Ohio State Buckeyes v VCU Rams — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 28 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 86.02–51.07 | 86-51 0% | 55% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio State Buckeyes to score 100+ | 8.5% | 8.8% | 1.8% | 4.90× | 11.36 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes to score 110+ | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.64× | 283.21 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.91× | 283.35 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.36 |
| VCU Rams to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.71× | 283.36 |
| VCU Rams to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.36 |
| VCU Rams to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.36 |
| VCU Rams to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.36 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio State Buckeyes to win H1 | 96.4% | 98.5% | 56.4% | 1.75× | 1.02 |
| VCU Rams to win H1 | 2.8% | 3.9% | 39.9% | 0.10× | 25.87 |
| H1 tied | 0.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.89 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 over 54.5 | 89.5% | 87.7% | 74.0% | 1.19× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 78.5 | 88.8% | 87.7% | 92.8% | 0.95× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 58.5 | 79.7% | 77.4% | 61.4% | 1.26× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 74.5 | 79.2% | 77.4% | 87.2% | 0.89× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 61.5 | 69.8% | 67.4% | 50.2% | 1.34× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 71.5 | 69.5% | 67.4% | 81.4% | 0.83× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 63.5 | 62.2% | 62.7% | 42.9% | 1.46× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 69.5 | 62.0% | 62.7% | 76.2% | 0.82× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 65.5 | 54.1% | 52.6% | 36.1% | 1.46× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 67.5 | 54.0% | 52.6% | 70.4% | 0.75× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 66.5 | 50.0% | 52.6% | 32.9% | 1.60× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 66.5 | 50.0% | 47.4% | 67.1% | 0.71× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 65.5 | 45.9% | 47.4% | 63.9% | 0.74× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 67.5 | 46.0% | 47.4% | 29.6% | 1.60× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 69.5 | 38.0% | 37.3% | 23.8% | 1.56× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 63.5 | 37.8% | 37.3% | 57.1% | 0.65× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 61.5 | 30.2% | 32.6% | 49.8% | 0.65× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 71.5 | 30.5% | 32.6% | 18.6% | 1.76× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 58.5 | 20.3% | 22.6% | 38.6% | 0.58× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 74.5 | 20.8% | 22.6% | 12.8% | 1.76× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 78.5 | 11.2% | 12.3% | 7.2% | 1.70× | 8.14 |
| H1 under 54.5 | 10.5% | 12.3% | 26.0% | 0.47× | 8.14 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio State Buckeyes to win H2 | 97.2% | 95.5% | 56.0% | 1.70× | 1.05 |
| VCU Rams to win H2 | 2.2% | 3.9% | 40.6% | 0.10× | 25.37 |
| H2 tied | 0.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.38 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 85.5 | 89.1% | 85.2% | 91.2% | 0.93× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 61.5 | 87.1% | 85.2% | 71.3% | 1.20× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 81.5 | 80.1% | 81.8% | 85.8% | 0.95× | 1.22 |
| H2 over 65.5 | 76.7% | 75.8% | 58.8% | 1.29× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 78.5 | 71.1% | 72.2% | 80.1% | 0.90× | 1.39 |
