North Carolina Tar Heels v North Carolina Central Eagles — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Wednesday 11 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.North Carolina Tar Heels win
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
North Carolina Central Eagles win
0.0%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 85.85–44.31 | 86-44 0% | 66% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels to score 100+ | 9.4% | 8.8% | 1.8% | 4.90× | 11.34 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels to score 110+ | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.64× | 283.19 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.91× | 283.35 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.36 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.71× | 283.36 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.36 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.36 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.36 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels to win H1 | 98.1% | 98.7% | 56.4% | 1.75× | 1.01 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles to win H1 | 1.4% | 3.9% | 39.9% | 0.10× | 25.88 |
| H1 tied | 0.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.89 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 77.5 | 90.8% | 90.8% | 91.6% | 0.99× | 1.10 |
| H1 over 53.5 | 89.2% | 87.7% | 76.8% | 1.14× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 73.5 | 81.9% | 82.5% | 85.6% | 0.96× | 1.21 |
| H1 over 57.5 | 78.8% | 77.4% | 64.8% | 1.19× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 70.5 | 72.4% | 73.5% | 78.9% | 0.93× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 60.5 | 68.2% | 67.4% | 53.9% | 1.25× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 68.5 | 65.0% | 62.7% | 73.5% | 0.85× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 62.5 | 60.2% | 62.7% | 46.3% | 1.35× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 66.5 | 56.8% | 58.2% | 67.1% | 0.87× | 1.72 |
| H1 over 64.5 | 51.7% | 52.6% | 39.3% | 1.34× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 65.5 | 52.6% | 52.6% | 63.9% | 0.82× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 64.5 | 48.3% | 47.4% | 60.7% | 0.78× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 65.5 | 47.4% | 47.4% | 36.1% | 1.31× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 66.5 | 43.2% | 41.8% | 32.9% | 1.27× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 62.5 | 39.8% | 37.3% | 53.7% | 0.69× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 68.5 | 35.0% | 37.3% | 26.5% | 1.41× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 60.5 | 31.8% | 32.6% | 46.1% | 0.71× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 70.5 | 27.6% | 26.5% | 21.1% | 1.26× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 57.5 | 21.2% | 22.6% | 35.2% | 0.64× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 73.5 | 18.1% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 1.21× | 5.73 |
| H1 under 53.5 | 10.8% | 12.3% | 23.2% | 0.53× | 8.14 |
| H1 over 77.5 | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 1.10× | 10.89 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels to win H2 | 98.6% | 95.6% | 56.0% | 1.71× | 1.05 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles to win H2 | 1.0% | 3.9% | 40.6% | 0.10× | 25.38 |
| H2 tied | 0.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.38 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 83.5 | 89.6% | 85.2% | 88.9% | 0.96× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 59.5 | 88.7% | 85.2% | 77.0% | 1.11× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 79.5 | 80.5% | 81.8% | 82.0% | 1.00× | 1.22 |
| H2 over 63.5 | 78.4% | 75.8% | 65.3% | 1.16× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 76.5 | 71.1% | 72.2% | 75.6% | 0.95× | 1.39 |
| H2 over 66.5 | 68.2% | 66.4% | 55.4% | 1.20× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 74.5 | 63.8% | 61.6% | 69.9% | 0.88× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 68.5 | 60.4% | 61.6% | 48.7% | 1.27× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 72.5 | 55.9% | 57.3% | 64.1% | 0.90× | 1.74 |
| H2 over 70.5 | 52.3% | 52.4% | 42.2% | 1.24× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 71.5 | 51.8% | 52.4% | 61.1% | 0.86× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 70.5 | 47.7% | 47.6% | 57.8% | 0.82× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 71.5 | 48.2% | 47.6% | 38.9% | 1.23× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 72.5 | 44.1% | 42.7% | 36.0% | 1.19× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 68.5 | 39.6% | 38.4% | 51.3% | 0.75× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 74.5 | 36.2% | 38.4% | 30.1% | 1.28× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 66.5 | 31.8% | 33.6% | 44.6% | 0.75× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 76.5 | 28.9% | 27.8% | 24.4% | 1.14× | 3.59 |
