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Phoenix Suns v Portland Trail Blazers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 5 November 2026 · NBA · 2027

NBA results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Phoenix Suns win
56.9%
Draw
0.0%
Portland Trail Blazers win
43.1%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 111.78–109.32 112-109 0% 49% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns to score 100+ 85.1% 85.0% 89.3% 0.95× 1.18
Portland Trail Blazers to score 100+ 79.8% 77.0% 85.9% 0.90× 1.30
Both sides to score 100+ 69.3% 63.9% 77.5% 0.82× 1.57
Phoenix Suns to score 110+ 57.8% 56.4% 67.0% 0.84× 1.77
Portland Trail Blazers to score 110+ 49.2% 47.0% 60.9% 0.77× 2.13
Phoenix Suns to score 120+ 25.8% 27.5% 36.5% 0.75× 3.64
Portland Trail Blazers to score 120+ 19.2% 17.6% 29.7% 0.59× 5.69
Phoenix Suns to score 130+ 6.7% 8.8% 12.8% 0.68× 11.38
Portland Trail Blazers to score 130+ 4.2% 0.4% 10.0% 0.04× 282.53
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns to win H1 52.8% 51.9% 52.8% 0.98× 1.93
Portland Trail Blazers to win H1 43.8% 42.7% 44.1% 0.97× 2.34
H1 tied 3.5% 3.9% 3.1% 1.25× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 99.5 82.4% 82.5% 88.5% 0.93× 1.21
H1 under 123.5 82.0% 82.5% 76.0% 1.09× 1.21
H1 over 103.5 73.3% 73.5% 80.7% 0.91× 1.36
H1 under 119.5 72.8% 73.5% 65.9% 1.11× 1.36
H1 over 106.5 65.2% 67.4% 73.3% 0.92× 1.48
H1 under 116.5 64.7% 62.7% 56.6% 1.11× 1.59
H1 over 108.5 59.4% 58.2% 67.7% 0.86× 1.72
H1 under 114.5 58.8% 58.2% 50.4% 1.16× 1.72
H1 over 110.5 53.3% 52.6% 61.9% 0.85× 1.90
H1 under 112.5 52.8% 52.6% 44.2% 1.19× 1.90
H1 over 111.5 50.3% 52.6% 59.0% 0.89× 1.90
H1 under 111.5 49.7% 47.4% 41.0% 1.15× 2.11
H1 under 110.5 46.7% 47.4% 38.1% 1.24× 2.11
H1 over 112.5 47.2% 47.4% 55.8% 0.85× 2.11
H1 over 114.5 41.2% 41.8% 49.6% 0.84× 2.39
H1 under 108.5 40.6% 41.8% 32.3% 1.29× 2.39
H1 over 116.5 35.3% 37.3% 43.4% 0.86× 2.68
H1 under 106.5 34.8% 32.6% 26.7% 1.22× 3.07
H1 over 119.5 27.2% 26.5% 34.1% 0.78× 3.77
H1 under 103.5 26.7% 26.5% 19.3% 1.37× 3.77
H1 over 123.5 18.0% 17.5% 24.0% 0.73× 5.73
H1 under 99.5 17.6% 17.5% 11.5% 1.52× 5.73
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns to win H2 52.7% 51.2% 51.6% 0.99× 1.95
Portland Trail Blazers to win H2 43.8% 43.6% 44.7% 0.97× 2.30
H2 tied 3.5% 3.9% 3.7% 1.06× 25.36
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 97.5 82.5% 81.8% 87.7% 0.93× 1.22
H2 under 121.5 82.4% 81.8% 72.0% 1.14× 1.22
