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Phoenix Suns v Orlando Magic — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 6 November 2026 · NBA · 2027

NBA results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Phoenix Suns win
54.9%
Draw
0.0%
Orlando Magic win
45.1%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 110.91–109.16 111-109 0% 49% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns to score 100+ 83.3% 79.3% 89.3% 0.89× 1.26
Orlando Magic to score 100+ 79.4% 77.0% 85.9% 0.90× 1.30
Both sides to score 100+ 67.7% 63.8% 77.5% 0.82× 1.57
Phoenix Suns to score 110+ 54.8% 52.4% 67.0% 0.78× 1.91
Orlando Magic to score 110+ 48.8% 47.0% 60.9% 0.77× 2.13
Phoenix Suns to score 120+ 23.5% 22.0% 36.5% 0.60× 4.54
Orlando Magic to score 120+ 18.9% 17.6% 29.7% 0.59× 5.69
Phoenix Suns to score 130+ 5.8% 8.8% 12.8% 0.68× 11.39
Orlando Magic to score 130+ 4.1% 0.4% 10.0% 0.04× 282.55
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns to win H1 51.5% 51.8% 52.8% 0.98× 1.93
Orlando Magic to win H1 45.1% 47.3% 44.1% 1.07× 2.11
H1 tied 3.5% 3.9% 3.1% 1.25× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 123.5 83.0% 82.5% 76.0% 1.09× 1.21
H1 over 99.5 81.3% 82.5% 88.5% 0.93× 1.21
H1 under 119.5 74.2% 73.5% 65.9% 1.11× 1.36
H1 over 103.5 72.0% 73.5% 80.7% 0.91× 1.36
H1 under 116.5 66.2% 67.4% 56.6% 1.19× 1.48
H1 over 106.5 63.7% 62.7% 73.3% 0.86× 1.59
H1 under 114.5 60.4% 62.7% 50.4% 1.25× 1.59
H1 over 108.5 57.8% 58.2% 67.7% 0.86× 1.72
H1 under 112.5 54.4% 52.6% 44.2% 1.19× 1.90
H1 over 110.5 51.8% 52.6% 61.9% 0.85× 1.90
H1 under 111.5 51.3% 52.6% 41.0% 1.28× 1.90
H1 over 111.5 48.7% 47.4% 59.0% 0.80× 2.11
H1 under 110.5 48.2% 47.4% 38.1% 1.24× 2.11
H1 over 112.5 45.6% 47.4% 55.8% 0.85× 2.11
H1 under 108.5 42.2% 41.8% 32.3% 1.29× 2.39
H1 over 114.5 39.6% 37.3% 49.6% 0.75× 2.68
H1 under 106.5 36.3% 37.3% 26.7% 1.40× 2.68
H1 over 116.5 33.8% 32.6% 43.4% 0.75× 3.07
H1 under 103.5 28.0% 26.5% 19.3% 1.37× 3.77
H1 over 119.5 25.8% 26.5% 34.1% 0.78× 3.77
H1 under 99.5 18.7% 17.5% 11.5% 1.52× 5.72
H1 over 123.5 17.0% 17.5% 24.0% 0.73× 5.73
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns to win H2 51.4% 51.2% 51.6% 0.99× 1.95
Orlando Magic to win H2 45.1% 47.1% 44.7% 1.05× 2.12
H2 tied 3.5% 3.9% 3.7% 1.06× 25.36
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 121.5 83.4% 81.8% 72.0% 1.14× 1.22
H2 over 97.5 81.4% 81.8% 87.7% 0.93× 1.22
