North Texas Mean Green v Duke Blue Devils — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 8 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.North Texas Mean Green win
2.9%
Draw
0.0%
Duke Blue Devils win
97.1%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 54.52–75.61 | 55-76 0% | 52% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Texas Mean Green to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.20× | 283.36 |
| North Texas Mean Green to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.64× | 283.36 |
| North Texas Mean Green to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.91× | 283.36 |
| North Texas Mean Green to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.36 |
| Duke Blue Devils to score 100+ | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.72× | 283.25 |
| Duke Blue Devils to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.35 |
| Duke Blue Devils to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.36 |
| Duke Blue Devils to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.36 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils to win H1 | 85.7% | 88.6% | 39.9% | 2.22× | 1.13 |
| North Texas Mean Green to win H1 | 11.9% | 10.8% | 56.4% | 0.19× | 9.28 |
| H1 tied | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.87 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 75.5 | 90.0% | 87.7% | 88.8% | 0.99× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 51.5 | 87.5% | 87.7% | 82.0% | 1.07× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 71.5 | 81.1% | 82.5% | 81.4% | 1.01× | 1.21 |
| H1 over 55.5 | 77.0% | 77.4% | 71.0% | 1.09× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 68.5 | 71.9% | 73.5% | 73.5% | 1.00× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 58.5 | 66.7% | 67.4% | 61.4% | 1.10× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 66.5 | 64.8% | 62.7% | 67.1% | 0.93× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 60.5 | 59.0% | 58.2% | 53.9% | 1.08× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 64.5 | 57.1% | 58.2% | 60.7% | 0.96× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 63.5 | 53.1% | 52.6% | 57.1% | 0.92× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 62.5 | 51.0% | 52.6% | 46.3% | 1.14× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 62.5 | 49.0% | 47.4% | 53.7% | 0.88× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 63.5 | 46.9% | 47.4% | 42.9% | 1.10× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 64.5 | 42.9% | 41.8% | 39.3% | 1.06× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 60.5 | 41.0% | 41.8% | 46.1% | 0.91× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 66.5 | 35.2% | 37.3% | 32.9% | 1.13× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 58.5 | 33.3% | 32.6% | 38.6% | 0.84× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 68.5 | 28.1% | 26.5% | 26.5% | 1.00× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 55.5 | 23.0% | 22.6% | 29.0% | 0.78× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 71.5 | 18.9% | 17.5% | 18.6% | 0.94× | 5.72 |
| H1 under 51.5 | 12.5% | 12.3% | 18.0% | 0.68× | 8.14 |
| H1 over 75.5 | 10.0% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 1.10× | 8.14 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils to win H2 | 87.2% | 84.1% | 40.6% | 2.07× | 1.19 |
| North Texas Mean Green to win H2 | 10.7% | 14.7% | 56.0% | 0.26× | 6.80 |
| H2 tied | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.37 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 81.5 | 89.0% | 85.2% | 85.8% | 0.99× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 57.5 | 86.4% | 85.2% | 82.2% | 1.04× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 77.5 | 80.1% | 81.8% | 77.9% | 1.05× | 1.22 |
