Monmouth Hawks v Marist Red Foxes — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 17 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated 4 Sep 2026, 03:45 UTC

Monmouth Hawks

05:00 UTC

Marist Red Foxes

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Monmouth Hawks win

84.2%

Draw

0.0%

Marist Red Foxes win

15.8%

84016

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	84016	66.95–55.77	67-56 0%	53%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monmouth Hawks to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	1.8%	0.20×	283.35
Monmouth Hawks to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.6%	0.64×	283.36
Monmouth Hawks to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	2.91×	283.36
Monmouth Hawks to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	7.58×	283.36
Marist Red Foxes to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.5%	0.71×	283.36
Marist Red Foxes to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	4.74×	283.36
Marist Red Foxes to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	18.95×	283.36
Marist Red Foxes to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	37.89×	283.36
Both sides to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	6.32×	283.36

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monmouth Hawks to win H1	70.6%	72.9%	56.4%	1.29×	1.37
Marist Red Foxes to win H1	25.6%	26.5%	39.9%	0.66×	3.77
H1 tied	3.8%	3.9%	3.7%	1.05×	25.86

H1 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 71.5	89.3%	87.7%	81.4%	1.08×	1.14
H1 over 47.5	88.0%	87.7%	90.6%	0.97×	1.14
H1 under 67.5	80.1%	82.5%	70.4%	1.17×	1.21
H1 over 51.5	77.8%	77.4%	82.0%	0.94×	1.29
H1 under 64.5	70.7%	73.5%	60.7%	1.21×	1.36
H1 over 54.5	67.7%	67.4%	74.0%	0.91×	1.48
H1 under 62.5	63.5%	62.7%	53.7%	1.17×	1.59
H1 over 56.5	60.1%	62.7%	68.2%	0.92×	1.59
H1 under 60.5	55.8%	58.2%	46.1%	1.26×	1.72
H1 over 58.5	52.2%	52.6%	61.4%	0.86×	1.90
H1 under 59.5	51.8%	52.6%	42.2%	1.25×	1.90
H1 under 58.5	47.8%	47.4%	38.6%	1.23×	2.11
H1 over 59.5	48.2%	47.4%	57.8%	0.82×	2.11
H1 over 60.5	44.2%	41.8%	53.9%	0.78×	2.39
H1 under 56.5	39.9%	37.3%	31.8%	1.17×	2.68
H1 over 62.5	36.5%	37.3%	46.3%	0.80×	2.68
H1 under 54.5	32.3%	32.6%	26.0%	1.25×	3.07
H1 over 64.5	29.3%	26.5%	39.3%	0.68×	3.77
H1 under 51.5	22.2%	22.6%	18.0%	1.25×	4.43
H1 over 67.5	19.9%	17.5%	29.6%	0.59×	5.72
H1 under 47.5	12.0%	12.3%	9.4%	1.30×	8.14
H1 over 71.5	10.7%	12.3%	18.6%	0.66×	8.14

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monmouth Hawks to win H2	71.9%	67.6%	56.0%	1.21×	1.48
Marist Red Foxes to win H2	24.5%	26.9%	40.6%	0.66×	3.72
H2 tied	3.6%	3.9%	3.4%	1.16×	25.36