H2 over 101.5 73.3% 72.2% 80.3% 0.90× 1.39
H2 under 117.5 73.2% 72.2% 61.1% 1.18× 1.39
H2 over 104.5 65.1% 66.4% 73.9% 0.90× 1.51
H2 under 114.5 65.1% 66.4% 52.5% 1.26× 1.51
H2 over 106.5 59.2% 57.3% 68.8% 0.83× 1.74
H2 under 112.5 59.2% 57.3% 47.4% 1.21× 1.74
H2 over 108.5 53.1% 52.4% 63.8% 0.82× 1.91
H2 under 110.5 53.1% 52.4% 41.9% 1.25× 1.91
H2 over 109.5 50.0% 52.4% 60.9% 0.86× 1.91
H2 under 109.5 50.0% 47.6% 39.1% 1.22× 2.10
H2 under 108.5 46.9% 47.6% 36.2% 1.32× 2.10
H2 over 110.5 46.9% 47.6% 58.1% 0.82× 2.10
H2 under 106.5 40.8% 42.7% 31.2% 1.37× 2.35
H2 over 112.5 40.8% 42.7% 52.6% 0.81× 2.35
H2 under 104.5 34.9% 33.6% 26.1% 1.29× 2.97
H2 over 114.5 34.9% 33.6% 47.5% 0.71× 2.97
H2 under 101.5 26.7% 27.8% 19.7% 1.41× 3.59
H2 over 117.5 26.8% 27.8% 38.9% 0.71× 3.59
H2 under 97.5 17.6% 18.2% 12.3% 1.48× 5.50
H2 over 121.5 17.6% 18.2% 28.0% 0.65× 5.50
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns leading at half time 52.8% 51.9% 52.8% 0.98× 1.93
Portland Trail Blazers leading at half time 43.8% 42.9% 44.1% 0.97× 2.33
Level at half time 3.5% 3.8% 3.1% 1.22× 26.41
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns +20.5 94.2% 91.1% 93.1% 0.98× 1.10
Phoenix Suns +18.5 92.4% 91.1% 91.5% 1.00× 1.10
Phoenix Suns +16.5 90.2% 91.1% 89.7% 1.02× 1.10
Portland Trail Blazers +20.5 89.0% 85.9% 89.1% 0.96× 1.16
Phoenix Suns +14.5 87.6% 85.9% 87.0% 0.99× 1.16
Portland Trail Blazers +18.5 86.2% 85.9% 86.4% 0.99× 1.16
Phoenix Suns +12.5 84.5% 81.1% 83.9% 0.97× 1.23
Portland Trail Blazers +16.5 82.9% 81.1% 83.5% 0.97× 1.23
Phoenix Suns +10.5 80.9% 81.1% 80.3% 1.01× 1.23
Phoenix Suns +9.5 79.0% 76.5% 78.1% 0.98× 1.31
Portland Trail Blazers +14.5 79.1% 76.5% 80.1% 0.95× 1.31
Phoenix Suns +8.5 76.9% 76.5% 75.7% 1.01× 1.31
Phoenix Suns +7.5 74.7% 71.6% 73.0% 0.98× 1.40
Portland Trail Blazers +12.5 74.9% 71.6% 76.0% 0.94× 1.40
Phoenix Suns +6.5 72.4% 71.6% 70.6% 1.01× 1.40
Phoenix Suns +5.5 70.0% 71.6% 68.0% 1.05× 1.40
Portland Trail Blazers +10.5 70.2% 71.6% 71.0% 1.01× 1.40
Phoenix Suns +4.5 67.6% 66.7% 65.7% 1.02× 1.50
Portland Trail Blazers +9.5 67.8% 66.7% 68.7% 0.97× 1.50
Phoenix Suns +3.5 65.0% 66.7% 63.1% 1.06× 1.50
Portland Trail Blazers +8.5 65.2% 66.7% 65.9% 1.01× 1.50
Portland Trail Blazers +7.5 62.6% 61.9% 63.0% 0.98× 1.62
Phoenix Suns +2.5 62.4% 61.9% 60.5% 1.02× 1.62
Phoenix Suns +1.5 59.7% 57.1% 57.9% 0.99× 1.75
Portland Trail Blazers +6.5 59.9% 57.1% 60.0% 0.95× 1.75
Portland Trail Blazers +5.5 57.1% 57.1% 57.1% 1.00× 1.75
