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North Carolina A&T Aggies v Liberty Flames — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 17 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
North Carolina A&T Aggies win
31.7%
Draw
0.0%
Liberty Flames win
68.4%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 59.38–64.69 59-65 0% 50% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
North Carolina A&T Aggies to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.36
North Carolina A&T Aggies to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
North Carolina A&T Aggies to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
North Carolina A&T Aggies to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Liberty Flames to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.72× 283.35
Liberty Flames to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Liberty Flames to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Liberty Flames to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Liberty Flames to win H1 59.1% 57.3% 39.9% 1.44× 1.75
North Carolina A&T Aggies to win H1 36.6% 37.8% 56.4% 0.67× 2.64
H1 tied 4.3% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 47.5 88.6% 87.7% 90.6% 0.97× 1.14
H1 under 71.5 88.3% 87.7% 81.4% 1.08× 1.14
H1 over 51.5 78.8% 77.4% 82.0% 0.94× 1.29
H1 under 67.5 78.7% 77.4% 70.4% 1.10× 1.29
H1 over 54.5 69.0% 67.4% 74.0% 0.91× 1.48
H1 under 64.5 69.1% 67.4% 60.7% 1.11× 1.48
H1 over 56.5 61.7% 62.7% 68.2% 0.92× 1.59
H1 under 62.5 61.8% 62.7% 53.7% 1.17× 1.59
H1 over 58.5 53.9% 52.6% 61.4% 0.86× 1.90
H1 under 60.5 54.1% 52.6% 46.1% 1.14× 1.90
H1 under 59.5 50.1% 52.6% 42.2% 1.25× 1.90
H1 over 59.5 49.9% 47.4% 57.8% 0.82× 2.11
H1 under 58.5 46.1% 47.4% 38.6% 1.23× 2.11
H1 over 60.5 45.9% 47.4% 53.9% 0.88× 2.11
H1 under 56.5 38.3% 37.3% 31.8% 1.17× 2.68
H1 over 62.5 38.2% 37.3% 46.3% 0.80× 2.68
H1 under 54.5 31.0% 32.6% 26.0% 1.25× 3.07
H1 over 64.5 30.9% 32.6% 39.3% 0.83× 3.07
H1 under 51.5 21.2% 22.6% 18.0% 1.25× 4.43
H1 over 67.5 21.3% 22.6% 29.6% 0.76× 4.43
H1 under 47.5 11.4% 12.3% 9.4% 1.30× 8.14
H1 over 71.5 11.7% 12.3% 18.6% 0.66× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Liberty Flames to win H2 59.8% 55.0% 40.6% 1.36× 1.82
North Carolina A&T Aggies to win H2 36.0% 41.2% 56.0% 0.74× 2.43
H2 tied 4.2% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.35
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 77.5 87.9% 85.2% 77.9% 1.09× 1.17
H2 over 53.5 86.8% 85.2% 89.7% 0.95× 1.17
H2 under 73.5 78.6% 75.8% 67.1% 1.13× 1.32
H2 over 57.5 76.7% 75.8% 82.2% 0.92× 1.32
H2 under 70.5 69.5% 66.4% 57.8% 1.15× 1.51
H2 over 60.5 67.0% 66.4% 74.5% 0.89× 1.51
H2 under 68.5 62.6% 61.6% 51.3% 1.20× 1.62
H2 over 62.5 59.9% 57.3% 68.3% 0.84× 1.74
H2 under 66.5 55.2% 57.3% 44.6% 1.29× 1.74
H2 over 64.5 52.4% 52.4% 62.1% 0.84× 1.91
H2 under 65.5 51.4% 52.4% 41.2% 1.27× 1.91
H2 under 64.5 47.6% 47.6% 37.9% 1.26× 2.10
H2 over 65.5 48.6% 47.6% 58.8% 0.81× 2.10
