Orlando Magic v Boston Celtics — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · NBA · 2027

NBA results-only Prediction generated 4 Sep 2026, 03:45 UTC

Orlando Magic

20:30 UTC

Boston Celtics

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Orlando Magic win

37.8%

Draw

0.0%

Boston Celtics win

62.2%

38062

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	38062	105.81–110.19	106-110 0%	49%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boston Celtics to score 100+	82.0%	79.2%	85.9%	0.92×	1.26
Orlando Magic to score 100+	70.1%	72.3%	89.3%	0.81×	1.38
Both sides to score 100+	59.4%	56.4%	77.5%	0.73×	1.77
Boston Celtics to score 110+	52.6%	52.3%	60.9%	0.86×	1.91
Orlando Magic to score 110+	37.5%	36.0%	67.0%	0.54×	2.78
Boston Celtics to score 120+	21.5%	22.0%	29.7%	0.74×	4.55
Orlando Magic to score 120+	12.3%	13.8%	36.5%	0.38×	7.24
Boston Celtics to score 130+	5.0%	0.4%	10.0%	0.04×	282.38
Orlando Magic to score 130+	2.2%	0.4%	12.8%	0.03×	282.92

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boston Celtics to win H1	56.2%	57.3%	44.1%	1.30×	1.75
Orlando Magic to win H1	40.3%	42.7%	52.8%	0.81×	2.34
H1 tied	3.4%	3.9%	3.1%	1.25×	25.86

H1 total 36

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 124.5	83.4%	83.2%	78.4%	1.06×	1.20
H1 over 100.5	80.4%	83.2%	86.8%	0.96×	1.20
H1 under 121.5	83.2%	82.5%	71.2%	1.16×	1.21
H1 over 97.5	81.2%	82.5%	91.4%	0.90×	1.21
H1 under 120.5	74.7%	74.0%	68.4%	1.08×	1.35
H1 under 117.5	74.3%	73.5%	59.6%	1.23×	1.36
H1 over 101.5	71.8%	73.5%	84.9%	0.87×	1.36
H1 under 114.5	66.3%	67.4%	50.4%	1.34×	1.48
H1 over 107.5	62.7%	63.3%	70.4%	0.90×	1.58
H1 under 115.5	61.2%	63.3%	53.6%	1.18×	1.58
H1 over 104.5	63.6%	62.7%	78.3%	0.80×	1.59
H1 under 112.5	60.6%	62.7%	44.2%	1.42×	1.59
H1 over 106.5	57.7%	58.2%	73.3%	0.79×	1.72
H1 under 113.5	55.3%	58.1%	47.6%	1.22×	1.72
H1 under 110.5	54.5%	52.6%	38.1%	1.38×	1.90
H1 under 109.5	51.5%	52.6%	35.0%	1.50×	1.90
H1 over 108.5	51.6%	52.6%	67.7%	0.78×	1.90
H1 over 111.5	50.8%	52.5%	59.0%	0.89×	1.90
H1 under 111.5	49.2%	47.5%	41.0%	1.16×	2.11
H1 over 109.5	48.5%	47.4%	65.0%	0.73×	2.11
H1 under 108.5	48.4%	47.4%	32.3%	1.46×	2.11
H1 over 110.5	45.5%	47.4%	61.9%	0.76×	2.11
H1 over 113.5	44.7%	41.9%	52.4%	0.80×	2.39
H1 under 106.5	42.3%	41.8%	26.7%	1.56×	2.39
H1 over 112.5	39.4%	37.3%	55.8%	0.67×	2.68
H1 under 104.5	36.4%	37.3%	21.7%	1.71×	2.68
H1 over 115.5	38.8%	36.7%	46.4%	0.79×	2.72
H1 under 107.5	37.3%	36.7%	29.6%	1.24×	2.72
H1 over 114.5	33.7%	32.6%	49.6%	0.66×	3.07
H1 under 101.5	28.2%	26.5%	15.1%	1.76×	3.77
H1 over 117.5	25.7%	26.5%	40.4%	0.66×	3.77
H1 over 120.5	25.3%	26.0%	31.6%	0.82×	3.84
H1 under 97.5	18.8%	17.5%	8.6%	2.02×	5.72
H1 over 121.5	16.8%	17.5%	28.8%	0.61×	5.73
H1 under 100.5	19.6%	16.8%	13.2%	1.28×	5.96
H1 over 124.5	16.6%	16.8%	21.7%	0.77×	5.96

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boston Celtics to win H2	56.1%	55.0%	44.7%	1.23×	1.82
Orlando Magic to win H2	40.4%	43.5%	51.6%	0.84×	2.30
H2 tied	3.5%	3.9%	3.7%	1.06×	25.36

