Portland Trail Blazers v Oklahoma City Thunder — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Thursday 12 November 2026 · NBA · 2027
NBA results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Portland Trail Blazers win
27.1%
Draw
0.0%
Oklahoma City Thunder win
72.9%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 107.69–116.29 | 108-116 0% | 49% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to score 100+ | 92.5% | 90.3% | 85.9% | 1.05× | 1.11 |
| Portland Trail Blazers to score 100+ | 75.3% | 76.9% | 89.3% | 0.86× | 1.30 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder to score 110+ | 72.3% | 72.3% | 60.9% | 1.19× | 1.38 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 70.7% | 72.3% | 77.5% | 0.93× | 1.38 |
| Portland Trail Blazers to score 110+ | 43.5% | 41.9% | 67.0% | 0.63× | 2.39 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder to score 120+ | 39.6% | 36.0% | 29.7% | 1.22× | 2.77 |
| Portland Trail Blazers to score 120+ | 15.7% | 17.5% | 36.5% | 0.48× | 5.71 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder to score 130+ | 13.1% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 1.39× | 7.23 |
| Portland Trail Blazers to score 130+ | 3.2% | 0.4% | 12.8% | 0.03× | 282.73 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to win H1 | 63.7% | 62.2% | 44.1% | 1.41× | 1.61 |
| Portland Trail Blazers to win H1 | 33.1% | 33.1% | 52.8% | 0.63× | 3.02 |
| H1 tied | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.25× | 25.87 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 125.5 | 83.1% | 82.5% | 80.7% | 1.02× | 1.21 |
| H1 over 101.5 | 81.3% | 82.5% | 84.9% | 0.97× | 1.21 |
| H1 under 121.5 | 74.2% | 73.5% | 71.2% | 1.03× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 105.5 | 71.9% | 73.5% | 75.8% | 0.97× | 1.36 |
| H1 under 118.5 | 66.3% | 67.4% | 62.9% | 1.07× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 108.5 | 63.7% | 62.7% | 67.7% | 0.93× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 116.5 | 60.5% | 62.7% | 56.6% | 1.11× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 110.5 | 57.7% | 58.2% | 61.9% | 0.94× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 114.5 | 54.5% | 52.6% | 50.4% | 1.05× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 112.5 | 51.7% | 52.6% | 55.8% | 0.94× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 113.5 | 51.4% | 52.6% | 47.6% | 1.11× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 113.5 | 48.6% | 47.4% | 52.4% | 0.90× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 112.5 | 48.3% | 47.4% | 44.2% | 1.07× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 114.5 | 45.5% | 47.4% | 49.6% | 0.95× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 110.5 | 42.3% | 41.8% | 38.1% | 1.10× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 116.5 | 39.5% | 37.3% | 43.4% | 0.86× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 108.5 | 36.3% | 37.3% | 32.3% | 1.15× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 118.5 | 33.7% | 32.6% | 37.1% | 0.88× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 105.5 | 28.1% | 26.5% | 24.2% | 1.09× | 3.77 |
| H1 over 121.5 | 25.8% | 26.5% | 28.8% | 0.92× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 101.5 | 18.7% | 17.5% | 15.1% | 1.16× | 5.72 |
