NC State Wolfpack v Liberty Flames — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Wednesday 11 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 77.75–57.31 | 78-57 0% | 50% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC State Wolfpack to score 100+ | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.20× | 283.13 |
| NC State Wolfpack to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.64× | 283.35 |
| NC State Wolfpack to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.91× | 283.36 |
| NC State Wolfpack to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.36 |
| Liberty Flames to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.71× | 283.36 |
| Liberty Flames to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.36 |
| Liberty Flames to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.36 |
| Liberty Flames to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.36 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC State Wolfpack to win H1 | 85.2% | 88.6% | 56.4% | 1.57× | 1.13 |
| Liberty Flames to win H1 | 12.3% | 10.8% | 39.9% | 0.27× | 9.27 |
| H1 tied | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.87 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 77.5 | 89.6% | 87.7% | 91.6% | 0.96× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 53.5 | 87.2% | 87.7% | 76.8% | 1.14× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 73.5 | 80.7% | 82.5% | 85.6% | 0.96× | 1.21 |
| H1 over 57.5 | 76.7% | 77.4% | 64.8% | 1.19× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 70.5 | 71.5% | 73.5% | 78.9% | 0.93× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 60.5 | 66.6% | 67.4% | 53.9% | 1.25× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 68.5 | 64.4% | 62.7% | 73.5% | 0.85× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 62.5 | 59.0% | 58.2% | 46.3% | 1.26× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 66.5 | 56.8% | 58.2% | 67.1% | 0.87× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 65.5 | 52.9% | 52.6% | 63.9% | 0.82× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 64.5 | 51.1% | 52.6% | 39.3% | 1.34× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 64.5 | 48.9% | 47.4% | 60.7% | 0.78× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 65.5 | 47.1% | 47.4% | 36.1% | 1.31× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 66.5 | 43.2% | 41.8% | 32.9% | 1.27× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 62.5 | 41.0% | 41.8% | 53.7% | 0.78× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 68.5 | 35.6% | 37.3% | 26.5% | 1.41× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 60.5 | 33.4% | 32.6% | 46.1% | 0.71× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 70.5 | 28.5% | 26.5% | 21.1% | 1.26× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 57.5 | 23.3% | 22.6% | 35.2% | 0.64× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 73.5 | 19.3% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 1.21× | 5.72 |
| H1 under 53.5 | 12.8% | 12.3% | 23.2% | 0.53× | 8.14 |
| H1 over 77.5 | 10.4% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 1.47× | 8.14 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC State Wolfpack to win H2 | 86.7% | 84.1% | 56.0% | 1.50× | 1.19 |
| Liberty Flames to win H2 | 11.1% | 14.7% | 40.6% | 0.36× | 6.79 |