H2 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 77.5	88.9%	85.2%	77.9%	1.09×	1.17
H2 over 53.5	86.1%	85.2%	89.7%	0.95×	1.17
H2 under 73.5	80.1%	81.8%	67.1%	1.22×	1.22
H2 over 57.5	75.6%	75.8%	82.2%	0.92×	1.32
H2 under 70.5	71.2%	72.2%	57.8%	1.25×	1.39
H2 over 60.5	65.6%	66.4%	74.5%	0.89×	1.51
H2 under 68.5	64.4%	61.6%	51.3%	1.20×	1.62
H2 over 62.5	58.2%	57.3%	68.3%	0.84×	1.74
H2 under 66.5	57.0%	57.3%	44.6%	1.29×	1.74
H2 under 65.5	53.2%	52.4%	41.2%	1.27×	1.91
H2 over 64.5	50.6%	52.4%	62.1%	0.84×	1.91
H2 under 64.5	49.4%	47.6%	37.9%	1.26×	2.10
H2 over 65.5	46.8%	47.6%	58.8%	0.81×	2.10
H2 over 66.5	43.0%	42.7%	55.4%	0.77×	2.34
H2 under 62.5	41.8%	42.7%	31.7%	1.35×	2.34
H2 over 68.5	35.6%	38.4%	48.7%	0.79×	2.61
H2 under 60.5	34.4%	33.6%	25.5%	1.32×	2.97
H2 over 70.5	28.8%	27.8%	42.2%	0.66×	3.59
H2 under 57.5	24.4%	24.2%	17.8%	1.36×	4.13
H2 over 73.5	19.9%	18.2%	32.9%	0.55×	5.50
H2 under 53.5	13.9%	14.8%	10.3%	1.43×	6.76
H2 over 77.5	11.1%	14.8%	22.1%	0.67×	6.76

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monmouth Hawks leading at half time	70.6%	73.4%	56.4%	1.30×	1.36
Marist Red Foxes leading at half time	25.6%	26.5%	39.9%	0.66×	3.78
Level at half time	3.8%	3.8%	3.7%	1.03×	26.41