H2 over 66.5 44.8% 42.7% 55.4% 0.77× 2.34
H2 under 62.5 40.1% 42.7% 31.7% 1.35× 2.35
H2 over 68.5 37.4% 38.4% 48.7% 0.79× 2.61
H2 under 60.5 33.0% 33.6% 25.5% 1.32× 2.97
H2 over 70.5 30.5% 33.6% 42.2% 0.80× 2.97
H2 under 57.5 23.3% 24.2% 17.8% 1.36× 4.13
H2 over 73.5 21.4% 24.2% 32.9% 0.74× 4.13
H2 under 53.5 13.2% 14.8% 10.3% 1.43× 6.76
H2 over 77.5 12.1% 14.8% 22.1% 0.67× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Liberty Flames leading at half time 59.1% 57.0% 39.9% 1.43× 1.76
North Carolina A&T Aggies leading at half time 36.6% 37.8% 56.4% 0.67× 2.64
Level at half time 4.3% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Liberty Flames +14.5 96.0% 97.4% 72.1% 1.35× 1.03
Liberty Flames +16.5 97.4% 97.4% 75.7% 1.29× 1.03
Liberty Flames +18.5 98.3% 97.4% 79.3% 1.23× 1.03
Liberty Flames +20.5 98.9% 97.4% 82.0% 1.19× 1.03
Liberty Flames +12.5 94.2% 91.1% 67.9% 1.34× 1.10
Liberty Flames +9.5 90.3% 91.1% 60.7% 1.50× 1.10
Liberty Flames +10.5 91.8% 91.1% 63.2% 1.44× 1.10
North Carolina A&T Aggies +20.5 91.8% 91.1% 92.7% 0.98× 1.10
Liberty Flames +8.5 88.7% 85.9% 58.0% 1.48× 1.16
North Carolina A&T Aggies +18.5 88.6% 85.9% 91.1% 0.94× 1.16
Liberty Flames +7.5 86.8% 85.9% 55.2% 1.55× 1.16
Liberty Flames +6.5 84.8% 81.1% 52.4% 1.55× 1.23
North Carolina A&T Aggies +16.5 84.5% 81.1% 89.1% 0.91× 1.23
Liberty Flames +5.5 82.5% 81.1% 50.3% 1.61× 1.23
Liberty Flames +4.5 80.1% 81.1% 47.8% 1.70× 1.23
North Carolina A&T Aggies +14.5 79.7% 76.5% 86.7% 0.88× 1.31
Liberty Flames +3.5 77.4% 76.5% 45.8% 1.67× 1.31
Liberty Flames +2.5 74.6% 71.6% 43.3% 1.66× 1.40
North Carolina A&T Aggies +12.5 74.1% 71.6% 83.8% 0.86× 1.40
Liberty Flames +1.5 71.5% 71.6% 41.3% 1.73× 1.40
North Carolina A&T Aggies +10.5 67.7% 66.7% 80.4% 0.83× 1.50
Liberty Flames −1.5 64.9% 61.9% 38.8% 1.60× 1.62
North Carolina A&T Aggies +9.5 64.3% 61.9% 78.7% 0.79× 1.62
Liberty Flames −2.5 61.3% 61.9% 36.7% 1.69× 1.62
North Carolina A&T Aggies +8.5 60.8% 61.9% 76.5% 0.81× 1.62
Liberty Flames −3.5 57.6% 57.1% 34.3% 1.66× 1.75
North Carolina A&T Aggies +7.5 57.2% 57.1% 74.5% 0.77× 1.75
Liberty Flames −4.5 53.9% 52.4% 32.2% 1.63× 1.91
North Carolina A&T Aggies +6.5 53.5% 52.4% 72.3% 0.72× 1.91
Liberty Flames −5.5 50.2% 52.4% 29.9% 1.75× 1.91
North Carolina A&T Aggies +5.5 49.8% 47.6% 70.1% 0.68× 2.10
North Carolina A&T Aggies +4.5 46.1% 47.6% 67.8% 0.70× 2.10
Liberty Flames −6.5 46.5% 47.6% 27.7% 1.72× 2.10
North Carolina A&T Aggies +3.5 42.4% 42.9% 65.7% 0.65× 2.33
Liberty Flames −7.5 42.8% 42.9% 25.5% 1.69× 2.33
Liberty Flames −8.5 39.2% 38.1% 23.5% 1.62× 2.63
North Carolina A&T Aggies +2.5 38.7% 38.1% 63.3% 0.60× 2.63
North Carolina A&T Aggies +1.5 35.1% 38.1% 61.2% 0.62× 2.63
Liberty Flames −9.5 35.7% 38.1% 21.3% 1.79× 2.63
Liberty Flames −10.5 32.3% 33.3% 19.6% 1.70× 3.01
North Carolina A&T Aggies −1.5 28.5% 28.4% 58.7% 0.48× 3.53
North Carolina A&T Aggies −2.5 25.4% 28.4% 56.7% 0.50× 3.53
Liberty Flames −12.5 25.9% 28.4% 16.2% 1.75× 3.53
North Carolina A&T Aggies −3.5 22.6% 23.5% 54.2% 0.43× 4.25
