Phoenix Suns v San Antonio Spurs — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Tuesday 10 November 2026 · NBA · 2027
NBA results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Phoenix Suns win
29.5%
Draw
0.0%
San Antonio Spurs win
70.5%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 107.01–114.60 | 107-115 0% | 50% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs to score 100+ | 90.3% | 90.3% | 85.9% | 1.05× | 1.11 |
| Phoenix Suns to score 100+ | 73.5% | 72.3% | 89.3% | 0.81× | 1.38 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 67.5% | 63.8% | 77.5% | 0.82× | 1.57 |
| San Antonio Spurs to score 110+ | 67.2% | 63.8% | 60.9% | 1.05× | 1.57 |
| Phoenix Suns to score 110+ | 41.3% | 41.9% | 67.0% | 0.62× | 2.39 |
| San Antonio Spurs to score 120+ | 34.1% | 31.4% | 29.7% | 1.06× | 3.18 |
| Phoenix Suns to score 120+ | 14.3% | 13.8% | 36.5% | 0.38× | 7.22 |
| San Antonio Spurs to score 130+ | 10.3% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 1.38× | 7.25 |
| Phoenix Suns to score 130+ | 2.8% | 0.4% | 12.8% | 0.03× | 282.80 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs to win H1 | 61.9% | 62.2% | 44.1% | 1.41× | 1.61 |
| Phoenix Suns to win H1 | 34.8% | 33.2% | 52.8% | 0.63× | 3.02 |
| H1 tied | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.25× | 25.87 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 124.5 | 83.5% | 82.5% | 78.4% | 1.05× | 1.21 |
| H1 over 100.5 | 80.9% | 82.5% | 86.8% | 0.95× | 1.21 |
| H1 under 120.5 | 74.7% | 73.5% | 68.4% | 1.07× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 104.5 | 71.4% | 73.5% | 78.3% | 0.94× | 1.36 |
| H1 under 117.5 | 66.8% | 67.4% | 59.6% | 1.13× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 107.5 | 63.1% | 62.7% | 70.4% | 0.89× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 115.5 | 61.1% | 62.7% | 53.6% | 1.17× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 109.5 | 57.2% | 58.2% | 65.0% | 0.90× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 113.5 | 55.1% | 58.2% | 47.6% | 1.22× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 112.5 | 52.0% | 52.6% | 44.2% | 1.19× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 111.5 | 51.1% | 52.6% | 59.0% | 0.89× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 111.5 | 48.9% | 47.4% | 41.0% | 1.15× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 112.5 | 48.0% | 47.4% | 55.8% | 0.85× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 113.5 | 44.9% | 41.8% | 52.4% | 0.80× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 109.5 | 42.8% | 41.8% | 35.0% | 1.19× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 115.5 | 38.9% | 37.3% | 46.4% | 0.80× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 107.5 | 36.9% | 37.3% | 29.6% | 1.26× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 117.5 | 33.2% | 32.6% | 40.4% | 0.81× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 104.5 | 28.6% | 26.5% | 21.7% | 1.22× | 3.77 |