H2 total 34

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 119.5	83.4%	81.8%	66.4%	1.23×	1.22
H2 over 95.5	81.4%	81.8%	90.3%	0.91×	1.22
H2 over 97.5	82.5%	81.5%	87.7%	0.93×	1.23
H2 under 121.5	81.8%	81.5%	72.0%	1.13×	1.23
H2 over 101.5	73.5%	72.5%	80.3%	0.90×	1.38
H2 under 117.5	72.6%	72.5%	61.1%	1.19×	1.38
H2 under 115.5	74.6%	72.2%	55.4%	1.30×	1.39
H2 over 99.5	71.9%	72.2%	84.4%	0.85×	1.39
H2 under 112.5	66.6%	66.4%	47.4%	1.40×	1.51
H2 under 114.5	64.4%	62.6%	52.5%	1.19×	1.60
H2 over 102.5	63.6%	61.6%	78.5%	0.79×	1.62
H2 under 110.5	60.8%	61.6%	41.9%	1.47×	1.62
H2 over 104.5	57.6%	57.3%	73.9%	0.78×	1.74
H2 under 108.5	54.7%	52.4%	36.2%	1.45×	1.91
H2 over 106.5	51.5%	52.4%	68.8%	0.76×	1.91
H2 under 107.5	51.6%	52.4%	33.8%	1.55×	1.91
H2 over 109.5	50.6%	52.0%	60.9%	0.85×	1.92
H2 under 109.5	49.4%	48.0%	39.1%	1.23×	2.09
H2 under 106.5	48.5%	47.6%	31.2%	1.53×	2.10
H2 over 107.5	48.4%	47.6%	66.2%	0.72×	2.10
H2 over 108.5	45.3%	47.6%	63.8%	0.75×	2.10
H2 under 104.5	42.4%	42.7%	26.1%	1.63×	2.34
H2 over 110.5	39.2%	38.4%	58.1%	0.66×	2.61
H2 under 102.5	36.4%	38.4%	21.5%	1.78×	2.61
H2 over 114.5	35.6%	37.4%	47.5%	0.79×	2.67
H2 over 112.5	33.4%	33.6%	52.6%	0.64×	2.97
H2 under 99.5	28.1%	27.8%	15.6%	1.79×	3.59
H2 over 115.5	25.4%	27.8%	44.6%	0.62×	3.59
H2 over 117.5	27.4%	27.5%	38.9%	0.71×	3.63
H2 under 101.5	26.5%	27.5%	19.7%	1.40×	3.64
H2 over 121.5	18.2%	18.5%	28.0%	0.66×	5.41
H2 under 97.5	17.5%	18.5%	12.3%	1.50×	5.41
H2 under 95.5	18.6%	18.2%	9.7%	1.87×	5.50
H2 over 119.5	16.6%	18.2%	33.6%	0.54×	5.50

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boston Celtics leading at half time	56.2%	56.9%	44.1%	1.29×	1.76
Orlando Magic leading at half time	40.3%	42.8%	52.8%	0.81×	2.34
Level at half time	3.4%	3.8%	3.1%	1.22×	26.41