Liberty Flames −14.5 20.3% 23.5% 13.3% 1.77× 4.25
North Carolina A&T Aggies −4.5 19.9% 18.9% 52.2% 0.36× 5.29
North Carolina A&T Aggies −5.5 17.5% 18.9% 49.7% 0.38× 5.29
North Carolina A&T Aggies −6.5 15.2% 18.9% 47.6% 0.40× 5.30
Liberty Flames −16.5 15.5% 18.9% 10.9% 1.74× 5.30
North Carolina A&T Aggies −7.5 13.2% 14.1% 44.8% 0.32× 7.09
North Carolina A&T Aggies −8.5 11.3% 14.1% 42.0% 0.34× 7.09
Liberty Flames −18.5 11.5% 14.1% 8.9% 1.58× 7.09
North Carolina A&T Aggies −9.5 9.7% 8.9% 39.3% 0.23× 11.25
North Carolina A&T Aggies −10.5 8.2% 8.9% 36.8% 0.24× 11.25
Liberty Flames −20.5 8.2% 8.9% 7.3% 1.22× 11.25
North Carolina A&T Aggies −12.5 5.8% 8.9% 32.1% 0.28× 11.25
North Carolina A&T Aggies −14.5 4.0% 2.6% 27.9% 0.09× 38.72
North Carolina A&T Aggies −16.5 2.6% 2.6% 24.3% 0.11× 38.73
North Carolina A&T Aggies −18.5 1.7% 2.6% 20.7% 0.12× 38.73
North Carolina A&T Aggies −20.5 1.1% 2.6% 18.0% 0.14× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 71.1% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 28.9% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.1% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.3% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.5% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 16.1% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Liberty Flames at HT / Liberty Flames at FT 49.8% 46.6% 30.1% 1.55× 2.14
North Carolina A&T Aggies at HT / North Carolina A&T Aggies at FT 20.9% 24.4% 48.3% 0.51× 4.10
North Carolina A&T Aggies at HT / Liberty Flames at FT 15.7% 15.4% 8.2% 1.88× 6.47
Liberty Flames at HT / North Carolina A&T Aggies at FT 9.3% 8.3% 9.8% 0.85× 12.08
Level at HT / Liberty Flames at FT 2.8% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.74
Level at HT / North Carolina A&T Aggies at FT 1.5% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.77
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Liberty Flames to win 68.4% 64.5% 40.1% 1.61× 1.55
North Carolina A&T Aggies to win 31.7% 35.5% 59.9% 0.59× 2.82
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.7% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
North Carolina A&T Aggies even 50.1% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Liberty Flames even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
North Carolina A&T Aggies odd 49.9% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Liberty Flames odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.3% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 94.3% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 5.7% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Liberty Flames to win Q1 54.7% 52.6% 40.4% 1.30× 1.90
North Carolina A&T Aggies to win Q1 39.3% 38.3% 54.7% 0.70× 2.61
Q1 tied 6.0% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.32
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 38.5 89.9% 87.4% 84.8% 1.03× 1.14
Q1 over 22.5 86.6% 87.4% 88.8% 0.98× 1.14
Q1 under 35.5 79.7% 76.9% 73.2% 1.05× 1.30