| H2 over 68.5 | 66.6% | 66.4% | 48.7% | 1.36× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 76.5 | 64.1% | 61.6% | 75.6% | 0.81× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 70.5 | 59.1% | 57.3% | 42.2% | 1.36× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 74.5 | 56.5% | 57.3% | 69.9% | 0.82× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 73.5 | 52.6% | 52.4% | 67.1% | 0.78× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 72.5 | 51.3% | 52.4% | 36.0% | 1.46× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 72.5 | 48.7% | 47.6% | 64.1% | 0.74× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 73.5 | 47.4% | 47.6% | 32.9% | 1.45× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 74.5 | 43.5% | 42.7% | 30.1% | 1.42× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 70.5 | 40.9% | 42.7% | 57.8% | 0.74× | 2.35 |
| H2 over 76.5 | 35.9% | 38.4% | 24.4% | 1.57× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 68.5 | 33.4% | 33.6% | 51.3% | 0.66× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 78.5 | 28.9% | 27.8% | 19.9% | 1.40× | 3.59 |
| H2 under 65.5 | 23.3% | 24.2% | 41.2% | 0.59× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 81.5 | 19.9% | 18.2% | 14.2% | 1.28× | 5.50 |
| H2 under 61.5 | 12.9% | 14.8% | 28.7% | 0.51× | 6.76 |
| H2 over 85.5 | 10.9% | 14.8% | 8.8% | 1.69× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio State Buckeyes leading at half time | 96.4% | 98.3% | 56.4% | 1.74× | 1.02 |
| VCU Rams leading at half time | 2.8% | 3.8% | 39.9% | 0.09× | 26.42 |
| Level at half time | 0.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.44 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio State Buckeyes −1.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 58.7% | 1.66× | 1.03 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes +1.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 61.2% | 1.59× | 1.03 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes −2.5 | 99.8% | 97.4% | 56.7% | 1.72× | 1.03 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes +2.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 63.3% | 1.54× | 1.03 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes −3.5 | 99.7% | 97.4% | 54.2% | 1.80× | 1.03 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes +3.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 65.7% | 1.48× | 1.03 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes −4.5 | 99.7% | 97.4% | 52.2% | 1.87× | 1.03 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes +4.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 67.8% | 1.44× | 1.03 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes −5.5 | 99.5% | 97.4% | 49.7% | 1.96× | 1.03 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes +5.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 70.1% | 1.39× | 1.03 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes −6.5 | 99.4% | 97.4% | 47.6% | 2.05× | 1.03 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes +6.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 72.3% | 1.35× | 1.03 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes +7.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 74.5% | 1.31× | 1.03 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes +8.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 76.5% | 1.27× | 1.03 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes +9.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 78.7% | 1.24× | 1.03 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes +10.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 80.4% | 1.21× | 1.03 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes +12.