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NC State Wolfpack v Coastal Carolina Chanticleers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 22 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
NC State Wolfpack win
96.8%
Draw
0.0%
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers win
3.2%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 84.25–63.92 84-64 0% 49% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NC State Wolfpack to score 100+ 5.5% 8.8% 1.8% 4.88× 11.39
NC State Wolfpack to score 110+ 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.28
NC State Wolfpack to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.35
NC State Wolfpack to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.72× 283.35
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NC State Wolfpack to win H1 85.4% 88.6% 56.4% 1.57× 1.13
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers to win H1 12.1% 10.8% 39.9% 0.27× 9.27
H1 tied 2.5% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.87
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 83.5 89.4% 87.7% 96.8% 0.91× 1.14
H1 over 59.5 86.7% 87.7% 57.8% 1.52× 1.14
H1 under 79.5 80.4% 82.5% 93.9% 0.88× 1.21
H1 over 63.5 76.3% 77.4% 42.9% 1.80× 1.29
H1 under 76.5 71.3% 73.5% 90.2% 0.81× 1.36
H1 over 66.5 66.3% 67.4% 32.9% 2.05× 1.48
H1 under 74.5 64.3% 62.7% 87.2% 0.72× 1.59
H1 over 68.5 58.8% 58.2% 26.5% 2.20× 1.72
H1 under 72.5 56.7% 58.2% 83.6% 0.70× 1.72
H1 under 71.5 52.9% 52.6% 81.4% 0.65× 1.90
H1 over 70.5 51.1% 52.6% 21.1% 2.50× 1.90
H1 under 70.5 48.9% 47.4% 78.9% 0.60× 2.11
H1 over 71.5 47.1% 47.4% 18.6% 2.55× 2.11
H1 over 72.5 43.3% 41.8% 16.4% 2.55× 2.39
H1 under 68.5 41.2% 41.8% 73.5% 0.57× 2.39
H1 over 74.5 35.7% 37.3% 12.8% 2.90× 2.68
H1 under 66.5 33.7% 32.6% 67.1% 0.49× 3.07
H1 over 76.5 28.7% 26.5% 9.8% 2.71× 3.77
H1 under 63.5 23.7% 22.6% 57.1% 0.40× 4.43
H1 over 79.5 19.6% 17.5% 6.1% 2.85× 5.72
H1 under 59.5 13.3% 12.3% 42.2% 0.29× 8.14
H1 over 83.5 10.6% 12.3% 3.2% 3.89× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NC State Wolfpack to win H2 86.9% 84.1% 56.0% 1.50× 1.19
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers to win H2 10.9% 14.7% 40.6% 0.36× 6.79
H2 tied 2.2% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.37
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 65.5 87.1% 85.2% 58.8% 1.45× 1.17
H2 under 89.5 86.9% 85.2% 94.8% 0.90× 1.17
H2 over 69.5 77.4% 75.8% 45.2% 1.68× 1.32
H2 under 85.5 77.3% 75.8% 91.2% 0.83× 1.32
H2 over 72.5 68.1% 66.4% 36.0% 1.85× 1.51
H2 under 82.5 68.0% 66.4% 87.4% 0.76× 1.51
H2 over 74.5 61.1% 61.6% 30.1% 2.05× 1.62
H2 under 80.5 61.1% 61.6% 84.0% 0.73× 1.62
H2 over 76.5 53.7% 52.4% 24.4% 2.15× 1.91
H2 under 78.5 53.7% 52.4% 80.1% 0.65× 1.91
H2 over 77.5 50.0% 52.4% 22.1% 2.37× 1.91
H2 under 77.5 50.0% 47.6% 77.9% 0.61× 2.10
H2 under 76.5 46.3% 47.6% 75.6% 0.63× 2.10
H2 over 78.5 46.3% 47.6% 19.9% 2.40× 2.10
H2 under 74.5 38.9% 38.4% 69.9% 0.55× 2.61
H2 over 80.5 38.9% 38.4% 16.0% 2.40× 2.61
H2 under 72.5 31.9% 33.6% 64.1% 0.53× 2.97
H2 over 82.5 32.0% 33.6% 12.6% 2.67× 2.97
H2 under 69.5 22.6% 24.2% 54.8% 0.44× 4.13
H2 over 85.5 22.7% 24.2% 8.8% 2.76× 4.13
H2 under 65.5 12.9% 14.8% 41.2% 0.36× 6.76
H2 over 89.5 13.1% 14.8% 5.2% 2.84× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NC State Wolfpack leading at half time 85.4% 89.3% 56.4% 1.58× 1.12