| H2 over 61.5 | 75.9% | 75.8% | 71.3% | 1.06× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 74.5 | 71.2% | 72.2% | 69.9% | 1.03× | 1.39 |
| H2 over 64.5 | 65.8% | 66.4% | 62.1% | 1.07× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 72.5 | 64.3% | 61.6% | 64.1% | 0.96× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 66.5 | 58.4% | 57.3% | 55.4% | 1.04× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 70.5 | 56.9% | 57.3% | 57.8% | 0.99× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 69.5 | 53.1% | 52.4% | 54.8% | 0.96× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 68.5 | 50.8% | 52.4% | 48.7% | 1.08× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 68.5 | 49.2% | 47.6% | 51.3% | 0.93× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 69.5 | 46.9% | 47.6% | 45.2% | 1.05× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 70.5 | 43.1% | 42.7% | 42.2% | 1.01× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 66.5 | 41.6% | 42.7% | 44.6% | 0.96× | 2.34 |
| H2 over 72.5 | 35.7% | 38.4% | 36.0% | 1.07× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 64.5 | 34.2% | 33.6% | 37.9% | 0.89× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 74.5 | 28.8% | 27.8% | 30.1% | 0.93× | 3.59 |
| H2 under 61.5 | 24.1% | 24.2% | 28.7% | 0.84× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 77.5 | 19.9% | 18.2% | 22.1% | 0.82× | 5.50 |
| H2 under 57.5 | 13.6% | 14.8% | 17.8% | 0.83× | 6.76 |
| H2 over 81.5 | 11.0% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 1.04× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils leading at half time | 85.7% | 89.3% | 39.9% | 2.24× | 1.12 |
| North Texas Mean Green leading at half time | 11.9% | 10.3% | 56.4% | 0.18× | 9.72 |
| Level at half time | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.42 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils +7.5 | 99.4% | 97.4% | 55.2% | 1.76× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils +8.5 | 99.5% | 97.4% | 58.0% | 1.68× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils +9.5 | 99.7% | 97.4% | 60.7% | 1.61× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils +10.5 | 99.7% | 97.4% | 63.2% | 1.54× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils +12.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 67.9% | 1.44× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils +14.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 72.1% | 1.35× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils +16.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 75.7% | 1.29× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils +18.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 79.3% | 1.23× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils +20.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 82.0% | 1.19× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils +1.5 | 97.6% | 97.4% | 41.3% | 2.36× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils −1.5 | 96.3% | 97.4% | 38.8% | 2.51× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils +2.5 | 98.1% | 97.4% | 43.3% | 2.25× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils +3.5 | 98.5% | 97.4% | 45.8% | 2.13× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils +4.5 | 98.8% | 97.4% | 47.8% | 2.04× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils +5.5 | 99.0% | 97.4% | 50.3% | 1.94× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils +6.5 | 99.2% | 97.4% | 52.4% | 1.86× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils −2.5 | 95.4% | 97.4% | 36.7% | 2.66× | 1.03 |