| H1 over 120.5 | 25.3% | 26.5% | 31.6% | 0.84× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 100.5 | 19.1% | 17.5% | 13.2% | 1.33× | 5.72 |
| H1 over 124.5 | 16.5% | 17.5% | 21.7% | 0.81× | 5.73 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs to win H2 | 61.8% | 58.8% | 44.7% | 1.32× | 1.70 |
| Phoenix Suns to win H2 | 34.9% | 36.3% | 51.6% | 0.70× | 2.75 |
| H2 tied | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.06× | 25.36 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 122.5 | 83.9% | 81.8% | 74.4% | 1.10× | 1.22 |
| H2 over 98.5 | 80.9% | 81.8% | 86.2% | 0.95× | 1.22 |
| H2 under 118.5 | 75.1% | 75.8% | 63.6% | 1.19× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 102.5 | 71.4% | 72.2% | 78.5% | 0.92× | 1.39 |
| H2 under 115.5 | 67.2% | 66.4% | 55.4% | 1.20× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 105.5 | 63.0% | 61.6% | 71.3% | 0.86× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 113.5 | 61.4% | 61.6% | 50.1% | 1.23× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 107.5 | 57.0% | 57.3% | 66.2% | 0.87× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 111.5 | 55.4% | 57.3% | 44.7% | 1.28× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 110.5 | 52.3% | 52.4% | 41.9% | 1.25× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 109.5 | 50.8% | 52.4% | 60.9% | 0.86× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 109.5 | 49.2% | 47.6% | 39.1% | 1.22× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 110.5 | 47.7% | 47.6% | 58.1% | 0.82× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 111.5 | 44.6% | 42.7% | 55.3% | 0.77× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 107.5 | 43.0% | 42.7% | 33.8% | 1.26× | 2.34 |
| H2 over 113.5 | 38.6% | 38.4% | 49.9% | 0.77× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 105.5 | 37.0% | 38.4% | 28.7% | 1.34× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 115.5 | 32.8% | 33.6% | 44.6% | 0.75× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 102.5 | 28.6% | 27.8% | 21.5% | 1.29× | 3.59 |
| H2 over 118.5 | 24.9% | 24.2% | 36.4% | 0.67× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 98.5 | 19.1% | 18.2% | 13.8% | 1.31× | 5.50 |
| H2 over 122.5 | 16.1% | 18.2% | 25.6% | 0.71× | 5.50 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs leading at half time | 61.9% | 62.5% | 44.1% | 1.42× | 1.60 |
| Phoenix Suns leading at half time | 34.8% | 32.8% | 52.8% | 0.62× | 3.05 |
| Level at half time | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.22× | 26.41 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs +18.5 | 96.3% | 97.4% | 86.4% | 1.13× | 1.03 |
| San Antonio Spurs +20.5 | 97.3% | 97.4% | 89.1% | 1.09× | 1.03 |
| San Antonio Spurs +16.5 | 95.1% | 97.4% | 83.5% | 1.17× | 1.03 |
| San Antonio Spurs +14.5 | 93.5% | 91.1% | 80.1% | 1.14× | 1.10 |
| San Antonio Spurs +12.5 | 91.5% | 91.1% | 76.0% | 1.20× | 1.10 |
| San Antonio Spurs +10.5 | 89.1% | 85.9% | 71.0% | 1.21× | 1.16 |
