North Carolina Tar Heels v West Virginia Mountaineers — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Friday 27 November 2026 · NCAAB · 2027
NCAAB results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.North Carolina Tar Heels win
71.9%
Draw
0.0%
West Virginia Mountaineers win
28.1%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 72.08–66.07 | 72-66 0% | 49% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels to score 100+ | 0.3% | 0.4% | 3.4% | 0.10× | 283.31 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.52× | 283.35 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.87× | 283.36 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 19.47× | 283.36 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.33× | 283.35 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.95× | 283.36 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 12.98× | 283.36 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 38.95× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.87× | 283.36 |
H1 result 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels to win H1 | 61.0% | 62.2% | 57.9% | 1.07× | 1.61 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels to win H1 | 61.0% | 62.2% | 57.9% | 1.07× | 1.61 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers to win H1 | 34.7% | 33.2% | 38.2% | 0.87× | 3.02 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers to win H1 | 34.7% | 33.2% | 38.2% | 0.87× | 3.02 |
| H1 tied | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 0.99× | 25.86 |
| H1 tied | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 0.99× | 25.86 |
H1 total 40
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 77.5 | 87.3% | 87.7% | 78.3% | 1.12× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 53.5 | 86.9% | 87.7% | 92.6% | 0.95× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 73.5 | 78.5% | 77.4% | 66.6% | 1.16× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 57.5 | 77.9% | 77.4% | 85.5% | 0.91× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 57.5 | 77.1% | 77.4% | 85.5% | 0.91× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 73.5 | 77.8% | 77.4% | 66.6% | 1.16× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 60.5 | 68.3% | 67.4% | 77.9% | 0.86× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 70.5 | 69.1% | 67.4% | 56.5% | 1.19× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 70.5 | 68.5% | 67.4% | 56.5% | 1.19× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 60.5 | 67.7% | 67.4% | 77.9% | 0.86× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 62.5 | 61.0% | 62.7% | 72.0% | 0.87× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 68.5 | 61.9% | 62.7% | 49.3% | 1.27× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 68.5 | 61.6% | 62.7% | 49.3% | 1.27× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 62.5 | 60.7% | 62.7% | 72.0% | 0.87× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 66.5 | 54.4% | 52.6% | 41.8% | 1.26× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 66.5 | 54.2% | 52.6% | 41.8% | 1.26× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 64.5 | 53.4% | 52.6% | 65.3% | 0.81× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 64.5 | 53.3% | 52.6% | 65.3% | 0.81× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 65.5 | 50.5% | 52.6% | 38.1% | 1.38× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 65.5 | 50.5% | 52.6% | 38.1% | 1.38× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 65.5 | 49.5% | 47.4% | 61.9% | 0.77× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 65.5 | 49.5% | 47.4% | 61.9% | 0.77× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 64.5 | 46.6% | 47.4% | 34.8% | 1.36× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 64.5 | 46.7% | 47.4% | 34.8% | 1.36× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 66.5 | 45.6% | 47.4% | 58.2% | 0.81× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 66.5 | 45.8% | 47.4% | 58.2% | 0.81× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 62.5 | 39.3% | 37.3% | 28.0% | 1.33× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 62.5 | 39.0% | 37.3% | 28.0% | 1.33× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 68.5 | 38.1% | 37.3% | 50.7% | 0.74× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 