Ohio Bobcats v Xavier Musketeers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 21 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated 3 Sep 2026, 23:45

Ohio Bobcats

00:00

Xavier Musketeers

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Ohio Bobcats win

74.0%

Draw

0.0%

Xavier Musketeers win

26.0%

74026

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	74026	72.61–65.58	73-66 0%	49%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ohio Bobcats to score 100+	0.2%	0.4%	1.8%	0.20×	283.31
Ohio Bobcats to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.6%	0.64×	283.35
Ohio Bobcats to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	2.91×	283.36
Ohio Bobcats to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	7.58×	283.36
Xavier Musketeers to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.5%	0.72×	283.35
Xavier Musketeers to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	4.74×	283.36
Xavier Musketeers to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	18.95×	283.36
Xavier Musketeers to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	37.89×	283.36
Both sides to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	6.32×	283.36

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ohio Bobcats to win H1	63.1%	62.2%	56.4%	1.10×	1.61
Xavier Musketeers to win H1	32.7%	33.1%	39.9%	0.83×	3.02
H1 tied	4.2%	3.9%	3.7%	1.05×	25.86

H1 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 78.5	89.0%	87.7%	92.8%	0.95×	1.14
H1 over 54.5	87.1%	87.7%	74.0%	1.19×	1.14
H1 under 74.5	79.8%	77.4%	87.2%	0.89×	1.29
H1 over 58.5	76.9%	77.4%	61.4%	1.26×	1.29
H1 under 71.5	70.6%	73.5%	81.4%	0.90×	1.36
H1 over 61.5	67.1%	67.4%	50.2%	1.34×	1.48
H1 under 69.5	63.5%	62.7%	76.2%	0.82×	1.59
H1 over 63.5	59.7%	58.2%	42.9%	1.36×	1.72
H1 under 67.5	55.9%	58.2%	70.4%	0.83×	1.72
H1 over 65.5	51.9%	52.6%	36.1%	1.46×	1.90
H1 under 66.5	52.0%	52.6%	67.1%	0.78×	1.90
H1 under 65.5	48.1%	47.4%	63.9%	0.74×	2.11
H1 over 66.5	48.0%	47.4%	32.9%	1.44×	2.11
H1 over 67.5	44.1%	41.8%	29.6%	1.41×	2.39
H1 under 63.5	40.3%	41.8%	57.1%	0.73×	2.39
H1 over 69.5	36.5%	37.3%	23.8%	1.56×	2.68
H1 under 61.5	32.9%	32.6%	49.8%	0.65×	3.07
H1 over 71.5	29.4%	26.5%	18.6%	1.43×	3.77
H1 under 58.5	23.1%	22.6%	38.6%	0.58×	4.43
H1 over 74.5	20.2%	22.6%	12.8%	1.76×	4.43
H1 under 54.5	12.9%	12.3%	26.0%	0.47×	8.14
H1 over 78.5	11.0%	12.3%	7.2%	1.70×	8.14

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ohio Bobcats to win H2	64.0%	58.8%	56.0%	1.05×	1.70
Xavier Musketeers to win H2	32.0%	36.3%	40.6%	0.89×	2.76
H2 tied	4.0%	3.9%	3.4%	1.16×	25.36