Portland Trail Blazers +4.5 54.4% 52.4% 54.1% 0.97× 1.91
Phoenix Suns −1.5 54.1% 52.4% 53.7% 0.98× 1.91
Phoenix Suns −2.5 51.3% 52.4% 50.9% 1.03× 1.91
Portland Trail Blazers +3.5 51.5% 52.4% 51.6% 1.02× 1.91
Portland Trail Blazers +2.5 48.7% 47.6% 49.1% 0.97× 2.10
Phoenix Suns −3.5 48.5% 47.6% 48.4% 0.98× 2.10
Portland Trail Blazers +1.5 45.9% 47.6% 46.3% 1.03× 2.10
Phoenix Suns −4.5 45.6% 47.6% 46.0% 1.04× 2.10
Phoenix Suns −5.5 42.9% 42.9% 42.9% 1.00× 2.33
Portland Trail Blazers −1.5 40.3% 42.9% 42.1% 1.02× 2.33
Phoenix Suns −6.5 40.1% 42.9% 40.0% 1.07× 2.33
Portland Trail Blazers −2.5 37.6% 38.1% 39.5% 0.96× 2.63
Phoenix Suns −7.5 37.4% 38.1% 37.0% 1.03× 2.63
Portland Trail Blazers −3.5 35.0% 33.3% 36.9% 0.90× 3.01
Phoenix Suns −8.5 34.8% 33.3% 34.1% 0.98× 3.01
Portland Trail Blazers −4.5 32.4% 33.3% 34.3% 0.97× 3.01
Phoenix Suns −9.5 32.2% 33.3% 31.3% 1.06× 3.01
Portland Trail Blazers −5.5 30.0% 28.4% 32.0% 0.89× 3.53
Phoenix Suns −10.5 29.8% 28.4% 29.0% 0.98× 3.53
Portland Trail Blazers −6.5 27.6% 28.4% 29.4% 0.96× 3.53
Portland Trail Blazers −7.5 25.3% 28.4% 27.0% 1.05× 3.53
Phoenix Suns −12.5 25.1% 28.4% 24.0% 1.18× 3.53
Portland Trail Blazers −8.5 23.1% 23.5% 24.3% 0.97× 4.25
Portland Trail Blazers −9.5 21.0% 23.5% 21.9% 1.08× 4.25
Phoenix Suns −14.5 20.9% 23.5% 19.9% 1.19× 4.25
Portland Trail Blazers −10.5 19.1% 18.9% 19.7% 0.96× 5.29
Phoenix Suns −16.5 17.1% 18.9% 16.5% 1.15× 5.29
Portland Trail Blazers −12.5 15.5% 18.9% 16.1% 1.17× 5.30
Phoenix Suns −18.5 13.8% 14.1% 13.6% 1.04× 7.09
Portland Trail Blazers −14.5 12.4% 14.1% 13.0% 1.09× 7.09
Phoenix Suns −20.5 11.0% 14.1% 10.9% 1.30× 7.09
Portland Trail Blazers −16.5 9.8% 8.9% 10.3% 0.86× 11.25
Portland Trail Blazers −18.5 7.6% 8.9% 8.5% 1.04× 11.25
Portland Trail Blazers −20.5 5.8% 8.9% 6.9% 1.29× 11.25
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1st half highest scoring 56.4% 52.6% 53.5% 0.98× 1.90
2nd half highest scoring 43.6% 47.4% 46.5% 1.02× 2.11
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 highest scoring 28.2% 27.4% 29.2% 0.94× 3.65
Q3 highest scoring 27.8% 27.4% 27.5% 1.00× 3.65
Q2 highest scoring 26.5% 27.4% 26.3% 1.04× 3.65
Q4 highest scoring 17.4% 18.3% 17.0% 1.08× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns at HT / Phoenix Suns at FT 41.4% 41.0% 40.8% 1.01× 2.44
Portland Trail Blazers at HT / Portland Trail Blazers at FT 30.1% 33.2% 30.9% 1.07× 3.01
Portland Trail Blazers at HT / Phoenix Suns at FT 13.6% 12.2% 13.3% 0.92× 8.17
