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NC State Wolfpack v Georgetown Hoyas — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 19 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
NC State Wolfpack win
95.2%
Draw
0.0%
Georgetown Hoyas win
4.8%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 76.43–58.06 76-58 0% 51% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Georgetown Hoyas to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.71× 283.36
Georgetown Hoyas to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Georgetown Hoyas to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Georgetown Hoyas to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
NC State Wolfpack to score 100+ 0.8% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.20
NC State Wolfpack to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.35
NC State Wolfpack to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
NC State Wolfpack to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NC State Wolfpack to win H1 82.6% 83.6% 56.4% 1.48× 1.20
Georgetown Hoyas to win H1 14.6% 10.9% 39.9% 0.27× 9.21
H1 tied 2.8% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.87
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 52.5 88.5% 87.7% 79.6% 1.10× 1.14
H1 under 76.5 88.3% 87.7% 90.2% 0.97× 1.14
H1 over 56.5 78.7% 77.4% 68.2% 1.14× 1.29
H1 under 72.5 78.7% 77.4% 83.6% 0.93× 1.29
H1 under 69.5 69.2% 67.4% 76.2% 0.89× 1.48
H1 over 59.5 69.0% 67.4% 57.8% 1.17× 1.48
H1 over 61.5 61.6% 62.7% 50.2% 1.25× 1.59
H1 under 67.5 61.9% 62.7% 70.4% 0.89× 1.59
H1 over 63.5 53.8% 52.6% 42.9% 1.23× 1.90
H1 under 65.5 54.1% 52.6% 63.9% 0.82× 1.90
H1 under 64.5 50.2% 52.6% 60.7% 0.87× 1.90
H1 over 64.5 49.8% 47.4% 39.3% 1.21× 2.11
H1 under 63.5 46.2% 47.4% 57.1% 0.83× 2.11
H1 over 65.5 45.9% 47.4% 36.1% 1.31× 2.11
H1 under 61.5 38.4% 37.3% 49.8% 0.75× 2.68
H1 over 67.5 38.1% 37.3% 29.6% 1.26× 2.68
H1 under 59.5 31.0% 32.6% 42.2% 0.77× 3.07
H1 over 69.5 30.8% 32.6% 23.8% 1.37× 3.07
H1 under 56.5 21.3% 22.6% 31.8% 0.71× 4.43
H1 over 72.5 21.3% 22.6% 16.4% 1.38× 4.43
H1 under 52.5 11.5% 12.3% 20.4% 0.60× 8.14
H1 over 76.5 11.7% 12.3% 9.8% 1.26× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NC State Wolfpack to win H2 84.1% 79.6% 56.0% 1.42× 1.26
Georgetown Hoyas to win H2 13.4% 14.8% 40.6% 0.36× 6.76
H2 tied 2.5% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.37
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 58.5 87.7% 85.2% 79.6% 1.07× 1.17
H2 under 82.5 87.0% 85.2% 87.4% 0.97× 1.17
H2 over 62.5 78.0% 75.8% 68.3% 1.11× 1.32
H2 under 78.5 77.3% 75.8% 80.1% 0.95× 1.32
H2 over 65.5 68.6% 66.4% 58.8% 1.13× 1.51
H2 under 75.5 67.9% 66.4% 73.0% 0.91× 1.51
H2 over 67.5 61.5% 61.6% 52.1% 1.18× 1.62
H2 under 73.5 60.9% 61.6% 67.1% 0.92× 1.62
H2 over 69.5 54.1% 52.4% 45.2% 1.16× 1.91
H2 under 71.5 53.5% 52.4% 61.1% 0.86× 1.91
H2 over 70.5 50.3% 52.4% 42.2% 1.24× 1.91
H2 under 70.5 49.7% 47.6% 57.8% 0.82× 2.10
