le Moyne Dolphins +20.5 18.7% 18.9% 82.0% 0.23× 5.29
Le Moyne Dolphins +18.5 14.1% 14.1% 79.3% 0.18× 7.09
Le Moyne Dolphins +16.5 10.4% 14.1% 75.7% 0.19× 7.09
Le Moyne Dolphins +14.5 7.4% 8.9% 72.1% 0.12× 11.25
Le Moyne Dolphins +12.5 5.1% 8.9% 67.9% 0.13× 11.25
Le Moyne Dolphins +4.5 0.8% 2.6% 47.8% 0.05× 38.74
Le Moyne Dolphins +5.5 1.1% 2.6% 50.3% 0.05× 38.74
Le Moyne Dolphins +6.5 1.4% 2.6% 52.4% 0.05× 38.73
Le Moyne Dolphins +7.5 1.8% 2.6% 55.2% 0.05× 38.73
Le Moyne Dolphins +8.5 2.2% 2.6% 58.0% 0.04× 38.73
Le Moyne Dolphins +9.5 2.8% 2.6% 60.7% 0.04× 38.73
Le Moyne Dolphins +10.5 3.4% 2.6% 63.2% 0.04× 38.73
Le Moyne Dolphins +1.5 0.4% 2.6% 41.3% 0.06× 38.74
Le Moyne Dolphins −1.5 0.2% 2.6% 38.8% 0.07× 38.74
Le Moyne Dolphins +2.5 0.5% 2.6% 43.3% 0.06× 38.74
Le Moyne Dolphins −2.5 0.1% 2.6% 36.7% 0.07× 38.74
Le Moyne Dolphins +3.5 0.6% 2.6% 45.8% 0.06× 38.74
Le Moyne Dolphins −3.5 0.1% 2.6% 34.3% 0.08× 38.74
Le Moyne Dolphins −4.5 0.1% 2.6% 32.2% 0.08× 38.74
Le Moyne Dolphins −5.5 0.1% 2.6% 29.9% 0.09× 38.74
Le Moyne Dolphins −6.5 0.0% 2.6% 27.7% 0.09× 38.74
Le Moyne Dolphins −7.5 0.0% 2.6% 25.5% 0.10× 38.74
Le Moyne Dolphins −8.5 0.0% 2.6% 23.5% 0.11× 38.74
Le Moyne Dolphins −9.5 0.0% 2.6% 21.3% 0.12× 38.74
Le Moyne Dolphins −10.5 0.0% 2.6% 19.6% 0.13× 38.74
Le Moyne Dolphins −12.5 0.0% 2.6% 16.2% 0.16× 38.74
Le Moyne Dolphins −14.5 0.0% 2.6% 13.3% 0.19× 38.74
Le Moyne Dolphins −16.5 0.0% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.74
Le Moyne Dolphins −18.5 0.0% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.74
Le Moyne Dolphins −20.5 0.0% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 72.2% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 27.8% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.5% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.7% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.2% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 15.7% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Miami Hurricanes at HT / Miami Hurricanes at FT 94.4% 94.1% 48.3% 1.95× 1.06
Le Moyne Dolphins at HT / Miami Hurricanes at FT 4.2% 2.1% 9.8% 0.21× 47.72
Miami Hurricanes at HT / Le Moyne Dolphins at FT 0.1% 2.1% 8.2% 0.26× 47.79
Level at HT / Miami Hurricanes at FT 1.2% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.77
Le Moyne Dolphins at HT / Le Moyne Dolphins at FT 0.1% 2.1% 30.1% 0.07× 47.79
Level at HT / Le Moyne Dolphins at FT 0.0% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.79