| San Antonio Spurs +9.5 | 87.8% | 85.9% | 68.7% | 1.25× | 1.16 |
| San Antonio Spurs +8.5 | 86.3% | 85.9% | 65.9% | 1.30× | 1.16 |
| San Antonio Spurs +7.5 | 84.7% | 81.1% | 63.0% | 1.29× | 1.23 |
| San Antonio Spurs +6.5 | 83.0% | 81.1% | 60.0% | 1.35× | 1.23 |
| San Antonio Spurs +5.5 | 81.2% | 81.1% | 57.1% | 1.42× | 1.23 |
| Phoenix Suns +20.5 | 80.9% | 81.1% | 93.1% | 0.87× | 1.23 |
| San Antonio Spurs +4.5 | 79.3% | 76.5% | 54.1% | 1.41× | 1.31 |
| San Antonio Spurs +3.5 | 77.2% | 76.5% | 51.6% | 1.48× | 1.31 |
| Phoenix Suns +18.5 | 76.9% | 76.5% | 91.5% | 0.84× | 1.31 |
| San Antonio Spurs +2.5 | 75.1% | 76.5% | 49.1% | 1.56× | 1.31 |
| San Antonio Spurs +1.5 | 72.8% | 71.6% | 46.3% | 1.55× | 1.40 |
| Phoenix Suns +16.5 | 72.4% | 71.6% | 89.7% | 0.80× | 1.40 |
| San Antonio Spurs −1.5 | 67.9% | 66.7% | 42.1% | 1.58× | 1.50 |
| Phoenix Suns +14.5 | 67.5% | 66.7% | 87.0% | 0.77× | 1.50 |
| San Antonio Spurs −2.5 | 65.3% | 66.7% | 39.5% | 1.69× | 1.50 |
| San Antonio Spurs −3.5 | 62.6% | 61.9% | 36.9% | 1.68× | 1.62 |
| Phoenix Suns +12.5 | 62.3% | 61.9% | 83.9% | 0.74× | 1.62 |
| San Antonio Spurs −4.5 | 59.9% | 57.1% | 34.3% | 1.67× | 1.75 |
| San Antonio Spurs −5.5 | 57.1% | 57.1% | 32.0% | 1.78× | 1.75 |
| Phoenix Suns +10.5 | 56.9% | 57.1% | 80.3% | 0.71× | 1.75 |
| San Antonio Spurs −6.5 | 54.3% | 52.4% | 29.4% | 1.78× | 1.91 |
| Phoenix Suns +9.5 | 54.1% | 52.4% | 78.1% | 0.67× | 1.91 |
| San Antonio Spurs −7.5 | 51.5% | 52.4% | 27.0% | 1.94× | 1.91 |
| Phoenix Suns +8.5 | 51.3% | 52.4% | 75.7% | 0.69× | 1.91 |
| Phoenix Suns +7.5 | 48.5% | 47.6% | 73.0% | 0.65× | 2.10 |
| San Antonio Spurs −8.5 | 48.7% | 47.6% | 24.3% | 1.96× | 2.10 |
| San Antonio Spurs −9.5 | 45.9% | 47.6% | 21.9% | 2.18× | 2.10 |
| Phoenix Suns +6.5 | 45.7% | 47.6% | 70.6% | 0.67× | 2.10 |
| Phoenix Suns +5.5 | 42.9% | 42.9% | 68.0% | 0.63× | 2.33 |
| San Antonio Spurs −10.5 | 43.1% | 42.9% | 19.7% | 2.18× | 2.33 |
| Phoenix Suns +4.5 | 40.1% | 42.9% | 65.7% | 0.65× | 2.33 |
| San Antonio Spurs −12.5 | 37.7% | 38.1% | 16.1% | 2.36× | 2.63 |
| Phoenix Suns +3.5 | 37.4% | 38.1% | 63.1% | 0.60× | 2.63 |
| Phoenix Suns +2.5 | 34.7% | 33.3% | 60.5% | 0.55× | 3.01 |
| Phoenix Suns +1.5 | 32.1% | 33.3% | 57.9% | 0.57× | 3.01 |
| San Antonio Spurs −14.5 | 32.5% | 33.3% | 13.0% | 2.56× | 3.01 |
| Phoenix Suns −1.5 | 27.2% | 28.4% | 53.7% | 0.53× | 3.53 |
| San Antonio Spurs −16.5 | 27.6% | 28.4% | 10.3% | 2.74× | 3.53 |
| Phoenix Suns −2.5 | 24.9% | 23.5% | 50.9% | 0.46× | 4.25 |
| San Antonio Spurs −18.5 | 23.1% | 23.5% | 8.5% | 2.76× | 4.25 |
| Phoenix Suns −3.5 | 22.8% | 23.5% | 48.4% | 0.49× | 4.25 |
| Phoenix Suns −4.5 | 20.7% | 23.5% | 46.0% | 0.51× | 4.25 |
| Phoenix Suns −5.5 | 18.8% | 18.9% | 42.9% | 0.44× | 5.29 |
| San Antonio Spurs −20.5 | 19.1% | 18.9% | 6.9% | 2.74× | 5.29 |
| Phoenix Suns −6.5 | 17.0% | 18.9% | 40.0% | 0.47× | 5.29 |
| Phoenix Suns −7.5 | 15.3% | 18.9% | 37.0% | 0.51× | 5.30 |
