Missouri State Lady Bears v Minnesota Golden Gophers — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Thursday 26 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Missouri State Lady Bears win
7.6%
Draw
0.0%
Minnesota Golden Gophers win
92.4%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 54.72–70.72 | 55-71 0% | 53% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State Lady Bears to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.20× | 283.36 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.64× | 283.36 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.91× | 283.36 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.36 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers to score 100+ | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.72× | 283.34 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.36 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.36 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.36 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Golden Gophers to win H1 | 78.6% | 79.2% | 39.9% | 1.99× | 1.26 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears to win H1 | 18.2% | 16.9% | 56.4% | 0.30× | 5.91 |
| H1 tied | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.87 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 over 48.5 | 89.0% | 87.7% | 88.8% | 0.99× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 72.5 | 88.6% | 87.7% | 83.6% | 1.05× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 52.5 | 79.2% | 77.4% | 79.6% | 0.97× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 68.5 | 79.0% | 77.4% | 73.5% | 1.05× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 55.5 | 69.4% | 67.4% | 71.0% | 0.95× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 65.5 | 69.3% | 67.4% | 63.9% | 1.06× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 57.5 | 61.9% | 62.7% | 64.8% | 0.97× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 63.5 | 62.0% | 62.7% | 57.1% | 1.10× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 59.5 | 54.0% | 52.6% | 57.8% | 0.91× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 61.5 | 54.1% | 52.6% | 49.8% | 1.06× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 60.5 | 50.1% | 52.6% | 46.1% | 1.14× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 60.5 | 49.9% | 47.4% | 53.9% | 0.88× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 59.5 | 46.0% | 47.4% | 42.2% | 1.12× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 61.5 | 45.9% | 47.4% | 50.2% | 0.94× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 57.5 | 38.1% | 37.3% | 35.2% | 1.06× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 63.5 | 38.0% | 37.3% | 42.9% | 0.87× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 55.5 | 30.6% | 32.6% | 29.0% | 1.12× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 65.5 | 30.7% | 32.6% | 36.1% | 0.90× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 68.5 | 21.0% | 22.6% | 26.5% | 0.85× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 52.5 | 20.8% | 22.6% | 20.4% | 1.11× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 72.5 | 11.4% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 0.75× | 8.14 |
| H1 under 48.5 | 11.0% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 1.10× | 8.14 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Golden Gophers to win H2 | 80.1% | 79.5% | 40.6% | 1.96× | 1.26 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears to win H2 | 17.0% | 20.4% | 56.0% | 0.36× | 4.90 |
