NC State Wolfpack v Kentucky Wildcats — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 8 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.NC State Wolfpack win
39.6%
Draw
0.0%
Kentucky Wildcats win
60.4%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 69.36–72.24 | 69-72 0% | 50% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC State Wolfpack to score 100+ | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.20× | 283.34 |
| NC State Wolfpack to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.64× | 283.36 |
| NC State Wolfpack to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.91× | 283.36 |
| NC State Wolfpack to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.36 |
| Kentucky Wildcats to score 100+ | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.72× | 283.32 |
| Kentucky Wildcats to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.36 |
| Kentucky Wildcats to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.36 |
| Kentucky Wildcats to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.36 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky Wildcats to win H1 | 54.2% | 51.9% | 39.9% | 1.30× | 1.93 |
| NC State Wolfpack to win H1 | 41.4% | 42.7% | 56.4% | 0.76× | 2.34 |
| H1 tied | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.86 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 over 55.5 | 88.3% | 87.7% | 71.0% | 1.24× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 79.5 | 87.8% | 87.7% | 93.9% | 0.93× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 59.5 | 78.7% | 77.4% | 57.8% | 1.34× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 75.5 | 78.1% | 77.4% | 88.8% | 0.87× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 62.5 | 69.2% | 67.4% | 46.3% | 1.46× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 72.5 | 68.5% | 67.4% | 83.6% | 0.81× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 64.5 | 62.0% | 62.7% | 39.3% | 1.60× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 70.5 | 61.2% | 62.7% | 78.9% | 0.79× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 66.5 | 54.3% | 52.6% | 32.9% | 1.60× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 68.5 | 53.5% | 52.6% | 73.5% | 0.72× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 67.5 | 50.4% | 52.6% | 29.6% | 1.78× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 67.5 | 49.6% | 47.4% | 70.4% | 0.67× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 68.5 | 46.5% | 47.4% | 26.5% | 1.79× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 66.5 | 45.7% | 47.4% | 67.1% | 0.71× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 64.5 | 38.1% | 37.3% | 60.7% | 0.61× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 70.5 | 38.8% | 37.3% | 21.1% | 1.77× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 72.5 | 31.5% | 32.6% | 16.4% | 1.99× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 62.5 | 30.8% | 32.6% | 53.7% | 0.61× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 59.5 | 21.3% | 22.6% | 42.2% | 0.54× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 75.5 | 21.9% | 22.6% | 11.2% | 2.02× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 79.5 | 12.2% | 12.3% | 6.1% | 2.01× | 8.14 |
