Pittsburgh Panthers v Penn State Nittany Lions — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 8 November 2026 · NCAAB · 2027
NCAAB results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Pittsburgh Panthers win
75.6%
Draw
0.0%
Penn State Nittany Lions win
24.4%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 76.84–69.66 | 77-70 0% | 50% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Panthers to score 100+ | 1.0% | 0.4% | 3.4% | 0.10× | 283.15 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.52× | 283.35 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.87× | 283.36 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 19.47× | 283.36 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions to score 100+ | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.33× | 283.34 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.95× | 283.36 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 12.98× | 283.36 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 38.95× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.87× | 283.35 |
H1 result 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Panthers to win H1 | 63.6% | 62.2% | 57.9% | 1.07× | 1.61 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers to win H1 | 63.5% | 62.2% | 57.9% | 1.07× | 1.61 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions to win H1 | 32.2% | 33.1% | 38.2% | 0.87× | 3.02 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions to win H1 | 32.3% | 33.1% | 38.2% | 0.87× | 3.02 |
| H1 tied | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 0.99× | 25.86 |
| H1 tied | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 0.99× | 25.86 |
H1 total 40
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 81.5 | 87.4% | 87.7% | 87.2% | 1.01× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 57.5 | 86.7% | 87.7% | 85.5% | 1.03× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 77.5 | 78.7% | 77.4% | 78.3% | 0.99× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 77.5 | 78.0% | 77.4% | 78.3% | 0.99× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 61.5 | 77.6% | 77.4% | 74.9% | 1.03× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 61.5 | 76.8% | 77.4% | 74.9% | 1.03× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 74.5 | 69.3% | 67.4% | 69.6% | 0.97× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 74.5 | 68.8% | 67.4% | 69.6% | 0.97× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 64.5 | 67.4% | 67.4% | 65.3% | 1.03× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 64.5 | 67.9% | 67.4% | 65.3% | 1.03× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 72.5 | 62.2% | 62.7% | 63.3% | 0.99× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 72.5 | 61.8% | 62.7% | 63.3% | 0.99× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 66.5 | 60.4% | 62.7% | 58.2% | 1.08× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 66.5 | 60.7% | 62.7% | 58.2% | 1.08× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 70.5 | 54.5% | 52.6% | 56.5% | 0.93× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 70.5 | 54.7% | 52.6% | 56.5% | 0.93× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 68.5 | 53.0% | 52.6% | 50.7% | 1.04× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 68.5 | 53.1% | 52.6% | 50.7% | 1.04× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 69.5 | 50.8% | 52.6% | 53.1% | 0.99× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 69.5 | 50.8% | 52.6% | 53.1% | 0.99× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 69.5 | 49.2% | 47.4% | 46.9% | 1.01× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 69.5 | 49.2% | 47.4% | 46.9% | 1.01× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 68.5 | 47.0% | 47.4% | 49.3% | 0.96× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 68.5 | 46.9% | 47.4% | 49.3% | 0.96× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 70.5 | 45.5% | 47.4% | 43.5% | 1.09× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 70.5 | 45.3% | 47.4% | 43.5% | 1.09× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 66.5 | 39.6% | 37.3% | 41.8% | 0.89× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 66.5 | 39.3% | 37.3% | 41.8% | 0.89× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 72.5 | 38.2% | 37.3% | 36.7% | 1.02× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 72.5 | 37.8% | 37.3% | 