Q1 over 25.5 74.4% 72.7% 77.6% 0.94× 1.38
Q1 under 33.5 70.3% 72.7% 64.0% 1.14× 1.38
Q1 over 27.5 64.0% 61.7% 67.7% 0.91× 1.62
Q1 under 31.5 59.4% 58.6% 54.0% 1.09× 1.71
Q1 under 30.5 53.5% 52.7% 48.8% 1.08× 1.90
Q1 over 29.5 52.4% 52.7% 56.9% 0.93× 1.90
Q1 under 29.5 47.6% 47.3% 43.1% 1.10× 2.11
Q1 over 30.5 46.5% 47.3% 51.2% 0.92× 2.11
Q1 over 31.5 40.7% 41.4% 46.0% 0.90× 2.42
Q1 under 27.5 36.0% 38.3% 32.3% 1.18× 2.61
Q1 over 33.5 29.7% 27.3% 36.0% 0.76× 3.66
Q1 under 25.5 25.6% 27.3% 22.4% 1.22× 3.66
Q1 over 35.5 20.3% 23.1% 26.8% 0.86× 4.33
Q1 under 22.5 13.4% 12.6% 11.2% 1.12× 7.95
Q1 over 38.5 10.1% 12.6% 15.2% 0.83× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Liberty Flames to win Q2 54.5% 51.4% 41.5% 1.24× 1.95
North Carolina A&T Aggies to win Q2 39.6% 35.8% 52.9% 0.68× 2.79
Q2 tied 5.9% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.49
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 over 21.5 88.7% 87.3% 90.2% 0.97× 1.15
Q2 under 37.5 87.9% 87.3% 82.3% 1.06× 1.15
Q2 over 24.5 77.6% 76.8% 80.7% 0.95× 1.30
Q2 under 34.5 76.7% 76.8% 70.1% 1.10× 1.30
Q2 over 26.5 67.8% 67.4% 71.6% 0.94× 1.49
Q2 under 32.5 66.7% 67.4% 60.8% 1.11× 1.49
Q2 over 28.5 56.5% 58.2% 61.2% 0.95× 1.72
Q2 under 30.5 55.3% 58.2% 50.1% 1.16× 1.72
Q2 over 29.5 50.6% 52.7% 55.8% 0.94× 1.90
Q2 under 29.5 49.4% 47.3% 44.2% 1.07× 2.11
Q2 over 30.5 44.7% 41.8% 49.9% 0.84× 2.39
Q2 under 28.5 43.5% 41.8% 38.8% 1.08× 2.39
Q2 over 32.5 33.3% 32.6% 39.2% 0.83× 3.06
Q2 under 26.5 32.2% 32.6% 28.4% 1.15× 3.06
Q2 over 34.5 23.3% 23.2% 29.9% 0.78× 4.31
Q2 under 24.5 22.4% 23.2% 19.3% 1.21× 4.31
Q2 over 37.5 12.1% 12.7% 17.7% 0.72× 7.89
Q2 under 21.5 11.3% 12.7% 9.8% 1.30× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Liberty Flames to win Q3 55.2% 56.8% 41.8% 1.36× 1.76
North Carolina A&T Aggies to win Q3 39.0% 38.8% 53.3% 0.73× 2.58
Q3 tied 5.8% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.96
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 over 24.5 87.9% 87.2% 89.9% 0.97× 1.15
Q3 under 40.5 87.4% 87.2% 81.9% 1.07× 1.15
Q3 over 27.5 76.8% 77.3% 80.0% 0.97× 1.29
Q3 under 37.5 76.3% 77.3% 69.7% 1.11× 1.29
Q3 over 29.5 67.1% 67.8% 71.8% 0.94× 1.48
Q3 under 35.5 66.5% 67.8% 59.7% 1.14× 1.48
Q3 over 31.5 56.0% 58.4% 61.6% 0.95× 1.71
Q3 under 33.5 55.5% 58.4% 49.1% 1.19× 1.71
Q3 over 32.5 50.3% 52.3% 56.1% 0.93× 1.91
Q3 under 32.5 49.7% 47.7% 43.9% 1.09× 2.10
Q3 over 33.5 44.5% 41.6% 50.9% 0.82× 2.40
Q3 under 31.5 44.0% 41.6% 38.4% 1.08× 2.40
Q3 over 35.5 33.5% 32.2% 40.3% 0.80× 3.10
Q3 under 29.5 32.9% 32.2% 28.2% 1.14× 3.10
Q3 over 37.5 23.7% 22.7% 30.3% 0.75× 4.40
Q3 under 27.5 23.2% 22.7% 20.0% 1.14× 4.40
Q3 over 40.5 12.6% 12.8% 18.1% 0.70× 7.83
Q3 under 24.5 12.1% 12.8% 10.1% 1.27× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Liberty Flames to win Q4 55.1% 52.0% 41.5% 1.25× 1.92
North Carolina A&T Aggies to win Q4 39.2% 42.4% 52.8% 0.80× 2.36
Q4 tied 5.7% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.25