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monmouth Hawks +18.5	99.6%	97.4%	91.1%	1.07×	1.03
Monmouth Hawks +20.5	99.8%	97.4%	92.7%	1.05×	1.03
Monmouth Hawks +8.5	95.8%	97.4%	76.5%	1.27×	1.03
Monmouth Hawks +9.5	96.6%	97.4%	78.7%	1.24×	1.03
Monmouth Hawks +10.5	97.2%	97.4%	80.4%	1.21×	1.03
Monmouth Hawks +12.5	98.2%	97.4%	83.8%	1.16×	1.03
Monmouth Hawks +14.5	98.9%	97.4%	86.7%	1.12×	1.03
Monmouth Hawks +16.5	99.3%	97.4%	89.1%	1.09×	1.03
Monmouth Hawks +7.5	95.0%	91.1%	74.5%	1.22×	1.10
Monmouth Hawks +5.5	92.8%	91.1%	70.1%	1.30×	1.10
Monmouth Hawks +6.5	94.0%	91.1%	72.3%	1.26×	1.10
Monmouth Hawks +4.5	91.4%	91.1%	67.8%	1.34×	1.10
Monmouth Hawks +3.5	89.9%	85.9%	65.7%	1.31×	1.16
Monmouth Hawks +2.5	88.2%	85.9%	63.3%	1.36×	1.16
Monmouth Hawks +1.5	86.3%	85.9%	61.2%	1.40×	1.16
Monmouth Hawks −1.5	81.7%	81.1%	58.7%	1.38×	1.23
Marist Red Foxes +20.5	81.2%	81.1%	82.0%	0.99×	1.23
Monmouth Hawks −2.5	79.0%	76.5%	56.7%	1.35×	1.31
Monmouth Hawks −3.5	76.1%	76.5%	54.2%	1.41×	1.31
Marist Red Foxes +18.5	75.7%	76.5%	79.3%	0.96×	1.31
Monmouth Hawks −4.5	73.0%	71.6%	52.2%	1.37×	1.40
Monmouth Hawks −5.5	69.8%	66.7%	49.7%	1.34×	1.50
Marist Red Foxes +16.5	69.5%	66.7%	75.7%	0.88×	1.50
Monmouth Hawks −6.5	66.4%	66.7%	47.6%	1.40×	1.50
Monmouth Hawks −7.5	62.9%	61.9%	44.8%	1.38×	1.62
Marist Red Foxes +14.5	62.7%	61.9%	72.1%	0.86×	1.62
Monmouth Hawks −8.5	59.3%	57.1%	42.0%	1.36×	1.75
Monmouth Hawks −9.5	55.7%	57.1%	39.3%	1.45×	1.75
Marist Red Foxes +12.5	55.5%	57.1%	67.9%	0.84×	1.75
Monmouth Hawks −10.5	51.9%	52.4%	36.8%	1.42×	1.91
Marist Red Foxes +10.5	48.1%	47.6%	63.2%	0.75×	2.10
Marist Red Foxes +9.5	44.4%	42.9%	60.7%	0.71×	2.33
Monmouth Hawks −12.5	44.5%	42.9%	32.1%	1.34×	2.33
Marist Red Foxes +8.5	40.7%	42.9%	58.0%	0.74×	2.33
Marist Red Foxes +7.5	37.1%	38.1%	55.2%	0.69×	2.63
Monmouth Hawks −14.5	37.3%	38.1%	27.9%	1.37×	2.63
Marist Red Foxes +6.5	33.6%	33.3%	52.4%	0.63×	3.01
Marist Red Foxes +5.5	30.2%	33.3%	50.3%	0.66×	3.01
Monmouth Hawks −16.5	30.5%	33.3%	24.3%	1.37×	3.01
Marist Red Foxes +4.5	27.0%	28.4%	47.8%	0.59×	3.53
Monmouth Hawks −18.5	24.3%	23.5%	20.7%	1.14×	4.25
Marist Red Foxes +3.5	23.9%	23.5%	45.8%	0.51×	4.25
Marist Red Foxes +2.5	21.0%	23.5%	43.3%	0.54×	4.25
Marist Red Foxes +1.5	18.3%	18.9%	41.3%	0.46×	5.29
Monmouth Hawks −20.5	18.8%	18.9%	18.0%	1.05×	5.29
Marist Red Foxes −1.5	13.7%	14.1%	38.8%	0.36×	7.09
Marist Red Foxes −2.5	11.8%	14.1%	36.7%	0.39×	7.09
Marist Red Foxes −3.5	10.1%	14.1%	34.3%	0.41×	7.09
Marist Red Foxes −4.5	8.6%	8.9%	32.2%	0.28×	11.25
Marist Red Foxes −5.5	7.2%	8.9%	29.9%	0.30×	11.25
Marist Red Foxes −6.5	6.0%	8.9%	27.7%	0.32×	11.25
Marist Red Foxes −7.5	5.0%	8.9%	25.5%	0.35×	11.25
Marist Red Foxes −8.5	4.2%	2.6%	23.5%	0.11×	38.72
Marist Red Foxes −9.5	3.4%	2.6%	21.3%	0.12×	38.73
Marist Red Foxes −10.5	2.8%	2.6%	19.6%	0.13×	38.73
Marist Red Foxes −12.5	1.8%	2.6%	16.2%	0.16×	38.73
Marist Red Foxes −14.5	1.1%	2.6%	13.3%	0.19×	38.74
Marist Red Foxes −16.5	0.7%	2.6%	10.9%	0.24×	38.74
Marist Red Foxes −18.5	0.4%	2.6%	8.9%	0.29×	38.74
Marist Red Foxes −20.5	0.2%	2.6%	7.3%	0.35×	38.74

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	71.0%	67.1%	66.7%	1.01×	1.49
1st half highest scoring	29.0%	32.9%	33.3%	0.99×	3.04

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 highest scoring	34.0%	31.9%	31.2%	1.02×	3.14
Q3 highest scoring	32.2%	31.9%	31.3%	1.02×	3.14
Q1 highest scoring	17.6%	18.3%	19.6%	0.94×	5.46
Q2 highest scoring	16.1%	18.3%	17.9%	1.02×	5.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monmouth Hawks at HT / Monmouth Hawks at FT	65.6%	68.2%	48.3%	1.41×	1.47
Marist Red Foxes at HT / Monmouth Hawks at FT	15.6%	15.4%	9.8%	1.58×	6.47
Marist Red Foxes at HT / Marist Red Foxes at FT	9.9%	8.3%	30.1%	0.27×	12.08
Monmouth Hawks at HT / Marist Red Foxes at FT	5.0%	8.3%	8.2%	1.01×	12.10
Level at HT / Monmouth Hawks at FT	3.0%	2.1%	1.9%	1.09×	47.74
Level at HT / Marist Red Foxes at FT	0.8%	2.1%	1.8%	1.20×	47.78