| H1 over 125.5 | 16.9% | 17.5% | 19.3% | 0.90× | 5.73 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to win H2 | 63.5% | 58.8% | 44.7% | 1.32× | 1.70 |
| Portland Trail Blazers to win H2 | 33.2% | 36.3% | 51.6% | 0.70× | 2.75 |
| H2 tied | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.06× | 25.36 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 123.5 | 83.5% | 81.8% | 76.9% | 1.06× | 1.22 |
| H2 over 99.5 | 81.3% | 81.8% | 84.4% | 0.97× | 1.22 |
| H2 under 119.5 | 74.7% | 72.2% | 66.4% | 1.09× | 1.39 |
| H2 over 103.5 | 71.8% | 72.2% | 76.2% | 0.95× | 1.39 |
| H2 under 116.5 | 66.7% | 66.4% | 58.1% | 1.14× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 106.5 | 63.5% | 61.6% | 68.8% | 0.90× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 114.5 | 60.9% | 61.6% | 52.5% | 1.17× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 108.5 | 57.5% | 57.3% | 63.8% | 0.90× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 112.5 | 54.8% | 52.4% | 47.4% | 1.10× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 111.5 | 51.7% | 52.4% | 44.7% | 1.17× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 110.5 | 51.3% | 52.4% | 58.1% | 0.90× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 110.5 | 48.7% | 47.6% | 41.9% | 1.14× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 111.5 | 48.3% | 47.6% | 55.3% | 0.86× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 112.5 | 45.2% | 47.6% | 52.6% | 0.91× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 108.5 | 42.5% | 42.7% | 36.2% | 1.18× | 2.34 |
| H2 over 114.5 | 39.1% | 38.4% | 47.5% | 0.81× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 106.5 | 36.5% | 38.4% | 31.2% | 1.23× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 116.5 | 33.3% | 33.6% | 41.9% | 0.80× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 103.5 | 28.2% | 27.8% | 23.8% | 1.17× | 3.59 |
| H2 over 119.5 | 25.3% | 27.8% | 33.6% | 0.83× | 3.59 |
| H2 under 99.5 | 18.7% | 18.2% | 15.6% | 1.17× | 5.50 |
| H2 over 123.5 | 16.5% | 18.2% | 23.1% | 0.79× | 5.50 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder leading at half time | 63.7% | 62.5% | 44.1% | 1.42× | 1.60 |
| Portland Trail Blazers leading at half time | 33.1% | 32.7% | 52.8% | 0.62× | 3.05 |
| Level at half time | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.22× | 26.41 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder +16.5 | 95.7% | 97.4% | 83.5% | 1.17× | 1.03 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +18.5 | 96.8% | 97.4% | 86.4% | 1.13× | 1.03 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +20.5 | 97.7% | 97.4% | 89.1% | 1.09× | 1.03 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +14.5 | 94.3% | 91.1% | 80.1% | 1.14× | 1.10 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +12.5 | 92.5% | 91.1% | 76.0% | 1.20× | 1.10 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +10.5 | 90.4% | 91.1% | 71.0% | 1.28× | 1.10 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +9.5 | 89.2% | 85.9% | 68.7% | 1.25× | 1.16 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +8.5 | 87.8% | 85.9% | 65.9% | 1.30× | 1.16 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +7.5 | 86.3% | 85.9% | 63.0% | 1.36× | 1.16 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +6.5 | 84.8% | 81.1% | 60.0% | 1.35× | 1.23 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +5.5 | 83.1% | 81.1% | 57.1% | 1.42× | 1.23 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +4.5 | 81.3% | 81.1% | 54.1% | 1.50× | 1.23 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +3.5 | 79.3% | 76.5% | 51.6% | 1.48× | 1.31 |
