North Dakota State Bison v Creighton Bluejays — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Monday 9 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.North Dakota State Bison win
73.3%
Draw
0.0%
Creighton Bluejays win
26.7%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 74.59–67.81 | 75-68 0% | 50% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Dakota State Bison to score 100+ | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.20× | 283.26 |
| North Dakota State Bison to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.64× | 283.35 |
| North Dakota State Bison to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.91× | 283.36 |
| North Dakota State Bison to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.36 |
| Creighton Bluejays to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.72× | 283.35 |
| Creighton Bluejays to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.36 |
| Creighton Bluejays to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.36 |
| Creighton Bluejays to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.36 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Dakota State Bison to win H1 | 62.6% | 62.2% | 56.4% | 1.10× | 1.61 |
| Creighton Bluejays to win H1 | 33.2% | 33.1% | 39.9% | 0.83× | 3.02 |
| H1 tied | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.86 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 80.5 | 89.0% | 87.7% | 94.9% | 0.92× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 56.5 | 87.0% | 87.7% | 68.2% | 1.29× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 76.5 | 79.8% | 77.4% | 90.2% | 0.86× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 60.5 | 76.9% | 77.4% | 53.9% | 1.44× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 73.5 | 70.6% | 73.5% | 85.6% | 0.86× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 63.5 | 67.0% | 67.4% | 42.9% | 1.57× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 71.5 | 63.5% | 62.7% | 81.4% | 0.77× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 65.5 | 59.6% | 58.2% | 36.1% | 1.61× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 69.5 | 55.9% | 58.2% | 76.2% | 0.76× | 1.72 |
| H1 over 67.5 | 51.9% | 52.6% | 29.6% | 1.78× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 68.5 | 52.0% | 52.6% | 73.5% | 0.72× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 67.5 | 48.1% | 47.4% | 70.4% | 0.67× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 68.5 | 48.0% | 47.4% | 26.5% | 1.79× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 69.5 | 44.1% | 41.8% | 23.8% | 1.75× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 65.5 | 40.4% | 41.8% | 63.9% | 0.65× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 71.5 | 36.5% | 37.3% | 18.6% | 2.01× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 63.5 | 33.0% | 32.6% | 57.1% | 0.57× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 73.5 | 29.4% | 26.5% | 14.4% | 1.84× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 60.5 | 23.1% | 22.6% | 46.1% | 0.49× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 76.5 | 20.2% | 22.6% | 9.8% | 2.30× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 56.5 | 13.0% | 12.3% | 31.8% | 0.39× | 8.14 |