| Duke Blue Devils −3.5 | 94.4% | 91.1% | 34.3% | 2.66× | 1.10 |
| Duke Blue Devils −4.5 | 93.2% | 91.1% | 32.2% | 2.83× | 1.10 |
| Duke Blue Devils −5.5 | 91.8% | 91.1% | 29.9% | 3.05× | 1.10 |
| Duke Blue Devils −6.5 | 90.3% | 91.1% | 27.7% | 3.29× | 1.10 |
| Duke Blue Devils −7.5 | 88.5% | 85.9% | 25.5% | 3.37× | 1.16 |
| Duke Blue Devils −8.5 | 86.6% | 85.9% | 23.5% | 3.65× | 1.16 |
| Duke Blue Devils −9.5 | 84.5% | 81.1% | 21.3% | 3.80× | 1.23 |
| Duke Blue Devils −10.5 | 82.2% | 81.1% | 19.6% | 4.14× | 1.23 |
| Duke Blue Devils −12.5 | 76.9% | 76.5% | 16.2% | 4.71× | 1.31 |
| Duke Blue Devils −14.5 | 70.9% | 71.6% | 13.3% | 5.40× | 1.40 |
| Duke Blue Devils −16.5 | 64.3% | 61.9% | 10.9% | 5.70× | 1.62 |
| Duke Blue Devils −18.5 | 57.2% | 57.1% | 8.9% | 6.39× | 1.75 |
| North Texas Mean Green +20.5 | 50.2% | 52.4% | 92.7% | 0.57× | 1.91 |
| Duke Blue Devils −20.5 | 49.8% | 47.6% | 7.3% | 6.55× | 2.10 |
| North Texas Mean Green +18.5 | 42.8% | 42.9% | 91.1% | 0.47× | 2.33 |
| North Texas Mean Green +16.5 | 35.7% | 38.1% | 89.1% | 0.43× | 2.63 |
| North Texas Mean Green +14.5 | 29.1% | 28.4% | 86.7% | 0.33× | 3.53 |
| North Texas Mean Green +12.5 | 23.1% | 23.5% | 83.8% | 0.28× | 4.25 |
| North Texas Mean Green +10.5 | 17.8% | 18.9% | 80.4% | 0.24× | 5.29 |
| North Texas Mean Green +9.5 | 15.5% | 18.9% | 78.7% | 0.24× | 5.30 |
| North Texas Mean Green +8.5 | 13.4% | 14.1% | 76.5% | 0.18× | 7.09 |
| North Texas Mean Green +7.5 | 11.5% | 14.1% | 74.5% | 0.19× | 7.09 |
| North Texas Mean Green +5.5 | 8.2% | 8.9% | 70.1% | 0.13× | 11.25 |
| North Texas Mean Green +6.5 | 9.7% | 8.9% | 72.3% | 0.12× | 11.25 |
| North Texas Mean Green +4.5 | 6.8% | 8.9% | 67.8% | 0.13× | 11.25 |
| North Texas Mean Green +3.5 | 5.6% | 8.9% | 65.7% | 0.14× | 11.25 |
| North Texas Mean Green +2.5 | 4.6% | 2.6% | 63.3% | 0.04× | 38.72 |
| North Texas Mean Green −1.5 | 2.4% | 2.6% | 58.7% | 0.04× | 38.73 |
| North Texas Mean Green +1.5 | 3.7% | 2.6% | 61.2% | 0.04× | 38.73 |
| North Texas Mean Green −2.5 | 1.9% | 2.6% | 56.7% | 0.05× | 38.73 |
| North Texas Mean Green −3.5 | 1.5% | 2.6% | 54.2% | 0.05× | 38.73 |
| North Texas Mean Green −4.5 | 1.2% | 2.6% | 52.2% | 0.05× | 38.74 |
| North Texas Mean Green −5.5 | 1.0% | 2.6% | 49.7% | 0.05× | 38.74 |
| North Texas Mean Green −6.5 | 0.8% | 2.6% | 47.6% | 0.05× | 38.74 |
| North Texas Mean Green −7.5 | 0.6% | 2.6% | 44.8% | 0.06× | 38.74 |
| North Texas Mean Green −8.5 | 0.5% | 2.6% | 42.0% | 0.06× | 38.74 |
| North Texas Mean Green −9.5 | 0.3% | 2.6% | 39.3% | 0.07× | 38.74 |
| North Texas Mean Green −10.5 | 0.3% | 2.6% | 36.8% | 0.07× | 38.74 |
| North Texas Mean Green −12.5 | 0.2% | 2.6% | 32.1% | 0.08× | 38.74 |
| North Texas Mean Green −14.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 27.9% | 0.09× | 38.74 |
| North Texas Mean Green −16.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 24.3% | 0.11× | 38.74 |
| North Texas Mean Green −18.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 20.7% | 0.12× | 38.74 |
| North Texas Mean Green −20.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 18.0% | 0.14× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 72.2% | 67.1% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.8% | 32.9% | 33.3% | 0.99× | 3.04 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 highest scoring | 34.5% | 31.9% | 31.2% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 32.7% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 17.2% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 15.7% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.02× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils at HT / Duke Blue Devils at FT | 84.7% | 84.6% | 30.1% | 2.81× | 1.18 |