Phoenix Suns at HT / Portland Trail Blazers at FT 11.4% 12.2% 12.0% 1.02× 8.18
Level at HT / Phoenix Suns at FT 1.9% 2.1% 1.7% 1.22× 47.76
Level at HT / Portland Trail Blazers at FT 1.6% 2.1% 1.4% 1.49× 47.77
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns to win 56.9% 55.2% 55.7% 0.99× 1.81
Portland Trail Blazers to win 43.1% 44.8% 44.3% 1.01× 2.23
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.4% 50.5% 51.0% 0.99× 1.98
Phoenix Suns even 50.0% 50.5% 49.7% 1.02× 1.98
Portland Trail Blazers even 50.0% 50.5% 50.3% 1.00× 1.98
Phoenix Suns odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.3% 0.98× 2.02
Portland Trail Blazers odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.7% 1.00× 2.02
Total points even 48.6% 49.5% 49.0% 1.01× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 92.9% 94.0% 94.8% 0.99× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 7.1% 6.0% 5.2% 1.16× 16.65
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns to win Q1 50.7% 52.6% 51.3% 1.02× 1.90
Portland Trail Blazers to win Q1 44.5% 43.0% 44.1% 0.98× 2.33
Q1 tied 4.8% 4.2% 4.6% 0.90× 23.94
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 64.5 84.3% 82.8% 80.1% 1.03× 1.21
Q1 over 48.5 80.9% 82.8% 85.6% 0.97× 1.21
Q1 under 61.5 74.4% 72.7% 68.5% 1.06× 1.38
Q1 over 51.5 69.9% 67.6% 76.0% 0.89× 1.48
Q1 under 59.5 66.2% 67.6% 60.0% 1.13× 1.48
Q1 over 53.5 61.3% 61.7% 68.2% 0.90× 1.62
Q1 under 57.5 57.3% 58.6% 50.4% 1.16× 1.71
Q1 under 56.5 52.6% 52.7% 45.4% 1.16× 1.90
Q1 over 55.5 52.1% 52.7% 59.2% 0.89× 1.90
Q1 under 55.5 47.9% 47.3% 40.8% 1.16× 2.11
Q1 over 56.5 47.4% 47.3% 54.6% 0.87× 2.11
Q1 over 57.5 42.7% 41.4% 49.6% 0.83× 2.42
Q1 under 53.5 38.7% 38.3% 31.8% 1.21× 2.61
Q1 over 59.5 33.8% 32.4% 40.0% 0.81× 3.08
Q1 under 51.5 30.1% 32.4% 24.0% 1.35× 3.08
Q1 over 61.5 25.6% 27.3% 31.5% 0.87× 3.66
Q1 under 48.5 19.1% 17.2% 14.4% 1.19× 5.83
Q1 over 64.5 15.7% 17.2% 19.9% 0.86× 5.83
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns to win Q2 50.7% 51.3% 49.3% 1.04× 1.95
Portland Trail Blazers to win Q2 44.6% 43.9% 46.2% 0.95× 2.28
Q2 tied 4.7% 4.4% 4.5% 0.98× 22.88
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 over 47.5 83.0% 83.0% 87.2% 0.95× 1.21
Q2 under 63.5 82.1% 83.0% 77.5% 1.07× 1.21
Q2 over 50.5 72.7% 72.0% 78.1% 0.92× 1.39
Q2 under 60.5 71.5% 72.0% 65.7% 1.10× 1.39
Q2 over 52.5 64.4% 60.7% 70.3% 0.86× 1.65
Q2 under 58.5 63.1% 60.7% 57.3% 1.06× 1.65
Q2 over 54.5 55.4% 58.2% 61.1% 0.95× 1.72
Q2 under 56.5 54.0% 52.7% 48.3% 1.09× 1.90
Q2 over 55.5 50.7% 52.7% 56.3% 0.94× 1.90
