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Phoenix Suns v LA Clippers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 11 November 2026 · NBA · 2027

NBA results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Phoenix Suns win
52.9%
Draw
0.0%
LA Clippers win
47.1%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 110.90–109.88 111-110 0% 48% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns to score 100+ 83.2% 79.3% 89.3% 0.89× 1.26
LA Clippers to score 100+ 81.1% 79.2% 85.9% 0.92× 1.26
Both sides to score 100+ 69.0% 63.9% 77.5% 0.82× 1.57
Phoenix Suns to score 110+ 54.8% 52.4% 67.0% 0.78× 1.91
LA Clippers to score 110+ 51.2% 52.3% 60.9% 0.86× 1.91
Phoenix Suns to score 120+ 23.4% 22.0% 36.5% 0.60× 4.54
LA Clippers to score 120+ 20.6% 22.0% 29.7% 0.74× 4.56
Phoenix Suns to score 130+ 5.8% 8.8% 12.8% 0.68× 11.39
LA Clippers to score 130+ 4.7% 0.4% 10.0% 0.04× 282.44
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns to win H1 50.1% 51.8% 52.8% 0.98× 1.93
LA Clippers to win H1 46.4% 47.3% 44.1% 1.07× 2.11
H1 tied 3.5% 3.9% 3.1% 1.25× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 123.5 82.3% 82.5% 76.0% 1.09× 1.21
H1 over 99.5 82.1% 82.5% 88.5% 0.93× 1.21
H1 under 119.5 73.3% 73.5% 65.9% 1.11× 1.36
H1 over 103.5 72.9% 73.5% 80.7% 0.91× 1.36
H1 under 116.5 65.2% 67.4% 56.6% 1.19× 1.48
H1 over 106.5 64.8% 62.7% 73.3% 0.86× 1.59
H1 over 108.5 58.9% 58.2% 67.7% 0.86× 1.72
H1 under 114.5 59.3% 58.2% 50.4% 1.16× 1.72
H1 over 110.5 52.8% 52.6% 61.9% 0.85× 1.90
H1 under 112.5 53.3% 52.6% 44.2% 1.19× 1.90
H1 under 111.5 50.2% 52.6% 41.0% 1.28× 1.90
H1 over 111.5 49.8% 47.4% 59.0% 0.80× 2.11
H1 under 110.5 47.2% 47.4% 38.1% 1.24× 2.11
H1 over 112.5 46.7% 47.4% 55.8% 0.85× 2.11
H1 under 108.5 41.1% 41.8% 32.3% 1.29× 2.39
H1 over 114.5 40.7% 41.8% 49.6% 0.84× 2.39
H1 under 106.5 35.2% 37.3% 26.7% 1.40× 2.68
H1 over 116.5 34.8% 32.6% 43.4% 0.75× 3.07
H1 under 103.5 27.1% 26.5% 19.3% 1.37× 3.77
H1 over 119.5 26.7% 26.5% 34.1% 0.78× 3.77
H1 under 99.5 18.0% 17.5% 11.5% 1.52× 5.73
H1 over 123.5 17.7% 17.5% 24.0% 0.73× 5.73
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns to win H2 50.1% 51.2% 51.6% 0.99× 1.96
LA Clippers to win H2 46.4% 47.1% 44.7% 1.05× 2.12
H2 tied 3.5% 3.9% 3.7% 1.06× 25.36
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 121.5 82.7% 81.8% 72.0% 1.14× 1.22