| H2 tied | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.36 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 over 54.5 | 87.5% | 85.2% | 88.0% | 0.97× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 78.5 | 88.0% | 85.2% | 80.1% | 1.06× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 74.5 | 78.6% | 75.8% | 69.9% | 1.08× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 58.5 | 77.5% | 75.8% | 79.6% | 0.95× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 71.5 | 69.4% | 66.4% | 61.1% | 1.09× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 61.5 | 67.7% | 66.4% | 71.3% | 0.93× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 69.5 | 62.4% | 61.6% | 54.8% | 1.12× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 63.5 | 60.4% | 61.6% | 65.3% | 0.94× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 67.5 | 54.9% | 52.4% | 47.9% | 1.09× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 65.5 | 52.8% | 52.4% | 58.8% | 0.89× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 66.5 | 51.1% | 52.4% | 44.6% | 1.17× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 66.5 | 48.9% | 47.6% | 55.4% | 0.86× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 65.5 | 47.2% | 47.6% | 41.2% | 1.16× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 67.5 | 45.1% | 47.6% | 52.1% | 0.91× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 63.5 | 39.6% | 38.4% | 34.7% | 1.11× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 69.5 | 37.6% | 38.4% | 45.2% | 0.85× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 61.5 | 32.3% | 33.6% | 28.7% | 1.17× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 71.5 | 30.6% | 33.6% | 38.9% | 0.87× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 58.5 | 22.5% | 24.2% | 20.4% | 1.19× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 74.5 | 21.4% | 24.2% | 30.1% | 0.81× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 54.5 | 12.5% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 1.23× | 6.76 |
| H2 over 78.5 | 12.0% | 14.8% | 19.9% | 0.74× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Golden Gophers leading at half time | 78.6% | 79.7% | 39.9% | 2.00× | 1.25 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears leading at half time | 18.2% | 17.0% | 56.4% | 0.30× | 5.87 |
| Level at half time | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.41 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +12.5 | 99.4% | 97.4% | 67.9% | 1.44× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +14.5 | 99.6% | 97.4% | 72.1% | 1.35× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +16.5 | 99.8% | 97.4% | 75.7% | 1.29× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +18.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 79.3% | 1.23× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +20.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 82.0% | 1.19× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +3.5 | 95.6% | 97.4% | 45.8% | 2.13× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +4.5 | 96.4% | 97.4% | 47.8% | 2.04× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +5.5 | 97.0% | 97.4% | 50.3% | 1.94× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +6.5 | 97.6% | 97.4% | 52.4% | 1.86× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +7.5 | 98.0% | 97.4% | 55.2% | 1.76× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +8.5 | 98.4% | 97.4% | 58.0% | 1.68× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +9.5 | 98.8% | 97.4% | 60.7% | 1.61× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +10.5 | 99.0% | 97.4% | 63.2% | 1.54× | 1.03 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +2.5 | 94.7% | 91.1% | 43.3% | 2.11× | 1.10 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers +1.5 | 93.6% | 91.1% | 41.3% | 2.21× | 1.10 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −1.5 | 90.8% | 91.1% | 38.8% | 2.35× | 1.10 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −2.5 | 89.1% | 85.9% | 36.7% | 2.34× | 1.16 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −3.5 | 87.1% | 85.9% | 34.3% | 2.50× | 1.16 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −4.5 | 85.0% | 81.1% | 32.2% | 2.52× | 1.23 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −5.5 | 82.6% | 81.1% | 29.9% | 2.71× | 1.23 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −6.5 | 80.1% | 81.1% | 27.7% | 2.93× | 1.23 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −7.5 | 77.3% | 76.5% | 25.5% | 3.00× | 1.31 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −8.5 | 74.4% | 71.6% | 23.5% | 3.04× | 1.40 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −9.5 | 71.2% | 71.6% | 21.3% | 