H2 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 84.5	87.4%	85.2%	90.3%	0.94×	1.17
H2 over 60.5	86.6%	85.2%	74.5%	1.14×	1.17
H2 under 80.5	77.9%	75.8%	84.0%	0.90×	1.32
H2 over 64.5	76.7%	75.8%	62.1%	1.22×	1.32
H2 under 77.5	68.8%	66.4%	77.9%	0.85×	1.51
H2 over 67.5	67.3%	66.4%	52.1%	1.27×	1.51
H2 under 75.5	61.9%	61.6%	73.0%	0.84×	1.62
H2 over 69.5	60.2%	61.6%	45.2%	1.36×	1.62
H2 under 73.5	54.6%	52.4%	67.1%	0.78×	1.91
H2 over 71.5	52.9%	52.4%	38.9%	1.35×	1.91
H2 under 72.5	50.9%	52.4%	64.1%	0.82×	1.91
H2 over 72.5	49.1%	47.6%	36.0%	1.32×	2.10
H2 under 71.5	47.1%	47.6%	61.1%	0.78×	2.10
H2 over 73.5	45.4%	47.6%	32.9%	1.45×	2.10
H2 under 69.5	39.8%	38.4%	54.8%	0.70×	2.61
H2 over 75.5	38.1%	38.4%	27.0%	1.42×	2.61
H2 under 67.5	32.7%	33.6%	47.9%	0.70×	2.97
H2 over 77.5	31.2%	33.6%	22.1%	1.52×	2.97
H2 under 64.5	23.3%	24.2%	37.9%	0.64×	4.13
H2 over 80.5	22.1%	24.2%	16.0%	1.52×	4.13
H2 under 60.5	13.4%	14.8%	25.5%	0.58×	6.76
H2 over 84.5	12.6%	14.8%	9.7%	1.52×	6.76

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ohio Bobcats leading at half time	63.1%	62.5%	56.4%	1.11×	1.60
Xavier Musketeers leading at half time	32.7%	32.7%	39.9%	0.82×	3.05
Level at half time	4.2%	3.8%	3.7%	1.03×	26.40