| H2 under 63.5 | 21.6% | 24.2% | 34.7% | 0.70× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 79.5 | 19.5% | 18.2% | 18.0% | 1.01× | 5.50 |
| H2 under 59.5 | 11.3% | 14.8% | 23.0% | 0.64× | 6.76 |
| H2 over 83.5 | 10.4% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 1.33× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels leading at half time | 98.1% | 98.6% | 56.4% | 1.75× | 1.01 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles leading at half time | 1.4% | 3.8% | 39.9% | 0.09× | 26.44 |
| Level at half time | 0.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.45 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels +16.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 89.1% | 1.09× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +18.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 91.1% | 1.07× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +20.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 92.7% | 1.05× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −1.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 58.7% | 1.66× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +1.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 61.2% | 1.59× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −2.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 56.7% | 1.72× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +2.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 63.3% | 1.54× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −3.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 54.2% | 1.80× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +3.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 65.7% | 1.48× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −4.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 52.2% | 1.87× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +4.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 67.8% | 1.44× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −5.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 49.7% | 1.96× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +5.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 70.1% | 1.39× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −6.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 47.6% | 2.05× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +6.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 72.3% | 1.35× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −7.5 | 99.8% | 97.4% | 44.8% | 2.18× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +7.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 74.5% | 1.31× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −8.5 | 99.8% | 97.4% | 42.0% | 2.32× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +8.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 76.5% | 1.27× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −9.5 | 99.7% | 97.4% | 39.3% | 2.48× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +9.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 78.7% | 1.24× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −10.5 | 99.6% | 97.4% | 36.8% | 2.65× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +10.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 80.4% | 1.21× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +12.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 83.8% | 1.16× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +14.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 86.7% | 1.12× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −16.5 | 98.2% | 97.4% | 24.3% | 4.02× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −18.5 | 97.1% | 97.4% | 20.7% | 4.70× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −20.5 | 95.7% | 97.4% | 18.0% | 5.41× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −12.5 | 99.3% | 97.4% | 32.1% | 3.03× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −14.5 | 98.8% | 97.4% | 27.9% | 3.49× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles +16.5 | 1.8% | 2.6% | 75.7% | 0.03× | 38.73 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles +18.5 | 2.9% | 2.6% | 79.3% | 0.03× | 38.73 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles +20.5 | 4.3% | 2.6% | 82.0% | 0.03× | 38.72 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles +12.5 | 0.7% | 2.6% | 67.9% | 0.04× | 38.74 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles +14.5 | 1.2% | 2.6% | 72.1% | 0.04× | 38.74 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles −16.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 10.9% | 0.24× | 38.74 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles −18.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 8.9% | 0.29× | 38.74 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles −20.