Oklahoma City Thunder v Indiana Pacers — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Wednesday 14 October 2026 · NBA · 2027
NBA results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 125.03–106.58 | 125-107 0% | 50% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to score 100+ | 98.5% | 94.9% | 89.3% | 1.06× | 1.05 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder to score 110+ | 90.9% | 90.3% | 67.0% | 1.35× | 1.11 |
| Indiana Pacers to score 100+ | 72.5% | 72.3% | 85.9% | 0.84× | 1.38 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 71.8% | 72.3% | 77.5% | 0.93× | 1.38 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder to score 120+ | 68.5% | 63.8% | 36.5% | 1.75× | 1.57 |
| Indiana Pacers to score 110+ | 39.7% | 36.0% | 60.9% | 0.59× | 2.77 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder to score 130+ | 35.6% | 35.9% | 12.8% | 2.80× | 2.78 |
| Indiana Pacers to score 120+ | 13.1% | 13.8% | 29.7% | 0.47× | 7.23 |
| Indiana Pacers to score 130+ | 2.4% | 0.4% | 10.0% | 0.04× | 282.88 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to win H1 | 78.6% | 79.2% | 52.8% | 1.50× | 1.26 |
| Indiana Pacers to win H1 | 18.9% | 16.9% | 44.1% | 0.38× | 5.91 |
| H1 tied | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.25× | 25.87 |
H1 total 40
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 128.5 | 82.5% | 83.2% | 86.7% | 0.96× | 1.20 |
| H1 over 104.5 | 81.3% | 83.2% | 78.3% | 1.06× | 1.20 |
| H1 under 129.5 | 83.4% | 82.5% | 88.1% | 0.94× | 1.21 |
| H1 over 105.5 | 81.0% | 82.5% | 75.8% | 1.09× | 1.21 |
| H1 under 124.5 | 73.6% | 74.0% | 78.4% | 0.94× | 1.35 |
| H1 over 108.5 | 72.1% | 74.0% | 67.7% | 1.09× | 1.35 |
| H1 under 125.5 | 74.6% | 73.5% | 80.7% | 0.91× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 109.5 | 71.5% | 73.5% | 65.0% | 1.13× | 1.36 |
| H1 under 121.5 | 65.7% | 68.1% | 71.2% | 0.96× | 1.47 |
| H1 under 122.5 | 66.7% | 67.4% | 74.0% | 0.91× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 111.5 | 64.0% | 63.3% | 59.0% | 1.07× | 1.58 |
| H1 over 112.5 | 63.2% | 62.7% | 55.8% | 1.12× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 120.5 | 60.9% | 62.7% | 68.4% | 0.92× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 114.5 | 57.3% | 58.2% | 49.6% | 1.17× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 119.5 | 59.9% | 58.2% | 65.9% | 0.88× | 1.72 |
| H1 over 113.5 | 58.1% | 58.1% | 52.4% | 1.11× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 118.5 | 54.9% | 52.6% | 62.9% | 0.84× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 117.5 | 51.9% | 52.6% | 59.6% | 0.88× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 116.5 | 51.2% | 52.6% | 43.4% | 1.21× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 115.5 | 52.1% | 52.5% | 46.4% | 1.13× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 115.5 | 47.9% | 47.5% | 53.6% | 0.89× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 116.5 | 48.8% | 47.4% | 56.6% | 0.84× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 117.5 | 48.1% | 47.4% | 40.4% | 1.17× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 118.5 | 45.1% | 47.4% | 37.1% | 1.28× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 113.5 | 41.9% | 41.9% | 47.6% | 0.88× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 119.5 | 40.1% | 41.8% | 34.1% | 1.23× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 114.5 | 42.7% | 41.8% | 50.4% | 0.83× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 120.5 | 39.1% | 37.3% | 31.6% | 1.18× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 112.5 | 36.8% | 37.3% | 44.2% | 0.84× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 111.5 | 36.0% | 36.7% | 41.0% | 0.89× | 2.72 |
| H1 over 122.5 | 33.3% | 32.6% | 26.0% | 1.25× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 121.5 | 34.3% | 32.0% | 28.8% | 1.11× | 3.13 |
| H1 under 109.5 | 28.5% | 26.5% | 35.0% | 0.76× | 3.77 |