H2 under 117.5 74.5% 72.2% 61.1% 1.18× 1.39
H2 over 101.5 72.0% 72.2% 80.3% 0.90× 1.39
H2 under 114.5 66.5% 66.4% 52.5% 1.26× 1.51
H2 over 104.5 63.7% 61.6% 73.9% 0.83× 1.62
H2 under 112.5 60.7% 61.6% 47.4% 1.30× 1.62
H2 over 106.5 57.7% 57.3% 68.8% 0.83× 1.74
H2 under 110.5 54.6% 52.4% 41.9% 1.25× 1.91
H2 over 108.5 51.6% 52.4% 63.8% 0.82× 1.91
H2 under 109.5 51.5% 52.4% 39.1% 1.34× 1.91
H2 under 108.5 48.4% 47.6% 36.2% 1.32× 2.10
H2 over 109.5 48.5% 47.6% 60.9% 0.78× 2.10
H2 over 110.5 45.4% 47.6% 58.1% 0.82× 2.10
H2 under 106.5 42.3% 42.7% 31.2% 1.37× 2.34
H2 over 112.5 39.3% 38.4% 52.6% 0.73× 2.61
H2 under 104.5 36.3% 38.4% 26.1% 1.47× 2.61
H2 over 114.5 33.5% 33.6% 47.5% 0.71× 2.97
H2 under 101.5 28.0% 27.8% 19.7% 1.41× 3.59
H2 over 117.5 25.5% 27.8% 38.9% 0.71× 3.59
H2 under 97.5 18.6% 18.2% 12.3% 1.48× 5.50
H2 over 121.5 16.6% 18.2% 28.0% 0.65× 5.50
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns leading at half time 51.5% 51.9% 52.8% 0.98× 1.93
Orlando Magic leading at half time 45.1% 47.2% 44.1% 1.07× 2.12
Level at half time 3.5% 3.8% 3.1% 1.22× 26.41
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns +20.5 93.6% 91.1% 93.1% 0.98× 1.10
Phoenix Suns +18.5 91.6% 91.1% 91.5% 1.00× 1.10
Phoenix Suns +16.5 89.3% 85.9% 89.7% 0.96× 1.16
Orlando Magic +20.5 89.9% 85.9% 89.1% 0.96× 1.16
Orlando Magic +18.5 87.3% 85.9% 86.4% 0.99× 1.16
Phoenix Suns +14.5 86.5% 85.9% 87.0% 0.99× 1.16
Orlando Magic +16.5 84.1% 81.1% 83.5% 0.97× 1.23
Phoenix Suns +12.5 83.3% 81.1% 83.9% 0.97× 1.23
Orlando Magic +14.5 80.5% 81.1% 80.1% 1.01× 1.23
Phoenix Suns +10.5 79.5% 76.5% 80.3% 0.95× 1.31
Phoenix Suns +9.5 77.5% 76.5% 78.1% 0.98× 1.31
Orlando Magic +12.5 76.4% 76.5% 76.0% 1.01× 1.31
Phoenix Suns +8.5 75.3% 76.5% 75.7% 1.01× 1.31
Phoenix Suns +7.5 73.1% 71.6% 73.0% 0.98× 1.40
Orlando Magic +10.5 71.9% 71.6% 71.0% 1.01× 1.40
Phoenix Suns +6.5 70.7% 71.6% 70.6% 1.01× 1.40
Orlando Magic +9.5 69.5% 66.7% 68.7% 0.97× 1.50
Phoenix Suns +5.5 68.3% 66.7% 68.0% 0.98× 1.50
Orlando Magic +8.5 67.0% 66.7% 65.9% 1.01× 1.50
Phoenix Suns +4.5 65.7% 66.7% 65.7% 1.02× 1.50
Orlando Magic +7.5 64.5% 61.9% 63.0% 0.98× 1.62
Phoenix Suns +3.5 63.1% 61.9% 63.1% 0.98× 1.62
Orlando Magic +6.5 61.8% 61.9% 60.0% 1.03× 1.62
Phoenix Suns +2.5 60.4% 61.9% 60.5% 1.02× 1.62
Orlando Magic +5.5 59.1% 57.1% 57.1% 1.00× 1.75
Phoenix Suns +1.5 57.7% 57.1% 57.9% 0.99× 1.75