| H1 under 55.5 | 11.7% | 12.3% | 29.0% | 0.42× | 8.14 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky Wildcats to win H2 | 54.6% | 51.2% | 40.6% | 1.26× | 1.95 |
| NC State Wolfpack to win H2 | 41.1% | 43.5% | 56.0% | 0.78× | 2.30 |
| H2 tied | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.35 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 86.5 | 87.8% | 85.2% | 92.2% | 0.92× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 62.5 | 86.0% | 85.2% | 68.3% | 1.25× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 82.5 | 78.6% | 75.8% | 87.4% | 0.87× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 66.5 | 76.0% | 75.8% | 55.4% | 1.37× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 79.5 | 69.6% | 66.4% | 82.0% | 0.81× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 69.5 | 66.4% | 66.4% | 45.2% | 1.47× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 77.5 | 62.7% | 61.6% | 77.9% | 0.79× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 71.5 | 59.4% | 57.3% | 38.9% | 1.48× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 75.5 | 55.5% | 57.3% | 73.0% | 0.79× | 1.74 |
| H2 over 73.5 | 52.0% | 52.4% | 32.9% | 1.59× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 74.5 | 51.8% | 52.4% | 69.9% | 0.75× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 73.5 | 48.0% | 47.6% | 67.1% | 0.71× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 74.5 | 48.2% | 47.6% | 30.1% | 1.58× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 75.5 | 44.5% | 42.7% | 27.0% | 1.58× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 71.5 | 40.6% | 42.7% | 61.1% | 0.70× | 2.35 |
| H2 over 77.5 | 37.3% | 38.4% | 22.1% | 1.74× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 69.5 | 33.6% | 33.6% | 54.8% | 0.61× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 79.5 | 30.5% | 33.6% | 18.0% | 1.87× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 66.5 | 24.0% | 24.2% | 44.6% | 0.54× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 82.5 | 21.4% | 24.2% | 12.6% | 1.92× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 62.5 | 14.0% | 14.8% | 31.7% | 0.47× | 6.76 |
| H2 over 86.5 | 12.2% | 14.8% | 7.8% | 1.90× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky Wildcats leading at half time | 54.2% | 51.9% | 39.9% | 1.30× | 1.93 |
| NC State Wolfpack leading at half time | 41.4% | 42.8% | 56.4% | 0.76× | 2.34 |
| Level at half time | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.40 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky Wildcats +16.5 | 95.6% | 97.4% | 75.7% | 1.29× | 1.03 |
| Kentucky Wildcats +18.5 | 97.0% | 97.4% | 79.3% | 1.23× | 1.03 |
| Kentucky Wildcats +20.5 | 98.1% | 97.4% | 82.0% | 1.19× | 1.03 |
| Kentucky Wildcats +14.5 | 93.7% | 91.1% | 72.1% | 1.26× | 1.10 |
| NC State Wolfpack +20.5 | 94.0% | 91.1% | 92.7% | 0.98× | 1.10 |