H2 over 97.5 82.1% 81.8% 87.7% 0.93× 1.22
H2 under 117.5 73.6% 72.2% 61.1% 1.18× 1.39
H2 over 101.5 72.9% 72.2% 80.3% 0.90× 1.39
H2 under 114.5 65.5% 66.4% 52.5% 1.26× 1.51
H2 over 104.5 64.7% 61.6% 73.9% 0.83× 1.62
H2 under 112.5 59.7% 57.3% 47.4% 1.21× 1.74
H2 over 106.5 58.8% 57.3% 68.8% 0.83× 1.74
H2 under 110.5 53.5% 52.4% 41.9% 1.25× 1.91
H2 over 108.5 52.6% 52.4% 63.8% 0.82× 1.91
H2 under 109.5 50.5% 52.4% 39.1% 1.34× 1.91
H2 over 109.5 49.5% 47.6% 60.9% 0.78× 2.10
H2 under 108.5 47.4% 47.6% 36.2% 1.32× 2.10
H2 over 110.5 46.5% 47.6% 58.1% 0.82× 2.10
H2 under 106.5 41.2% 42.7% 31.2% 1.37× 2.34
H2 over 112.5 40.3% 42.7% 52.6% 0.81× 2.35
H2 under 104.5 35.3% 38.4% 26.1% 1.47× 2.61
H2 over 114.5 34.5% 33.6% 47.5% 0.71× 2.97
H2 under 101.5 27.1% 27.8% 19.7% 1.41× 3.59
H2 over 117.5 26.4% 27.8% 38.9% 0.71× 3.59
H2 under 97.5 17.9% 18.2% 12.3% 1.48× 5.50
H2 over 121.5 17.3% 18.2% 28.0% 0.65× 5.50
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns leading at half time 50.1% 51.8% 52.8% 0.98× 1.93
LA Clippers leading at half time 46.4% 47.2% 44.1% 1.07× 2.12
Level at half time 3.5% 3.8% 3.1% 1.22× 26.41
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns +20.5 92.9% 91.1% 93.1% 0.98× 1.10
Phoenix Suns +18.5 90.8% 91.1% 91.5% 1.00× 1.10
LA Clippers +20.5 90.8% 91.1% 89.1% 1.02× 1.10
Phoenix Suns +16.5 88.3% 85.9% 89.7% 0.96× 1.16
LA Clippers +18.5 88.3% 85.9% 86.4% 0.99× 1.16
Phoenix Suns +14.5 85.4% 85.9% 87.0% 0.99× 1.16
LA Clippers +16.5 85.3% 85.9% 83.5% 1.03× 1.16
Phoenix Suns +12.5 82.0% 81.1% 83.9% 0.97× 1.23
LA Clippers +14.5 81.9% 81.1% 80.1% 1.01× 1.23
Phoenix Suns +10.5 78.1% 76.5% 80.3% 0.95× 1.31
LA Clippers +12.5 78.0% 76.5% 76.0% 1.01× 1.31
Phoenix Suns +9.5 75.9% 76.5% 78.1% 0.98× 1.31
Phoenix Suns +8.5 73.7% 71.6% 75.7% 0.95× 1.40
LA Clippers +10.5 73.6% 71.6% 71.0% 1.01× 1.40
Phoenix Suns +7.5 71.4% 71.6% 73.0% 0.98× 1.40
LA Clippers +9.5 71.3% 71.6% 68.7% 1.04× 1.40
Phoenix Suns +6.5 69.0% 66.7% 70.6% 0.95× 1.50
LA Clippers +8.5 68.8% 66.7% 65.9% 1.01× 1.50
Phoenix Suns +5.5 66.4% 66.7% 68.0% 0.98× 1.50
LA Clippers +7.5 66.3% 66.7% 63.0% 1.06× 1.50
Phoenix Suns +4.5 63.8% 61.9% 65.7% 0.94× 1.62
LA Clippers +6.5 63.7% 61.9% 60.0% 1.03× 1.62
Phoenix Suns +3.5 61.2% 61.9% 63.1% 0.98× 1.62
LA Clippers +5.5 61.1% 61.9% 57.1% 1.08× 1.62
Phoenix Suns +2.5 58.5% 57.1% 60.5% 0.94× 1.75
LA Clippers +4.5 58.3% 57.1% 54.1% 1.06× 1.75