Orlando Magic +4.5 56.3% 57.1% 54.1% 1.06× 1.75
Orlando Magic +3.5 53.5% 52.4% 51.6% 1.02× 1.91
Phoenix Suns −1.5 52.1% 52.4% 53.7% 0.98× 1.91
Orlando Magic +2.5 50.7% 52.4% 49.1% 1.07× 1.91
Phoenix Suns −2.5 49.3% 47.6% 50.9% 0.93× 2.10
Orlando Magic +1.5 47.9% 47.6% 46.3% 1.03× 2.10
Phoenix Suns −3.5 46.5% 47.6% 48.4% 0.98× 2.10
Phoenix Suns −4.5 43.7% 42.9% 46.0% 0.93× 2.33
Orlando Magic −1.5 42.3% 42.9% 42.1% 1.02× 2.33
Phoenix Suns −5.5 40.9% 42.9% 42.9% 1.00× 2.33
Orlando Magic −2.5 39.6% 38.1% 39.5% 0.96× 2.63
Phoenix Suns −6.5 38.2% 38.1% 40.0% 0.95× 2.63
Orlando Magic −3.5 36.9% 38.1% 36.9% 1.03× 2.63
Phoenix Suns −7.5 35.5% 38.1% 37.0% 1.03× 2.63
Orlando Magic −4.5 34.3% 33.3% 34.3% 0.97× 3.01
Phoenix Suns −8.5 33.0% 33.3% 34.1% 0.98× 3.01
Orlando Magic −5.5 31.7% 33.3% 32.0% 1.04× 3.01
Phoenix Suns −9.5 30.5% 33.3% 31.3% 1.06× 3.01
Orlando Magic −6.5 29.3% 28.4% 29.4% 0.96× 3.53
Phoenix Suns −10.5 28.1% 28.4% 29.0% 0.98× 3.53
Orlando Magic −7.5 26.9% 28.4% 27.0% 1.05× 3.53
Orlando Magic −8.5 24.7% 23.5% 24.3% 0.97× 4.25
Phoenix Suns −12.5 23.6% 23.5% 24.0% 0.98× 4.25
Orlando Magic −9.5 22.5% 23.5% 21.9% 1.08× 4.25
Orlando Magic −10.5 20.5% 23.5% 19.7% 1.19× 4.25
Phoenix Suns −14.5 19.5% 18.9% 19.9% 0.95× 5.29
Orlando Magic −12.5 16.7% 18.9% 16.1% 1.17× 5.29
Phoenix Suns −16.5 15.9% 18.9% 16.5% 1.15× 5.30
Orlando Magic −14.5 13.5% 14.1% 13.0% 1.09× 7.09
Phoenix Suns −18.5 12.7% 14.1% 13.6% 1.04× 7.09
Orlando Magic −16.5 10.7% 14.1% 10.3% 1.37× 7.09
Phoenix Suns −20.5 10.1% 14.1% 10.9% 1.30× 7.09
Orlando Magic −18.5 8.4% 8.9% 8.5% 1.04× 11.25
Orlando Magic −20.5 6.4% 8.9% 6.9% 1.29× 11.25
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1st half highest scoring 56.4% 52.6% 53.5% 0.98× 1.90
2nd half highest scoring 43.6% 47.4% 46.5% 1.02× 2.11
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 highest scoring 28.2% 27.4% 29.2% 0.94× 3.65
Q3 highest scoring 27.8% 27.4% 27.5% 1.00× 3.65
Q2 highest scoring 26.5% 27.4% 26.3% 1.04× 3.65
Q4 highest scoring 17.5% 18.3% 17.0% 1.08× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns at HT / Phoenix Suns at FT 39.7% 37.8% 40.8% 0.93× 2.65
Orlando Magic at HT / Orlando Magic at FT 31.7% 33.2% 30.9% 1.08× 3.01
Orlando Magic at HT / Phoenix Suns at FT 13.4% 12.2% 13.3% 0.92× 8.17
Phoenix Suns at HT / Orlando Magic at FT 11.8% 12.2% 12.0% 1.02× 8.18
Level at HT / Phoenix Suns at FT 1.9% 2.1% 1.7% 1.22× 47.76
