North Carolina Tar Heels v Wyoming Cowboys — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Tuesday 10 November 2026 · NCAAB · 2027
NCAAB results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.North Carolina Tar Heels win
86.5%
Draw
0.0%
Wyoming Cowboys win
13.5%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 80.39–68.91 | 80-69 0% | 50% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels to score 100+ | 2.5% | 0.4% | 3.4% | 0.10× | 282.86 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels to score 110+ | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.52× | 283.33 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.87× | 283.36 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 19.47× | 283.36 |
| Wyoming Cowboys to score 100+ | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.33× | 283.34 |
| Wyoming Cowboys to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.95× | 283.36 |
| Wyoming Cowboys to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 12.98× | 283.36 |
| Wyoming Cowboys to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 38.95× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.87× | 283.35 |
H1 result 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels to win H1 | 72.0% | 72.9% | 57.9% | 1.26× | 1.37 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels to win H1 | 72.0% | 72.9% | 57.9% | 1.26× | 1.37 |
| Wyoming Cowboys to win H1 | 24.3% | 21.4% | 38.2% | 0.56× | 4.67 |
| Wyoming Cowboys to win H1 | 24.2% | 21.4% | 38.2% | 0.56× | 4.67 |
| H1 tied | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 0.99× | 25.86 |
| H1 tied | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 0.99× | 25.86 |
H1 total 40
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 over 58.5 | 87.3% | 87.7% | 83.3% | 1.05× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 82.5 | 86.8% | 87.7% | 88.9% | 0.99× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 62.5 | 78.5% | 77.4% | 72.0% | 1.08× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 62.5 | 77.8% | 77.4% | 72.0% | 1.08× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 78.5 | 77.1% | 77.4% | 80.7% | 0.96× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 78.5 | 77.8% | 77.4% | 80.7% | 0.96× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 65.5 | 68.5% | 67.4% | 61.9% | 1.09× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 65.5 | 69.1% | 67.4% | 61.9% | 1.09× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 75.5 | 68.2% | 67.4% | 72.8% | 0.93× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 75.5 | 67.7% | 67.4% | 72.8% | 0.93× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 67.5 | 61.5% | 62.7% | 54.4% | 1.15× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 67.5 | 61.9% | 62.7% | 54.4% | 1.15× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 73.5 | 61.0% | 62.7% | 66.6% | 0.94× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 73.5 | 60.7% | 62.7% | 66.6% | 0.94× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 69.5 | 54.2% | 52.6% | 46.9% | 1.12× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 69.5 | 54.3% | 52.6% | 46.9% | 1.12× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 71.5 | 53.3% | 52.6% | 60.0% | 0.88× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 71.5 | 53.4% | 52.6% | 60.0% | 0.88× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 70.5 | 50.5% | 52.6% | 43.5% | 1.21× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 70.5 | 50.5% | 52.6% | 43.5% | 1.21× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 70.5 | 49.6% | 47.4% | 56.5% | 0.84× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 70.5 | 49.5% | 47.4% | 56.5% | 0.84× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 71.5 | 46.7% | 47.4% | 40.0% | 1.19× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 71.5 | 46.6% | 47.4% | 40.0% | 1.19× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 69.5 | 45.8% | 47.4% | 53.1% | 0.89× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 69.5 | 45.7% | 47.4% | 53.1% | 0.89× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 73.5 | 39.3% | 37.3% | 33.4% | 1.12× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 67.5 | 38.5% | 37.3% | 45.6% | 0.82× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 67.5 | 38.1% | 37.3% | 45.6% | 0.82× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 73.5 | 39.0% | 37.3% | 33.4% | 1.12× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 75.5 | 32.3% | 32.6% | 27.2% | 1.20× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 65.5 | 31.5% | 32.6% | 38.1% | 0.86× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 65.5 | 30.9% | 32.6% | 38.1% | 0.86× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 75.5 | 31.8% | 32.6% | 27.2% | 1.20× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 62.5 | 22.2% | 22.6% | 28.0% | 0.80× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 78.5 | 22.9% | 22.6% | 19.3% | 1.17× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 78.5 | 22.2% | 22.6% | 19.3% | 1.17× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 62.5 | 21.5% | 22.6% | 28.0% | 0.80× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 82.5 | 13.2% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 1.10× | 8.14 |
| H1 under 58.5 | 12.7% | 12.3% | 16.7% | 0.74× | 8.14 |
H2 result 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels to win H2 | 73.6% | 67.6% | 56.9% | 1.19× | 1.48 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels to win H2 | 73.6% | 67.6% | 57.5% | 1.18× | 1.48 |
| Wyoming Cowboys to win H2 | 23.0% | 26.9% | 38.5% | 0.70× | 3.72 |
| Wyoming Cowboys to win H2 | 22.9% | 26.9% | 38.9% | 0.69× | 3.72 |
| H2 tied | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 0.97× | 25.36 |
| H2 tied | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 0.95× | 25.36 |
H2 total 40
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 over 66.5 | 86.1% | 85.2% | 82.3% | 1.03× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 90.5 | 85.2% | 85.2% | 83.6% | 1.02× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 70.5 | 76.7% | 75.8% | 71.9% | 1.05× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 70.5 | 77.3% | 75.8% | 69.8% | 1.09× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 86.5 | 75.5% | 75.8% | 75.7% | 1.00× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 86.5 | 76.1% | 75.8% | 79.3% | 0.96× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 73.5 | 67.8% | 66.4% | 63.1% | 1.05× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 73.5 | 68.3% | 66.4% | 60.4% | 1.10× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 83.5 | 66.5% | 66.4% | 68.0% | 0.98× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 83.5 | 66.9% | 66.4% | 71.6% | 0.93× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 75.5 | 61.2% | 61.6% | 56.4% | 1.09× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 75.5 | 61.5% | 61.6% | 53.4% | 1.15× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 81.5 | 60.0% | 61.6% | 65.8% | 0.94× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 81.5 | 59.8% | 57.3% | 62.2% | 0.92× | 1.74 |
| H2 over 77.5 | 54.3% | 52.4% | 50.2% | 1.04× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 77.5 | 54.4% | 52.4% | 47.0% | 1.12× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 79.5 | 52.8% | 52.4% | 56.2% | 0.93× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 79.5 | 52.9% | 52.4% | 59.8% | 0.88× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 78.5 | 50.8% | 52.4% | 47.0% | 1.11× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 78.5 | 50.8% | 52.4% | 43.6% | 1.20× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 78.5 | 49.2% | 47.6% | 53.0% | 0.90× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 78.5 | 49.2% | 47.6% | 56.4% | 0.84× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 79.5 | 47.2% | 47.6% | 43.8% | 1.09× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 79.5 | 47.1% | 47.6% | 40.3% | 1.18× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 77.5 | 45.7% | 47.6% | 49.8% | 0.96× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 77.5 | 45.6% | 47.6% | 53.0% | 0.90× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 81.5 | 40.2% | 42.7% | 37.8% | 1.13× | 2.35 |