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 7.3% | 0.35× | 38.74 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles +1.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 41.3% | 0.06× | 38.74 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles −1.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 38.8% | 0.07× | 38.74 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles +2.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 43.3% | 0.06× | 38.74 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles −2.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 36.7% | 0.07× | 38.74 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles +3.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 45.8% | 0.06× | 38.74 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles −3.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 34.3% | 0.08× | 38.74 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles +4.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 47.8% | 0.05× | 38.74 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles −4.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 32.2% | 0.08× | 38.74 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles +5.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 50.3% | 0.05× | 38.74 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles −5.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 29.9% | 0.09× | 38.74 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles +6.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 52.4% | 0.05× | 38.74 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles −6.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 27.7% | 0.09× | 38.74 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles +7.5 | 0.2% | 2.6% | 55.2% | 0.05× | 38.74 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles −7.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 25.5% | 0.10× | 38.74 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles +8.5 | 0.2% | 2.6% | 58.0% | 0.04× | 38.74 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles −8.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 23.5% | 0.11× | 38.74 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles +9.5 | 0.3% | 2.6% | 60.7% | 0.04× | 38.74 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles −9.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 21.3% | 0.12× | 38.74 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles +10.5 | 0.4% | 2.6% | 63.2% | 0.04× | 38.74 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles −10.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 19.6% | 0.13× | 38.74 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles −12.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 16.2% | 0.16× | 38.74 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles −14.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 13.3% | 0.19× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 72.8% | 67.1% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.2% | 32.9% | 33.3% | 0.99× | 3.04 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 highest scoring | 34.7% | 31.9% | 31.2% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 33.0% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 16.9% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 15.4% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.02× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels at HT / North Carolina Tar Heels at FT | 98.1% | 98.6% | 48.3% | 2.04× | 1.02 |
| Level at HT / North Carolina Tar Heels at FT | 0.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.78 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles at HT / North Carolina Tar Heels at FT | 1.4% | 2.1% | 9.8% | 0.21× | 47.77 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels at HT / North Carolina Central Eagles at FT | 0.0% | 2.1% | 8.2% | 0.26× | 47.79 |
| Level at HT / North Carolina Central Eagles at FT | 0.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.79 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles at HT / North Carolina Central Eagles at FT | 0.0% | 2.1% | 30.1% | 0.07× | 47.79 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels to win | 100.0% | 97.5% | 59.9% | 1.63× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles to win | 0.0% | 2.5% | 40.1% | 0.06× | 39.98 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Central Eagles even | 51.3% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 50.0% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 50.0% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles odd | 48.7% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 99.5% | 97.0% | 95.6% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Match to go to overtime | 0.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 0.67× | 33.63 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels to win Q1 | 91.2% | 92.1% | 54.7% | 1.68× | 1.09 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles to win Q1 | 6.6% | 5.5% | 40.4% | 0.14× | 18.31 |