| H1 over 80.5 | 11.0% | 12.3% | 5.1% | 2.39× | 8.14 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Dakota State Bison to win H2 | 63.5% | 58.8% | 56.0% | 1.05× | 1.70 |
| Creighton Bluejays to win H2 | 32.5% | 36.3% | 40.6% | 0.89× | 2.76 |
| H2 tied | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.35 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 over 62.5 | 86.9% | 85.2% | 68.3% | 1.25× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 86.5 | 87.0% | 85.2% | 92.2% | 0.92× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 66.5 | 77.2% | 75.8% | 55.4% | 1.37× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 82.5 | 77.4% | 75.8% | 87.4% | 0.87× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 69.5 | 67.8% | 66.4% | 45.2% | 1.47× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 79.5 | 68.2% | 66.4% | 82.0% | 0.81× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 77.5 | 61.2% | 61.6% | 77.9% | 0.79× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 71.5 | 60.9% | 61.6% | 38.9% | 1.59× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 73.5 | 53.5% | 52.4% | 32.9% | 1.59× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 75.5 | 53.9% | 52.4% | 73.0% | 0.72× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 74.5 | 50.2% | 52.4% | 69.9% | 0.75× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 74.5 | 49.8% | 47.6% | 30.1% | 1.58× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 73.5 | 46.5% | 47.6% | 67.1% | 0.71× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 75.5 | 46.1% | 47.6% | 27.0% | 1.77× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 71.5 | 39.1% | 38.4% | 61.1% | 0.63× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 77.5 | 38.8% | 38.4% | 22.1% | 1.74× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 69.5 | 32.2% | 33.6% | 54.8% | 0.61× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 79.5 | 31.8% | 33.6% | 18.0% | 1.87× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 66.5 | 22.8% | 24.2% | 44.6% | 0.54× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 82.5 | 22.6% | 24.2% | 12.6% | 1.92× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 62.5 | 13.1% | 14.8% | 31.7% | 0.47× | 6.76 |
| H2 over 86.5 | 13.0% | 14.8% | 7.8% | 1.90× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Dakota State Bison leading at half time | 62.6% | 62.5% | 56.4% | 1.11× | 1.60 |
| Creighton Bluejays leading at half time | 33.2% | 32.7% | 39.9% | 0.82× | 3.05 |
| Level at half time | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.40 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Dakota State Bison +12.5 | 95.5% | 97.4% | 83.8% | 1.16× | 1.03 |
| North Dakota State Bison +14.5 | 97.0% | 97.4% | 86.7% | 1.12× | 1.03 |
| North Dakota State Bison +16.5 | 98.0% | 97.4% | 89.1% | 1.09× | 1.03 |
| North Dakota State Bison +18.5 | 98.7% | 97.4% | 91.1% | 1.07× | 1.03 |
| North Dakota State Bison +20.5 | 99.2% | 97.4% | 92.7% | 1.05× | 1.03 |
| North Dakota State Bison +9.5 | 92.4% | 91.1% | 78.7% | 1.16× | 1.10 |