68.5 | 38.4% | 37.3% | 50.7% | 0.74× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 60.5 | 32.3% | 32.6% | 22.1% | 1.48× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 60.5 | 31.7% | 32.6% | 22.1% | 1.48× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 70.5 | 30.9% | 32.6% | 43.5% | 0.75× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 70.5 | 31.5% | 32.6% | 43.5% | 0.75× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 57.5 | 22.1% | 22.6% | 14.5% | 1.56× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 57.5 | 22.9% | 22.6% | 14.5% | 1.56× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 73.5 | 22.2% | 22.6% | 33.4% | 0.68× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 73.5 | 21.5% | 22.6% | 33.4% | 0.68× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 53.5 | 13.1% | 12.3% | 7.4% | 1.66× | 8.14 |
| H1 over 77.5 | 12.7% | 12.3% | 21.7% | 0.57× | 8.14 |
H2 result 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels to win H2 | 62.0% | 58.8% | 56.9% | 1.03× | 1.70 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels to win H2 | 62.0% | 58.8% | 57.5% | 1.02× | 1.70 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers to win H2 | 33.9% | 36.3% | 38.9% | 0.93× | 2.75 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers to win H2 | 33.9% | 36.3% | 38.5% | 0.94× | 2.75 |
| H2 tied | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 0.95× | 25.35 |
| H2 tied | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 0.97× | 25.35 |
H2 total 40
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 85.5 | 86.9% | 85.2% | 73.3% | 1.16× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 61.5 | 84.5% | 81.8% | 91.4% | 0.90× | 1.22 |
| H2 under 81.5 | 78.5% | 75.8% | 65.8% | 1.15× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 81.5 | 77.8% | 75.8% | 62.2% | 1.22× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 65.5 | 75.0% | 75.8% | 83.1% | 0.91× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 65.5 | 74.4% | 72.2% | 84.5% | 0.85× | 1.39 |
| H2 under 78.5 | 69.7% | 66.4% | 56.4% | 1.18× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 78.5 | 69.2% | 66.4% | 53.0% | 1.25× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 68.5 | 65.5% | 66.4% | 75.7% | 0.88× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 68.5 | 65.1% | 66.4% | 77.5% | 0.86× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 76.5 | 63.0% | 61.6% | 49.7% | 1.24× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 76.5 | 62.7% | 61.6% | 46.6% | 1.32× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 70.5 | 58.6% | 57.3% | 69.8% | 0.82× | 1.74 |
| H2 over 70.5 | 58.3% | 57.3% | 71.9% | 0.80× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 74.5 | 55.9% | 57.3% | 43.0% | 1.33× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 74.5 | 55.8% | 57.3% | 40.0% | 1.43× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 73.5 | 52.3% | 52.4% | 39.6% | 1.32× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 73.5 | 52.2% | 52.4% | 36.9% | 1.42× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 72.5 | 51.3% | 52.4% | 63.4% | 0.83× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 72.5 | 51.3% | 52.4% | 65.9% | 0.79× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 72.5 | 48.7% | 47.6% | 36.6% | 1.30× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 72.5 | 48.7% | 47.6% | 34.1% | 1.40× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 73.5 | 47.7% | 47.6% | 60.4% | 0.79× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 73.5 | 47.8% | 47.6% | 63.1% | 0.76× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 74.5 | 44.1% | 42.7% | 57.0% | 0.75× | 2.34 |
| H2 over 74.5 | 44.2% | 42.7% | 60.0% | 0.71× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 70.5 | 41.7% | 42.7% | 28.1% | 1.52× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 70.5 | 41.4% | 42.7% | 30.2% | 1.41× | 2.34 |
| H2 over 76.5 | 37.0% | 38.4% | 50.3% | 0.76× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 76.5 | 37.3% | 38.4% | 53.4% | 0.72× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 68.5 | 34.5% | 33.6% | 24.3% | 1.38× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 68.5 | 34.9% | 33.6% | 22.5% | 1.50× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 78.5 | 30.3% | 33.6% | 43.6% | 0.77× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 78.5 | 30.8% | 33.6% | 47.0% | 0.71× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 65.5 | 25.6% | 27.8% | 15.5% | 1.79× | 3.59 |