| Q1 tied | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 0.85× | 24.04 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 over 24.5 | 89.7% | 87.4% | 81.8% | 1.07× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 40.5 | 88.6% | 87.4% | 89.9% | 0.97× | 1.14 |
| Q1 over 27.5 | 78.7% | 76.9% | 67.7% | 1.14× | 1.30 |
| Q1 under 37.5 | 77.3% | 76.9% | 81.6% | 0.94× | 1.30 |
| Q1 over 29.5 | 68.7% | 67.6% | 56.9% | 1.19× | 1.48 |
| Q1 under 35.5 | 67.0% | 67.6% | 73.2% | 0.92× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 31.5 | 57.0% | 58.6% | 46.0% | 1.27× | 1.71 |
| Q1 under 33.5 | 55.3% | 58.6% | 64.0% | 0.92× | 1.71 |
| Q1 over 32.5 | 50.9% | 52.7% | 40.9% | 1.29× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 32.5 | 49.1% | 47.3% | 59.1% | 0.80× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 33.5 | 44.7% | 41.4% | 36.0% | 1.15× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 31.5 | 43.0% | 41.4% | 54.0% | 0.77× | 2.42 |
| Q1 over 35.5 | 33.0% | 32.4% | 26.8% | 1.21× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 29.5 | 31.3% | 32.4% | 43.1% | 0.75× | 3.08 |
| Q1 over 37.5 | 22.7% | 23.1% | 18.4% | 1.26× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 27.5 | 21.3% | 23.1% | 32.3% | 0.71× | 4.33 |
| Q1 over 40.5 | 11.4% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 1.24× | 7.95 |
| Q1 under 24.5 | 10.3% | 12.6% | 18.2% | 0.69× | 7.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels to win Q2 | 90.5% | 93.5% | 52.9% | 1.77× | 1.07 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles to win Q2 | 7.1% | 6.1% | 41.5% | 0.15× | 16.48 |
| Q2 tied | 2.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 0.77× | 22.97 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 40.5 | 89.6% | 87.3% | 90.8% | 0.96× | 1.15 |
| Q2 over 24.5 | 88.7% | 87.3% | 80.7% | 1.08× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 37.5 | 78.8% | 76.8% | 82.3% | 0.93× | 1.30 |
| Q2 over 27.5 | 77.1% | 76.8% | 66.7% | 1.15× | 1.30 |
| Q2 under 35.5 | 68.9% | 67.4% | 74.6% | 0.90× | 1.48 |
| Q2 over 29.5 | 66.8% | 67.4% | 55.8% | 1.21× | 1.49 |
| Q2 under 33.5 | 57.3% | 58.2% | 65.6% | 0.89× | 1.72 |
| Q2 over 31.5 | 54.9% | 52.7% | 44.3% | 1.19× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 32.5 | 51.2% | 52.7% | 60.8% | 0.87× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 32.5 | 48.8% | 47.3% | 39.2% | 1.21× | 2.11 |
| Q2 under 31.5 | 45.1% | 47.3% | 55.7% | 0.85× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 33.5 | 42.7% | 41.8% | 34.4% | 1.22× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 29.5 | 33.2% | 32.6% | 44.2% | 0.74× | 3.06 |
| Q2 over 35.5 | 31.1% | 32.6% | 25.4% | 1.29× | 3.06 |
| Q2 under 27.5 | 22.9% | 23.2% | 33.3% | 0.70× | 4.31 |
| Q2 over 37.5 | 21.2% | 23.2% | 17.7% | 1.31× | 4.31 |
| Q2 under 24.5 | 11.3% | 12.7% | 19.3% | 0.66× | 7.90 |
| Q2 over 40.5 | 10.4% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 1.38× | 7.90 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels to win Q3 | 92.5% | 94.7% | 53.3% | 1.78× | 1.06 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles to win Q3 | 5.6% | 5.3% | 41.8% | 0.13× | 18.97 |
| Q3 tied | 1.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 0.86× | 23.52 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 over 27.5 | 88.9% | 87.2% | 80.0% | 1.09× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 43.5 | 88.5% | 87.2% | 90.2% | 0.97× | 1.15 |
| Q3 over 30.5 | 77.7% | 77.3% | 66.8% | 1.16× | 1.29 |
| Q3 under 40.5 | 77.3% | 77.3% | 81.9% | 0.94× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 32.5 | 67.7% | 67.8% | 56.1% | 1.21× | 1.48 |
| Q3 under 38.5 | 67.3% | 67.8% | 73.9% | 0.92× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 34.5 | 56.2% | 58.4% | 45.4% | 1.29× | 1.71 |
| Q3 under 36.5 | 55.9% | 58.4% | 64.6% | 0.90× | 1.71 |
| Q3 over 35.5 | 50.1% | 52.3% | 40.3% | 1.30× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 35.5 | 49.9% | 47.7% | 59.7% | 0.80× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 36.5 | 44.1% | 41.6% | 35.4% | 1.17× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 34.5 | 43.9% | 41.6% | 54.6% | 0.76× | 2.40 |
| Q3 over 38.5 | 32.7% | 32.2% | 26.1% | 1.23× | 3.10 |
| Q3 under 32.5 | 32.3% | 32.2% | 43.9% | 0.73× | 3.10 |
| Q3 over 40.5 | 22.7% | 22.7% | 18.1% | 1.25× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 30.5 | 22.3% | 22.7% | 33.2% | 0.69× | 4.40 |
| Q3 over 43.5 | 11.5% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 1.30× | 7.83 |
| Q3 under 27.5 | 11.1% | 12.8% | 20.0% | 0.64× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels to win Q4 | 92.1% | 85.7% | 52.8% | 1.62× | 1.17 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles to win Q4 | 5.9% | 5.8% | 41.5% | 0.14× | 17.25 |