| Portland Trail Blazers +20.5 | 78.9% | 76.5% | 93.1% | 0.82× | 1.31 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +2.5 | 77.3% | 76.5% | 49.1% | 1.56× | 1.31 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +1.5 | 75.1% | 76.5% | 46.3% | 1.65× | 1.31 |
| Portland Trail Blazers +18.5 | 74.7% | 71.6% | 91.5% | 0.78× | 1.40 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −1.5 | 70.4% | 71.6% | 42.1% | 1.70× | 1.40 |
| Portland Trail Blazers +16.5 | 70.0% | 71.6% | 89.7% | 0.80× | 1.40 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −2.5 | 67.9% | 66.7% | 39.5% | 1.69× | 1.50 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −3.5 | 65.3% | 66.7% | 36.9% | 1.81× | 1.50 |
| Portland Trail Blazers +14.5 | 65.0% | 61.9% | 87.0% | 0.71× | 1.62 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −4.5 | 62.6% | 61.9% | 34.3% | 1.81× | 1.62 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −5.5 | 59.8% | 57.1% | 32.0% | 1.78× | 1.75 |
| Portland Trail Blazers +12.5 | 59.7% | 57.1% | 83.9% | 0.68× | 1.75 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −6.5 | 57.1% | 57.1% | 29.4% | 1.94× | 1.75 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −7.5 | 54.3% | 52.4% | 27.0% | 1.94× | 1.91 |
| Portland Trail Blazers +10.5 | 54.2% | 52.4% | 80.3% | 0.65× | 1.91 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −8.5 | 51.5% | 52.4% | 24.3% | 2.15× | 1.91 |
| Portland Trail Blazers +9.5 | 51.4% | 52.4% | 78.1% | 0.67× | 1.91 |
| Portland Trail Blazers +8.5 | 48.5% | 47.6% | 75.7% | 0.63× | 2.10 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −9.5 | 48.6% | 47.6% | 21.9% | 2.18× | 2.10 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −10.5 | 45.8% | 47.6% | 19.7% | 2.41× | 2.10 |
| Portland Trail Blazers +7.5 | 45.7% | 47.6% | 73.0% | 0.65× | 2.10 |
| Portland Trail Blazers +6.5 | 42.9% | 42.9% | 70.6% | 0.61× | 2.33 |
| Portland Trail Blazers +5.5 | 40.2% | 42.9% | 68.0% | 0.63× | 2.33 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −12.5 | 40.3% | 42.9% | 16.1% | 2.66× | 2.33 |
| Portland Trail Blazers +4.5 | 37.4% | 38.1% | 65.7% | 0.58× | 2.63 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −14.5 | 35.0% | 38.1% | 13.0% | 2.93× | 2.63 |
| Portland Trail Blazers +3.5 | 34.7% | 33.3% | 63.1% | 0.53× | 3.01 |
| Portland Trail Blazers +2.5 | 32.1% | 33.3% | 60.5% | 0.55× | 3.01 |
| Portland Trail Blazers +1.5 | 29.6% | 28.4% | 57.9% | 0.49× | 3.53 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −16.5 | 30.0% | 28.4% | 10.3% | 2.74× | 3.53 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −18.5 | 25.3% | 28.4% | 8.5% | 3.33× | 3.53 |
| Portland Trail Blazers −1.5 | 24.9% | 23.5% | 53.7% | 0.44× | 4.25 |
| Portland Trail Blazers −2.5 | 22.7% | 23.5% | 50.9% | 0.46× | 4.25 |
| Portland Trail Blazers −3.5 | 20.7% | 23.5% | 48.4% | 0.49× | 4.25 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −20.5 | 21.1% | 23.5% | 6.9% | 3.42× | 4.25 |
