Mississippi State Bulldogs v Xavier Musketeers — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Friday 13 November 2026 · NCAAB · 2027
NCAAB results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Mississippi State Bulldogs win
53.6%
Draw
0.0%
Xavier Musketeers win
46.4%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 84.63–83.69 | 85-84 0% | 50% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State Bulldogs to score 100+ | 6.5% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 2.55× | 11.38 |
| Xavier Musketeers to score 100+ | 5.0% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.33× | 282.38 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs to score 110+ | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.52× | 283.25 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.87× | 283.35 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 19.47× | 283.36 |
| Xavier Musketeers to score 110+ | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.95× | 283.29 |
| Xavier Musketeers to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 12.98× | 283.35 |
| Xavier Musketeers to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 38.95× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.87× | 283.16 |
H1 result 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State Bulldogs to win H1 | 49.9% | 47.3% | 57.9% | 0.82× | 2.11 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs to win H1 | 49.9% | 47.3% | 57.9% | 0.82× | 2.11 |
| Xavier Musketeers to win H1 | 45.6% | 47.3% | 38.2% | 1.24× | 2.11 |
| Xavier Musketeers to win H1 | 45.6% | 47.3% | 38.2% | 1.24× | 2.11 |
| H1 tied | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 0.99× | 25.85 |
| H1 tied | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 0.99× | 25.85 |
H1 total 40
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 91.5 | 86.8% | 87.7% | 97.6% | 0.90× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 67.5 | 87.2% | 87.7% | 54.4% | 1.61× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 71.5 | 78.4% | 77.4% | 40.0% | 1.94× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 87.5 | 77.1% | 77.4% | 95.0% | 0.82× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 87.5 | 77.8% | 77.4% | 95.0% | 0.82× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 71.5 | 77.7% | 77.4% | 40.0% | 1.94× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 74.5 | 69.0% | 67.4% | 30.4% | 2.22× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 84.5 | 68.3% | 67.4% | 91.7% | 0.74× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 74.5 | 68.4% | 67.4% | 30.4% | 2.22× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 84.5 | 67.7% | 67.4% | 91.7% | 0.74× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 76.5 | 61.8% | 62.7% | 24.5% | 2.56× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 82.5 | 61.1% | 62.7% | 88.9% | 0.71× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 76.5 | 61.5% | 62.7% | 24.5% | 2.56× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 82.5 | 60.7% | 62.7% | 88.9% | 0.71× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 78.5 | 54.2% | 52.6% | 19.3% | 2.73× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 78.5 | 54.1% | 52.6% | 19.3% | 2.73× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 80.5 | 53.5% | 52.6% | 85.2% | 0.62× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 80.5 | 53.4% | 52.6% | 85.2% | 0.62× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 79.5 | 50.4% | 52.6% | 16.9% | 3.12× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 79.5 | 50.4% | 52.6% | 16.9% | 3.12× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 79.5 | 49.6% | 47.4% | 83.1% | 0.57× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 79.5 | 49.6% | 47.4% | 83.1% | 0.57× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 80.5 | 46.5% | 47.4% | 14.8% | 3.20× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 80.5 | 46.6% | 47.4% | 14.8% | 3.20× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 78.5 | 45.8% | 