| North Dakota State Bison +10.5 | 93.6% | 91.1% | 80.4% | 1.13× | 1.10 |
| North Dakota State Bison +8.5 | 91.0% | 91.1% | 76.5% | 1.19× | 1.10 |
| North Dakota State Bison +7.5 | 89.5% | 85.9% | 74.5% | 1.15× | 1.16 |
| Creighton Bluejays +20.5 | 88.6% | 85.9% | 82.0% | 1.05× | 1.16 |
| North Dakota State Bison +6.5 | 87.7% | 85.9% | 72.3% | 1.19× | 1.16 |
| North Dakota State Bison +5.5 | 85.8% | 85.9% | 70.1% | 1.23× | 1.16 |
| Creighton Bluejays +18.5 | 84.8% | 81.1% | 79.3% | 1.02× | 1.23 |
| North Dakota State Bison +4.5 | 83.7% | 81.1% | 67.8% | 1.20× | 1.23 |
| North Dakota State Bison +3.5 | 81.4% | 81.1% | 65.7% | 1.23× | 1.23 |
| Creighton Bluejays +16.5 | 80.1% | 81.1% | 75.7% | 1.07× | 1.23 |
| North Dakota State Bison +2.5 | 78.9% | 76.5% | 63.3% | 1.21× | 1.31 |
| North Dakota State Bison +1.5 | 76.2% | 76.5% | 61.2% | 1.25× | 1.31 |
| Creighton Bluejays +14.5 | 74.7% | 71.6% | 72.1% | 0.99× | 1.40 |
| North Dakota State Bison −1.5 | 70.1% | 71.6% | 58.7% | 1.22× | 1.40 |
| Creighton Bluejays +12.5 | 68.6% | 66.7% | 67.9% | 0.98× | 1.50 |
| North Dakota State Bison −2.5 | 66.8% | 66.7% | 56.7% | 1.18× | 1.50 |
| North Dakota State Bison −3.5 | 63.3% | 61.9% | 54.2% | 1.14× | 1.62 |
| Creighton Bluejays +10.5 | 61.9% | 61.9% | 63.2% | 0.98× | 1.62 |
| North Dakota State Bison −4.5 | 59.8% | 57.1% | 52.2% | 1.09× | 1.75 |
| Creighton Bluejays +9.5 | 58.4% | 57.1% | 60.7% | 0.94× | 1.75 |
| North Dakota State Bison −5.5 | 56.1% | 57.1% | 49.7% | 1.15× | 1.75 |
| Creighton Bluejays +8.5 | 54.8% | 52.4% | 58.0% | 0.90× | 1.91 |
| North Dakota State Bison −6.5 | 52.5% | 52.4% | 47.6% | 1.10× | 1.91 |
| Creighton Bluejays +7.5 | 51.2% | 52.4% | 55.2% | 0.95× | 1.91 |
| North Dakota State Bison −7.5 | 48.8% | 47.6% | 44.8% | 1.06× | 2.10 |
| Creighton Bluejays +6.5 | 47.5% | 47.6% | 52.4% | 0.91× | 2.10 |
| North Dakota State Bison −8.5 | 45.2% | 47.6% | 42.0% | 1.13× | 2.10 |
| Creighton Bluejays +5.5 | 43.9% | 42.9% | 50.3% | 0.85× | 2.33 |
| North Dakota State Bison −9.5 | 41.6% | 42.9% | 39.3% | 1.09× | 2.33 |
| Creighton Bluejays +4.5 | 40.2% | 42.9% | 47.8% | 0.90× | 2.33 |
| North Dakota State Bison −10.5 | 38.1% | 38.1% | 36.8% | 1.03× | 2.63 |
| Creighton Bluejays +3.5 | 36.7% | 38.1% | 45.8% | 0.83× | 2.63 |
| Creighton Bluejays +2.5 | 33.2% | 33.3% | 43.3% | 0.77× | 3.01 |
| North Dakota State Bison −12.5 | 31.4% | 33.3% | 32.1% | 1.04× | 3.01 |
| Creighton Bluejays +1.5 | 29.9% | 28.4% | 41.3% | 0.69× | 3.53 |
| North Dakota State Bison −14.5 | 25.3% | 28.4% | 27.9% | 1.02× | 3.53 |
| Creighton Bluejays −1.5 | 23.8% | 23.5% | 38.8% | 0.61× | 4.25 |
| Creighton Bluejays −2.5 | 21.1% | 23.5% | 36.7% | 0.64× | 4.25 |
| North Dakota State Bison −16.5 | 19.9% | 18.9% | 24.3% | 0.78× | 5.29 |
| Creighton Bluejays −3.5 | 18.6% | 18.9% | 34.3% | 0.55× | 5.29 |
| North Dakota State Bison −18.5 | 15.2% | 18.9% | 20.7% | 0.91× | 5.30 |
| Creighton Bluejays −4.5 | 16.3% | 18.9% | 32.2% | 0.59× | 5.30 |
| Creighton Bluejays −5.5 | 14.2% | 14.1% | 29.9% | 0.47× | 7.09 |
| Creighton Bluejays −6.5 | 12.3% | 14.1% | 27.7% | 0.51× | 7.09 |
