Minnesota Golden Gophers v Western Illinois Leathernecks — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Monday 16 November 2026 · NCAAB · 2027
NCAAB results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Minnesota Golden Gophers win
99.6%
Draw
0.0%
Western Illinois Leathernecks win
0.4%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 80.68–52.45 | 81-53 0% | 54% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Golden Gophers to score 100+ | 2.9% | 0.4% | 3.4% | 0.10× | 282.79 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers to score 110+ | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.52× | 283.32 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.87× | 283.36 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 19.47× | 283.36 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.33× | 283.36 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.95× | 283.36 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 12.98× | 283.36 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 38.95× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.87× | 283.36 |
H1 result 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Golden Gophers to win H1 | 92.6% | 93.4% | 57.9% | 1.61× | 1.07 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers to win H1 | 92.6% | 93.4% | 57.9% | 1.61× | 1.07 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks to win H1 | 5.9% | 7.1% | 38.2% | 0.18× | 14.16 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks to win H1 | 5.9% | 7.1% | 38.2% | 0.18× | 14.16 |
| H1 tied | 1.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 0.99× | 25.88 |
| H1 tied | 1.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 0.99× | 25.88 |
H1 total 40
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 76.5 | 88.9% | 87.7% | 75.5% | 1.16× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 52.5 | 87.3% | 87.7% | 93.8% | 0.94× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 72.5 | 80.6% | 82.5% | 63.3% | 1.30× | 1.21 |
| H1 under 72.5 | 79.8% | 77.4% | 63.3% | 1.22× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 56.5 | 77.8% | 77.4% | 87.5% | 0.89× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 56.5 | 77.0% | 77.4% | 87.5% | 0.89× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 69.5 | 71.4% | 73.5% | 53.1% | 1.38× | 1.36 |
| H1 under 69.5 | 70.7% | 73.5% | 53.1% | 1.38× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 59.5 | 67.5% | 67.4% | 80.7% | 0.84× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 59.5 | 66.9% | 67.4% | 80.7% | 0.84× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 67.5 | 64.2% | 62.7% | 45.6% | 1.38× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 67.5 | 63.7% | 62.7% | 45.6% | 1.38× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 61.5 | 59.8% | 58.2% | 74.9% | 0.78× | 1.72 |
| H1 over 61.5 | 59.5% | 58.2% | 74.9% | 0.78× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 65.5 | 56.4% | 58.2% | 38.1% | 1.53× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 65.5 | 56.1% | 58.2% | 38.1% | 1.53× | 1.72 |
| H1 over 63.5 | 51.7% | 52.6% | 69.0% | 0.76× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 64.5 | 52.3% | 52.6% | 34.8% | 1.52× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 63.5 | 51.7% | 52.6% | 69.0% | 0.76× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 64.5 | 52.2% | 52.6% | 34.8% | 1.52× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 63.5 | 48.3% | 47.4% | 31.0% | 1.53× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 64.5 | 47.7% | 47.4% | 65.3% | 0.73× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 63.5 | 48.3% | 47.4% | 31.0% | 1.53× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 64.5 | 47.8% | 47.4% | 65.3% | 0.73× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 65.5 | 43.9% | 41.8% | 61.9% | 0.68× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 65.5 | 43.6% | 41.8% | 61.9% | 0.68× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 61.5 | 40.2% | 41.8% | 25.1% | 1.66× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 61.5 | 40.5% | 41.8% | 25.1% | 1.66× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 67.5 | 35.8% | 37.3% | 54.4% | 0.69× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 67.5 | 36.3% | 37.3% | 54.4% | 0.69× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 59.5 | 32.5% | 32.6% | 19.3% | 1.69× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 59.5 | 33.1% | 32.6% | 19.3% | 1.69× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 69.5 | 29.3% | 26.5% | 46.9% | 0.57× | 3.77 |
| H1 over 69.5 | 28.6% | 26.5% | 46.9% | 0.57× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 56.5 | 22.2% | 22.6% | 12.5% | 1.80× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 56.5 | 23.0% | 22.6% | 12.5% | 1.80× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 72.5 | 20.2% | 22.6% | 36.7% | 0.62× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 72.5 | 19.4% | 17.5% | 36.7% | 0.48× | 5.72 |
| H1 under 52.5 | 12.7% | 12.3% | 6.2% | 1.97× | 8.14 |
| H1 over 76.5 | 11.1% | 12.3% | 24.5% | 0.50× | 8.14 |