| H2 tied | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.37 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 83.5 | 88.3% | 85.2% | 88.9% | 0.96× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 59.5 | 86.4% | 85.2% | 77.0% | 1.11× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 79.5 | 79.2% | 75.8% | 82.0% | 0.92× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 63.5 | 76.2% | 75.8% | 65.3% | 1.16× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 76.5 | 70.1% | 72.2% | 75.6% | 0.95× | 1.39 |
| H2 over 66.5 | 66.4% | 66.4% | 55.4% | 1.20× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 74.5 | 63.3% | 61.6% | 69.9% | 0.88× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 68.5 | 59.2% | 57.3% | 48.7% | 1.18× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 72.5 | 55.9% | 57.3% | 64.1% | 0.90× | 1.74 |
| H2 over 70.5 | 51.7% | 52.4% | 42.2% | 1.24× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 71.5 | 52.1% | 52.4% | 61.1% | 0.86× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 70.5 | 48.3% | 47.6% | 57.8% | 0.82× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 71.5 | 47.9% | 47.6% | 38.9% | 1.23× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 72.5 | 44.1% | 42.7% | 36.0% | 1.19× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 68.5 | 40.8% | 42.7% | 51.3% | 0.83× | 2.35 |
| H2 over 74.5 | 36.7% | 38.4% | 30.1% | 1.28× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 66.5 | 33.6% | 33.6% | 44.6% | 0.75× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 76.5 | 29.9% | 27.8% | 24.4% | 1.14× | 3.59 |
| H2 under 63.5 | 23.8% | 24.2% | 34.7% | 0.70× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 79.5 | 20.8% | 24.2% | 18.0% | 1.35× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 59.5 | 13.6% | 14.8% | 23.0% | 0.64× | 6.76 |
| H2 over 83.5 | 11.7% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 1.33× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC State Wolfpack leading at half time | 85.2% | 89.3% | 56.4% | 1.58× | 1.12 |
| Liberty Flames leading at half time | 12.3% | 10.3% | 39.9% | 0.26× | 9.71 |
| Level at half time | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.42 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC State Wolfpack +8.5 | 99.5% | 97.4% | 76.5% | 1.27× | 1.03 |
| NC State Wolfpack +9.5 | 99.6% | 97.4% | 78.7% | 1.24× | 1.03 |
| NC State Wolfpack +10.5 | 99.7% | 97.4% | 80.4% | 1.21× | 1.03 |
| NC State Wolfpack +12.5 | 99.8% | 97.4% | 83.8% | 1.16× | 1.03 |
| NC State Wolfpack +14.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 86.7% | 1.12× | 1.03 |
| NC State Wolfpack +16.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 89.1% | 1.09× | 1.03 |
| NC State Wolfpack +18.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 91.1% | 1.07× | 1.03 |
| NC State Wolfpack +20.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 92.7% | 1.05× | 1.03 |
| NC State Wolfpack −1.5 | 95.9% | 97.4% | 58.7% | 1.66× | 1.03 |
| NC State Wolfpack +1.5 | 97.3% | 97.4% | 61.2% | 1.59× | 1.03 |
| NC State Wolfpack +2.5 | 97.9% | 97.4% | 63.3% | 1.54× | 1.03 |
| NC State Wolfpack +3.5 | 98.3% | 97.4% | 65.7% | 1.48× | 1.03 |
| NC State Wolfpack +4.5 | 98.6% | 97.4% | 67.8% | 1.44× | 1.03 |
| NC State Wolfpack +5.5 | 98.9% | 97.4% | 70.1% | 1.39× | 1.03 |
| NC State Wolfpack +6.5 | 99.1% | 97.4% | 72.3% | 1.35× | 1.03 |
| NC State Wolfpack +7.5 | 99.3% | 97.4% | 74.5% | 1.31× | 1.03 |
| NC State Wolfpack −2.5 | 95.0% | 91.1% | 56.7% | 1.61× | 1.10 |
| NC State Wolfpack −3.5 | 93.9% | 91.1% | 54.2% | 1.68× | 1.10 |