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monmouth Hawks to win	84.2%	80.9%	59.9%	1.35×	1.24
Marist Red Foxes to win	15.8%	19.1%	40.1%	0.48×	5.25

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monmouth Hawks even	50.0%	50.5%	49.4%	1.02×	1.98
Marist Red Foxes even	50.2%	50.5%	50.1%	1.01×	1.98
Total points odd	51.2%	50.5%	51.5%	0.98×	1.98
Monmouth Hawks odd	50.0%	49.5%	50.6%	0.98×	2.02
Marist Red Foxes odd	49.8%	49.5%	49.9%	0.99×	2.02
Total points even	48.8%	49.5%	48.5%	1.02×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	95.5%	97.0%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Match to go to overtime	4.5%	3.0%	4.4%	0.68×	33.35

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monmouth Hawks to win Q1	62.8%	64.9%	54.7%	1.19×	1.54
Marist Red Foxes to win Q1	31.5%	30.4%	40.4%	0.75×	3.29
Q1 tied	5.7%	5.5%	4.9%	1.11×	18.32

Q1 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 over 21.5	89.1%	87.4%	91.5%	0.96×	1.14
Q1 under 37.5	87.7%	87.4%	81.6%	1.07×	1.14
Q1 over 24.5	78.2%	76.9%	81.8%	0.94×	1.30
Q1 under 34.5	76.3%	76.9%	68.5%	1.12×	1.30
Q1 over 26.5	68.4%	67.6%	72.9%	0.93×	1.48
Q1 under 32.5	66.2%	67.6%	59.1%	1.14×	1.48
Q1 over 28.5	57.1%	58.6%	62.7%	0.94×	1.71
Q1 under 30.5	54.8%	52.7%	48.8%	1.08×	1.90
Q1 over 29.5	51.2%	52.7%	56.9%	0.93×	1.90
Q1 under 29.5	48.8%	47.3%	43.1%	1.10×	2.11
Q1 over 30.5	45.2%	47.3%	51.2%	0.92×	2.11
Q1 under 28.5	42.9%	41.4%	37.3%	1.11×	2.42
Q1 over 32.5	33.8%	32.4%	40.9%	0.79×	3.08
Q1 under 26.5	31.6%	32.4%	27.1%	1.20×	3.08
Q1 over 34.5	23.7%	23.1%	31.5%	0.73×	4.33
Q1 under 24.5	21.8%	23.1%	18.2%	1.27×	4.33
Q1 over 37.5	12.3%	12.6%	18.4%	0.68×	7.95
Q1 under 21.5	10.9%	12.6%	8.5%	1.49×	7.95

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monmouth Hawks to win Q2	62.4%	61.9%	52.9%	1.17×	1.62
Marist Red Foxes to win Q2	32.0%	31.8%	41.5%	0.77×	3.14
Q2 tied	5.6%	6.1%	5.7%	1.07×	16.50

Q2 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 under 37.5	88.6%	87.3%	82.3%	1.06×	1.15
Q2 over 21.5	88.2%	87.3%	90.2%	0.97×	1.15
Q2 under 34.5	77.7%	76.8%	70.1%	1.10×	1.30
Q2 over 24.5	76.8%	76.8%	80.7%	0.95×	1.30
Q2 under 32.5	67.9%	67.4%	60.8%	1.11×	1.49
Q2 over 26.5	66.7%	67.4%	71.6%	0.94×	1.49
Q2 under 30.5	56.6%	58.2%	50.1%	1.16×	1.72
Q2 over 28.5	55.3%	58.2%	61.2%	0.95×	1.72
Q2 under 29.5	50.7%	52.7%	44.2%	1.19×	1.90
Q2 over 29.5	49.3%	47.3%	55.8%	0.85×	2.11
Q2 under 28.5	44.7%	41.8%	38.8%	1.08×	2.39
Q2 over 30.5	43.4%	41.8%	49.9%	0.84×	2.39
Q2 under 26.5	33.3%	32.6%	28.4%	1.15×	3.06
Q2 over 32.5	32.1%	32.6%	39.2%	0.83×	3.06
Q2 under 24.5	23.2%	23.2%	19.3%	1.21×	4.31
Q2 over 34.5	22.3%	23.2%	29.9%	0.78×	4.31
Q2 under 21.5	11.8%	12.7%	9.8%	1.30×	7.89
Q2 over 37.5	11.4%	12.7%	17.7%	0.72×	7.90