| H1 over 125.5 | 25.4% | 26.5% | 19.3% | 1.37× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 108.5 | 27.9% | 26.0% | 32.3% | 0.81× | 3.84 |
| H1 over 124.5 | 26.4% | 26.0% | 21.7% | 1.20× | 3.84 |
| H1 under 105.5 | 19.0% | 17.5% | 24.2% | 0.72× | 5.72 |
| H1 over 129.5 | 16.6% | 17.5% | 11.9% | 1.47× | 5.73 |
| H1 under 104.5 | 18.7% | 16.8% | 21.7% | 0.77× | 5.96 |
| H1 over 128.5 | 17.5% | 16.8% | 13.3% | 1.26× | 5.96 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to win H2 | 78.3% | 73.9% | 51.6% | 1.43× | 1.35 |
| Indiana Pacers to win H2 | 19.2% | 20.5% | 44.7% | 0.46× | 4.89 |
| H2 tied | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.06× | 25.37 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 over 102.5 | 82.9% | 81.8% | 78.5% | 1.04× | 1.22 |
| H2 under 126.5 | 82.0% | 81.8% | 83.2% | 0.98× | 1.22 |
| H2 over 106.5 | 73.8% | 72.2% | 68.8% | 1.05× | 1.39 |
| H2 under 122.5 | 72.7% | 72.2% | 74.4% | 0.97× | 1.39 |
| H2 over 109.5 | 65.7% | 66.4% | 60.9% | 1.09× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 119.5 | 64.5% | 61.6% | 66.4% | 0.93× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 111.5 | 59.9% | 57.3% | 55.3% | 1.04× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 117.5 | 58.5% | 57.3% | 61.1% | 0.94× | 1.74 |
| H2 over 113.5 | 53.8% | 52.4% | 49.9% | 1.05× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 115.5 | 52.4% | 52.4% | 55.4% | 0.95× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 114.5 | 50.7% | 52.4% | 47.5% | 1.10× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 114.5 | 49.3% | 47.6% | 52.5% | 0.91× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 115.5 | 47.6% | 47.6% | 44.6% | 1.07× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 113.5 | 46.2% | 47.6% | 50.1% | 0.95× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 117.5 | 41.5% | 42.7% | 38.9% | 1.10× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 111.5 | 40.1% | 42.7% | 44.7% | 0.96× | 2.35 |
| H2 over 119.5 | 35.5% | 38.4% | 33.6% | 1.14× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 109.5 | 34.3% | 33.6% | 39.1% | 0.86× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 122.5 | 27.3% | 27.8% | 25.6% | 1.09× | 3.59 |
| H2 under 106.5 | 26.2% | 27.8% | 31.2% | 0.89× | 3.59 |
| H2 over 126.5 | 18.0% | 18.2% | 16.8% | 1.08× | 5.50 |
| H2 under 102.5 | 17.1% | 18.2% | 21.5% | 0.85× | 5.50 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder leading at half time | 78.6% | 79.7% | 52.8% | 1.51× | 1.25 |
| Indiana Pacers leading at half time | 18.9% | 17.1% | 44.1% | 0.39× | 5.86 |
| Level at half time | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.22× | 26.42 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder +18.5 | 99.5% | 97.4% | 91.5% | 1.06× | 1.03 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +20.5 | 99.6% | 97.4% | 93.1% | 1.05× | 1.03 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +6.5 | 95.7% | 97.4% | 70.6% | 1.38× | 1.03 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +7.5 | 96.3% | 97.4% | 73.0% | 1.33× | 1.03 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +8.5 | 96.8% | 97.4% | 75.7% | 1.29× | 1.03 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +9.5 | 97.3% | 97.4% | 78.1% | 1.25× | 1.03 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +10.5 | 97.7% | 97.4% | 80.3% | 1.21× | 1.03 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +12.5 | 98.3% | 97.4% | 83.9% | 1.16× | 1.03 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +14.5 | 98.8% | 97.4% | 87.0% | 1.12× | 1.03 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +16.5 | 99.2% | 97.4% | 89.7% | 1.09× | 1.03 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +5.5 | 95.0% | 97.4% | 68.0% | 1.43× | 1.03 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +4.5 | 94.3% | 91.1% | 65.7% | 1.39× | 1.10 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +2.5 | 92.5% | 91.1% | 60.5% | 1.51× | 1.10 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +3.5 | 93.4% | 91.1% | 63.1% | 1.44× | 1.10 