H2 under 69.5 45.9% 47.6% 54.8% 0.87× 2.10
H2 over 71.5 46.5% 47.6% 38.9% 1.23× 2.10
H2 over 73.5 39.1% 38.4% 32.9% 1.17× 2.61
H2 under 67.5 38.5% 38.4% 47.9% 0.80× 2.61
H2 over 75.5 32.1% 33.6% 27.0% 1.25× 2.97
H2 under 65.5 31.4% 33.6% 41.2% 0.82× 2.97
H2 over 78.5 22.7% 24.2% 19.9% 1.22× 4.13
H2 under 62.5 22.0% 24.2% 31.7% 0.76× 4.13
H2 over 82.5 13.0% 14.8% 12.6% 1.17× 6.76
H2 under 58.5 12.3% 14.8% 20.4% 0.73× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NC State Wolfpack leading at half time 82.6% 83.3% 56.4% 1.48× 1.20
Georgetown Hoyas leading at half time 14.6% 10.4% 39.9% 0.26× 9.63
Level at half time 2.8% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.42
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NC State Wolfpack +10.5 99.5% 97.4% 80.4% 1.21× 1.03
NC State Wolfpack +12.5 99.7% 97.4% 83.8% 1.16× 1.03
NC State Wolfpack +14.5 99.8% 97.4% 86.7% 1.12× 1.03
NC State Wolfpack +16.5 99.9% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
NC State Wolfpack +18.5 99.9% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
NC State Wolfpack +20.5 100.0% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
NC State Wolfpack +1.5 96.0% 97.4% 61.2% 1.59× 1.03
NC State Wolfpack +2.5 96.7% 97.4% 63.3% 1.54× 1.03
NC State Wolfpack +3.5 97.3% 97.4% 65.7% 1.48× 1.03
NC State Wolfpack +4.5 97.8% 97.4% 67.8% 1.44× 1.03
NC State Wolfpack +5.5 98.3% 97.4% 70.1% 1.39× 1.03
NC State Wolfpack +6.5 98.6% 97.4% 72.3% 1.35× 1.03
NC State Wolfpack +7.5 98.9% 97.4% 74.5% 1.31× 1.03
NC State Wolfpack +8.5 99.1% 97.4% 76.5% 1.27× 1.03
NC State Wolfpack +9.5 99.3% 97.4% 78.7% 1.24× 1.03
NC State Wolfpack −1.5 94.1% 91.1% 58.7% 1.55× 1.10
NC State Wolfpack −2.5 92.8% 91.1% 56.7% 1.61× 1.10
NC State Wolfpack −3.5 91.3% 91.1% 54.2% 1.68× 1.10
NC State Wolfpack −4.5 89.7% 85.9% 52.2% 1.65× 1.16
NC State Wolfpack −5.5 87.9% 85.9% 49.7% 1.73× 1.16
NC State Wolfpack −6.5 85.9% 85.9% 47.6% 1.80× 1.16
NC State Wolfpack −7.5 83.7% 81.1% 44.8% 1.81× 1.23
NC State Wolfpack −8.5 81.3% 81.1% 42.0% 1.93× 1.23
NC State Wolfpack −9.5 78.7% 76.5% 39.3% 1.95× 1.31
NC State Wolfpack −10.5 76.0% 76.5% 36.8% 2.08× 1.31
NC State Wolfpack −12.5 69.9% 66.7% 32.1% 2.08× 1.50
NC State Wolfpack −14.5 63.2% 61.9% 27.9% 2.22× 1.62
Georgetown Hoyas +20.5 58.3% 57.1% 82.0% 0.70× 1.75
NC State Wolfpack −16.5 56.2% 57.1% 24.3% 2.35× 1.75
Georgetown Hoyas +18.5 51.1% 52.4% 79.3% 0.66× 1.91
NC State Wolfpack −18.5 48.9% 47.6% 20.7% 2.30× 2.10
Georgetown Hoyas +16.5 43.8% 42.9% 75.7% 0.57× 2.33
NC State Wolfpack −20.5 41.7% 42.9% 18.0% 2.39× 2.33
Georgetown Hoyas +14.5 36.8% 38.1% 72.1% 0.53× 2.63
Georgetown Hoyas +12.5 30.1% 33.3% 67.9% 0.49× 3.01
Georgetown Hoyas +10.5 24.0% 23.5% 63.2% 0.37× 4.25
Georgetown Hoyas +9.5 21.3% 23.5% 60.7% 0.39× 4.25
Georgetown Hoyas +8.5 18.7% 18.9% 58.0% 0.33× 5.29
Georgetown Hoyas +7.5 16.3% 18.9% 55.2% 0.34× 5.30
Georgetown Hoyas +6.5 14.1% 14.1% 52.4% 0.27× 7.09