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Miami Hurricanes to win 99.8% 97.5% 59.9% 1.63× 1.03
Le Moyne Dolphins to win 0.2% 2.5% 40.1% 0.06× 39.91
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Miami Hurricanes even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Le Moyne Dolphins even 50.8% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Total points odd 50.0% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Miami Hurricanes odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Le Moyne Dolphins odd 49.2% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 50.0% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 99.4% 97.0% 95.6% 1.02× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 0.6% 3.0% 4.4% 0.67× 33.62
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Miami Hurricanes to win Q1 84.9% 86.0% 54.7% 1.57× 1.16
Le Moyne Dolphins to win Q1 11.7% 11.2% 40.4% 0.28× 8.91
Q1 tied 3.3% 4.2% 4.9% 0.85× 24.00
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 over 23.5 89.6% 87.4% 85.4% 1.02× 1.14
Q1 under 39.5 88.2% 87.4% 87.5% 1.00× 1.14
Q1 over 26.5 78.7% 76.9% 72.9% 1.06× 1.30
Q1 under 36.5 76.7% 76.9% 77.4% 0.99× 1.30
Q1 over 28.5 68.7% 67.6% 62.7% 1.08× 1.48
Q1 under 34.5 66.5% 67.6% 68.5% 0.99× 1.48
Q1 over 30.5 57.2% 58.6% 51.2% 1.14× 1.71
Q1 under 32.5 54.9% 52.7% 59.1% 0.89× 1.90
Q1 over 31.5 51.2% 52.7% 46.0% 1.14× 1.90
Q1 under 31.5 48.8% 47.3% 54.0% 0.88× 2.11
Q1 over 32.5 45.1% 47.3% 40.9% 1.16× 2.11
Q1 under 30.5 42.8% 41.4% 48.8% 0.85× 2.42
Q1 over 34.5 33.5% 32.4% 31.5% 1.03× 3.08
Q1 under 28.5 31.3% 32.4% 37.3% 0.87× 3.08
Q1 over 36.5 23.3% 23.1% 22.6% 1.02× 4.33
Q1 under 26.5 21.3% 23.1% 27.1% 0.85× 4.33
Q1 over 39.5 11.8% 12.6% 12.5% 1.01× 7.95
Q1 under 23.5 10.4% 12.6% 14.6% 0.86× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Miami Hurricanes to win Q2 84.2% 85.2% 52.9% 1.61× 1.17
Le Moyne Dolphins to win Q2 12.4% 7.6% 41.5% 0.18× 13.22
Q2 tied 3.4% 4.4% 5.7% 0.77× 22.93
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 39.5 89.1% 87.3% 88.4% 0.99× 1.15
Q2 over 23.5 88.6% 87.3% 84.6% 1.03× 1.15
Q2 under 36.5 78.2% 76.8% 78.7% 0.98× 1.30
Q2 over 26.5 77.1% 76.8% 71.6% 1.07× 1.30
Q2 under 34.5 68.3% 67.4% 70.1% 0.96× 1.49
Q2 over 28.5 66.9% 67.4% 61.2% 1.10× 1.49
Q2 under 32.5 56.9% 58.2% 60.8% 0.96× 1.72
Q2 over 30.5 55.3% 58.2% 49.9% 1.17× 1.72
Q2 under 31.5 50.8% 52.7% 55.7% 0.95× 1.90
Q2 over 31.5 49.2% 47.3% 44.3% 1.07× 2.11