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +1.5 | 91.5% | 91.1% | 57.9% | 1.57× | 1.10 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −1.5 | 89.0% | 85.9% | 53.7% | 1.60× | 1.16 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −2.5 | 87.5% | 85.9% | 50.9% | 1.69× | 1.16 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −3.5 | 85.9% | 85.9% | 48.4% | 1.77× | 1.16 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −4.5 | 84.2% | 81.1% | 46.0% | 1.77× | 1.23 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −5.5 | 82.4% | 81.1% | 42.9% | 1.89× | 1.23 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −6.5 | 80.5% | 81.1% | 40.0% | 2.03× | 1.23 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −7.5 | 78.5% | 76.5% | 37.0% | 2.06× | 1.31 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −8.5 | 76.3% | 76.5% | 34.1% | 2.24× | 1.31 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −9.5 | 74.1% | 71.6% | 31.3% | 2.29× | 1.40 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −10.5 | 71.7% | 71.6% | 29.0% | 2.47× | 1.40 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −12.5 | 66.8% | 66.7% | 24.0% | 2.78× | 1.50 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −14.5 | 61.5% | 61.9% | 19.9% | 3.12× | 1.62 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −16.5 | 56.0% | 57.1% | 16.5% | 3.46× | 1.75 |
| Indiana Pacers +20.5 | 55.1% | 57.1% | 89.1% | 0.64× | 1.75 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −18.5 | 50.5% | 52.4% | 13.6% | 3.85× | 1.91 |
| Indiana Pacers +18.5 | 49.5% | 47.6% | 86.4% | 0.55× | 2.10 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −20.5 | 44.9% | 42.9% | 10.9% | 3.95× | 2.33 |
| Indiana Pacers +16.5 | 44.0% | 42.9% | 83.5% | 0.51× | 2.33 |
| Indiana Pacers +14.5 | 38.5% | 38.1% | 80.1% | 0.48× | 2.63 |
| Indiana Pacers +12.5 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 76.0% | 0.44× | 3.01 |
| Indiana Pacers +10.5 | 28.3% | 28.4% | 71.0% | 0.40× | 3.53 |
| Indiana Pacers +9.5 | 25.9% | 28.4% | 68.7% | 0.41× | 3.53 |
| Indiana Pacers +8.5 | 23.7% | 23.5% | 65.9% | 0.36× | 4.25 |
| Indiana Pacers +7.5 | 21.5% | 23.5% | 63.0% | 0.37× | 4.25 |
| Indiana Pacers +6.5 | 19.5% | 18.9% | 60.0% | 0.31× | 5.29 |
| Indiana Pacers +5.5 | 17.6% | 18.9% | 57.1% | 0.33× | 5.29 |
| Indiana Pacers +4.5 | 15.8% | 18.9% | 54.1% | 0.35× | 5.30 |
| Indiana Pacers +3.5 | 14.1% | 14.1% | 51.6% | 0.27× | 7.09 |
| Indiana Pacers +2.5 | 12.5% | 14.1% | 49.1% | 0.29× | 7.09 |
| Indiana Pacers +1.5 | 11.0% | 14.1% | 46.3% | 0.30× | 7.09 |
| Indiana Pacers −1.5 | 8.5% | 8.9% | 42.1% | 0.21× | 11.25 |
| Indiana Pacers −2.5 | 7.5% | 8.9% | 39.5% | 0.22× | 11.25 |
| Indiana Pacers −3.5 | 6.6% | 8.9% | 36.9% | 0.24× | 11.25 |
| Indiana Pacers −4.5 | 5.7% | 8.9% | 34.3% | 0.26× | 11.25 |
| Indiana Pacers −5.5 | 5.0% | 2.6% | 32.0% | 0.08× | 38.72 |
| Indiana Pacers −6.5 | 4.3% | 2.6% | 29.4% | 0.09× | 38.72 |
| Indiana Pacers −7.5 | 3.7% | 2.6% | 27.0% | 0.10× | 38.73 |
| Indiana Pacers −8.5 | 3.2% | 2.6% | 24.3% | 0.11× | 38.73 |
| Indiana Pacers −9.5 | 2.7% | 2.6% | 21.9% | 0.12× | 38.73 |
| Indiana Pacers −10.5 | 2.3% | 2.6% | 19.7% | 0.13× | 38.73 |
| Indiana Pacers −12.5 | 1.7% | 2.6% | 16.1% | 0.16× | 38.73 |
| Indiana Pacers −14.5 | 1.2% | 2.6% | 13.0% | 0.20× | 38.74 |
| Indiana Pacers −16.5 | 0.8% | 2.6% | 10.3% | 0.25× | 38.74 |
| Indiana Pacers −18.5 | 0.5% | 2.6% | 8.5% | 0.30× | 38.74 |
| Indiana Pacers −20.5 | 0.4% | 2.6% | 6.9% | 0.37× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half highest scoring | 56.8% | 52.6% | 53.5% | 0.98× | 1.90 |
| 2nd half highest scoring | 43.2% | 47.4% | 46.5% | 1.02× | 2.11 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 highest scoring | 28.3% | 27.4% | 29.2% | 0.94× | 3.65 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 28.0% | 27.4% | 27.5% | 1.00× | 3.65 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 26.6% | 27.4% | 26.3% | 1.04× | 3.65 |