36.7% | 1.02× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 64.5 | 32.6% | 32.6% | 34.8% | 0.94× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 64.5 | 32.1% | 32.6% | 34.8% | 0.94× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 74.5 | 31.2% | 32.6% | 30.4% | 1.07× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 74.5 | 30.7% | 32.6% | 30.4% | 1.07× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 61.5 | 23.2% | 22.6% | 25.1% | 0.90× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 77.5 | 22.0% | 22.6% | 21.7% | 1.04× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 61.5 | 22.4% | 22.6% | 25.1% | 0.90× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 77.5 | 21.3% | 22.6% | 21.7% | 1.04× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 57.5 | 13.3% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 0.85× | 8.14 |
| H1 over 81.5 | 12.6% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 0.96× | 8.14 |
H2 result 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Panthers to win H2 | 64.7% | 58.8% | 57.5% | 1.02× | 1.70 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers to win H2 | 64.7% | 58.8% | 56.9% | 1.03× | 1.70 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions to win H2 | 31.3% | 36.3% | 38.5% | 0.94× | 2.76 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions to win H2 | 31.3% | 36.3% | 38.9% | 0.93× | 2.76 |
| H2 tied | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 0.97× | 25.36 |
| H2 tied | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 0.95× | 25.36 |
H2 total 40
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 89.5 | 86.2% | 85.2% | 81.8% | 1.04× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 65.5 | 85.1% | 85.2% | 84.5% | 1.01× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 85.5 | 76.8% | 75.8% | 73.3% | 1.03× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 85.5 | 77.5% | 75.8% | 76.8% | 0.99× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 69.5 | 75.4% | 75.8% | 74.8% | 1.01× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 69.5 | 76.0% | 75.8% | 72.8% | 1.04× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 82.5 | 68.5% | 66.4% | 68.9% | 0.96× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 82.5 | 68.0% | 66.4% | 65.3% | 1.02× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 72.5 | 66.3% | 66.4% | 65.9% | 1.01× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 72.5 | 66.7% | 66.4% | 63.4% | 1.05× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 80.5 | 61.4% | 61.6% | 59.2% | 1.04× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 80.5 | 61.7% | 61.6% | 62.9% | 0.98× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 74.5 | 59.6% | 57.3% | 60.0% | 0.96× | 1.74 |
| H2 over 74.5 | 59.9% | 57.3% | 57.0% | 1.01× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 78.5 | 54.5% | 52.4% | 53.0% | 0.99× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 78.5 | 54.6% | 52.4% | 56.4% | 0.93× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 76.5 | 52.6% | 52.4% | 53.4% | 0.98× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 76.5 | 52.7% | 52.4% | 50.3% | 1.04× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 77.5 | 50.9% | 52.4% | 49.8% | 1.05× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 77.5 | 51.0% | 52.4% | 53.0% | 0.99× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 77.5 | 49.1% | 47.6% | 50.2% | 0.95× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 77.5 | 49.0% | 47.6% | 47.0% | 1.01× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 76.5 | 47.4% | 47.6% | 46.6% | 1.02× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 76.5 | 47.3% | 47.6% | 49.7% | 0.96× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 78.5 | 45.5% | 47.6% | 47.0% | 1.01× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 78.5 | 45.4% | 47.6% | 43.6% | 1.09× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 74.5 | 40.4% | 42.7% | 40.0% | 1.07× | 2.35 |
| H2 under 74.5 | 40.1% | 42.7% | 43.0% | 0.99× | 2.35 |