H2 result 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Golden Gophers to win H2 | 94.1% | 89.4% | 56.9% | 1.57× | 1.12 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers to win H2 | 94.0% | 89.4% | 57.5% | 1.56× | 1.12 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks to win H2 | 4.7% | 3.9% | 38.9% | 0.10× | 25.35 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks to win H2 | 4.8% | 3.9% | 38.5% | 0.10× | 25.35 |
| H2 tied | 1.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 0.95× | 25.38 |
| H2 tied | 1.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 0.97× | 25.38 |
H2 total 40
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 83.5 | 87.0% | 85.2% | 68.0% | 1.25× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 59.5 | 86.8% | 85.2% | 93.9% | 0.91× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 79.5 | 77.7% | 75.8% | 56.2% | 1.35× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 79.5 | 78.4% | 75.8% | 59.8% | 1.27× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 63.5 | 77.5% | 75.8% | 87.1% | 0.87× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 63.5 | 76.7% | 75.8% | 88.2% | 0.86× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 76.5 | 68.7% | 66.4% | 46.6% | 1.42× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 76.5 | 69.3% | 66.4% | 49.7% | 1.33× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 66.5 | 67.7% | 66.4% | 80.8% | 0.82× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 66.5 | 67.2% | 66.4% | 82.3% | 0.81× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 74.5 | 62.3% | 61.6% | 43.0% | 1.43× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 74.5 | 61.9% | 61.6% | 40.0% | 1.54× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 68.5 | 60.4% | 61.6% | 75.7% | 0.81× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 68.5 | 60.1% | 61.6% | 77.5% | 0.79× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 72.5 | 54.7% | 52.4% | 34.1% | 1.54× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 72.5 | 54.8% | 52.4% | 36.6% | 1.43× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 70.5 | 52.8% | 52.4% | 71.9% | 0.73× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 70.5 | 52.8% | 52.4% | 69.8% | 0.75× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 71.5 | 51.0% | 52.4% | 31.2% | 1.68× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 71.5 | 51.0% | 52.4% | 33.6% | 1.56× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 71.5 | 49.0% | 47.6% | 68.8% | 0.69× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 71.5 | 49.0% | 47.6% | 66.4% | 0.72× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 70.5 | 47.2% | 47.6% | 28.1% | 1.70× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 70.5 | 47.2% | 47.6% | 30.2% | 1.58× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 72.5 | 45.3% | 47.6% | 65.9% | 0.72× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 72.5 | 45.2% | 47.6% | 63.4% | 0.75× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 68.5 | 39.6% | 38.4% | 24.3% | 1.58× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 68.5 | 39.9% | 38.4% | 22.5% | 1.71× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 74.5 | 38.1% | 38.4% | 60.0% | 0.64× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 74.5 | 37.7% | 38.4% | 57.0% | 0.67× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 66.5 | 32.3% | 33.6% | 19.2% | 1.75× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 66.5 | 32.8% | 33.6% | 17.7% | 1.91× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 76.5 | 31.3% | 33.6% | 53.4% | 0.63× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 76.5 | 30.7% | 33.6% | 50.3% | 0.67× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 63.5 | 22.5% | 24.2% | 12.9% | 1.87× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 63.5 | 23.3% | 24.2% | 11.8% | 2.05× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 79.5 | 22.3% | 24.2% | 43.8% | 0.55× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 79.5 | 21.6% | 24.2% | 40.3% | 0.60× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 83.5 | 13.0% | 14.8% | 32.0% | 0.46× | 6.76 |
| H2 under 59.5 | 13.2% | 14.8% | 6.1% | 2.43× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Golden Gophers leading at half time | 92.6% | 94.0% | 57.9% | 1.62× | 1.06 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks leading at half time | 5.9% | 6.6% | 38.2% | 0.17× | 15.23 |
| Level at half time | 1.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 0.97× | 26.43 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −1.5 | 99.4% | 97.4% | 60.8% | 1.60× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +1.5 | 99.7% | 97.4% | 65.4% | 1.49× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +2.5 | 99.8% | 97.4% | 68.0% | 1.43× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +3.5 | 99.8% | 97.4% | 70.8% | 1.38× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +4.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 73.7% | 1.32× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +5.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 76.4% | 1.28× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +6.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 78.8% | 1.24× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +7.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 81.0% | 1.20× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +8.