47.4% | 80.7% | 0.59× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 78.5 | 45.9% | 47.4% | 80.7% | 0.59× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 82.5 | 39.3% | 37.3% | 11.1% | 3.35× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 76.5 | 38.2% | 37.3% | 75.5% | 0.49× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 82.5 | 38.9% | 37.3% | 11.1% | 3.35× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 76.5 | 38.5% | 37.3% | 75.5% | 0.49× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 84.5 | 32.3% | 32.6% | 8.3% | 3.93× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 74.5 | 31.0% | 32.6% | 69.6% | 0.47× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 84.5 | 31.7% | 32.6% | 8.3% | 3.93× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 74.5 | 31.6% | 32.6% | 69.6% | 0.47× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 87.5 | 22.9% | 22.6% | 5.0% | 4.47× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 87.5 | 22.2% | 22.6% | 5.0% | 4.47× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 71.5 | 22.3% | 22.6% | 60.0% | 0.38× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 71.5 | 21.6% | 22.6% | 60.0% | 0.38× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 91.5 | 13.2% | 12.3% | 2.4% | 5.18× | 8.14 |
| H1 under 67.5 | 12.8% | 12.3% | 45.6% | 0.27× | 8.14 |
H2 result 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State Bulldogs to win H2 | 50.1% | 51.2% | 57.5% | 0.89× | 1.96 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs to win H2 | 50.1% | 51.2% | 56.9% | 0.90× | 1.96 |
| Xavier Musketeers to win H2 | 45.5% | 47.1% | 38.5% | 1.22× | 2.12 |
| Xavier Musketeers to win H2 | 45.5% | 47.1% | 38.9% | 1.21× | 2.12 |
| H2 tied | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 0.97× | 25.35 |
| H2 tied | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 0.95× | 25.35 |
H2 total 40
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 over 76.5 | 86.1% | 85.2% | 53.4% | 1.60× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 100.5 | 85.2% | 85.2% | 94.8% | 0.90× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 80.5 | 76.7% | 75.8% | 40.8% | 1.86× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 80.5 | 77.3% | 75.8% | 37.1% | 2.04× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 96.5 | 75.5% | 75.8% | 91.4% | 0.83× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 96.5 | 76.2% | 75.8% | 94.1% | 0.81× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 83.5 | 67.8% | 66.4% | 32.0% | 2.07× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 83.5 | 68.3% | 66.4% | 28.4% | 2.34× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 93.5 | 66.4% | 66.4% | 88.2% | 0.75× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 93.5 | 67.0% | 66.4% | 91.2% | 0.73× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 85.5 | 61.2% | 61.6% | 26.7% | 2.31× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 85.5 | 61.5% | 61.6% | 23.2% | 2.66× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 91.5 | 60.1% | 61.6% | 88.7% | 0.69× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 91.5 | 59.7% | 57.3% | 85.5% | 0.67× | 1.74 |
| H2 over 87.5 | 54.3% | 52.4% | 22.3% | 2.35× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 87.5 | 54.4% | 52.4% | 18.8% | 2.79× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 89.5 | 52.7% | 52.4% | 81.8% | 0.64× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 89.5 | 52.9% | 52.4% | 85.1% | 0.62× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 88.5 | 50.8% | 52.4% | 20.2% | 2.59× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 88.5 | 50.7% | 52.4% | 16.7% | 3.14× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 88.5 | 49.2% | 47.6% | 79.8% | 0.60× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 88.5 | 49.3% | 47.6% | 83.3% | 0.57× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 89.5 | 47.3% | 47.6% | 18.2% | 2.61× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 89.5 | 47.1% | 47.6% | 14.9% | 3.20× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 87.5 | 45.7% | 47.6% | 77.7% | 0.61× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 87.5 | 45.6% | 47.6% | 81.2% | 0.59× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 91.5 | 40.3% | 42.7% | 14.5% | 2.95× | 2.35 |