| H2 over 80.5 | 38.6% | 38.4% | 40.8% | 0.94× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 80.5 | 38.3% | 38.4% | 37.1% | 1.03× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 72.5 | 33.7% | 33.6% | 34.1% | 0.99× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 72.5 | 33.3% | 33.6% | 36.6% | 0.92× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 82.5 | 32.0% | 33.6% | 34.7% | 0.97× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 82.5 | 31.5% | 33.6% | 31.1% | 1.08× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 69.5 | 24.6% | 24.2% | 25.2% | 0.96× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 69.5 | 24.0% | 24.2% | 27.2% | 0.89× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 85.5 | 23.2% | 24.2% | 26.7% | 0.91× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 85.5 | 22.5% | 24.2% | 23.2% | 1.05× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 65.5 | 14.9% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 0.95× | 6.76 |
| H2 over 89.5 | 13.8% | 14.8% | 18.2% | 0.81× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Panthers leading at half time | 63.5% | 62.5% | 57.9% | 1.08× | 1.60 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions leading at half time | 32.3% | 32.7% | 38.2% | 0.86× | 3.06 |
| Level at half time | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 0.97× | 26.40 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Panthers +20.5 | 99.5% | 97.4% | 96.5% | 1.01× | 1.03 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers +12.5 | 96.6% | 97.4% | 89.9% | 1.08× | 1.03 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers +14.5 | 97.8% | 97.4% | 92.2% | 1.06× | 1.03 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers +16.5 | 98.6% | 97.4% | 94.0% | 1.04× | 1.03 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers +18.5 | 99.1% | 97.4% | 95.4% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers +10.5 | 94.9% | 91.1% | 87.2% | 1.05× | 1.10 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers +8.5 | 92.6% | 91.1% | 83.3% | 1.09× | 1.10 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers +9.5 | 93.8% | 91.1% | 85.3% | 1.07× | 1.10 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers +7.5 | 91.2% | 91.1% | 81.0% | 1.13× | 1.10 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers +6.5 | 89.6% | 85.9% | 78.8% | 1.09× | 1.16 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions +20.5 | 89.0% | 85.9% | 86.5% | 0.99× | 1.16 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers +5.5 | 87.8% | 85.9% | 76.4% | 1.12× | 1.16 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers +4.5 | 85.8% | 85.9% | 73.7% | 1.17× | 1.16 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions +18.5 | 85.0% | 85.9% | 83.9% | 1.02× | 1.16 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers +3.5 | 83.5% | 81.1% | 70.8% | 1.15× | 1.23 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers +2.5 | 81.1% | 81.1% | 68.0% | 1.19× | 1.23 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions +16.5 | 80.2% | 81.1% | 80.7% | 1.01× | 1.23 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers +1.5 | 78.4% | 76.5% | 65.4% | 1.17× | 1.31 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions +14.5 | 74.5% | 71.6% | 77.2% | 0.93× | 1.40 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers −1.5 | 72.3% | 71.6% | 60.8% | 1.18× | 1.40 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers −2.5 | 68.9% | 66.7% | 57.7% | 1.16× | 1.50 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions +12.5 | 68.1% | 66.7% | 72.4% | 0.92× | 1.50 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers −3.5 | 65.4% | 66.7% | 54.1% | 1.23× | 1.50 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers −4.5 | 61.7% | 61.9% | 50.7% | 1.22× | 1.62 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions +10.5 | 61.0% | 61.9% | 67.4% | 0.92× | 1.62 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers −5.5 | 57.9% | 57.1% | 47.0% | 1.21× | 1.75 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions +9.5 | 57.3% | 57.1% | 64.5% | 0.88× | 1.75 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers −6.5 | 54.1% | 52.4% | 44.3% | 1.18× | 1.91 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions +8.5 | 53.5% | 52.4% | 61.5% | 0.85× | 1.91 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers −7.5 | 50.3% | 52.4% | 41.3% | 1.27× | 1.91 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions +7.5 | 49.7% | 47.6% | 58.7% | 0.81× | 2.10 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions +6.5 | 45.9% | 47.6% | 55.7% | 0.86× | 2.10 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers −8.5 | 46.5% | 47.6% | 38.5% | 1.24× | 2.10 