| Creighton Bluejays −7.5 | 10.5% | 14.1% | 25.5% | 0.55× | 7.09 |
| North Dakota State Bison −20.5 | 11.4% | 14.1% | 18.0% | 0.78× | 7.09 |
| Creighton Bluejays −8.5 | 9.0% | 8.9% | 23.5% | 0.38× | 11.25 |
| Creighton Bluejays −9.5 | 7.6% | 8.9% | 21.3% | 0.42× | 11.25 |
| Creighton Bluejays −10.5 | 6.4% | 8.9% | 19.6% | 0.45× | 11.25 |
| Creighton Bluejays −12.5 | 4.5% | 2.6% | 16.2% | 0.16× | 38.72 |
| Creighton Bluejays −14.5 | 3.0% | 2.6% | 13.3% | 0.19× | 38.73 |
| Creighton Bluejays −16.5 | 2.0% | 2.6% | 10.9% | 0.24× | 38.73 |
| Creighton Bluejays −18.5 | 1.3% | 2.6% | 8.9% | 0.29× | 38.74 |
| Creighton Bluejays −20.5 | 0.8% | 2.6% | 7.3% | 0.35× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 73.7% | 67.1% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 26.3% | 32.9% | 33.3% | 0.99× | 3.04 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 highest scoring | 33.2% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q4 highest scoring | 35.0% | 28.6% | 31.2% | 0.92× | 3.50 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 16.7% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 15.1% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.02× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Dakota State Bison at HT / North Dakota State Bison at FT | 54.6% | 51.1% | 48.3% | 1.06× | 1.96 |
| Creighton Bluejays at HT / Creighton Bluejays at FT | 17.4% | 15.5% | 30.1% | 0.51× | 6.47 |
| Creighton Bluejays at HT / North Dakota State Bison at FT | 15.8% | 15.4% | 9.8% | 1.58× | 6.47 |
| North Dakota State Bison at HT / Creighton Bluejays at FT | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 1.01× | 12.09 |
| Level at HT / North Dakota State Bison at FT | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.74 |
| Level at HT / Creighton Bluejays at FT | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.77 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Dakota State Bison to win | 73.3% | 68.7% | 59.9% | 1.15× | 1.46 |
| Creighton Bluejays to win | 26.7% | 31.3% | 40.1% | 0.78× | 3.20 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total points odd | 51.5% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| North Dakota State Bison even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Creighton Bluejays even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| North Dakota State Bison odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Creighton Bluejays odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 48.5% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 94.6% | 94.0% | 95.6% | 0.98× | 1.06 |
| Match to go to overtime | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.35× | 16.66 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Dakota State Bison to win Q1 | 57.2% | 57.3% | 54.7% | 1.05× | 1.75 |
| Creighton Bluejays to win Q1 | 36.9% | 38.2% | 40.4% | 0.95× | 2.62 |
| Q1 tied | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.11× | 18.32 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 under 42.5 | 89.0% | 87.4% | 93.6% | 0.93× | 1.14 |