| Q4 highest scoring | 17.1% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 1.08× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder at HT / Oklahoma City Thunder at FT | 75.5% | 78.0% | 40.8% | 1.91× | 1.28 |
| Indiana Pacers at HT / Oklahoma City Thunder at FT | 12.8% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 0.92× | 8.17 |
| Indiana Pacers at HT / Indiana Pacers at FT | 6.1% | 8.3% | 30.9% | 0.27× | 12.09 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder at HT / Indiana Pacers at FT | 3.1% | 2.1% | 12.0% | 0.17× | 47.74 |
| Level at HT / Oklahoma City Thunder at FT | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.22× | 47.76 |
| Level at HT / Indiana Pacers at FT | 0.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.49× | 47.78 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to win | 90.3% | 90.6% | 55.7% | 1.63× | 1.10 |
| Indiana Pacers to win | 9.7% | 9.4% | 44.3% | 0.21× | 10.60 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder odd | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.3% | 1.00× | 1.98 |
| Indiana Pacers even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.3% | 1.00× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 50.6% | 50.5% | 51.0% | 0.99× | 1.98 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder even | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.7% | 1.00× | 2.02 |
| Indiana Pacers odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.7% | 1.00× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 49.4% | 49.5% | 49.0% | 1.01× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 97.0% | 97.0% | 94.8% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Match to go to overtime | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 0.58× | 33.46 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to win Q1 | 69.5% | 72.3% | 51.3% | 1.41× | 1.38 |
| Indiana Pacers to win Q1 | 26.4% | 22.4% | 44.1% | 0.51× | 4.47 |
| Q1 tied | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 0.90× | 23.97 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 over 50.5 | 83.0% | 82.8% | 79.4% | 1.04× | 1.21 |
| Q1 under 66.5 | 82.4% | 82.8% | 86.1% | 0.96× | 1.21 |
| Q1 over 53.5 | 72.6% | 72.7% | 68.2% | 1.07× | 1.38 |
| Q1 under 63.5 | 71.8% | 72.7% | 76.8% | 0.95× | 1.38 |
| Q1 over 55.5 | 64.2% | 61.7% | 59.2% | 1.04× | 1.62 |
| Q1 under 61.5 | 63.4% | 61.7% | 68.5% | 0.90× | 1.62 |
| Q1 over 57.5 | 55.1% | 58.6% | 49.6% | 1.18× | 1.71 |
| Q1 under 59.5 | 54.2% | 52.7% | 60.0% | 0.88× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 58.5 | 50.5% | 52.7% | 44.3% | 1.19× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 58.5 | 49.5% | 47.3% | 55.7% | 0.85× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 59.5 | 45.8% | 47.3% | 40.0% | 1.18× | 2.11 |
| Q1 under 57.5 | 44.9% | 41.4% | 50.4% | 0.82× | 2.42 |
| Q1 over 61.5 | 36.6% | 38.3% | 31.5% | 1.22× | 2.61 |
| Q1 under 55.5 | 35.8% | 38.3% | 40.8% | 0.94× | 2.61 |
| Q1 over 63.5 | 28.2% | 27.3% | 23.2% | 1.17× | 3.66 |
| Q1 under 53.5 | 27.4% | 27.3% | 31.8% | 0.86× | 3.66 |
| Q1 over 66.5 | 17.6% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 1.23× | 5.83 |
| Q1 under 50.5 | 17.0% | 17.2% | 20.6% | 0.83× | 5.83 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to win Q2 | 69.2% | 68.4% | 49.3% | 1.39× | 1.46 |
| Indiana Pacers to win Q2 | 26.7% | 27.7% | 46.2% | 0.60× | 3.61 |
| Q2 tied | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 0.98× | 22.91 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 66.5 | 83.1% | 83.0% | 86.5% | 0.96× | 1.21 |
| Q2 over 50.5 | 81.9% | 83.0% | 78.1% | 1.06× | 1.21 |
| Q2 under 63.5 | 72.9% | 72.0% | 77.5% | 0.93× | 1.39 |
| Q2 over 53.5 | 71.3% | 72.0% | 65.8% | 1.09× | 1.39 |
| Q2 under 61.5 | 64.6% | 60.7% | 70.4% | 0.86× | 1.65 |
| Q2 over 55.5 | 62.8% | 60.7% | 56.3% | 1.08× | 1.65 |
| Q2 under 59.5 | 55.6% | 58.2% | 61.9% | 0.94× | 1.72 |