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 83.8% | 1.16× | 1.03 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes +14.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 86.7% | 1.12× | 1.03 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes +16.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 89.1% | 1.09× | 1.03 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes +18.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 91.1% | 1.07× | 1.03 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes +20.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 92.7% | 1.05× | 1.03 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes −7.5 | 99.2% | 97.4% | 44.8% | 2.18× | 1.03 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes −8.5 | 99.0% | 97.4% | 42.0% | 2.32× | 1.03 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes −9.5 | 98.7% | 97.4% | 39.3% | 2.48× | 1.03 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes −10.5 | 98.4% | 97.4% | 36.8% | 2.65× | 1.03 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes −12.5 | 97.5% | 97.4% | 32.1% | 3.03× | 1.03 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes −14.5 | 96.2% | 97.4% | 27.9% | 3.49× | 1.03 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes −16.5 | 94.4% | 91.1% | 24.3% | 3.76× | 1.10 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes −18.5 | 92.0% | 91.1% | 20.7% | 4.40× | 1.10 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes −20.5 | 88.9% | 85.9% | 18.0% | 4.77× | 1.16 |
| VCU Rams +20.5 | 11.1% | 14.1% | 82.0% | 0.17× | 7.09 |
| VCU Rams +18.5 | 8.0% | 8.9% | 79.3% | 0.11× | 11.25 |
| VCU Rams +16.5 | 5.6% | 8.9% | 75.7% | 0.12× | 11.25 |
| VCU Rams +7.5 | 0.8% | 2.6% | 55.2% | 0.05× | 38.74 |
| VCU Rams +8.5 | 1.0% | 2.6% | 58.0% | 0.04× | 38.74 |
| VCU Rams +9.5 | 1.3% | 2.6% | 60.7% | 0.04× | 38.74 |
| VCU Rams +10.5 | 1.6% | 2.6% | 63.2% | 0.04× | 38.73 |
| VCU Rams +12.5 | 2.5% | 2.6% | 67.9% | 0.04× | 38.73 |
| VCU Rams +14.5 | 3.8% | 2.6% | 72.1% | 0.04× | 38.73 |
| VCU Rams +1.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 41.3% | 0.06× | 38.74 |
| VCU Rams −1.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 38.8% | 0.07× | 38.74 |
| VCU Rams +2.5 | 0.2% | 2.6% | 43.3% | 0.06× | 38.74 |
| VCU Rams −2.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 36.7% | 0.07× | 38.74 |
| VCU Rams +3.5 | 0.3% | 2.6% | 45.8% | 0.06× | 38.74 |
| VCU Rams −3.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 34.3% | 0.08× | 38.74 |
| VCU Rams +4.5 | 0.3% | 2.6% | 47.8% | 0.05× | 38.74 |
| VCU Rams −4.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 32.2% | 0.08× | 38.74 |
| VCU Rams +5.5 | 0.5% | 2.6% | 50.3% | 0.05× | 38.74 |
| VCU Rams −5.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 29.9% | 0.09× | 38.74 |
| VCU Rams +6.5 | 0.6% | 2.6% | 52.4% | 0.05× | 38.74 |
| VCU Rams −6.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 27.7% | 0.09× | 38.74 |
| VCU Rams −7.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 25.5% | 0.10× | 38.74 |
| VCU Rams −8.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 23.5% | 0.11× | 38.74 |
| VCU Rams −9.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 21.3% | 0.12× | 38.74 |
| VCU Rams −10.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 19.6% | 0.13× | 38.74 |
| VCU Rams −12.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 16.2% | 0.16× | 38.74 |
| VCU Rams −14.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 13.3% | 0.19× | 38.74 |
| VCU Rams −16.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 10.9% | 0.24× | 38.74 |
| VCU Rams −18.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 8.9% | 0.29× | 38.74 |