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boston Celtics +20.5	95.6%	97.4%	89.1%	1.09×	1.03
Boston Celtics +16.5	92.3%	91.1%	83.5%	1.09×	1.10
Boston Celtics +18.5	94.1%	91.1%	86.4%	1.05×	1.10
Boston Celtics +14.5	90.1%	91.1%	80.1%	1.14×	1.10
Boston Celtics +12.5	87.5%	85.9%	76.0%	1.13×	1.16
Orlando Magic +20.5	86.3%	85.9%	93.1%	0.92×	1.16
Boston Celtics +10.5	84.4%	81.1%	71.0%	1.14×	1.23
Boston Celtics +9.5	82.6%	81.1%	68.7%	1.18×	1.23
Orlando Magic +18.5	83.0%	81.1%	91.5%	0.89×	1.23
Boston Celtics +8.5	80.8%	81.1%	65.9%	1.23×	1.23
Boston Celtics +7.5	78.8%	76.5%	63.0%	1.21×	1.31
Orlando Magic +16.5	79.3%	76.5%	89.7%	0.85×	1.31
Boston Celtics +6.5	76.8%	76.5%	60.0%	1.27×	1.31
Orlando Magic +14.5	75.1%	76.5%	87.0%	0.88×	1.31
Boston Celtics +5.5	74.6%	71.6%	57.1%	1.25×	1.40
Boston Celtics +4.5	72.3%	71.6%	54.1%	1.33×	1.40
Orlando Magic +12.5	70.4%	71.6%	83.9%	0.85×	1.40
Boston Celtics +3.5	69.9%	66.7%	51.6%	1.29×	1.50
Boston Celtics +2.5	67.4%	66.7%	49.1%	1.36×	1.50
Orlando Magic +10.5	65.4%	66.7%	80.3%	0.83×	1.50
Boston Celtics +1.5	64.8%	61.9%	46.3%	1.34×	1.62
Orlando Magic +9.5	62.8%	61.9%	78.1%	0.79×	1.62
Orlando Magic +8.5	60.1%	61.9%	75.7%	0.82×	1.62
Boston Celtics −1.5	59.5%	57.1%	42.1%	1.35×	1.75
Boston Celtics −2.5	56.7%	57.1%	39.5%	1.44×	1.75
Orlando Magic +7.5	57.4%	57.1%	73.0%	0.78×	1.75
Orlando Magic +6.5	54.6%	52.4%	70.6%	0.74×	1.91
Boston Celtics −3.5	53.9%	52.4%	36.9%	1.42×	1.91
Orlando Magic +5.5	51.8%	52.4%	68.0%	0.77×	1.91
Boston Celtics −4.5	51.0%	52.4%	34.3%	1.53×	1.91
Orlando Magic +4.5	49.0%	47.6%	65.7%	0.72×	2.10
Boston Celtics −5.5	48.2%	47.6%	32.0%	1.49×	2.10
Orlando Magic +3.5	46.1%	47.6%	63.1%	0.75×	2.10
Boston Celtics −6.5	45.4%	47.6%	29.4%	1.62×	2.10
Orlando Magic +2.5	43.3%	42.9%	60.5%	0.71×	2.33
Boston Celtics −7.5	42.6%	42.9%	27.0%	1.59×	2.33
Orlando Magic +1.5	40.5%	42.9%	57.9%	0.74×	2.33
Boston Celtics −8.5	39.9%	38.1%	24.3%	1.57×	2.63
Boston Celtics −9.5	37.2%	38.1%	21.9%	1.74×	2.63
Orlando Magic −1.5	35.2%	38.1%	53.7%	0.71×	2.63
Boston Celtics −10.5	34.6%	33.3%	19.7%	1.69×	3.01
Orlando Magic −2.5	32.6%	33.3%	50.9%	0.65×	3.01
Orlando Magic −3.5	30.1%	33.3%	48.4%	0.69×	3.01
Boston Celtics −12.5	29.6%	28.4%	16.1%	1.76×	3.53
Orlando Magic −4.5	27.7%	28.4%	46.0%	0.62×	3.53
Orlando Magic −5.5	25.4%	28.4%	42.9%	0.66×	3.53
Boston Celtics −14.5	24.9%	23.5%	13.0%	1.81×	4.25
Orlando Magic −6.5	23.3%	23.5%	40.0%	0.59×	4.25
Orlando Magic −7.5	21.2%	23.5%	37.0%	0.64×	4.25
Boston Celtics −16.5	20.7%	23.5%	10.3%	2.28×	4.25
Orlando Magic −8.5	19.2%	18.9%	34.1%	0.55×	5.29
Orlando Magic −9.5	17.4%	18.9%	31.3%	0.60×	5.29
Boston Celtics −18.5	17.0%	18.9%	8.5%	2.22×	5.29
Orlando Magic −10.5	15.6%	18.9%	29.0%	0.65×	5.30
Boston Celtics −20.5	13.7%	14.1%	6.9%	2.05×	7.09
Orlando Magic −12.5	12.5%	14.1%	24.0%	0.59×	7.09
Orlando Magic −14.5	9.9%	8.9%	19.9%	0.45×	11.25
Orlando Magic −16.5	7.7%	8.9%	16.5%	0.54×	11.25
Orlando Magic −18.5	5.9%	8.9%	13.6%	0.65×	11.25
Orlando Magic −20.5	4.4%	2.6%	10.9%	0.24×	38.72

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1st half highest scoring	56.3%	52.6%	53.5%	0.98×	1.90
2nd half highest scoring	43.7%	47.4%	46.5%	1.02×	2.11

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 highest scoring	28.1%	27.4%	29.2%	0.94×	3.65
Q3 highest scoring	27.8%	27.4%	27.5%	1.00×	3.65
Q2 highest scoring	26.5%	27.4%	26.3%	1.04×	3.65
Q4 highest scoring	17.6%	18.3%	17.0%	1.08×	5.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boston Celtics at HT / Boston Celtics at FT	45.9%	46.6%	30.9%	1.51×	2.15
Orlando Magic at HT / Orlando Magic at FT	26.1%	29.6%	40.8%	0.73×	3.38
Orlando Magic at HT / Boston Celtics at FT	14.2%	12.2%	12.0%	1.02×	8.17
Boston Celtics at HT / Orlando Magic at FT	10.3%	12.2%	13.3%	0.92×	8.18
Level at HT / Boston Celtics at FT	2.0%	2.1%	1.4%	1.50×	47.76
Level at HT / Orlando Magic at FT	1.4%	2.1%	1.7%	1.22×	47.77