| Q2 over 57.5 | 53.7% | 52.7% | 47.3% | 1.11× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 58.5 | 50.9% | 52.7% | 57.3% | 0.92× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 58.5 | 49.1% | 47.3% | 42.7% | 1.11× | 2.11 |
| Q2 under 57.5 | 46.3% | 47.3% | 52.7% | 0.90× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 59.5 | 44.4% | 41.8% | 38.1% | 1.10× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 55.5 | 37.2% | 39.3% | 43.7% | 0.90× | 2.55 |
| Q2 over 61.5 | 35.4% | 39.3% | 29.6% | 1.33× | 2.55 |
| Q2 under 53.5 | 28.7% | 28.0% | 34.2% | 0.82× | 3.57 |
| Q2 over 63.5 | 27.1% | 28.0% | 22.5% | 1.25× | 3.57 |
| Q2 under 50.5 | 18.1% | 17.0% | 21.9% | 0.78× | 5.88 |
| Q2 over 66.5 | 16.9% | 17.0% | 13.5% | 1.26× | 5.88 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to win Q3 | 69.3% | 66.8% | 50.9% | 1.31× | 1.50 |
| Indiana Pacers to win Q3 | 26.7% | 28.8% | 44.3% | 0.65× | 3.47 |
| Q3 tied | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 0.88× | 23.45 |
Q3 total 32
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 67.5 | 85.1% | 87.2% | 87.0% | 1.00× | 1.15 |
| Q3 over 51.5 | 80.6% | 82.3% | 76.1% | 1.08× | 1.22 |
| Q3 under 66.5 | 83.0% | 82.2% | 84.7% | 0.97× | 1.22 |
| Q3 over 50.5 | 82.5% | 82.2% | 79.7% | 1.03× | 1.22 |
| Q3 under 64.5 | 75.3% | 77.3% | 79.2% | 0.98× | 1.29 |
| Q3 under 63.5 | 72.6% | 72.5% | 75.9% | 0.95× | 1.38 |
| Q3 over 53.5 | 71.9% | 72.5% | 68.3% | 1.06× | 1.38 |
| Q3 over 54.5 | 69.4% | 67.8% | 63.9% | 1.06× | 1.48 |
| Q3 under 62.5 | 67.2% | 67.8% | 71.9% | 0.94× | 1.48 |
| Q3 under 61.5 | 64.2% | 62.6% | 67.7% | 0.92× | 1.60 |
| Q3 over 55.5 | 63.5% | 62.6% | 59.9% | 1.05× | 1.60 |
| Q3 over 56.5 | 60.6% | 61.9% | 55.0% | 1.13× | 1.61 |
| Q3 under 60.5 | 58.2% | 58.4% | 63.5% | 0.92× | 1.71 |
| Q3 over 57.5 | 54.3% | 52.6% | 50.2% | 1.05× | 1.90 |
| Q3 under 59.5 | 53.5% | 52.3% | 59.0% | 0.89× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 58.5 | 51.2% | 52.3% | 45.2% | 1.16× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 58.5 | 48.8% | 47.7% | 54.8% | 0.87× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 59.5 | 46.5% | 47.7% | 41.0% | 1.16× | 2.10 |
| Q3 under 57.5 | 45.7% | 47.4% | 49.8% | 0.95× | 2.11 |
| Q3 over 60.5 | 41.8% | 41.6% | 36.5% | 1.14× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 56.5 | 39.4% | 38.1% | 45.0% | 0.85× | 2.63 |
| Q3 under 55.5 | 36.5% | 37.4% | 40.1% | 0.93× | 2.67 |
| Q3 over 61.5 | 35.8% | 37.4% | 32.3% | 1.16× | 2.67 |
| Q3 over 62.5 | 32.8% | 32.2% | 28.1% | 1.15× | 3.10 |
| Q3 under 54.5 | 30.6% | 32.2% | 36.1% | 0.89× | 3.11 |
| Q3 under 53.5 | 28.1% | 27.5% | 31.7% | 0.87× | 3.64 |
| Q3 over 63.5 | 27.4% | 27.5% | 24.1% | 1.14× | 3.64 |
| Q3 over 64.5 | 24.7% | 22.7% | 20.8% | 1.09× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 50.5 | 17.5% | 17.8% | 20.3% | 0.88× | 5.62 |
| Q3 over 66.5 | 17.0% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 1.16× | 5.63 |
| Q3 under 51.5 | 19.4% | 17.7% | 23.9% | 0.74× | 5.65 |
| Q3 over 67.5 | 14.9% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 0.99× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to win Q4 | 68.9% | 60.7% | 48.3% | 1.26× | 1.65 |
| Indiana Pacers to win Q4 | 26.9% | 33.3% | 46.4% | 0.72× | 3.00 |
| Q4 tied | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 0.97× | 19.29 |
Q4 total 32
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 64.5 | 83.8% | 82.0% | 86.3% | 0.95× | 1.22 |
| Q4 over 48.5 | 80.5% | 82.0% | 75.5% | 1.09× | 1.22 |
| Q4 over 47.5 | 82.4% | 81.9% | 79.0% | 1.04× | 1.22 |
| Q4 under 63.5 | 81.7% | 81.9% | 83.7% | 0.98× | 1.22 |
| Q4 over 50.5 | 72.2% | 72.3% | 68.5% | 1.05× | 1.38 |
| Q4 under 60.5 | 71.2% | 72.3% | 74.2% | 0.97× | 1.38 |
| Q4 under 61.5 | 73.9% | 71.5% | 77.5% | 0.92× | 1.40 |
| Q4 over 51.5 | 69.6% | 67.4% | 64.7% | 1.04× | 1.48 |
| Q4 under 59.5 | 65.8% | 67.4% | 70.2% | 0.96× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 52.5 | 64.0% | 61.7% | 60.4% | 1.02× | 1.62 |
| Q4 under 58.5 | 62.9% | 61.6% | 66.2% | 0.93× | 1.62 |
| Q4 over 53.5 | 61.2% | 61.4% | 55.7% | 1.10× | 1.63 |