| Kentucky Wildcats +12.5 | 91.1% | 91.1% | 67.9% | 1.34× | 1.10 |
| NC State Wolfpack +18.5 | 91.5% | 91.1% | 91.1% | 1.00× | 1.10 |
| Kentucky Wildcats +10.5 | 87.9% | 85.9% | 63.2% | 1.36× | 1.16 |
| NC State Wolfpack +16.5 | 88.4% | 85.9% | 89.1% | 0.96× | 1.16 |
| Kentucky Wildcats +9.5 | 86.0% | 85.9% | 60.7% | 1.42× | 1.16 |
| Kentucky Wildcats +8.5 | 83.9% | 81.1% | 58.0% | 1.40× | 1.23 |
| NC State Wolfpack +14.5 | 84.4% | 81.1% | 86.7% | 0.94× | 1.23 |
| Kentucky Wildcats +7.5 | 81.6% | 81.1% | 55.2% | 1.47× | 1.23 |
| Kentucky Wildcats +6.5 | 79.1% | 76.5% | 52.4% | 1.46× | 1.31 |
| NC State Wolfpack +12.5 | 79.7% | 76.5% | 83.8% | 0.91× | 1.31 |
| Kentucky Wildcats +5.5 | 76.4% | 76.5% | 50.3% | 1.52× | 1.31 |
| NC State Wolfpack +10.5 | 74.3% | 71.6% | 80.4% | 0.89× | 1.40 |
| Kentucky Wildcats +4.5 | 73.5% | 71.6% | 47.8% | 1.50× | 1.40 |
| NC State Wolfpack +9.5 | 71.2% | 71.6% | 78.7% | 0.91× | 1.40 |
| Kentucky Wildcats +3.5 | 70.4% | 71.6% | 45.8% | 1.56× | 1.40 |
| NC State Wolfpack +8.5 | 68.1% | 66.7% | 76.5% | 0.87× | 1.50 |
| Kentucky Wildcats +2.5 | 67.2% | 66.7% | 43.3% | 1.54× | 1.50 |
| Kentucky Wildcats +1.5 | 63.9% | 61.9% | 41.3% | 1.50× | 1.62 |
| NC State Wolfpack +7.5 | 64.8% | 61.9% | 74.5% | 0.83× | 1.62 |
| NC State Wolfpack +6.5 | 61.3% | 61.9% | 72.3% | 0.86× | 1.62 |
| NC State Wolfpack +5.5 | 57.8% | 57.1% | 70.1% | 0.81× | 1.75 |
| Kentucky Wildcats −1.5 | 56.8% | 57.1% | 38.8% | 1.47× | 1.75 |
| Kentucky Wildcats −2.5 | 53.1% | 52.4% | 36.7% | 1.43× | 1.91 |
| NC State Wolfpack +4.5 | 54.2% | 52.4% | 67.8% | 0.77× | 1.91 |
| NC State Wolfpack +3.5 | 50.5% | 52.4% | 65.7% | 0.80× | 1.91 |
| Kentucky Wildcats −3.5 | 49.5% | 47.6% | 34.3% | 1.39× | 2.10 |
| NC State Wolfpack +2.5 | 46.9% | 47.6% | 63.3% | 0.75× | 2.10 |
| Kentucky Wildcats −4.5 | 45.8% | 47.6% | 32.2% | 1.48× | 2.10 |
| NC State Wolfpack +1.5 | 43.2% | 42.9% | 61.2% | 0.70× | 2.33 |
| Kentucky Wildcats −5.5 | 42.2% | 42.9% | 29.9% | 1.44× | 2.33 |
| Kentucky Wildcats −6.5 | 38.7% | 38.1% | 27.7% | 1.37× | 2.63 |
| NC State Wolfpack −1.5 | 36.1% | 38.1% | 58.7% | 0.65× | 2.63 |
| Kentucky Wildcats −7.5 | 35.2% | 38.1% | 25.5% | 1.50× | 2.63 |
| NC State Wolfpack −2.5 | 32.8% | 33.3% | 56.7% | 0.59× | 3.01 |
| Kentucky Wildcats −8.5 | 31.9% | 33.3% | 23.5% | 1.41× | 3.01 |
| NC State Wolfpack −3.5 | 29.6% | 28.4% | 54.2% | 0.52× | 3.53 |
| Kentucky Wildcats −9.5 | 28.8% | 28.4% | 21.3% | 1.33× | 3.53 |
| NC State Wolfpack −4.5 | 26.5% | 28.4% | 52.2% | 0.54× | 3.53 |
| Kentucky Wildcats −10.5 | 25.7% | 28.4% | 19.6% | 1.45× | 3.53 |
| NC State Wolfpack −5.5 | 23.6% | 23.5% | 49.7% | 0.47× | 4.25 |
| NC State Wolfpack −6.5 | 20.9% | 23.5% | 47.6% | 0.49× | 4.25 |
| Kentucky Wildcats −12.5 | 20.3% | 23.5% | 16.2% | 1.45× | 4.25 |
| NC State Wolfpack −7.5 | 18.4% | 18.9% | 44.8% | 0.42× | 5.29 |
| NC State Wolfpack −8.5 | 16.1% | 18.9% | 42.0% | 0.45× | 5.30 |
| Kentucky Wildcats −14.5 | 15.6% | 18.9% | 13.3% | 1.42× | 5.30 |
| NC State Wolfpack −9.5 | 14.0% | 14.1% | 39.3% | 0.36× | 7.09 |