Phoenix Suns +1.5 55.7% 57.1% 57.9% 0.99× 1.75
LA Clippers +3.5 55.6% 57.1% 51.6% 1.11× 1.75
LA Clippers +2.5 52.8% 52.4% 49.1% 1.07× 1.91
Phoenix Suns −1.5 50.1% 52.4% 53.7% 0.98× 1.91
LA Clippers +1.5 49.9% 47.6% 46.3% 1.03× 2.10
Phoenix Suns −2.5 47.2% 47.6% 50.9% 0.93× 2.10
LA Clippers −1.5 44.3% 42.9% 42.1% 1.02× 2.33
Phoenix Suns −3.5 44.4% 42.9% 48.4% 0.89× 2.33
LA Clippers −2.5 41.5% 42.9% 39.5% 1.09× 2.33
Phoenix Suns −4.5 41.7% 42.9% 46.0% 0.93× 2.33
LA Clippers −3.5 38.8% 38.1% 36.9% 1.03× 2.63
Phoenix Suns −5.5 38.9% 38.1% 42.9% 0.89× 2.63
Phoenix Suns −6.5 36.3% 38.1% 40.0% 0.95× 2.63
LA Clippers −4.5 36.2% 38.1% 34.3% 1.11× 2.63
LA Clippers −5.5 33.6% 33.3% 32.0% 1.04× 3.01
Phoenix Suns −7.5 33.7% 33.3% 37.0% 0.90× 3.01
LA Clippers −6.5 31.0% 33.3% 29.4% 1.13× 3.01
Phoenix Suns −8.5 31.2% 33.3% 34.1% 0.98× 3.01
LA Clippers −7.5 28.6% 28.4% 27.0% 1.05× 3.53
Phoenix Suns −9.5 28.7% 28.4% 31.3% 0.91× 3.53
Phoenix Suns −10.5 26.4% 28.4% 29.0% 0.98× 3.53
LA Clippers −8.5 26.3% 28.4% 24.3% 1.17× 3.53
LA Clippers −9.5 24.1% 23.5% 21.9% 1.08× 4.25
LA Clippers −10.5 21.9% 23.5% 19.7% 1.19× 4.25
Phoenix Suns −12.5 22.0% 23.5% 24.0% 0.98× 4.25
LA Clippers −12.5 18.0% 18.9% 16.1% 1.17× 5.29
Phoenix Suns −14.5 18.1% 18.9% 19.9% 0.95× 5.29
LA Clippers −14.5 14.6% 14.1% 13.0% 1.09× 7.09
Phoenix Suns −16.5 14.7% 14.1% 16.5% 0.86× 7.09
LA Clippers −16.5 11.7% 14.1% 10.3% 1.37× 7.09
Phoenix Suns −18.5 11.7% 14.1% 13.6% 1.04× 7.09
LA Clippers −18.5 9.2% 8.9% 8.5% 1.04× 11.25
Phoenix Suns −20.5 9.2% 8.9% 10.9% 0.82× 11.25
LA Clippers −20.5 7.1% 8.9% 6.9% 1.29× 11.25
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1st half highest scoring 56.4% 52.6% 53.5% 0.98× 1.90
2nd half highest scoring 43.6% 47.4% 46.5% 1.02× 2.11
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 highest scoring 28.2% 27.4% 29.2% 0.94× 3.65
Q3 highest scoring 27.8% 27.4% 27.5% 1.00× 3.65
Q2 highest scoring 26.5% 27.4% 26.3% 1.04× 3.65
Q4 highest scoring 17.4% 18.3% 17.0% 1.08× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns at HT / Phoenix Suns at FT 38.0% 37.8% 40.8% 0.93× 2.65
LA Clippers at HT / LA Clippers at FT 33.3% 33.2% 30.9% 1.08× 3.01
LA Clippers at HT / Phoenix Suns at FT 13.1% 12.2% 13.3% 0.92× 8.17
Phoenix Suns at HT / LA Clippers at FT 12.1% 12.2% 12.0% 1.02× 8.18
Level at HT / Phoenix Suns at FT 1.8% 2.1% 1.7% 1.22× 47.76