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers leading at half time 12.1% 10.3% 39.9% 0.26× 9.72
Level at half time 2.5% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.42
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NC State Wolfpack +8.5 99.5% 97.4% 76.5% 1.27× 1.03
NC State Wolfpack +9.5 99.6% 97.4% 78.7% 1.24× 1.03
NC State Wolfpack +10.5 99.7% 97.4% 80.4% 1.21× 1.03
NC State Wolfpack +12.5 99.8% 97.4% 83.8% 1.16× 1.03
NC State Wolfpack +14.5 99.9% 97.4% 86.7% 1.12× 1.03
NC State Wolfpack +16.5 99.9% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
NC State Wolfpack +18.5 100.0% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
NC State Wolfpack +20.5 100.0% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
NC State Wolfpack −1.5 95.9% 97.4% 58.7% 1.66× 1.03
NC State Wolfpack +1.5 97.4% 97.4% 61.2% 1.59× 1.03
NC State Wolfpack +2.5 97.9% 97.4% 63.3% 1.54× 1.03
NC State Wolfpack +3.5 98.3% 97.4% 65.7% 1.48× 1.03
NC State Wolfpack +4.5 98.6% 97.4% 67.8% 1.44× 1.03
NC State Wolfpack +5.5 98.9% 97.4% 70.1% 1.39× 1.03
NC State Wolfpack +6.5 99.1% 97.4% 72.3% 1.35× 1.03
NC State Wolfpack +7.5 99.3% 97.4% 74.5% 1.31× 1.03
NC State Wolfpack −2.5 95.0% 91.1% 56.7% 1.61× 1.10
NC State Wolfpack −3.5 93.9% 91.1% 54.2% 1.68× 1.10
NC State Wolfpack −4.5 92.6% 91.1% 52.2% 1.75× 1.10
NC State Wolfpack −5.5 91.2% 91.1% 49.7% 1.83× 1.10
NC State Wolfpack −6.5 89.6% 85.9% 47.6% 1.80× 1.16
NC State Wolfpack −7.5 87.9% 85.9% 44.8% 1.92× 1.16
NC State Wolfpack −8.5 85.9% 85.9% 42.0% 2.05× 1.16
NC State Wolfpack −9.5 83.7% 81.1% 39.3% 2.06× 1.23
NC State Wolfpack −10.5 81.4% 81.1% 36.8% 2.20× 1.23
NC State Wolfpack −12.5 76.1% 76.5% 32.1% 2.38× 1.31
NC State Wolfpack −14.5 70.1% 71.6% 27.9% 2.57× 1.40
NC State Wolfpack −16.5 63.6% 61.9% 24.3% 2.55× 1.62
NC State Wolfpack −18.5 56.7% 57.1% 20.7% 2.75× 1.75
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers +20.5 50.5% 52.4% 82.0% 0.64× 1.91
NC State Wolfpack −20.5 49.5% 47.6% 18.0% 2.65× 2.10
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers +18.5 43.3% 42.9% 79.3% 0.54× 2.33
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers +16.5 36.4% 38.1% 75.7% 0.50× 2.63
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers +14.5 29.9% 28.4% 72.1% 0.39× 3.53
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers +12.5 23.9% 23.5% 67.9% 0.35× 4.25
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers +10.5 18.6% 18.9% 63.2% 0.30× 5.29
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers +9.5 16.3% 18.9% 60.7% 0.31× 5.30
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers +8.5 14.1% 14.1% 58.0% 0.24× 7.09
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers +7.5 12.1% 14.1% 55.2% 0.26× 7.09
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers +6.5 10.4% 14.1% 52.4% 0.27× 7.09
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers +5.5 8.8% 8.9% 50.3% 0.18× 11.25
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers +3.5 6.1% 8.9% 45.8% 0.19× 11.25
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers +4.5 7.4% 8.9% 47.8% 0.19× 11.25
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers +2.5 5.0% 8.9% 43.3% 0.21× 11.25
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers +1.5 4.1% 2.6% 41.3% 0.06× 38.72
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers −1.5 2.6% 2.6% 38.8% 0.07× 38.73