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers −9.5 | 42.7% | 42.9% | 35.5% | 1.21× | 2.33 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions +5.5 | 42.1% | 42.9% | 53.0% | 0.81× | 2.33 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers −10.5 | 39.0% | 38.1% | 32.6% | 1.17× | 2.63 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions +4.5 | 38.3% | 38.1% | 49.3% | 0.77× | 2.63 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions +3.5 | 34.6% | 33.3% | 45.9% | 0.73× | 3.01 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers −12.5 | 31.9% | 33.3% | 27.6% | 1.20× | 3.01 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions +2.5 | 31.1% | 33.3% | 42.3% | 0.79× | 3.01 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions +1.5 | 27.7% | 28.4% | 39.2% | 0.72× | 3.53 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers −14.5 | 25.5% | 28.4% | 22.8% | 1.24× | 3.53 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions −1.5 | 21.6% | 23.5% | 34.6% | 0.68× | 4.25 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers −16.5 | 19.8% | 18.9% | 19.3% | 0.98× | 5.29 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions −2.5 | 18.9% | 18.9% | 32.0% | 0.59× | 5.29 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions −3.5 | 16.5% | 18.9% | 29.3% | 0.65× | 5.30 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers −18.5 | 15.0% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 0.87× | 7.09 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions −4.5 | 14.2% | 14.1% | 26.3% | 0.54× | 7.09 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions −5.5 | 12.2% | 14.1% | 23.6% | 0.60× | 7.09 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions −6.5 | 10.4% | 14.1% | 21.2% | 0.66× | 7.09 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers −20.5 | 11.0% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 1.05× | 7.09 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions −7.5 | 8.8% | 8.9% | 19.0% | 0.47× | 11.25 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions −8.5 | 7.4% | 8.9% | 16.7% | 0.53× | 11.25 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions −9.5 | 6.2% | 8.9% | 14.7% | 0.61× | 11.25 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions −10.5 | 5.1% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 0.69× | 11.25 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions −12.5 | 3.4% | 2.6% | 10.1% | 0.26× | 38.73 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions −14.5 | 2.2% | 2.6% | 7.8% | 0.33× | 38.73 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions −16.5 | 1.4% | 2.6% | 6.0% | 0.43× | 38.73 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions −18.5 | 0.9% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 0.57× | 38.74 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions −20.5 | 0.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 0.75× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 highest scoring | 79.0% | 71.6% | 70.4% | 1.02× | 1.40 |
| 2nd half highest scoring | 77.5% | 71.6% | 72.5% | 0.99× | 1.40 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 22.5% | 28.4% | 27.5% | 1.03× | 3.53 |
| H1 highest scoring | 21.0% | 28.4% | 29.6% | 0.96× | 3.53 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Panthers at HT / Pittsburgh Panthers at FT | 55.9% | 56.8% | 48.6% | 1.17× | 1.76 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions at HT / Pittsburgh Panthers at FT | 16.7% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 1.25× | 6.47 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions at HT / Penn State Nittany Lions at FT | 15.6% | 15.4% | 25.8% | 0.60× | 6.47 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers at HT / Penn State Nittany Lions at FT | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 0.89× | 12.09 |
| Level at HT / Pittsburgh Panthers at FT | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.92× | 47.74 |
| Level at HT / Penn State Nittany Lions at FT | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.28× | 47.77 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Panthers to win | 75.6% | 75.1% | 63.2% | 1.19× | 1.33 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions to win | 24.4% | 24.9% | 36.8% | 0.68× | 4.01 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total points odd | 51.5% | 50.5% | 51.6% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.4% | 1.00× | 1.98 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.6% | 1.00× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 48.5% | 49.5% | 48.4% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 93.1% | 94.0% | 94.2% | 1.00× | 1.06 |