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monmouth Hawks to win Q3	63.8%	60.9%	53.3%	1.14×	1.64
Marist Red Foxes to win Q3	30.7%	33.7%	41.8%	0.81×	2.96
Q3 tied	5.5%	5.3%	4.9%	1.07×	18.97

Q3 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 under 40.5	88.2%	87.2%	81.9%	1.07×	1.15
Q3 over 24.5	87.4%	87.2%	89.9%	0.97×	1.15
Q3 under 37.5	77.4%	77.3%	69.7%	1.11×	1.29
Q3 over 27.5	75.9%	77.3%	80.0%	0.97×	1.29
Q3 under 35.5	67.8%	67.8%	59.7%	1.14×	1.48
Q3 over 29.5	66.0%	67.8%	71.8%	0.94×	1.48
Q3 under 33.5	56.8%	58.4%	49.1%	1.19×	1.71
Q3 over 31.5	54.7%	52.3%	61.6%	0.85×	1.91
Q3 under 32.5	51.1%	52.3%	43.9%	1.19×	1.91
Q3 over 32.5	48.9%	47.7%	56.1%	0.85×	2.10
Q3 under 31.5	45.3%	47.7%	38.4%	1.24×	2.10
Q3 over 33.5	43.2%	41.6%	50.9%	0.82×	2.40
Q3 under 29.5	34.0%	32.2%	28.2%	1.14×	3.10
Q3 over 35.5	32.2%	32.2%	40.3%	0.80×	3.10
Q3 under 27.5	24.1%	22.7%	20.0%	1.14×	4.40
Q3 over 37.5	22.6%	22.7%	30.3%	0.75×	4.40
Q3 under 24.5	12.6%	12.8%	10.1%	1.27×	7.83
Q3 over 40.5	11.8%	12.8%	18.1%	0.70×	7.83

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monmouth Hawks to win Q4	63.5%	57.8%	52.8%	1.10×	1.73
Marist Red Foxes to win Q4	31.1%	37.3%	41.5%	0.90×	2.68
Q4 tied	5.4%	5.8%	5.7%	1.02×	17.26

Q4 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 under 40.5	86.7%	85.6%	80.6%	1.06×	1.17
Q4 over 24.5	86.2%	85.6%	89.0%	0.96×	1.17
Q4 under 37.5	75.8%	76.9%	68.8%	1.12×	1.30
Q4 over 27.5	74.9%	71.5%	78.9%	0.91×	1.40
Q4 under 35.5	66.5%	67.4%	59.4%	1.14×	1.48
Q4 over 29.5	65.4%	67.4%	70.8%	0.95×	1.48
Q4 under 33.5	56.1%	58.4%	49.6%	1.18×	1.71
Q4 over 31.5	54.8%	52.5%	61.1%	0.86×	1.91
Q4 under 32.5	50.6%	52.5%	44.6%	1.18×	1.91
Q4 over 32.5	49.4%	47.5%	55.4%	0.86×	2.11
Q4 under 31.5	45.2%	47.5%	38.9%	1.22×	2.11
Q4 over 33.5	43.9%	41.6%	50.4%	0.83×	2.40
Q4 under 29.5	34.6%	32.6%	29.2%	1.12×	3.07
Q4 over 35.5	33.5%	32.6%	40.6%	0.80×	3.07
Q4 under 27.5	25.1%	28.5%	21.1%	1.35×	3.51
Q4 over 37.5	24.2%	23.1%	31.2%	0.74×	4.33
Q4 under 24.5	13.8%	14.4%	11.0%	1.31×	6.95
Q4 over 40.5	13.3%	14.4%	19.4%	0.74×	6.95