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers −2.5 2.1% 2.6% 36.7% 0.07× 38.73
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers −3.5 1.7% 2.6% 34.3% 0.08× 38.73
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers −4.5 1.4% 2.6% 32.2% 0.08× 38.73
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers −5.5 1.1% 2.6% 29.9% 0.09× 38.74
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers −6.5 0.9% 2.6% 27.7% 0.09× 38.74
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers −7.5 0.7% 2.6% 25.5% 0.10× 38.74
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers −8.5 0.5% 2.6% 23.5% 0.11× 38.74
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers −9.5 0.4% 2.6% 21.3% 0.12× 38.74
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers −10.5 0.3% 2.6% 19.6% 0.13× 38.74
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers −12.5 0.2% 2.6% 16.2% 0.16× 38.74
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers −14.5 0.1% 2.6% 13.3% 0.19× 38.74
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers −16.5 0.1% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.74
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers −18.5 0.0% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.74
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers −20.5 0.0% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 74.6% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 25.4% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 highest scoring 33.6% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q4 highest scoring 35.4% 28.6% 31.2% 0.92× 3.50
Q2 highest scoring 14.7% 18.3% 17.9% 1.03× 5.45
Q1 highest scoring 16.3% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NC State Wolfpack at HT / NC State Wolfpack at FT 84.3% 84.6% 48.3% 1.75× 1.18
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at HT / NC State Wolfpack at FT 10.2% 12.2% 9.8% 1.25× 8.18
Level at HT / NC State Wolfpack at FT 2.3% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.75
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at HT / Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at FT 1.9% 2.1% 30.1% 0.07× 47.76
NC State Wolfpack at HT / Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at FT 1.1% 2.1% 8.2% 0.26× 47.77
Level at HT / Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at FT 0.2% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.79
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NC State Wolfpack to win 96.8% 97.4% 59.9% 1.63× 1.03
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers to win 3.2% 2.6% 40.1% 0.06× 39.05
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NC State Wolfpack even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Total points odd 50.4% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
NC State Wolfpack odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 49.6% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 97.9% 97.0% 95.6% 1.02× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 2.1% 3.0% 4.4% 0.67× 33.52
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NC State Wolfpack to win Q1 75.1% 79.7% 54.7% 1.46× 1.25
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers to win Q1 20.3% 22.0% 40.4% 0.54× 4.55
Q1 tied 4.6% 4.2% 4.9% 0.85× 23.95