Georgetown Hoyas +5.5 12.1% 14.1% 50.3% 0.28× 7.09
Georgetown Hoyas +4.5 10.3% 14.1% 47.8% 0.29× 7.09
Georgetown Hoyas +3.5 8.7% 8.9% 45.8% 0.19× 11.25
Georgetown Hoyas +1.5 5.9% 8.9% 41.3% 0.22× 11.25
Georgetown Hoyas +2.5 7.2% 8.9% 43.3% 0.21× 11.25
Georgetown Hoyas −1.5 4.0% 2.6% 38.8% 0.07× 38.72
Georgetown Hoyas −2.5 3.3% 2.6% 36.7% 0.07× 38.73
Georgetown Hoyas −3.5 2.7% 2.6% 34.3% 0.08× 38.73
Georgetown Hoyas −4.5 2.2% 2.6% 32.2% 0.08× 38.73
Georgetown Hoyas −5.5 1.7% 2.6% 29.9% 0.09× 38.73
Georgetown Hoyas −6.5 1.4% 2.6% 27.7% 0.09× 38.73
Georgetown Hoyas −7.5 1.1% 2.6% 25.5% 0.10× 38.74
Georgetown Hoyas −8.5 0.9% 2.6% 23.5% 0.11× 38.74
Georgetown Hoyas −9.5 0.7% 2.6% 21.3% 0.12× 38.74
Georgetown Hoyas −10.5 0.5% 2.6% 19.6% 0.13× 38.74
Georgetown Hoyas −12.5 0.3% 2.6% 16.2% 0.16× 38.74
Georgetown Hoyas −14.5 0.2% 2.6% 13.3% 0.19× 38.74
Georgetown Hoyas −16.5 0.1% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.74
Georgetown Hoyas −18.5 0.1% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.74
Georgetown Hoyas −20.5 0.0% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 72.6% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 27.4% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.7% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.9% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.0% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 15.5% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NC State Wolfpack at HT / NC State Wolfpack at FT 81.0% 84.5% 48.3% 1.75× 1.18
Georgetown Hoyas at HT / NC State Wolfpack at FT 11.7% 12.2% 9.8% 1.25× 8.18
Georgetown Hoyas at HT / Georgetown Hoyas at FT 2.9% 2.1% 30.1% 0.07× 47.74
NC State Wolfpack at HT / Georgetown Hoyas at FT 1.7% 2.1% 8.2% 0.26× 47.76
Level at HT / NC State Wolfpack at FT 2.5% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.75
Level at HT / Georgetown Hoyas at FT 0.3% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.79
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NC State Wolfpack to win 95.2% 97.4% 59.9% 1.63× 1.03
Georgetown Hoyas to win 4.8% 2.6% 40.1% 0.06× 38.61
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Georgetown Hoyas even 50.2% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Total points odd 50.5% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
NC State Wolfpack even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Georgetown Hoyas odd 49.9% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 49.5% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
NC State Wolfpack odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 97.4% 97.0% 95.6% 1.02× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 2.6% 3.0% 4.4% 0.67× 33.48
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NC State Wolfpack to win Q1 72.5% 73.8% 54.7% 1.35× 1.36
Georgetown Hoyas to win Q1 22.6% 22.1% 40.4% 0.55× 4.53
Q1 tied 4.9% 4.2% 4.9% 0.85× 23.93