| Phoenix Suns −8.5 | 13.7% | 14.1% | 34.1% | 0.41× | 7.09 |
| Phoenix Suns −9.5 | 12.2% | 14.1% | 31.3% | 0.45× | 7.09 |
| Phoenix Suns −10.5 | 10.9% | 14.1% | 29.0% | 0.49× | 7.09 |
| Phoenix Suns −12.5 | 8.5% | 8.9% | 24.0% | 0.37× | 11.25 |
| Phoenix Suns −14.5 | 6.5% | 8.9% | 19.9% | 0.45× | 11.25 |
| Phoenix Suns −16.5 | 4.9% | 2.6% | 16.5% | 0.16× | 38.72 |
| Phoenix Suns −18.5 | 3.7% | 2.6% | 13.6% | 0.19× | 38.73 |
| Phoenix Suns −20.5 | 2.7% | 2.6% | 10.9% | 0.24× | 38.73 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half highest scoring | 56.4% | 52.6% | 53.5% | 0.98× | 1.90 |
| 2nd half highest scoring | 43.6% | 47.4% | 46.5% | 1.02× | 2.11 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 highest scoring | 28.2% | 27.4% | 29.2% | 0.94× | 3.65 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 27.8% | 27.4% | 27.5% | 1.00× | 3.65 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 26.5% | 27.4% | 26.3% | 1.04× | 3.65 |
| Q4 highest scoring | 17.4% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 1.08× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs at HT / San Antonio Spurs at FT | 53.5% | 51.1% | 30.9% | 1.65× | 1.96 |
| Phoenix Suns at HT / Phoenix Suns at FT | 19.9% | 15.5% | 40.8% | 0.38× | 6.47 |
| Phoenix Suns at HT / San Antonio Spurs at FT | 14.8% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 1.02× | 8.17 |
| San Antonio Spurs at HT / Phoenix Suns at FT | 8.5% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 0.62× | 12.08 |
| Level at HT / San Antonio Spurs at FT | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.50× | 47.75 |
| Level at HT / Phoenix Suns at FT | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.22× | 47.77 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs to win | 70.5% | 68.7% | 44.3% | 1.55× | 1.46 |
| Phoenix Suns to win | 29.5% | 31.3% | 55.7% | 0.56× | 3.20 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.3% | 1.00× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 51.2% | 50.5% | 51.0% | 0.99× | 1.98 |
| Phoenix Suns even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.7% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| San Antonio Spurs odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.7% | 1.00× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 48.8% | 49.5% | 49.0% | 1.01× | 2.02 |
| Phoenix Suns odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.3% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 93.8% | 94.0% | 94.8% | 0.99× | 1.06 |
| Match to go to overtime | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 1.16× | 16.65 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs to win Q1 | 57.0% | 57.3% | 44.1% | 1.30× | 1.75 |
| Phoenix Suns to win Q1 | 38.3% | 38.3% | 51.3% | 0.75× | 2.61 |
| Q1 tied | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 0.90× | 23.94 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 under 64.5 | 84.0% | 82.8% | 80.1% | 1.03× | 1.21 |