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ohio Bobcats +12.5	95.8%	97.4%	83.8%	1.16×	1.03
Ohio Bobcats +14.5	97.1%	97.4%	86.7%	1.12×	1.03
Ohio Bobcats +16.5	98.1%	97.4%	89.1%	1.09×	1.03
Ohio Bobcats +18.5	98.8%	97.4%	91.1%	1.07×	1.03
Ohio Bobcats +20.5	99.3%	97.4%	92.7%	1.05×	1.03
Ohio Bobcats +9.5	92.7%	91.1%	78.7%	1.16×	1.10
Ohio Bobcats +10.5	93.9%	91.1%	80.4%	1.13×	1.10
Ohio Bobcats +8.5	91.4%	91.1%	76.5%	1.19×	1.10
Ohio Bobcats +7.5	89.9%	85.9%	74.5%	1.15×	1.16
Ohio Bobcats +6.5	88.2%	85.9%	72.3%	1.19×	1.16
Xavier Musketeers +20.5	88.3%	85.9%	82.0%	1.05×	1.16
Ohio Bobcats +5.5	86.3%	85.9%	70.1%	1.23×	1.16
Ohio Bobcats +4.5	84.2%	81.1%	67.8%	1.20×	1.23
Xavier Musketeers +18.5	84.3%	81.1%	79.3%	1.02×	1.23
Ohio Bobcats +3.5	82.0%	81.1%	65.7%	1.23×	1.23
Ohio Bobcats +2.5	79.5%	76.5%	63.3%	1.21×	1.31
Xavier Musketeers +16.5	79.6%	76.5%	75.7%	1.01×	1.31
Ohio Bobcats +1.5	76.9%	76.5%	61.2%	1.25×	1.31
Xavier Musketeers +14.5	74.1%	71.6%	72.1%	0.99×	1.40
Ohio Bobcats −1.5	70.9%	71.6%	58.7%	1.22×	1.40
Ohio Bobcats −2.5	67.5%	66.7%	56.7%	1.18×	1.50
Xavier Musketeers +12.5	67.9%	66.7%	67.9%	0.98×	1.50
Ohio Bobcats −3.5	64.1%	61.9%	54.2%	1.14×	1.62
Ohio Bobcats −4.5	60.6%	61.9%	52.2%	1.19×	1.62
Xavier Musketeers +10.5	61.1%	61.9%	63.2%	0.98×	1.62
Ohio Bobcats −5.5	57.0%	57.1%	49.7%	1.15×	1.75
Xavier Musketeers +9.5	57.6%	57.1%	60.7%	0.94×	1.75
Ohio Bobcats −6.5	53.3%	52.4%	47.6%	1.10×	1.91
Xavier Musketeers +8.5	54.0%	52.4%	58.0%	0.90×	1.91
Xavier Musketeers +7.5	50.3%	52.4%	55.2%	0.95×	1.91
Ohio Bobcats −7.5	49.7%	47.6%	44.8%	1.06×	2.10
Xavier Musketeers +6.5	46.7%	47.6%	52.4%	0.91×	2.10
Ohio Bobcats −8.5	46.0%	47.6%	42.0%	1.13×	2.10
Xavier Musketeers +5.5	43.0%	42.9%	50.3%	0.85×	2.33
Ohio Bobcats −9.5	42.4%	42.9%	39.3%	1.09×	2.33
Xavier Musketeers +4.5	39.4%	38.1%	47.8%	0.80×	2.63
Ohio Bobcats −10.5	38.9%	38.1%	36.8%	1.03×	2.63
Xavier Musketeers +3.5	35.9%	38.1%	45.8%	0.83×	2.63
Xavier Musketeers +2.5	32.5%	33.3%	43.3%	0.77×	3.01
Ohio Bobcats −12.5	32.1%	33.3%	32.1%	1.04×	3.01
Xavier Musketeers +1.5	29.1%	28.4%	41.3%	0.69×	3.53
Ohio Bobcats −14.5	25.9%	28.4%	27.9%	1.02×	3.53
Xavier Musketeers −1.5	23.1%	23.5%	38.8%	0.61×	4.25
Xavier Musketeers −2.5	20.5%	23.5%	36.7%	0.64×	4.25
Ohio Bobcats −16.5	20.4%	23.5%	24.3%	0.97×	4.25
Xavier Musketeers −3.5	18.0%	18.9%	34.3%	0.55×	5.29
Xavier Musketeers −4.5	15.8%	18.9%	32.2%	0.59×	5.30
Ohio Bobcats −18.5	15.7%	18.9%	20.7%	0.91×	5.30
Xavier Musketeers −5.5	13.7%	14.1%	29.9%	0.47×	7.09
Xavier Musketeers −6.5	11.8%	14.1%	27.7%	0.51×	7.09
Ohio Bobcats −20.5	11.7%	14.1%	18.0%	0.78×	7.09
Xavier Musketeers −7.5	10.1%	14.1%	25.5%	0.55×	7.09
Xavier Musketeers −8.5	8.6%	8.9%	23.5%	0.38×	11.25
Xavier Musketeers −9.5	7.3%	8.9%	21.3%	0.42×	11.25
Xavier Musketeers −10.5	6.1%	8.9%	19.6%	0.45×	11.25
Xavier Musketeers −12.5	4.2%	2.6%	16.2%	0.16×	38.72
Xavier Musketeers −14.5	2.9%	2.6%	13.3%	0.19×	38.73
Xavier Musketeers −16.5	1.9%	2.6%	10.9%	0.24×	38.73
Xavier Musketeers −18.5	1.2%	2.6%	8.9%	0.29×	38.74
Xavier Musketeers −20.5	0.7%	2.6%	7.3%	0.35×	38.74

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	73.1%	67.1%	66.7%	1.01×	1.49
1st half highest scoring	26.9%	32.9%	33.3%	0.99×	3.04

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 highest scoring	34.8%	31.9%	31.2%	1.02×	3.14
Q3 highest scoring	33.1%	31.9%	31.3%	1.02×	3.14
Q1 highest scoring	16.8%	18.3%	19.6%	0.94×	5.46
Q2 highest scoring	15.3%	18.3%	17.9%	1.02×	5.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ohio Bobcats at HT / Ohio Bobcats at FT	55.3%	56.8%	48.3%	1.18×	1.76
Xavier Musketeers at HT / Xavier Musketeers at FT	16.9%	15.5%	30.1%	0.51×	6.47
Xavier Musketeers at HT / Ohio Bobcats at FT	15.8%	15.4%	9.8%	1.58×	6.47
Ohio Bobcats at HT / Xavier Musketeers at FT	7.8%	8.3%	8.2%	1.01×	12.09
Level at HT / Ohio Bobcats at FT	2.9%	2.1%	1.9%	1.09×	47.74
Level at HT / Xavier Musketeers at FT	1.3%	2.1%	1.8%	1.20×	47.77