| VCU Rams −20.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 7.3% | 0.35× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 73.4% | 67.1% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 26.6% | 32.9% | 33.3% | 0.99× | 3.04 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 highest scoring | 34.9% | 31.9% | 31.2% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 33.2% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 16.7% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 15.1% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.02× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio State Buckeyes at HT / Ohio State Buckeyes at FT | 96.3% | 98.3% | 48.3% | 2.04× | 1.02 |
| VCU Rams at HT / Ohio State Buckeyes at FT | 2.8% | 2.1% | 9.8% | 0.21× | 47.74 |
| Level at HT / Ohio State Buckeyes at FT | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.78 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes at HT / VCU Rams at FT | 0.0% | 2.1% | 8.2% | 0.26× | 47.79 |
| Level at HT / VCU Rams at FT | 0.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.79 |
| VCU Rams at HT / VCU Rams at FT | 0.1% | 2.1% | 30.1% | 0.07× | 47.79 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio State Buckeyes to win | 99.9% | 97.5% | 59.9% | 1.63× | 1.03 |
| VCU Rams to win | 0.1% | 2.5% | 40.1% | 0.06× | 39.96 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio State Buckeyes even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| VCU Rams even | 50.6% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 50.0% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| VCU Rams odd | 49.4% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 50.0% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 99.5% | 97.0% | 95.6% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Match to go to overtime | 0.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 0.67× | 33.63 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio State Buckeyes to win Q1 | 88.0% | 91.7% | 54.7% | 1.68× | 1.09 |
| VCU Rams to win Q1 | 9.2% | 5.5% | 40.4% | 0.14× | 18.26 |
| Q1 tied | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 0.85× | 24.02 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 over 25.5 | 88.7% | 87.4% | 77.6% | 1.13× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 41.5 | 88.7% | 87.4% | 91.9% | 0.95× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 38.5 | 77.7% | 76.9% | 84.8% | 0.91× | 1.30 |
| Q1 over 28.5 | 77.4% | 76.9% | 62.7% | 1.23× | 1.30 |
| Q1 under 36.5 | 67.7% | 67.6% | 77.4% | 0.87× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 30.5 | 67.3% | 67.6% | 51.2% | 1.32× | 1.48 |
| Q1 under 34.5 | 56.3% | 58.6% | 68.5% | 0.86× | 1.71 |
| Q1 over 32.5 | 55.7% | 58.6% | 40.9% | 1.43× | 1.71 |
| Q1 under 33.5 | 50.3% | 52.7% | 64.0% | 0.82× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 33.5 | 49.7% | 47.3% | 36.0% | 1.31× | 2.11 |
| Q1 under 32.5 | 44.3% | 41.4% | 59.1% | 0.70× | 2.42 |
| Q1 over 34.5 | 43.7% | 41.4% | 31.5% | 1.31× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 30.5 | 32.7% | 32.4% | 48.8% | 0.67× | 3.08 |
| Q1 over 36.5 | 32.3% | 32.4% | 22.6% | 1.44× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 28.5 | 22.6% | 23.1% | 37.3% | 0.62× | 4.33 |
| Q1 over 38.5 | 22.3% | 23.1% | 15.2% | 1.52× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 25.5 | 11.3% | 12.6% | 22.4% | 0.56× | 7.95 |
| Q1 over 41.5 | 11.3% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 1.56× | 7.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio State Buckeyes to win Q2 | 87.2% | 92.0% | 52.9% | 1.74× | 1.09 |
| VCU Rams to win Q2 | 9.9% | 6.1% | 41.5% | 0.15× | 16.44 |
| Q2 tied | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 0.77× | 22.95 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 41.5 | 89.7% | 87.3% | 92.7% | 0.94× | 1.15 |