| NC State Wolfpack −4.5 | 92.6% | 91.1% | 52.2% | 1.75× | 1.10 |
| NC State Wolfpack −5.5 | 91.2% | 91.1% | 49.7% | 1.83× | 1.10 |
| NC State Wolfpack −6.5 | 89.5% | 85.9% | 47.6% | 1.80× | 1.16 |
| NC State Wolfpack −7.5 | 87.7% | 85.9% | 44.8% | 1.92× | 1.16 |
| NC State Wolfpack −8.5 | 85.8% | 85.9% | 42.0% | 2.05× | 1.16 |
| NC State Wolfpack −9.5 | 83.6% | 81.1% | 39.3% | 2.06× | 1.23 |
| NC State Wolfpack −10.5 | 81.2% | 81.1% | 36.8% | 2.20× | 1.23 |
| NC State Wolfpack −12.5 | 75.8% | 76.5% | 32.1% | 2.38× | 1.31 |
| NC State Wolfpack −14.5 | 69.8% | 66.7% | 27.9% | 2.39× | 1.50 |
| NC State Wolfpack −16.5 | 63.1% | 61.9% | 24.3% | 2.55× | 1.62 |
| NC State Wolfpack −18.5 | 56.1% | 57.1% | 20.7% | 2.75× | 1.75 |
| Liberty Flames +20.5 | 51.2% | 52.4% | 82.0% | 0.64× | 1.91 |
| NC State Wolfpack −20.5 | 48.8% | 47.6% | 18.0% | 2.65× | 2.10 |
| Liberty Flames +18.5 | 43.9% | 42.9% | 79.3% | 0.54× | 2.33 |
| Liberty Flames +16.5 | 36.9% | 38.1% | 75.7% | 0.50× | 2.63 |
| Liberty Flames +14.5 | 30.2% | 33.3% | 72.1% | 0.46× | 3.01 |
| Liberty Flames +12.5 | 24.2% | 23.5% | 67.9% | 0.35× | 4.25 |
| Liberty Flames +10.5 | 18.8% | 18.9% | 63.2% | 0.30× | 5.29 |
| Liberty Flames +9.5 | 16.4% | 18.9% | 60.7% | 0.31× | 5.30 |
| Liberty Flames +8.5 | 14.2% | 14.1% | 58.0% | 0.24× | 7.09 |
| Liberty Flames +7.5 | 12.3% | 14.1% | 55.2% | 0.26× | 7.09 |
| Liberty Flames +6.5 | 10.5% | 14.1% | 52.4% | 0.27× | 7.09 |
| Liberty Flames +5.5 | 8.8% | 8.9% | 50.3% | 0.18× | 11.25 |
| Liberty Flames +3.5 | 6.1% | 8.9% | 45.8% | 0.19× | 11.25 |
| Liberty Flames +4.5 | 7.4% | 8.9% | 47.8% | 0.19× | 11.25 |
| Liberty Flames +2.5 | 5.0% | 8.9% | 43.3% | 0.21× | 11.25 |
| Liberty Flames +1.5 | 4.1% | 2.6% | 41.3% | 0.06× | 38.72 |
| Liberty Flames −1.5 | 2.7% | 2.6% | 38.8% | 0.07× | 38.73 |
| Liberty Flames −2.5 | 2.1% | 2.6% | 36.7% | 0.07× | 38.73 |
| Liberty Flames −3.5 | 1.7% | 2.6% | 34.3% | 0.08× | 38.73 |
| Liberty Flames −4.5 | 1.4% | 2.6% | 32.2% | 0.08× | 38.73 |
| Liberty Flames −5.5 | 1.1% | 2.6% | 29.9% | 0.09× | 38.74 |
| Liberty Flames −6.5 | 0.9% | 2.6% | 27.7% | 0.09× | 38.74 |
| Liberty Flames −7.5 | 0.7% | 2.6% | 25.5% | 0.10× | 38.74 |
| Liberty Flames −8.5 | 0.5% | 2.6% | 23.5% | 0.11× | 38.74 |
| Liberty Flames −9.5 | 0.4% | 2.6% | 21.3% | 0.12× | 38.74 |
| Liberty Flames −10.5 | 0.3% | 2.6% | 19.6% | 0.13× | 38.74 |
| Liberty Flames −12.5 | 0.2% | 2.6% | 16.2% | 0.16× | 38.74 |
| Liberty Flames −14.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 13.3% | 0.19× | 38.74 |
| Liberty Flames −16.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 10.9% | 0.24× | 38.74 |
| Liberty Flames −18.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 8.9% | 0.29× | 38.74 |
| Liberty Flames −20.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 7.3% | 0.35× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 72.8% | 67.1% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.2% | 32.9% | 33.3% | 0.99× | 3.04 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 highest scoring | 34.7% | 31.9% | 31.2% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 33.0% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 16.9% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 15.4% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.02× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC State Wolfpack at HT / NC State Wolfpack at FT | 84.1% | 84.6% | 48.3% | 1.75× | 1.18 |
| Liberty Flames at HT / NC State Wolfpack at FT | 10.3% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 1.25× | 8.18 |