Q2 under 55.5 49.3% 47.3% 43.7% 1.08× 2.11
Q2 over 56.5 46.0% 47.3% 51.7% 0.92× 2.11
Q2 under 54.5 44.6% 41.8% 38.9% 1.07× 2.39
Q2 over 58.5 36.9% 39.3% 42.7% 0.92× 2.55
Q2 under 52.5 35.6% 39.3% 29.7% 1.32× 2.55
Q2 over 60.5 28.5% 28.0% 34.3% 0.82× 3.57
Q2 under 50.5 27.3% 28.0% 21.9% 1.28× 3.57
Q2 over 63.5 17.9% 17.0% 22.5% 0.76× 5.88
Q2 under 47.5 17.0% 17.0% 12.8% 1.33× 5.88
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns to win Q3 50.7% 52.6% 50.9% 1.04× 1.90
Portland Trail Blazers to win Q3 44.6% 42.3% 44.3% 0.95× 2.37
Q3 tied 4.7% 4.3% 4.9% 0.88× 23.43
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 64.5 84.1% 82.3% 79.2% 1.04× 1.22
Q3 over 48.5 81.7% 82.3% 85.6% 0.96× 1.22
Q3 under 61.5 74.0% 71.8% 67.7% 1.06× 1.39
Q3 over 51.5 70.8% 71.8% 76.1% 0.94× 1.39
Q3 under 59.5 65.7% 67.8% 59.0% 1.15× 1.48
Q3 over 53.5 62.1% 61.9% 68.3% 0.91× 1.61
Q3 under 57.5 56.6% 58.4% 49.8% 1.17× 1.71
Q3 over 55.5 52.8% 52.3% 59.9% 0.87× 1.91
Q3 under 56.5 51.9% 52.3% 45.0% 1.16× 1.91
Q3 over 56.5 48.1% 47.7% 55.0% 0.87× 2.10
Q3 under 55.5 47.2% 47.7% 40.1% 1.19× 2.10
Q3 over 57.5 43.4% 41.6% 50.2% 0.83× 2.40
Q3 under 53.5 37.9% 38.1% 31.7% 1.20× 2.63
Q3 over 59.5 34.3% 32.2% 41.0% 0.79× 3.10
Q3 under 51.5 29.2% 28.2% 23.9% 1.18× 3.55
Q3 over 61.5 26.0% 28.2% 32.3% 0.87× 3.55
Q3 under 48.5 18.3% 17.7% 14.4% 1.23× 5.66
Q3 over 64.5 15.9% 17.7% 20.8% 0.85× 5.66
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns to win Q4 50.6% 51.4% 48.3% 1.06× 1.95
Portland Trail Blazers to win Q4 44.6% 43.1% 46.4% 0.93× 2.32
Q4 tied 4.9% 5.2% 5.3% 0.98× 19.28
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 61.5 82.4% 82.0% 77.5% 1.06× 1.22
Q4 over 45.5 81.9% 82.0% 84.6% 0.97× 1.22
Q4 under 58.5 72.1% 71.5% 66.2% 1.08× 1.40
Q4 over 48.5 71.5% 71.5% 75.5% 0.95× 1.40
Q4 under 56.5 63.9% 61.4% 57.2% 1.07× 1.63
Q4 over 50.5 63.2% 61.4% 68.5% 0.90× 1.63
Q4 under 54.5 55.0% 52.5% 48.6% 1.08× 1.91
Q4 over 52.5 54.2% 52.5% 60.4% 0.87× 1.91
Q4 under 53.5 50.4% 52.5% 44.3% 1.18× 1.91
Q4 over 53.5 49.6% 47.5% 55.7% 0.85× 2.11
Q4 under 52.5 45.8% 47.5% 39.6% 1.20× 2.11
Q4 over 54.5 45.0% 47.5% 51.4% 0.92× 2.11
Q4 under 50.5 36.8% 38.6% 31.5% 1.23× 2.59
Q4 over 56.5 36.1% 38.6% 42.8% 0.90× 2.59
Q4 under 48.5 28.5% 28.5% 24.5% 1.16× 3.51
Q4 over 58.5 27.9% 28.5% 33.8% 0.84× 3.51
Q4 under 45.5 18.1% 18.0% 15.4% 1.17× 5.56
Q4 over 61.5 17.6% 18.0% 22.5% 0.80× 5.56
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns under 122.5 81.6% 80.7% 71.8% 1.12× 1.24