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 over 24.5 86.7% 85.6% 89.0% 0.96× 1.17
Q4 under 40.5 85.9% 85.6% 80.6% 1.06× 1.17
Q4 over 27.5 75.8% 76.9% 78.9% 0.97× 1.30
Q4 under 37.5 74.8% 71.5% 68.8% 1.04× 1.40
Q4 over 29.5 66.5% 67.4% 70.8% 0.95× 1.48
Q4 under 35.5 65.3% 67.4% 59.4% 1.14× 1.48
Q4 over 31.5 56.0% 58.4% 61.1% 0.96× 1.71
Q4 under 33.5 54.8% 52.5% 49.6% 1.06× 1.91
Q4 over 32.5 50.6% 52.5% 55.4% 0.95× 1.91
Q4 under 32.5 49.4% 47.5% 44.6% 1.07× 2.11
Q4 over 33.5 45.2% 47.5% 50.4% 0.94× 2.11
Q4 under 31.5 44.0% 41.6% 38.9% 1.07× 2.40
Q4 over 35.5 34.7% 32.6% 40.6% 0.80× 3.07
Q4 under 29.5 33.5% 32.6% 29.2% 1.12× 3.07
Q4 over 37.5 25.3% 28.5% 31.2% 0.91× 3.51
Q4 under 27.5 24.2% 23.1% 21.1% 1.09× 4.33
Q4 over 40.5 14.1% 14.4% 19.4% 0.74× 6.95
Q4 under 24.5 13.3% 14.4% 11.0% 1.31× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
North Carolina A&T Aggies under 70.5 87.6% 83.9% 60.3% 1.39× 1.19
Liberty Flames under 75.5 87.3% 83.9% 84.1% 1.00× 1.19
Liberty Flames over 55.5 84.7% 80.7% 70.8% 1.14× 1.24
North Carolina A&T Aggies over 50.5 83.7% 80.7% 90.8% 0.89× 1.24
North Carolina A&T Aggies under 67.5 80.0% 75.1% 51.3% 1.46× 1.33
Liberty Flames under 72.5 79.3% 75.1% 78.2% 0.96× 1.33
Liberty Flames over 58.5 75.7% 75.1% 62.1% 1.21× 1.33
North Carolina A&T Aggies over 53.5 74.2% 70.7% 85.8% 0.82× 1.41
North Carolina A&T Aggies under 65.5 73.6% 70.7% 44.7% 1.58× 1.41
Liberty Flames under 70.5 72.5% 70.7% 73.7% 0.96× 1.41
Liberty Flames over 60.5 68.4% 66.4% 55.6% 1.19× 1.51
North Carolina A&T Aggies over 55.5 66.7% 66.4% 81.6% 0.81× 1.51
North Carolina A&T Aggies under 63.5 66.3% 66.4% 38.5% 1.72× 1.51
Liberty Flames under 68.5 64.9% 61.2% 68.6% 0.89× 1.63
Liberty Flames over 62.5 60.4% 61.2% 49.0% 1.25× 1.63
North Carolina A&T Aggies over 57.5 58.5% 57.1% 77.2% 0.74× 1.75
North Carolina A&T Aggies under 61.5 58.3% 57.1% 33.1% 1.73× 1.75
Liberty Flames under 66.5 56.6% 57.1% 62.7% 0.91× 1.75
North Carolina A&T Aggies under 60.5 54.2% 52.3% 30.5% 1.71× 1.91
Liberty Flames over 64.5 51.9% 52.3% 43.2% 1.21× 1.91
Liberty Flames under 65.5 52.4% 52.3% 59.8% 0.87× 1.91
North Carolina A&T Aggies over 59.5 50.1% 52.3% 72.2% 0.72× 1.91
North Carolina A&T Aggies under 59.5 49.9% 47.7% 27.8% 1.72× 2.09
Liberty Flames under 64.5 48.1% 47.7% 56.9% 0.84× 2.09
Liberty Flames over 65.5 47.6% 47.7% 40.2% 1.19× 2.09
North Carolina A&T Aggies over 60.5 45.8% 47.7% 69.5% 0.69× 2.09
Liberty Flames over 66.5 43.4% 42.9% 37.3% 1.15× 2.33
North Carolina A&T Aggies under 57.5 41.5% 42.9% 22.8% 1.88× 2.33
North Carolina A&T Aggies over 61.5 41.7% 42.9% 66.9% 0.64× 2.33
Liberty Flames under 62.5 39.6% 38.8% 51.0% 0.76× 2.58
Liberty Flames over 68.5 35.1% 38.8% 31.4% 1.24× 2.58
North Carolina A&T Aggies under 55.5 33.3% 33.6% 18.5% 1.82× 2.98
North Carolina A&T Aggies over 63.5 33.7% 33.6% 61.5% 0.55× 2.98
Liberty Flames under 60.5 31.6% 33.6% 44.4% 0.76× 2.98
Liberty Flames over 70.5 27.5% 29.3% 26.3% 1.11× 3.42
North Carolina A&T Aggies under 53.5 25.8% 29.3% 14.2% 2.06× 3.42