| Level at HT / NC State Wolfpack at FT | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.75 |
| Liberty Flames at HT / Liberty Flames at FT | 1.9% | 2.1% | 30.1% | 0.07× | 47.76 |
| NC State Wolfpack at HT / Liberty Flames at FT | 1.1% | 2.1% | 8.2% | 0.26× | 47.77 |
| Level at HT / Liberty Flames at FT | 0.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.79 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC State Wolfpack to win | 96.7% | 97.4% | 59.9% | 1.63× | 1.03 |
| Liberty Flames to win | 3.3% | 2.6% | 40.1% | 0.06× | 39.05 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC State Wolfpack even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Liberty Flames even | 50.2% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 50.4% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| NC State Wolfpack odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Liberty Flames odd | 49.8% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 49.6% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 97.8% | 97.0% | 95.6% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Match to go to overtime | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 0.67× | 33.51 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC State Wolfpack to win Q1 | 74.9% | 73.9% | 54.7% | 1.35× | 1.35 |
| Liberty Flames to win Q1 | 20.5% | 22.0% | 40.4% | 0.54× | 4.55 |
| Q1 tied | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 0.85× | 23.94 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 over 24.5 | 88.6% | 87.4% | 81.8% | 1.07× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 40.5 | 88.0% | 87.4% | 89.9% | 0.97× | 1.14 |
| Q1 over 27.5 | 77.5% | 76.9% | 67.7% | 1.14× | 1.30 |
| Q1 under 37.5 | 76.8% | 76.9% | 81.6% | 0.94× | 1.30 |
| Q1 over 29.5 | 67.6% | 67.6% | 56.9% | 1.19× | 1.48 |
| Q1 under 35.5 | 66.8% | 67.6% | 73.2% | 0.92× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 31.5 | 56.3% | 58.6% | 46.0% | 1.27× | 1.71 |
| Q1 under 33.5 | 55.5% | 58.6% | 64.0% | 0.92× | 1.71 |
| Q1 over 32.5 | 50.4% | 52.7% | 40.9% | 1.29× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 32.5 | 49.6% | 47.3% | 59.1% | 0.80× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 33.5 | 44.5% | 41.4% | 36.0% | 1.15× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 31.5 | 43.7% | 41.4% | 54.0% | 0.77× | 2.42 |
| Q1 over 35.5 | 33.2% | 32.4% | 26.8% | 1.21× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 29.5 | 32.4% | 32.4% | 43.1% | 0.75× | 3.08 |
| Q1 over 37.5 | 23.2% | 23.1% | 18.4% | 1.26× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 27.5 | 22.5% | 23.1% | 32.3% | 0.71× | 4.33 |
| Q1 over 40.5 | 12.0% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 1.25× | 7.95 |
| Q1 under 24.5 | 11.4% | 12.6% | 18.2% | 0.69× | 7.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC State Wolfpack to win Q2 | 74.2% | 75.3% | 52.9% | 1.42× | 1.33 |
| Liberty Flames to win Q2 | 21.2% | 20.0% | 41.5% | 0.48× | 5.01 |
| Q2 tied | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 0.77× | 22.88 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 40.5 | 89.0% | 87.3% | 90.8% | 0.96× | 1.15 |
| Q2 over 24.5 | 87.6% | 87.3% | 80.7% | 1.08× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 37.5 | 78.3% | 76.8% | 82.3% | 0.93× | 1.30 |
| Q2 over 27.5 | 76.0% | 76.8% | 66.7% | 1.15× | 1.30 |
| Q2 under 35.5 | 68.6% | 67.4% | 74.6% | 0.90× | 1.49 |