| H2 over 91.5 | 39.9% | 38.4% | 11.3% | 3.40× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 85.5 | 38.8% | 38.4% | 73.3% | 0.52× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 85.5 | 38.5% | 38.4% | 76.8% | 0.50× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 93.5 | 33.6% | 33.6% | 11.8% | 2.84× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 93.5 | 33.0% | 33.6% | 8.8% | 3.84× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 83.5 | 32.2% | 33.6% | 68.0% | 0.49× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 83.5 | 31.7% | 33.6% | 71.6% | 0.47× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 96.5 | 24.5% | 24.2% | 8.6% | 2.82× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 96.5 | 23.8% | 24.2% | 5.9% | 4.13× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 80.5 | 23.3% | 24.2% | 59.2% | 0.41× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 80.5 | 22.7% | 24.2% | 62.9% | 0.39× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 100.5 | 14.8% | 14.8% | 5.2% | 2.85× | 6.76 |
| H2 under 76.5 | 13.9% | 14.8% | 46.6% | 0.32× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State Bulldogs leading at half time | 49.9% | 47.3% | 57.9% | 0.82× | 2.12 |
| Xavier Musketeers leading at half time | 45.6% | 47.2% | 38.2% | 1.24× | 2.12 |
| Level at half time | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 0.97× | 26.40 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State Bulldogs +18.5 | 96.4% | 97.4% | 95.4% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Xavier Musketeers +20.5 | 96.4% | 97.4% | 86.5% | 1.13× | 1.03 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs +20.5 | 97.6% | 97.4% | 96.5% | 1.01× | 1.03 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs +16.5 | 94.6% | 91.1% | 94.0% | 0.97× | 1.10 |
| Xavier Musketeers +18.5 | 94.7% | 91.1% | 83.9% | 1.09× | 1.10 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs +14.5 | 92.2% | 91.1% | 92.2% | 0.99× | 1.10 |
| Xavier Musketeers +16.5 | 92.4% | 91.1% | 80.7% | 1.13× | 1.10 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs +12.5 | 89.1% | 85.9% | 89.9% | 0.96× | 1.16 |
| Xavier Musketeers +14.5 | 89.3% | 85.9% | 77.2% | 1.11× | 1.16 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs +10.5 | 85.1% | 85.9% | 87.2% | 0.99× | 1.16 |
| Xavier Musketeers +12.5 | 85.4% | 85.9% | 72.4% | 1.19× | 1.16 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs +9.5 | 82.9% | 81.1% | 85.3% | 0.95× | 1.23 |
| Xavier Musketeers +10.5 | 80.6% | 81.1% | 67.4% | 1.20× | 1.23 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs +8.5 | 80.3% | 81.1% | 83.3% | 0.97× | 1.23 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs +7.5 | 77.6% | 76.5% | 81.0% | 0.94× | 1.31 |
| Xavier Musketeers +9.5 | 77.9% | 76.5% | 64.5% | 1.18× | 1.31 |
| Xavier Musketeers +8.5 | 75.0% | 76.5% | 61.5% | 1.24× | 1.31 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs +6.5 | 74.7% | 71.6% | 78.8% | 0.91× | 1.40 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs +5.5 | 71.5% | 71.6% | 76.4% | 0.94× | 1.40 |
| Xavier Musketeers +7.5 | 71.9% | 71.6% | 58.7% | 1.22× | 1.40 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs +4.5 | 68.2% | 66.7% | 73.7% | 0.91× | 1.50 |
| Xavier Musketeers +6.5 | 68.6% | 66.7% | 55.7% | 1.20× | 1.50 |
| Xavier Musketeers +5.5 | 65.1% | 66.7% | 53.0% | 1.26× | 1.50 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs +3.5 | 64.8% | 61.9% | 70.8% | 0.88× | 1.62 |
| Xavier Musketeers +4.5 | 61.6% | 61.9% | 49.3% | 1.25× | 1.62 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs +2.5 | 61.2% | 61.9% | 68.0% | 0.91× | 1.62 |
| Xavier Musketeers +3.5 | 57.8% | 57.1% | 45.9% | 1.24× | 1.75 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs +1.5 | 57.4% | 57.1% | 65.4% | 0.87× | 1.75 |