| H2 over 81.5 | 40.0% | 38.4% | 34.2% | 1.12× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 75.5 | 38.8% | 38.4% | 43.6% | 0.88× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 75.5 | 38.5% | 38.4% | 46.6% | 0.82× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 83.5 | 33.6% | 33.6% | 32.0% | 1.05× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 83.5 | 33.1% | 33.6% | 28.4% | 1.18× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 73.5 | 32.2% | 33.6% | 36.9% | 0.91× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 73.5 | 31.7% | 33.6% | 39.6% | 0.85× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 86.5 | 24.5% | 24.2% | 24.3% | 1.00× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 86.5 | 23.9% | 24.2% | 20.7% | 1.17× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 70.5 | 23.3% | 24.2% | 28.1% | 0.86× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 70.5 | 22.7% | 24.2% | 30.2% | 0.80× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 90.5 | 14.8% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 0.90× | 6.76 |
| H2 under 66.5 | 13.9% | 14.8% | 17.7% | 0.84× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels leading at half time | 72.0% | 73.5% | 57.9% | 1.27× | 1.36 |
| Wyoming Cowboys leading at half time | 24.3% | 21.0% | 38.2% | 0.55× | 4.77 |
| Level at half time | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 0.97× | 26.41 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels +16.5 | 99.5% | 97.4% | 94.0% | 1.04× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +18.5 | 99.7% | 97.4% | 95.4% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +20.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 96.5% | 1.01× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +7.5 | 96.1% | 97.4% | 81.0% | 1.20× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +8.5 | 96.8% | 97.4% | 83.3% | 1.17× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +9.5 | 97.4% | 97.4% | 85.3% | 1.14× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +10.5 | 97.9% | 97.4% | 87.2% | 1.12× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +12.5 | 98.7% | 97.4% | 89.9% | 1.08× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +14.5 | 99.2% | 97.4% | 92.2% | 1.06× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +6.5 | 95.2% | 97.4% | 78.8% | 1.24× | 1.03 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +5.5 | 94.2% | 91.1% | 76.4% | 1.19× | 1.10 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +4.5 | 93.0% | 91.1% | 73.7% | 1.24× | 1.10 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +2.5 | 90.2% | 91.1% | 68.0% | 1.34× | 1.10 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +3.5 | 91.7% | 91.1% | 70.8% | 1.29× | 1.10 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels +1.5 | 88.4% | 85.9% | 65.4% | 1.31× | 1.16 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −1.5 | 84.1% | 81.1% | 60.8% | 1.33× | 1.23 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −2.5 | 81.6% | 81.1% | 57.7% | 1.41× | 1.23 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −3.5 | 78.8% | 76.5% | 54.1% | 1.41× | 1.31 |
| Wyoming Cowboys +20.5 | 79.6% | 76.5% | 86.5% | 0.88× | 1.31 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −4.5 | 75.8% | 76.5% | 50.7% | 1.51× | 1.31 |
| Wyoming Cowboys +18.5 | 73.9% | 71.6% | 83.9% | 0.85× | 1.40 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −5.5 | 72.7% | 71.6% | 47.0% | 1.52× | 1.40 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −6.5 | 69.3% | 66.7% | 44.3% | 1.51× | 1.50 |