| Portland Trail Blazers −4.5 | 18.7% | 18.9% | 46.0% | 0.41× | 5.29 |
| Portland Trail Blazers −5.5 | 16.9% | 18.9% | 42.9% | 0.44× | 5.29 |
| Portland Trail Blazers −6.5 | 15.2% | 18.9% | 40.0% | 0.47× | 5.30 |
| Portland Trail Blazers −7.5 | 13.7% | 14.1% | 37.0% | 0.38× | 7.09 |
| Portland Trail Blazers −8.5 | 12.2% | 14.1% | 34.1% | 0.41× | 7.09 |
| Portland Trail Blazers −9.5 | 10.8% | 14.1% | 31.3% | 0.45× | 7.09 |
| Portland Trail Blazers −10.5 | 9.6% | 8.9% | 29.0% | 0.31× | 11.25 |
| Portland Trail Blazers −12.5 | 7.5% | 8.9% | 24.0% | 0.37× | 11.25 |
| Portland Trail Blazers −14.5 | 5.7% | 8.9% | 19.9% | 0.45× | 11.25 |
| Portland Trail Blazers −16.5 | 4.3% | 2.6% | 16.5% | 0.16× | 38.72 |
| Portland Trail Blazers −18.5 | 3.2% | 2.6% | 13.6% | 0.19× | 38.73 |
| Portland Trail Blazers −20.5 | 2.3% | 2.6% | 10.9% | 0.24× | 38.73 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half highest scoring | 56.5% | 52.6% | 53.5% | 0.98× | 1.90 |
| 2nd half highest scoring | 43.5% | 47.4% | 46.5% | 1.02× | 2.11 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 highest scoring | 28.2% | 27.4% | 29.2% | 0.94× | 3.65 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 27.9% | 27.4% | 27.5% | 1.00× | 3.65 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 26.6% | 27.4% | 26.3% | 1.04× | 3.65 |
| Q4 highest scoring | 17.3% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 1.08× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder at HT / Oklahoma City Thunder at FT | 55.8% | 56.8% | 30.9% | 1.84× | 1.76 |
| Portland Trail Blazers at HT / Portland Trail Blazers at FT | 18.2% | 15.5% | 40.8% | 0.38× | 6.47 |
| Portland Trail Blazers at HT / Oklahoma City Thunder at FT | 14.9% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 1.02× | 8.17 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder at HT / Portland Trail Blazers at FT | 7.9% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 0.62× | 12.09 |
| Level at HT / Oklahoma City Thunder at FT | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.50× | 47.75 |
| Level at HT / Portland Trail Blazers at FT | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.22× | 47.77 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to win | 72.9% | 68.7% | 44.3% | 1.55× | 1.46 |
| Portland Trail Blazers to win | 27.1% | 31.3% | 55.7% | 0.56× | 3.20 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.3% | 1.00× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 51.2% | 50.5% | 51.0% | 0.99× | 1.98 |
| Portland Trail Blazers even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.7% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.7% | 1.00× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 48.8% | 49.5% | 49.0% | 1.01× | 2.02 |
| Portland Trail Blazers odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.3% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 94.1% | 94.0% | 94.8% | 0.99× | 1.06 |
| Match to go to overtime | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 1.16× | 16.66 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to win Q1 | 58.2% | 57.3% | 44.1% | 1.30× | 1.75 |
| Portland Trail Blazers to win Q1 | 37.1% | 38.2% | 51.3% | 0.74× | 2.62 |