Level at HT / Orlando Magic at FT 1.6% 2.1% 1.4% 1.50× 47.76
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns to win 54.9% 51.0% 55.7% 0.92× 1.96
Orlando Magic to win 45.1% 49.0% 44.3% 1.11× 2.04
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.4% 50.5% 51.0% 0.99× 1.98
Phoenix Suns even 50.0% 50.5% 49.7% 1.02× 1.98
Orlando Magic even 50.0% 50.5% 50.3% 1.00× 1.98
Phoenix Suns odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.3% 0.98× 2.02
Orlando Magic odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.7% 1.00× 2.02
Total points even 48.6% 49.5% 49.0% 1.01× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 92.9% 94.0% 94.8% 0.99× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 7.1% 6.0% 5.2% 1.16× 16.65
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns to win Q1 49.8% 47.6% 51.3% 0.93× 2.10
Orlando Magic to win Q1 45.4% 47.6% 44.1% 1.08× 2.10
Q1 tied 4.8% 4.2% 4.6% 0.90× 23.94
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 over 47.5 83.2% 82.8% 88.2% 0.94× 1.21
Q1 under 63.5 82.1% 82.8% 76.8% 1.08× 1.21
Q1 over 50.5 72.9% 72.7% 79.4% 0.92× 1.38
Q1 under 60.5 71.5% 72.7% 64.5% 1.13× 1.38
Q1 over 52.5 64.6% 61.7% 72.4% 0.85× 1.62
Q1 under 58.5 63.0% 61.7% 55.7% 1.11× 1.62
Q1 over 54.5 55.5% 58.6% 63.3% 0.93× 1.71
Q1 under 56.5 53.9% 52.7% 45.4% 1.16× 1.90
Q1 over 55.5 50.8% 52.7% 59.2% 0.89× 1.90
Q1 under 55.5 49.2% 47.3% 40.8% 1.16× 2.11
Q1 over 56.5 46.1% 47.3% 54.6% 0.87× 2.11
Q1 under 54.5 44.5% 41.4% 36.7% 1.13× 2.42
Q1 over 58.5 37.0% 38.3% 44.3% 0.86× 2.61
Q1 under 52.5 35.4% 38.3% 27.6% 1.39× 2.61
Q1 over 60.5 28.5% 27.3% 35.5% 0.77× 3.66
Q1 under 50.5 27.1% 27.3% 20.6% 1.33× 3.66
Q1 over 63.5 17.9% 17.2% 23.2% 0.74× 5.83
Q1 under 47.5 16.8% 17.2% 11.8% 1.46× 5.83
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns to win Q2 49.8% 47.1% 49.3% 0.95× 2.13
Orlando Magic to win Q2 45.5% 47.0% 46.2% 1.02× 2.13
Q2 tied 4.7% 4.4% 4.5% 0.98× 22.88
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 63.5 82.9% 83.0% 77.5% 1.07× 1.21
Q2 over 47.5 82.2% 83.0% 87.2% 0.95× 1.21
Q2 under 60.5 72.5% 72.0% 65.7% 1.10× 1.39
Q2 over 50.5 71.6% 72.0% 78.1% 0.92× 1.39
Q2 under 58.5 64.2% 60.7% 57.3% 1.06× 1.65
Q2 over 52.5 63.2% 60.7% 70.3% 0.86× 1.65
Q2 under 56.5 55.2% 58.2% 48.3% 1.20× 1.72
Q2 over 54.5 54.2% 52.7% 61.1% 0.86× 1.90
Q2 under 55.5 50.5% 52.7% 43.7% 1.21× 1.90