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 83.3% | 1.17× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +9.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 85.3% | 1.14× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +10.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 87.2% | 1.12× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +12.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 89.9% | 1.08× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +14.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 92.2% | 1.06× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +16.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 94.0% | 1.04× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +18.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 95.4% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +20.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 96.5% | 1.01× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −2.5 | 99.2% | 97.4% | 57.7% | 1.69× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −3.5 | 99.0% | 97.4% | 54.1% | 1.80× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −4.5 | 98.7% | 97.4% | 50.7% | 1.92× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −5.5 | 98.3% | 97.4% | 47.0% | 2.07× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −6.5 | 97.8% | 97.4% | 44.3% | 2.20× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −7.5 | 97.2% | 97.4% | 41.3% | 2.36× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −8.5 | 96.5% | 97.4% | 38.5% | 2.53× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −9.5 | 95.7% | 97.4% | 35.5% | 2.75× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −10.5 | 94.7% | 91.1% | 32.6% | 2.79× | 1.10 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −12.5 | 92.3% | 91.1% | 27.6% | 3.30× | 1.10 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −14.5 | 89.2% | 85.9% | 22.8% | 3.76× | 1.16 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −16.5 | 85.2% | 85.9% | 19.3% | 4.45× | 1.16 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −18.5 | 80.3% | 81.1% | 16.1% | 5.02× | 1.23 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −20.5 | 74.5% | 71.6% | 13.5% | 5.32× | 1.40 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks +20.5 | 25.5% | 28.4% | 86.5% | 0.33× | 3.53 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks +18.5 | 19.7% | 18.9% | 83.9% | 0.23× | 5.29 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks +16.5 | 14.8% | 14.1% | 80.7% | 0.17× | 7.09 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks +14.5 | 10.8% | 14.1% | 77.2% | 0.18× | 7.09 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks +12.5 | 7.7% | 8.9% | 72.4% | 0.12× | 11.25 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks +10.5 | 5.3% | 8.9% | 67.4% | 0.13× | 11.25 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks +2.5 | 0.8% | 2.6% | 42.3% | 0.06× | 38.74 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks +3.5 | 1.0% | 2.6% | 45.9% | 0.06× | 38.74 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks +4.5 | 1.4% | 2.6% | 49.3% | 0.05× | 38.73 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks +5.5 | 1.7% | 2.6% | 53.0% | 0.05× | 38.73 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks +6.5 | 2.2% | 2.6% | 55.7% | 0.05× | 38.73 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks +7.5 | 2.8% | 2.6% | 58.7% | 0.04× | 38.73 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks +8.5 | 3.5% | 2.6% | 61.5% | 0.04× | 38.73 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks +9.5 | 4.3% | 2.6% | 64.5% | 0.04× | 38.72 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks +1.5 | 0.6% | 2.6% | 39.2% | 0.07× | 38.74 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks −1.5 | 0.3% | 2.6% | 34.6% | 0.07× | 38.74 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks −2.5 | 0.2% | 2.6% | 32.0% | 0.08× | 38.74 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks −3.5 | 0.2% | 2.6% | 29.3% | 0.09× | 38.74 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks −4.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 26.3% | 0.10× | 38.74 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks −5.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 23.6% | 0.11× | 38.74 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks −6.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 21.2% | 0.12× | 38.74 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks −7.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 19.0% | 0.14× | 38.74 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks −8.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 16.7% | 0.16× | 38.74 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks −9.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 14.7% | 0.18× | 38.74 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks −10.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 12.8% | 0.20× | 38.74 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks −12.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 10.1% | 0.26× | 38.74 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks −14.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 7.8% | 0.33× | 38.74 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks −16.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 6.0% | 0.43× | 38.74 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks −18.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 0.57× | 38.74 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks −20.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 0.75× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 highest scoring | 77.2% | 71.6% | 70.4% | 1.02× | 1.40 |