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 over 27.5 88.4% 87.4% 67.7% 1.29× 1.14
Q1 under 43.5 87.9% 87.4% 95.0% 0.92× 1.14
Q1 over 30.5 77.3% 76.9% 51.2% 1.50× 1.30
Q1 under 40.5 76.6% 76.9% 89.9% 0.86× 1.30
Q1 over 32.5 67.5% 67.6% 40.9% 1.65× 1.48
Q1 under 38.5 66.7% 67.6% 84.8% 0.80× 1.48
Q1 over 34.5 56.3% 58.6% 31.5% 1.86× 1.71
Q1 under 36.5 55.4% 58.6% 77.4% 0.76× 1.71
Q1 over 35.5 50.4% 52.7% 26.8% 1.96× 1.90
Q1 under 35.5 49.6% 47.3% 73.2% 0.65× 2.11
Q1 over 36.5 44.6% 41.4% 22.6% 1.83× 2.42
Q1 under 34.5 43.7% 41.4% 68.5% 0.60× 2.42
Q1 over 38.5 33.3% 32.4% 15.2% 2.13× 3.08
Q1 under 32.5 32.5% 32.4% 59.1% 0.55× 3.08
Q1 over 40.5 23.4% 23.1% 10.1% 2.28× 4.33
Q1 under 30.5 22.7% 23.1% 48.8% 0.47× 4.33
Q1 over 43.5 12.1% 12.6% 5.0% 2.53× 7.95
Q1 under 27.5 11.6% 12.6% 32.3% 0.39× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NC State Wolfpack to win Q2 74.4% 75.3% 52.9% 1.42× 1.33
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers to win Q2 21.0% 20.0% 41.5% 0.48× 5.01
Q2 tied 4.6% 4.4% 5.7% 0.77× 22.89
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 43.5 88.9% 87.3% 95.7% 0.91× 1.15
Q2 over 27.5 87.2% 87.3% 66.7% 1.31× 1.15
Q2 under 40.5 78.2% 76.8% 90.8% 0.85× 1.30
Q2 over 30.5 75.6% 76.8% 49.9% 1.54× 1.30
Q2 under 38.5 68.6% 67.4% 85.6% 0.79× 1.49
Q2 over 32.5 65.5% 67.4% 39.2% 1.72× 1.49
Q2 under 36.5 57.6% 58.2% 78.7% 0.74× 1.72
Q2 over 34.5 54.1% 52.7% 29.9% 1.76× 1.90
Q2 under 35.5 51.7% 52.7% 74.6% 0.71× 1.90
Q2 over 35.5 48.3% 47.3% 25.4% 1.86× 2.11
Q2 under 34.5 45.9% 47.3% 70.1% 0.68× 2.11
Q2 over 36.5 42.4% 41.8% 21.3% 1.97× 2.39
Q2 under 32.5 34.5% 32.6% 60.8% 0.54× 3.06
Q2 over 38.5 31.4% 32.6% 14.4% 2.26× 3.06
Q2 under 30.5 24.4% 23.2% 50.1% 0.46× 4.31
Q2 over 40.5 21.8% 23.2% 9.2% 2.53× 4.31
Q2 under 27.5 12.8% 12.7% 33.3% 0.38× 7.89
Q2 over 43.5 11.1% 12.7% 4.3% 2.94× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NC State Wolfpack to win Q3 76.5% 81.4% 53.3% 1.53× 1.23
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers to win Q3 19.1% 15.2% 41.8% 0.36× 6.58
Q3 tied 4.3% 4.3% 4.9% 0.86× 23.44
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 over 30.5 88.1% 87.2% 66.8% 1.31× 1.15
Q3 under 46.5 86.8% 87.2% 95.3% 0.92× 1.15
Q3 over 33.5 77.3% 77.3% 50.9% 1.52× 1.29
Q3 under 43.5 75.4% 77.3% 90.2% 0.86× 1.29
Q3 over 35.5 67.8% 67.8% 40.3% 1.68× 1.48
Q3 under 41.5 65.5% 67.8% 85.1% 0.80× 1.48
Q3 over 37.5 56.9% 58.4% 30.3% 1.93× 1.71
Q3 under 39.5 54.5% 52.3% 77.9% 0.67× 1.91
Q3 over 38.5 51.3% 52.3% 26.1% 2.00× 1.91
Q3 under 38.5 48.7% 47.7% 73.9% 0.65× 2.10
Q3 over 39.5 45.5% 47.7% 22.1% 2.16× 2.10
Q3 under 37.5 43.1% 41.6% 69.7% 0.60× 2.40
Q3 over 41.5 34.5% 32.2% 14.9% 2.16× 3.10
Q3 under 35.5 32.2% 32.2% 59.7% 0.54× 3.10
Q3 over 43.5 24.6% 22.7% 9.8% 2.31× 4.40
Q3 under 33.5 22.7% 22.7% 49.1% 0.46× 4.40
Q3 over 46.5 13.2% 12.8% 4.7% 2.73× 7.83
Q3 under 30.5 11.9% 12.8% 33.2% 0.39× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NC State Wolfpack to win Q4 76.1% 71.4% 52.8% 1.35× 1.40
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers to win Q4 19.6% 22.7% 41.5% 0.55× 4.40
Q4 tied 4.3% 5.2% 5.7% 0.91× 19.29
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 47.5 88.1% 85.6% 95.3% 0.90× 1.17
Q4 over 31.5 83.9% 82.0% 61.1% 1.34× 1.22
Q4 under 44.5 78.0% 76.9% 90.6% 0.85× 1.30
Q4 over 34.5 72.0% 71.5% 45.6% 1.57× 1.40
Q4 under 42.5 69.2% 67.4% 86.2% 0.78× 1.48