| Q2 over 29.5 | 65.8% | 67.4% | 55.8% | 1.21× | 1.49 |
| Q2 under 33.5 | 57.5% | 58.2% | 65.6% | 0.89× | 1.72 |
| Q2 over 31.5 | 54.4% | 52.7% | 44.3% | 1.19× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 32.5 | 51.6% | 52.7% | 60.8% | 0.87× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 32.5 | 48.4% | 47.3% | 39.2% | 1.21× | 2.11 |
| Q2 under 31.5 | 45.6% | 47.3% | 55.7% | 0.85× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 33.5 | 42.5% | 41.8% | 34.4% | 1.22× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 29.5 | 34.2% | 32.6% | 44.2% | 0.74× | 3.06 |
| Q2 over 35.5 | 31.4% | 32.6% | 25.4% | 1.29× | 3.06 |
| Q2 under 27.5 | 24.0% | 23.2% | 33.3% | 0.70× | 4.31 |
| Q2 over 37.5 | 21.7% | 23.2% | 17.7% | 1.31× | 4.31 |
| Q2 under 24.5 | 12.4% | 12.7% | 19.3% | 0.66× | 7.89 |
| Q2 over 40.5 | 11.0% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 1.38× | 7.90 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC State Wolfpack to win Q3 | 76.3% | 81.4% | 53.3% | 1.53× | 1.23 |
| Liberty Flames to win Q3 | 19.3% | 15.2% | 41.8% | 0.36× | 6.58 |
| Q3 tied | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 0.86× | 23.44 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 over 27.5 | 87.6% | 87.2% | 80.0% | 1.09× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 43.5 | 87.7% | 87.2% | 90.2% | 0.97× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 40.5 | 76.7% | 77.3% | 81.9% | 0.94× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 30.5 | 76.4% | 77.3% | 66.8% | 1.16× | 1.29 |
| Q3 under 38.5 | 67.0% | 67.8% | 73.9% | 0.92× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 32.5 | 66.6% | 67.8% | 56.1% | 1.21× | 1.48 |
| Q3 under 36.5 | 56.0% | 58.4% | 64.6% | 0.90× | 1.71 |
| Q3 over 34.5 | 55.5% | 58.4% | 45.4% | 1.29× | 1.71 |
| Q3 under 35.5 | 50.3% | 52.3% | 59.7% | 0.88× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 35.5 | 49.7% | 47.7% | 40.3% | 1.18× | 2.10 |
| Q3 under 34.5 | 44.5% | 41.6% | 54.6% | 0.76× | 2.40 |
| Q3 over 36.5 | 44.0% | 41.6% | 35.4% | 1.17× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 32.5 | 33.4% | 32.2% | 43.9% | 0.73× | 3.10 |
| Q3 over 38.5 | 33.0% | 32.2% | 26.1% | 1.23× | 3.10 |
| Q3 under 30.5 | 23.6% | 22.7% | 33.2% | 0.69× | 4.40 |
| Q3 over 40.5 | 23.3% | 22.7% | 18.1% | 1.25× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 27.5 | 12.4% | 12.8% | 20.0% | 0.64× | 7.83 |
| Q3 over 43.5 | 12.3% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 1.30× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC State Wolfpack to win Q4 | 75.9% | 71.4% | 52.8% | 1.35× | 1.40 |
| Liberty Flames to win Q4 | 19.8% | 22.8% | 41.5% | 0.55× | 4.39 |
| Q4 tied | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 0.91× | 19.29 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 over 27.5 | 86.4% | 85.6% | 78.9% | 1.09× | 1.17 |
| Q4 under 43.5 | 86.2% | 85.6% | 88.6% | 0.97× | 1.17 |
| Q4 over 30.5 | 75.4% | 76.9% | 66.3% | 1.16× | 1.30 |
| Q4 under 40.5 | 75.2% | 76.9% | 80.6% | 0.95× | 1.30 |
| Q4 over 32.5 | 66.0% | 67.4% | 55.4% | 1.22× | 1.48 |
| Q4 under 38.5 | 65.8% | 67.4% | 73.1% | 0.92× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 34.5 | 55.6% | 58.4% | 45.6% | 1.28× | 1.71 |
| Q4 under 36.5 | 55.3% | 58.4% | 64.3% | 0.91× | 1.71 |