Q2 over 55.5 49.5% 47.3% 56.3% 0.84× 2.11
Q2 under 54.5 45.8% 47.3% 38.9% 1.22× 2.11
Q2 over 56.5 44.8% 41.8% 51.7% 0.81× 2.39
Q2 under 52.5 36.8% 39.3% 29.7% 1.32× 2.55
Q2 over 58.5 35.8% 39.3% 42.7% 0.92× 2.55
Q2 under 50.5 28.4% 28.0% 21.9% 1.28× 3.57
Q2 over 60.5 27.5% 28.0% 34.3% 0.82× 3.57
Q2 under 47.5 17.8% 17.0% 12.8% 1.33× 5.88
Q2 over 63.5 17.1% 17.0% 22.5% 0.76× 5.88
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns to win Q3 49.8% 47.6% 50.9% 0.94× 2.10
Orlando Magic to win Q3 45.5% 47.5% 44.3% 1.07× 2.10
Q3 tied 4.7% 4.3% 4.9% 0.88× 23.43
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 64.5 84.9% 82.3% 79.2% 1.04× 1.22
Q3 over 48.5 80.8% 82.3% 85.6% 0.96× 1.22
Q3 under 61.5 75.0% 71.8% 67.7% 1.06× 1.39
Q3 over 51.5 69.7% 67.8% 76.1% 0.89× 1.48
Q3 under 59.5 66.9% 67.8% 59.0% 1.15× 1.48
Q3 over 53.5 60.9% 61.9% 68.3% 0.91× 1.61
Q3 under 57.5 57.9% 58.4% 49.8% 1.17× 1.71
Q3 under 56.5 53.2% 52.3% 45.0% 1.16× 1.91
Q3 over 55.5 51.6% 52.3% 59.9% 0.87× 1.91
Q3 under 55.5 48.4% 47.7% 40.1% 1.19× 2.10
Q3 over 56.5 46.8% 47.7% 55.0% 0.87× 2.10
Q3 over 57.5 42.1% 41.6% 50.2% 0.83× 2.40
Q3 under 53.5 39.1% 38.1% 31.7% 1.20× 2.63
Q3 over 59.5 33.1% 32.2% 41.0% 0.79× 3.10
Q3 under 51.5 30.3% 32.2% 23.9% 1.35× 3.11
Q3 over 61.5 25.0% 28.2% 32.3% 0.87× 3.55
Q3 under 48.5 19.2% 17.7% 14.4% 1.23× 5.66
Q3 over 64.5 15.1% 17.7% 20.8% 0.85× 5.66
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns to win Q4 49.7% 47.6% 48.3% 0.99× 2.10
Orlando Magic to win Q4 45.4% 47.6% 46.4% 1.03× 2.10
Q4 tied 4.9% 5.2% 5.3% 0.98× 19.28
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 61.5 83.2% 82.0% 77.5% 1.06× 1.22
Q4 over 45.5 81.2% 82.0% 84.6% 0.97× 1.22
Q4 under 58.5 73.1% 71.5% 66.2% 1.08× 1.40
Q4 over 48.5 70.5% 71.5% 75.5% 0.95× 1.40
Q4 under 56.5 64.9% 61.4% 57.2% 1.07× 1.63
Q4 over 50.5 62.1% 61.4% 68.5% 0.90× 1.63
Q4 under 54.5 56.1% 58.4% 48.6% 1.20× 1.71
Q4 over 52.5 53.1% 52.5% 60.4% 0.87× 1.91
Q4 under 53.5 51.5% 52.5% 44.3% 1.18× 1.91
Q4 over 53.5 48.5% 47.5% 55.7% 0.85× 2.11
Q4 under 52.5 46.9% 47.5% 39.6% 1.20× 2.11
Q4 over 54.5 43.9% 41.6% 51.4% 0.81× 2.40
Q4 under 50.5 37.9% 38.6% 31.5% 1.23× 2.59
Q4 over 56.5 35.1% 38.6% 42.8% 0.90× 2.59
Q4 under 48.5 29.5% 28.5% 24.5% 1.16× 3.51
Q4 over 58.5 26.9% 28.5% 33.8% 0.84× 3.51
Q4 under 45.5 18.8% 18.0% 15.4% 1.17× 5.56
Q4 over 61.5 16.9% 18.0% 22.5% 0.80× 5.56