Team total 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Marist Red Foxes over 46.5	87.4%	83.9%	89.7%	0.94×	1.19
Marist Red Foxes under 66.5	87.3%	83.9%	62.7%	1.34×	1.19
Monmouth Hawks over 57.5	85.2%	83.9%	77.2%	1.09×	1.19
Monmouth Hawks under 77.5	85.8%	83.9%	77.4%	1.08×	1.19
Marist Red Foxes over 49.5	77.8%	75.1%	85.1%	0.88×	1.33
Marist Red Foxes under 63.5	79.3%	75.1%	53.9%	1.39×	1.33
Monmouth Hawks over 60.5	76.6%	75.1%	69.5%	1.08×	1.33
Monmouth Hawks under 74.5	77.5%	75.1%	70.7%	1.06×	1.33
Marist Red Foxes under 61.5	72.5%	70.7%	47.9%	1.48×	1.41
Monmouth Hawks under 72.5	70.7%	70.7%	65.7%	1.08×	1.41
Marist Red Foxes over 51.5	70.1%	70.7%	81.0%	0.87×	1.41
Monmouth Hawks over 62.5	69.7%	66.4%	64.3%	1.03×	1.51
Marist Red Foxes under 59.5	64.7%	61.2%	41.2%	1.49×	1.63
Monmouth Hawks under 70.5	63.0%	61.2%	60.3%	1.01×	1.63
Monmouth Hawks over 64.5	61.9%	61.2%	58.4%	1.05×	1.63
Marist Red Foxes over 53.5	61.7%	61.2%	76.3%	0.80×	1.63
Marist Red Foxes under 57.5	56.1%	57.1%	34.9%	1.64×	1.75
Monmouth Hawks over 66.5	53.6%	52.3%	51.8%	1.01×	1.91
Monmouth Hawks under 68.5	54.8%	52.3%	54.4%	0.96×	1.91
Marist Red Foxes over 55.5	52.8%	52.3%	70.8%	0.74×	1.91
Marist Red Foxes under 56.5	51.7%	52.3%	32.0%	1.63×	1.91
Monmouth Hawks under 67.5	50.6%	52.3%	51.3%	1.02×	1.91
Monmouth Hawks over 67.5	49.4%	47.7%	48.7%	0.98×	2.09
Marist Red Foxes under 55.5	47.2%	47.7%	29.2%	1.63×	2.09
Marist Red Foxes over 56.5	48.3%	47.7%	68.0%	0.70×	2.09
Monmouth Hawks under 66.5	46.4%	47.7%	48.2%	0.99×	2.09
Monmouth Hawks over 68.5	45.2%	47.7%	45.6%	1.05×	2.09
Marist Red Foxes over 57.5	43.9%	42.9%	65.1%	0.66×	2.33
Monmouth Hawks under 64.5	38.1%	38.8%	41.6%	0.93×	2.58
Marist Red Foxes under 53.5	38.3%	38.8%	23.7%	1.64×	2.58
Monmouth Hawks over 70.5	37.0%	38.8%	39.7%	0.98×	2.58
Marist Red Foxes over 59.5	35.3%	38.8%	58.8%	0.66×	2.58
Monmouth Hawks under 62.5	30.3%	33.6%	35.7%	0.94×	2.98
Monmouth Hawks over 72.5	29.3%	29.3%	34.3%	0.85×	3.42
Marist Red Foxes under 51.5	29.9%	29.3%	19.0%	1.54×	3.42
Marist Red Foxes over 61.5	27.5%	29.3%	52.1%	0.56×	3.42
Monmouth Hawks under 60.5	23.4%	24.9%	30.5%	0.81×	4.02
Monmouth Hawks over 74.5	22.5%	24.9%	29.3%	0.85×	4.02
Marist Red Foxes under 49.5	22.2%	24.9%	14.9%	1.67×	4.02
Marist Red Foxes over 63.5	20.7%	24.9%	46.1%	0.54×	4.02
Monmouth Hawks under 57.5	14.8%	16.1%	22.8%	0.70×	6.21
Monmouth Hawks over 77.5	14.2%	16.1%	22.6%	0.71×	6.21
Marist Red Foxes under 46.5	12.6%	16.1%	10.3%	1.56×	6.21
Marist Red Foxes over 66.5	12.7%	16.1%	37.3%	0.43×	6.21