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boston Celtics to win	62.2%	60.7%	44.3%	1.37×	1.65
Orlando Magic to win	37.8%	39.3%	55.7%	0.71×	2.54

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Total points odd	51.3%	50.5%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
Orlando Magic even	50.0%	50.5%	49.7%	1.02×	1.98
Boston Celtics even	50.0%	50.5%	50.3%	1.00×	1.98
Orlando Magic odd	50.0%	49.5%	50.3%	0.98×	2.02
Boston Celtics odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.7%	1.00×	2.02
Total points even	48.7%	49.5%	49.0%	1.01×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	93.2%	94.0%	94.8%	0.99×	1.06
Match to go to overtime	6.8%	6.0%	5.2%	1.16×	16.65

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boston Celtics to win Q1	53.1%	52.6%	44.1%	1.19×	1.90
Orlando Magic to win Q1	42.2%	42.9%	51.3%	0.84×	2.33
Q1 tied	4.7%	4.2%	4.6%	0.90×	23.94

Q1 total 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 under 64.5	83.9%	83.2%	80.1%	1.04×	1.20
Q1 over 48.5	81.1%	83.2%	85.6%	0.97×	1.20
Q1 over 46.5	83.1%	82.8%	90.2%	0.92×	1.21
Q1 under 62.5	82.2%	82.8%	72.9%	1.14×	1.21
Q1 under 61.5	73.9%	73.1%	68.5%	1.07×	1.37
Q1 over 49.5	72.8%	72.7%	82.7%	0.88×	1.38
Q1 under 59.5	71.6%	72.7%	60.0%	1.21×	1.38
Q1 over 51.5	64.4%	61.7%	76.0%	0.81×	1.62
Q1 under 57.5	63.1%	61.7%	50.4%	1.22×	1.62
Q1 over 53.5	55.4%	58.6%	68.2%	0.86×	1.71
Q1 under 56.5	52.2%	52.7%	45.4%	1.16×	1.90
Q1 under 55.5	54.0%	52.7%	40.8%	1.29×	1.90
Q1 over 54.5	50.7%	52.7%	63.3%	0.83×	1.90
Q1 under 54.5	49.3%	47.3%	36.7%	1.29×	2.11
Q1 over 55.5	46.0%	47.3%	59.2%	0.80×	2.11
Q1 over 56.5	47.8%	47.3%	54.6%	0.87×	2.11
Q1 under 53.5	44.6%	41.4%	31.8%	1.30×	2.42
Q1 over 57.5	36.9%	38.3%	49.6%	0.77×	2.61
Q1 under 51.5	35.6%	38.3%	24.0%	1.59×	2.61
Q1 over 59.5	28.4%	27.3%	40.0%	0.68×	3.66
Q1 under 49.5	27.2%	27.3%	17.3%	1.58×	3.66
Q1 over 61.5	26.1%	26.9%	31.5%	0.85×	3.72
Q1 over 62.5	17.8%	17.2%	27.1%	0.63×	5.83
Q1 under 46.5	16.9%	17.2%	9.8%	1.75×	5.83
Q1 under 48.5	18.9%	16.8%	14.4%	1.16×	5.95
Q1 over 64.5	16.1%	16.8%	19.9%	0.84×	5.96

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boston Celtics to win Q2	53.0%	51.4%	46.2%	1.11×	1.95
Orlando Magic to win Q2	42.3%	43.9%	49.3%	0.89×	2.28
Q2 tied	4.7%	4.4%	4.5%	0.98×	22.88