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 40.5 88.5% 87.4% 89.9% 0.97× 1.14
Q1 over 24.5 88.1% 87.4% 81.8% 1.07× 1.14
Q1 under 37.5 77.5% 76.9% 81.6% 0.94× 1.30
Q1 over 27.5 76.8% 76.9% 67.7% 1.14× 1.30
Q1 under 35.5 67.7% 67.6% 73.2% 0.92× 1.48
Q1 over 29.5 66.7% 67.6% 56.9% 1.19× 1.48
Q1 under 33.5 56.4% 58.6% 64.0% 0.92× 1.71
Q1 over 31.5 55.4% 58.6% 46.0% 1.27× 1.71
Q1 under 32.5 50.5% 52.7% 59.1% 0.89× 1.90
Q1 over 32.5 49.5% 47.3% 40.9% 1.16× 2.11
Q1 under 31.5 44.6% 41.4% 54.0% 0.77× 2.42
Q1 over 33.5 43.6% 41.4% 36.0% 1.15× 2.42
Q1 under 29.5 33.3% 32.4% 43.1% 0.75× 3.08
Q1 over 35.5 32.3% 32.4% 26.8% 1.21× 3.08
Q1 under 27.5 23.2% 23.1% 32.3% 0.71× 4.33
Q1 over 37.5 22.5% 23.1% 18.4% 1.26× 4.33
Q1 under 24.5 11.9% 12.6% 18.2% 0.69× 7.95
Q1 over 40.5 11.5% 12.6% 10.1% 1.24× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NC State Wolfpack to win Q2 71.9% 75.2% 52.9% 1.42× 1.33
Georgetown Hoyas to win Q2 23.3% 20.1% 41.5% 0.48× 4.99
Q2 tied 4.9% 4.4% 5.7% 0.77× 22.88
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 40.5 89.4% 87.3% 90.8% 0.96× 1.15
Q2 over 24.5 87.0% 87.3% 80.7% 1.08× 1.15
Q2 under 37.5 78.9% 76.8% 82.3% 0.93× 1.30
Q2 over 27.5 75.2% 76.8% 66.7% 1.15× 1.30
Q2 under 35.5 69.4% 67.4% 74.6% 0.90× 1.48
Q2 over 29.5 64.9% 60.7% 55.8% 1.09× 1.65
Q2 under 33.5 58.4% 58.2% 65.6% 0.89× 1.72
Q2 over 31.5 53.4% 52.7% 44.3% 1.19× 1.90
Q2 under 32.5 52.5% 52.7% 60.8% 0.87× 1.90
Q2 over 32.5 47.5% 47.3% 39.2% 1.21× 2.11
Q2 under 31.5 46.6% 47.3% 55.7% 0.85× 2.11
Q2 over 33.5 41.6% 41.8% 34.4% 1.22× 2.39
Q2 under 29.5 35.1% 39.3% 44.2% 0.89× 2.55
Q2 over 35.5 30.6% 32.6% 25.4% 1.29× 3.06
Q2 under 27.5 24.8% 23.2% 33.3% 0.70× 4.31
Q2 over 37.5 21.1% 23.2% 17.7% 1.31× 4.31
Q2 under 24.5 13.0% 12.7% 19.3% 0.66× 7.89
Q2 over 40.5 10.6% 12.7% 9.2% 1.38× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NC State Wolfpack to win Q3 73.8% 73.2% 53.3% 1.37× 1.37
Georgetown Hoyas to win Q3 21.5% 22.4% 41.8% 0.54× 4.47
Q3 tied 4.6% 4.3% 4.9% 0.86× 23.43
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 43.5 88.2% 87.2% 90.2% 0.97× 1.15
Q3 over 27.5 87.0% 87.2% 80.0% 1.09× 1.15
Q3 under 40.5 77.5% 77.3% 81.9% 0.94× 1.29
Q3 over 30.5 75.5% 77.3% 66.8% 1.16× 1.29
Q3 under 38.5 67.9% 67.8% 73.9% 0.92× 1.48
Q3 over 32.5 65.6% 67.8% 56.1% 1.21× 1.48
Q3 under 36.5 57.0% 58.4% 64.6% 0.90× 1.71
Q3 over 34.5 54.5% 52.3% 45.4% 1.15× 1.91
Q3 under 35.5 51.3% 52.3% 59.7% 0.88× 1.91
Q3 over 35.5 48.7% 47.7% 40.3% 1.18× 2.10
Q3 under 34.5 45.5% 47.7% 54.6% 0.87× 2.10
Q3 over 36.5 43.0% 41.6% 35.4% 1.17× 2.40
Q3 under 32.5 34.4% 32.2% 43.9% 0.73× 3.10
Q3 over 38.5 32.1% 32.2% 26.1% 1.23× 3.10
Q3 under 30.5 24.5% 22.7% 33.2% 0.69× 4.40
Q3 over 40.5 22.5% 22.7% 18.1% 1.25× 4.40
Q3 under 27.5 13.0% 12.8% 20.0% 0.64× 7.83
Q3 over 43.5 11.8% 12.8% 9.8% 1.30× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NC State Wolfpack to win Q4 73.4% 66.3% 52.8% 1.26× 1.51
Georgetown Hoyas to win Q4 22.0% 29.0% 41.5% 0.70× 3.45