| 2nd half highest scoring | 75.7% | 71.6% | 72.5% | 0.99× | 1.40 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 24.3% | 28.4% | 27.5% | 1.03× | 3.53 |
| H1 highest scoring | 22.8% | 28.4% | 29.6% | 0.96× | 3.53 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Golden Gophers at HT / Minnesota Golden Gophers at FT | 92.4% | 94.0% | 48.6% | 1.93× | 1.06 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks at HT / Minnesota Golden Gophers at FT | 5.7% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 0.67× | 12.10 |
| Level at HT / Minnesota Golden Gophers at FT | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.92× | 47.77 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers at HT / Western Illinois Leathernecks at FT | 0.2% | 2.1% | 9.3% | 0.22× | 47.79 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks at HT / Western Illinois Leathernecks at FT | 0.2% | 2.1% | 25.8% | 0.08× | 47.79 |
| Level at HT / Western Illinois Leathernecks at FT | 0.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.28× | 47.79 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Golden Gophers to win | 99.6% | 97.5% | 63.2% | 1.54× | 1.03 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks to win | 0.4% | 2.5% | 36.8% | 0.07× | 39.87 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Golden Gophers even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks even | 50.5% | 50.5% | 50.4% | 1.00× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 50.1% | 50.5% | 51.6% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks odd | 49.5% | 49.5% | 49.6% | 1.00× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 49.9% | 49.5% | 48.4% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 98.8% | 97.0% | 94.2% | 1.03× | 1.03 |
| Match to go to overtime | 1.2% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 0.52× | 33.58 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Illinois Leathernecks under 64.5 | 88.8% | 83.9% | 29.3% | 2.87× | 1.19 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks over 44.5 | 87.4% | 83.9% | 99.2% | 0.85× | 1.19 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers under 91.5 | 85.6% | 83.9% | 89.7% | 0.94× | 1.19 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers over 71.5 | 84.9% | 80.7% | 63.7% | 1.27× | 1.24 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks under 61.5 | 81.3% | 80.7% | 20.7% | 3.90× | 1.24 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers over 74.5 | 76.3% | 75.1% | 54.1% | 1.39× | 1.33 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers under 88.5 | 77.4% | 75.1% | 84.8% | 0.89× | 1.33 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks over 47.5 | 76.5% | 75.1% | 98.3% | 0.76× | 1.33 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks under 59.5 | 74.9% | 70.7% | 15.5% | 4.56× | 1.41 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers under 86.5 | 70.6% | 70.7% | 80.8% | 0.88× | 1.41 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers over 76.5 | 69.3% | 66.4% | 47.7% | 1.39× | 1.51 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks over 49.5 | 68.0% | 66.4% | 97.2% | 0.68× | 1.51 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks under 57.5 | 67.4% | 66.4% | 11.9% | 5.56× | 1.51 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers under 84.5 | 63.1% | 61.2% | 76.1% | 0.80× | 1.63 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers over 78.5 | 61.6% | 61.2% | 41.6% | 1.47× | 1.63 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks over 51.5 | 59.1% | 57.1% | 95.9% | 0.60× | 1.75 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks under 55.5 | 59.0% | 57.1% | 8.7% | 6.56× | 1.75 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers under 82.5 | 54.9% | 52.3% | 70.8% | 0.74× | 1.91 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks under 54.5 | 54.6% | 52.3% | 7.4% | 7.08× | 1.91 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers over 80.5 | 53.4% | 52.3% | 35.1% | 1.49× | 1.91 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers under 81.5 | 50.8% | 52.3% | 67.9% | 0.77× | 1.91 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks under 53.5 | 50.1% | 52.3% | 6.1% | 8.52× | 1.91 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers over 81.5 | 49.2% | 47.7% | 32.1% | 1.49× | 2.09 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks over 53.5 | 49.9% | 47.7% | 93.9% | 0.51× | 2.09 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers under 80.5 | 46.6% | 47.7% | 64.9% | 0.74× | 2.09 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers over 82.5 | 45.1% | 47.7% | 29.2% | 1.63× | 2.09 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks over 54.5 | 45.4% | 47.7% | 92.6% | 0.52× | 2.09 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks under 51.5 | 40.9% | 42.9% | 