| NC State Wolfpack −10.5 | 12.1% | 14.1% | 36.8% | 0.38× | 7.09 |
| Kentucky Wildcats −16.5 | 11.6% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 1.30× | 7.09 |
| NC State Wolfpack −12.5 | 8.9% | 8.9% | 32.1% | 0.28× | 11.25 |
| Kentucky Wildcats −18.5 | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 1.00× | 11.25 |
| NC State Wolfpack −14.5 | 6.3% | 8.9% | 27.9% | 0.32× | 11.25 |
| Kentucky Wildcats −20.5 | 6.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 1.22× | 11.25 |
| NC State Wolfpack −16.5 | 4.4% | 2.6% | 24.3% | 0.11× | 38.72 |
| NC State Wolfpack −18.5 | 3.0% | 2.6% | 20.7% | 0.12× | 38.73 |
| NC State Wolfpack −20.5 | 1.9% | 2.6% | 18.0% | 0.14× | 38.73 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 73.7% | 67.1% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 26.3% | 32.9% | 33.3% | 0.99× | 3.04 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 highest scoring | 33.2% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q4 highest scoring | 35.0% | 28.6% | 31.2% | 0.92× | 3.50 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 16.7% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 15.1% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.02× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky Wildcats at HT / Kentucky Wildcats at FT | 43.1% | 41.0% | 30.1% | 1.36× | 2.44 |
| NC State Wolfpack at HT / NC State Wolfpack at FT | 26.7% | 29.6% | 48.3% | 0.61× | 3.38 |
| NC State Wolfpack at HT / Kentucky Wildcats at FT | 14.7% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 1.49× | 8.17 |
| Kentucky Wildcats at HT / NC State Wolfpack at FT | 11.0% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 1.25× | 8.18 |
| Level at HT / NC State Wolfpack at FT | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.76 |
| Level at HT / Kentucky Wildcats at FT | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.75 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky Wildcats to win | 60.4% | 60.6% | 40.1% | 1.51× | 1.65 |
| NC State Wolfpack to win | 39.6% | 39.4% | 59.9% | 0.66× | 2.54 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total points odd | 51.8% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| NC State Wolfpack even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Kentucky Wildcats even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| NC State Wolfpack odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Kentucky Wildcats odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 48.2% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 94.0% | 94.0% | 95.6% | 0.98× | 1.06 |
| Match to go to overtime | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.35× | 16.66 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky Wildcats to win Q1 | 51.3% | 52.6% | 40.4% | 1.30× | 1.90 |
| NC State Wolfpack to win Q1 | 42.6% | 42.9% | 54.7% | 0.78× | 2.33 |
| Q1 tied | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.11× | 18.31 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 under 42.5 | 89.5% | 87.4% | 93.6% | 0.93× | 1.14 |