Level at HT / LA Clippers at FT 1.7% 2.1% 1.4% 1.50× 47.76
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns to win 52.9% 51.0% 55.7% 0.92× 1.96
LA Clippers to win 47.1% 49.0% 44.3% 1.11× 2.04
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.4% 50.5% 51.0% 0.99× 1.98
LA Clippers even 50.0% 50.5% 50.3% 1.00× 1.98
Phoenix Suns even 50.0% 50.5% 49.7% 1.02× 1.98
LA Clippers odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.7% 1.00× 2.02
Phoenix Suns odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.3% 0.98× 2.02
Total points even 48.6% 49.5% 49.0% 1.01× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 92.8% 94.0% 94.8% 0.99× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 7.2% 6.0% 5.2% 1.16× 16.65
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns to win Q1 48.9% 47.6% 51.3% 0.93× 2.10
LA Clippers to win Q1 46.3% 47.6% 44.1% 1.08× 2.10
Q1 tied 4.8% 4.2% 4.6% 0.90× 23.94
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 64.5 84.5% 82.8% 80.1% 1.03× 1.21
Q1 over 48.5 80.7% 82.8% 85.6% 0.97× 1.21
Q1 under 61.5 74.7% 72.7% 68.5% 1.06× 1.38
Q1 over 51.5 69.6% 67.6% 76.0% 0.89× 1.48
Q1 under 59.5 66.6% 67.6% 60.0% 1.13× 1.48
Q1 over 53.5 60.9% 61.7% 68.2% 0.90× 1.62
Q1 under 57.5 57.7% 58.6% 50.4% 1.16× 1.71
Q1 under 56.5 53.0% 52.7% 45.4% 1.16× 1.90
Q1 over 55.5 51.7% 52.7% 59.2% 0.89× 1.90
Q1 under 55.5 48.3% 47.3% 40.8% 1.16× 2.11
Q1 over 56.5 47.0% 47.3% 54.6% 0.87× 2.11
Q1 over 57.5 42.3% 41.4% 49.6% 0.83× 2.42
Q1 under 53.5 39.1% 38.3% 31.8% 1.21× 2.61
Q1 over 59.5 33.4% 32.4% 40.0% 0.81× 3.08
Q1 under 51.5 30.4% 32.4% 24.0% 1.35× 3.08
Q1 over 61.5 25.3% 27.3% 31.5% 0.87× 3.67
Q1 under 48.5 19.3% 17.2% 14.4% 1.19× 5.83
Q1 over 64.5 15.5% 17.2% 19.9% 0.86× 5.83
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns to win Q2 48.9% 47.0% 49.3% 0.95× 2.13
LA Clippers to win Q2 46.4% 47.0% 46.2% 1.02× 2.13
Q2 tied 4.7% 4.4% 4.5% 0.98× 22.88
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 over 47.5 82.7% 83.0% 87.2% 0.95× 1.21
Q2 under 63.5 82.3% 83.0% 77.5% 1.07× 1.21
Q2 over 50.5 72.3% 72.0% 78.1% 0.92× 1.39
Q2 under 60.5 71.8% 72.0% 65.7% 1.10× 1.39
Q2 over 52.5 64.0% 60.7% 70.3% 0.86× 1.65
Q2 under 58.5 63.4% 60.7% 57.3% 1.06× 1.65
Q2 over 54.5 55.0% 52.7% 61.1% 0.86× 1.90
Q2 under 56.5 54.3% 52.7% 48.3% 1.09× 1.90
Q2 over 55.5 50.3% 52.7% 56.3% 0.94× 1.90