| North Texas Mean Green at HT / Duke Blue Devils at FT | 10.1% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 1.49× | 8.18 |
| North Texas Mean Green at HT / North Texas Mean Green at FT | 1.8% | 2.1% | 48.3% | 0.04× | 47.76 |
| Level at HT / Duke Blue Devils at FT | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.75 |
| Level at HT / North Texas Mean Green at FT | 0.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.79 |
| Duke Blue Devils at HT / North Texas Mean Green at FT | 1.0% | 2.1% | 9.8% | 0.21× | 47.77 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils to win | 97.1% | 97.4% | 40.1% | 2.43× | 1.03 |
| North Texas Mean Green to win | 2.9% | 2.6% | 59.9% | 0.04× | 39.14 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Texas Mean Green even | 50.3% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Duke Blue Devils even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 50.3% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| North Texas Mean Green odd | 49.7% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Duke Blue Devils odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 49.7% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 97.9% | 97.0% | 95.6% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Match to go to overtime | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 0.67× | 33.52 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils to win Q1 | 75.2% | 79.7% | 40.4% | 1.98× | 1.25 |
| North Texas Mean Green to win Q1 | 20.2% | 22.0% | 54.7% | 0.40× | 4.55 |
| Q1 tied | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 0.85× | 23.95 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 over 23.5 | 88.8% | 87.4% | 85.4% | 1.02× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 39.5 | 88.2% | 87.4% | 87.5% | 1.00× | 1.14 |
| Q1 over 26.5 | 77.6% | 76.9% | 72.9% | 1.06× | 1.30 |
| Q1 under 36.5 | 77.0% | 76.9% | 77.4% | 0.99× | 1.30 |
| Q1 over 28.5 | 67.7% | 67.6% | 62.7% | 1.08× | 1.48 |
| Q1 under 34.5 | 67.0% | 67.6% | 68.5% | 0.99× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 30.5 | 56.3% | 58.6% | 51.2% | 1.14× | 1.71 |
| Q1 under 32.5 | 55.6% | 58.6% | 59.1% | 0.99× | 1.71 |
| Q1 over 31.5 | 50.3% | 52.7% | 46.0% | 1.14× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 31.5 | 49.7% | 47.3% | 54.0% | 0.88× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 32.5 | 44.4% | 41.4% | 40.9% | 1.01× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 30.5 | 43.7% | 41.4% | 48.8% | 0.85× | 2.42 |
| Q1 over 34.5 | 33.0% | 32.4% | 31.5% | 1.03× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 28.5 | 32.3% | 32.4% | 37.3% | 0.87× | 3.08 |
| Q1 over 36.5 | 23.0% | 23.1% | 22.6% | 1.02× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 26.5 | 22.4% | 23.1% | 27.1% | 0.85× | 4.33 |
| Q1 over 39.5 | 11.8% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 1.01× | 7.95 |
| Q1 under 23.5 | 11.2% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 0.86× | 7.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils to win Q2 | 74.5% | 75.3% | 41.5% | 1.82× | 1.33 |
| North Texas Mean Green to win Q2 | 20.9% | 19.9% | 52.9% | 0.38× | 5.01 |
| Q2 tied | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 0.77× | 22.89 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 39.5 | 89.2% | 87.3% | 88.4% | 0.99× | 1.15 |