| Q2 over 25.5 | 87.6% | 87.3% | 76.2% | 1.15× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 38.5 | 79.2% | 76.8% | 85.6% | 0.90× | 1.30 |
| Q2 over 28.5 | 75.7% | 76.8% | 61.2% | 1.26× | 1.30 |
| Q2 under 36.5 | 69.6% | 67.4% | 78.7% | 0.86× | 1.48 |
| Q2 over 30.5 | 65.3% | 67.4% | 49.9% | 1.35× | 1.49 |
| Q2 under 34.5 | 58.3% | 58.2% | 70.1% | 0.83× | 1.72 |
| Q2 over 32.5 | 53.6% | 52.7% | 39.2% | 1.34× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 33.5 | 52.4% | 52.7% | 65.6% | 0.80× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 33.5 | 47.6% | 47.3% | 34.4% | 1.38× | 2.11 |
| Q2 under 32.5 | 46.4% | 47.3% | 60.8% | 0.78× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 34.5 | 41.7% | 41.8% | 29.9% | 1.40× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 30.5 | 34.7% | 32.6% | 50.1% | 0.65× | 3.06 |
| Q2 over 36.5 | 30.4% | 32.6% | 21.3% | 1.53× | 3.06 |
| Q2 under 28.5 | 24.3% | 23.2% | 38.8% | 0.60× | 4.31 |
| Q2 over 38.5 | 20.8% | 23.2% | 14.4% | 1.61× | 4.31 |
| Q2 under 25.5 | 12.4% | 12.7% | 23.8% | 0.53× | 7.89 |
| Q2 over 41.5 | 10.3% | 12.7% | 7.3% | 1.72× | 7.90 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio State Buckeyes to win Q3 | 89.4% | 87.7% | 53.3% | 1.65× | 1.14 |
| VCU Rams to win Q3 | 8.1% | 5.3% | 41.8% | 0.13× | 18.92 |
| Q3 tied | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 0.86× | 23.50 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 over 28.5 | 88.0% | 87.2% | 76.4% | 1.14× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 44.5 | 88.2% | 87.2% | 92.1% | 0.95× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 41.5 | 77.3% | 77.3% | 85.1% | 0.91× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 31.5 | 76.6% | 77.3% | 61.6% | 1.25× | 1.29 |
| Q3 under 39.5 | 67.6% | 67.8% | 77.9% | 0.87× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 33.5 | 66.6% | 67.8% | 50.9% | 1.33× | 1.48 |
| Q3 under 37.5 | 56.4% | 58.4% | 69.7% | 0.84× | 1.71 |
| Q3 over 35.5 | 55.3% | 58.4% | 40.3% | 1.45× | 1.71 |
| Q3 under 36.5 | 50.6% | 52.3% | 64.6% | 0.81× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 36.5 | 49.4% | 47.7% | 35.4% | 1.35× | 2.10 |
| Q3 under 35.5 | 44.7% | 41.6% | 59.7% | 0.70× | 2.40 |
| Q3 over 37.5 | 43.6% | 41.6% | 30.3% | 1.37× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 33.5 | 33.4% | 32.2% | 49.1% | 0.66× | 3.10 |
| Q3 over 39.5 | 32.4% | 32.2% | 22.1% | 1.46× | 3.10 |
| Q3 under 31.5 | 23.4% | 22.7% | 38.4% | 0.59× | 4.40 |
| Q3 over 41.5 | 22.7% | 22.7% | 14.9% | 1.53× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 28.5 | 12.0% | 12.8% | 23.6% | 0.54× | 7.83 |
| Q3 over 44.5 | 11.8% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 1.63× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio State Buckeyes to win Q4 | 89.0% | 83.8% | 52.8% | 1.59× | 1.19 |
| VCU Rams to win Q4 | 8.5% | 5.8% | 41.5% | 0.14× | 17.21 |
| Q4 tied | 2.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 0.91× | 19.33 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 over 28.5 | 86.7% | 85.6% | 75.1% | 1.14× | 1.17 |
| Q4 under 44.5 | 86.6% | 85.6% | 90.6% | 0.95× | 1.17 |
| Q4 over 31.5 | 75.6% | 76.9% | 61.1% | 1.26× | 1.30 |
| Q4 under 41.5 | 75.7% | 76.9% | 83.6% | 0.92× | 1.30 |
| Q4 over 33.5 | 66.1% | 67.4% | 50.4% | 1.34× | 1.48 |
| Q4 under 39.5 | 66.2% | 67.4% | 77.0% | 0.88× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 35.5 | 55.4% | 58.4% | 40.6% | 1.44× | 1.71 |
| Q4 under 37.5 | 55.6% | 58.4% | 68.8% | 0.85× | 1.71 |
| Q4 under 36.5 | 50.1% | 52.5% | 64.3% | 0.82× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 36.5 | 49.9% | 47.5% | 35.7% | 1.33× | 2.11 |
| Q4 under 35.5 | 44.6% | 41.6% | 59.4% | 0.70× | 2.40 |