| Wyoming Cowboys +16.5 | 67.4% | 66.7% | 80.7% | 0.83× | 1.50 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −7.5 | 65.8% | 66.7% | 41.3% | 1.61× | 1.50 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −8.5 | 62.2% | 61.9% | 38.5% | 1.61× | 1.62 |
| Wyoming Cowboys +14.5 | 60.3% | 61.9% | 77.2% | 0.80× | 1.62 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −9.5 | 58.5% | 57.1% | 35.5% | 1.61× | 1.75 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −10.5 | 54.8% | 52.4% | 32.6% | 1.61× | 1.91 |
| Wyoming Cowboys +12.5 | 52.8% | 52.4% | 72.4% | 0.72× | 1.91 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −12.5 | 47.2% | 47.6% | 27.6% | 1.72× | 2.10 |
| Wyoming Cowboys +10.5 | 45.2% | 47.6% | 67.4% | 0.71× | 2.10 |
| Wyoming Cowboys +9.5 | 41.5% | 42.9% | 64.5% | 0.67× | 2.33 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −14.5 | 39.7% | 38.1% | 22.8% | 1.67× | 2.63 |
| Wyoming Cowboys +8.5 | 37.8% | 38.1% | 61.5% | 0.62× | 2.63 |
| Wyoming Cowboys +7.5 | 34.2% | 33.3% | 58.7% | 0.57× | 3.01 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −16.5 | 32.6% | 33.3% | 19.3% | 1.72× | 3.01 |
| Wyoming Cowboys +6.5 | 30.7% | 33.3% | 55.7% | 0.60× | 3.01 |
| Wyoming Cowboys +5.5 | 27.4% | 28.4% | 53.0% | 0.54× | 3.53 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −18.5 | 26.1% | 28.4% | 16.1% | 1.76× | 3.53 |
| Wyoming Cowboys +4.5 | 24.2% | 23.5% | 49.3% | 0.48× | 4.25 |
| Wyoming Cowboys +3.5 | 21.2% | 23.5% | 45.9% | 0.51× | 4.25 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels −20.5 | 20.4% | 23.5% | 13.5% | 1.75× | 4.25 |
| Wyoming Cowboys +2.5 | 18.4% | 18.9% | 42.3% | 0.45× | 5.29 |
| Wyoming Cowboys +1.5 | 15.9% | 18.9% | 39.2% | 0.48× | 5.30 |
| Wyoming Cowboys −1.5 | 11.6% | 14.1% | 34.6% | 0.41× | 7.09 |
| Wyoming Cowboys −2.5 | 9.8% | 8.9% | 32.0% | 0.28× | 11.25 |
| Wyoming Cowboys −3.5 | 8.3% | 8.9% | 29.3% | 0.30× | 11.25 |
| Wyoming Cowboys −4.5 | 7.0% | 8.9% | 26.3% | 0.34× | 11.25 |
| Wyoming Cowboys −5.5 | 5.8% | 8.9% | 23.6% | 0.38× | 11.25 |
| Wyoming Cowboys −6.5 | 4.8% | 2.6% | 21.2% | 0.12× | 38.72 |
| Wyoming Cowboys −7.5 | 3.9% | 2.6% | 19.0% | 0.14× | 38.72 |
| Wyoming Cowboys −8.5 | 3.2% | 2.6% | 16.7% | 0.16× | 38.73 |
| Wyoming Cowboys −9.5 | 2.6% | 2.6% | 14.7% | 0.18× | 38.73 |
| Wyoming Cowboys −10.5 | 2.1% | 2.6% | 12.8% | 0.20× | 38.73 |
| Wyoming Cowboys −12.5 | 1.3% | 2.6% | 10.1% | 0.26× | 38.74 |
| Wyoming Cowboys −14.5 | 0.8% | 2.6% | 7.8% | 0.33× | 38.74 |
| Wyoming Cowboys −16.5 | 0.5% | 2.6% | 6.0% | 0.43× | 38.74 |
| Wyoming Cowboys −18.5 | 0.3% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 0.57× | 38.74 |
| Wyoming Cowboys −20.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 0.75× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 highest scoring | 79.5% | 71.6% | 70.4% | 1.02× | 1.40 |
| 2nd half highest scoring | 77.9% | 71.6% | 72.5% | 0.99× | 1.40 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 22.1% | 28.4% | 27.5% | 1.03× | 3.53 |
| H1 highest scoring | 20.5% | 28.4% | 29.6% | 0.96× | 3.53 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels at HT / North Carolina Tar Heels at FT | 67.5% | 68.3% | 48.6% | 1.40× | 1.47 |
| Wyoming Cowboys at HT / North Carolina Tar Heels at FT | 15.9% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 1.25× | 6.47 |
| Wyoming Cowboys at HT / Wyoming Cowboys at FT | 8.4% | 8.3% | 25.8% | 0.32× | 12.08 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels at HT / Wyoming Cowboys at FT | 4.4% | 2.1% | 9.3% | 0.22× | 47.72 |
| Level at HT / North Carolina Tar Heels at FT | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.92× | 47.74 |
| Level at HT / Wyoming Cowboys at FT | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.28× | 47.78 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels to win | 86.5% | 85.5% | 63.2% | 1.35× | 1.17 |