| Q1 tied | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 0.90× | 23.95 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 over 48.5 | 83.2% | 82.8% | 85.6% | 0.97× | 1.21 |
| Q1 under 64.5 | 82.2% | 82.8% | 80.1% | 1.03× | 1.21 |
| Q1 over 51.5 | 72.8% | 72.7% | 76.0% | 0.96× | 1.38 |
| Q1 under 61.5 | 71.5% | 72.7% | 68.5% | 1.06× | 1.38 |
| Q1 over 53.5 | 64.5% | 61.7% | 68.2% | 0.90× | 1.62 |
| Q1 under 59.5 | 63.1% | 61.7% | 60.0% | 1.03× | 1.62 |
| Q1 over 55.5 | 55.5% | 58.6% | 59.2% | 0.99× | 1.71 |
| Q1 under 57.5 | 53.9% | 52.7% | 50.4% | 1.04× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 56.5 | 50.8% | 52.7% | 54.6% | 0.96× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 56.5 | 49.2% | 47.3% | 45.4% | 1.04× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 57.5 | 46.1% | 47.3% | 49.6% | 0.96× | 2.11 |
| Q1 under 55.5 | 44.5% | 41.4% | 40.8% | 1.01× | 2.42 |
| Q1 over 59.5 | 36.9% | 38.3% | 40.0% | 0.96× | 2.61 |
| Q1 under 53.5 | 35.5% | 38.3% | 31.8% | 1.21× | 2.61 |
| Q1 over 61.5 | 28.5% | 27.3% | 31.5% | 0.87× | 3.66 |
| Q1 under 51.5 | 27.2% | 27.3% | 24.0% | 1.14× | 3.66 |
| Q1 over 64.5 | 17.8% | 17.2% | 19.9% | 0.86× | 5.83 |
| Q1 under 48.5 | 16.8% | 17.2% | 14.4% | 1.19× | 5.83 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to win Q2 | 58.1% | 59.4% | 46.2% | 1.28× | 1.68 |
| Portland Trail Blazers to win Q2 | 37.3% | 35.8% | 49.3% | 0.73× | 2.80 |
| Q2 tied | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 0.98× | 22.89 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 64.5 | 82.9% | 83.0% | 80.9% | 1.03× | 1.21 |
| Q2 over 48.5 | 82.2% | 83.0% | 84.7% | 0.98× | 1.21 |
| Q2 under 61.5 | 72.6% | 72.0% | 70.4% | 1.02× | 1.39 |
| Q2 over 51.5 | 71.6% | 72.0% | 74.2% | 0.97× | 1.39 |
| Q2 under 59.5 | 64.3% | 60.7% | 61.9% | 0.98× | 1.65 |
| Q2 over 53.5 | 63.2% | 60.7% | 65.8% | 0.92× | 1.65 |
| Q2 under 57.5 | 55.2% | 58.2% | 52.7% | 1.10× | 1.72 |
| Q2 over 55.5 | 54.1% | 52.7% | 56.3% | 0.94× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 56.5 | 50.6% | 52.7% | 48.3% | 1.09× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 56.5 | 49.4% | 47.3% | 51.7% | 0.92× | 2.11 |
| Q2 under 55.5 | 45.9% | 47.3% | 43.7% | 1.08× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 57.5 | 44.8% | 41.8% | 47.3% | 0.89× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 53.5 | 36.8% | 39.3% | 34.2% | 1.15× | 2.55 |
| Q2 over 59.5 | 35.7% | 39.3% | 38.1% | 1.03× | 2.55 |
| Q2 under 51.5 | 28.4% | 28.0% | 25.8% | 1.09× | 3.57 |
| Q2 over 61.5 | 27.4% | 28.0% | 29.6% | 0.95× | 3.57 |
| Q2 under 48.5 | 17.8% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 1.11× | 5.88 |
| Q2 over 64.5 | 17.1% | 17.0% | 19.1% | 0.89× | 5.88 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to win Q3 | 58.2% | 56.8% | 44.3% | 1.28× | 1.76 |
| Portland Trail Blazers to win Q3 | 37.3% | 38.8% | 50.9% | 0.76× | 2.58 |
| Q3 tied | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 0.88× | 23.43 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 65.5 | 84.9% | 82.3% | 82.2% | 1.00× | 1.22 |
| Q3 over 49.5 | 80.8% | 82.3% | 82.7% | 1.00× | 1.22 |
| Q3 under 62.5 | 75.0% | 77.3% | 71.9% | 1.07× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 52.5 | 69.6% | 67.8% | 72.2% | 0.94× | 1.48 |