| Q1 over 48.5 | 81.3% | 82.8% | 85.6% | 0.97× | 1.21 |
| Q1 under 61.5 | 73.9% | 72.7% | 68.5% | 1.06× | 1.38 |
| Q1 over 51.5 | 70.5% | 72.7% | 76.0% | 0.96× | 1.38 |
| Q1 under 59.5 | 65.7% | 67.6% | 60.0% | 1.13× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 53.5 | 61.9% | 61.7% | 68.2% | 0.90× | 1.62 |
| Q1 under 57.5 | 56.7% | 58.6% | 50.4% | 1.16× | 1.71 |
| Q1 over 55.5 | 52.7% | 52.7% | 59.2% | 0.89× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 56.5 | 52.0% | 52.7% | 45.4% | 1.16× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 56.5 | 48.0% | 47.3% | 54.6% | 0.87× | 2.11 |
| Q1 under 55.5 | 47.3% | 47.3% | 40.8% | 1.16× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 57.5 | 43.3% | 41.4% | 49.6% | 0.83× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 53.5 | 38.1% | 38.3% | 31.8% | 1.21× | 2.61 |
| Q1 over 59.5 | 34.3% | 32.4% | 40.0% | 0.81× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 51.5 | 29.5% | 27.3% | 24.0% | 1.14× | 3.66 |
| Q1 over 61.5 | 26.1% | 27.3% | 31.5% | 0.87× | 3.66 |
| Q1 under 48.5 | 18.7% | 17.2% | 14.4% | 1.19× | 5.83 |
| Q1 over 64.5 | 16.0% | 17.2% | 19.9% | 0.86× | 5.83 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs to win Q2 | 56.9% | 59.4% | 46.2% | 1.28× | 1.68 |
| Phoenix Suns to win Q2 | 38.5% | 35.8% | 49.3% | 0.73× | 2.80 |
| Q2 tied | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 0.98× | 22.89 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 64.5 | 84.6% | 83.0% | 80.9% | 1.03× | 1.21 |
| Q2 over 48.5 | 80.3% | 83.0% | 84.7% | 0.98× | 1.21 |
| Q2 under 61.5 | 74.8% | 72.0% | 70.4% | 1.02× | 1.39 |
| Q2 over 51.5 | 69.2% | 67.4% | 74.2% | 0.91× | 1.48 |
| Q2 under 59.5 | 66.8% | 67.4% | 61.9% | 1.09× | 1.49 |
| Q2 over 53.5 | 60.5% | 60.7% | 65.8% | 0.92× | 1.65 |
| Q2 under 57.5 | 58.0% | 58.2% | 52.7% | 1.10× | 1.72 |
| Q2 under 56.5 | 53.4% | 52.7% | 48.3% | 1.09× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 55.5 | 51.3% | 52.7% | 56.3% | 0.94× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 55.5 | 48.7% | 47.3% | 43.7% | 1.08× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 56.5 | 46.6% | 47.3% | 51.7% | 0.92× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 57.5 | 42.0% | 41.8% | 47.3% | 0.88× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 53.5 | 39.5% | 39.3% | 34.2% | 1.15× | 2.55 |
| Q2 over 59.5 | 33.2% | 32.6% | 38.1% | 0.86× | 3.06 |
| Q2 under 51.5 | 30.8% | 32.6% | 25.8% | 1.27× | 3.06 |
| Q2 over 61.5 | 25.2% | 28.0% | 29.6% | 0.95× | 3.57 |
| Q2 under 48.5 | 19.7% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 1.11× | 5.88 |
| Q2 over 64.5 | 15.4% | 17.0% | 19.1% | 0.89× | 5.89 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs to win Q3 | 57.0% | 56.8% | 44.3% | 1.28× | 1.76 |
| Phoenix Suns to win Q3 | 38.4% | 38.8% | 50.9% | 0.76× | 2.58 |
| Q3 tied | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 0.88× | 23.43 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 64.5 | 83.8% | 82.3% | 79.2% | 1.04× | 1.22 |