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ohio Bobcats to win	74.0%	68.8%	59.9%	1.15×	1.45
Xavier Musketeers to win	26.0%	31.2%	40.1%	0.78×	3.20

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Total points odd	51.5%	50.5%	51.5%	0.98×	1.98
Ohio Bobcats even	50.0%	50.5%	49.4%	1.02×	1.98
Xavier Musketeers even	50.0%	50.5%	50.1%	1.01×	1.98
Ohio Bobcats odd	50.0%	49.5%	50.6%	0.98×	2.02
Xavier Musketeers odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.9%	0.99×	2.02
Total points even	48.5%	49.5%	48.5%	1.02×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	94.6%	94.0%	95.6%	0.98×	1.06
Match to go to overtime	5.4%	6.0%	4.4%	1.35×	16.66

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ohio Bobcats to win Q1	57.5%	57.3%	54.7%	1.05×	1.75
Xavier Musketeers to win Q1	36.6%	38.2%	40.4%	0.95×	2.62
Q1 tied	5.9%	5.5%	4.9%	1.11×	18.32

Q1 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 under 41.5	89.0%	87.4%	91.9%	0.95×	1.14
Q1 over 25.5	87.1%	87.4%	77.6%	1.13×	1.14
Q1 under 38.5	78.4%	76.9%	84.8%	0.91×	1.30
Q1 over 28.5	75.5%	76.9%	62.7%	1.23×	1.30
Q1 under 36.5	68.8%	67.6%	77.4%	0.87×	1.48
Q1 over 30.5	65.3%	67.6%	51.2%	1.32×	1.48
Q1 under 34.5	57.7%	58.6%	68.5%	0.86×	1.71
Q1 over 32.5	54.0%	52.7%	40.9%	1.29×	1.90
Q1 under 33.5	51.9%	52.7%	64.0%	0.82×	1.90
Q1 over 33.5	48.1%	47.3%	36.0%	1.31×	2.11
Q1 under 32.5	46.0%	47.3%	59.1%	0.80×	2.11
Q1 over 34.5	42.3%	41.4%	31.5%	1.31×	2.42
Q1 under 30.5	34.7%	32.4%	48.8%	0.67×	3.08
Q1 over 36.5	31.2%	32.4%	22.6%	1.44×	3.08
Q1 under 28.5	24.5%	23.1%	37.3%	0.62×	4.33
Q1 over 38.5	21.6%	23.1%	15.2%	1.52×	4.33
Q1 under 25.5	12.9%	12.6%	22.4%	0.56×	7.95
Q1 over 41.5	11.0%	12.6%	8.1%	1.56×	7.95

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ohio Bobcats to win Q2	57.3%	59.4%	52.9%	1.12×	1.68
Xavier Musketeers to win Q2	36.9%	35.8%	41.5%	0.86×	2.80
Q2 tied	5.8%	6.1%	5.7%	1.07×	16.49

Q2 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 under 41.5	89.9%	87.3%	92.7%	0.94×	1.15
Q2 over 25.5	86.0%	87.3%	76.2%	1.15×	1.15
Q2 under 38.5	79.8%	76.8%	85.6%	0.90×	1.30
Q2 over 28.5	73.8%	72.0%	61.2%	1.18×	1.39
Q2 under 36.5	70.6%	72.0%	78.7%	0.91×	1.39
Q2 over 30.5	63.4%	60.7%	49.9%	1.22×	1.65
Q2 under 34.5	59.7%	58.2%	70.1%	0.83×	1.72
Q2 under 33.5	53.9%	52.7%	65.6%	0.80×	1.90
Q2 over 32.5	51.9%	52.7%	39.2%	1.34×	1.90
Q2 under 32.5	48.1%	47.3%	60.8%	0.78×	2.11
Q2 over 33.5	46.1%	47.3%	34.4%	1.38×	2.11
Q2 over 34.5	40.3%	41.8%	29.9%	1.40×	2.39
Q2 under 30.5	36.6%	39.3%	50.1%	0.78×	2.55
Q2 over 36.5	29.4%	28.0%	21.3%	1.32×	3.57
Q2 under 28.5	26.2%	28.0%	38.8%	0.72×	3.57
Q2 over 38.5	20.2%	23.2%	14.4%	1.61×	4.31
Q2 under 25.5	14.0%	12.7%	23.8%	0.53×	7.89
Q2 over 41.5	10.1%	12.7%	7.3%	1.72×	7.90