| Q4 over 37.5 | 44.4% | 41.6% | 31.2% | 1.33× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 33.5 | 33.9% | 32.6% | 49.6% | 0.66× | 3.07 |
| Q4 over 39.5 | 33.8% | 32.6% | 23.0% | 1.41× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 31.5 | 24.4% | 23.1% | 38.9% | 0.59× | 4.33 |
| Q4 over 41.5 | 24.3% | 23.1% | 16.4% | 1.41× | 4.33 |
| Q4 under 28.5 | 13.3% | 14.4% | 24.9% | 0.58× | 6.95 |
| Q4 over 44.5 | 13.4% | 14.4% | 9.4% | 1.53× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VCU Rams under 63.5 | 89.9% | 83.9% | 53.9% | 1.56× | 1.19 |
| VCU Rams over 43.5 | 88.7% | 83.9% | 93.7% | 0.90× | 1.19 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes over 76.5 | 85.8% | 83.9% | 24.6% | 3.42× | 1.19 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes under 96.5 | 85.4% | 83.9% | 97.5% | 0.86× | 1.19 |
| VCU Rams under 60.5 | 82.7% | 80.7% | 44.4% | 1.82× | 1.24 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes over 79.5 | 77.4% | 75.1% | 18.7% | 4.02× | 1.33 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes under 93.5 | 76.9% | 75.1% | 96.1% | 0.78× | 1.33 |
| VCU Rams over 46.5 | 77.1% | 75.1% | 89.7% | 0.84× | 1.33 |
| VCU Rams under 58.5 | 76.3% | 75.1% | 37.9% | 1.98× | 1.33 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes over 81.5 | 70.5% | 70.7% | 15.4% | 4.58× | 1.41 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes under 91.5 | 69.9% | 66.4% | 95.1% | 0.70× | 1.51 |
| VCU Rams under 56.5 | 68.8% | 66.4% | 32.0% | 2.08× | 1.51 |
| VCU Rams over 48.5 | 68.1% | 66.4% | 86.7% | 0.77× | 1.51 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes over 83.5 | 62.8% | 61.2% | 12.3% | 4.97× | 1.63 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes under 89.5 | 62.2% | 61.2% | 93.9% | 0.65× | 1.63 |
| VCU Rams under 54.5 | 60.2% | 61.2% | 26.5% | 2.31× | 1.63 |
| VCU Rams over 50.5 | 58.7% | 57.1% | 83.1% | 0.69× | 1.75 |
| VCU Rams under 53.5 | 55.6% | 57.1% | 23.7% | 2.41× | 1.75 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes over 85.5 | 54.5% | 52.3% | 9.8% | 5.34× | 1.91 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes under 87.5 | 53.9% | 52.3% | 92.3% | 0.57× | 1.91 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes over 86.5 | 50.3% | 52.3% | 8.8% | 5.94× | 1.91 |
| VCU Rams under 52.5 | 50.9% | 52.3% | 21.5% | 2.43× | 1.91 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes under 86.5 | 49.7% | 47.7% | 91.2% | 0.52× | 2.09 |
| VCU Rams over 52.5 | 49.1% | 47.7% | 78.5% | 0.61× | 2.09 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes under 85.5 | 45.5% | 47.7% | 90.2% | 0.53× | 2.09 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes over 87.5 | 46.1% | 47.7% | 7.7% | 6.22× | 2.09 |
| VCU Rams over 53.5 | 44.4% | 42.9% | 76.3% | 0.56× | 2.33 |
| VCU Rams under 50.5 | 41.3% | 42.9% | 16.9% | 2.54× | 2.33 |
| VCU Rams over 54.5 | 39.8% | 38.8% | 73.5% | 0.53× | 2.58 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes under 83.5 | 37.2% | 38.8% | 87.7% | 0.44× | 2.58 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes over 89.5 | 37.8% | 38.8% | 6.1% | 6.32× | 2.58 |
| VCU Rams under 48.5 | 31.9% | 33.6% | 13.3% | 2.53× | 2.98 |
| VCU Rams over 56.5 | 31.2% | 33.6% | 68.0% | 0.49× | 2.98 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes over 91.5 | 30.1% | 33.6% | 4.9% | 6.87× | 2.98 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes under 81.5 | 29.5% | 29.3% | 84.6% | 0.35× | 3.42 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes under 79.5 | 22.6% | 24.9% | 81.3% | 0.31× | 4.02 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes over 93.5 | 23.1% | 24.9% | 3.9% | 6.44× | 4.02 |
| VCU Rams under 46.5 | 22.9% | 24.9% | 10.3% | 2.42× | 4.02 |