| Wyoming Cowboys to win | 13.5% | 14.5% | 36.8% | 0.39× | 6.90 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Wyoming Cowboys even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.4% | 1.00× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 51.1% | 50.5% | 51.6% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Wyoming Cowboys odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.6% | 1.00× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 48.9% | 49.5% | 48.4% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 94.4% | 94.0% | 94.2% | 1.00× | 1.06 |
| Match to go to overtime | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 1.04× | 16.66 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyoming Cowboys under 79.5 | 86.9% | 83.9% | 76.3% | 1.10× | 1.19 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels over 70.5 | 84.9% | 80.7% | 66.7% | 1.21× | 1.24 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels under 90.5 | 84.7% | 80.7% | 88.1% | 0.92× | 1.24 |
| Wyoming Cowboys over 59.5 | 83.6% | 80.7% | 84.5% | 0.96× | 1.24 |
| Wyoming Cowboys under 76.5 | 79.1% | 75.1% | 67.9% | 1.11× | 1.33 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels over 73.5 | 76.5% | 75.1% | 57.4% | 1.31× | 1.33 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels under 87.5 | 76.3% | 75.1% | 82.8% | 0.91× | 1.33 |
| Wyoming Cowboys over 62.5 | 74.6% | 70.7% | 76.6% | 0.92× | 1.41 |
| Wyoming Cowboys under 74.5 | 72.6% | 70.7% | 61.7% | 1.15× | 1.41 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels over 75.5 | 69.8% | 66.4% | 51.0% | 1.30× | 1.51 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels under 85.5 | 69.5% | 66.4% | 78.6% | 0.85× | 1.51 |
| Wyoming Cowboys over 64.5 | 67.4% | 66.4% | 70.7% | 0.94× | 1.51 |
| Wyoming Cowboys under 72.5 | 65.2% | 66.4% | 55.3% | 1.20× | 1.51 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels over 77.5 | 62.3% | 61.2% | 44.6% | 1.37× | 1.63 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels under 83.5 | 62.0% | 61.2% | 73.5% | 0.83× | 1.63 |
| Wyoming Cowboys over 66.5 | 59.5% | 57.1% | 64.7% | 0.88× | 1.75 |
| Wyoming Cowboys under 70.5 | 57.1% | 57.1% | 48.7% | 1.17× | 1.75 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels over 79.5 | 54.3% | 52.3% | 38.4% | 1.36× | 1.91 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels under 81.5 | 53.9% | 52.3% | 67.9% | 0.77× | 1.91 |
| Wyoming Cowboys over 68.5 | 51.2% | 52.3% | 58.4% | 0.89× | 1.91 |
| Wyoming Cowboys under 69.5 | 53.0% | 52.3% | 45.2% | 1.16× | 1.91 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels over 80.5 | 50.2% | 52.3% | 35.1% | 1.49× | 1.91 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels under 80.5 | 49.8% | 47.7% | 64.9% | 0.74× | 2.09 |
| Wyoming Cowboys under 68.5 | 48.8% | 47.7% | 41.6% | 1.15× | 2.09 |
| Wyoming Cowboys over 69.5 | 47.0% | 47.7% | 54.8% | 0.87× | 2.09 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels under 79.5 | 45.7% | 47.7% | 61.6% | 0.78× | 2.09 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels over 81.5 | 46.1% | 47.7% | 32.1% | 1.49× | 2.09 |
| Wyoming Cowboys over 70.5 | 42.9% | 42.9% | 51.4% | 0.84× | 2.33 |
| Wyoming Cowboys under 66.5 | 40.5% | 42.9% | 35.3% | 1.22× | 2.33 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels over 83.5 | 38.0% | 38.8% | 26.5% | 1.47× | 2.58 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels under 77.5 | 37.7% | 38.8% | 55.4% | 0.70× | 2.58 |
| Wyoming Cowboys over 72.5 | 34.8% | 33.6% | 44.7% | 0.75× | 2.98 |
| Wyoming Cowboys under 64.5 | 32.6% | 33.6% | 29.3% | 1.15× | 2.98 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels over 85.5 | 30.5% | 33.6% | 21.4% | 1.57× | 2.98 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels under 75.5 | 30.2% | 33.6% | 49.0% | 0.69× | 2.98 |
| Wyoming Cowboys over 74.5 | 27.4% | 29.3% | 38.3% | 0.76× | 3.42 |