| Q4 over 35.5 | 50.1% | 52.5% | 40.6% | 1.29× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 35.5 | 49.9% | 47.5% | 59.4% | 0.80× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 36.5 | 44.7% | 41.6% | 35.7% | 1.17× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 34.5 | 44.5% | 41.6% | 54.4% | 0.76× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 32.5 | 34.0% | 32.6% | 44.6% | 0.73× | 3.07 |
| Q4 over 38.5 | 34.2% | 32.6% | 26.9% | 1.21× | 3.07 |
| Q4 over 40.5 | 24.8% | 23.1% | 19.4% | 1.19× | 4.33 |
| Q4 under 30.5 | 24.6% | 23.1% | 33.7% | 0.68× | 4.33 |
| Q4 over 43.5 | 13.8% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 1.26× | 6.95 |
| Q4 under 27.5 | 13.6% | 14.4% | 21.1% | 0.68× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty Flames under 68.5 | 88.5% | 83.9% | 68.6% | 1.22× | 1.19 |
| NC State Wolfpack under 88.5 | 86.7% | 83.9% | 93.1% | 0.90× | 1.19 |
| Liberty Flames over 48.5 | 85.1% | 83.9% | 86.7% | 0.97× | 1.19 |
| NC State Wolfpack over 68.5 | 84.3% | 80.7% | 45.6% | 1.77× | 1.24 |
| Liberty Flames under 65.5 | 80.8% | 80.7% | 59.8% | 1.35× | 1.24 |
| NC State Wolfpack under 85.5 | 78.6% | 75.1% | 90.2% | 0.83× | 1.33 |
| NC State Wolfpack over 71.5 | 75.4% | 75.1% | 37.0% | 2.03× | 1.33 |
| Liberty Flames over 51.5 | 75.4% | 75.1% | 81.0% | 0.93× | 1.33 |
| Liberty Flames under 63.5 | 74.3% | 70.7% | 53.9% | 1.31× | 1.41 |
| NC State Wolfpack under 83.5 | 72.0% | 70.7% | 87.7% | 0.81× | 1.41 |
| NC State Wolfpack over 73.5 | 68.3% | 66.4% | 31.5% | 2.11× | 1.51 |
| Liberty Flames over 53.5 | 67.6% | 66.4% | 76.3% | 0.87× | 1.51 |
| Liberty Flames under 61.5 | 66.8% | 66.4% | 47.9% | 1.39× | 1.51 |
| NC State Wolfpack under 81.5 | 64.5% | 61.2% | 84.6% | 0.72× | 1.63 |
| NC State Wolfpack over 75.5 | 60.4% | 61.2% | 26.8% | 2.28× | 1.63 |
| Liberty Flames over 55.5 | 59.1% | 57.1% | 70.8% | 0.81× | 1.75 |
| Liberty Flames under 59.5 | 58.5% | 57.1% | 41.2% | 1.39× | 1.75 |
| NC State Wolfpack under 79.5 | 56.4% | 57.1% | 81.3% | 0.70× | 1.75 |
| Liberty Flames under 58.5 | 54.1% | 52.3% | 37.9% | 1.38× | 1.91 |
| NC State Wolfpack over 77.5 | 52.1% | 52.3% | 22.6% | 2.31× | 1.91 |
| NC State Wolfpack under 78.5 | 52.2% | 52.3% | 79.4% | 0.66× | 1.91 |
| Liberty Flames over 57.5 | 50.3% | 52.3% | 65.1% | 0.80× | 1.91 |
| Liberty Flames under 57.5 | 49.7% | 47.7% | 34.9% | 1.37× | 2.09 |
| NC State Wolfpack under 77.5 | 47.9% | 47.7% | 77.4% | 0.62× | 2.09 |
| NC State Wolfpack over 78.5 | 47.8% | 47.7% | 20.6% | 2.31× | 2.09 |
| Liberty Flames over 58.5 | 45.9% | 47.7% | 62.1% | 0.77× | 2.09 |
| NC State Wolfpack over 79.5 | 43.6% | 42.9% | 18.7% | 2.29× | 2.33 |
| Liberty Flames over 59.5 | 41.5% | 42.9% | 58.8% | 0.73× | 2.33 |
| Liberty Flames under 55.5 | 40.9% | 42.9% | 29.2% | 1.47× | 2.33 |
| NC State Wolfpack under 75.5 | 39.6% | 38.8% | 73.2% | 0.53× | 2.58 |
| NC State Wolfpack over 81.5 | 35.5% | 38.8% | 15.4% | 2.51× | 2.58 |
| Liberty Flames over 61.5 | 33.2% | 33.6% | 52.1% | 0.65× | 2.98 |
| NC State Wolfpack under 73.5 | 31.7% | 33.6% | 68.5% | 0.49× | 2.98 |
| Liberty Flames under 53.5 | 32.4% | 33.6% | 23.7% | 1.42× | 2.98 |
| NC State Wolfpack over 83.5 | 28.0% | 29.3% | 12.3% | 2.38× | 3.42 |
| Liberty Flames over 63.5 | 25.7% | 29.3% | 46.1% | 0.64× | 3.42 |
| NC State Wolfpack under 71.5 | 24.6% | 24.9% | 63.0% | 0.39× | 4.02 |
| Liberty Flames under 51.5 | 24.6% | 24.9% | 19.0% | 1.31× | 4.02 |
| NC State Wolfpack over 85.5 | 21.4% | 24.9% | 9.8% | 2.54× | 4.02 |
| Liberty Flames over 65.5 | 19.2% | 19.3% | 40.2% | 0.48× | 5.18 |
| NC State Wolfpack under 68.5 | 15.7% | 19.3% | 54.4% | 0.35× | 5.18 |