| Q1 over 26.5 | 87.1% | 87.4% | 72.9% | 1.20× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 39.5 | 78.4% | 76.9% | 87.5% | 0.88× | 1.30 |
| Q1 over 29.5 | 75.4% | 76.9% | 56.9% | 1.35× | 1.30 |
| Q1 under 37.5 | 68.8% | 67.6% | 81.6% | 0.83× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 31.5 | 65.3% | 67.6% | 46.0% | 1.47× | 1.48 |
| Q1 under 35.5 | 57.7% | 58.6% | 73.2% | 0.80× | 1.71 |
| Q1 over 33.5 | 53.9% | 52.7% | 36.0% | 1.46× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 34.5 | 51.9% | 52.7% | 68.5% | 0.77× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 34.5 | 48.1% | 47.3% | 31.5% | 1.50× | 2.11 |
| Q1 under 33.5 | 46.1% | 47.3% | 64.0% | 0.74× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 35.5 | 42.3% | 41.4% | 26.8% | 1.54× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 31.5 | 34.7% | 32.4% | 54.0% | 0.60× | 3.08 |
| Q1 over 37.5 | 31.2% | 32.4% | 18.4% | 1.76× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 29.5 | 24.6% | 23.1% | 43.1% | 0.54× | 4.33 |
| Q1 over 39.5 | 21.6% | 23.1% | 12.5% | 1.84× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 26.5 | 12.9% | 12.6% | 27.1% | 0.46× | 7.95 |
| Q1 over 42.5 | 11.0% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 1.97× | 7.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Dakota State Bison to win Q2 | 56.9% | 59.4% | 52.9% | 1.12× | 1.68 |
| Creighton Bluejays to win Q2 | 37.3% | 35.8% | 41.5% | 0.86× | 2.80 |
| Q2 tied | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 1.07× | 16.49 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 42.5 | 89.9% | 87.3% | 94.3% | 0.93× | 1.15 |
| Q2 over 26.5 | 85.9% | 87.3% | 71.6% | 1.22× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 39.5 | 79.9% | 76.8% | 88.4% | 0.87× | 1.30 |
| Q2 over 29.5 | 73.8% | 72.0% | 55.8% | 1.29× | 1.39 |
| Q2 under 37.5 | 70.6% | 72.0% | 82.3% | 0.87× | 1.39 |
| Q2 over 31.5 | 63.4% | 60.7% | 44.3% | 1.37× | 1.65 |
| Q2 under 35.5 | 59.8% | 58.2% | 74.6% | 0.78× | 1.72 |
| Q2 under 34.5 | 54.0% | 52.7% | 70.1% | 0.75× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 33.5 | 51.9% | 52.7% | 34.4% | 1.53× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 33.5 | 48.1% | 47.3% | 65.6% | 0.72× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 34.5 | 46.0% | 47.3% | 29.9% | 1.58× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 35.5 | 40.2% | 41.8% | 25.4% | 1.65× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 31.5 | 36.6% | 39.3% | 55.7% | 0.71× | 2.55 |
| Q2 over 37.5 | 29.4% | 28.0% | 17.7% | 1.59× | 3.57 |
| Q2 under 29.5 | 26.2% | 28.0% | 44.2% | 0.63× | 3.57 |
| Q2 over 39.5 | 20.1% | 23.2% | 11.6% | 2.00× | 4.31 |
| Q2 under 26.5 | 14.1% | 12.7% | 28.4% | 0.45× | 7.89 |
| Q2 over 42.5 | 10.1% | 12.7% | 5.7% | 2.23× | 7.90 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Dakota State Bison to win Q3 | 57.8% | 56.8% | 53.3% | 1.07× | 1.76 |
| Creighton Bluejays to win Q3 | 36.4% | 38.8% | 41.8% | 0.93× | 2.58 |
| Q3 tied | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 1.07× | 18.97 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 45.5 | 88.3% | 87.2% | 93.8% | 0.93× | 1.15 |