Q2 under 55.5 49.7% 47.3% 43.7% 1.08× 2.11
Q2 over 56.5 45.7% 47.3% 51.7% 0.92× 2.11
Q2 under 54.5 45.0% 47.3% 38.9% 1.22× 2.11
Q2 over 58.5 36.6% 39.3% 42.7% 0.92× 2.55
Q2 under 52.5 36.0% 39.3% 29.7% 1.32× 2.55
Q2 over 60.5 28.2% 28.0% 34.3% 0.82× 3.57
Q2 under 50.5 27.7% 28.0% 21.9% 1.28× 3.57
Q2 over 63.5 17.7% 17.0% 22.5% 0.76× 5.88
Q2 under 47.5 17.3% 17.0% 12.8% 1.33× 5.88
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns to win Q3 48.9% 47.6% 50.9% 0.94× 2.10
LA Clippers to win Q3 46.4% 47.5% 44.3% 1.07× 2.10
Q3 tied 4.7% 4.3% 4.9% 0.88× 23.43
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 64.5 84.4% 82.3% 79.2% 1.04× 1.22
Q3 over 48.5 81.4% 82.3% 85.6% 0.96× 1.22
Q3 under 61.5 74.3% 71.8% 67.7% 1.06× 1.39
Q3 over 51.5 70.4% 71.8% 76.1% 0.94× 1.39
Q3 under 59.5 66.1% 67.8% 59.0% 1.15× 1.48
Q3 over 53.5 61.7% 61.9% 68.3% 0.91× 1.61
Q3 under 57.5 57.0% 58.4% 49.8% 1.17× 1.71
Q3 over 55.5 52.4% 52.3% 59.9% 0.87× 1.91
Q3 under 56.5 52.3% 52.3% 45.0% 1.16× 1.91
Q3 under 55.5 47.6% 47.7% 40.1% 1.19× 2.10
Q3 over 56.5 47.7% 47.7% 55.0% 0.87× 2.10
Q3 over 57.5 43.0% 41.6% 50.2% 0.83× 2.40
Q3 under 53.5 38.3% 38.1% 31.7% 1.20× 2.63
Q3 over 59.5 33.9% 32.2% 41.0% 0.79× 3.10
Q3 under 51.5 29.6% 28.2% 23.9% 1.18× 3.55
Q3 over 61.5 25.7% 28.2% 32.3% 0.87× 3.55
Q3 under 48.5 18.6% 17.7% 14.4% 1.23× 5.66
Q3 over 64.5 15.6% 17.7% 20.8% 0.85× 5.66
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns to win Q4 48.8% 47.6% 48.3% 0.99× 2.10
LA Clippers to win Q4 46.3% 47.6% 46.4% 1.03× 2.10
Q4 tied 4.9% 5.2% 5.3% 0.98× 19.28
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 61.5 82.7% 82.0% 77.5% 1.06× 1.22
Q4 over 45.5 81.7% 82.0% 84.6% 0.97× 1.22
Q4 under 58.5 72.4% 71.5% 66.2% 1.08× 1.40
Q4 over 48.5 71.2% 71.5% 75.5% 0.95× 1.40
Q4 under 56.5 64.2% 61.4% 57.2% 1.07× 1.63
Q4 over 50.5 62.8% 61.4% 68.5% 0.90× 1.63
Q4 under 54.5 55.3% 58.4% 48.6% 1.20× 1.71
Q4 over 52.5 53.9% 52.5% 60.4% 0.87× 1.91
Q4 under 53.5 50.7% 52.5% 44.3% 1.18× 1.91
Q4 over 53.5 49.3% 47.5% 55.7% 0.85× 2.11
Q4 under 52.5 46.1% 47.5% 39.6% 1.20× 2.11
Q4 over 54.5 44.7% 41.6% 51.4% 0.81× 2.40
Q4 under 50.5 37.2% 38.6% 31.5% 1.23× 2.59
Q4 over 56.5 35.8% 38.6% 42.8% 0.90× 2.59
Q4 under 48.5 28.8% 28.5% 24.5% 1.16× 3.51
Q4 over 58.5 27.6% 28.5% 33.8% 0.84× 3.51
Q4 under 45.5 18.3% 18.0% 15.4% 1.17× 5.56
Q4 over 61.5 17.4% 18.0% 22.5% 0.80× 5.56
