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Oklahoma Sooners v Campbell Fighting Camels — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 18 November 2026 · NCAAB · 2027

NCAAB results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Oklahoma Sooners win
93.0%
Draw
0.0%
Campbell Fighting Camels win
7.0%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 88.75–73.37 89-73 0% 49% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Oklahoma Sooners to score 100+ 13.7% 13.8% 3.4% 4.02× 7.23
Oklahoma Sooners to score 110+ 1.7% 0.4% 0.7% 0.52× 283.03
Oklahoma Sooners to score 120+ 0.1% 0.4% 0.1% 4.87× 283.34
Oklahoma Sooners to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 19.47× 283.36
Campbell Fighting Camels to score 100+ 0.3% 0.4% 1.1% 0.33× 283.30
Campbell Fighting Camels to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.2% 1.95× 283.35
Campbell Fighting Camels to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 12.98× 283.36
Campbell Fighting Camels to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 38.95× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.87× 283.33
H1 result 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Oklahoma Sooners to win H1 78.7% 79.2% 57.9% 1.37× 1.26
Oklahoma Sooners to win H1 78.6% 79.2% 57.9% 1.37× 1.26
Campbell Fighting Camels to win H1 18.2% 16.9% 38.2% 0.44× 5.91
Campbell Fighting Camels to win H1 18.1% 16.9% 38.2% 0.44× 5.91
H1 tied 3.2% 3.9% 3.9% 0.99× 25.87
H1 tied 3.2% 3.9% 3.9% 0.99× 25.87
H1 total 40
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 64.5 87.4% 87.7% 65.3% 1.34× 1.14
H1 under 88.5 86.7% 87.7% 95.6% 0.92× 1.14
H1 over 68.5 78.6% 77.4% 50.7% 1.53× 1.29
H1 over 68.5 77.9% 77.4% 50.7% 1.53× 1.29
H1 under 84.5 76.9% 77.4% 91.7% 0.84× 1.29
H1 under 84.5 77.6% 77.4% 91.7% 0.84× 1.29
H1 over 71.5 69.2% 67.4% 40.0% 1.69× 1.48
H1 over 71.5 68.6% 67.4% 40.0% 1.69× 1.48
H1 under 81.5 68.0% 67.4% 87.2% 0.77× 1.48
H1 under 81.5 67.5% 67.4% 87.2% 0.77× 1.48
H1 over 73.5 61.7% 62.7% 33.4% 1.88× 1.59
H1 over 73.5 62.1% 62.7% 33.4% 1.88× 1.59
H1 under 79.5 60.5% 62.7% 83.1% 0.75× 1.59
H1 under 79.5 60.8% 62.7% 83.1% 0.75× 1.59
H1 over 75.5 54.4% 52.6% 27.2% 1.93× 1.90
H1 over 75.5 54.5% 52.6% 27.2% 1.93× 1.90
H1 under 77.5 53.1% 52.6% 78.3% 0.67× 1.90
H1 under 77.5 53.2% 52.6% 78.3% 0.67× 1.90
H1 over 76.5 50.6% 52.6% 24.5% 2.15× 1.90
H1 over 76.5 50.7% 52.6% 24.5% 2.15× 1.90
H1 under 76.5 49.4% 47.4% 75.5% 0.63× 2.11
H1 under 76.5 49.3% 47.4% 75.5% 0.63× 2.11
H1 over 77.5 46.9% 47.4% 21.7% 2.18× 2.11
H1 over 77.5 46.8% 47.4% 21.7% 2.18× 2.11
H1 under 75.5 45.6% 47.4% 72.8% 0.65× 2.11