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ohio Bobcats to win Q3	58.2%	56.8%	53.3%	1.07×	1.76
Xavier Musketeers to win Q3	36.1%	38.8%	41.8%	0.93×	2.58
Q3 tied	5.7%	5.3%	4.9%	1.07×	18.97

Q3 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 under 44.5	88.5%	87.2%	92.1%	0.95×	1.15
Q3 over 28.5	86.2%	87.2%	76.4%	1.14×	1.15
Q3 under 41.5	78.0%	77.3%	85.1%	0.91×	1.29
Q3 over 31.5	74.6%	71.8%	61.6%	1.17×	1.39
Q3 under 39.5	68.7%	67.8%	77.9%	0.87×	1.48
Q3 over 33.5	64.6%	62.0%	50.9%	1.22×	1.61
Q3 under 37.5	57.9%	58.4%	69.7%	0.84×	1.71
Q3 over 35.5	53.5%	52.3%	40.3%	1.30×	1.91
Q3 under 36.5	52.3%	52.3%	64.6%	0.81×	1.91
Q3 over 36.5	47.7%	47.7%	35.4%	1.35×	2.10
Q3 under 35.5	46.5%	47.7%	59.7%	0.80×	2.10
Q3 over 37.5	42.1%	41.6%	30.3%	1.37×	2.40
Q3 under 33.5	35.4%	38.0%	49.1%	0.78×	2.63
Q3 over 39.5	31.3%	32.2%	22.1%	1.46×	3.11
Q3 under 31.5	25.4%	28.2%	38.4%	0.73×	3.55
Q3 over 41.5	22.0%	22.7%	14.9%	1.53×	4.40
Q3 under 28.5	13.8%	12.8%	23.6%	0.54×	7.83
Q3 over 44.5	11.5%	12.8%	7.9%	1.63×	7.83

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ohio Bobcats to win Q4	58.0%	52.1%	52.8%	0.99×	1.92
Xavier Musketeers to win Q4	36.4%	42.4%	41.5%	1.02×	2.36
Q4 tied	5.6%	5.8%	5.7%	1.02×	17.25

Q4 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 under 44.5	87.0%	85.6%	90.6%	0.95×	1.17
Q4 over 28.5	85.1%	85.6%	75.1%	1.14×	1.17
Q4 under 41.5	76.5%	76.9%	83.6%	0.92×	1.30
Q4 over 31.5	73.7%	71.5%	61.1%	1.17×	1.40
Q4 under 39.5	67.4%	67.4%	77.0%	0.88×	1.48
Q4 over 33.5	64.1%	61.4%	50.4%	1.22×	1.63
Q4 under 37.5	57.1%	58.4%	68.8%	0.85×	1.71
Q4 over 35.5	53.6%	52.5%	40.6%	1.29×	1.91
Q4 under 36.5	51.8%	52.5%	64.3%	0.82×	1.91
Q4 over 36.5	48.2%	47.5%	35.7%	1.33×	2.11
Q4 under 35.5	46.4%	47.5%	59.4%	0.80×	2.11
Q4 over 37.5	42.9%	41.6%	31.2%	1.33×	2.40
Q4 under 33.5	35.9%	38.6%	49.6%	0.78×	2.59
Q4 over 39.5	32.6%	32.6%	23.0%	1.41×	3.07
Q4 under 31.5	26.3%	28.5%	38.9%	0.73×	3.51
Q4 over 41.5	23.5%	23.1%	16.4%	1.41×	4.33
Q4 under 28.5	14.9%	14.4%	24.9%	0.58×	6.95
Q4 over 44.5	13.0%	14.4%	9.4%	1.53×	6.95