Portland Trail Blazers under 119.5 80.8% 80.7% 70.3% 1.15× 1.24
Portland Trail Blazers over 99.5 79.8% 75.1% 85.9% 0.87× 1.33
Phoenix Suns over 102.5 78.4% 75.1% 84.2% 0.89× 1.33
Phoenix Suns under 119.5 74.2% 70.7% 63.5% 1.11× 1.41
Portland Trail Blazers over 102.5 71.8% 70.7% 79.7% 0.89× 1.41
Portland Trail Blazers under 116.5 73.1% 70.7% 61.5% 1.15× 1.41
Phoenix Suns over 105.5 70.3% 70.7% 77.4% 0.91× 1.41
Phoenix Suns under 117.5 68.4% 66.4% 57.8% 1.15× 1.51
Portland Trail Blazers under 114.5 67.2% 66.4% 55.5% 1.20× 1.51
Portland Trail Blazers over 104.5 65.8% 66.4% 75.0% 0.89× 1.51
Phoenix Suns over 107.5 64.2% 61.2% 72.7% 0.84× 1.63
Phoenix Suns under 115.5 62.2% 61.2% 51.6% 1.19× 1.63
Portland Trail Blazers under 112.5 60.8% 61.2% 48.5% 1.26× 1.63
Portland Trail Blazers over 106.5 59.4% 57.1% 68.9% 0.83× 1.75
Phoenix Suns over 109.5 57.8% 57.1% 67.0% 0.85× 1.75
Phoenix Suns under 113.5 55.6% 57.1% 45.7% 1.25× 1.75
Portland Trail Blazers under 110.5 54.1% 52.3% 42.1% 1.24× 1.91
Phoenix Suns over 111.5 51.1% 52.3% 61.1% 0.86× 1.91
Phoenix Suns under 112.5 52.3% 52.3% 42.3% 1.24× 1.91
Portland Trail Blazers over 108.5 52.6% 52.3% 64.0% 0.82× 1.91
Portland Trail Blazers under 109.5 50.8% 52.3% 39.1% 1.34× 1.91
Portland Trail Blazers over 109.5 49.2% 47.7% 60.9% 0.78× 2.09
Phoenix Suns under 111.5 48.9% 47.7% 38.9% 1.23× 2.09
Phoenix Suns over 112.5 47.7% 47.7% 57.7% 0.83× 2.09
Portland Trail Blazers under 108.5 47.4% 47.7% 36.0% 1.33× 2.09
Portland Trail Blazers over 110.5 45.9% 47.7% 57.9% 0.83× 2.09
Phoenix Suns over 113.5 44.4% 42.9% 54.3% 0.79× 2.33
Phoenix Suns under 109.5 42.2% 42.9% 33.0% 1.30× 2.33
Portland Trail Blazers under 106.5 40.6% 42.9% 31.1% 1.38× 2.33
Portland Trail Blazers over 112.5 39.2% 38.8% 51.5% 0.75× 2.58
Phoenix Suns over 115.5 37.8% 38.8% 48.4% 0.80× 2.58
Phoenix Suns under 107.5 35.8% 38.8% 27.3% 1.42× 2.58
Portland Trail Blazers under 104.5 34.2% 33.6% 25.0% 1.35× 2.98
Portland Trail Blazers over 114.5 32.8% 33.6% 44.5% 0.76× 2.98
Phoenix Suns over 117.5 31.6% 33.6% 42.2% 0.80× 2.98
Phoenix Suns under 105.5 29.7% 29.3% 22.6% 1.30× 3.42
Portland Trail Blazers under 102.5 28.2% 29.3% 20.3% 1.44× 3.42
Portland Trail Blazers over 116.5 26.9% 29.3% 38.5% 0.76× 3.42
Phoenix Suns over 119.5 25.8% 29.3% 36.5% 0.80× 3.42
Phoenix Suns under 102.5 21.6% 24.9% 15.8% 1.57× 4.02
Portland Trail Blazers under 99.5 20.2% 24.9% 14.1% 1.76× 4.02
Portland Trail Blazers over 119.5 19.2% 19.3% 29.7% 0.65× 5.18