H1 under 75.5 45.5% 47.4% 72.8% 0.65× 2.11
H1 over 79.5 39.5% 37.3% 16.9% 2.21× 2.68
H1 over 79.5 39.2% 37.3% 16.9% 2.21× 2.68
H1 under 73.5 38.3% 37.3% 66.6% 0.56× 2.68
H1 under 73.5 37.9% 37.3% 66.6% 0.56× 2.68
H1 over 81.5 32.5% 32.6% 12.8% 2.55× 3.07
H1 under 71.5 31.4% 32.6% 60.0% 0.54× 3.07
H1 over 81.5 32.0% 32.6% 12.8% 2.55× 3.07
H1 under 71.5 30.8% 32.6% 60.0% 0.54× 3.07
H1 under 68.5 22.1% 22.6% 49.3% 0.46× 4.43
H1 over 84.5 23.1% 22.6% 8.3% 2.72× 4.43
H1 over 84.5 22.4% 22.6% 8.3% 2.72× 4.43
H1 under 68.5 21.4% 22.6% 49.3% 0.46× 4.43
H1 over 88.5 13.3% 12.3% 4.4% 2.81× 8.14
H1 under 64.5 12.6% 12.3% 34.8% 0.35× 8.14
H2 result 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Oklahoma Sooners to win H2 80.5% 79.5% 56.9% 1.40× 1.26
Oklahoma Sooners to win H2 80.4% 79.5% 57.5% 1.38× 1.26
Campbell Fighting Camels to win H2 16.7% 20.4% 38.5% 0.53× 4.90
Campbell Fighting Camels to win H2 16.6% 20.4% 38.9% 0.52× 4.90
H2 tied 2.9% 3.9% 4.1% 0.97× 25.36
H2 tied 2.9% 3.9% 4.2% 0.95× 25.36
H2 total 40
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 97.5 85.7% 85.2% 92.3% 0.92× 1.17
H2 over 73.5 85.6% 85.2% 63.1% 1.35× 1.17
H2 under 93.5 76.9% 75.8% 91.2% 0.83× 1.32
H2 over 77.5 76.6% 75.8% 47.0% 1.61× 1.32
H2 over 77.5 76.0% 75.8% 50.2% 1.51× 1.32
H2 under 93.5 76.2% 75.8% 88.2% 0.86× 1.32
H2 under 90.5 67.3% 66.4% 83.6% 0.79× 1.51
H2 over 80.5 67.4% 66.4% 37.1% 1.79× 1.51
H2 under 90.5 67.8% 66.4% 86.9% 0.76× 1.51
H2 over 80.5 67.0% 66.4% 40.8% 1.63× 1.51
H2 over 82.5 60.3% 61.6% 34.7% 1.78× 1.62
H2 under 88.5 60.6% 61.6% 79.8% 0.77× 1.62
H2 over 82.5 60.6% 61.6% 31.1% 1.98× 1.62
H2 under 88.5 61.0% 61.6% 83.3% 0.74× 1.62
H2 under 86.5 53.7% 52.4% 75.7% 0.69× 1.91
H2 over 84.5 53.4% 52.4% 25.9% 2.03× 1.91
H2 under 86.5 53.8% 52.4% 79.3% 0.66× 1.91
H2 over 84.5 53.4% 52.4% 29.5% 1.78× 1.91
H2 under 85.5 50.2% 52.4% 73.3% 0.71× 1.91
H2 under 85.5 50.2% 52.4% 76.8% 0.68× 1.91
H2 over 85.5 49.8% 47.6% 26.7% 1.78× 2.10
H2 over 85.5 49.8% 47.6% 23.2% 2.06× 2.10
H2 under 84.5 46.6% 47.6% 70.5% 0.68× 2.10
H2 over 86.5 46.3% 47.6% 24.3% 1.96× 2.10
H2 under 84.5 46.6% 47.6% 74.1% 0.64× 2.10
H2 over 86.5 46.2% 47.6% 20.7% 2.30× 2.10
H2 under 82.5 39.7% 38.4% 65.3% 0.59× 2.61
H2 over 88.5 39.4% 38.4% 20.2% 1.90× 2.61
H2 under 82.5 39.4% 38.4% 68.9% 0.56× 2.61
H2 over 88.5 39.0% 38.4% 16.7% 2.30× 2.61
H2 under 80.5 33.0% 33.6% 59.2% 0.57× 2.97
H2 over 90.5 32.7% 33.6% 16.4% 2.06× 2.97
H2 under 80.5 32.6% 33.6% 62.9% 0.54× 2.97
H2 over 90.5 32.2% 33.6% 13.1% 2.56× 2.97
H2 under 77.5 24.0% 24.2% 49.8% 0.49× 4.13
H2 over 93.5 23.8% 24.2% 11.8% 2.05× 4.13
H2 under 77.5 23.4% 24.2% 53.0% 0.46× 4.13