| Q3 over 29.5 | 86.5% | 87.2% | 71.8% | 1.21× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 42.5 | 77.6% | 77.3% | 87.8% | 0.88× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 32.5 | 74.9% | 71.8% | 56.1% | 1.28× | 1.39 |
| Q3 under 40.5 | 68.2% | 67.8% | 81.9% | 0.83× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 34.5 | 65.0% | 67.8% | 45.4% | 1.49× | 1.48 |
| Q3 under 38.5 | 57.4% | 58.4% | 73.9% | 0.79× | 1.71 |
| Q3 over 36.5 | 53.9% | 52.3% | 35.4% | 1.48× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 37.5 | 51.8% | 52.3% | 69.7% | 0.75× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 37.5 | 48.2% | 47.7% | 30.3% | 1.58× | 2.10 |
| Q3 under 36.5 | 46.1% | 47.7% | 64.6% | 0.74× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 38.5 | 42.6% | 41.6% | 26.1% | 1.59× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 34.5 | 35.0% | 32.2% | 54.6% | 0.59× | 3.10 |
| Q3 over 40.5 | 31.8% | 32.2% | 18.1% | 1.78× | 3.11 |
| Q3 under 32.5 | 25.1% | 28.2% | 43.9% | 0.64× | 3.55 |
| Q3 over 42.5 | 22.4% | 22.7% | 12.2% | 1.87× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 29.5 | 13.5% | 12.8% | 28.2% | 0.45× | 7.83 |
| Q3 over 45.5 | 11.7% | 12.8% | 6.2% | 2.06× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Dakota State Bison to win Q4 | 57.7% | 52.1% | 52.8% | 0.99× | 1.92 |
| Creighton Bluejays to win Q4 | 36.7% | 42.4% | 41.5% | 1.02× | 2.36 |
| Q4 tied | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.02× | 17.25 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 45.5 | 86.7% | 85.6% | 92.4% | 0.93× | 1.17 |
| Q4 over 29.5 | 85.3% | 85.6% | 70.8% | 1.21× | 1.17 |
| Q4 under 42.5 | 76.1% | 76.9% | 86.2% | 0.89× | 1.30 |
| Q4 over 32.5 | 74.1% | 71.5% | 55.4% | 1.29× | 1.40 |
| Q4 under 40.5 | 66.9% | 67.4% | 80.6% | 0.84× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 34.5 | 64.6% | 61.4% | 45.6% | 1.35× | 1.63 |
| Q4 under 38.5 | 56.6% | 58.4% | 73.1% | 0.80× | 1.71 |
| Q4 over 36.5 | 54.1% | 52.5% | 35.7% | 1.47× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 37.5 | 51.3% | 52.5% | 68.8% | 0.76× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 37.5 | 48.7% | 47.5% | 31.2% | 1.52× | 2.11 |
| Q4 under 36.5 | 45.9% | 47.5% | 64.3% | 0.74× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 38.5 | 43.4% | 41.6% | 26.9% | 1.55× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 34.5 | 35.4% | 38.6% | 54.4% | 0.71× | 2.59 |
| Q4 over 40.5 | 33.1% | 32.6% | 19.4% | 1.68× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 32.5 | 25.9% | 28.5% | 44.6% | 0.64× | 3.51 |
| Q4 over 42.5 | 23.9% | 23.1% | 13.8% | 1.67× | 4.33 |
| Q4 under 29.5 | 14.7% | 14.4% | 29.2% | 0.49× | 6.95 |
| Q4 over 45.5 | 13.3% | 14.4% | 7.6% | 1.88× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Creighton Bluejays over 57.5 | 86.5% | 83.9% | 65.1% | 1.29× | 1.19 |
| North Dakota State Bison over 64.5 | 85.7% | 83.9% | 58.4% | 1.44× | 1.19 |
| Creighton Bluejays under 77.5 | 85.3% | 83.9% | 87.2% | 0.96× | 1.19 |
| North Dakota State Bison under 84.5 | 84.7% | 80.7% | 88.9% | 0.91× | 1.24 |