| Q3 under 60.5 | 66.9% | 67.8% | 63.5% | 1.07× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 54.5 | 60.9% | 61.9% | 63.9% | 0.97× | 1.61 |
| Q3 under 58.5 | 57.9% | 58.4% | 54.8% | 1.06× | 1.71 |
| Q3 under 57.5 | 53.2% | 52.3% | 49.8% | 1.05× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 56.5 | 51.5% | 52.3% | 55.0% | 0.95× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 56.5 | 48.5% | 47.7% | 45.0% | 1.06× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 57.5 | 46.8% | 47.7% | 50.2% | 0.95× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 58.5 | 42.1% | 41.6% | 45.2% | 0.92× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 54.5 | 39.1% | 38.1% | 36.1% | 1.05× | 2.63 |
| Q3 over 60.5 | 33.1% | 32.2% | 36.5% | 0.88× | 3.10 |
| Q3 under 52.5 | 30.4% | 32.2% | 27.8% | 1.16× | 3.11 |
| Q3 over 62.5 | 25.0% | 22.7% | 28.1% | 0.81× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 49.5 | 19.2% | 17.7% | 17.3% | 1.02× | 5.65 |
| Q3 over 65.5 | 15.1% | 17.7% | 17.8% | 0.99× | 5.66 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to win Q4 | 57.9% | 52.1% | 46.4% | 1.12× | 1.92 |
| Portland Trail Blazers to win Q4 | 37.3% | 42.4% | 48.3% | 0.88× | 2.36 |
| Q4 tied | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 0.98× | 19.28 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 62.5 | 83.3% | 82.0% | 80.4% | 1.02× | 1.22 |
| Q4 over 46.5 | 81.0% | 82.0% | 81.7% | 1.00× | 1.22 |
| Q4 under 59.5 | 73.3% | 71.5% | 70.2% | 1.02× | 1.40 |
| Q4 over 49.5 | 70.3% | 71.5% | 72.3% | 0.99× | 1.40 |
| Q4 under 57.5 | 65.2% | 67.4% | 61.9% | 1.09× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 51.5 | 61.8% | 61.4% | 64.7% | 0.95× | 1.63 |
| Q4 under 55.5 | 56.4% | 58.4% | 52.9% | 1.10× | 1.71 |
| Q4 over 53.5 | 52.8% | 52.5% | 55.7% | 0.94× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 54.5 | 51.8% | 52.5% | 48.6% | 1.08× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 54.5 | 48.2% | 47.5% | 51.4% | 0.92× | 2.11 |
| Q4 under 53.5 | 47.2% | 47.5% | 44.3% | 1.07× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 55.5 | 43.6% | 41.6% | 47.1% | 0.88× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 51.5 | 38.2% | 38.6% | 35.3% | 1.09× | 2.59 |
| Q4 over 57.5 | 34.8% | 32.6% | 38.1% | 0.86× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 49.5 | 29.7% | 28.5% | 27.7% | 1.03× | 3.51 |
| Q4 over 59.5 | 26.7% | 28.5% | 29.8% | 0.96× | 3.51 |
| Q4 under 46.5 | 19.0% | 18.0% | 18.3% | 0.98× | 5.56 |
| Q4 over 62.5 | 16.7% | 18.0% | 19.6% | 0.92× | 5.56 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 126.5 | 80.6% | 80.7% | 85.3% | 0.95× | 1.24 |
| Portland Trail Blazers over 97.5 | 80.4% | 80.7% | 91.8% | 0.88× | 1.24 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 106.5 | 80.1% | 80.7% | 68.9% | 1.17× | 1.24 |
| Portland Trail Blazers under 117.5 | 80.0% | 75.1% | 57.8% | 1.30× | 1.33 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 123.5 | 72.8% | 70.7% | 79.5% | 0.89× | 1.41 |
| Portland Trail Blazers over 100.5 | 72.6% | 70.7% | 87.7% | 0.81× | 1.41 |
| Portland Trail Blazers under 114.5 | 72.1% | 70.7% | 48.6% | 1.45× | 1.41 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 109.5 | 72.3% | 70.7% | 60.9% | 1.16× | 1.41 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 121.5 | 66.8% | 66.4% | 74.7% | 0.89× | 1.51 |