Q2 under 30.5 44.7% 41.8% 50.1% 0.84× 2.39
Q2 over 32.5 43.1% 41.8% 39.2% 1.07× 2.39
Q2 under 28.5 33.1% 32.6% 38.8% 0.84× 3.06
Q2 over 34.5 31.7% 32.6% 29.9% 1.09× 3.06
Q2 under 26.5 22.9% 23.2% 28.4% 0.82× 4.31
Q2 over 36.5 21.8% 23.2% 21.3% 1.09× 4.31
Q2 under 23.5 11.4% 12.7% 15.4% 0.82× 7.90
Q2 over 39.5 10.9% 12.7% 11.6% 1.09× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Miami Hurricanes to win Q3 86.5% 87.2% 53.3% 1.64× 1.15
Le Moyne Dolphins to win Q3 10.5% 11.1% 41.8% 0.27× 8.98
Q3 tied 3.0% 4.3% 4.9% 0.86× 23.49
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 over 26.5 88.5% 87.2% 83.8% 1.04× 1.15
Q3 under 42.5 88.2% 87.2% 87.8% 0.99× 1.15
Q3 over 29.5 77.2% 77.3% 71.8% 1.08× 1.29
Q3 under 39.5 77.1% 77.3% 77.9% 0.99× 1.29
Q3 over 31.5 67.3% 67.8% 61.6% 1.10× 1.48
Q3 under 37.5 67.3% 67.8% 69.7% 0.97× 1.48
Q3 under 35.5 56.0% 58.4% 59.7% 0.98× 1.71
Q3 over 33.5 55.9% 58.4% 50.9% 1.15× 1.71
Q3 under 34.5 50.0% 52.3% 54.6% 0.96× 1.91
Q3 over 34.5 50.0% 47.7% 45.4% 1.05× 2.10
Q3 under 33.5 44.1% 41.6% 49.1% 0.85× 2.40
Q3 over 35.5 44.0% 41.6% 40.3% 1.03× 2.40
Q3 under 31.5 32.8% 32.2% 38.4% 0.84× 3.10
Q3 over 37.5 32.7% 32.2% 30.3% 1.06× 3.10
Q3 under 29.5 22.8% 22.7% 28.2% 0.81× 4.40
Q3 over 39.5 22.9% 22.7% 22.1% 1.03× 4.40
Q3 over 42.5 11.8% 12.8% 12.2% 1.05× 7.83
Q3 under 26.5 11.5% 12.8% 16.2% 0.79× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Miami Hurricanes to win Q4 86.0% 83.3% 52.8% 1.58× 1.20
Le Moyne Dolphins to win Q4 11.0% 17.6% 41.5% 0.42× 5.70
Q4 tied 3.0% 5.2% 5.7% 0.91× 19.32
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 over 26.5 87.2% 85.6% 82.6% 1.04× 1.17
Q4 under 42.5 86.6% 85.6% 86.2% 0.99× 1.17
Q4 over 29.5 76.2% 76.9% 70.8% 1.09× 1.30
Q4 under 39.5 75.5% 76.9% 77.0% 1.00× 1.30
Q4 over 31.5 66.6% 67.4% 61.1% 1.10× 1.48
Q4 under 37.5 65.9% 67.4% 68.8% 0.98× 1.48
Q4 over 33.5 55.9% 58.4% 50.4% 1.16× 1.71
Q4 under 35.5 55.2% 58.4% 59.4% 0.98× 1.71
Q4 over 34.5 50.4% 52.5% 45.6% 1.15× 1.91
Q4 under 34.5 49.7% 47.5% 54.4% 0.87× 2.11
Q4 over 35.5 44.8% 41.6% 40.6% 1.03× 2.40
Q4 under 33.5 44.1% 41.6% 49.6% 0.84× 2.40
Q4 over 37.5 34.1% 32.6% 31.2% 1.04× 3.07
Q4 under 31.5 33.4% 32.6% 38.9% 0.84× 3.07
Q4 over 39.5 24.5% 23.1% 23.0% 1.00× 4.33
Q4 under 29.5 23.8% 23.1% 29.2% 0.79× 4.33
Q4 over 42.5 13.4% 14.4% 13.8% 1.04× 6.95
Q4 under 26.5 12.8% 14.4% 17.4% 0.83× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Le Moyne Dolphins over 41.5 92.8% 86.5% 95.6% 0.90× 1.16