| Q2 over 23.5 | 87.8% | 87.3% | 84.6% | 1.03× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 36.5 | 78.5% | 76.8% | 78.7% | 0.98× | 1.30 |
| Q2 over 26.5 | 76.1% | 76.8% | 71.6% | 1.07× | 1.30 |
| Q2 under 34.5 | 68.8% | 67.4% | 70.1% | 0.96× | 1.49 |
| Q2 over 28.5 | 65.9% | 67.4% | 61.2% | 1.10× | 1.49 |
| Q2 under 32.5 | 57.6% | 58.2% | 60.8% | 0.96× | 1.72 |
| Q2 over 30.5 | 54.3% | 52.7% | 49.9% | 1.06× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 31.5 | 51.6% | 52.7% | 55.7% | 0.95× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 31.5 | 48.4% | 47.3% | 44.3% | 1.07× | 2.11 |
| Q2 under 30.5 | 45.7% | 47.3% | 50.1% | 0.94× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 32.5 | 42.4% | 41.8% | 39.2% | 1.07× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 28.5 | 34.1% | 32.6% | 38.8% | 0.84× | 3.06 |
| Q2 over 34.5 | 31.2% | 32.6% | 29.9% | 1.09× | 3.06 |
| Q2 under 26.5 | 23.9% | 23.2% | 28.4% | 0.82× | 4.31 |
| Q2 over 36.5 | 21.5% | 23.2% | 21.3% | 1.09× | 4.31 |
| Q2 under 23.5 | 12.2% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 0.82× | 7.89 |
| Q2 over 39.5 | 10.8% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 1.09× | 7.90 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils to win Q3 | 76.7% | 81.4% | 41.8% | 1.95× | 1.23 |
| North Texas Mean Green to win Q3 | 19.0% | 15.2% | 53.3% | 0.28× | 6.59 |
| Q3 tied | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 0.86× | 23.44 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 42.5 | 88.2% | 87.2% | 87.8% | 0.99× | 1.15 |
| Q3 over 26.5 | 87.5% | 87.2% | 83.8% | 1.04× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 39.5 | 77.4% | 77.3% | 77.9% | 0.99× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 29.5 | 76.1% | 77.3% | 71.8% | 1.08× | 1.29 |
| Q3 under 37.5 | 67.8% | 67.8% | 69.7% | 0.97× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 31.5 | 66.1% | 67.8% | 61.6% | 1.10× | 1.48 |
| Q3 under 35.5 | 56.7% | 58.4% | 59.7% | 0.98× | 1.71 |
| Q3 over 33.5 | 54.9% | 52.3% | 50.9% | 1.03× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 34.5 | 50.9% | 52.3% | 54.6% | 0.96× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 34.5 | 49.1% | 47.7% | 45.4% | 1.05× | 2.10 |
| Q3 under 33.5 | 45.1% | 47.7% | 49.1% | 0.97× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 35.5 | 43.3% | 41.6% | 40.3% | 1.03× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 31.5 | 33.9% | 32.2% | 38.4% | 0.84× | 3.10 |
| Q3 over 37.5 | 32.2% | 32.2% | 30.3% | 1.06× | 3.10 |
| Q3 under 29.5 | 23.9% | 22.7% | 28.2% | 0.81× | 4.40 |
| Q3 over 39.5 | 22.6% | 22.7% | 22.1% | 1.03× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 26.5 | 12.5% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 0.79× | 7.83 |
| Q3 over 42.5 | 11.8% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 1.05× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils to win Q4 | 76.2% | 71.4% | 41.5% | 1.72× | 1.40 |
| North Texas Mean Green to win Q4 | 19.5% | 22.7% | 52.8% | 0.43× | 4.40 |
| Q4 tied | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 0.91× | 19.29 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 42.5 | 86.7% | 85.6% | 86.2% | 0.99× | 1.17 |
| Q4 over 26.5 | 86.3% | 85.6% | 82.6% | 1.04× | 1.17 |
| Q4 under 39.5 | 75.8% | 76.9% | 77.0% | 1.00× | 1.30 |
| Q4 over 29.5 | 75.1% | 76.9% | 70.8% | 1.09× | 1.30 |
| Q4 under 37.5 | 66.5% | 67.4% | 68.8% | 0.98× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 31.5 | 65.6% | 67.4% | 61.1% | 1.10× | 1.48 |
| Q4 under 35.5 | 56.0% | 58.4% | 59.4% | 0.98× | 1.71 |