| Q4 under 57.5 | 57.1% | 58.4% | 61.9% | 0.94× | 1.71 |
| Q4 over 54.5 | 55.1% | 57.4% | 51.4% | 1.12× | 1.74 |
| Q4 under 56.5 | 52.5% | 52.5% | 57.2% | 0.92× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 55.5 | 52.1% | 52.5% | 47.1% | 1.11× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 55.5 | 47.9% | 47.5% | 52.9% | 0.90× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 56.5 | 47.5% | 47.5% | 42.8% | 1.11× | 2.11 |
| Q4 under 54.5 | 44.9% | 42.6% | 48.6% | 0.88× | 2.35 |
| Q4 over 57.5 | 42.9% | 41.6% | 38.1% | 1.09× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 53.5 | 38.8% | 38.6% | 44.3% | 0.87× | 2.59 |
| Q4 over 58.5 | 37.1% | 38.4% | 33.8% | 1.13× | 2.61 |
| Q4 under 52.5 | 36.0% | 38.3% | 39.6% | 0.97× | 2.61 |
| Q4 over 59.5 | 34.2% | 32.6% | 29.8% | 1.09× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 51.5 | 30.4% | 32.6% | 35.3% | 0.92× | 3.07 |
| Q4 over 61.5 | 26.2% | 28.5% | 22.5% | 1.27× | 3.51 |
| Q4 over 60.5 | 28.8% | 27.7% | 25.8% | 1.08× | 3.61 |
| Q4 under 50.5 | 27.8% | 27.7% | 31.5% | 0.88× | 3.61 |
| Q4 over 63.5 | 18.3% | 18.1% | 16.3% | 1.11× | 5.53 |
| Q4 under 47.5 | 17.6% | 18.1% | 21.0% | 0.86× | 5.53 |
| Q4 under 48.5 | 19.5% | 18.0% | 24.5% | 0.73× | 5.56 |
| Q4 over 64.5 | 16.2% | 18.0% | 13.7% | 1.31× | 5.56 |
Team total 68
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Pacers under 116.5 | 80.6% | 80.7% | 61.5% | 1.31× | 1.24 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 135.5 | 81.1% | 80.7% | 94.4% | 0.85× | 1.24 |
| Indiana Pacers over 96.5 | 80.4% | 80.7% | 90.8% | 0.89× | 1.24 |
| Indiana Pacers under 119.5 | 80.5% | 80.3% | 70.3% | 1.14× | 1.25 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 131.5 | 80.7% | 80.3% | 89.8% | 0.89× | 1.25 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 111.5 | 78.7% | 78.3% | 61.1% | 1.28× | 1.28 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 115.5 | 79.5% | 75.1% | 48.4% | 1.55× | 1.33 |
| Indiana Pacers over 102.5 | 71.0% | 71.8% | 79.7% | 0.90× | 1.39 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 114.5 | 70.8% | 71.8% | 51.4% | 1.40× | 1.39 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 132.5 | 73.4% | 70.7% | 91.2% | 0.78× | 1.41 |
| Indiana Pacers over 99.5 | 72.5% | 70.7% | 85.9% | 0.82× | 1.41 |
| Indiana Pacers under 113.5 | 72.8% | 70.7% | 52.0% | 1.36× | 1.41 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 118.5 | 71.5% | 70.7% | 39.7% | 1.78× | 1.41 |
| Indiana Pacers under 114.5 | 67.2% | 66.6% | 55.5% | 1.20× | 1.50 |
| Indiana Pacers over 104.5 | 65.1% | 66.6% | 75.0% | 0.89× | 1.50 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 130.5 | 67.6% | 66.4% | 88.6% | 0.75× | 1.51 |
| Indiana Pacers over 101.5 | 66.5% | 66.4% | 82.0% | 0.81× | 1.51 |
| Indiana Pacers under 111.5 | 66.8% | 66.4% | 45.4% | 1.46× | 1.51 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 120.5 | 65.4% | 66.4% | 33.7% | 1.97× | 1.51 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 128.5 | 61.2% | 61.2% | 85.5% | 0.72× | 1.63 |
| Indiana Pacers under 109.5 | 60.3% | 61.2% | 39.1% | 1.57× | 1.63 |
| Indiana Pacers over 103.5 | 60.0% | 61.2% | 77.5% | 0.79× | 1.63 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 116.5 | 64.8% | 61.2% | 45.3% | 1.35× | 1.63 |
| Indiana Pacers under 112.5 | 61.0% | 61.2% | 48.5% | 1.26× | 1.64 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 122.5 | 59.0% | 57.1% | 28.2% | 2.03× | 1.75 |
| Indiana Pacers under 107.5 | 53.6% | 52.3% | 33.4% | 1.57× | 1.91 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 126.5 | 54.6% | 52.3% | 81.5% | 0.64× | 1.91 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 125.5 | 51.2% | 52.3% | 79.1% | 0.66× | 1.91 |
| Indiana Pacers over 105.5 | 53.3% | 52.3% | 71.9% | 0.73× | 1.91 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 124.5 | 52.2% | 52.3% | 23.2% | 2.25× | 1.91 |
| Indiana Pacers under 106.5 | 50.1% | 52.3% | 31.1% | 1.68× | 1.91 |