| Xavier Musketeers +2.5 | 54.1% | 52.4% | 42.3% | 1.24× | 1.91 |
| Xavier Musketeers +1.5 | 50.2% | 52.4% | 39.2% | 1.34× | 1.91 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs −1.5 | 49.8% | 47.6% | 60.8% | 0.78× | 2.10 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs −2.5 | 45.9% | 47.6% | 57.7% | 0.83× | 2.10 |
| Xavier Musketeers −1.5 | 42.6% | 42.9% | 34.6% | 1.24× | 2.33 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs −3.5 | 42.2% | 42.9% | 54.1% | 0.79× | 2.33 |
| Xavier Musketeers −2.5 | 38.8% | 38.1% | 32.0% | 1.19× | 2.63 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs −4.5 | 38.4% | 38.1% | 50.7% | 0.75× | 2.63 |
| Xavier Musketeers −3.5 | 35.2% | 38.1% | 29.3% | 1.30× | 2.63 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs −5.5 | 34.9% | 33.3% | 47.0% | 0.71× | 3.01 |
| Xavier Musketeers −4.5 | 31.8% | 33.3% | 26.3% | 1.26× | 3.01 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs −6.5 | 31.4% | 33.3% | 44.3% | 0.75× | 3.01 |
| Xavier Musketeers −5.5 | 28.5% | 28.4% | 23.6% | 1.20× | 3.53 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs −7.5 | 28.1% | 28.4% | 41.3% | 0.69× | 3.53 |
| Xavier Musketeers −6.5 | 25.3% | 28.4% | 21.2% | 1.34× | 3.53 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs −8.5 | 25.0% | 23.5% | 38.5% | 0.61× | 4.25 |
| Xavier Musketeers −7.5 | 22.4% | 23.5% | 19.0% | 1.24× | 4.25 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs −9.5 | 22.1% | 23.5% | 35.5% | 0.66× | 4.25 |
| Xavier Musketeers −8.5 | 19.7% | 18.9% | 16.7% | 1.13× | 5.29 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs −10.5 | 19.4% | 18.9% | 32.6% | 0.58× | 5.29 |
| Xavier Musketeers −9.5 | 17.1% | 18.9% | 14.7% | 1.29× | 5.29 |
| Xavier Musketeers −10.5 | 14.9% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 1.10× | 7.09 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs −12.5 | 14.6% | 14.1% | 27.6% | 0.51× | 7.09 |
| Xavier Musketeers −12.5 | 10.9% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 1.40× | 7.09 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs −14.5 | 10.7% | 14.1% | 22.8% | 0.62× | 7.09 |
| Xavier Musketeers −14.5 | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 1.14× | 11.25 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs −16.5 | 7.6% | 8.9% | 19.3% | 0.46× | 11.25 |
| Xavier Musketeers −16.5 | 5.4% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 1.49× | 11.25 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs −18.5 | 5.3% | 8.9% | 16.1% | 0.55× | 11.25 |
| Xavier Musketeers −18.5 | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 0.57× | 38.73 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs −20.5 | 3.6% | 2.6% | 13.5% | 0.19× | 38.73 |
| Xavier Musketeers −20.5 | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 0.75× | 38.73 |
Highest scoring half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 highest scoring | 82.3% | 71.5% | 70.4% | 1.02× | 1.40 |
| 2nd half highest scoring | 80.7% | 71.5% | 72.5% | 0.99× | 1.40 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 19.3% | 28.5% | 27.5% | 1.04× | 3.51 |
| H1 highest scoring | 17.7% | 28.5% | 29.6% | 0.96× | 3.51 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State Bulldogs at HT / Mississippi State Bulldogs at FT | 37.0% | 37.7% | 48.6% | 0.78× | 2.65 |
| Xavier Musketeers at HT / Xavier Musketeers at FT | 31.3% | 33.2% | 25.8% | 1.29× | 3.01 |
| Xavier Musketeers at HT / Mississippi State Bulldogs at FT | 14.3% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 0.99× | 8.17 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs at HT / Xavier Musketeers at FT | 12.9% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 1.31× | 8.17 |
| Level at HT / Mississippi State Bulldogs at FT | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.92× | 47.75 |
| Level at HT / Xavier Musketeers at FT | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.28× | 47.76 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State Bulldogs to win | 53.6% | 51.0% | 63.2% | 0.81× | 1.96 |