| Q1 over 26.5 | 86.5% | 87.4% | 72.9% | 1.20× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 39.5 | 79.2% | 76.9% | 87.5% | 0.88× | 1.30 |
| Q1 over 29.5 | 74.5% | 72.7% | 56.9% | 1.28× | 1.38 |
| Q1 under 37.5 | 69.8% | 67.6% | 81.6% | 0.83× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 31.5 | 64.2% | 61.7% | 46.0% | 1.34× | 1.62 |
| Q1 under 35.5 | 58.9% | 58.6% | 73.2% | 0.80× | 1.71 |
| Q1 under 34.5 | 53.1% | 52.7% | 68.5% | 0.77× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 33.5 | 52.8% | 52.7% | 36.0% | 1.46× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 33.5 | 47.2% | 47.3% | 64.0% | 0.74× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 34.5 | 46.9% | 47.3% | 31.5% | 1.50× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 35.5 | 41.1% | 41.4% | 26.8% | 1.54× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 31.5 | 35.8% | 38.3% | 54.0% | 0.71× | 2.61 |
| Q1 over 37.5 | 30.2% | 32.4% | 18.4% | 1.76× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 29.5 | 25.5% | 27.3% | 43.1% | 0.63× | 3.66 |
| Q1 over 39.5 | 20.8% | 23.1% | 12.5% | 1.84× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 26.5 | 13.5% | 12.6% | 27.1% | 0.46× | 7.95 |
| Q1 over 42.5 | 10.5% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 1.97× | 7.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky Wildcats to win Q2 | 51.2% | 51.4% | 41.5% | 1.24× | 1.95 |
| NC State Wolfpack to win Q2 | 42.8% | 43.9% | 52.9% | 0.83× | 2.28 |
| Q2 tied | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 1.07× | 16.49 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 over 25.5 | 88.4% | 87.3% | 76.2% | 1.15× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 41.5 | 87.7% | 87.3% | 92.7% | 0.94× | 1.15 |
| Q2 over 28.5 | 77.5% | 76.8% | 61.2% | 1.26× | 1.30 |
| Q2 under 38.5 | 76.4% | 76.8% | 85.6% | 0.90× | 1.30 |
| Q2 over 30.5 | 67.7% | 67.4% | 49.9% | 1.35× | 1.49 |
| Q2 under 36.5 | 66.4% | 67.4% | 78.7% | 0.86× | 1.49 |
| Q2 over 32.5 | 56.6% | 58.2% | 39.2% | 1.48× | 1.72 |
| Q2 under 34.5 | 55.1% | 58.2% | 70.1% | 0.83× | 1.72 |
| Q2 over 33.5 | 50.7% | 52.7% | 34.4% | 1.53× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 33.5 | 49.3% | 47.3% | 65.6% | 0.72× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 34.5 | 44.9% | 41.8% | 29.9% | 1.40× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 32.5 | 43.4% | 41.8% | 60.8% | 0.69× | 2.39 |
| Q2 over 36.5 | 33.6% | 32.6% | 21.3% | 1.53× | 3.06 |
| Q2 under 30.5 | 32.3% | 32.6% | 50.1% | 0.65× | 3.06 |
| Q2 over 38.5 | 23.6% | 23.2% | 14.4% | 1.61× | 4.31 |
| Q2 under 28.5 | 22.5% | 23.2% | 38.8% | 0.60× | 4.31 |
| Q2 over 41.5 | 12.3% | 12.7% | 7.3% | 1.72× | 7.89 |
| Q2 under 25.5 | 11.6% | 12.7% | 23.8% | 0.53× | 7.89 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky Wildcats to win Q3 | 51.7% | 52.7% | 41.8% | 1.26× | 1.90 |
| NC State Wolfpack to win Q3 | 42.4% | 42.3% | 53.3% | 0.79× | 2.37 |
| Q3 tied | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 1.07× | 18.96 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 45.5 | 88.9% | 87.2% | 93.8% | 0.93× | 1.15 |