| H2 under 65.5 | 25.0% | 24.2% | 16.9% | 1.44× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 81.5 | 21.5% | 24.2% | 34.2% | 0.71× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 81.5 | 22.2% | 24.2% | 37.8% | 0.64× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 61.5 | 15.5% | 18.2% | 8.6% | 2.10× | 5.50 |
| H2 over 85.5 | 13.1% | 14.8% | 26.7% | 0.55× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels leading at half time | 61.0% | 62.5% | 57.9% | 1.08× | 1.60 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers leading at half time | 34.7% | 32.8% | 38.2% | 0.86× | 3.05 |
| Level at half time | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 0.97× | 26.40 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels +12.5 | 95.7% | 97.4% | 89.9% | 1.08× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +14.5 | 97.1% | 97.4% | 92.2% | 1.06× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +16.5 | 98.2% | 97.4% | 94.0% | 1.04× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +18.5 | 98.9% | 97.4% | 95.4% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +20.5 | 99.3% | 97.4% | 96.5% | 1.01× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +9.5 | 92.3% | 91.1% | 85.3% | 1.07× | 1.10 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +10.5 | 93.6% | 91.1% | 87.2% | 1.05× | 1.10 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +8.5 | 90.9% | 91.1% | 83.3% | 1.09× | 1.10 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers +20.5 | 91.0% | 91.1% | 86.5% | 1.05× | 1.10 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +7.5 | 89.3% | 85.9% | 81.0% | 1.06× | 1.16 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +6.5 | 87.4% | 85.9% | 78.8% | 1.09× | 1.16 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers +18.5 | 87.5% | 85.9% | 83.9% | 1.02× | 1.16 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +5.5 | 85.4% | 85.9% | 76.4% | 1.12× | 1.16 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +4.5 | 83.1% | 81.1% | 73.7% | 1.10× | 1.23 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers +16.5 | 83.2% | 81.1% | 80.7% | 1.01× | 1.23 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +3.5 | 80.6% | 81.1% | 70.8% | 1.15× | 1.23 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +2.5 | 77.9% | 76.5% | 68.0% | 1.13× | 1.31 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers +14.5 | 78.0% | 76.5% | 77.2% | 0.99× | 1.31 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +1.5 | 75.0% | 71.6% | 65.4% | 1.10× | 1.40 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers +12.5 | 72.0% | 71.6% | 72.4% | 0.99× | 1.40 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −1.5 | 68.4% | 66.7% | 60.8% | 1.10× | 1.50 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers +10.5 | 65.3% | 66.7% | 67.4% | 0.99× | 1.50 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −2.5 | 64.8% | 61.9% | 57.7% | 1.07× | 1.62 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers +9.5 | 61.7% | 61.9% | 64.5% | 0.96× | 1.62 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −3.5 | 61.1% | 61.9% | 54.1% | 1.14× | 1.62 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers +8.5 | 58.0% | 57.1% | 61.5% | 0.93× | 1.75 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −4.5 | 57.3% | 57.1% | 50.7% | 1.13× | 1.75 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −5.5 | 53.5% | 52.4% | 47.0% | 1.11× | 1.91 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers +7.5 | 54.2% | 52.4% | 58.7% | 0.89× | 1.91 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers +6.5 | 50.4% | 52.4% | 55.7% | 0.94× | 1.91 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −6.5 | 49.6% | 47.6% | 44.3% | 1.07× | 2.10 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers +5.5 | 46.5% | 47.6% | 53.0% | 0.90× | 2.10 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −7.5 | 45.8% | 47.6% | 41.3% | 1.15× | 2.10 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers +4.5 | 42.7% | 42.9% | 49.3% | 0.87× | 2.33 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −8.5 | 42.0% | 42.9% | 38.5% | 1.12× | 2.33 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers +3.5 | 38.9% | 38.1% | 45.9% | 0.83× | 2.63 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −9.5 | 38.3% | 38.1% | 35.5% | 1.07× | 2.63 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers +2.5 | 35.2% | 38.1% | 42.3% | 0.90× | 2.63 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −10.5 | 34.7% | 33.3% | 32.6% | 1.02× | 3.01 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers +1.5 | 31.6% | 33.3% | 39.2% | 0.85× | 3.01 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −12.5 | 28.0% | 28.4% | 27.6% | 1.03× | 3.53 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers −1.5 | 25.0% | 28.4% | 34.6% | 0.82× | 3.53 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers −2.5 | 22.1% | 23.5% | 32.0% | 0.73× | 4.25 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −14.5 | 22.0% | 23.5% | 22.8% | 1.03× | 4.25 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers −3.5 | 19.4% | 18.9% | 29.3% | 0.65× | 5.29 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers −4.5 | 16.9% | 18.9% | 26.3% | 0.72× | 5.29 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −16.5 | 16.8% | 18.9% | 19.3% | 0.98× | 5.29 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers −5.5 | 14.6% | 14.1% | 23.6% | 0.60× | 7.09 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers −6.5 | 12.6% | 14.1% | 21.2% | 0.66× | 7.09 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −18.5 | 12.5% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 0.87× | 7.09 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers −7.5 | 10.7% | 14.1% | 19.0% | 0.74× | 7.09 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers −8.5 | 9.1% | 8.9% | 16.7% | 0.53× | 11.25 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −20.5 | 9.0% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 0.66× | 11.25 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers −9.5 | 7.7% | 8.9% | 14.7% | 0.61× | 11.25 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers −10.5 | 6.4% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 0.69× | 11.25 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers −12.5 | 4.4% | 2.6% | 10.1% | 0.26× | 38.72 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers −14.5 | 2.9% | 2.6% | 7.8% | 0.33× | 38.73 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers −16.5 | 1.8% | 2.6% | 6.0% | 0.43× | 38.73 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers −18.5 | 1.1% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 0.57× | 38.74 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers −20.5 | 0.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 0.75× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 highest scoring | 77.6% | 71.6% | 70.4% | 1.02× | 1.40 |
| 2nd half highest scoring | 76.1% | 71.6% | 72.5% | 0.99× | 1.40 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 23.9% | 28.4% | 27.5% | 1.03× | 3.53 |
| H1 highest scoring | 22.4% | 28.4% | 29.6% | 0.96× | 3.53 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels at HT / North Carolina Tar Heels at FT | 52.4% | 51.1% | 48.6% | 1.05× | 1.96 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers at HT / West Virginia Mountaineers at FT | 18.2% | 15.5% | 25.8% | 0.60× | 6.47 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers at HT / North Carolina Tar Heels at FT | 16.5% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 1.25× | 6.47 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels at HT / West Virginia Mountaineers at FT | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 0.89× | 12.08 |
| Level at HT / North Carolina Tar Heels at FT | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.92× | 47.74 |
| Level at HT / West Virginia Mountaineers at FT | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.28× | 47.77 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels to win | 71.9% | 68.7% | 63.2% | 1.09× | 1.46 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers to win | 28.1% | 31.3% | 36.8% | 0.85× | 3.20 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total points odd | 51.6% | 50.5% | 51.6% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.4% | 1.00× | 1.98 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.6% | 1.00× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 48.4% | 49.5% | 48.4% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 92.8% | 94.0% | 94.2% | 1.00× | 1.06 |