North Carolina A&T Aggies over 65.5 26.4% 29.3% 55.3% 0.53× 3.42
Liberty Flames under 58.5 24.3% 24.9% 37.9% 0.66× 4.02
Liberty Flames over 72.5 20.8% 24.9% 21.8% 1.14× 4.02
North Carolina A&T Aggies over 67.5 20.0% 24.9% 48.7% 0.51× 4.02
North Carolina A&T Aggies under 50.5 16.3% 19.3% 9.2% 2.10× 5.18
Liberty Flames under 55.5 15.3% 19.3% 29.2% 0.66× 5.18
Liberty Flames over 75.5 12.7% 16.1% 15.9% 1.01× 6.21
North Carolina A&T Aggies over 70.5 12.4% 16.1% 39.7% 0.41× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 145.5 points 92.1% 88.8% 79.5% 1.12× 1.13
Over 105.5 points 90.8% 88.8% 91.9% 0.97× 1.13
Under 140.5 points 85.8% 85.0% 71.8% 1.19× 1.18
Over 110.5 points 83.3% 80.6% 86.4% 0.93× 1.24
Under 135.5 points 77.1% 75.6% 62.4% 1.21× 1.32
Over 115.5 points 73.0% 70.8% 78.8% 0.90× 1.41
Under 132.5 points 70.5% 70.8% 56.0% 1.27× 1.41
Over 118.5 points 65.9% 65.9% 73.6% 0.90× 1.52
Under 130.5 points 65.7% 65.9% 51.7% 1.28× 1.52
Over 120.5 points 60.7% 61.5% 69.8% 0.88× 1.63
Under 128.5 points 60.6% 61.5% 47.2% 1.30× 1.63
Over 122.5 points 55.4% 56.5% 65.6% 0.86× 1.77
Under 126.5 points 55.4% 56.5% 42.6% 1.33× 1.77
Under 125.5 points 52.8% 52.3% 40.5% 1.29× 1.91
Under 124.5 points 50.0% 52.3% 38.5% 1.36× 1.91
Over 124.5 points 50.0% 47.7% 61.5% 0.78× 2.10
Over 125.5 points 47.2% 47.7% 59.5% 0.80× 2.10
Under 122.5 points 44.6% 43.5% 34.4% 1.26× 2.30
Over 126.5 points 44.6% 43.5% 57.4% 0.76× 2.30
Under 120.5 points 39.3% 38.5% 30.2% 1.28× 2.60
Over 128.5 points 39.4% 38.5% 52.8% 0.73× 2.60
Under 118.5 points 34.1% 34.1% 26.4% 1.29× 2.93
Over 130.5 points 34.3% 34.1% 48.3% 0.71× 2.93
Over 132.5 points 29.5% 29.2% 44.0% 0.66× 3.43
Under 115.5 points 27.0% 29.2% 21.2% 1.38× 3.43
Over 135.5 points 22.9% 24.4% 37.6% 0.65× 4.10
Under 110.5 points 16.7% 19.4% 13.6% 1.43× 5.15
Over 140.5 points 14.2% 15.0% 28.2% 0.53× 6.68
Under 105.5 points 9.2% 11.2% 8.1% 1.38× 8.96
Over 145.5 points 7.9% 11.2% 20.5% 0.54× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Liberty Flames to win both halves 32.4% 31.2% 20.4% 1.53× 3.20
North Carolina A&T Aggies to win both halves 10.5% 14.0% 36.0% 0.39× 7.13
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Liberty Flames by 1-5 18.1% 16.8% 10.2% 1.65× 5.97
Liberty Flames by 6-10 17.9% 16.8% 10.3% 1.63× 5.97
Liberty Flames by 11-15 14.5% 12.3% 7.6% 1.62× 8.11
North Carolina A&T Aggies by 1-5 14.2% 12.3% 10.2% 1.21× 8.11
Liberty Flames by 16-20 9.6% 7.5% 4.8% 1.57× 13.40
North Carolina A&T Aggies by 6-10 9.3% 7.5% 12.9% 0.58× 13.40
Liberty Flames by 21-25 5.1% 7.5% 2.7% 2.79× 13.41
North Carolina A&T Aggies by 11-15 5.0% 2.0% 10.8% 0.19× 49.28
North Carolina A&T Aggies by 16-20 2.2% 2.0% 8.0% 0.25× 49.31
North Carolina A&T Aggies by 21-25 0.8% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.32
Liberty Flames by 26+ 3.1% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.30
North Carolina A&T Aggies by 26+ 0.3% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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