Q2 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 over 47.5	83.1%	83.1%	87.2%	0.95×	1.20
Q2 under 63.5	81.7%	83.1%	77.5%	1.07×	1.20
Q2 under 62.5	82.9%	83.0%	74.4%	1.12×	1.21
Q2 over 46.5	82.1%	83.0%	89.6%	0.93×	1.21
Q2 over 50.5	72.9%	73.0%	78.1%	0.94×	1.37
Q2 under 60.5	71.0%	73.0%	65.7%	1.11×	1.37
Q2 under 59.5	72.6%	72.0%	61.9%	1.16×	1.39
Q2 over 49.5	71.5%	72.0%	81.8%	0.88×	1.39
Q2 over 52.5	64.7%	62.0%	70.3%	0.88×	1.61
Q2 under 58.5	62.6%	62.0%	57.3%	1.08×	1.61
Q2 under 57.5	64.3%	60.7%	52.7%	1.15×	1.65
Q2 over 51.5	63.1%	60.7%	74.2%	0.82×	1.65
Q2 under 55.5	55.3%	58.2%	43.7%	1.33×	1.72
Q2 over 53.5	54.0%	52.7%	65.8%	0.80×	1.90
Q2 under 54.5	50.6%	52.7%	38.9%	1.35×	1.90
Q2 under 56.5	53.5%	52.2%	48.3%	1.08×	1.92
Q2 over 56.5	46.5%	47.8%	51.7%	0.92×	2.09
Q2 over 54.5	49.4%	47.3%	61.1%	0.78×	2.11
Q2 under 53.5	46.0%	47.3%	34.2%	1.39×	2.11
Q2 over 55.5	44.7%	41.8%	56.3%	0.74×	2.39
Q2 under 51.5	36.9%	39.3%	25.8%	1.53×	2.55
Q2 over 57.5	35.7%	39.3%	47.3%	0.83×	2.55
Q2 over 58.5	37.4%	38.0%	42.7%	0.89×	2.63
Q2 under 52.5	35.3%	38.0%	29.7%	1.28×	2.63
Q2 under 49.5	28.5%	28.0%	18.2%	1.54×	3.57
Q2 over 59.5	27.4%	28.0%	38.1%	0.74×	3.57
Q2 over 60.5	29.0%	27.0%	34.3%	0.79×	3.71
Q2 under 50.5	27.1%	27.0%	21.9%	1.23×	3.71
Q2 under 46.5	17.9%	17.0%	10.4%	1.63×	5.88
Q2 over 62.5	17.1%	17.0%	25.6%	0.66×	5.88
Q2 over 63.5	18.3%	16.9%	22.5%	0.75×	5.93
Q2 under 47.5	16.9%	16.9%	12.8%	1.32×	5.93

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boston Celtics to win Q3	53.1%	52.7%	44.3%	1.19×	1.90
Orlando Magic to win Q3	42.3%	42.3%	50.9%	0.83×	2.37
Q3 tied	4.7%	4.3%	4.9%	0.88×	23.43

Q3 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 under 63.5	85.0%	82.3%	75.9%	1.08×	1.22
Q3 over 47.5	80.7%	82.3%	88.1%	0.93×	1.22
Q3 under 64.5	83.7%	82.2%	79.2%	1.04×	1.22
Q3 over 48.5	81.8%	82.2%	85.6%	0.96×	1.22
Q3 under 60.5	75.1%	77.3%	63.5%	1.22×	1.29
Q3 under 61.5	73.5%	72.5%	67.7%	1.07×	1.38
Q3 over 51.5	71.0%	72.5%	76.1%	0.95×	1.38
Q3 over 50.5	69.5%	67.8%	79.7%	0.85×	1.48
Q3 under 58.5	67.0%	67.8%	54.8%	1.24×	1.48
Q3 under 59.5	65.3%	66.8%	59.0%	1.13×	1.50
Q3 over 53.5	62.4%	62.6%	68.3%	0.92×	1.60
Q3 over 52.5	60.8%	61.9%	72.2%	0.86×	1.61
Q3 under 56.5	58.0%	58.4%	45.0%	1.30×	1.71
Q3 under 57.5	56.2%	57.8%	49.8%	1.16×	1.73
Q3 under 55.5	53.3%	52.3%	40.1%	1.30×	1.91
Q3 over 54.5	51.4%	52.3%	63.9%	0.82×	1.91
Q3 under 54.5	48.6%	47.7%	36.1%	1.32×	2.10
Q3 over 55.5	46.7%	47.7%	59.9%	0.80×	2.10
Q3 over 57.5	43.8%	42.2%	50.2%	0.84×	2.37
Q3 over 56.5	42.0%	41.6%	55.0%	0.76×	2.40
Q3 under 52.5	39.2%	38.1%	27.8%	1.37×	2.63
Q3 under 53.5	37.6%	37.4%	31.7%	1.18×	2.67
Q3 over 59.5	34.8%	33.2%	41.0%	0.81×	3.01
Q3 over 58.5	33.0%	32.2%	45.2%	0.71×	3.10
Q3 under 50.5	30.5%	32.2%	20.3%	1.59×	3.11
Q3 under 51.5	29.0%	27.5%	23.9%	1.15×	3.63
Q3 over 61.5	26.5%	27.5%	32.3%	0.85×	3.64
Q3 over 60.5	24.9%	22.7%	36.5%	0.62×	4.40
Q3 under 48.5	18.2%	17.8%	14.4%	1.23×	5.62
Q3 over 64.5	16.3%	17.8%	20.8%	0.85×	5.63
Q3 under 47.5	19.3%	17.7%	11.9%	1.49×	5.65
Q3 over 63.5	15.0%	17.7%	24.1%	0.73×	5.66