| Match to go to overtime | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 1.04× | 16.65 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Virginia Mountaineers under 76.5 | 86.4% | 83.9% | 67.9% | 1.24× | 1.19 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels under 82.5 | 85.4% | 83.9% | 70.8% | 1.19× | 1.19 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels over 62.5 | 84.0% | 80.7% | 87.3% | 0.92× | 1.24 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers over 56.5 | 84.1% | 80.7% | 89.8% | 0.90× | 1.24 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers under 73.5 | 78.3% | 75.1% | 58.3% | 1.29× | 1.33 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels under 79.5 | 77.2% | 75.1% | 61.6% | 1.22× | 1.33 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels over 65.5 | 75.5% | 75.1% | 81.1% | 0.93× | 1.33 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers over 59.5 | 75.3% | 75.1% | 84.5% | 0.89× | 1.33 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers under 71.5 | 71.7% | 70.7% | 51.8% | 1.36× | 1.41 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels under 77.5 | 70.5% | 70.7% | 55.4% | 1.28× | 1.41 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels over 67.5 | 68.6% | 66.4% | 75.9% | 0.88× | 1.51 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers over 61.5 | 68.2% | 66.4% | 79.3% | 0.84× | 1.51 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers under 69.5 | 64.3% | 61.2% | 45.2% | 1.35× | 1.63 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels under 75.5 | 63.1% | 61.2% | 49.0% | 1.25× | 1.63 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels over 69.5 | 61.0% | 61.2% | 69.6% | 0.88× | 1.63 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers over 63.5 | 60.3% | 61.2% | 73.9% | 0.83× | 1.63 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers under 67.5 | 56.3% | 57.1% | 38.4% | 1.49× | 1.75 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels under 73.5 | 55.2% | 57.1% | 42.6% | 1.34× | 1.75 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels over 71.5 | 53.0% | 52.3% | 63.7% | 0.82× | 1.91 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels under 72.5 | 51.1% | 52.3% | 39.2% | 1.33× | 1.91 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers over 65.5 | 52.1% | 52.3% | 67.8% | 0.77× | 1.91 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers under 66.5 | 52.1% | 52.3% | 35.3% | 1.48× | 1.91 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels under 71.5 | 47.0% | 47.7% | 36.3% | 1.32× | 2.09 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels over 72.5 | 48.9% | 47.7% | 60.8% | 0.79× | 2.09 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers under 65.5 | 47.9% | 47.7% | 32.2% | 1.48× | 2.09 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers over 66.5 | 47.9% | 47.7% | 64.7% | 0.74× | 2.09 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels over 73.5 | 44.8% | 42.9% | 57.4% | 0.75× | 2.33 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers over 67.5 | 43.8% | 42.9% | 61.6% | 0.70× | 2.33 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers under 63.5 | 39.7% | 38.8% | 26.1% | 1.48× | 2.58 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels under 69.5 | 39.0% | 38.8% | 30.4% | 1.27× | 2.58 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels over 75.5 | 36.9% | 38.8% | 51.0% | 0.76× | 2.58 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers over 69.5 | 35.7% | 38.8% | 54.8% | 0.71× | 2.58 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers under 61.5 | 31.8% | 33.6% | 20.7% | 1.62× | 2.98 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels under 67.5 | 31.4% | 33.6% | 24.1% | 1.39× | 2.98 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels over 77.5 | 29.5% | 29.3% | 44.6% | 0.66× | 3.42 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers over 71.5 | 28.3% | 29.3% | 48.2% | 0.61× | 3.42 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels under 65.5 | 24.5% | 24.9% | 18.9% | 1.32× | 4.02 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers under 59.5 | 24.7% | 24.9% | 15.5% | 1.60× | 4.02 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels over 79.5 | 22.8% | 24.9% | 38.4% | 0.65× | 4.02 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers over 73.5 | 21.7% | 24.9% | 41.7% | 0.60× | 4.02 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels under 62.5 | 16.0% | 19.3% | 12.7% | 1.52× | 5.18 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers under 56.5 | 15.9% | 19.3% | 10.2% | 1.90× | 5.18 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels over 82.5 | 14.6% | 16.1% | 29.2% | 0.55× | 6.21 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers over 76.5 | 13.6% | 16.1% | 32.1% | 0.50× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 158.5 points | 89.7% | 85.0% | 73.3% | 1.16× | 1.18 |
| Over 118.5 points | 89.3% | 85.0% | 94.7% | 0.90× | 1.18 |
| Under 153.5 points | 83.1% | 80.6% | 64.6% | 1.25× | 1.24 |
| Over 123.5 points | 82.2% | 80.6% | 90.5% | 0.89× | 1.24 |
| Under 148.5 points | 73.9% | 70.8% | 54.3% | 1.31× | 1.41 |
| Over 128.5 points | 72.9% | 70.8% | 84.5% | 0.84× | 1.41 |
| Under 145.5 points | 67.6% | 65.9% | 48.2% | 1.37× | 1.52 |
| Over 131.5 points | 66.3% | 65.9% | 79.9% | 0.82× | 1.52 |
| Under 143.5 points | 63.0% | 61.5% | 43.7% | 1.41× | 1.63 |
| Over 133.5 points | 61.6% | 61.5% | 76.4% | 0.80× | 1.63 |
| Under 141.5 points | 58.2% | 56.5% | 39.6% | 1.43× | 1.77 |
| Over 135.5 points | 56.7% | 56.5% | 72.9% | 0.78× | 1.77 |
| Under 139.5 points | 53.2% | 52.3% | 35.4% | 1.48× | 1.91 |
| Over 137.5 points | 51.8% | 52.3% | 69.0% | 0.76× | 1.91 |
| Under 138.5 points | 50.6% | 52.3% | 33.0% | 1.59× | 1.91 |
| Over 138.5 points | 49.4% | 47.7% | 67.0% | 0.71× | 2.10 |
| Under 137.5 points | 48.2% | 47.7% | 31.0% | 1.54× | 2.10 |
| Over 139.5 points | 46.8% | 47.7% | 64.6% | 0.74× | 2.10 |
| Under 135.5 points | 43.3% | 43.5% | 27.1% | 1.60× | 2.30 |
| Over 141.5 points | 41.8% | 43.5% | 60.4% | 0.72× | 2.30 |
| Under 133.5 points | 38.4% | 38.5% | 23.6% | 1.63× | 2.60 |
| Over 143.5 points | 37.0% | 38.5% | 56.3% | 0.68× | 2.60 |
| Under 131.5 points | 33.7% | 34.1% | 20.1% | 1.70× | 2.93 |
| Over 145.5 points | 32.4% | 34.1% | 51.8% | 0.66× | 2.93 |
| Under 128.5 points | 27.1% | 29.2% | 15.5% | 1.89× | 3.43 |
| Over 148.5 points | 26.1% | 29.2% | 45.7% | 0.64× | 3.43 |
| Under 123.5 points | 17.8% | 19.4% | 9.5% | 2.05× | 5.15 |
| Over 153.5 points | 16.9% | 19.4% | 35.4% | 0.55× | 5.15 |
| Over 158.5 points | 10.3% | 15.0% | 26.7% | 0.56× | 6.69 |
| Under 118.5 points | 10.7% | 15.0% | 5.3% | 2.80× | 6.69 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels to win both halves | 34.3% | 31.3% | 33.2% | 0.94× | 3.20 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers to win both halves | 8.7% | 8.8% | 14.5% | 0.61× | 11.31 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels by 6-10 | 18.8% | 16.8% | 14.4% | 1.16× | 5.97 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels by 1-5 | 18.4% | 16.8% | 16.2% | 1.03× | 5.97 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels by 11-15 | 15.5% | 16.8% | 11.6% | 1.45× | 5.97 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers by 1-5 | 13.5% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 0.93× | 8.11 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels by 16-20 | 10.3% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 1.62× | 8.11 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers by 6-10 | 8.3% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 0.69× | 13.40 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels by 21-25 | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 1.34× | 13.40 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers by 11-15 | 4.1% | 2.0% | 6.1% | 0.34× | 49.29 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels by 26+ | 3.5% | 2.0% | 7.9% | 0.26× | 49.30 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers by 16-20 | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 0.61× | 49.31 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers by 21-25 | 0.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.06× | 49.32 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers by 26+ | 0.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.30× | 49.33 |