| Wyoming Cowboys under 62.5 | 25.4% | 29.3% | 23.4% | 1.25× | 3.42 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels under 73.5 | 23.5% | 24.9% | 42.6% | 0.58× | 4.02 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels over 87.5 | 23.7% | 24.9% | 17.2% | 1.45× | 4.02 |
| Wyoming Cowboys over 76.5 | 20.9% | 24.9% | 32.1% | 0.78× | 4.02 |
| Wyoming Cowboys under 59.5 | 16.4% | 19.3% | 15.5% | 1.24× | 5.18 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels over 90.5 | 15.3% | 19.3% | 11.9% | 1.62× | 5.18 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels under 70.5 | 15.1% | 19.3% | 33.3% | 0.58× | 5.18 |
| Wyoming Cowboys over 79.5 | 13.1% | 16.1% | 23.7% | 0.68× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 129.5 points | 89.3% | 85.0% | 83.3% | 1.02× | 1.18 |
| Under 169.5 points | 89.6% | 85.0% | 87.7% | 0.97× | 1.18 |
| Over 134.5 points | 82.3% | 80.6% | 74.7% | 1.08× | 1.24 |
| Under 164.5 points | 82.8% | 80.6% | 82.3% | 0.98× | 1.24 |
| Under 159.5 points | 73.8% | 70.8% | 75.0% | 0.94× | 1.41 |
| Over 139.5 points | 73.0% | 70.8% | 64.6% | 1.10× | 1.41 |
| Over 142.5 points | 66.5% | 65.9% | 58.3% | 1.13× | 1.52 |
| Under 156.5 points | 67.3% | 65.9% | 69.8% | 0.94× | 1.52 |
| Under 154.5 points | 62.6% | 61.5% | 66.4% | 0.93× | 1.63 |
| Over 144.5 points | 61.9% | 61.5% | 54.1% | 1.14× | 1.63 |
| Under 152.5 points | 57.8% | 56.5% | 62.7% | 0.90× | 1.77 |
| Over 146.5 points | 57.0% | 56.5% | 49.8% | 1.13× | 1.77 |
| Over 148.5 points | 52.1% | 52.3% | 45.7% | 1.14× | 1.91 |
| Under 150.5 points | 52.9% | 52.3% | 58.4% | 0.90× | 1.91 |
| Under 149.5 points | 50.5% | 52.3% | 56.3% | 0.93× | 1.91 |
| Over 149.5 points | 49.5% | 47.7% | 43.7% | 1.09× | 2.10 |
| Under 148.5 points | 47.9% | 47.7% | 54.3% | 0.88× | 2.10 |
| Over 150.5 points | 47.1% | 47.7% | 41.6% | 1.15× | 2.10 |
| Under 146.5 points | 43.0% | 43.5% | 50.2% | 0.87× | 2.30 |
| Over 152.5 points | 42.2% | 43.5% | 37.4% | 1.16× | 2.30 |
| Under 144.5 points | 38.1% | 38.5% | 45.9% | 0.84× | 2.60 |
| Over 154.5 points | 37.4% | 38.5% | 33.6% | 1.15× | 2.60 |
| Under 142.5 points | 33.5% | 34.1% | 41.7% | 0.82× | 2.93 |
| Over 156.5 points | 32.7% | 34.1% | 30.2% | 1.13× | 2.93 |
| Under 139.5 points | 27.0% | 29.2% | 35.4% | 0.82× | 3.43 |
| Over 159.5 points | 26.2% | 29.2% | 25.0% | 1.17× | 3.43 |
| Under 134.5 points | 17.7% | 19.4% | 25.3% | 0.77× | 5.15 |
| Over 164.5 points | 17.2% | 19.4% | 17.7% | 1.10× | 5.15 |
| Under 129.5 points | 10.7% | 15.0% | 16.7% | 0.89× | 6.69 |
| Over 169.5 points | 10.4% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 1.22× | 6.69 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels to win both halves | 50.3% | 50.3% | 33.2% | 1.52× | 1.99 |
| Wyoming Cowboys to win both halves | 3.4% | 3.0% | 14.5% | 0.20× | 33.63 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels by 6-10 | 17.9% | 16.8% | 14.4% | 1.16× | 5.97 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels by 11-15 | 18.7% | 16.8% | 11.6% | 1.45× | 5.97 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels by 16-20 | 15.7% | 16.8% | 7.6% | 2.20× | 5.97 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels by 1-5 | 13.9% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 0.76× | 8.11 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels by 21-25 | 10.7% | 12.3% | 5.6% | 2.22× | 8.11 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels by 26+ | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 0.94× | 13.40 |
| Wyoming Cowboys by 1-5 | 7.7% | 7.5% | 13.2% | 0.57× | 13.40 |
| Wyoming Cowboys by 6-10 | 3.7% | 2.0% | 10.8% | 0.19× | 49.30 |
| Wyoming Cowboys by 11-15 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 6.1% | 0.34× | 49.32 |
| Wyoming Cowboys by 16-20 | 0.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 0.61× | 49.32 |
| Wyoming Cowboys by 21-25 | 0.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.06× | 49.33 |
| Wyoming Cowboys by 26+ | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.30× | 49.33 |