| Q3 over 48.5 | 82.1% | 82.3% | 85.6% | 0.96× | 1.22 |
| Q3 under 61.5 | 73.5% | 71.8% | 67.7% | 1.06× | 1.39 |
| Q3 over 51.5 | 71.3% | 71.8% | 76.1% | 0.94× | 1.39 |
| Q3 under 59.5 | 65.2% | 67.8% | 59.0% | 1.15× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 53.5 | 62.7% | 61.9% | 68.3% | 0.91× | 1.61 |
| Q3 under 57.5 | 56.0% | 58.4% | 49.8% | 1.17× | 1.71 |
| Q3 over 55.5 | 53.4% | 52.3% | 59.9% | 0.87× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 56.5 | 51.3% | 52.3% | 45.0% | 1.16× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 56.5 | 48.7% | 47.7% | 55.0% | 0.87× | 2.10 |
| Q3 under 55.5 | 46.6% | 47.7% | 40.1% | 1.19× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 57.5 | 44.0% | 41.6% | 50.2% | 0.83× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 53.5 | 37.3% | 38.1% | 31.7% | 1.20× | 2.63 |
| Q3 over 59.5 | 34.8% | 32.2% | 41.0% | 0.79× | 3.10 |
| Q3 under 51.5 | 28.7% | 28.2% | 23.9% | 1.18× | 3.55 |
| Q3 over 61.5 | 26.5% | 28.2% | 32.3% | 0.87× | 3.55 |
| Q3 under 48.5 | 17.9% | 17.7% | 14.4% | 1.23× | 5.66 |
| Q3 over 64.5 | 16.2% | 17.7% | 20.8% | 0.85× | 5.66 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs to win Q4 | 56.7% | 52.0% | 46.4% | 1.12× | 1.92 |
| Phoenix Suns to win Q4 | 38.5% | 42.4% | 48.3% | 0.88× | 2.36 |
| Q4 tied | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 0.98× | 19.28 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 over 45.5 | 82.3% | 82.0% | 84.6% | 0.97× | 1.22 |
| Q4 under 61.5 | 82.1% | 82.0% | 77.5% | 1.06× | 1.22 |
| Q4 over 48.5 | 71.9% | 71.5% | 75.5% | 0.95× | 1.40 |
| Q4 under 58.5 | 71.6% | 71.5% | 66.2% | 1.08× | 1.40 |
| Q4 over 50.5 | 63.7% | 61.4% | 68.5% | 0.90× | 1.63 |
| Q4 under 56.5 | 63.3% | 61.4% | 57.2% | 1.07× | 1.63 |
| Q4 over 52.5 | 54.8% | 52.5% | 60.4% | 0.87× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 54.5 | 54.4% | 52.5% | 48.6% | 1.08× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 53.5 | 50.2% | 52.5% | 55.7% | 0.94× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 53.5 | 49.8% | 47.5% | 44.3% | 1.07× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 54.5 | 45.6% | 47.5% | 51.4% | 0.92× | 2.11 |
| Q4 under 52.5 | 45.2% | 47.5% | 39.6% | 1.20× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 56.5 | 36.7% | 38.6% | 42.8% | 0.90× | 2.59 |
| Q4 under 50.5 | 36.3% | 38.6% | 31.5% | 1.23× | 2.59 |
| Q4 over 58.5 | 28.4% | 28.5% | 33.8% | 0.84× | 3.51 |
| Q4 under 48.5 | 28.1% | 28.5% | 24.5% | 1.16× | 3.51 |
| Q4 over 61.5 | 17.9% | 18.0% | 22.5% | 0.80× | 5.56 |
| Q4 under 45.5 | 17.7% | 18.0% | 15.4% | 1.17× | 5.56 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Suns under 117.5 | 81.5% | 80.7% | 57.8% | 1.40× | 1.24 |
| San Antonio Spurs over 104.5 | 80.8% | 80.7% | 75.0% | 1.08× | 1.24 |
| San Antonio Spurs under 124.5 | 79.9% | 75.1% | 81.4% | 0.92× | 1.33 |
| Phoenix Suns over 97.5 | 78.7% | 75.1% | 91.8% | 0.82× | 1.33 |