H2 over 93.5 23.1% 24.2% 8.8% 2.77× 4.13
H2 under 73.5 14.4% 14.8% 36.9% 0.40× 6.76
H2 over 97.5 14.3% 14.8% 7.7% 1.92× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Oklahoma Sooners leading at half time 78.6% 79.7% 57.9% 1.38× 1.25
Campbell Fighting Camels leading at half time 18.2% 17.0% 38.2% 0.45× 5.87
Level at half time 3.2% 3.8% 3.9% 0.97× 26.41
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Oklahoma Sooners +12.5 99.5% 97.4% 89.9% 1.08× 1.03
Oklahoma Sooners +14.5 99.7% 97.4% 92.2% 1.06× 1.03
Oklahoma Sooners +16.5 99.9% 97.4% 94.0% 1.04× 1.03
Oklahoma Sooners +18.5 99.9% 97.4% 95.4% 1.02× 1.03
Oklahoma Sooners +20.5 100.0% 97.4% 96.5% 1.01× 1.03
Oklahoma Sooners +3.5 96.0% 97.4% 70.8% 1.38× 1.03
Oklahoma Sooners +4.5 96.8% 97.4% 73.7% 1.32× 1.03
Oklahoma Sooners +5.5 97.4% 97.4% 76.4% 1.28× 1.03
Oklahoma Sooners +6.5 97.9% 97.4% 78.8% 1.24× 1.03
Oklahoma Sooners +7.5 98.3% 97.4% 81.0% 1.20× 1.03
Oklahoma Sooners +8.5 98.7% 97.4% 83.3% 1.17× 1.03
Oklahoma Sooners +9.5 99.0% 97.4% 85.3% 1.14× 1.03
Oklahoma Sooners +10.5 99.2% 97.4% 87.2% 1.12× 1.03
Oklahoma Sooners +2.5 95.2% 97.4% 68.0% 1.43× 1.03
Oklahoma Sooners +1.5 94.1% 91.1% 65.4% 1.39× 1.10
Oklahoma Sooners −1.5 91.4% 91.1% 60.8% 1.50× 1.10
Oklahoma Sooners −2.5 89.7% 85.9% 57.7% 1.49× 1.16
Oklahoma Sooners −3.5 87.8% 85.9% 54.1% 1.59× 1.16
Oklahoma Sooners −4.5 85.6% 85.9% 50.7% 1.70× 1.16
Oklahoma Sooners −5.5 83.2% 81.1% 47.0% 1.72× 1.23
Oklahoma Sooners −6.5 80.7% 81.1% 44.3% 1.83× 1.23
Oklahoma Sooners −7.5 77.9% 76.5% 41.3% 1.85× 1.31
Oklahoma Sooners −8.5 74.9% 71.6% 38.5% 1.86× 1.40
Oklahoma Sooners −9.5 71.8% 71.6% 35.5% 2.02× 1.40
Oklahoma Sooners −10.5 68.4% 66.7% 32.6% 2.04× 1.50
Campbell Fighting Camels +20.5 67.9% 66.7% 86.5% 0.77× 1.50
Oklahoma Sooners −12.5 61.4% 61.9% 27.6% 2.24× 1.62
Campbell Fighting Camels +18.5 60.9% 61.9% 83.9% 0.74× 1.62
Oklahoma Sooners −14.5 54.0% 52.4% 22.8% 2.30× 1.91
Campbell Fighting Camels +16.5 53.6% 52.4% 80.7% 0.65× 1.91
Campbell Fighting Camels +14.5 46.0% 47.6% 77.2% 0.62× 2.10
Oklahoma Sooners −16.5 46.4% 47.6% 19.3% 2.47× 2.10
Oklahoma Sooners −18.5 39.1% 38.1% 16.1% 2.36× 2.63
Campbell Fighting Camels +12.5 38.6% 38.1% 72.4% 0.53× 2.63
Campbell Fighting Camels +10.5 31.6% 33.3% 67.4% 0.49× 3.01
Oklahoma Sooners −20.5 32.1% 33.3% 13.5% 2.47× 3.01
Campbell Fighting Camels +9.5 28.2% 28.4% 64.5% 0.44× 3.53
Campbell Fighting Camels +8.5 25.1% 28.4% 61.5% 0.46× 3.53
Campbell Fighting Camels +7.5 22.1% 23.5% 58.7% 0.40× 4.25
Campbell Fighting Camels +6.5 19.3% 18.9% 55.7% 0.34× 5.29
Campbell Fighting Camels +5.5 16.8% 18.9% 53.0% 0.36× 5.29