| Q4 over 33.5 | 55.0% | 52.5% | 50.4% | 1.04× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 34.5 | 50.5% | 52.5% | 54.4% | 0.96× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 34.5 | 49.5% | 47.5% | 45.6% | 1.04× | 2.11 |
| Q4 under 33.5 | 45.0% | 47.5% | 49.6% | 0.96× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 35.5 | 44.0% | 41.6% | 40.6% | 1.03× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 31.5 | 34.4% | 32.6% | 38.9% | 0.84× | 3.07 |
| Q4 over 37.5 | 33.5% | 32.6% | 31.2% | 1.04× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 29.5 | 24.9% | 23.1% | 29.2% | 0.79× | 4.33 |
| Q4 over 39.5 | 24.2% | 23.1% | 23.0% | 1.00× | 4.33 |
| Q4 under 26.5 | 13.7% | 14.4% | 17.4% | 0.83× | 6.95 |
| Q4 over 42.5 | 13.3% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 1.04× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils under 86.5 | 87.3% | 83.9% | 96.1% | 0.87× | 1.19 |
| North Texas Mean Green over 45.5 | 87.8% | 83.9% | 96.0% | 0.87× | 1.19 |
| North Texas Mean Green under 65.5 | 87.0% | 83.9% | 44.7% | 1.88× | 1.19 |
| Duke Blue Devils over 66.5 | 85.0% | 80.7% | 37.3% | 2.17× | 1.24 |
| North Texas Mean Green over 48.5 | 78.0% | 75.1% | 93.3% | 0.80× | 1.33 |
| North Texas Mean Green under 62.5 | 78.9% | 75.1% | 35.7% | 2.10× | 1.33 |
| Duke Blue Devils under 83.5 | 79.3% | 75.1% | 93.9% | 0.80× | 1.33 |
| Duke Blue Devils over 69.5 | 76.1% | 75.1% | 28.8% | 2.61× | 1.33 |
| North Texas Mean Green under 60.5 | 72.1% | 70.7% | 30.5% | 2.32× | 1.41 |
| Duke Blue Devils under 81.5 | 72.6% | 70.7% | 92.0% | 0.77× | 1.41 |
| North Texas Mean Green over 50.5 | 70.2% | 70.7% | 90.8% | 0.78× | 1.41 |
| Duke Blue Devils over 71.5 | 68.8% | 66.4% | 23.9% | 2.77× | 1.51 |
| North Texas Mean Green under 58.5 | 64.4% | 61.2% | 25.3% | 2.42× | 1.63 |
| Duke Blue Devils under 79.5 | 64.9% | 61.2% | 89.7% | 0.68× | 1.63 |
| North Texas Mean Green over 52.5 | 61.7% | 61.2% | 87.7% | 0.70× | 1.63 |
| Duke Blue Devils over 73.5 | 60.7% | 61.2% | 19.8% | 3.09× | 1.63 |
| North Texas Mean Green under 56.5 | 55.9% | 57.1% | 20.5% | 2.79× | 1.75 |
| Duke Blue Devils under 77.5 | 56.5% | 57.1% | 87.2% | 0.65× | 1.75 |
| North Texas Mean Green over 54.5 | 52.9% | 52.3% | 83.8% | 0.62× | 1.91 |
| North Texas Mean Green under 55.5 | 51.5% | 52.3% | 18.5% | 2.83× | 1.91 |
| Duke Blue Devils over 75.5 | 52.1% | 52.3% | 15.9% | 3.29× | 1.91 |
| Duke Blue Devils under 76.5 | 52.2% | 52.3% | 85.8% | 0.61× | 1.91 |
| North Texas Mean Green under 54.5 | 47.1% | 47.7% | 16.2% | 2.95× | 2.09 |
| North Texas Mean Green over 55.5 | 48.5% | 47.7% | 81.6% | 0.59× | 2.09 |
| Duke Blue Devils under 75.5 | 47.9% | 47.7% | 84.1% | 0.57× | 2.09 |
| Duke Blue Devils over 76.5 | 47.8% | 47.7% | 14.2% | 3.36× | 2.09 |
| North Texas Mean Green over 56.5 | 44.1% | 42.9% | 79.5% | 0.54× | 2.33 |
| Duke Blue Devils over 77.5 | 43.5% | 42.9% | 12.8% | 3.35× | 2.33 |
| North Texas Mean Green under 52.5 | 38.3% | 38.8% | 12.3% | 3.14× | 2.58 |
| Duke Blue Devils under 73.5 | 39.3% | 38.8% | 80.2% | 0.48× | 2.58 |
| North Texas Mean Green over 58.5 | 35.6% | 38.8% | 74.7% | 0.52× | 2.58 |
| Duke Blue Devils over 79.5 | 35.1% | 38.8% | 10.3% | 3.75× | 2.58 |
| Duke Blue Devils under 71.5 | 31.2% | 33.6% | 76.1% | 0.44× | 2.98 |
| North Texas Mean Green under 50.5 | 29.8% | 29.3% | 9.2% | 3.19× | 3.42 |
| North Texas Mean Green over 60.5 | 27.9% | 29.3% | 69.5% | 0.42× | 3.42 |
| Duke Blue Devils over 81.5 | 27.4% | 29.3% | 8.0% | 3.65× | 3.42 |
| Duke Blue Devils under 69.5 | 23.9% | 24.9% | 71.2% | 0.35× | 4.02 |
| North Texas Mean Green under 48.5 | 22.0% | 24.9% | 6.7% | 3.74× | 4.02 |