| Xavier Musketeers to win | 46.4% | 49.0% | 36.8% | 1.33× | 2.04 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total points odd | 51.9% | 50.5% | 51.6% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Xavier Musketeers even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.4% | 1.00× | 1.98 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Xavier Musketeers odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.6% | 1.00× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 48.1% | 49.5% | 48.4% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 92.0% | 94.0% | 94.2% | 1.00× | 1.06 |
| Match to go to overtime | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 1.04× | 16.64 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Musketeers over 73.5 | 85.5% | 83.9% | 41.7% | 2.01× | 1.19 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs over 74.5 | 85.0% | 80.7% | 54.1% | 1.49× | 1.24 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs under 94.5 | 84.2% | 80.7% | 93.1% | 0.87× | 1.24 |
| Xavier Musketeers under 93.5 | 84.7% | 80.7% | 96.6% | 0.84× | 1.24 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs over 77.5 | 76.7% | 75.1% | 44.6% | 1.68× | 1.33 |
| Xavier Musketeers over 76.5 | 77.2% | 75.1% | 32.1% | 2.34× | 1.33 |
| Xavier Musketeers under 90.5 | 76.2% | 75.1% | 94.5% | 0.79× | 1.33 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs under 91.5 | 75.7% | 75.1% | 89.7% | 0.84× | 1.33 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs over 79.5 | 70.0% | 70.7% | 38.4% | 1.84× | 1.41 |
| Xavier Musketeers over 78.5 | 70.5% | 70.7% | 26.3% | 2.69× | 1.41 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs under 89.5 | 68.9% | 66.4% | 86.5% | 0.77× | 1.51 |
| Xavier Musketeers under 88.5 | 69.3% | 66.4% | 92.6% | 0.72× | 1.51 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs over 81.5 | 62.6% | 61.2% | 32.1% | 1.91× | 1.63 |
| Xavier Musketeers over 80.5 | 62.9% | 61.2% | 21.2% | 2.88× | 1.63 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs under 87.5 | 61.4% | 61.2% | 82.8% | 0.74× | 1.63 |
| Xavier Musketeers under 86.5 | 61.6% | 61.2% | 90.2% | 0.68× | 1.63 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs over 83.5 | 54.7% | 52.3% | 26.5% | 1.97× | 1.91 |
| Xavier Musketeers over 82.5 | 54.8% | 52.3% | 16.7% | 3.12× | 1.91 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs under 85.5 | 53.4% | 52.3% | 78.6% | 0.67× | 1.91 |
| Xavier Musketeers under 84.5 | 53.5% | 52.3% | 87.2% | 0.60× | 1.91 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs over 84.5 | 50.6% | 52.3% | 23.9% | 2.19× | 1.91 |
| Xavier Musketeers over 83.5 | 50.7% | 52.3% | 14.7% | 3.56× | 1.91 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs under 84.5 | 49.4% | 47.7% | 76.1% | 0.63× | 2.09 |
| Xavier Musketeers under 83.5 | 49.3% | 47.7% | 85.3% | 0.56× | 2.09 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs over 85.5 | 46.6% | 47.7% | 21.4% | 2.23× | 2.09 |
| Xavier Musketeers over 84.5 | 46.5% | 47.7% | 12.8% | 3.72× | 2.09 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs under 83.5 | 45.3% | 47.7% | 73.5% | 0.65× | 2.09 |
| Xavier Musketeers under 82.5 | 45.2% | 47.7% | 83.3% | 0.57× | 2.09 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs over 87.5 | 38.6% | 38.8% | 17.2% | 2.26× | 2.58 |
| Xavier Musketeers over 86.5 | 38.4% | 38.8% | 9.8% | 3.96× | 2.58 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs under 81.5 | 37.4% | 38.8% | 67.9% | 0.57× | 2.58 |
| Xavier Musketeers under 80.5 | 37.1% | 38.8% | 78.8% | 0.49× | 2.58 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs over 89.5 | 31.1% | 33.6% | 13.5% | 2.49× | 2.98 |
| Xavier Musketeers over 88.5 | 30.7% | 33.6% | 7.4% | 4.51× | 2.98 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs under 79.5 | 30.0% | 29.3% | 61.6% | 0.48× | 3.42 |