| Q4 tied | 2.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 0.91× | 19.35 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 over 27.5 | 87.6% | 85.6% | 78.9% | 1.09× | 1.17 |
| Q4 under 43.5 | 86.8% | 85.6% | 88.6% | 0.97× | 1.17 |
| Q4 over 30.5 | 76.6% | 76.9% | 66.3% | 1.16× | 1.30 |
| Q4 under 40.5 | 75.6% | 76.9% | 80.6% | 0.95× | 1.30 |
| Q4 over 32.5 | 67.0% | 67.4% | 55.4% | 1.22× | 1.48 |
| Q4 under 38.5 | 66.0% | 67.4% | 73.1% | 0.92× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 34.5 | 56.2% | 58.4% | 45.6% | 1.28× | 1.71 |
| Q4 under 36.5 | 55.1% | 58.4% | 64.3% | 0.91× | 1.71 |
| Q4 over 35.5 | 50.5% | 52.5% | 40.6% | 1.29× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 35.5 | 49.5% | 47.5% | 59.4% | 0.80× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 36.5 | 44.9% | 41.6% | 35.7% | 1.17× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 34.5 | 43.8% | 41.6% | 54.4% | 0.76× | 2.40 |
| Q4 over 38.5 | 34.0% | 32.6% | 26.9% | 1.21× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 32.5 | 33.0% | 32.6% | 44.6% | 0.73× | 3.07 |
| Q4 over 40.5 | 24.4% | 23.1% | 19.4% | 1.19× | 4.33 |
| Q4 under 30.5 | 23.4% | 23.1% | 33.7% | 0.68× | 4.33 |
| Q4 over 43.5 | 13.2% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 1.26× | 6.95 |
| Q4 under 27.5 | 12.4% | 14.4% | 21.1% | 0.68× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Central Eagles under 59.5 | 92.7% | 86.5% | 41.2% | 2.10× | 1.16 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels under 97.5 | 86.5% | 83.9% | 97.7% | 0.86× | 1.19 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles under 56.5 | 86.4% | 83.9% | 32.0% | 2.63× | 1.19 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels over 77.5 | 85.1% | 83.9% | 22.6% | 3.72× | 1.19 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles over 42.5 | 82.7% | 80.7% | 94.8% | 0.85× | 1.24 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles under 54.5 | 80.5% | 80.7% | 26.5% | 3.05× | 1.24 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles over 39.5 | 100.0% | 75.6% | 97.0% | 0.78× | 1.32 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels under 94.5 | 78.2% | 75.1% | 96.7% | 0.78× | 1.33 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels over 80.5 | 76.4% | 75.1% | 17.1% | 4.40× | 1.33 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles under 52.5 | 72.9% | 70.7% | 21.5% | 3.29× | 1.41 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels under 92.5 | 71.4% | 70.7% | 95.7% | 0.74× | 1.41 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles over 44.5 | 70.5% | 70.7% | 92.5% | 0.76× | 1.41 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels over 82.5 | 69.3% | 66.4% | 13.8% | 4.82× | 1.51 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles under 50.5 | 63.8% | 61.2% | 16.9% | 3.63× | 1.63 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels under 90.5 | 63.8% | 61.2% | 94.5% | 0.65× | 1.63 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels over 84.5 | 61.4% | 61.2% | 11.1% | 5.52× | 1.63 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles under 49.5 | 58.7% | 57.1% | 14.9% | 3.82× | 1.75 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles over 46.5 | 58.3% | 57.1% | 89.7% | 0.64× | 1.75 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels under 88.5 | 55.5% | 57.1% | 93.1% | 0.61× | 1.75 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels over 86.5 | 53.0% | 52.3% | 8.8% | 5.94× | 1.91 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels under 87.5 | 51.3% | 52.3% | 92.3% | 0.57× | 1.91 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles under 48.5 | 53.3% | 52.3% | 13.3% | 3.93× | 1.91 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels under 86.5 | 47.0% | 47.7% | 91.2% | 0.52× | 2.09 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels over 87.5 | 48.8% | 47.7% | 7.7% | 6.22× | 2.09 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles over 48.5 | 46.7% | 47.7% | 86.7% | 0.55× | 2.09 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels over 88.5 | 44.5% | 42.9% | 6.9% | 6.19× | 2.33 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles under 46.5 | 41.7% | 42.9% | 10.3% | 4.16× | 2.33 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles over 49.5 | 41.3% | 42.9% | 85.1% | 0.50× | 2.33 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels under 84.5 | 38.6% | 38.8% | 88.9% | 0.44× | 2.58 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels over 90.5 | 36.2% | 38.8% | 5.5% | 7.09× | 2.58 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles over 50.5 | 36.2% | 38.8% | 83.1% | 0.47× | 2.58 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels under 82.5 | 30.7% | 33.6% | 86.2% | 0.39× | 2.98 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels over 92.5 | 28.6% | 29.3% | 4.3% | 6.75× | 3.42 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles under 44.5 | 29.5% | 29.3% | 7.5% | 3.92× | 3.42 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles over 52.5 | 27.1% | 29.3% | 78.5% | 0.37× | 3.42 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels under 80.5 | 23.6% | 24.9% | 82.9% | 0.30× | 4.02 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels over 94.5 | 21.8% | 24.9% | 3.3% | 7.52× | 4.02 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles under 39.5 | 0.0% | 24.4% | 3.0% | 8.12× | 4.09 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles over 54.5 | 19.5% | 19.3% | 73.5% | 0.26× | 5.18 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles under 42.5 | 17.3% | 19.3% | 5.2% | 3.73× | 5.18 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels under 77.5 | 14.9% | 16.1% | 77.4% | 0.21× | 6.21 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels over 97.5 | 13.5% | 16.1% | 2.3% | 7.11× | 6.21 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles over 56.5 | 13.6% | 16.1% | 68.0% | 0.24× | 6.21 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles over 59.5 | 7.3% | 13.5% | 58.8% | 0.23× | 7.40 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 116.5 points | 95.2% | 92.1% | 77.2% | 1.19× | 1.09 |
| Under 156.5 points | 94.2% | 88.8% | 91.3% | 0.97× | 1.13 |
| Over 121.5 points | 88.6% | 85.0% | 67.7% | 1.26× | 1.18 |
| Under 151.5 points | 88.7% | 85.0% | 87.3% | 0.97× | 1.18 |
| Under 146.5 points | 80.1% | 80.6% | 80.9% | 1.00× | 1.24 |
| Over 126.5 points | 77.8% | 75.6% | 57.4% | 1.32× | 1.32 |
| Under 143.5 points | 73.2% | 70.8% | 76.7% | 0.92× | 1.41 |
| Over 129.5 points | 69.4% | 65.9% | 50.5% | 1.30× | 1.52 |
| Under 141.5 points | 67.9% | 65.9% | 73.4% | 0.90× | 1.52 |
| Over 131.5 points | 63.2% | 61.5% | 46.1% | 1.33× | 1.63 |
| Under 139.5 points | 62.1% | 61.5% | 69.9% | 0.88× | 1.63 |
| Over 133.5 points | 56.8% | 56.5% | 42.0% | 1.35× | 1.77 |
| Under 137.5 points | 56.0% | 56.5% | 66.2% | 0.85× | 1.77 |
| Under 136.5 points | 52.8% | 52.3% | 64.2% | 0.81× | 1.91 |
| Over 135.5 points | 50.4% | 52.3% | 37.6% | 1.39× | 1.91 |
| Under 135.5 points | 49.6% | 47.7% | 62.4% | 0.76× | 2.10 |
| Over 136.5 points | 47.2% | 47.7% | 35.8% | 1.33× | 2.10 |
| Under 133.5 points | 43.2% | 43.5% | 58.0% | 0.75× | 2.30 |
| Over 137.5 points | 44.0% | 43.5% | 33.8% | 1.29× | 2.30 |
| Over 139.5 points | 37.9% | 38.5% | 30.1% | 1.28× | 2.60 |
| Under 131.5 points | 36.8% | 38.5% | 53.9% | 0.71× | 2.60 |
| Over 141.5 points | 32.1% | 34.1% | 26.6% | 1.28× | 2.93 |
| Under 129.5 points | 30.6% | 34.1% | 49.5% | 0.69× | 2.93 |
| Over 143.5 points | 26.8% | 29.2% | 23.3% | 1.25× | 3.43 |
| Under 126.5 points | 22.2% | 24.4% | 42.6% | 0.57× | 4.10 |
| Over 146.5 points | 19.9% | 19.4% | 19.1% | 1.02× | 5.15 |
| Under 121.5 points | 11.4% | 15.0% | 32.3% | 0.46× | 6.69 |
| Over 151.5 points | 11.3% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 1.17× | 6.69 |
| Over 156.5 points | 5.8% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 1.29× | 8.97 |
| Under 116.5 points | 4.8% | 7.9% | 22.8% | 0.35× | 12.64 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels to win both halves | 96.8% | 96.5% | 36.0% | 2.68× | 1.04 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles to win both halves | 0.0% | 3.0% | 20.4% | 0.15× | 33.85 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels by 26+ | 89.3% | 90.1% | 12.6% | 7.14× | 1.11 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels by 21-25 | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 1.39× | 13.40 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels by 11-15 | 1.1% | 2.0% | 10.8% | 0.19× | 49.32 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels by 16-20 | 2.9% | 2.0% | 8.0% | 0.25× | 49.30 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels by 1-5 | 0.1% | 2.0% | 10.2% | 0.20× | 49.33 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles by 1-5 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 10.2% | 0.20× | 49.33 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels by 6-10 | 0.3% | 2.0% | 12.9% | 0.16× | 49.33 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles by 6-10 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 10.3% | 0.20× | 49.33 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles by 11-15 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 7.6% | 0.27× | 49.33 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles by 16-20 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 0.43× | 49.33 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles by 21-25 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 0.76× | 49.33 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles by 26+ | 0.0% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 0.44× | 49.33 |