3.36× | 1.40 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −10.5 | 68.0% | 66.7% | 19.6% | 3.40× | 1.50 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears +20.5 | 68.0% | 66.7% | 92.7% | 0.72× | 1.50 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −12.5 | 61.0% | 61.9% | 16.2% | 3.81× | 1.62 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears +18.5 | 61.1% | 61.9% | 91.1% | 0.68× | 1.62 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −14.5 | 53.7% | 52.4% | 13.3% | 3.95× | 1.91 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears +16.5 | 53.7% | 52.4% | 89.1% | 0.59× | 1.91 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears +14.5 | 46.3% | 47.6% | 86.7% | 0.55× | 2.10 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −16.5 | 46.3% | 47.6% | 10.9% | 4.38× | 2.10 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears +12.5 | 39.0% | 38.1% | 83.8% | 0.45× | 2.63 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −18.5 | 38.9% | 38.1% | 8.9% | 4.27× | 2.63 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears +10.5 | 32.0% | 33.3% | 80.4% | 0.41× | 3.01 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers −20.5 | 32.0% | 33.3% | 7.3% | 4.57× | 3.01 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears +9.5 | 28.8% | 28.4% | 78.7% | 0.36× | 3.53 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears +8.5 | 25.6% | 28.4% | 76.5% | 0.37× | 3.53 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears +7.5 | 22.7% | 23.5% | 74.5% | 0.32× | 4.25 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears +6.5 | 19.9% | 18.9% | 72.3% | 0.26× | 5.29 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears +5.5 | 17.4% | 18.9% | 70.1% | 0.27× | 5.29 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears +4.5 | 15.0% | 18.9% | 67.8% | 0.28× | 5.30 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears +3.5 | 12.9% | 14.1% | 65.7% | 0.21× | 7.09 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears +2.5 | 10.9% | 14.1% | 63.3% | 0.22× | 7.09 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears +1.5 | 9.2% | 8.9% | 61.2% | 0.15× | 11.25 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears −1.5 | 6.4% | 8.9% | 58.7% | 0.15× | 11.25 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears −2.5 | 5.3% | 8.9% | 56.7% | 0.16× | 11.25 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears −3.5 | 4.4% | 2.6% | 54.2% | 0.05× | 38.72 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears −4.5 | 3.7% | 2.6% | 52.2% | 0.05× | 38.73 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears −5.5 | 3.0% | 2.6% | 49.7% | 0.05× | 38.73 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears −6.5 | 2.4% | 2.6% | 47.6% | 0.05× | 38.73 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears −7.5 | 2.0% | 2.6% | 44.8% | 0.06× | 38.73 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears −8.5 | 1.6% | 2.6% | 42.0% | 0.06× | 38.73 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears −9.5 | 1.2% | 2.6% | 39.3% | 0.07× | 38.74 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears −10.5 | 1.0% | 2.6% | 36.8% | 0.07× | 38.74 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears −12.5 | 0.6% | 2.6% | 32.1% | 0.08× | 38.74 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears −14.5 | 0.4% | 2.6% | 27.9% | 0.09× | 38.74 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears −16.5 | 0.2% | 2.6% | 24.3% | 0.11× | 38.74 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears −18.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 20.7% | 0.12× | 38.74 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears −20.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 18.0% | 0.14× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 71.5% | 67.1% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 28.5% | 32.9% | 33.3% | 0.99× | 3.04 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 highest scoring | 34.2% | 31.9% | 31.2% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 32.4% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 17.4% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 15.9% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.02× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Golden Gophers at HT / Minnesota Golden Gophers at FT | 76.1% | 78.0% | 30.1% | 2.59× | 1.28 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears at HT / Minnesota Golden Gophers at FT | 13.5% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 1.49× | 8.17 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears at HT / Missouri State Lady Bears at FT | 4.7% | 2.1% | 48.3% | 0.04× | 47.71 |