Q4 tied 4.6% 5.2% 5.7% 0.91× 19.29
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 43.5 86.7% 85.6% 88.6% 0.97× 1.17
Q4 over 27.5 85.9% 85.6% 78.9% 1.09× 1.17
Q4 under 40.5 75.9% 76.9% 80.6% 0.95× 1.30
Q4 over 30.5 74.6% 71.5% 66.3% 1.08× 1.40
Q4 under 38.5 66.7% 67.4% 73.1% 0.92× 1.48
Q4 over 32.5 65.1% 67.4% 55.4% 1.22× 1.48
Q4 under 36.5 56.3% 58.4% 64.3% 0.91× 1.71
Q4 over 34.5 54.6% 52.5% 45.6% 1.15× 1.91
Q4 under 35.5 50.9% 52.5% 59.4% 0.88× 1.91
Q4 over 35.5 49.1% 47.5% 40.6% 1.17× 2.11
Q4 under 34.5 45.4% 47.5% 54.4% 0.87× 2.11
Q4 over 36.5 43.7% 41.6% 35.7% 1.17× 2.40
Q4 under 32.5 34.9% 32.6% 44.6% 0.73× 3.07
Q4 over 38.5 33.3% 32.6% 26.9% 1.21× 3.07
Q4 under 30.5 25.4% 28.5% 33.7% 0.84× 3.51
Q4 over 40.5 24.1% 23.1% 19.4% 1.19× 4.33
Q4 under 27.5 14.1% 14.4% 21.1% 0.68× 6.95
Q4 over 43.5 13.3% 14.4% 11.4% 1.26× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Georgetown Hoyas over 48.5 86.7% 83.9% 86.7% 0.97× 1.19
Georgetown Hoyas under 68.5 86.9% 83.9% 68.6% 1.22× 1.19
NC State Wolfpack over 66.5 85.9% 83.9% 51.8% 1.62× 1.19
NC State Wolfpack under 86.5 85.1% 83.9% 91.2% 0.92× 1.19
Georgetown Hoyas under 65.5 78.7% 75.1% 59.8% 1.26× 1.33
NC State Wolfpack over 69.5 77.6% 75.1% 42.6% 1.76× 1.33
NC State Wolfpack under 83.5 76.5% 75.1% 87.7% 0.86× 1.33
Georgetown Hoyas over 51.5 77.6% 75.1% 81.0% 0.93× 1.33
Georgetown Hoyas under 63.5 71.8% 70.7% 53.9% 1.31× 1.41
NC State Wolfpack over 71.5 70.8% 70.7% 37.0% 1.91× 1.41
Georgetown Hoyas over 53.5 70.2% 70.7% 76.3% 0.93× 1.41
NC State Wolfpack under 81.5 69.5% 66.4% 84.6% 0.79× 1.51
Georgetown Hoyas under 61.5 64.0% 61.2% 47.9% 1.28× 1.63
NC State Wolfpack over 73.5 63.1% 61.2% 31.5% 1.94× 1.63
NC State Wolfpack under 79.5 61.8% 61.2% 81.3% 0.75× 1.63
Georgetown Hoyas over 55.5 62.0% 61.2% 70.8% 0.86× 1.63
Georgetown Hoyas under 59.5 55.5% 57.1% 41.2% 1.39× 1.75
NC State Wolfpack over 75.5 54.9% 52.3% 26.8% 1.95× 1.91
NC State Wolfpack under 77.5 53.5% 52.3% 77.4% 0.68× 1.91
Georgetown Hoyas over 57.5 53.3% 52.3% 65.1% 0.80× 1.91
Georgetown Hoyas under 58.5 51.1% 52.3% 37.9% 1.38× 1.91
NC State Wolfpack over 76.5 50.7% 52.3% 24.6% 2.13× 1.91
NC State Wolfpack under 76.5 49.3% 47.7% 75.4% 0.63× 2.09
NC State Wolfpack over 77.5 46.5% 47.7% 22.6% 2.11× 2.09
Georgetown Hoyas under 57.5 46.7% 47.7% 34.9% 1.37× 2.09
Georgetown Hoyas over 58.5 48.9% 47.7% 62.1% 0.77× 2.09
NC State Wolfpack under 75.5 45.1% 47.7% 73.2% 0.65× 2.09
Georgetown Hoyas over 59.5 44.5% 42.9% 58.8% 0.73× 2.33
NC State Wolfpack over 79.5 38.2% 38.8% 18.7% 2.07× 2.58
Georgetown Hoyas under 55.5 38.0% 38.8% 29.2% 1.33× 2.58
NC State Wolfpack under 73.5 36.9% 38.8% 68.5% 0.57× 2.58
Georgetown Hoyas over 61.5 36.0% 38.8% 52.1% 0.74× 2.58
NC State Wolfpack over 81.5 30.5% 33.6% 15.4% 2.18× 2.98
NC State Wolfpack under 71.5 29.2% 29.3% 63.0% 0.46× 3.42
Georgetown Hoyas under 53.5 29.8% 29.3% 23.7% 1.23× 3.42
Georgetown Hoyas over 63.5 28.2% 29.3% 46.1% 0.64× 3.42