| Indiana Pacers under 110.5 | 54.5% | 52.2% | 42.1% | 1.24× | 1.91 |
| Indiana Pacers over 108.5 | 52.1% | 52.2% | 64.0% | 0.82× | 1.91 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 121.5 | 51.3% | 52.2% | 69.6% | 0.75× | 1.91 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 121.5 | 48.7% | 47.8% | 30.4% | 1.57× | 2.09 |
| Indiana Pacers under 108.5 | 47.9% | 47.8% | 36.0% | 1.33× | 2.09 |
| Indiana Pacers over 110.5 | 45.5% | 47.8% | 57.9% | 0.83× | 2.09 |
| Indiana Pacers over 106.5 | 49.9% | 47.7% | 68.9% | 0.69× | 2.09 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 125.5 | 48.8% | 47.7% | 20.9% | 2.28× | 2.09 |
| Indiana Pacers under 105.5 | 46.7% | 47.7% | 28.1% | 1.70× | 2.09 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 124.5 | 47.8% | 47.7% | 76.8% | 0.62× | 2.09 |
| Indiana Pacers over 107.5 | 46.4% | 47.7% | 66.6% | 0.72× | 2.09 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 126.5 | 45.4% | 47.7% | 18.5% | 2.59× | 2.09 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 122.5 | 41.0% | 42.9% | 71.8% | 0.60× | 2.33 |
| Indiana Pacers over 112.5 | 39.0% | 38.8% | 51.5% | 0.75× | 2.58 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 116.5 | 35.2% | 38.8% | 54.7% | 0.71× | 2.58 |
| Indiana Pacers over 109.5 | 39.7% | 38.8% | 60.9% | 0.64× | 2.58 |
| Indiana Pacers under 103.5 | 40.0% | 38.8% | 22.5% | 1.72× | 2.58 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 128.5 | 38.8% | 38.8% | 14.5% | 2.68× | 2.58 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 120.5 | 34.6% | 33.6% | 66.3% | 0.51× | 2.98 |
| Indiana Pacers under 101.5 | 33.5% | 33.6% | 18.0% | 1.86× | 2.98 |
| Indiana Pacers over 111.5 | 33.2% | 33.6% | 54.6% | 0.62× | 2.98 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 130.5 | 32.4% | 33.6% | 11.4% | 2.95× | 2.98 |
| Indiana Pacers under 104.5 | 34.9% | 33.4% | 25.0% | 1.34× | 2.99 |
| Indiana Pacers over 114.5 | 32.8% | 33.4% | 44.5% | 0.75× | 3.00 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 118.5 | 28.5% | 29.3% | 60.3% | 0.49× | 3.42 |
| Indiana Pacers under 99.5 | 27.5% | 29.3% | 14.1% | 2.07× | 3.42 |
| Indiana Pacers over 113.5 | 27.2% | 29.3% | 48.0% | 0.61× | 3.42 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 132.5 | 26.6% | 29.3% | 8.8% | 3.32× | 3.42 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 114.5 | 29.2% | 28.2% | 48.6% | 0.58× | 3.55 |
| Indiana Pacers under 102.5 | 29.0% | 28.2% | 20.3% | 1.39× | 3.55 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 115.5 | 20.5% | 24.9% | 51.6% | 0.48× | 4.02 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 111.5 | 21.3% | 21.7% | 38.9% | 0.56× | 4.60 |
| Indiana Pacers over 119.5 | 19.5% | 19.7% | 29.7% | 0.67× | 5.07 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 131.5 | 19.3% | 19.7% | 10.2% | 1.93× | 5.07 |
| Indiana Pacers over 116.5 | 19.4% | 19.3% | 38.5% | 0.50× | 5.18 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 135.5 | 18.9% | 19.3% | 5.6% | 3.47× | 5.18 |
| Indiana Pacers under 96.5 | 19.6% | 19.3% | 9.2% | 2.09× | 5.18 |
Total points 56
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 250.5 points | 86.0% | 85.5% | 86.1% | 0.99× | 1.17 |
| Over 210.5 points | 85.4% | 85.5% | 81.4% | 1.05× | 1.17 |
| Over 211.5 points | 86.3% | 85.0% | 79.7% | 1.07× | 1.18 |
| Under 251.5 points | 86.0% | 85.0% | 87.2% | 0.98× | 1.18 |
| Under 245.5 points | 79.2% | 78.1% | 80.9% | 0.97× | 1.28 |
| Over 215.5 points | 78.4% | 78.1% | 73.4% | 1.06× | 1.28 |
| Over 216.5 points | 79.4% | 75.6% | 71.6% | 1.06× | 1.32 |
| Under 246.5 points | 79.1% | 75.6% | 82.0% | 0.92× | 1.32 |
| Under 240.5 points | 70.7% | 71.0% | 74.0% | 0.96× | 1.41 |
| Under 241.5 points | 70.5% | 70.8% | 75.5% | 0.94× | 1.41 |
| Over 221.5 points | 70.9% | 70.8% | 62.2% | 1.14× | 1.41 |
| Over 220.5 points | 69.8% | 66.6% | 64.2% | 1.04× | 1.50 |
| Under 237.5 points | 65.1% | 66.6% | 69.3% | 0.96× | 1.50 |
| Over 224.5 points | 65.1% | 65.9% | 56.5% | 1.17× | 1.52 |