| Phoenix Suns under 114.5 | 74.0% | 70.7% | 48.6% | 1.45× | 1.41 |
| San Antonio Spurs over 107.5 | 73.1% | 70.7% | 66.6% | 1.06× | 1.41 |
| San Antonio Spurs under 121.5 | 71.9% | 70.7% | 74.7% | 0.95× | 1.41 |
| Phoenix Suns over 100.5 | 70.6% | 70.7% | 87.7% | 0.81× | 1.41 |
| Phoenix Suns under 112.5 | 68.2% | 66.4% | 42.3% | 1.57× | 1.51 |
| San Antonio Spurs over 109.5 | 67.2% | 66.4% | 60.9% | 1.09× | 1.51 |
| San Antonio Spurs under 119.5 | 65.9% | 66.4% | 70.3% | 0.94× | 1.51 |
| Phoenix Suns over 102.5 | 64.5% | 61.2% | 84.2% | 0.73× | 1.63 |
| Phoenix Suns under 110.5 | 62.0% | 61.2% | 35.9% | 1.70× | 1.63 |
| San Antonio Spurs over 111.5 | 60.8% | 61.2% | 54.6% | 1.12× | 1.63 |
| San Antonio Spurs under 117.5 | 59.4% | 57.1% | 64.4% | 0.89× | 1.75 |
| Phoenix Suns over 104.5 | 58.0% | 57.1% | 79.8% | 0.72× | 1.75 |
| Phoenix Suns under 108.5 | 55.4% | 57.1% | 30.1% | 1.89× | 1.75 |
| San Antonio Spurs over 113.5 | 54.1% | 52.3% | 48.0% | 1.09× | 1.91 |
| San Antonio Spurs under 115.5 | 52.7% | 52.3% | 58.6% | 0.89× | 1.91 |
| Phoenix Suns over 106.5 | 51.3% | 52.3% | 75.1% | 0.70× | 1.91 |
| Phoenix Suns under 107.5 | 52.1% | 52.3% | 27.3% | 1.91× | 1.91 |
| San Antonio Spurs over 114.5 | 50.7% | 52.3% | 44.5% | 1.18× | 1.91 |
| San Antonio Spurs under 114.5 | 49.3% | 47.7% | 55.5% | 0.86× | 2.09 |
| San Antonio Spurs over 115.5 | 47.3% | 47.7% | 41.4% | 1.15× | 2.09 |
| Phoenix Suns under 106.5 | 48.7% | 47.7% | 24.9% | 1.92× | 2.09 |
| Phoenix Suns over 107.5 | 47.9% | 47.7% | 72.7% | 0.66× | 2.09 |
| San Antonio Spurs under 113.5 | 45.9% | 47.7% | 52.0% | 0.92× | 2.09 |
| Phoenix Suns over 108.5 | 44.6% | 42.9% | 69.9% | 0.61× | 2.33 |
| Phoenix Suns under 104.5 | 42.0% | 42.9% | 20.2% | 2.12× | 2.33 |
| San Antonio Spurs over 117.5 | 40.6% | 42.9% | 35.6% | 1.20× | 2.33 |
| Phoenix Suns over 110.5 | 38.0% | 38.8% | 64.1% | 0.61× | 2.58 |
| San Antonio Spurs under 111.5 | 39.2% | 38.8% | 45.4% | 0.85× | 2.58 |
| Phoenix Suns under 102.5 | 35.5% | 38.8% | 15.8% | 2.46× | 2.58 |
| San Antonio Spurs over 119.5 | 34.1% | 33.6% | 29.7% | 1.13× | 2.98 |
| Phoenix Suns over 112.5 | 31.8% | 33.6% | 57.7% | 0.58× | 2.98 |
| San Antonio Spurs under 109.5 | 32.8% | 33.6% | 39.1% | 0.86× | 2.98 |
| Phoenix Suns under 100.5 | 29.4% | 29.3% | 12.3% | 2.38× | 3.42 |
| San Antonio Spurs over 121.5 | 28.1% | 29.3% | 25.3% | 1.16× | 3.42 |
| Phoenix Suns over 114.5 | 26.0% | 29.3% | 51.4% | 0.57× | 3.42 |
| San Antonio Spurs under 107.5 | 26.9% | 29.3% | 33.4% | 0.88× | 3.42 |
| Phoenix Suns under 97.5 | 21.3% | 24.9% | 8.2% | 3.04× | 4.02 |
| San Antonio Spurs over 124.5 | 20.1% | 24.9% | 18.6% | 1.34× | 4.02 |
| San Antonio Spurs under 104.5 | 19.2% | 19.3% | 25.0% | 0.77× | 5.18 |
| Phoenix Suns over 117.5 | 18.5% | 19.3% | 42.2% | 0.46× | 5.18 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 201.5 points | 86.3% | 85.0% | 91.5% | 0.93× | 1.18 |
| Under 241.5 points | 86.0% | 85.0% | 75.5% | 1.13× | 1.18 |