| Q3 over 29.5 | 85.8% | 87.2% | 71.8% | 1.21× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 42.5 | 78.5% | 77.3% | 87.8% | 0.88× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 32.5 | 74.0% | 71.8% | 56.1% | 1.28× | 1.39 |
| Q3 under 40.5 | 69.3% | 67.8% | 81.9% | 0.83× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 34.5 | 63.9% | 62.0% | 45.4% | 1.37× | 1.61 |
| Q3 under 38.5 | 58.6% | 58.4% | 73.9% | 0.79× | 1.71 |
| Q3 over 36.5 | 52.7% | 52.3% | 35.4% | 1.48× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 37.5 | 53.0% | 52.3% | 69.7% | 0.75× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 36.5 | 47.3% | 47.7% | 64.6% | 0.74× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 37.5 | 47.0% | 47.7% | 30.3% | 1.58× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 38.5 | 41.4% | 41.6% | 26.1% | 1.59× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 34.5 | 36.1% | 38.0% | 54.6% | 0.70× | 2.63 |
| Q3 over 40.5 | 30.7% | 32.2% | 18.1% | 1.78× | 3.11 |
| Q3 under 32.5 | 26.0% | 28.2% | 43.9% | 0.64× | 3.55 |
| Q3 over 42.5 | 21.5% | 22.7% | 12.2% | 1.87× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 29.5 | 14.2% | 12.8% | 28.2% | 0.45× | 7.83 |
| Q3 over 45.5 | 11.1% | 12.8% | 6.2% | 2.06× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky Wildcats to win Q4 | 51.6% | 51.4% | 41.5% | 1.24× | 1.95 |
| NC State Wolfpack to win Q4 | 42.6% | 43.1% | 52.8% | 0.82× | 2.32 |
| Q4 tied | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.02× | 17.25 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 45.5 | 87.3% | 85.6% | 92.4% | 0.93× | 1.17 |
| Q4 over 29.5 | 84.7% | 82.0% | 70.8% | 1.16× | 1.22 |
| Q4 under 42.5 | 76.9% | 76.9% | 86.2% | 0.89× | 1.30 |
| Q4 over 32.5 | 73.1% | 71.5% | 55.4% | 1.29× | 1.40 |
| Q4 under 40.5 | 68.0% | 67.4% | 80.6% | 0.84× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 34.5 | 63.5% | 61.4% | 45.6% | 1.35× | 1.63 |
| Q4 under 38.5 | 57.8% | 58.4% | 73.1% | 0.80× | 1.71 |
| Q4 over 36.5 | 53.0% | 52.5% | 35.7% | 1.47× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 37.5 | 52.4% | 52.5% | 68.8% | 0.76× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 37.5 | 47.6% | 47.5% | 31.2% | 1.52× | 2.11 |
| Q4 under 36.5 | 47.0% | 47.5% | 64.3% | 0.74× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 38.5 | 42.2% | 41.6% | 26.9% | 1.55× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 34.5 | 36.5% | 38.6% | 54.4% | 0.71× | 2.59 |
| Q4 over 40.5 | 32.0% | 32.6% | 19.4% | 1.68× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 32.5 | 26.9% | 28.5% | 44.6% | 0.64× | 3.51 |
| Q4 over 42.5 | 23.1% | 23.1% | 13.8% | 1.67× | 4.33 |
| Q4 under 29.5 | 15.3% | 18.0% | 29.2% | 0.62× | 5.56 |
| Q4 over 45.5 | 12.7% | 14.4% | 7.6% | 1.88× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky Wildcats under 82.5 | 86.3% | 83.9% | 93.0% | 0.90× | 1.19 |
| NC State Wolfpack under 79.5 | 85.5% | 83.9% | 81.3% | 1.03× | 1.19 |
| Kentucky Wildcats over 62.5 | 85.3% | 83.9% | 49.0% | 1.71× | 1.19 |