| Portland Trail Blazers over 102.5 | 66.6% | 66.4% | 84.2% | 0.79× | 1.51 |
| Portland Trail Blazers under 112.5 | 66.2% | 66.4% | 42.3% | 1.57× | 1.51 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 111.5 | 66.3% | 66.4% | 54.6% | 1.22× | 1.51 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 119.5 | 60.4% | 61.2% | 70.3% | 0.87× | 1.63 |
| Portland Trail Blazers over 104.5 | 60.2% | 61.2% | 79.8% | 0.77× | 1.63 |
| Portland Trail Blazers under 110.5 | 59.8% | 57.1% | 35.9% | 1.59× | 1.75 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 113.5 | 59.8% | 57.1% | 48.0% | 1.19× | 1.75 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 117.5 | 53.7% | 52.3% | 64.4% | 0.81× | 1.91 |
| Portland Trail Blazers over 106.5 | 53.6% | 52.3% | 75.1% | 0.70× | 1.91 |
| Portland Trail Blazers under 108.5 | 53.2% | 52.3% | 30.1% | 1.73× | 1.91 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 115.5 | 53.1% | 52.3% | 41.4% | 1.26× | 1.91 |
| Portland Trail Blazers over 107.5 | 50.2% | 52.3% | 72.7% | 0.72× | 1.91 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 116.5 | 50.3% | 52.3% | 61.5% | 0.85× | 1.91 |
| Portland Trail Blazers under 107.5 | 49.8% | 47.7% | 27.3% | 1.75× | 2.09 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 116.5 | 49.7% | 47.7% | 38.5% | 1.24× | 2.09 |
| Portland Trail Blazers over 108.5 | 46.8% | 47.7% | 69.9% | 0.68× | 2.09 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 115.5 | 46.9% | 47.7% | 58.6% | 0.82× | 2.09 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 117.5 | 46.3% | 47.7% | 35.6% | 1.34× | 2.09 |
| Portland Trail Blazers under 106.5 | 46.4% | 47.7% | 24.9% | 1.92× | 2.09 |
| Portland Trail Blazers over 110.5 | 40.2% | 42.9% | 64.1% | 0.67× | 2.33 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 113.5 | 40.2% | 42.9% | 52.0% | 0.82× | 2.33 |
| Portland Trail Blazers under 104.5 | 39.8% | 38.8% | 20.2% | 1.92× | 2.58 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 119.5 | 39.6% | 38.8% | 29.7% | 1.31× | 2.58 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 121.5 | 33.2% | 33.6% | 25.3% | 1.33× | 2.98 |
| Portland Trail Blazers under 102.5 | 33.4% | 33.6% | 15.8% | 2.13× | 2.98 |
| Portland Trail Blazers over 112.5 | 33.8% | 33.6% | 57.7% | 0.58× | 2.98 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 111.5 | 33.7% | 33.6% | 45.4% | 0.74× | 2.98 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 123.5 | 27.2% | 29.3% | 20.5% | 1.43× | 3.42 |
| Portland Trail Blazers under 100.5 | 27.4% | 29.3% | 12.3% | 2.38× | 3.42 |
| Portland Trail Blazers over 114.5 | 27.9% | 29.3% | 51.4% | 0.57× | 3.42 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 109.5 | 27.7% | 29.3% | 39.1% | 0.75× | 3.42 |
| Portland Trail Blazers over 117.5 | 20.0% | 24.9% | 42.2% | 0.59× | 4.02 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 106.5 | 19.9% | 19.3% | 31.1% | 0.62× | 5.18 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 126.5 | 19.4% | 19.3% | 14.7% | 1.31× | 5.18 |
| Portland Trail Blazers under 97.5 | 19.6% | 19.3% | 8.2% | 2.36× | 5.18 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 244.5 points | 86.8% | 85.0% | 79.5% | 1.07× | 1.18 |