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boston Celtics to win Q4	52.9%	51.4%	46.4%	1.11×	1.95
Orlando Magic to win Q4	42.3%	43.1%	48.3%	0.89×	2.32
Q4 tied	4.8%	5.2%	5.3%	0.98×	19.28

Q4 total 32

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 under 60.5	83.1%	82.0%	74.2%	1.10×	1.22
Q4 over 44.5	81.2%	82.0%	87.3%	0.94×	1.22
Q4 over 45.5	82.0%	81.9%	84.6%	0.97×	1.22
Q4 under 61.5	82.0%	81.9%	77.5%	1.06×	1.22
Q4 over 48.5	71.7%	72.3%	75.5%	0.96×	1.38
Q4 under 58.5	71.7%	72.3%	66.2%	1.09×	1.38
Q4 under 57.5	73.0%	71.5%	61.9%	1.16×	1.40
Q4 over 47.5	70.5%	71.5%	79.0%	0.91×	1.40
Q4 over 50.5	63.5%	61.7%	68.5%	0.90×	1.62
Q4 under 56.5	63.4%	61.7%	57.2%	1.08×	1.62
Q4 under 55.5	64.9%	61.4%	52.9%	1.16×	1.63
Q4 over 49.5	62.2%	61.4%	72.3%	0.85×	1.63
Q4 under 53.5	56.0%	58.4%	44.3%	1.32×	1.71
Q4 over 51.5	53.1%	52.5%	64.7%	0.81×	1.91
Q4 under 52.5	51.4%	52.5%	39.6%	1.33×	1.91
Q4 under 54.5	54.6%	52.4%	48.6%	1.08×	1.91
Q4 over 54.5	45.4%	47.6%	51.4%	0.93×	2.10
Q4 over 52.5	48.6%	47.5%	60.4%	0.79×	2.11
Q4 under 51.5	46.9%	47.5%	35.3%	1.35×	2.11
Q4 over 53.5	44.0%	41.6%	55.7%	0.75×	2.40
Q4 under 49.5	37.8%	38.6%	27.7%	1.39×	2.59
Q4 over 55.5	35.1%	38.6%	47.1%	0.82×	2.59
Q4 under 50.5	36.5%	38.4%	31.5%	1.22×	2.61
Q4 over 56.5	36.6%	38.4%	42.8%	0.90×	2.61
Q4 under 47.5	29.5%	28.5%	21.0%	1.35×	3.51
Q4 over 57.5	27.0%	28.5%	38.1%	0.75×	3.51
Q4 under 48.5	28.3%	27.7%	24.5%	1.13×	3.61
Q4 over 58.5	28.3%	27.7%	33.8%	0.82×	3.61
Q4 under 45.5	18.0%	18.1%	15.4%	1.18×	5.53
Q4 over 61.5	18.0%	18.1%	22.5%	0.80×	5.53
Q4 under 44.5	18.8%	18.0%	12.7%	1.41×	5.56
Q4 over 60.5	16.9%	18.0%	25.8%	0.70×	5.56