Q4 over 36.5 62.2% 61.4% 35.7% 1.72× 1.63
Q4 under 40.5 59.1% 58.4% 80.6% 0.72× 1.71
Q4 under 39.5 53.8% 52.5% 77.0% 0.68× 1.91
Q4 over 38.5 51.6% 52.5% 26.9% 1.95× 1.91
Q4 under 38.5 48.4% 47.5% 73.1% 0.65× 2.11
Q4 over 39.5 46.2% 47.5% 23.0% 2.06× 2.11
Q4 over 40.5 40.9% 41.6% 19.4% 2.14× 2.40
Q4 under 36.5 37.8% 38.6% 64.3% 0.60× 2.59
Q4 over 42.5 30.8% 32.6% 13.8% 2.36× 3.07
Q4 under 34.5 28.0% 28.5% 54.4% 0.52× 3.51
Q4 over 44.5 22.0% 23.1% 9.4% 2.45× 4.33
Q4 under 31.5 16.1% 18.0% 38.9% 0.46× 5.56
Q4 over 47.5 11.9% 14.4% 4.7% 3.05× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers under 74.5 87.5% 83.9% 82.3% 1.02× 1.19
NC State Wolfpack over 74.5 85.0% 83.9% 29.3% 2.87× 1.19
NC State Wolfpack under 94.5 85.7% 83.9% 96.7% 0.87× 1.19
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers over 54.5 84.7% 80.7% 73.5% 1.10× 1.24
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers under 71.5 79.5% 75.1% 76.1% 0.99× 1.33
NC State Wolfpack over 77.5 76.5% 75.1% 22.6% 3.33× 1.33
NC State Wolfpack under 91.5 77.4% 75.1% 95.1% 0.79× 1.33
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers over 57.5 75.7% 75.1% 65.1% 1.15× 1.33
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers under 69.5 72.8% 70.7% 71.2% 0.99× 1.41
NC State Wolfpack under 89.5 70.6% 70.7% 93.9% 0.75× 1.41
NC State Wolfpack over 79.5 69.5% 66.4% 18.7% 3.55× 1.51
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers over 59.5 68.4% 66.4% 58.8% 1.13× 1.51
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers under 67.5 65.2% 66.4% 65.6% 1.01× 1.51
NC State Wolfpack under 87.5 63.0% 61.2% 92.3% 0.66× 1.63
NC State Wolfpack over 81.5 61.8% 61.2% 15.4% 3.97× 1.63
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers over 61.5 60.3% 61.2% 52.1% 1.17× 1.63
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers under 65.5 56.9% 57.1% 59.8% 0.96× 1.75
NC State Wolfpack under 85.5 54.8% 52.3% 90.2% 0.58× 1.91
NC State Wolfpack over 83.5 53.6% 52.3% 12.3% 4.24× 1.91
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers over 63.5 51.7% 52.3% 46.1% 1.13× 1.91
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers under 64.5 52.6% 52.3% 56.9% 0.92× 1.91
NC State Wolfpack under 84.5 50.6% 52.3% 88.9% 0.59× 1.91
NC State Wolfpack over 84.5 49.4% 47.7% 11.1% 4.31× 2.09
NC State Wolfpack under 83.5 46.4% 47.7% 87.7% 0.54× 2.09
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers under 63.5 48.3% 47.7% 53.9% 0.89× 2.09
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers over 64.5 47.4% 47.7% 43.2% 1.11× 2.09
NC State Wolfpack over 85.5 45.2% 47.7% 9.8% 4.88× 2.09
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers over 65.5 43.1% 42.9% 40.2% 1.07× 2.33
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers under 61.5 39.7% 38.8% 47.9% 0.81× 2.58
NC State Wolfpack under 81.5 38.2% 38.8% 84.6% 0.46× 2.58
NC State Wolfpack over 87.5 37.0% 38.8% 7.7% 5.06× 2.58
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers over 67.5 34.8% 33.6% 34.4% 0.98× 2.98
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers under 59.5 31.6% 33.6% 41.2% 0.82× 2.98
NC State Wolfpack under 79.5 30.5% 33.6% 81.3% 0.41× 2.98
NC State Wolfpack over 89.5 29.4% 29.3% 6.1% 4.77× 3.42
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers over 69.5 27.2% 29.3% 28.8% 1.02× 3.42