| Level at HT / Minnesota Golden Gophers at FT | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.74 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers at HT / Missouri State Lady Bears at FT | 2.6% | 2.1% | 9.8% | 0.21× | 47.75 |
| Level at HT / Missouri State Lady Bears at FT | 0.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.78 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Golden Gophers to win | 92.4% | 90.6% | 40.1% | 2.26× | 1.10 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears to win | 7.6% | 9.4% | 59.9% | 0.16× | 10.65 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State Lady Bears even | 50.3% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 50.7% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears odd | 49.7% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 49.3% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 96.6% | 97.0% | 95.6% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Match to go to overtime | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 0.67× | 33.43 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Golden Gophers to win Q1 | 69.0% | 72.3% | 40.4% | 1.79× | 1.38 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears to win Q1 | 25.8% | 22.4% | 54.7% | 0.41× | 4.47 |
| Q1 tied | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.11× | 18.33 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 under 38.5 | 88.6% | 87.4% | 84.8% | 1.03× | 1.14 |
| Q1 over 22.5 | 88.4% | 87.4% | 88.8% | 0.98× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 35.5 | 77.6% | 76.9% | 73.2% | 1.05× | 1.30 |
| Q1 over 25.5 | 77.0% | 76.9% | 77.6% | 0.99× | 1.30 |
| Q1 under 33.5 | 67.8% | 67.6% | 64.0% | 1.06× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 27.5 | 67.0% | 67.6% | 67.7% | 1.00× | 1.48 |
| Q1 under 31.5 | 56.4% | 58.6% | 54.0% | 1.09× | 1.71 |
| Q1 over 29.5 | 55.5% | 58.6% | 56.9% | 1.03× | 1.71 |
| Q1 under 30.5 | 50.5% | 52.7% | 48.8% | 1.08× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 30.5 | 49.5% | 47.3% | 51.2% | 0.92× | 2.11 |
| Q1 under 29.5 | 44.5% | 41.4% | 43.1% | 0.96× | 2.42 |
| Q1 over 31.5 | 43.6% | 41.4% | 46.0% | 0.90× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 27.5 | 33.0% | 32.4% | 32.3% | 1.00× | 3.08 |
| Q1 over 33.5 | 32.2% | 32.4% | 36.0% | 0.90× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 25.5 | 23.0% | 23.1% | 22.4% | 1.03× | 4.33 |
| Q1 over 35.5 | 22.4% | 23.1% | 26.8% | 0.86× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 22.5 | 11.6% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 1.12× | 7.95 |
| Q1 over 38.5 | 11.4% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 0.83× | 7.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Golden Gophers to win Q2 | 68.5% | 68.4% | 41.5% | 1.65× | 1.46 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears to win Q2 | 26.4% | 27.7% | 52.9% | 0.52× | 3.61 |
| Q2 tied | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 1.06× | 16.50 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 38.5 | 89.5% | 87.3% | 85.6% | 1.02× | 1.15 |
| Q2 over 22.5 | 87.4% | 87.3% | 87.4% | 1.00× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 35.5 | 79.0% | 76.8% | 74.6% | 1.03× | 1.30 |
| Q2 over 25.5 | 75.5% | 76.8% | 76.2% | 1.01× | 1.30 |
| Q2 under 33.5 | 69.4% | 67.4% | 65.6% | 1.03× | 1.48 |
| Q2 over 27.5 | 65.2% | 67.4% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| Q2 under 31.5 | 58.3% | 58.2% | 55.7% | 1.04× | 1.72 |