Campbell Fighting Camels +4.5 14.4% 14.1% 49.3% 0.29× 7.09
Campbell Fighting Camels +3.5 12.2% 14.1% 45.9% 0.31× 7.09
Campbell Fighting Camels +2.5 10.3% 14.1% 42.3% 0.33× 7.09
Campbell Fighting Camels +1.5 8.6% 8.9% 39.2% 0.23× 11.25
Campbell Fighting Camels −1.5 5.9% 8.9% 34.6% 0.26× 11.25
Campbell Fighting Camels −2.5 4.8% 2.6% 32.0% 0.08× 38.72
Campbell Fighting Camels −3.5 4.0% 2.6% 29.3% 0.09× 38.72
Campbell Fighting Camels −4.5 3.2% 2.6% 26.3% 0.10× 38.73
Campbell Fighting Camels −5.5 2.6% 2.6% 23.6% 0.11× 38.73
Campbell Fighting Camels −6.5 2.1% 2.6% 21.2% 0.12× 38.73
Campbell Fighting Camels −7.5 1.7% 2.6% 19.0% 0.14× 38.73
Campbell Fighting Camels −8.5 1.3% 2.6% 16.7% 0.16× 38.74
Campbell Fighting Camels −9.5 1.0% 2.6% 14.7% 0.18× 38.74
Campbell Fighting Camels −10.5 0.8% 2.6% 12.8% 0.20× 38.74
Campbell Fighting Camels −12.5 0.5% 2.6% 10.1% 0.26× 38.74
Campbell Fighting Camels −14.5 0.3% 2.6% 7.8% 0.33× 38.74
Campbell Fighting Camels −16.5 0.2% 2.6% 6.0% 0.43× 38.74
Campbell Fighting Camels −18.5 0.1% 2.6% 4.6% 0.57× 38.74
Campbell Fighting Camels −20.5 0.0% 2.6% 3.5% 0.75× 38.74
Highest scoring half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 79.8% 71.6% 72.5% 0.99× 1.40
H2 highest scoring 81.4% 71.5% 70.4% 1.02× 1.40
H1 highest scoring 18.6% 28.5% 29.6% 0.96× 3.51
1st half highest scoring 20.2% 28.4% 27.5% 1.03× 3.53
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Oklahoma Sooners at HT / Oklahoma Sooners at FT 76.2% 78.0% 48.6% 1.61× 1.28
Campbell Fighting Camels at HT / Oklahoma Sooners at FT 13.9% 12.2% 12.4% 0.99× 8.17
Campbell Fighting Camels at HT / Campbell Fighting Camels at FT 4.3% 2.1% 25.8% 0.08× 47.72
Level at HT / Oklahoma Sooners at FT 2.8% 2.1% 2.3% 0.92× 47.74
Oklahoma Sooners at HT / Campbell Fighting Camels at FT 2.4% 2.1% 9.3% 0.22× 47.75
Level at HT / Campbell Fighting Camels at FT 0.4% 2.1% 1.6% 1.28× 47.79
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Oklahoma Sooners to win 93.0% 90.6% 63.2% 1.43× 1.10
Campbell Fighting Camels to win 7.0% 9.4% 36.8% 0.26× 10.66
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Oklahoma Sooners even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Campbell Fighting Camels even 50.0% 50.5% 50.4% 1.00× 1.98
Total points odd 50.7% 50.5% 51.6% 0.98× 1.98
Oklahoma Sooners odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Campbell Fighting Camels odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.6% 1.00× 2.02
Total points even 49.3% 49.5% 48.4% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 95.7% 97.0% 94.2% 1.03× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 4.3% 3.0% 5.8% 0.52× 33.37