Team total 62

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Orlando Magic over 95.5	80.7%	80.7%	94.0%	0.86×	1.24
Boston Celtics under 120.5	80.9%	80.7%	72.7%	1.11×	1.24
Boston Celtics under 122.5	81.3%	80.3%	77.4%	1.04×	1.25
Orlando Magic over 99.5	80.0%	78.3%	89.3%	0.88×	1.28
Orlando Magic under 119.5	79.1%	78.3%	63.5%	1.23×	1.28
Boston Celtics over 102.5	77.8%	78.3%	79.7%	0.98×	1.28
Orlando Magic under 115.5	79.5%	75.1%	51.6%	1.46×	1.33
Boston Celtics over 100.5	79.7%	75.1%	84.1%	0.89×	1.33
Boston Celtics under 119.5	73.9%	71.9%	70.3%	1.02×	1.39
Orlando Magic under 116.5	71.3%	71.8%	54.7%	1.31×	1.39
Boston Celtics under 117.5	73.2%	70.7%	64.4%	1.10×	1.41
Orlando Magic over 98.5	73.0%	70.7%	90.6%	0.78×	1.41
Boston Celtics over 103.5	71.8%	70.7%	77.5%	0.91×	1.41
Orlando Magic under 112.5	71.6%	70.7%	42.3%	1.67×	1.41
Orlando Magic under 114.5	65.4%	66.6%	48.6%	1.37×	1.50
Boston Celtics under 115.5	67.2%	66.4%	58.6%	1.13×	1.51
Orlando Magic over 100.5	67.1%	66.4%	87.7%	0.76×	1.51
Boston Celtics over 105.5	65.8%	66.4%	71.9%	0.92×	1.51
Orlando Magic under 110.5	65.6%	66.4%	35.9%	1.85×	1.51
Boston Celtics under 113.5	60.9%	61.2%	52.0%	1.18×	1.63
Orlando Magic over 102.5	60.8%	61.2%	84.2%	0.73×	1.63
Boston Celtics over 107.5	59.3%	57.1%	66.6%	0.86×	1.75
Orlando Magic under 108.5	59.2%	57.1%	30.1%	1.89×	1.75
Boston Celtics under 111.5	54.2%	52.3%	45.4%	1.15×	1.91
Orlando Magic over 104.5	54.1%	52.3%	79.8%	0.66×	1.91
Boston Celtics over 109.5	52.6%	52.3%	60.9%	0.86×	1.91
Orlando Magic under 106.5	52.6%	52.3%	24.9%	2.10×	1.91
Orlando Magic over 105.5	50.8%	52.3%	77.4%	0.68×	1.91
Boston Celtics under 110.5	50.8%	52.3%	42.1%	1.24×	1.91
Boston Celtics under 112.5	52.4%	52.2%	48.5%	1.08×	1.91
Orlando Magic over 109.5	50.6%	52.2%	67.0%	0.78×	1.91
Orlando Magic under 109.5	49.4%	47.8%	33.0%	1.45×	2.09
Boston Celtics over 112.5	47.6%	47.8%	51.5%	0.93×	2.09
Orlando Magic under 105.5	49.2%	47.7%	22.6%	2.11×	2.09
Boston Celtics over 110.5	49.2%	47.7%	57.9%	0.83×	2.09
Boston Celtics under 109.5	47.4%	47.7%	39.1%	1.22×	2.09
Orlando Magic over 106.5	47.4%	47.7%	75.1%	0.64×	2.09
Boston Celtics over 111.5	45.8%	47.7%	54.6%	0.88×	2.09
Orlando Magic under 104.5	45.9%	47.7%	20.2%	2.36×	2.09
Boston Celtics under 107.5	40.7%	42.9%	33.4%	1.28×	2.33
Orlando Magic over 108.5	40.8%	42.9%	69.9%	0.61×	2.33
Boston Celtics over 113.5	39.1%	38.8%	48.0%	0.81×	2.58
Orlando Magic under 102.5	39.2%	38.8%	15.8%	2.46×	2.58
Orlando Magic over 110.5	34.4%	33.6%	64.1%	0.52×	2.98
Boston Celtics under 105.5	34.2%	33.6%	28.1%	1.20×	2.98
Boston Celtics over 115.5	32.8%	33.6%	41.4%	0.81×	2.98
Orlando Magic under 100.5	32.9%	33.6%	12.3%	2.73×	2.98
Orlando Magic over 114.5	34.6%	33.4%	51.4%	0.65×	2.99
Orlando Magic under 98.5	27.0%	29.3%	9.4%	3.11×	3.42
Boston Celtics under 103.5	28.2%	29.3%	22.5%	1.30×	3.42
Orlando Magic over 112.5	28.4%	29.3%	57.7%	0.51×	3.42
Boston Celtics over 117.5	26.8%	29.3%	35.6%	0.82×	3.42
Orlando Magic over 116.5	28.7%	28.2%	45.3%	0.62×	3.55
Boston Celtics over 119.5	26.1%	28.1%	29.7%	0.95×	3.55
Orlando Magic over 115.5	20.5%	24.9%	48.4%	0.51×	4.02
Boston Celtics under 100.5	20.3%	24.9%	15.9%	1.57×	4.02
Boston Celtics under 102.5	22.2%	21.7%	20.3%	1.07×	4.60
Orlando Magic over 119.5	20.9%	21.7%	36.5%	0.59×	4.60
Orlando Magic under 99.5	20.0%	21.7%	10.7%	2.02×	4.61
Boston Celtics over 122.5	18.7%	19.7%	22.6%	0.87×	5.07
Orlando Magic under 95.5	19.3%	19.3%	6.0%	3.20×	5.18
Boston Celtics over 120.5	19.1%	19.3%	27.3%	0.71×	5.18