| Q2 over 29.5 | 53.6% | 52.7% | 55.8% | 0.94× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 30.5 | 52.4% | 52.7% | 50.1% | 1.05× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 30.5 | 47.6% | 47.3% | 49.9% | 0.95× | 2.11 |
| Q2 under 29.5 | 46.4% | 47.3% | 44.2% | 1.07× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 31.5 | 41.7% | 41.8% | 44.3% | 0.94× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 27.5 | 34.8% | 32.6% | 33.3% | 0.98× | 3.06 |
| Q2 over 33.5 | 30.6% | 32.6% | 34.4% | 0.95× | 3.06 |
| Q2 under 25.5 | 24.5% | 23.2% | 23.8% | 0.98× | 4.31 |
| Q2 over 35.5 | 21.0% | 23.2% | 25.4% | 0.91× | 4.31 |
| Q2 under 22.5 | 12.6% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 1.01× | 7.89 |
| Q2 over 38.5 | 10.5% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 0.88× | 7.90 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Golden Gophers to win Q3 | 70.3% | 73.0% | 41.8% | 1.75× | 1.37 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears to win Q3 | 24.7% | 22.5% | 53.3% | 0.42× | 4.44 |
| Q3 tied | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 0.87× | 23.42 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 41.5 | 88.9% | 87.2% | 85.1% | 1.03× | 1.15 |
| Q3 over 25.5 | 86.8% | 87.2% | 86.9% | 1.00× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 38.5 | 78.4% | 77.3% | 73.9% | 1.05× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 28.5 | 75.0% | 77.3% | 76.4% | 1.01× | 1.29 |
| Q3 under 36.5 | 69.0% | 67.8% | 64.6% | 1.05× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 30.5 | 64.9% | 62.0% | 66.8% | 0.93× | 1.61 |
| Q3 under 34.5 | 58.1% | 58.4% | 54.6% | 1.07× | 1.71 |
| Q3 over 32.5 | 53.5% | 52.3% | 56.1% | 0.93× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 33.5 | 52.3% | 52.3% | 49.1% | 1.07× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 33.5 | 47.7% | 47.7% | 50.9% | 0.94× | 2.10 |
| Q3 under 32.5 | 46.5% | 47.7% | 43.9% | 1.09× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 34.5 | 41.9% | 41.6% | 45.4% | 0.92× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 30.5 | 35.1% | 38.0% | 33.2% | 1.15× | 2.63 |
| Q3 over 36.5 | 31.0% | 32.2% | 35.4% | 0.91× | 3.11 |
| Q3 under 28.5 | 25.0% | 22.7% | 23.6% | 0.96× | 4.40 |
| Q3 over 38.5 | 21.6% | 22.7% | 26.1% | 0.87× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 25.5 | 13.2% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 0.98× | 7.83 |
| Q3 over 41.5 | 11.1% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 0.86× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Golden Gophers to win Q4 | 69.9% | 60.7% | 41.5% | 1.46× | 1.65 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears to win Q4 | 25.2% | 33.3% | 52.8% | 0.63× | 3.01 |
| Q4 tied | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 0.91× | 19.28 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 41.5 | 87.4% | 85.6% | 83.6% | 1.02× | 1.17 |
| Q4 over 25.5 | 85.6% | 85.6% | 86.1% | 0.99× | 1.17 |
| Q4 under 38.5 | 76.8% | 76.9% | 73.1% | 1.05× | 1.30 |
| Q4 over 28.5 | 74.1% | 71.5% | 75.1% | 0.95× | 1.40 |
| Q4 under 36.5 | 67.6% | 67.4% | 64.3% | 1.05× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 30.5 | 64.4% | 61.4% | 66.3% | 0.93× | 1.63 |
| Q4 under 34.5 | 57.3% | 58.4% | 54.4% | 1.07× | 1.71 |
| Q4 over 32.5 | 53.7% | 52.5% | 55.4% | 0.95× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 33.5 | 51.8% | 52.5% | 49.6% | 1.06× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 33.5 | 48.2% | 47.5% | 50.4% | 0.94× | 2.11 |
| Q4 under 32.5 | 46.3% | 47.5% | 44.6% | 1.07× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 34.5 | 42.7% | 41.6% | 45.6% | 0.91× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 30.5 | 35.6% | 38.6% | 33.7% | 1.14× | 2.59 |
| Q4 over 36.5 | 32.4% | 32.6% | 35.7% | 0.91× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 28.5 | 25.9% | 28.5% | 24.9% | 1.14× | 3.51 |
| Q4 over 38.5 | 23.2% | 23.1% | 26.9% | 0.86× | 4.33 |
| Q4 under 25.5 | 14.4% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 1.04× | 6.95 |