| Liberty Flames under 48.5 | 14.9% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 1.21× | 6.21 |
| NC State Wolfpack over 88.5 | 13.3% | 16.1% | 6.9% | 2.32× | 6.21 |
| Liberty Flames over 68.5 | 11.5% | 16.1% | 31.4% | 0.51× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 156.5 points | 92.0% | 88.8% | 91.3% | 0.97× | 1.13 |
| Over 116.5 points | 91.1% | 88.8% | 77.2% | 1.15× | 1.13 |
| Under 151.5 points | 85.8% | 85.0% | 87.3% | 0.97× | 1.18 |
| Over 121.5 points | 83.7% | 80.6% | 67.7% | 1.19× | 1.24 |
| Under 146.5 points | 76.9% | 75.6% | 80.9% | 0.93× | 1.32 |
| Over 126.5 points | 73.4% | 70.8% | 57.4% | 1.24× | 1.41 |
| Under 143.5 points | 70.4% | 70.8% | 76.7% | 0.92× | 1.41 |
| Over 129.5 points | 66.2% | 65.9% | 50.5% | 1.30× | 1.52 |
| Under 141.5 points | 65.6% | 65.9% | 73.4% | 0.90× | 1.52 |
| Over 131.5 points | 61.0% | 61.5% | 46.1% | 1.33× | 1.63 |
| Under 139.5 points | 60.5% | 61.5% | 69.9% | 0.88× | 1.63 |
| Over 133.5 points | 55.7% | 56.5% | 42.0% | 1.35× | 1.77 |
| Under 137.5 points | 55.2% | 56.5% | 66.2% | 0.85× | 1.77 |
| Under 136.5 points | 52.5% | 52.3% | 64.2% | 0.81× | 1.91 |
| Over 135.5 points | 50.2% | 52.3% | 37.6% | 1.39× | 1.91 |
| Under 135.5 points | 49.8% | 47.7% | 62.4% | 0.76× | 2.10 |
| Over 136.5 points | 47.5% | 47.7% | 35.8% | 1.33× | 2.10 |
| Under 133.5 points | 44.3% | 43.5% | 58.0% | 0.75× | 2.30 |
| Over 137.5 points | 44.8% | 43.5% | 33.8% | 1.29× | 2.30 |
| Over 139.5 points | 39.5% | 38.5% | 30.1% | 1.28× | 2.60 |
| Under 131.5 points | 39.0% | 38.5% | 53.9% | 0.71× | 2.60 |
| Under 129.5 points | 33.8% | 34.1% | 49.5% | 0.69× | 2.93 |
| Over 141.5 points | 34.5% | 34.1% | 26.6% | 1.28× | 2.93 |
| Over 143.5 points | 29.6% | 29.2% | 23.3% | 1.25× | 3.43 |
| Under 126.5 points | 26.6% | 29.2% | 42.6% | 0.68× | 3.43 |
| Over 146.5 points | 23.1% | 24.4% | 19.1% | 1.28× | 4.10 |
| Under 121.5 points | 16.3% | 19.4% | 32.3% | 0.60× | 5.15 |
| Over 151.5 points | 14.2% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 1.17× | 6.68 |
| Under 116.5 points | 8.9% | 11.2% | 22.8% | 0.49× | 8.96 |
| Over 156.5 points | 8.0% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 1.29× | 8.96 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC State Wolfpack to win both halves | 73.0% | 72.0% | 36.0% | 2.00× | 1.39 |
| Liberty Flames to win both halves | 0.7% | 3.0% | 20.4% | 0.15× | 33.81 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC State Wolfpack by 26+ | 31.3% | 37.6% | 12.6% | 2.98× | 2.66 |
| NC State Wolfpack by 16-20 | 17.7% | 16.8% | 8.0% | 2.08× | 5.97 |
| NC State Wolfpack by 21-25 | 17.5% | 16.8% | 5.4% | 3.11× | 5.97 |
| NC State Wolfpack by 11-15 | 14.7% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 1.14× | 8.11 |
| NC State Wolfpack by 6-10 | 10.0% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 0.58× | 13.40 |
| NC State Wolfpack by 1-5 | 5.6% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 0.73× | 13.40 |
| Liberty Flames by 6-10 | 0.8% | 2.0% | 10.3% | 0.20× | 49.32 |
| Liberty Flames by 1-5 | 2.2% | 2.0% | 10.2% | 0.20× | 49.31 |
| Liberty Flames by 11-15 | 0.2% | 2.0% | 7.6% | 0.27× | 49.33 |
| Liberty Flames by 16-20 | 0.1% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 0.43× | 49.33 |
| Liberty Flames by 21-25 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 0.76× | 49.33 |
| Liberty Flames by 26+ | 0.0% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 0.44× | 49.33 |