Team total 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Xavier Musketeers over 55.5	86.0%	83.9%	70.8%	1.19×	1.19
Xavier Musketeers under 75.5	85.8%	83.9%	84.1%	1.00×	1.19
Ohio Bobcats over 62.5	85.8%	83.9%	64.3%	1.31×	1.19
Ohio Bobcats under 82.5	84.6%	80.7%	86.2%	0.94×	1.24
Ohio Bobcats under 79.5	76.0%	75.1%	81.3%	0.92×	1.33
Xavier Musketeers over 58.5	77.5%	75.1%	62.1%	1.21×	1.33
Xavier Musketeers under 72.5	77.4%	75.1%	78.2%	0.96×	1.33
Ohio Bobcats over 65.5	77.6%	75.1%	55.3%	1.36×	1.33
Xavier Musketeers over 60.5	70.5%	70.7%	55.6%	1.27×	1.41
Xavier Musketeers under 70.5	70.5%	70.7%	73.7%	0.96×	1.41
Ohio Bobcats over 67.5	70.9%	70.7%	48.7%	1.45×	1.41
Ohio Bobcats under 77.5	69.0%	66.4%	77.4%	0.86×	1.51
Xavier Musketeers over 62.5	62.6%	61.2%	49.0%	1.25×	1.63
Xavier Musketeers under 68.5	62.7%	61.2%	68.6%	0.89×	1.63
Ohio Bobcats over 69.5	63.4%	61.2%	42.6%	1.44×	1.63
Ohio Bobcats under 75.5	61.3%	61.2%	73.2%	0.84×	1.63
Ohio Bobcats over 71.5	55.3%	57.1%	37.0%	1.54×	1.75
Xavier Musketeers over 64.5	54.2%	52.3%	43.2%	1.21×	1.91
Xavier Musketeers under 66.5	54.3%	52.3%	62.7%	0.83×	1.91
Ohio Bobcats over 72.5	51.1%	52.3%	34.3%	1.52×	1.91
Ohio Bobcats under 73.5	53.1%	52.3%	68.5%	0.76×	1.91
Xavier Musketeers under 65.5	50.0%	52.3%	59.8%	0.87×	1.91
Xavier Musketeers over 65.5	50.0%	47.7%	40.2%	1.19×	2.09
Ohio Bobcats under 72.5	48.9%	47.7%	65.7%	0.73×	2.09
Ohio Bobcats over 73.5	46.9%	47.7%	31.5%	1.51×	2.09
Xavier Musketeers under 64.5	45.8%	47.7%	56.9%	0.84×	2.09
Xavier Musketeers over 66.5	45.7%	47.7%	37.3%	1.28×	2.09
Ohio Bobcats under 71.5	44.7%	42.9%	63.0%	0.68×	2.33
Ohio Bobcats over 75.5	38.7%	38.8%	26.8%	1.45×	2.58
Xavier Musketeers under 62.5	37.4%	38.8%	51.0%	0.76×	2.58
Xavier Musketeers over 68.5	37.3%	38.8%	31.4%	1.24×	2.58
Ohio Bobcats under 69.5	36.6%	38.8%	57.4%	0.68×	2.58
Ohio Bobcats over 77.5	31.0%	33.6%	22.6%	1.49×	2.98
Xavier Musketeers under 60.5	29.5%	29.3%	44.4%	0.66×	3.42
Xavier Musketeers over 70.5	29.5%	29.3%	26.3%	1.11×	3.42
Ohio Bobcats under 67.5	29.1%	29.3%	51.3%	0.57×	3.42
Ohio Bobcats over 79.5	24.0%	24.9%	18.7%	1.33×	4.02
Xavier Musketeers under 58.5	22.5%	24.9%	37.9%	0.66×	4.02
Xavier Musketeers over 72.5	22.6%	24.9%	21.8%	1.14×	4.02
Ohio Bobcats under 65.5	22.4%	24.9%	44.7%	0.56×	4.02
Ohio Bobcats over 82.5	15.4%	19.3%	13.8%	1.40×	5.18
Xavier Musketeers over 75.5	14.2%	16.1%	15.9%	1.01×	6.21
Ohio Bobcats under 62.5	14.2%	16.1%	35.7%	0.45×	6.21
Xavier Musketeers under 55.5	14.0%	16.1%	29.2%	0.55×	6.21