| Q4 over 41.5 | 12.6% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 0.88× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State Lady Bears under 66.5 | 88.8% | 83.9% | 48.2% | 1.74× | 1.19 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers under 81.5 | 87.0% | 83.9% | 92.0% | 0.91× | 1.19 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears over 46.5 | 85.1% | 83.9% | 95.2% | 0.88× | 1.19 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers over 61.5 | 85.4% | 83.9% | 52.1% | 1.61× | 1.19 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears under 63.5 | 81.5% | 80.7% | 38.5% | 2.09× | 1.24 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers under 78.5 | 78.9% | 75.1% | 88.3% | 0.85× | 1.33 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers over 64.5 | 76.6% | 75.1% | 43.2% | 1.74× | 1.33 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears under 61.5 | 75.2% | 75.1% | 33.1% | 2.27× | 1.33 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears over 49.5 | 74.7% | 70.7% | 92.1% | 0.77× | 1.41 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers under 76.5 | 72.0% | 70.7% | 85.8% | 0.82× | 1.41 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers over 66.5 | 69.4% | 66.4% | 37.3% | 1.78× | 1.51 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears under 59.5 | 67.9% | 66.4% | 27.8% | 2.39× | 1.51 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears over 51.5 | 66.6% | 66.4% | 89.3% | 0.74× | 1.51 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers under 74.5 | 64.3% | 61.2% | 82.3% | 0.74× | 1.63 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers over 68.5 | 61.3% | 61.2% | 31.4% | 1.95× | 1.63 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears under 57.5 | 59.7% | 57.1% | 22.8% | 2.50× | 1.75 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears over 53.5 | 57.9% | 57.1% | 85.8% | 0.67× | 1.75 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers under 72.5 | 55.9% | 57.1% | 78.2% | 0.73× | 1.75 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears under 56.5 | 55.4% | 57.1% | 20.5% | 2.79× | 1.75 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears under 55.5 | 51.0% | 52.3% | 18.5% | 2.83× | 1.91 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers over 70.5 | 52.8% | 52.3% | 26.3% | 1.99× | 1.91 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers under 71.5 | 51.6% | 52.3% | 76.1% | 0.69× | 1.91 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears over 55.5 | 49.0% | 47.7% | 81.6% | 0.59× | 2.09 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers under 70.5 | 47.2% | 47.7% | 73.7% | 0.65× | 2.09 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers over 71.5 | 48.4% | 47.7% | 23.9% | 1.99× | 2.09 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears over 56.5 | 44.6% | 42.9% | 79.5% | 0.54× | 2.33 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers over 72.5 | 44.1% | 42.9% | 21.8% | 1.97× | 2.33 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears under 53.5 | 42.1% | 42.9% | 14.2% | 3.02× | 2.33 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears over 57.5 | 40.3% | 42.9% | 77.2% | 0.56× | 2.33 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers under 68.5 | 38.7% | 38.8% | 68.6% | 0.57× | 2.58 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers over 74.5 | 35.7% | 38.8% | 17.7% | 2.19× | 2.58 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears under 51.5 | 33.4% | 33.6% | 10.7% | 3.13× | 2.98 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears over 59.5 | 32.1% | 33.6% | 72.2% | 0.47× | 2.98 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers under 66.5 | 30.6% | 33.6% | 62.7% | 0.54× | 2.98 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers over 76.5 | 28.0% | 29.3% | 14.2% | 2.06× | 3.42 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears under 49.5 | 25.3% | 29.3% | 7.9% | 3.71× | 3.42 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears over 61.5 | 24.8% | 24.9% | 66.9% | 0.37× | 4.02 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers under 64.5 | 23.4% | 24.9% | 56.9% | 0.44× | 4.02 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers over 78.5 | 21.1% | 24.9% | 11.7% | 2.13× | 4.02 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears over 63.5 | 18.5% | 19.3% | 61.5% | 0.31× | 5.18 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears under 46.5 | 14.9% | 16.1% | 4.8% | 3.36× | 6.21 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers under 61.5 | 14.6% | 16.1% | 47.9% | 0.34× | 6.21 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers over 81.5 | 13.0% | 16.1% | 8.0% | 2.00× | 6.21 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears over 66.5 | 11.2% | 16.1% | 51.8% | 0.31× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 107.5 points | 92.0% | 88.8% | 90.2% | 0.99× | 1.13 |
| Under 147.5 points | 92.4% | 88.8% | 82.3% | 1.08× | 1.13 |
| Under 142.5 points | 86.3% | 85.0% | 75.1% | 1.13× | 1.18 |
| Over 112.5 points | 84.5% | 80.6% | 83.6% | 0.96× | 1.24 |
| Under 137.5 points | 77.5% | 75.6% | 66.2% | 1.14× | 1.32 |
| Over 117.5 points | 73.9% | 70.8% | 75.3% | 0.94× | 1.41 |
| Under 134.5 points | 70.9% | 70.8% | 60.2% | 1.18× | 1.41 |
| Over 120.5 points | 66.4% | 65.9% | 69.8% | 0.94× | 1.52 |
| Under 132.5 points | 66.1% | 65.9% | 56.0% | 1.18× | 1.52 |
| Over 122.5 points | 61.1% | 61.5% | 65.6% | 0.94× | 1.63 |
| Under 130.5 points | 60.9% | 61.5% | 51.7% | 1.19× | 1.63 |
| Over 124.5 points | 55.6% | 56.5% | 61.5% | 0.92× | 1.77 |
| Under 128.5 points | 55.5% | 56.5% | 47.2% | 1.20× | 1.77 |
| Under 127.5 points | 52.8% | 52.3% | 44.9% | 1.17× | 1.91 |
| Over 126.5 points | 50.0% | 52.3% | 57.4% | 0.91× | 1.91 |
| Under 126.5 points | 50.0% | 47.7% | 42.6% | 1.12× | 2.10 |
| Over 127.5 points | 47.2% | 47.7% | 55.1% | 0.86× | 2.10 |
| Under 124.5 points | 44.4% | 43.5% | 38.5% | 1.13× | 2.30 |
| Over 128.5 points | 44.5% | 43.5% | 52.8% | 0.82× | 2.30 |
| Under 122.5 points | 38.9% | 38.5% | 34.4% | 1.12× | 2.60 |
| Over 130.5 points | 39.1% | 38.5% | 48.3% | 0.80× | 2.60 |
| Over 132.5 points | 33.9% | 34.1% | 44.0% | 0.77× | 2.93 |
| Under 120.5 points | 33.6% | 34.1% | 30.2% | 1.13× | 2.93 |
| Over 134.5 points | 29.1% | 29.2% | 39.8% | 0.73× | 3.43 |
| Under 117.5 points | 26.1% | 29.2% | 24.7% | 1.18× | 3.43 |
| Over 137.5 points | 22.5% | 24.4% | 33.8% | 0.72× | 4.10 |
| Under 112.5 points | 15.5% | 19.4% | 16.4% | 1.19× | 5.15 |
| Over 142.5 points | 13.7% | 15.0% | 24.9% | 0.60× | 6.68 |
| Under 107.5 points | 8.0% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 1.14× | 8.96 |
| Over 147.5 points | 7.6% | 11.2% | 17.7% | 0.63× | 8.97 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Golden Gophers to win both halves | 61.3% | 60.6% | 20.4% | 2.98× | 1.65 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears to win both halves | 1.8% | 3.0% | 36.0% | 0.08× | 33.73 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Golden Gophers by 11-15 | 18.0% | 16.8% | 7.6% | 2.20× | 5.97 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers by 16-20 | 18.0% | 16.8% | 4.8% | 3.53× | 5.97 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers by 26+ | 17.3% | 16.8% | 4.6% | 3.63× | 5.97 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers by 6-10 | 14.6% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 1.20× | 8.11 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers by 21-25 | 14.6% | 12.3% | 2.7% | 4.62× | 8.11 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers by 1-5 | 9.8% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 0.73× | 13.40 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears by 1-5 | 4.6% | 2.0% | 10.2% | 0.20× | 49.29 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears by 11-15 | 0.7% | 2.0% | 10.8% | 0.19× | 49.32 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears by 6-10 | 2.0% | 2.0% | 12.9% | 0.16× | 49.31 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears by 16-20 | 0.2% | 2.0% | 8.0% | 0.25× | 49.33 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears by 21-25 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 5.4% | 0.38× | 49.33 |
| Missouri State Lady Bears by 26+ | 0.0% | 2.0% | 12.6% | 0.16× | 49.33 |