Phoenix Suns over 122.5 18.4% 19.3% 28.2% 0.69× 5.18
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 241.5 points 86.6% 85.0% 75.5% 1.13× 1.18
Over 201.5 points 85.7% 85.0% 91.5% 0.93× 1.18
Under 236.5 points 79.8% 75.6% 67.3% 1.12× 1.32
Over 206.5 points 78.7% 75.6% 86.7% 0.87× 1.32
Under 231.5 points 71.4% 70.8% 57.4% 1.24× 1.41
Over 211.5 points 69.9% 65.9% 79.7% 0.83× 1.52
Under 228.5 points 65.6% 65.9% 51.3% 1.29× 1.52
Over 214.5 points 64.1% 61.5% 75.1% 0.82× 1.63
Under 226.5 points 61.5% 61.5% 47.3% 1.30× 1.63
Over 216.5 points 59.9% 56.5% 71.6% 0.79× 1.77
Under 224.5 points 57.3% 56.5% 43.5% 1.30× 1.77
Over 218.5 points 55.7% 56.5% 67.8% 0.83× 1.77
Under 222.5 points 53.0% 52.3% 39.6% 1.32× 1.91
Over 220.5 points 51.3% 52.3% 64.2% 0.82× 1.91
Under 221.5 points 50.9% 52.3% 37.8% 1.38× 1.91
Under 220.5 points 48.7% 47.7% 35.8% 1.33× 2.10
Over 221.5 points 49.1% 47.7% 62.2% 0.77× 2.10
Over 222.5 points 47.0% 47.7% 60.4% 0.79× 2.10
Under 218.5 points 44.3% 43.5% 32.2% 1.35× 2.30
Over 224.5 points 42.7% 43.5% 56.5% 0.77× 2.30
Under 216.5 points 40.1% 43.5% 28.4% 1.53× 2.30
Over 226.5 points 38.5% 38.5% 52.7% 0.73× 2.60
Under 214.5 points 36.0% 38.5% 24.9% 1.55× 2.60
Over 228.5 points 34.4% 34.1% 48.7% 0.70× 2.93
Under 211.5 points 30.1% 34.1% 20.3% 1.68× 2.93
Over 231.5 points 28.6% 29.2% 42.6% 0.68× 3.43
Under 206.5 points 21.3% 24.4% 13.3% 1.84× 4.10
Over 236.5 points 20.2% 24.4% 32.7% 0.75× 4.10
Under 201.5 points 14.3% 15.0% 8.5% 1.76× 6.68
Over 241.5 points 13.4% 15.0% 24.5% 0.61× 6.69
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns to win both halves 25.6% 27.2% 25.2% 1.08× 3.68
Portland Trail Blazers to win both halves 17.1% 18.9% 17.8% 1.06× 5.30
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Phoenix Suns by 1-5 14.1% 12.3% 12.8% 0.96× 8.11
Portland Trail Blazers by 1-5 13.1% 12.3% 12.3% 1.01× 8.11
Phoenix Suns by 6-10 13.1% 12.3% 13.9% 0.88× 8.11
Portland Trail Blazers by 6-10 10.9% 12.3% 12.3% 1.00× 8.11
Phoenix Suns by 11-15 10.8% 12.3% 10.8% 1.14× 8.11
Portland Trail Blazers by 11-15 8.0% 7.5% 8.0% 0.93× 13.40
Phoenix Suns by 16-20 8.0% 7.5% 7.3% 1.02× 13.40
Phoenix Suns by 26+ 5.8% 7.5% 6.2% 1.21× 13.40
Portland Trail Blazers by 16-20 5.2% 7.5% 4.9% 1.53× 13.40
Phoenix Suns by 21-25 5.2% 7.5% 4.7% 1.58× 13.41
Portland Trail Blazers by 21-25 3.1% 2.0% 3.0% 0.67× 49.30
Portland Trail Blazers by 26+ 2.8% 2.0% 3.9% 0.53× 49.30
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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