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Oklahoma Sooners under 99.5 86.3% 83.9% 96.6% 0.87× 1.19
Campbell Fighting Camels under 83.5 85.9% 83.9% 85.3% 0.98× 1.19
Campbell Fighting Camels over 63.5 84.8% 80.7% 73.9% 1.09× 1.24
Oklahoma Sooners over 79.5 83.2% 80.7% 38.4% 2.10× 1.24
Oklahoma Sooners under 96.5 78.4% 75.1% 94.8% 0.79× 1.33
Campbell Fighting Camels under 80.5 77.7% 75.1% 78.8% 0.95× 1.33
Campbell Fighting Camels over 66.5 76.2% 75.1% 64.7% 1.16× 1.33
Oklahoma Sooners over 82.5 74.4% 70.7% 29.2% 2.42× 1.41
Oklahoma Sooners under 94.5 71.9% 70.7% 93.1% 0.76× 1.41
Campbell Fighting Camels under 78.5 70.9% 70.7% 73.7% 0.96× 1.41
Campbell Fighting Camels over 68.5 69.2% 66.4% 58.4% 1.14× 1.51
Oklahoma Sooners over 84.5 67.3% 66.4% 23.9% 2.78× 1.51
Oklahoma Sooners under 92.5 64.6% 61.2% 90.8% 0.67× 1.63
Campbell Fighting Camels under 76.5 63.3% 61.2% 67.9% 0.90× 1.63
Campbell Fighting Camels over 70.5 61.4% 61.2% 51.4% 1.19× 1.63
Oklahoma Sooners over 86.5 59.6% 57.1% 19.2% 2.98× 1.75
Oklahoma Sooners under 90.5 56.7% 57.1% 88.1% 0.65× 1.75
Campbell Fighting Camels under 74.5 55.2% 57.1% 61.7% 0.93× 1.75
Oklahoma Sooners over 88.5 51.5% 52.3% 15.2% 3.44× 1.91
Oklahoma Sooners under 89.5 52.6% 52.3% 86.5% 0.60× 1.91
Campbell Fighting Camels over 72.5 53.2% 52.3% 44.7% 1.17× 1.91
Campbell Fighting Camels under 73.5 51.0% 52.3% 58.3% 0.90× 1.91
Oklahoma Sooners under 88.5 48.5% 47.7% 84.8% 0.56× 2.09
Oklahoma Sooners over 89.5 47.4% 47.7% 13.5% 3.53× 2.09
Campbell Fighting Camels under 72.5 46.8% 47.7% 55.3% 0.86× 2.09
Campbell Fighting Camels over 73.5 49.0% 47.7% 41.7% 1.15× 2.09
Campbell Fighting Camels over 74.5 44.8% 42.9% 38.3% 1.12× 2.33
Oklahoma Sooners over 90.5 43.3% 42.9% 11.9% 3.61× 2.33
Oklahoma Sooners under 86.5 40.4% 42.9% 80.8% 0.53× 2.33
Campbell Fighting Camels under 70.5 38.6% 38.8% 48.7% 0.80× 2.58
Campbell Fighting Camels over 76.5 36.7% 38.8% 32.1% 1.21× 2.58
Oklahoma Sooners over 92.5 35.4% 38.8% 9.2% 4.22× 2.58
Oklahoma Sooners under 84.5 32.7% 33.6% 76.1% 0.44× 2.98
Campbell Fighting Camels under 68.5 30.8% 33.6% 41.6% 0.81× 2.98
Campbell Fighting Camels over 78.5 29.1% 29.3% 26.3% 1.11× 3.42
Oklahoma Sooners over 94.5 28.1% 29.3% 6.9% 4.26× 3.42
Oklahoma Sooners under 82.5 25.6% 29.3% 70.8% 0.41× 3.42
Campbell Fighting Camels under 66.5 23.8% 24.9% 35.3% 0.71× 4.02
Oklahoma Sooners over 96.5 21.6% 24.9% 5.2% 4.81× 4.02
Campbell Fighting Camels over 80.5 22.3% 24.9% 21.2% 1.17× 4.02
Oklahoma Sooners under 79.5 16.8% 19.3% 61.6% 0.31× 5.18
Campbell Fighting Camels under 63.5 15.2% 19.3% 26.1% 0.74× 5.18