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns under 121.5 81.4% 80.7% 69.6% 1.16× 1.24
Orlando Magic under 119.5 81.1% 80.7% 70.3% 1.15× 1.24
Orlando Magic over 99.5 79.4% 75.1% 85.9% 0.87× 1.33
Phoenix Suns over 101.5 78.7% 75.1% 86.0% 0.87× 1.33
Phoenix Suns under 118.5 73.8% 70.7% 60.3% 1.17× 1.41
Orlando Magic under 116.5 73.5% 70.7% 61.5% 1.15× 1.41
Phoenix Suns over 104.5 70.7% 70.7% 79.8% 0.89× 1.41
Orlando Magic over 102.5 71.4% 70.7% 79.7% 0.89× 1.41
Phoenix Suns under 116.5 68.1% 66.4% 54.7% 1.21× 1.51
Orlando Magic under 114.5 67.6% 66.4% 55.5% 1.20× 1.51
Orlando Magic over 104.5 65.3% 66.4% 75.0% 0.89× 1.51
Phoenix Suns over 106.5 64.6% 61.2% 75.1% 0.81× 1.63
Phoenix Suns under 114.5 61.8% 61.2% 48.6% 1.26× 1.63
Orlando Magic under 112.5 61.3% 61.2% 48.5% 1.26× 1.63
Orlando Magic over 106.5 58.9% 57.1% 68.9% 0.83× 1.75
Phoenix Suns over 108.5 58.2% 57.1% 69.9% 0.82× 1.75
Phoenix Suns under 112.5 55.2% 57.1% 42.3% 1.35× 1.75
Orlando Magic under 110.5 54.6% 52.3% 42.1% 1.24× 1.91
Phoenix Suns over 110.5 51.5% 52.3% 64.1% 0.82× 1.91
Phoenix Suns under 111.5 51.9% 52.3% 38.9% 1.34× 1.91
Orlando Magic over 108.5 52.1% 52.3% 64.0% 0.82× 1.91
Orlando Magic under 109.5 51.3% 52.3% 39.1% 1.34× 1.91
Phoenix Suns under 110.5 48.5% 47.7% 35.9% 1.33× 2.09
Phoenix Suns over 111.5 48.1% 47.7% 61.1% 0.78× 2.09
Orlando Magic under 108.5 47.9% 47.7% 36.0% 1.33× 2.09
Orlando Magic over 109.5 48.8% 47.7% 60.9% 0.78× 2.09
Orlando Magic over 110.5 45.4% 47.7% 57.9% 0.83× 2.09
Phoenix Suns over 112.5 44.8% 42.9% 57.7% 0.74× 2.33
Phoenix Suns under 108.5 41.8% 42.9% 30.1% 1.42× 2.33
Orlando Magic under 106.5 41.1% 42.9% 31.1% 1.38× 2.33
Phoenix Suns over 114.5 38.2% 38.8% 51.4% 0.76× 2.58
Orlando Magic over 112.5 38.7% 38.8% 51.5% 0.75× 2.58
Phoenix Suns under 106.5 35.4% 38.8% 24.9% 1.56× 2.58
Orlando Magic under 104.5 34.7% 33.6% 25.0% 1.35× 2.98
Phoenix Suns over 116.5 32.0% 33.6% 45.3% 0.74× 2.98
Orlando Magic over 114.5 32.4% 33.6% 44.5% 0.76× 2.98
Phoenix Suns under 104.5 29.3% 29.3% 20.2% 1.45× 3.42
Orlando Magic under 102.5 28.6% 29.3% 20.3% 1.44× 3.42
Phoenix Suns over 118.5 26.2% 29.3% 39.7% 0.74× 3.42
Orlando Magic over 116.5 26.5% 29.3% 38.5% 0.76× 3.42
Phoenix Suns under 101.5 21.3% 24.9% 14.0% 1.77× 4.02
Orlando Magic under 99.5 20.6% 24.9% 14.1% 1.76× 4.02
Orlando Magic over 119.5 18.9% 19.3% 29.7% 0.65× 5.18
Phoenix Suns over 121.5 18.6% 19.3% 30.4% 0.63× 5.18