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers under 57.5 24.3% 24.9% 34.9% 0.71× 4.02
NC State Wolfpack under 77.5 23.5% 24.9% 77.4% 0.32× 4.02
NC State Wolfpack over 91.5 22.6% 24.9% 4.9% 5.09× 4.02
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers over 71.5 20.5% 24.9% 23.9% 1.04× 4.02
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers under 54.5 15.3% 19.3% 26.5% 0.73× 5.18
NC State Wolfpack under 74.5 15.0% 16.1% 70.7% 0.23× 6.21
NC State Wolfpack over 94.5 14.3% 16.1% 3.3% 4.87× 6.21
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers over 74.5 12.5% 16.1% 17.7% 0.91× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 128.5 points 90.7% 88.8% 52.8% 1.68× 1.13
Under 168.5 points 91.1% 88.8% 97.2% 0.91× 1.13
Under 163.5 points 84.4% 80.6% 95.5% 0.84× 1.24
Over 133.5 points 83.8% 80.6% 42.0% 1.92× 1.24
Under 158.5 points 75.2% 75.6% 92.7% 0.82× 1.32
Over 138.5 points 74.2% 70.8% 32.1% 2.21× 1.41
Under 155.5 points 68.5% 65.9% 90.7% 0.73× 1.52
Over 141.5 points 67.3% 65.9% 26.6% 2.48× 1.52
Under 153.5 points 63.7% 61.5% 89.0% 0.69× 1.63
Over 143.5 points 62.4% 61.5% 23.3% 2.64× 1.63
Under 151.5 points 58.6% 56.5% 87.3% 0.65× 1.77
Over 145.5 points 57.2% 56.5% 20.5% 2.76× 1.77
Under 149.5 points 53.3% 52.3% 84.9% 0.62× 1.91
Over 147.5 points 52.0% 52.3% 17.7% 2.95× 1.91
Under 148.5 points 50.7% 52.3% 83.7% 0.63× 1.91
Over 148.5 points 49.3% 47.7% 16.3% 2.92× 2.10
Under 147.5 points 48.0% 47.7% 82.3% 0.58× 2.10
Over 149.5 points 46.7% 47.7% 15.1% 3.17× 2.10
Under 145.5 points 42.8% 43.5% 79.5% 0.55× 2.30
Over 151.5 points 41.4% 43.5% 12.8% 3.41× 2.30
Under 143.5 points 37.6% 38.5% 76.7% 0.50× 2.60
Over 153.5 points 36.3% 38.5% 11.0% 3.51× 2.60
Under 141.5 points 32.7% 34.1% 73.4% 0.46× 2.93
Over 155.5 points 31.5% 34.1% 9.3% 3.67× 2.93
Under 138.5 points 25.8% 29.2% 67.9% 0.43× 3.43
Over 158.5 points 24.8% 24.4% 7.3% 3.34× 4.10
Under 133.5 points 16.2% 19.4% 58.0% 0.33× 5.15
Over 163.5 points 15.6% 19.4% 4.5% 4.27× 5.15
Under 128.5 points 9.3% 11.2% 47.2% 0.24× 8.96
Over 168.5 points 9.0% 11.2% 2.8% 3.95× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NC State Wolfpack to win both halves 73.3% 72.1% 36.0% 2.00× 1.39
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers to win both halves 0.7% 3.0% 20.4% 0.15× 33.81
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NC State Wolfpack by 26+ 32.3% 37.7% 12.6% 2.98× 2.66
NC State Wolfpack by 16-20 17.4% 16.8% 8.0% 2.08× 5.97
NC State Wolfpack by 21-25 17.3% 16.8% 5.4% 3.11× 5.97
NC State Wolfpack by 11-15 14.4% 12.3% 10.8% 1.14× 8.11
NC State Wolfpack by 6-10 9.9% 7.5% 12.9% 0.58× 13.40
NC State Wolfpack by 1-5 5.5% 7.5% 10.2% 0.73× 13.40
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers by 1-5 2.1% 2.0% 10.2% 0.20× 49.31
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers by 6-10 0.8% 2.0% 10.3% 0.20× 49.32
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers by 11-15 0.2% 2.0% 7.6% 0.27× 49.33
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers by 16-20 0.1% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.33
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers by 21-25 0.0% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.33
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers by 26+ 0.0% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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