| Over 206.5 points | 79.4% | 75.6% | 86.7% | 0.87× | 1.32 |
| Under 236.5 points | 79.1% | 75.6% | 67.3% | 1.12× | 1.32 |
| Over 211.5 points | 70.8% | 70.8% | 79.7% | 0.89× | 1.41 |
| Under 231.5 points | 70.5% | 70.8% | 57.4% | 1.23× | 1.41 |
| Over 214.5 points | 65.1% | 65.9% | 75.1% | 0.88× | 1.52 |
| Under 228.5 points | 64.6% | 61.5% | 51.3% | 1.20× | 1.63 |
| Over 216.5 points | 61.0% | 61.5% | 71.6% | 0.86× | 1.63 |
| Under 226.5 points | 60.5% | 61.5% | 47.3% | 1.30× | 1.63 |
| Over 218.5 points | 56.7% | 56.5% | 67.8% | 0.83× | 1.77 |
| Under 224.5 points | 56.2% | 56.5% | 43.5% | 1.30× | 1.77 |
| Over 220.5 points | 52.4% | 52.3% | 64.2% | 0.82× | 1.91 |
| Under 222.5 points | 51.9% | 52.3% | 39.6% | 1.32× | 1.91 |
| Over 221.5 points | 50.2% | 52.3% | 62.2% | 0.84× | 1.91 |
| Under 221.5 points | 49.8% | 47.7% | 37.8% | 1.26× | 2.10 |
| Under 220.5 points | 47.6% | 47.7% | 35.8% | 1.33× | 2.10 |
| Over 222.5 points | 48.1% | 47.7% | 60.4% | 0.79× | 2.10 |
| Under 218.5 points | 43.3% | 43.5% | 32.2% | 1.35× | 2.30 |
| Over 224.5 points | 43.8% | 43.5% | 56.5% | 0.77× | 2.30 |
| Over 226.5 points | 39.5% | 38.5% | 52.7% | 0.73× | 2.60 |
| Under 216.5 points | 39.0% | 38.5% | 28.4% | 1.36× | 2.60 |
| Over 228.5 points | 35.4% | 38.5% | 48.7% | 0.79× | 2.60 |
| Under 214.5 points | 34.9% | 34.1% | 24.9% | 1.37× | 2.93 |
| Under 211.5 points | 29.2% | 29.2% | 20.3% | 1.43× | 3.43 |
| Over 231.5 points | 29.5% | 29.2% | 42.6% | 0.68× | 3.43 |
| Over 236.5 points | 20.9% | 24.4% | 32.7% | 0.75× | 4.10 |
| Under 206.5 points | 20.6% | 24.4% | 13.3% | 1.84× | 4.10 |
| Over 241.5 points | 14.0% | 15.0% | 24.5% | 0.61× | 6.68 |
| Under 201.5 points | 13.7% | 15.0% | 8.5% | 1.76× | 6.68 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs to win both halves | 36.2% | 36.3% | 17.8% | 2.03× | 2.76 |
| Phoenix Suns to win both halves | 10.3% | 14.0% | 25.2% | 0.56× | 7.13 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs by 1-5 | 13.3% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 1.01× | 8.11 |
| San Antonio Spurs by 6-10 | 14.0% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 1.00× | 8.11 |
| San Antonio Spurs by 11-15 | 13.1% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 1.54× | 8.11 |
| Phoenix Suns by 1-5 | 10.8% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 0.96× | 8.11 |
| San Antonio Spurs by 16-20 | 10.9% | 12.3% | 4.9% | 2.54× | 8.11 |
| San Antonio Spurs by 26+ | 11.1% | 12.3% | 3.9% | 3.19× | 8.11 |
| Phoenix Suns by 6-10 | 7.9% | 7.5% | 13.9% | 0.54× | 13.40 |
| San Antonio Spurs by 21-25 | 8.0% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 2.45× | 13.40 |
| Phoenix Suns by 11-15 | 5.2% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 0.69× | 13.41 |
| Phoenix Suns by 16-20 | 3.0% | 2.0% | 7.3% | 0.28× | 49.30 |
| Phoenix Suns by 21-25 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 0.43× | 49.31 |
| Phoenix Suns by 26+ | 1.2% | 2.0% | 6.2% | 0.33× | 49.32 |