| Match to go to overtime | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 1.04× | 16.65 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Panthers under 87.5 | 86.0% | 83.9% | 82.8% | 1.01× | 1.19 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions over 59.5 | 85.4% | 83.9% | 84.5% | 0.99× | 1.19 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions under 79.5 | 85.1% | 83.9% | 76.3% | 1.10× | 1.19 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers over 67.5 | 83.4% | 80.7% | 75.9% | 1.06× | 1.24 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers under 84.5 | 78.0% | 75.1% | 76.1% | 0.99× | 1.33 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions over 62.5 | 77.0% | 75.1% | 76.6% | 0.98× | 1.33 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions under 76.5 | 76.6% | 75.1% | 67.9% | 1.11× | 1.33 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers over 70.5 | 74.6% | 70.7% | 66.7% | 1.06× | 1.41 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers under 82.5 | 71.4% | 70.7% | 70.8% | 1.00× | 1.41 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions over 64.5 | 70.1% | 70.7% | 70.7% | 1.00× | 1.41 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions under 74.5 | 69.8% | 66.4% | 61.7% | 1.08× | 1.51 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers over 72.5 | 67.7% | 66.4% | 60.8% | 1.09× | 1.51 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers under 80.5 | 64.1% | 61.2% | 64.9% | 0.94× | 1.63 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions over 66.5 | 62.5% | 61.2% | 64.7% | 0.95× | 1.63 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions under 72.5 | 62.1% | 61.2% | 55.3% | 1.11× | 1.63 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers over 74.5 | 60.0% | 61.2% | 54.1% | 1.13× | 1.63 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers under 78.5 | 56.2% | 57.1% | 58.4% | 0.98× | 1.75 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions over 68.5 | 54.3% | 52.3% | 58.4% | 0.89× | 1.91 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions under 70.5 | 54.0% | 52.3% | 48.7% | 1.07× | 1.91 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers over 76.5 | 52.0% | 52.3% | 47.7% | 1.10× | 1.91 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers under 77.5 | 52.1% | 52.3% | 55.4% | 0.94× | 1.91 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions over 69.5 | 50.2% | 52.3% | 54.8% | 0.95× | 1.91 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions under 69.5 | 49.8% | 47.7% | 45.2% | 1.06× | 2.09 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers under 76.5 | 48.0% | 47.7% | 52.3% | 0.91× | 2.09 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers over 77.5 | 47.9% | 47.7% | 44.6% | 1.07× | 2.09 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions under 68.5 | 45.7% | 47.7% | 41.6% | 1.15× | 2.09 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions over 70.5 | 46.0% | 47.7% | 51.4% | 0.93× | 2.09 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers over 78.5 | 43.8% | 42.9% | 41.6% | 1.03× | 2.33 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers under 74.5 | 40.0% | 38.8% | 45.9% | 0.84× | 2.58 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions under 66.5 | 37.5% | 38.8% | 35.3% | 1.10× | 2.58 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions over 72.5 | 37.9% | 38.8% | 44.7% | 0.87× | 2.58 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers over 80.5 | 35.9% | 38.8% | 35.1% | 1.11× | 2.58 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers under 72.5 | 32.3% | 33.6% | 39.2% | 0.86× | 2.98 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions over 74.5 | 30.2% | 33.6% | 38.3% | 0.88× | 2.98 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers over 82.5 | 28.6% | 29.3% | 29.2% | 1.00× | 3.42 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions under 64.5 | 29.9% | 29.3% | 29.3% | 1.00× | 3.42 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers under 70.5 | 25.4% | 29.3% | 33.3% | 0.88× | 3.42 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions under 62.5 | 23.0% | 24.9% | 23.4% | 1.06× | 4.02 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions over 76.5 | 23.4% | 24.9% | 32.1% | 0.78× | 4.02 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers over 84.5 | 22.0% | 24.9% | 23.9% | 1.04× | 4.02 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers under 67.5 | 16.6% | 19.3% | 24.1% | 0.80× | 5.18 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions under 59.5 | 14.6% | 16.1% | 15.5% | 1.04× | 6.21 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions over 79.5 | 14.9% | 16.1% | 23.7% | 0.68× | 6.21 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers over 87.5 | 14.0% | 16.1% | 17.2% | 0.94× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 126.5 points | 89.5% | 85.0% | 87.0% | 0.98× | 1.18 |
| Under 166.5 points | 89.4% | 85.0% | 84.3% | 1.01× | 1.18 |
| Over 131.5 points | 82.6% | 80.6% | 79.9% | 1.01× | 1.24 |
| Under 161.5 points | 82.5% | 80.6% | 77.9% | 1.03× | 1.24 |
| Over 136.5 points | 73.5% | 70.8% | 71.1% | 1.00× | 1.41 |
| Under 156.5 points | 73.3% | 70.8% | 69.8% | 1.01× | 1.41 |
| Over 139.5 points | 66.9% | 65.9% | 64.6% | 1.02× | 1.52 |
| Under 153.5 points | 66.9% | 65.9% | 64.6% | 1.02× | 1.52 |
| Over 141.5 points | 62.3% | 61.5% | 60.4% | 1.02× | 1.63 |
| Under 151.5 points | 62.2% | 61.5% | 60.6% | 1.01× | 1.63 |
| Over 143.5 points | 57.5% | 56.5% | 56.3% | 1.00× | 1.77 |
| Under 149.5 points | 57.4% | 56.5% | 56.3% | 1.00× | 1.77 |
| Over 145.5 points | 52.5% | 52.3% | 51.8% | 1.01× | 1.91 |
| Under 147.5 points | 52.5% | 52.3% | 52.2% | 1.00× | 1.91 |
| Over 146.5 points | 50.1% | 52.3% | 49.8% | 1.05× | 1.91 |
| Under 146.5 points | 49.9% | 47.7% | 50.2% | 0.95× | 2.10 |
| Under 145.5 points | 47.5% | 47.7% | 48.2% | 0.99× | 2.10 |
| Over 147.5 points | 47.5% | 47.7% | 47.8% | 1.00× | 2.10 |
| Under 143.5 points | 42.5% | 43.5% | 43.7% | 0.99× | 2.30 |
| Over 149.5 points | 42.6% | 43.5% | 43.7% | 1.00× | 2.30 |
| Under 141.5 points | 37.7% | 38.5% | 39.6% | 0.97× | 2.60 |
| Over 151.5 points | 37.8% | 38.5% | 39.4% | 0.98× | 2.60 |
| Under 139.5 points | 33.1% | 34.1% | 35.4% | 0.96× | 2.93 |
| Over 153.5 points | 33.1% | 34.1% | 35.4% | 0.96× | 2.93 |
| Under 136.5 points | 26.5% | 29.2% | 28.9% | 1.01× | 3.43 |
| Over 156.5 points | 26.7% | 29.2% | 30.2% | 0.97× | 3.43 |
| Under 131.5 points | 17.4% | 19.4% | 20.1% | 0.97× | 5.15 |
| Over 161.5 points | 17.5% | 19.4% | 22.1% | 0.88× | 5.15 |
| Under 126.5 points | 10.5% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 1.15× | 6.69 |
| Over 166.5 points | 10.6% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 0.95× | 6.69 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Panthers to win both halves | 37.8% | 36.3% | 33.2% | 1.09× | 2.76 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions to win both halves | 7.2% | 8.8% | 14.5% | 0.61× | 11.32 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Panthers by 6-10 | 18.9% | 16.8% | 14.4% | 1.16× | 5.97 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers by 1-5 | 17.6% | 16.8% | 16.2% | 1.03× | 5.97 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers by 11-15 | 16.4% | 16.8% | 11.6% | 1.45× | 5.97 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions by 1-5 | 12.2% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 0.93× | 8.11 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers by 16-20 | 11.5% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 1.62× | 8.11 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions by 6-10 | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 0.69× | 13.40 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers by 21-25 | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 1.34× | 13.40 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers by 26+ | 4.5% | 2.0% | 7.9% | 0.26× | 49.29 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions by 11-15 | 3.3% | 2.0% | 6.1% | 0.34× | 49.30 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions by 16-20 | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 0.61× | 49.32 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions by 21-25 | 0.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.06× | 49.32 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions by 26+ | 0.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.30× | 49.33 |