| Over 223.5 points | 64.0% | 61.8% | 58.3% | 1.06× | 1.62 |
| Under 235.5 points | 61.1% | 61.7% | 65.3% | 0.95× | 1.62 |
| Under 238.5 points | 64.6% | 61.5% | 70.9% | 0.87× | 1.63 |
| Over 226.5 points | 61.0% | 61.5% | 52.7% | 1.17× | 1.63 |
| Under 236.5 points | 60.5% | 61.5% | 67.3% | 0.91× | 1.63 |
| Over 228.5 points | 56.7% | 56.5% | 48.7% | 1.16× | 1.77 |
| Under 234.5 points | 56.2% | 56.5% | 63.3% | 0.89× | 1.77 |
| Over 225.5 points | 59.9% | 56.0% | 54.7% | 1.02× | 1.79 |
| Under 233.5 points | 56.9% | 56.0% | 61.4% | 0.91× | 1.79 |
| Over 227.5 points | 55.8% | 56.0% | 50.6% | 1.11× | 1.79 |
| Under 232.5 points | 51.9% | 52.3% | 59.4% | 0.88× | 1.91 |
| Over 230.5 points | 52.4% | 52.3% | 44.6% | 1.17× | 1.91 |
| Over 231.5 points | 50.2% | 52.3% | 42.6% | 1.23× | 1.91 |
| Over 229.5 points | 51.5% | 52.2% | 46.7% | 1.12× | 1.92 |
| Under 229.5 points | 48.5% | 47.8% | 53.3% | 0.90× | 2.09 |
| Under 231.5 points | 49.8% | 47.7% | 57.4% | 0.83× | 2.10 |
| Over 232.5 points | 48.1% | 47.7% | 40.6% | 1.17× | 2.10 |
| Under 230.5 points | 47.6% | 47.7% | 55.4% | 0.86× | 2.10 |
| Under 227.5 points | 44.2% | 44.0% | 49.4% | 0.89× | 2.27 |
| Over 233.5 points | 43.1% | 44.0% | 38.6% | 1.14× | 2.27 |
| Under 225.5 points | 40.1% | 44.0% | 45.3% | 0.97× | 2.27 |
| Under 228.5 points | 43.3% | 43.5% | 51.3% | 0.85× | 2.30 |
| Over 234.5 points | 43.8% | 43.5% | 36.7% | 1.19× | 2.30 |
| Over 236.5 points | 39.5% | 38.5% | 32.7% | 1.18× | 2.60 |
| Under 226.5 points | 39.0% | 38.5% | 47.3% | 0.82× | 2.60 |
| Over 238.5 points | 35.4% | 38.5% | 29.1% | 1.32× | 2.60 |
| Over 235.5 points | 38.9% | 38.3% | 34.7% | 1.10× | 2.61 |
| Under 223.5 points | 36.0% | 38.2% | 41.7% | 0.92× | 2.62 |
| Under 224.5 points | 34.9% | 34.1% | 43.5% | 0.79× | 2.93 |
| Over 237.5 points | 34.9% | 33.4% | 30.7% | 1.09× | 2.99 |
| Under 220.5 points | 30.2% | 33.4% | 35.8% | 0.93× | 3.00 |
| Over 241.5 points | 29.5% | 29.2% | 24.5% | 1.19× | 3.43 |
| Under 221.5 points | 29.1% | 29.2% | 37.8% | 0.77× | 3.43 |
| Over 240.5 points | 29.3% | 29.0% | 26.0% | 1.12× | 3.45 |
| Over 246.5 points | 20.9% | 24.4% | 18.0% | 1.36× | 4.10 |
| Under 216.5 points | 20.6% | 24.4% | 28.4% | 0.86× | 4.10 |
| Under 215.5 points | 21.6% | 21.9% | 26.6% | 0.82× | 4.57 |
| Over 245.5 points | 20.8% | 21.9% | 19.1% | 1.14× | 4.57 |
| Over 251.5 points | 14.0% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 1.17× | 6.68 |
| Under 211.5 points | 13.7% | 15.0% | 20.3% | 0.74× | 6.68 |
| Under 210.5 points | 14.6% | 14.5% | 18.6% | 0.78× | 6.88 |
| Over 250.5 points | 14.0% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 1.05× | 6.88 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to win both halves | 60.3% | 60.6% | 25.2% | 2.40× | 1.65 |
| Indiana Pacers to win both halves | 2.6% | 3.0% | 17.8% | 0.17× | 33.68 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder by 26+ | 31.7% | 37.6% | 6.2% | 6.08× | 2.66 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder by 16-20 | 13.9% | 12.3% | 7.3% | 1.68× | 8.11 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder by 21-25 | 13.2% | 12.3% | 4.7% | 2.62× | 8.11 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder by 11-15 | 12.9% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 1.14× | 8.11 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder by 6-10 | 10.7% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 0.88× | 8.11 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder by 1-5 | 7.9% | 7.5% | 12.8% | 0.58× | 13.40 |
| Indiana Pacers by 1-5 | 4.7% | 2.0% | 12.3% | 0.17× | 49.29 |
| Indiana Pacers by 6-10 | 2.7% | 2.0% | 12.3% | 0.16× | 49.30 |
| Indiana Pacers by 11-15 | 1.3% | 2.0% | 8.0% | 0.25× | 49.32 |
| Indiana Pacers by 16-20 | 0.6% | 2.0% | 4.9% | 0.42× | 49.32 |
| Indiana Pacers by 21-25 | 0.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 0.67× | 49.33 |
| Indiana Pacers by 26+ | 0.1% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 0.53× | 49.33 |