Le Moyne Dolphins under 61.5 90.5% 86.4% 47.9% 1.80× 1.16
Miami Hurricanes under 91.5 86.8% 83.9% 95.1% 0.88× 1.19
Miami Hurricanes over 71.5 84.5% 80.7% 37.0% 2.18× 1.24
Le Moyne Dolphins under 58.5 83.4% 80.7% 37.9% 2.13× 1.24
Le Moyne Dolphins over 44.5 79.8% 75.1% 92.5% 0.81× 1.33
Miami Hurricanes under 88.5 78.8% 75.1% 93.1% 0.81× 1.33
Le Moyne Dolphins under 56.5 77.0% 75.1% 32.0% 2.35× 1.33
Miami Hurricanes over 74.5 75.6% 75.1% 29.3% 2.57× 1.33
Miami Hurricanes under 86.5 72.1% 70.7% 91.2% 0.78× 1.41
Le Moyne Dolphins over 46.5 69.9% 66.4% 89.7% 0.74× 1.51
Miami Hurricanes over 76.5 68.5% 66.4% 24.6% 2.70× 1.51
Le Moyne Dolphins under 54.5 69.2% 66.4% 26.5% 2.51× 1.51
Miami Hurricanes under 84.5 64.5% 61.2% 88.9% 0.69× 1.63
Miami Hurricanes over 78.5 60.5% 61.2% 20.6% 2.97× 1.63
Le Moyne Dolphins under 52.5 60.3% 61.2% 21.5% 2.84× 1.63
Le Moyne Dolphins over 48.5 59.7% 57.1% 86.7% 0.66× 1.75
Miami Hurricanes under 82.5 56.3% 57.1% 86.2% 0.66× 1.75
Le Moyne Dolphins under 51.5 55.6% 57.1% 19.0% 3.00× 1.75
Miami Hurricanes over 80.5 52.1% 52.3% 17.1% 3.06× 1.91
Miami Hurricanes under 81.5 52.1% 52.3% 84.6% 0.62× 1.91
Le Moyne Dolphins under 50.5 50.6% 52.3% 16.9% 3.10× 1.91
Le Moyne Dolphins over 50.5 49.4% 47.7% 83.1% 0.57× 2.09
Miami Hurricanes under 80.5 47.9% 47.7% 82.9% 0.58× 2.09
Miami Hurricanes over 81.5 47.9% 47.7% 15.4% 3.09× 2.09
Le Moyne Dolphins over 51.5 44.4% 42.9% 81.0% 0.53× 2.33
Miami Hurricanes over 82.5 43.7% 42.9% 13.8% 3.12× 2.33
Le Moyne Dolphins under 48.5 40.3% 42.9% 13.3% 3.23× 2.33
Miami Hurricanes under 78.5 39.5% 38.8% 79.4% 0.49× 2.58
Le Moyne Dolphins over 52.5 39.7% 38.8% 78.5% 0.49× 2.58
Miami Hurricanes over 84.5 35.5% 38.8% 11.1% 3.50× 2.58
Miami Hurricanes under 76.5 31.5% 33.6% 75.4% 0.45× 2.98
Le Moyne Dolphins over 54.5 30.8% 33.6% 73.5% 0.46× 2.98
Le Moyne Dolphins under 46.5 30.1% 33.6% 10.3% 3.26× 2.98
Miami Hurricanes over 86.5 27.9% 29.3% 8.8% 3.33× 3.42
Miami Hurricanes under 74.5 24.4% 24.9% 70.7% 0.35× 4.02
Le Moyne Dolphins over 56.5 23.0% 24.9% 68.0% 0.37× 4.02
Miami Hurricanes over 88.5 21.2% 24.9% 6.9% 3.59× 4.02
Le Moyne Dolphins under 44.5 20.2% 24.9% 7.5% 3.33× 4.02
Le Moyne Dolphins over 58.5 16.6% 19.3% 62.1% 0.31× 5.18
Miami Hurricanes under 71.5 15.5% 19.3% 63.0% 0.31× 5.18
Miami Hurricanes over 91.5 13.2% 16.1% 4.9% 3.29× 6.21
Le Moyne Dolphins over 61.5 9.5% 13.6% 52.1% 0.26× 7.36
Le Moyne Dolphins under 41.5 7.2% 13.5% 4.4% 3.06× 7.40