| Over 204.5 points | 85.5% | 85.0% | 88.9% | 0.96× | 1.18 |
| Under 239.5 points | 80.1% | 80.6% | 72.5% | 1.11× | 1.24 |
| Over 209.5 points | 78.4% | 75.6% | 82.9% | 0.91× | 1.32 |
| Under 234.5 points | 71.6% | 70.8% | 63.3% | 1.12× | 1.41 |
| Over 214.5 points | 69.7% | 65.9% | 75.1% | 0.88× | 1.52 |
| Under 231.5 points | 65.9% | 65.9% | 57.4% | 1.15× | 1.52 |
| Over 217.5 points | 63.7% | 61.5% | 69.6% | 0.88× | 1.63 |
| Under 229.5 points | 61.8% | 61.5% | 53.3% | 1.15× | 1.63 |
| Over 219.5 points | 59.6% | 56.5% | 66.1% | 0.85× | 1.77 |
| Under 227.5 points | 57.6% | 56.5% | 49.4% | 1.14× | 1.77 |
| Over 221.5 points | 55.3% | 56.5% | 62.2% | 0.91× | 1.77 |
| Under 225.5 points | 53.3% | 52.3% | 45.3% | 1.16× | 1.91 |
| Over 223.5 points | 51.0% | 52.3% | 58.3% | 0.90× | 1.91 |
| Under 224.5 points | 51.1% | 52.3% | 43.5% | 1.20× | 1.91 |
| Under 223.5 points | 49.0% | 47.7% | 41.7% | 1.14× | 2.10 |
| Over 224.5 points | 48.9% | 47.7% | 56.5% | 0.84× | 2.10 |
| Over 225.5 points | 46.7% | 47.7% | 54.7% | 0.87× | 2.10 |
| Under 221.5 points | 44.7% | 43.5% | 37.8% | 1.15× | 2.30 |
| Over 227.5 points | 42.4% | 43.5% | 50.6% | 0.86× | 2.30 |
| Under 219.5 points | 40.4% | 43.5% | 33.9% | 1.28× | 2.30 |
| Over 229.5 points | 38.2% | 38.5% | 46.7% | 0.83× | 2.60 |
| Under 217.5 points | 36.3% | 38.5% | 30.4% | 1.27× | 2.60 |
| Over 231.5 points | 34.1% | 34.1% | 42.6% | 0.80× | 2.93 |
| Under 214.5 points | 30.3% | 34.1% | 24.9% | 1.37× | 2.93 |
| Over 234.5 points | 28.4% | 29.2% | 36.7% | 0.80× | 3.43 |
| Under 209.5 points | 21.6% | 24.4% | 17.1% | 1.42× | 4.10 |
| Over 239.5 points | 19.9% | 19.4% | 27.5% | 0.71× | 5.15 |
| Under 204.5 points | 14.5% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 1.34× | 6.68 |
| Over 244.5 points | 13.2% | 15.0% | 20.5% | 0.73× | 6.69 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to win both halves | 38.4% | 36.3% | 17.8% | 2.03× | 2.75 |
| Portland Trail Blazers to win both halves | 9.2% | 8.8% | 25.2% | 0.35× | 11.30 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder by 1-5 | 13.0% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 1.01× | 8.11 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder by 6-10 | 14.0% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 1.00× | 8.11 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder by 11-15 | 13.4% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 1.54× | 8.11 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder by 26+ | 12.5% | 12.3% | 3.9% | 3.19× | 8.11 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder by 16-20 | 11.4% | 12.3% | 4.9% | 2.54× | 8.11 |
| Portland Trail Blazers by 1-5 | 10.2% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 0.96× | 8.11 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder by 21-25 | 8.6% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 2.45× | 13.40 |
| Portland Trail Blazers by 6-10 | 7.3% | 7.5% | 13.9% | 0.54× | 13.40 |
| Portland Trail Blazers by 11-15 | 4.7% | 2.0% | 10.8% | 0.19× | 49.29 |
| Portland Trail Blazers by 16-20 | 2.6% | 2.0% | 7.3% | 0.28× | 49.30 |
| Portland Trail Blazers by 21-25 | 1.3% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 0.43× | 49.32 |
| Portland Trail Blazers by 26+ | 1.0% | 2.0% | 6.2% | 0.33× | 49.32 |