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns under 121.5 81.4% 80.7% 69.6% 1.16× 1.24
LA Clippers under 120.5 81.8% 80.7% 72.7% 1.11× 1.24
Phoenix Suns over 101.5 78.7% 75.1% 86.0% 0.87× 1.33
LA Clippers over 100.5 78.8% 75.1% 84.1% 0.89× 1.33
Phoenix Suns under 118.5 73.9% 70.7% 60.3% 1.17× 1.41
LA Clippers under 117.5 74.2% 70.7% 64.4% 1.10× 1.41
Phoenix Suns over 104.5 70.6% 70.7% 79.8% 0.89× 1.41
LA Clippers over 103.5 70.6% 70.7% 77.5% 0.91× 1.41
LA Clippers under 115.5 68.4% 66.4% 58.6% 1.13× 1.51
Phoenix Suns under 116.5 68.1% 66.4% 54.7% 1.21× 1.51
Phoenix Suns over 106.5 64.5% 61.2% 75.1% 0.81× 1.63
LA Clippers over 105.5 64.5% 61.2% 71.9% 0.85× 1.63
LA Clippers under 113.5 62.2% 61.2% 52.0% 1.18× 1.63
Phoenix Suns under 114.5 61.9% 61.2% 48.6% 1.26× 1.63
Phoenix Suns over 108.5 58.1% 57.1% 69.9% 0.82× 1.75
LA Clippers over 107.5 58.0% 57.1% 66.6% 0.86× 1.75
Phoenix Suns under 112.5 55.3% 57.1% 42.3% 1.35× 1.75
LA Clippers under 111.5 55.6% 57.1% 45.4% 1.26× 1.75
Phoenix Suns over 110.5 51.4% 52.3% 64.1% 0.82× 1.91
Phoenix Suns under 111.5 52.0% 52.3% 38.9% 1.34× 1.91
LA Clippers over 109.5 51.2% 52.3% 60.9% 0.86× 1.91
LA Clippers under 110.5 52.2% 52.3% 42.1% 1.24× 1.91
Phoenix Suns under 110.5 48.6% 47.7% 35.9% 1.33× 2.09
Phoenix Suns over 111.5 48.0% 47.7% 61.1% 0.78× 2.09
LA Clippers under 109.5 48.8% 47.7% 39.1% 1.22× 2.09
LA Clippers over 110.5 47.8% 47.7% 57.9% 0.83× 2.09
Phoenix Suns over 112.5 44.7% 42.9% 57.7% 0.74× 2.33
LA Clippers over 111.5 44.4% 42.9% 54.6% 0.79× 2.33
Phoenix Suns under 108.5 41.9% 42.9% 30.1% 1.42× 2.33
LA Clippers under 107.5 42.0% 42.9% 33.4% 1.28× 2.33
Phoenix Suns over 114.5 38.1% 38.8% 51.4% 0.76× 2.58
LA Clippers over 113.5 37.8% 38.8% 48.0% 0.81× 2.58
Phoenix Suns under 106.5 35.5% 38.8% 24.9% 1.56× 2.58
LA Clippers under 105.5 35.5% 38.8% 28.1% 1.38× 2.58
Phoenix Suns over 116.5 31.9% 33.6% 45.3% 0.74× 2.98
LA Clippers over 115.5 31.6% 33.6% 41.4% 0.81× 2.98
Phoenix Suns under 104.5 29.4% 29.3% 20.2% 1.45× 3.42
LA Clippers under 103.5 29.4% 29.3% 22.5% 1.30× 3.42
Phoenix Suns over 118.5 26.1% 29.3% 39.7% 0.74× 3.42
LA Clippers over 117.5 25.8% 29.3% 35.6% 0.82× 3.42
Phoenix Suns under 101.5 21.3% 24.9% 14.0% 1.77× 4.02
LA Clippers under 100.5 21.2% 24.9% 15.9% 1.57× 4.02
Phoenix Suns over 121.5 18.6% 19.3% 30.4% 0.63× 5.18
LA Clippers over 120.5 18.2% 19.3% 27.3% 0.71× 5.18