Total points 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 241.5 points	85.7%	85.5%	75.5%	1.13×	1.17
Under 236.5 points	86.7%	85.0%	67.3%	1.26×	1.18
Over 196.5 points	85.6%	85.0%	94.9%	0.90×	1.18
Under 231.5 points	80.0%	80.6%	57.4%	1.40×	1.24
Over 201.5 points	78.4%	75.6%	91.5%	0.83×	1.32
Under 226.5 points	71.6%	70.8%	47.3%	1.50×	1.41
Over 206.5 points	69.7%	65.9%	86.7%	0.76×	1.52
Under 223.5 points	65.9%	65.9%	41.7%	1.58×	1.52
Under 228.5 points	64.6%	61.8%	51.3%	1.20×	1.62
Over 214.5 points	64.5%	61.8%	75.1%	0.82×	1.62
Over 209.5 points	63.8%	61.5%	82.9%	0.74×	1.63
Under 221.5 points	61.8%	61.5%	37.8%	1.63×	1.63
Over 211.5 points	59.6%	56.5%	79.7%	0.71×	1.77
Under 219.5 points	57.6%	56.5%	33.9%	1.67×	1.77
Over 213.5 points	55.4%	56.5%	76.4%	0.74×	1.77
Under 224.5 points	56.4%	56.0%	43.5%	1.29×	1.79
Over 218.5 points	56.3%	56.0%	67.8%	0.83×	1.79
Under 217.5 points	53.3%	52.3%	30.4%	1.72×	1.91
Over 215.5 points	51.1%	52.3%	73.4%	0.71×	1.91
Under 216.5 points	51.1%	52.3%	28.4%	1.84×	1.91
Under 222.5 points	52.2%	52.2%	39.6%	1.32×	1.92
Over 220.5 points	52.0%	52.2%	64.2%	0.81×	1.92
Under 220.5 points	48.0%	47.8%	35.8%	1.33×	2.09
Over 222.5 points	47.8%	47.8%	60.4%	0.79×	2.09
Under 215.5 points	48.9%	47.7%	26.6%	1.79×	2.10
Over 216.5 points	48.9%	47.7%	71.6%	0.67×	2.10
Over 217.5 points	46.7%	47.7%	69.6%	0.69×	2.10
Under 218.5 points	43.7%	44.0%	32.2%	1.36×	2.27
Over 224.5 points	43.6%	44.0%	56.5%	0.78×	2.27
Under 213.5 points	44.6%	43.5%	23.6%	1.85×	2.30
Over 219.5 points	42.4%	43.5%	66.1%	0.66×	2.30
Under 211.5 points	40.4%	43.5%	20.3%	2.14×	2.30
Over 221.5 points	38.2%	38.5%	62.2%	0.62×	2.60
Under 209.5 points	36.2%	38.5%	17.1%	2.25×	2.60
Under 214.5 points	35.5%	38.2%	24.9%	1.54×	2.62
Over 228.5 points	35.4%	38.2%	48.7%	0.78×	2.62
Over 223.5 points	34.1%	34.1%	58.3%	0.59×	2.93
Under 206.5 points	30.3%	34.1%	13.3%	2.57×	2.93
Over 226.5 points	28.4%	29.2%	52.7%	0.55×	3.43
Under 201.5 points	21.6%	24.4%	8.5%	2.87×	4.10
Over 231.5 points	20.0%	19.4%	42.6%	0.46×	5.15
Under 196.5 points	14.4%	15.0%	5.1%	2.93×	6.68
Over 236.5 points	13.3%	15.0%	32.7%	0.46×	6.69
Over 241.5 points	14.3%	14.5%	24.5%	0.59×	6.88

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boston Celtics to win both halves	29.4%	27.2%	17.8%	1.52×	3.68
Orlando Magic to win both halves	14.2%	14.1%	25.2%	0.56×	7.11

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Boston Celtics by 1-5	14.0%	12.3%	12.3%	1.01×	8.11
Boston Celtics by 6-10	13.6%	12.3%	12.3%	1.00×	8.11
Orlando Magic by 1-5	12.4%	12.3%	12.8%	0.96×	8.11
Boston Celtics by 11-15	11.8%	12.3%	8.0%	1.54×	8.11
Orlando Magic by 6-10	9.8%	7.5%	13.9%	0.54×	13.40
Boston Celtics by 16-20	9.1%	7.5%	4.9%	1.53×	13.40
Orlando Magic by 11-15	6.9%	7.5%	10.8%	0.69×	13.40
Boston Celtics by 26+	7.5%	7.5%	3.9%	1.93×	13.40
Boston Celtics by 21-25	6.2%	7.5%	3.0%	2.45×	13.40
Orlando Magic by 16-20	4.3%	2.0%	7.3%	0.28×	49.29
Orlando Magic by 21-25	2.4%	2.0%	4.7%	0.43×	49.31
Orlando Magic by 26+	2.0%	2.0%	6.2%	0.33×	49.31

Orlando Magic v Boston Celtics — Prediction, Odds & Stats

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