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 112.5 points 94.1% 88.8% 83.6% 1.06× 1.13
Under 152.5 points 93.2% 88.8% 88.1% 1.01× 1.13
Over 117.5 points 87.1% 85.0% 75.3% 1.13× 1.18
Under 147.5 points 87.3% 85.0% 82.3% 1.03× 1.18
Under 142.5 points 78.5% 75.6% 75.1% 1.01× 1.32
Over 122.5 points 76.4% 75.6% 65.6% 1.15× 1.32
Under 139.5 points 71.8% 70.8% 69.9% 1.01× 1.41
Over 125.5 points 68.4% 65.9% 59.5% 1.11× 1.52
Under 137.5 points 66.7% 65.9% 66.2% 1.00× 1.52
Over 127.5 points 62.6% 61.5% 55.1% 1.12× 1.63
Under 135.5 points 61.2% 61.5% 62.4% 0.99× 1.63
Over 129.5 points 56.6% 56.5% 50.5% 1.12× 1.77
Under 133.5 points 55.4% 56.5% 58.0% 0.97× 1.77
Under 132.5 points 52.5% 52.3% 56.0% 0.94× 1.91
Over 131.5 points 50.6% 52.3% 46.1% 1.14× 1.91
Under 131.5 points 49.4% 47.7% 53.9% 0.88× 2.10
Over 132.5 points 47.5% 47.7% 44.0% 1.08× 2.10
Over 133.5 points 44.6% 43.5% 42.0% 1.04× 2.30
Under 129.5 points 43.4% 43.5% 49.5% 0.88× 2.30
Over 135.5 points 38.8% 38.5% 37.6% 1.02× 2.60
Under 127.5 points 37.4% 38.5% 44.9% 0.86× 2.60
Over 137.5 points 33.3% 34.1% 33.8% 1.01× 2.93
Under 125.5 points 31.6% 34.1% 40.5% 0.84× 2.93
Over 139.5 points 28.2% 29.2% 30.1% 0.97× 3.43
Under 122.5 points 23.6% 24.4% 34.4% 0.71× 4.10
Over 142.5 points 21.5% 24.4% 24.9% 0.98× 4.10
Under 117.5 points 12.9% 15.0% 24.7% 0.61× 6.69
Over 147.5 points 12.7% 15.0% 17.7% 0.84× 6.69
Over 152.5 points 6.8% 11.2% 11.9% 0.94× 8.97
Under 112.5 points 5.9% 11.2% 16.4% 0.68× 8.97
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Miami Hurricanes to win both halves 90.0% 92.6% 36.0% 2.57× 1.08
Le Moyne Dolphins to win both halves 0.0% 3.0% 20.4% 0.15× 33.85
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Miami Hurricanes by 26+ 66.2% 70.0% 12.6% 5.55× 1.43
Miami Hurricanes by 21-25 15.0% 16.8% 5.4% 3.11× 5.97
Miami Hurricanes by 16-20 9.9% 7.5% 8.0% 0.93× 13.40
Miami Hurricanes by 11-15 5.3% 7.5% 10.8% 0.69× 13.40
Miami Hurricanes by 1-5 0.8% 2.0% 10.2% 0.20× 49.32
Miami Hurricanes by 6-10 2.4% 2.0% 12.9% 0.16× 49.31
Le Moyne Dolphins by 1-5 0.2% 2.0% 10.2% 0.20× 49.33
Le Moyne Dolphins by 6-10 0.0% 2.0% 10.3% 0.20× 49.33
Le Moyne Dolphins by 11-15 0.0% 2.0% 7.6% 0.27× 49.33
Le Moyne Dolphins by 16-20 0.0% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.33
Le Moyne Dolphins by 21-25 0.0% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.33
Le Moyne Dolphins by 26+ 0.0% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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