| NC State Wolfpack over 59.5 | 84.7% | 80.7% | 72.2% | 1.12× | 1.24 |
| Kentucky Wildcats under 79.5 | 77.9% | 75.1% | 89.7% | 0.84× | 1.33 |
| NC State Wolfpack over 62.5 | 76.1% | 75.1% | 64.3% | 1.17× | 1.33 |
| NC State Wolfpack under 76.5 | 77.3% | 75.1% | 75.4% | 1.00× | 1.33 |
| Kentucky Wildcats over 65.5 | 76.7% | 75.1% | 40.2% | 1.87× | 1.33 |
| NC State Wolfpack under 74.5 | 70.5% | 70.7% | 70.7% | 1.00× | 1.41 |
| Kentucky Wildcats under 77.5 | 71.1% | 70.7% | 87.2% | 0.81× | 1.41 |
| NC State Wolfpack over 64.5 | 69.2% | 66.4% | 58.4% | 1.14× | 1.51 |
| Kentucky Wildcats over 67.5 | 69.7% | 66.4% | 34.4% | 1.93× | 1.51 |
| NC State Wolfpack under 72.5 | 63.0% | 61.2% | 65.7% | 0.93× | 1.63 |
| Kentucky Wildcats under 75.5 | 63.3% | 61.2% | 84.1% | 0.73× | 1.63 |
| NC State Wolfpack over 66.5 | 61.5% | 61.2% | 51.8% | 1.18× | 1.63 |
| Kentucky Wildcats over 69.5 | 61.8% | 61.2% | 28.8% | 2.13× | 1.63 |
| Kentucky Wildcats under 73.5 | 55.0% | 57.1% | 80.2% | 0.71× | 1.75 |
| NC State Wolfpack under 70.5 | 54.9% | 52.3% | 60.3% | 0.87× | 1.91 |
| NC State Wolfpack over 68.5 | 53.3% | 52.3% | 45.6% | 1.15× | 1.91 |
| Kentucky Wildcats over 71.5 | 53.5% | 52.3% | 23.9% | 2.18× | 1.91 |
| NC State Wolfpack under 69.5 | 50.8% | 52.3% | 57.4% | 0.91× | 1.91 |
| Kentucky Wildcats under 72.5 | 50.8% | 52.3% | 78.2% | 0.67× | 1.91 |
| NC State Wolfpack over 69.5 | 49.2% | 47.7% | 42.6% | 1.12× | 2.09 |
| Kentucky Wildcats over 72.5 | 49.2% | 47.7% | 21.8% | 2.19× | 2.09 |
| NC State Wolfpack under 68.5 | 46.7% | 47.7% | 54.4% | 0.88× | 2.09 |
| Kentucky Wildcats under 71.5 | 46.5% | 47.7% | 76.1% | 0.63× | 2.09 |
| NC State Wolfpack over 70.5 | 45.1% | 47.7% | 39.7% | 1.20× | 2.09 |
| Kentucky Wildcats over 73.5 | 45.0% | 42.9% | 19.8% | 2.16× | 2.33 |
| NC State Wolfpack under 66.5 | 38.5% | 38.8% | 48.2% | 0.81× | 2.58 |
| Kentucky Wildcats under 69.5 | 38.2% | 38.8% | 71.2% | 0.54× | 2.58 |
| NC State Wolfpack over 72.5 | 37.0% | 38.8% | 34.3% | 1.13× | 2.58 |
| Kentucky Wildcats over 75.5 | 36.7% | 38.8% | 15.9% | 2.44× | 2.58 |
| NC State Wolfpack under 64.5 | 30.8% | 33.6% | 41.6% | 0.81× | 2.98 |
| Kentucky Wildcats under 67.5 | 30.3% | 33.6% | 65.6% | 0.51× | 2.98 |
| NC State Wolfpack over 74.5 | 29.5% | 29.3% | 29.3% | 1.00× | 3.42 |
| Kentucky Wildcats over 77.5 | 28.9% | 29.3% | 12.8% | 2.29× | 3.42 |
| NC State Wolfpack under 62.5 | 23.9% | 24.9% | 35.7% | 0.70× | 4.02 |
| NC State Wolfpack over 76.5 | 22.7% | 24.9% | 24.6% | 1.01× | 4.02 |
| Kentucky Wildcats under 65.5 | 23.3% | 24.9% | 59.8% | 0.42× | 4.02 |
| Kentucky Wildcats over 79.5 | 22.1% | 24.9% | 10.3% | 2.41× | 4.02 |
| NC State Wolfpack under 59.5 | 15.3% | 19.3% | 27.8% | 0.69× | 5.18 |
| NC State Wolfpack over 79.5 | 14.5% | 16.1% | 18.7% | 0.86× | 6.21 |
| Kentucky Wildcats under 62.5 | 14.7% | 16.1% | 51.0% | 0.32× | 6.21 |
| Kentucky Wildcats over 82.5 | 13.7% | 16.1% | 7.0% | 2.31× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 161.5 points | 90.6% | 88.8% | 94.4% | 0.94× | 1.13 |