| Xavier Musketeers under 78.5 | 29.5% | 29.3% | 73.7% | 0.40× | 3.42 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs over 91.5 | 24.3% | 24.9% | 10.3% | 2.41× | 4.02 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs under 77.5 | 23.3% | 24.9% | 55.4% | 0.45× | 4.02 |
| Xavier Musketeers under 76.5 | 22.8% | 24.9% | 67.9% | 0.37× | 4.02 |
| Xavier Musketeers over 90.5 | 23.8% | 24.9% | 5.5% | 4.54× | 4.02 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs over 94.5 | 15.8% | 19.3% | 6.9% | 2.81× | 5.18 |
| Xavier Musketeers over 93.5 | 15.3% | 19.3% | 3.4% | 5.68× | 5.18 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs under 74.5 | 15.0% | 19.3% | 45.9% | 0.42× | 5.18 |
| Xavier Musketeers under 73.5 | 14.5% | 16.1% | 58.3% | 0.28× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 148.5 points | 89.2% | 85.0% | 45.7% | 1.86× | 1.18 |
| Under 188.5 points | 89.6% | 85.0% | 97.9% | 0.87× | 1.18 |
| Under 183.5 points | 82.9% | 80.6% | 96.5% | 0.83× | 1.24 |
| Over 153.5 points | 82.2% | 80.6% | 35.4% | 2.28× | 1.24 |
| Under 178.5 points | 73.7% | 70.8% | 94.2% | 0.75× | 1.41 |
| Over 158.5 points | 73.0% | 70.8% | 26.7% | 2.65× | 1.41 |
| Over 161.5 points | 66.4% | 65.9% | 22.1% | 2.99× | 1.52 |
| Under 175.5 points | 67.3% | 65.9% | 92.5% | 0.71× | 1.52 |
| Under 173.5 points | 62.7% | 61.5% | 91.2% | 0.67× | 1.63 |
| Over 163.5 points | 61.8% | 61.5% | 19.1% | 3.22× | 1.63 |
| Under 171.5 points | 57.9% | 56.5% | 89.7% | 0.63× | 1.77 |
| Over 165.5 points | 56.9% | 56.5% | 16.6% | 3.40× | 1.77 |
| Over 167.5 points | 52.0% | 52.3% | 14.4% | 3.64× | 1.91 |
| Under 169.5 points | 53.0% | 52.3% | 87.7% | 0.60× | 1.91 |
| Under 168.5 points | 50.4% | 52.3% | 86.7% | 0.60× | 1.91 |
| Over 168.5 points | 49.6% | 47.7% | 13.3% | 3.58× | 2.10 |
| Under 167.5 points | 48.0% | 47.7% | 85.6% | 0.56× | 2.10 |
| Over 169.5 points | 47.0% | 47.7% | 12.3% | 3.89× | 2.10 |
| Under 165.5 points | 43.1% | 43.5% | 83.4% | 0.52× | 2.30 |
| Over 171.5 points | 42.1% | 43.5% | 10.3% | 4.21× | 2.30 |
| Under 163.5 points | 38.2% | 38.5% | 80.9% | 0.48× | 2.60 |
| Over 173.5 points | 37.3% | 38.5% | 8.8% | 4.37× | 2.60 |
| Under 161.5 points | 33.6% | 34.1% | 77.9% | 0.44× | 2.93 |
| Over 175.5 points | 32.7% | 34.1% | 7.5% | 4.55× | 2.93 |
| Under 158.5 points | 27.0% | 29.2% | 73.3% | 0.40× | 3.43 |
| Over 178.5 points | 26.3% | 29.2% | 5.8% | 5.01× | 3.43 |
| Under 153.5 points | 17.8% | 19.4% | 64.6% | 0.30× | 5.15 |
| Over 183.5 points | 17.1% | 19.4% | 3.5% | 5.63× | 5.15 |
| Under 148.5 points | 10.8% | 15.0% | 54.3% | 0.28× | 6.69 |
| Over 188.5 points | 10.4% | 15.0% | 2.1% | 7.02× | 6.69 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State Bulldogs to win both halves | 21.3% | 23.0% | 33.2% | 0.69× | 4.34 |
| Xavier Musketeers to win both halves | 17.2% | 18.9% | 14.5% | 1.30× | 5.30 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State Bulldogs by 1-5 | 18.8% | 16.8% | 16.2% | 1.03× | 5.97 |
| Xavier Musketeers by 1-5 | 17.9% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 1.27× | 5.97 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs by 6-10 | 15.5% | 16.8% | 14.4% | 1.16× | 5.97 |
| Xavier Musketeers by 6-10 | 13.6% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 1.14× | 8.11 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs by 11-15 | 10.3% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 1.07× | 8.11 |
| Xavier Musketeers by 11-15 | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 1.23× | 13.40 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs by 16-20 | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 0.98× | 13.40 |
| Xavier Musketeers by 16-20 | 4.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 0.61× | 49.29 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs by 21-25 | 2.4% | 2.0% | 5.6% | 0.36× | 49.31 |
| Xavier Musketeers by 21-25 | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.06× | 49.31 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs by 26+ | 1.1% | 2.0% | 7.9% | 0.26× | 49.32 |
| Xavier Musketeers by 26+ | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.30× | 49.32 |