Total points 30

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 118.5 points	90.7%	88.8%	73.6%	1.21×	1.13
Under 158.5 points	91.0%	88.8%	92.7%	0.96×	1.13
Under 153.5 points	84.4%	80.6%	89.0%	0.90×	1.24
Over 123.5 points	83.7%	80.6%	63.3%	1.27×	1.24
Under 148.5 points	75.1%	75.6%	83.7%	0.90×	1.32
Over 128.5 points	74.2%	70.8%	52.8%	1.34×	1.41
Under 145.5 points	68.5%	65.9%	79.5%	0.83×	1.52
Over 131.5 points	67.3%	65.9%	46.1%	1.43×	1.52
Under 143.5 points	63.7%	61.5%	76.7%	0.80×	1.63
Over 133.5 points	62.3%	61.5%	42.0%	1.46×	1.63
Under 141.5 points	58.6%	56.5%	73.4%	0.77×	1.77
Over 135.5 points	57.2%	56.5%	37.6%	1.50×	1.77
Under 139.5 points	53.3%	52.3%	69.9%	0.75×	1.91
Over 137.5 points	51.9%	52.3%	33.8%	1.55×	1.91
Under 138.5 points	50.6%	52.3%	67.9%	0.77×	1.91
Over 138.5 points	49.4%	47.7%	32.1%	1.49×	2.10
Under 137.5 points	48.1%	47.7%	66.2%	0.72×	2.10
Over 139.5 points	46.7%	47.7%	30.1%	1.58×	2.10
Under 135.5 points	42.8%	43.5%	62.4%	0.70×	2.30
Over 141.5 points	41.4%	43.5%	26.6%	1.64×	2.30
Under 133.5 points	37.7%	38.5%	58.0%	0.66×	2.60
Over 143.5 points	36.3%	38.5%	23.3%	1.65×	2.60
Under 131.5 points	32.7%	34.1%	53.9%	0.63×	2.93
Over 145.5 points	31.5%	34.1%	20.5%	1.67×	2.93
Under 128.5 points	25.8%	29.2%	47.2%	0.62×	3.43
Over 148.5 points	24.9%	24.4%	16.3%	1.49×	4.10
Under 123.5 points	16.3%	19.4%	36.7%	0.53×	5.15
Over 153.5 points	15.6%	19.4%	11.0%	1.77×	5.15
Under 118.5 points	9.3%	11.2%	26.4%	0.42×	8.96
Over 158.5 points	9.0%	11.2%	7.3%	1.53×	8.96

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ohio Bobcats to win both halves	37.8%	36.3%	36.0%	1.01×	2.76
Xavier Musketeers to win both halves	8.2%	8.8%	20.4%	0.43×	11.31

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ohio Bobcats by 6-10	18.1%	16.8%	12.9%	1.30×	5.97
Ohio Bobcats by 1-5	17.1%	16.8%	10.2%	1.64×	5.97
Ohio Bobcats by 11-15	15.8%	16.8%	10.8%	1.55×	5.97
Xavier Musketeers by 1-5	12.3%	12.3%	10.2%	1.21×	8.11
Ohio Bobcats by 16-20	11.3%	12.3%	8.0%	1.53×	8.11
Xavier Musketeers by 6-10	7.5%	7.5%	10.3%	0.72×	13.40
Ohio Bobcats by 21-25	6.7%	7.5%	5.4%	1.39×	13.40
Ohio Bobcats by 26+	5.1%	7.5%	12.6%	0.59×	13.41
Xavier Musketeers by 11-15	3.8%	2.0%	7.6%	0.27×	49.29
Xavier Musketeers by 16-20	1.6%	2.0%	4.8%	0.43×	49.31
Xavier Musketeers by 21-25	0.5%	2.0%	2.7%	0.76×	49.32
Xavier Musketeers by 26+	0.2%	2.0%	4.6%	0.44×	49.33

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