Campbell Fighting Camels over 83.5 14.1% 16.1% 14.7% 1.10× 6.21
Oklahoma Sooners over 99.5 13.7% 16.1% 3.4% 4.67× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 182.5 points 89.8% 85.0% 96.2% 0.88× 1.18
Over 142.5 points 89.0% 85.0% 58.3% 1.46× 1.18
Under 177.5 points 83.1% 80.6% 93.6% 0.86× 1.24
Over 147.5 points 81.9% 80.6% 47.8% 1.69× 1.24
Under 172.5 points 74.1% 70.8% 90.5% 0.78× 1.41
Over 152.5 points 72.6% 70.8% 37.4% 1.90× 1.41
Under 169.5 points 67.7% 65.9% 87.7% 0.75× 1.52
Over 155.5 points 66.0% 65.9% 31.9% 2.06× 1.52
Under 167.5 points 63.2% 61.5% 85.6% 0.72× 1.63
Over 157.5 points 61.3% 61.5% 28.4% 2.16× 1.63
Under 165.5 points 58.4% 56.5% 83.4% 0.68× 1.77
Over 159.5 points 56.5% 56.5% 25.0% 2.26× 1.77
Under 163.5 points 53.4% 52.3% 80.9% 0.65× 1.91
Over 161.5 points 51.5% 52.3% 22.1% 2.37× 1.91
Under 162.5 points 50.9% 52.3% 79.4% 0.66× 1.91
Over 162.5 points 49.1% 47.7% 20.6% 2.31× 2.10
Under 161.5 points 48.5% 47.7% 77.9% 0.61× 2.10
Over 163.5 points 46.6% 47.7% 19.1% 2.49× 2.10
Under 159.5 points 43.5% 43.5% 75.0% 0.58× 2.30
Over 165.5 points 41.6% 43.5% 16.6% 2.62× 2.30
Under 157.5 points 38.7% 38.5% 71.6% 0.54× 2.60
Over 167.5 points 36.8% 38.5% 14.4% 2.68× 2.60
Under 155.5 points 34.0% 34.1% 68.1% 0.50× 2.93
Over 169.5 points 32.3% 34.1% 12.3% 2.78× 2.93
Under 152.5 points 27.4% 29.2% 62.7% 0.47× 3.43
Over 172.5 points 25.9% 29.2% 9.5% 3.07× 3.43
Under 147.5 points 18.1% 19.4% 52.2% 0.37× 5.15
Over 177.5 points 16.9% 19.4% 6.4% 3.05× 5.15
Under 142.5 points 11.0% 15.0% 41.7% 0.36× 6.69
Over 182.5 points 10.2% 15.0% 3.8% 3.91× 6.69
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Oklahoma Sooners to win both halves 61.3% 60.6% 33.2% 1.83× 1.65
Campbell Fighting Camels to win both halves 1.6% 3.0% 14.5% 0.20× 33.75
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Oklahoma Sooners by 11-15 18.2% 16.8% 11.6% 1.45× 5.97
Oklahoma Sooners by 16-20 18.1% 16.8% 7.6% 2.20× 5.97
Oklahoma Sooners by 26+ 17.5% 16.8% 7.9% 2.12× 5.97
Oklahoma Sooners by 6-10 14.8% 12.3% 14.4% 0.86× 8.11
Oklahoma Sooners by 21-25 14.6% 12.3% 5.6% 2.22× 8.11
Oklahoma Sooners by 1-5 9.7% 7.5% 16.2% 0.46× 13.40
Campbell Fighting Camels by 1-5 4.4% 2.0% 13.2% 0.15× 49.29
Campbell Fighting Camels by 6-10 1.8% 2.0% 10.8% 0.19× 49.31
Campbell Fighting Camels by 11-15 0.6% 2.0% 6.1% 0.34× 49.32
Campbell Fighting Camels by 16-20 0.2% 2.0% 3.3% 0.61× 49.33
Campbell Fighting Camels by 21-25 0.0% 2.0% 1.9% 1.06× 49.33
Campbell Fighting Camels by 26+ 0.0% 2.0% 1.6% 1.30× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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