| VCU Rams over 58.5 | 23.7% | 24.9% | 62.1% | 0.40× | 4.02 |
| VCU Rams over 60.5 | 17.3% | 19.3% | 55.6% | 0.35× | 5.18 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes under 76.5 | 14.2% | 16.1% | 75.4% | 0.21× | 6.21 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes over 96.5 | 14.6% | 16.1% | 2.5% | 6.42× | 6.21 |
| VCU Rams under 43.5 | 11.3% | 16.1% | 6.3% | 2.54× | 6.21 |
| VCU Rams over 63.5 | 10.1% | 16.1% | 46.1% | 0.35× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 119.5 points | 93.6% | 88.8% | 71.6% | 1.24× | 1.13 |
| Under 159.5 points | 92.3% | 88.8% | 93.3% | 0.95× | 1.13 |
| Over 124.5 points | 86.7% | 85.0% | 61.5% | 1.38× | 1.18 |
| Under 154.5 points | 86.1% | 85.0% | 89.8% | 0.95× | 1.18 |
| Under 149.5 points | 77.0% | 75.6% | 84.9% | 0.89× | 1.32 |
| Over 129.5 points | 76.3% | 75.6% | 50.5% | 1.50× | 1.32 |
| Under 146.5 points | 70.2% | 70.8% | 80.9% | 0.88× | 1.41 |
| Over 132.5 points | 68.7% | 65.9% | 44.0% | 1.50× | 1.52 |
| Under 144.5 points | 65.1% | 65.9% | 78.1% | 0.84× | 1.52 |
| Over 134.5 points | 63.1% | 61.5% | 39.8% | 1.54× | 1.63 |
| Under 142.5 points | 59.8% | 56.5% | 75.1% | 0.75× | 1.77 |
| Over 136.5 points | 57.4% | 56.5% | 35.8% | 1.58× | 1.77 |
| Under 140.5 points | 54.1% | 52.3% | 71.8% | 0.73× | 1.91 |
| Over 138.5 points | 51.6% | 52.3% | 32.1% | 1.63× | 1.91 |
| Under 139.5 points | 51.3% | 52.3% | 69.9% | 0.75× | 1.91 |
| Over 139.5 points | 48.7% | 47.7% | 30.1% | 1.58× | 2.10 |
| Under 138.5 points | 48.4% | 47.7% | 67.9% | 0.70× | 2.10 |
| Over 140.5 points | 45.9% | 47.7% | 28.2% | 1.69× | 2.10 |
| Under 136.5 points | 42.6% | 43.5% | 64.2% | 0.68× | 2.30 |
| Over 142.5 points | 40.2% | 43.5% | 24.9% | 1.75× | 2.30 |
| Under 134.5 points | 36.9% | 38.5% | 60.2% | 0.64× | 2.60 |
| Over 144.5 points | 34.9% | 34.1% | 21.9% | 1.56× | 2.93 |
| Under 132.5 points | 31.3% | 34.1% | 56.0% | 0.61× | 2.93 |
| Over 146.5 points | 29.8% | 29.2% | 19.1% | 1.53× | 3.43 |
| Under 129.5 points | 23.7% | 24.4% | 49.5% | 0.49× | 4.10 |
| Over 149.5 points | 23.0% | 24.4% | 15.1% | 1.62× | 4.10 |
| Over 154.5 points | 13.9% | 15.0% | 10.2% | 1.47× | 6.68 |
| Under 124.5 points | 13.3% | 15.0% | 38.5% | 0.39× | 6.69 |
| Over 159.5 points | 7.7% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 1.67× | 8.97 |
| Under 119.5 points | 6.4% | 11.2% | 28.4% | 0.39× | 8.97 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio State Buckeyes to win both halves | 93.6% | 93.3% | 36.0% | 2.59× | 1.07 |
| VCU Rams to win both halves | 0.0% | 3.0% | 20.4% | 0.15× | 33.85 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio State Buckeyes by 26+ | 77.8% | 82.6% | 12.6% | 6.55× | 1.21 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes by 21-25 | 11.2% | 12.3% | 5.4% | 2.29× | 8.11 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes by 16-20 | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 0.93× | 13.40 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes by 6-10 | 1.2% | 2.0% | 12.9% | 0.16× | 49.32 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes by 11-15 | 3.0% | 2.0% | 10.8% | 0.19× | 49.30 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes by 1-5 | 0.4% | 2.0% | 10.2% | 0.20× | 49.32 |
| VCU Rams by 1-5 | 0.1% | 2.0% | 10.2% | 0.20× | 49.33 |
| VCU Rams by 6-10 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 10.3% | 0.20× | 49.33 |
| VCU Rams by 11-15 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 7.6% | 0.27× | 49.33 |
| VCU Rams by 16-20 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 0.43× | 49.33 |
| VCU Rams by 21-25 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 0.76× | 49.33 |
| VCU Rams by 26+ | 0.0% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 0.44× | 49.33 |