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 241.5 points 87.0% 85.0% 75.5% 1.13× 1.18
Over 201.5 points 85.3% 85.0% 91.5% 0.93× 1.18
Under 236.5 points 80.3% 80.6% 67.3% 1.20× 1.24
Over 206.5 points 78.1% 75.6% 86.7% 0.87× 1.32
Under 231.5 points 72.0% 70.8% 57.4% 1.24× 1.41
Over 211.5 points 69.3% 65.9% 79.7% 0.83× 1.52
Under 228.5 points 66.2% 65.9% 51.3% 1.29× 1.52
Over 214.5 points 63.4% 61.5% 75.1% 0.82× 1.63
Under 226.5 points 62.2% 61.5% 47.3% 1.30× 1.63
Over 216.5 points 59.2% 56.5% 71.6% 0.79× 1.77
Under 224.5 points 58.0% 56.5% 43.5% 1.30× 1.77
Over 218.5 points 55.0% 52.3% 67.8% 0.77× 1.91
Under 222.5 points 53.7% 52.3% 39.6% 1.32× 1.91
Under 221.5 points 51.6% 52.3% 37.8% 1.38× 1.91
Over 220.5 points 50.6% 52.3% 64.2% 0.82× 1.91
Under 220.5 points 49.4% 47.7% 35.8% 1.33× 2.10
Over 221.5 points 48.4% 47.7% 62.2% 0.77× 2.10
Over 222.5 points 46.3% 47.7% 60.4% 0.79× 2.10
Under 218.5 points 45.0% 47.7% 32.2% 1.48× 2.10
Over 224.5 points 42.0% 43.5% 56.5% 0.77× 2.30
Under 216.5 points 40.8% 43.5% 28.4% 1.53× 2.30
Over 226.5 points 37.8% 38.5% 52.7% 0.73× 2.60
Under 214.5 points 36.6% 38.5% 24.9% 1.55× 2.60
Over 228.5 points 33.8% 34.1% 48.7% 0.70× 2.93
Under 211.5 points 30.7% 34.1% 20.3% 1.68× 2.93
Over 231.5 points 28.0% 29.2% 42.6% 0.68× 3.43
Under 206.5 points 21.9% 24.4% 13.3% 1.84× 4.10
Over 236.5 points 19.7% 19.4% 32.7% 0.59× 5.15
Under 201.5 points 14.7% 15.0% 8.5% 1.76× 6.68
Over 241.5 points 13.0% 15.0% 24.5% 0.61× 6.69
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns to win both halves 22.9% 23.1% 25.2% 0.92× 4.34
LA Clippers to win both halves 19.4% 18.9% 17.8% 1.06× 5.30
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns by 1-5 13.9% 12.3% 12.8% 0.96× 8.11
LA Clippers by 1-5 13.6% 12.3% 12.3% 1.01× 8.11
Phoenix Suns by 6-10 12.6% 12.3% 13.9% 0.88× 8.11
LA Clippers by 6-10 11.6% 12.3% 12.3% 1.00× 8.11
Phoenix Suns by 11-15 10.0% 12.3% 10.8% 1.14× 8.11
LA Clippers by 11-15 8.9% 7.5% 8.0% 0.93× 13.40
Phoenix Suns by 16-20 7.1% 7.5% 7.3% 1.02× 13.40
LA Clippers by 16-20 6.0% 7.5% 4.9% 1.53× 13.40
Phoenix Suns by 21-25 4.5% 2.0% 4.7% 0.43× 49.29
LA Clippers by 21-25 3.6% 2.0% 3.0% 0.67× 49.30
Phoenix Suns by 26+ 4.7% 2.0% 6.2% 0.33× 49.29
LA Clippers by 26+ 3.5% 2.0% 3.9% 0.53× 49.30
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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