| Creighton Bluejays over 60.5 | 78.1% | 75.1% | 55.6% | 1.35× | 1.33 |
| North Dakota State Bison over 67.5 | 77.5% | 75.1% | 48.7% | 1.54× | 1.33 |
| North Dakota State Bison under 81.5 | 76.1% | 75.1% | 84.6% | 0.89× | 1.33 |
| Creighton Bluejays under 74.5 | 76.7% | 75.1% | 82.3% | 0.91× | 1.33 |
| North Dakota State Bison over 69.5 | 70.7% | 70.7% | 42.6% | 1.66× | 1.41 |
| Creighton Bluejays over 62.5 | 71.2% | 70.7% | 49.0% | 1.44× | 1.41 |
| North Dakota State Bison under 79.5 | 69.1% | 66.4% | 81.3% | 0.82× | 1.51 |
| Creighton Bluejays under 72.5 | 69.6% | 66.4% | 78.2% | 0.85× | 1.51 |
| North Dakota State Bison over 71.5 | 63.2% | 61.2% | 37.0% | 1.65× | 1.63 |
| Creighton Bluejays over 64.5 | 63.5% | 61.2% | 43.2% | 1.42× | 1.63 |
| North Dakota State Bison under 77.5 | 61.4% | 61.2% | 77.4% | 0.79× | 1.63 |
| Creighton Bluejays under 70.5 | 61.8% | 61.2% | 73.7% | 0.83× | 1.63 |
| North Dakota State Bison over 73.5 | 55.1% | 57.1% | 31.5% | 1.81× | 1.75 |
| Creighton Bluejays over 66.5 | 55.2% | 57.1% | 37.3% | 1.53× | 1.75 |
| North Dakota State Bison over 74.5 | 51.0% | 52.3% | 29.3% | 1.79× | 1.91 |
| North Dakota State Bison under 75.5 | 53.2% | 52.3% | 73.2% | 0.71× | 1.91 |
| Creighton Bluejays under 68.5 | 53.4% | 52.3% | 68.6% | 0.76× | 1.91 |
| Creighton Bluejays over 67.5 | 50.9% | 52.3% | 34.4% | 1.52× | 1.91 |
| Creighton Bluejays under 67.5 | 49.1% | 47.7% | 65.6% | 0.73× | 2.09 |
| North Dakota State Bison under 74.5 | 49.0% | 47.7% | 70.7% | 0.67× | 2.09 |
| North Dakota State Bison over 75.5 | 46.8% | 47.7% | 26.8% | 1.78× | 2.09 |
| Creighton Bluejays over 68.5 | 46.6% | 47.7% | 31.4% | 1.52× | 2.09 |
| North Dakota State Bison under 73.5 | 44.9% | 42.9% | 68.5% | 0.63× | 2.33 |
| Creighton Bluejays under 66.5 | 44.8% | 42.9% | 62.7% | 0.68× | 2.33 |
| North Dakota State Bison over 77.5 | 38.6% | 38.8% | 22.6% | 1.72× | 2.58 |
| Creighton Bluejays over 70.5 | 38.2% | 38.8% | 26.3% | 1.47× | 2.58 |
| North Dakota State Bison under 71.5 | 36.8% | 38.8% | 63.0% | 0.62× | 2.58 |
| Creighton Bluejays under 64.5 | 36.5% | 38.8% | 56.9% | 0.68× | 2.58 |
| North Dakota State Bison over 79.5 | 30.9% | 33.6% | 18.7% | 1.80× | 2.98 |
| Creighton Bluejays over 72.5 | 30.4% | 33.6% | 21.8% | 1.54× | 2.98 |
| North Dakota State Bison under 69.5 | 29.3% | 29.3% | 57.4% | 0.51× | 3.42 |
| Creighton Bluejays under 62.5 | 28.8% | 29.3% | 51.0% | 0.57× | 3.42 |
| North Dakota State Bison under 67.5 | 22.5% | 24.9% | 51.3% | 0.48× | 4.02 |
| North Dakota State Bison over 81.5 | 23.9% | 24.9% | 15.4% | 1.61× | 4.02 |
| Creighton Bluejays over 74.5 | 23.3% | 24.9% | 17.7% | 1.40× | 4.02 |
| Creighton Bluejays under 60.5 | 21.9% | 24.9% | 44.4% | 0.56× | 4.02 |
| North Dakota State Bison over 84.5 | 15.3% | 19.3% | 11.1% | 1.74× | 5.18 |
| North Dakota State Bison under 64.5 | 14.3% | 16.1% | 41.6% | 0.39× | 6.21 |
| Creighton Bluejays over 77.5 | 14.7% | 16.1% | 12.8% | 1.26× | 6.21 |
| Creighton Bluejays under 57.5 | 13.5% | 16.1% | 34.9% | 0.46× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 122.5 points | 90.8% | 88.8% | 65.6% | 1.35× | 1.13 |