| North Texas Mean Green over 62.5 | 21.1% | 24.9% | 64.3% | 0.39× | 4.02 |
| Duke Blue Devils over 83.5 | 20.7% | 24.9% | 6.1% | 4.11× | 4.02 |
| Duke Blue Devils under 66.5 | 15.0% | 19.3% | 62.7% | 0.31× | 5.18 |
| North Texas Mean Green over 65.5 | 13.0% | 16.1% | 55.3% | 0.29× | 6.21 |
| Duke Blue Devils over 86.5 | 12.7% | 16.1% | 3.9% | 4.10× | 6.21 |
| North Texas Mean Green under 45.5 | 12.2% | 16.1% | 4.0% | 4.02× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 111.5 points | 92.9% | 88.8% | 85.1% | 1.04× | 1.13 |
| Under 151.5 points | 91.7% | 88.8% | 87.3% | 1.02× | 1.13 |
| Over 116.5 points | 85.8% | 85.0% | 77.2% | 1.10× | 1.18 |
| Under 146.5 points | 85.2% | 85.0% | 80.9% | 1.05× | 1.18 |
| Under 141.5 points | 76.0% | 75.6% | 73.4% | 1.03× | 1.32 |
| Over 121.5 points | 75.7% | 75.6% | 67.7% | 1.12× | 1.32 |
| Under 138.5 points | 69.2% | 65.9% | 67.9% | 0.97× | 1.52 |
| Over 124.5 points | 68.3% | 65.9% | 61.5% | 1.07× | 1.52 |
| Under 136.5 points | 64.3% | 61.5% | 64.2% | 0.96× | 1.63 |
| Over 126.5 points | 63.1% | 61.5% | 57.4% | 1.07× | 1.63 |
| Under 134.5 points | 59.0% | 56.5% | 60.2% | 0.94× | 1.77 |
| Over 128.5 points | 57.6% | 56.5% | 52.8% | 1.07× | 1.77 |
| Under 132.5 points | 53.6% | 52.3% | 56.0% | 0.94× | 1.91 |
| Over 130.5 points | 52.0% | 52.3% | 48.3% | 1.08× | 1.91 |
| Under 131.5 points | 50.8% | 52.3% | 53.9% | 0.97× | 1.91 |
| Over 131.5 points | 49.2% | 47.7% | 46.1% | 1.03× | 2.10 |
| Under 130.5 points | 48.0% | 47.7% | 51.7% | 0.92× | 2.10 |
| Over 132.5 points | 46.4% | 47.7% | 44.0% | 1.08× | 2.10 |
| Under 128.5 points | 42.4% | 43.5% | 47.2% | 0.92× | 2.30 |
| Over 134.5 points | 41.0% | 43.5% | 39.8% | 1.09× | 2.30 |
| Under 126.5 points | 36.9% | 38.5% | 42.6% | 0.90× | 2.60 |
| Over 136.5 points | 35.7% | 38.5% | 35.8% | 1.08× | 2.60 |
| Under 124.5 points | 31.7% | 34.1% | 38.5% | 0.89× | 2.93 |
| Over 138.5 points | 30.8% | 34.1% | 32.1% | 1.06× | 2.93 |
| Under 121.5 points | 24.3% | 24.4% | 32.3% | 0.75× | 4.10 |
| Over 141.5 points | 24.0% | 24.4% | 26.6% | 0.92× | 4.10 |
| Over 146.5 points | 14.8% | 15.0% | 19.1% | 0.78× | 6.68 |
| Under 116.5 points | 14.2% | 15.0% | 22.8% | 0.66× | 6.68 |
| Over 151.5 points | 8.3% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 0.88× | 8.96 |
| Under 111.5 points | 7.1% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 0.75× | 8.97 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils to win both halves | 73.8% | 72.1% | 20.4% | 3.54× | 1.39 |
| North Texas Mean Green to win both halves | 0.6% | 3.0% | 36.0% | 0.08× | 33.81 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils by 26+ | 31.9% | 37.6% | 4.6% | 8.16× | 2.66 |
| Duke Blue Devils by 16-20 | 17.8% | 16.8% | 4.8% | 3.53× | 5.97 |
| Duke Blue Devils by 21-25 | 17.9% | 16.8% | 2.7% | 6.27× | 5.97 |
| Duke Blue Devils by 11-15 | 14.5% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 1.62× | 8.11 |
| Duke Blue Devils by 6-10 | 9.6% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 0.72× | 13.40 |
| Duke Blue Devils by 1-5 | 5.3% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 0.73× | 13.40 |
| North Texas Mean Green by 1-5 | 2.0% | 2.0% | 10.2% | 0.20× | 49.31 |
| North Texas Mean Green by 6-10 | 0.7% | 2.0% | 12.9% | 0.16× | 49.32 |
| North Texas Mean Green by 11-15 | 0.2% | 2.0% | 10.8% | 0.19× | 49.33 |
| North Texas Mean Green by 16-20 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 8.0% | 0.25× | 49.33 |
| North Texas Mean Green by 21-25 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 5.4% | 0.38× | 49.33 |
| North Texas Mean Green by 26+ | 0.0% | 2.0% | 12.6% | 0.16× | 49.33 |