Total points 30

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 144.5 points	92.2%	88.8%	78.1%	1.14×	1.13
Over 104.5 points	91.6%	88.8%	92.9%	0.96×	1.13
Under 139.5 points	86.1%	85.0%	69.9%	1.22×	1.18
Over 109.5 points	84.1%	80.6%	87.6%	0.92×	1.24
Under 134.5 points	77.2%	75.6%	60.2%	1.26×	1.32
Over 114.5 points	73.7%	70.8%	80.4%	0.88×	1.41
Under 131.5 points	70.7%	70.8%	53.9%	1.31×	1.41
Over 117.5 points	66.3%	65.9%	75.3%	0.88×	1.52
Under 129.5 points	65.9%	65.9%	49.5%	1.33×	1.52
Over 119.5 points	61.0%	61.5%	71.6%	0.86×	1.63
Under 127.5 points	60.8%	61.5%	44.9%	1.37×	1.63
Over 121.5 points	55.5%	56.5%	67.7%	0.83×	1.77
Under 125.5 points	55.4%	56.5%	40.5%	1.39×	1.77
Under 124.5 points	52.6%	52.3%	38.5%	1.36×	1.91
Over 123.5 points	50.0%	52.3%	63.3%	0.83×	1.91
Under 123.5 points	50.0%	47.7%	36.7%	1.30×	2.10
Over 124.5 points	47.4%	47.7%	61.5%	0.78×	2.10
Under 121.5 points	44.5%	43.5%	32.3%	1.35×	2.30
Over 125.5 points	44.6%	43.5%	59.5%	0.73×	2.30
Over 127.5 points	39.2%	38.5%	55.1%	0.70×	2.60
Under 119.5 points	39.0%	38.5%	28.4%	1.36×	2.60
Under 117.5 points	33.7%	34.1%	24.7%	1.38×	2.93
Over 129.5 points	34.1%	34.1%	50.5%	0.68×	2.93
Over 131.5 points	29.3%	29.2%	46.1%	0.63×	3.43
Under 114.5 points	26.3%	29.2%	19.6%	1.49×	3.43
Over 134.5 points	22.8%	24.4%	39.8%	0.61×	4.10
Under 109.5 points	15.9%	19.4%	12.4%	1.57×	5.15
Over 139.5 points	13.9%	15.0%	30.1%	0.50×	6.68
Under 104.5 points	8.4%	11.2%	7.1%	1.56×	8.96
Over 144.5 points	7.8%	11.2%	21.9%	0.51×	8.96

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monmouth Hawks to win both halves	48.3%	45.8%	36.0%	1.27×	2.18
Marist Red Foxes to win both halves	4.3%	3.0%	20.4%	0.15×	33.57

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Monmouth Hawks by 6-10	17.9%	16.8%	12.9%	1.30×	5.97
Monmouth Hawks by 11-15	18.1%	16.8%	10.8%	1.55×	5.97
Monmouth Hawks by 16-20	15.0%	16.8%	8.0%	2.08×	5.97
Monmouth Hawks by 1-5	14.4%	12.3%	10.2%	1.21×	8.11
Monmouth Hawks by 21-25	10.0%	12.3%	5.4%	2.29×	8.11
Marist Red Foxes by 1-5	8.6%	7.5%	10.2%	0.73×	13.40
Monmouth Hawks by 26+	8.8%	7.5%	12.6%	0.59×	13.40
Marist Red Foxes by 6-10	4.4%	2.0%	10.3%	0.20×	49.29
Marist Red Foxes by 11-15	1.9%	2.0%	7.6%	0.27×	49.31
Marist Red Foxes by 16-20	0.7%	2.0%	4.8%	0.43×	49.32
Marist Red Foxes by 26+	0.0%	2.0%	4.6%	0.44×	49.33
Marist Red Foxes by 21-25	0.2%	2.0%	2.7%	0.76×	49.33

Monmouth Hawks v Marist Red Foxes — Prediction, Odds & Stats

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