| Under 162.5 points | 90.8% | 88.8% | 95.0% | 0.94× | 1.13 |
| Under 157.5 points | 84.1% | 80.6% | 92.1% | 0.87× | 1.24 |
| Over 127.5 points | 83.9% | 80.6% | 55.1% | 1.46× | 1.24 |
| Over 132.5 points | 74.5% | 70.8% | 44.0% | 1.61× | 1.41 |
| Under 152.5 points | 74.7% | 70.8% | 88.1% | 0.80× | 1.41 |
| Over 135.5 points | 67.7% | 65.9% | 37.6% | 1.75× | 1.52 |
| Under 149.5 points | 68.1% | 65.9% | 84.9% | 0.78× | 1.52 |
| Over 137.5 points | 62.8% | 61.5% | 33.8% | 1.82× | 1.63 |
| Under 147.5 points | 63.2% | 61.5% | 82.3% | 0.75× | 1.63 |
| Over 139.5 points | 57.7% | 56.5% | 30.1% | 1.88× | 1.77 |
| Under 145.5 points | 58.1% | 56.5% | 79.5% | 0.71× | 1.77 |
| Over 141.5 points | 52.4% | 52.3% | 26.6% | 1.97× | 1.91 |
| Under 143.5 points | 52.9% | 52.3% | 76.7% | 0.68× | 1.91 |
| Under 142.5 points | 50.1% | 52.3% | 75.1% | 0.70× | 1.91 |
| Over 142.5 points | 49.9% | 47.7% | 24.9% | 1.92× | 2.10 |
| Under 141.5 points | 47.6% | 47.7% | 73.4% | 0.65× | 2.10 |
| Over 143.5 points | 47.1% | 47.7% | 23.3% | 2.04× | 2.10 |
| Under 139.5 points | 42.3% | 43.5% | 69.9% | 0.62× | 2.30 |
| Over 145.5 points | 41.9% | 43.5% | 20.5% | 2.12× | 2.30 |
| Under 137.5 points | 37.2% | 38.5% | 66.2% | 0.58× | 2.60 |
| Over 147.5 points | 36.8% | 38.5% | 17.7% | 2.17× | 2.60 |
| Under 135.5 points | 32.3% | 34.1% | 62.4% | 0.55× | 2.93 |
| Over 149.5 points | 31.9% | 34.1% | 15.1% | 2.27× | 2.93 |
| Under 132.5 points | 25.5% | 29.2% | 56.0% | 0.52× | 3.43 |
| Over 152.5 points | 25.3% | 29.2% | 11.9% | 2.45× | 3.43 |
| Under 127.5 points | 16.1% | 19.4% | 44.9% | 0.43× | 5.15 |
| Over 157.5 points | 15.9% | 19.4% | 7.9% | 2.46× | 5.15 |
| Under 122.5 points | 9.2% | 11.2% | 34.4% | 0.32× | 8.96 |
| Over 162.5 points | 9.2% | 11.2% | 5.0% | 2.22× | 8.96 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Dakota State Bison to win both halves | 37.2% | 36.3% | 36.0% | 1.01× | 2.76 |
| Creighton Bluejays to win both halves | 8.5% | 8.8% | 20.4% | 0.43× | 11.31 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Dakota State Bison by 6-10 | 18.0% | 16.8% | 12.9% | 1.30× | 5.97 |
| North Dakota State Bison by 1-5 | 17.2% | 16.8% | 10.2% | 1.64× | 5.97 |
| North Dakota State Bison by 11-15 | 15.6% | 16.8% | 10.8% | 1.55× | 5.97 |
| Creighton Bluejays by 1-5 | 12.5% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 1.21× | 8.11 |
| North Dakota State Bison by 16-20 | 11.1% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 1.53× | 8.11 |
| Creighton Bluejays by 6-10 | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 0.72× | 13.40 |
| North Dakota State Bison by 21-25 | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 1.39× | 13.40 |
| Creighton Bluejays by 11-15 | 4.0% | 2.0% | 7.6% | 0.27× | 49.29 |
| North Dakota State Bison by 26+ | 4.9% | 2.0% | 12.6% | 0.16× | 49.29 |
| Creighton Bluejays by 16-20 | 1.7% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 0.43× | 49.31 |
| Creighton Bluejays by 21-25 | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 0.76× | 49.32 |
| Creighton Bluejays by 26+ | 0.2% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 0.44× | 49.33 |