4.1% | 10.36× | 2.33 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks over 55.5 | 41.0% | 42.9% | 91.3% | 0.47× | 2.33 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers under 78.5 | 38.4% | 38.8% | 58.4% | 0.66× | 2.58 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers over 84.5 | 36.9% | 38.8% | 23.9% | 1.63× | 2.58 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks under 49.5 | 32.0% | 33.6% | 2.8% | 12.20× | 2.98 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks over 57.5 | 32.6% | 33.6% | 88.1% | 0.38× | 2.98 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers under 76.5 | 30.7% | 33.6% | 52.3% | 0.64× | 2.98 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers over 86.5 | 29.4% | 29.3% | 19.2% | 1.53× | 3.42 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks over 59.5 | 25.1% | 29.3% | 84.5% | 0.35× | 3.42 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers under 74.5 | 23.7% | 24.9% | 45.9% | 0.54× | 4.02 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers over 88.5 | 22.6% | 24.9% | 15.2% | 1.64× | 4.02 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks under 47.5 | 23.5% | 24.9% | 1.7% | 14.68× | 4.02 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks over 61.5 | 18.7% | 19.3% | 79.3% | 0.24× | 5.18 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers under 71.5 | 15.1% | 19.3% | 36.3% | 0.53× | 5.18 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers over 91.5 | 14.4% | 16.1% | 10.3% | 1.56× | 6.21 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks under 44.5 | 12.6% | 16.1% | 0.8% | 20.65× | 6.21 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks over 64.5 | 11.3% | 16.1% | 70.7% | 0.23× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 115.5 points | 92.1% | 88.8% | 96.3% | 0.92× | 1.13 |
| Under 155.5 points | 91.1% | 88.8% | 68.1% | 1.31× | 1.13 |
| Over 120.5 points | 84.7% | 80.6% | 93.1% | 0.87× | 1.24 |
| Under 150.5 points | 84.7% | 80.6% | 58.4% | 1.38× | 1.24 |
| Under 145.5 points | 75.9% | 75.6% | 48.2% | 1.57× | 1.32 |
| Over 125.5 points | 74.4% | 70.8% | 88.0% | 0.81× | 1.41 |
| Under 142.5 points | 69.4% | 65.9% | 41.7% | 1.58× | 1.52 |
| Over 128.5 points | 67.0% | 65.9% | 84.5% | 0.78× | 1.52 |
| Under 140.5 points | 64.6% | 61.5% | 37.2% | 1.65× | 1.63 |
| Over 130.5 points | 61.8% | 61.5% | 81.5% | 0.75× | 1.63 |
| Under 138.5 points | 59.6% | 56.5% | 33.0% | 1.71× | 1.77 |
| Over 132.5 points | 56.4% | 56.5% | 78.3% | 0.72× | 1.77 |
| Under 136.5 points | 54.4% | 52.3% | 28.9% | 1.81× | 1.91 |
| Under 135.5 points | 51.7% | 52.3% | 27.1% | 1.93× | 1.91 |
| Over 134.5 points | 51.0% | 52.3% | 74.7% | 0.70× | 1.91 |
| Under 134.5 points | 49.0% | 47.7% | 25.3% | 1.88× | 2.10 |
| Over 135.5 points | 48.3% | 47.7% | 72.9% | 0.65× | 2.10 |
| Over 136.5 points | 45.6% | 47.7% | 71.1% | 0.67× | 2.10 |
| Under 132.5 points | 43.6% | 43.5% | 21.7% | 2.01× | 2.30 |
| Over 138.5 points | 40.4% | 43.5% | 67.0% | 0.65× | 2.30 |
| Under 130.5 points | 38.2% | 38.5% | 18.5% | 2.08× | 2.60 |
| Over 140.5 points | 35.4% | 38.5% | 62.8% | 0.61× | 2.60 |
| Under 128.5 points | 33.0% | 34.1% | 15.5% | 2.21× | 2.93 |
| Over 142.5 points | 30.6% | 34.1% | 58.3% | 0.58× | 2.93 |
| Under 125.5 points | 25.6% | 29.2% | 12.0% | 2.43× | 3.43 |
| Over 145.5 points | 24.1% | 24.4% | 51.8% | 0.47× | 4.10 |
| Under 120.5 points | 15.3% | 19.4% | 7.0% | 2.80× | 5.15 |
| Over 150.5 points | 15.3% | 19.4% | 41.6% | 0.47× | 5.15 |
| Over 155.5 points | 8.9% | 11.2% | 31.9% | 0.35× | 8.96 |
| Under 115.5 points | 7.9% | 11.2% | 3.7% | 3.01× | 8.96 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Golden Gophers to win both halves | 86.7% | 86.1% | 33.2% | 2.59× | 1.16 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks to win both halves | 0.1% | 3.0% | 14.5% | 0.20× | 33.85 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Golden Gophers by 26+ | 57.0% | 62.2% | 7.9% | 7.88× | 1.61 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers by 21-25 | 17.5% | 16.8% | 5.6% | 3.01× | 5.97 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers by 16-20 | 12.8% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 1.62× | 8.11 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers by 11-15 | 7.5% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 0.64× | 13.40 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers by 6-10 | 3.5% | 2.0% | 14.4% | 0.14× | 49.30 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers by 1-5 | 1.3% | 2.0% | 16.2% | 0.13× | 49.32 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks by 1-5 | 0.3% | 2.0% | 13.2% | 0.15× | 49.33 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks by 6-10 | 0.1% | 2.0% | 10.8% | 0.19× | 49.33 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks by 11-15 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 6.1% | 0.33× | 49.33 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks by 16-20 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 0.61× | 49.33 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks by 21-25 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.06× | 49.33 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks by 26+ | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.30× | 49.33 |