NC State Wolfpack under 69.5 22.4% 24.9% 57.4% 0.43× 4.02
NC State Wolfpack over 83.5 23.5% 24.9% 12.3% 2.02× 4.02
Georgetown Hoyas under 51.5 22.4% 24.9% 19.0% 1.31× 4.02
Georgetown Hoyas over 65.5 21.3% 24.9% 40.2% 0.62× 4.02
NC State Wolfpack under 66.5 14.1% 16.1% 48.2% 0.33× 6.21
NC State Wolfpack over 86.5 14.9% 16.1% 8.8% 1.83× 6.21
Georgetown Hoyas under 48.5 13.3% 16.1% 13.3% 1.21× 6.21
Georgetown Hoyas over 68.5 13.1% 16.1% 31.4% 0.51× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 115.5 points 91.3% 88.8% 78.8% 1.13× 1.13
Under 155.5 points 91.6% 88.8% 90.7% 0.98× 1.13
Under 150.5 points 85.2% 85.0% 86.1% 0.99× 1.18
Over 120.5 points 84.1% 80.6% 69.8% 1.15× 1.24
Under 145.5 points 76.1% 75.6% 79.5% 0.95× 1.32
Over 125.5 points 74.1% 70.8% 59.5% 1.19× 1.41
Under 142.5 points 69.5% 65.9% 75.1% 0.88× 1.52
Over 128.5 points 67.0% 65.9% 52.8% 1.25× 1.52
Under 140.5 points 64.6% 61.5% 71.8% 0.86× 1.63
Over 130.5 points 61.9% 61.5% 48.3% 1.27× 1.63
Under 138.5 points 59.5% 56.5% 67.9% 0.83× 1.77
Over 132.5 points 56.6% 56.5% 44.0% 1.28× 1.77
Under 136.5 points 54.2% 52.3% 64.2% 0.81× 1.91
Under 135.5 points 51.5% 52.3% 62.4% 0.84× 1.91
Over 134.5 points 51.2% 52.3% 39.8% 1.31× 1.91
Under 134.5 points 48.8% 47.7% 60.2% 0.79× 2.10
Over 135.5 points 48.5% 47.7% 37.6% 1.27× 2.10
Over 136.5 points 45.8% 47.7% 35.8% 1.33× 2.10
Under 132.5 points 43.4% 43.5% 56.0% 0.78× 2.30
Over 138.5 points 40.5% 43.5% 32.1% 1.36× 2.30
Under 130.5 points 38.1% 38.5% 51.7% 0.75× 2.60
Over 140.5 points 35.4% 38.5% 28.2% 1.36× 2.60
Under 128.5 points 33.0% 34.1% 47.2% 0.72× 2.93
Over 142.5 points 30.5% 34.1% 24.9% 1.37× 2.93
Under 125.5 points 25.9% 29.2% 40.5% 0.72× 3.43
Over 145.5 points 23.9% 24.4% 20.5% 1.19× 4.10
Under 120.5 points 15.9% 19.4% 30.2% 0.64× 5.15
Over 150.5 points 14.8% 15.0% 13.9% 1.07× 6.68
Under 115.5 points 8.7% 11.2% 21.2% 0.53× 8.96
Over 155.5 points 8.4% 11.2% 9.3% 1.20× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NC State Wolfpack to win both halves 68.3% 66.9% 36.0% 1.86× 1.50
Georgetown Hoyas to win both halves 1.1% 3.0% 20.4% 0.15× 33.78
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
NC State Wolfpack by 26+ 25.3% 30.5% 12.6% 2.42× 3.27
NC State Wolfpack by 16-20 18.0% 16.8% 8.0% 2.08× 5.97
NC State Wolfpack by 11-15 16.2% 16.8% 10.8% 1.55× 5.97
NC State Wolfpack by 21-25 16.5% 16.8% 5.4% 3.11× 5.97
NC State Wolfpack by 6-10 12.0% 12.3% 12.9% 0.95× 8.11
NC State Wolfpack by 1-5 7.3% 7.5% 10.2% 0.73× 13.40
Georgetown Hoyas by 1-5 3.1% 2.0% 10.2% 0.20× 49.30
Georgetown Hoyas by 6-10 1.2% 2.0% 10.3% 0.20× 49.32
Georgetown Hoyas by 11-15 0.4% 2.0% 7.6% 0.27× 49.32
Georgetown Hoyas by 16-20 0.1% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.33
Georgetown Hoyas by 21-25 0.0% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.33
Georgetown Hoyas by 26+ 0.0% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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