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 240.5 points 86.6% 85.0% 74.0% 1.15× 1.18
Over 200.5 points 85.7% 85.0% 92.2% 0.92× 1.18
Under 235.5 points 79.9% 75.6% 65.3% 1.16× 1.32
Over 205.5 points 78.6% 75.6% 87.8% 0.86× 1.32
Under 230.5 points 71.4% 70.8% 55.4% 1.28× 1.41
Over 210.5 points 69.9% 65.9% 81.4% 0.81× 1.52
Under 227.5 points 65.7% 65.9% 49.4% 1.33× 1.52
Over 213.5 points 63.9% 61.5% 76.4% 0.80× 1.63
Under 225.5 points 61.6% 61.5% 45.3% 1.36× 1.63
Over 215.5 points 59.8% 56.5% 73.4% 0.77× 1.77
Under 223.5 points 57.4% 56.5% 41.7% 1.35× 1.77
Over 217.5 points 55.5% 56.5% 69.6% 0.81× 1.77
Under 221.5 points 53.1% 52.3% 37.8% 1.38× 1.91
Over 219.5 points 51.2% 52.3% 66.1% 0.79× 1.91
Under 220.5 points 50.9% 52.3% 35.8% 1.46× 1.91
Under 219.5 points 48.8% 47.7% 33.9% 1.41× 2.10
Over 220.5 points 49.1% 47.7% 64.2% 0.74× 2.10
Over 221.5 points 46.9% 47.7% 62.2% 0.77× 2.10
Under 217.5 points 44.5% 43.5% 30.4% 1.43× 2.30
Over 223.5 points 42.6% 43.5% 58.3% 0.75× 2.30
Under 215.5 points 40.2% 43.5% 26.6% 1.63× 2.30
Over 225.5 points 38.4% 38.5% 54.7% 0.70× 2.60
Under 213.5 points 36.1% 38.5% 23.6% 1.63× 2.60
Over 227.5 points 34.3% 34.1% 50.6% 0.67× 2.93
Under 210.5 points 30.1% 34.1% 18.6% 1.83× 2.93
Over 230.5 points 28.6% 29.2% 44.6% 0.65× 3.43
Under 205.5 points 21.4% 24.4% 12.2% 2.00× 4.10
Over 235.5 points 20.1% 24.4% 34.7% 0.70× 4.10
Under 200.5 points 14.4% 15.0% 7.8% 1.91× 6.68
Over 240.5 points 13.4% 15.0% 26.0% 0.58× 6.69
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns to win both halves 24.3% 23.1% 25.2% 0.92× 4.33
Orlando Magic to win both halves 18.2% 18.9% 17.8% 1.06× 5.30
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns by 1-5 14.0% 12.3% 12.8% 0.96× 8.11
Orlando Magic by 1-5 13.3% 12.3% 12.3% 1.01× 8.11
Phoenix Suns by 6-10 12.8% 12.3% 13.9% 0.88× 8.11
Orlando Magic by 6-10 11.3% 12.3% 12.3% 1.00× 8.11
Phoenix Suns by 11-15 10.4% 12.3% 10.8% 1.14× 8.11
Orlando Magic by 11-15 8.4% 7.5% 8.0% 0.93× 13.40
Phoenix Suns by 16-20 7.6% 7.5% 7.3% 1.02× 13.40
Orlando Magic by 16-20 5.6% 7.5% 4.9% 1.53× 13.40
Phoenix Suns by 26+ 5.2% 7.5% 6.2% 1.21× 13.41
Phoenix Suns by 21-25 4.9% 2.0% 4.7% 0.43× 49.29
Orlando Magic by 21-25 3.3% 2.0% 3.0% 0.67× 49.30
Orlando Magic by 26+ 3.1% 2.0% 3.9% 0.53× 49.30
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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