| Over 121.5 points | 90.9% | 88.8% | 67.7% | 1.31× | 1.13 |
| Over 126.5 points | 84.3% | 80.6% | 57.4% | 1.40× | 1.24 |
| Under 156.5 points | 83.8% | 80.6% | 91.3% | 0.88× | 1.24 |
| Over 131.5 points | 74.9% | 70.8% | 46.1% | 1.54× | 1.41 |
| Under 151.5 points | 74.4% | 70.8% | 87.3% | 0.81× | 1.41 |
| Over 134.5 points | 68.2% | 65.9% | 39.8% | 1.65× | 1.52 |
| Under 148.5 points | 67.5% | 65.9% | 83.7% | 0.79× | 1.52 |
| Over 136.5 points | 63.3% | 61.5% | 35.8% | 1.72× | 1.63 |
| Under 146.5 points | 62.6% | 61.5% | 80.9% | 0.76× | 1.63 |
| Over 138.5 points | 58.2% | 56.5% | 32.1% | 1.76× | 1.77 |
| Under 144.5 points | 57.5% | 56.5% | 78.1% | 0.72× | 1.77 |
| Over 140.5 points | 53.0% | 52.3% | 28.2% | 1.85× | 1.91 |
| Under 142.5 points | 52.3% | 52.3% | 75.1% | 0.70× | 1.91 |
| Over 141.5 points | 50.3% | 52.3% | 26.6% | 1.97× | 1.91 |
| Under 141.5 points | 49.7% | 47.7% | 73.4% | 0.65× | 2.10 |
| Under 140.5 points | 47.0% | 47.7% | 71.8% | 0.66× | 2.10 |
| Over 142.5 points | 47.7% | 47.7% | 24.9% | 1.92× | 2.10 |
| Over 144.5 points | 42.5% | 43.5% | 21.9% | 1.99× | 2.30 |
| Under 138.5 points | 41.8% | 43.5% | 67.9% | 0.64× | 2.30 |
| Over 146.5 points | 37.4% | 38.5% | 19.1% | 2.02× | 2.60 |
| Under 136.5 points | 36.7% | 38.5% | 64.2% | 0.60× | 2.60 |
| Under 134.5 points | 31.8% | 34.1% | 60.2% | 0.57× | 2.93 |
| Over 148.5 points | 32.5% | 34.1% | 16.3% | 2.09× | 2.93 |
| Under 131.5 points | 25.1% | 29.2% | 53.9% | 0.54× | 3.43 |
| Over 151.5 points | 25.6% | 29.2% | 12.8% | 2.29× | 3.43 |
| Over 156.5 points | 16.2% | 19.4% | 8.7% | 2.24× | 5.15 |
| Under 126.5 points | 15.7% | 19.4% | 42.6% | 0.46× | 5.15 |
| Over 161.5 points | 9.4% | 11.2% | 5.6% | 2.00× | 8.96 |
| Under 121.5 points | 9.1% | 11.2% | 32.3% | 0.35× | 8.96 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky Wildcats to win both halves | 26.8% | 27.2% | 20.4% | 1.34× | 3.68 |
| NC State Wolfpack to win both halves | 14.4% | 14.1% | 36.0% | 0.39× | 7.11 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky Wildcats by 1-5 | 18.2% | 16.8% | 10.2% | 1.65× | 5.97 |
| Kentucky Wildcats by 6-10 | 16.5% | 16.8% | 10.3% | 1.63× | 5.97 |
| NC State Wolfpack by 1-5 | 15.9% | 16.8% | 10.2% | 1.64× | 5.97 |
| Kentucky Wildcats by 11-15 | 12.2% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 1.62× | 8.11 |
| NC State Wolfpack by 6-10 | 11.5% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 0.95× | 8.11 |
| Kentucky Wildcats by 16-20 | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.57× | 13.40 |
| NC State Wolfpack by 11-15 | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 0.69× | 13.40 |
| Kentucky Wildcats by 21-25 | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 0.76× | 49.29 |
| NC State Wolfpack by 16-20 | 3.3% | 2.0% | 8.0% | 0.25× | 49.30 |
| NC State Wolfpack by 21-25 | 1.3% | 2.0% | 5.4% | 0.38× | 49.32 |
| Kentucky Wildcats by 26+ | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 0.44× | 49.31 |
| NC State Wolfpack by 26+ | 0.6% | 2.0% | 12.6% | 0.16× | 49.32 |