Princeton Tigers v Villanova Wildcats — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Wednesday 11 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Princeton Tigers win
54.0%
Draw
0.0%
Villanova Wildcats win
46.0%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 68.31–67.23 | 68-67 0% | 50% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villanova Wildcats to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.72× | 283.35 |
| Villanova Wildcats to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.36 |
| Villanova Wildcats to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.36 |
| Villanova Wildcats to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.36 |
| Princeton Tigers to score 100+ | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.20× | 283.35 |
| Princeton Tigers to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.64× | 283.36 |
| Princeton Tigers to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.91× | 283.36 |
| Princeton Tigers to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.36 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Princeton Tigers to win H1 | 50.2% | 51.8% | 56.4% | 0.92× | 1.93 |
| Villanova Wildcats to win H1 | 45.4% | 47.3% | 39.9% | 1.19× | 2.11 |
| H1 tied | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.86 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 over 52.5 | 88.6% | 87.7% | 79.6% | 1.10× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 76.5 | 87.6% | 87.7% | 90.2% | 0.97× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 56.5 | 79.1% | 77.4% | 68.2% | 1.14× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 72.5 | 77.7% | 77.4% | 83.6% | 0.93× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 59.5 | 69.6% | 67.4% | 57.8% | 1.17× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 69.5 | 68.0% | 67.4% | 76.2% | 0.89× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 61.5 | 62.4% | 62.7% | 50.2% | 1.25× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 67.5 | 60.7% | 62.7% | 70.4% | 0.89× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 63.5 | 54.8% | 52.6% | 42.9% | 1.23× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 65.5 | 53.0% | 52.6% | 63.9% | 0.82× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 64.5 | 50.9% | 52.6% | 39.3% | 1.34× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 64.5 | 49.1% | 47.4% | 60.7% | 0.78× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 65.5 | 47.0% | 47.4% | 36.1% | 1.31× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 63.5 | 45.2% | 47.4% | 57.1% | 0.83× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 67.5 | 39.3% | 37.3% | 29.6% | 1.26× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 61.5 | 37.6% | 37.3% | 49.8% | 0.75× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 69.5 | 32.0% | 32.6% | 23.8% | 1.37× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 59.5 | 30.4% | 32.6% | 42.2% | 0.77× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 72.5 | 22.3% | 22.6% | 16.4% | 1.38× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 56.5 | 20.9% | 22.6% | 31.8% | 0.71× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 76.5 | 12.4% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 1.26× | 8.14 |
| H1 under 52.5 | 11.4% | 12.3% | 20.4% | 0.60× | 8.14 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Princeton Tigers to win H2 | 50.4% | 51.2% | 56.0% | 0.91× | 1.96 |
| Villanova Wildcats to win H2 | 45.3% | 47.1% | 40.6% | 1.16× | 2.12 |
| H2 tied | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.35 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 83.5 | 88.1% | 85.2% | 88.9% | 0.96× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 59.5 | 85.7% | 85.2% | 77.0% | 1.11× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 79.5 | 79.0% | 75.8% | 82.0% | 0.92× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 63.5 | 75.6% | 75.8% | 65.3% | 1.16× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 76.5 | 70.1% | 72.2% | 75.6% | 0.95× | 1.39 |
| H2 over 66.5 | 65.9% | 66.4% | 55.4% | 1.20× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 74.5 | 63.3% | 61.6% | 69.9% | 0.88× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 68.5 | 58.8% | 57.3% | 48.7% | 1.18× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 72.5 | 56.0% | 57.3% | 64.1% | 0.90× | 1.74 |
| H2 over 70.5 | 51.4% | 52.4% | 42.2% | 1.24× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 71.5 | 52.3% | 52.4% | 61.1% | 0.86× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 70.5 | 48.6% | 47.6% | 57.8% | 0.82× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 71.5 | 47.7% | 47.6% | 38.9% | 1.23× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 72.5 | 44.0% | 42.7% | 36.0% | 1.19× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 68.5 | 41.2% | 42.7% | 51.3% | 0.83× | 2.34 |
| H2 over 74.5 | 36.7% | 38.4% | 30.1% | 1.28× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 66.5 | 34.1% | 33.6% | 44.6% | 0.75× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 76.5 | 30.0% | 27.8% | 24.4% | 1.14× | 3.59 |
| H2 under 63.5 | 24.4% | 24.2% | 34.7% | 0.70× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 79.5 | 21.0% | 24.2% | 18.0% | 1.35× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 59.5 | 14.3% | 14.8% | 23.0% | 0.64× | 6.76 |
| H2 over 83.5 | 11.9% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 1.33× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Princeton Tigers leading at half time | 50.2% | 51.8% | 56.4% | 0.92× | 1.93 |
| Villanova Wildcats leading at half time | 45.4% | 47.2% | 39.9% | 1.18× | 2.12 |
| Level at half time | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.40 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Princeton Tigers +18.5 | 95.8% | 97.4% | 91.1% | 1.07× | 1.03 |
| Villanova Wildcats +20.5 | 95.7% | 97.4% | 82.0% | 1.19× | 1.03 |
| Princeton Tigers +20.5 | 97.2% | 97.4% | 92.7% | 1.05× | 1.03 |
| Princeton Tigers +16.5 | 93.9% | 91.1% | 89.1% | 1.02× | 1.10 |
| Villanova Wildcats +18.5 | 93.8% | 91.1% | 79.3% | 1.15× | 1.10 |
| Princeton Tigers +14.5 | 91.5% | 91.1% | 86.7% | 1.05× | 1.10 |
| Villanova Wildcats +16.5 | 91.3% | 91.1% | 75.7% | 1.20× | 1.10 |
| Princeton Tigers +12.5 | 88.3% | 85.9% | 83.8% | 1.03× | 1.16 |
| Villanova Wildcats +14.5 | 88.0% | 85.9% | 72.1% | 1.19× | 1.16 |
| Princeton Tigers +10.5 | 84.3% | 81.1% | 80.4% | 1.01× | 1.23 |
| Villanova Wildcats +12.5 | 84.0% | 81.1% | 67.9% | 1.20× | 1.23 |
| Princeton Tigers +9.5 | 82.1% | 81.1% | 78.7% | 1.03× | 1.23 |
| Princeton Tigers +8.5 | 79.6% | 76.5% | 76.5% | 1.00× | 1.31 |
| Villanova Wildcats +10.5 | 79.2% | 76.5% | 63.2% | 1.21× | 1.31 |
| Princeton Tigers +7.5 | 77.0% | 76.5% | 74.5% | 1.03× | 1.31 |
| Villanova Wildcats +9.5 | 76.5% | 76.5% | 60.7% | 1.26× | 1.31 |
| Princeton Tigers +6.5 | 74.1% | 71.6% | 72.3% | 0.99× | 1.40 |
| Villanova Wildcats +8.5 | 73.7% | 71.6% | 58.0% | 1.23× | 1.40 |
| Princeton Tigers +5.5 | 71.1% | 71.6% | 70.1% | 1.02× | 1.40 |
| Villanova Wildcats +7.5 | 70.6% | 71.6% | 55.2% | 1.30× | 1.40 |
| Princeton Tigers +4.5 | 67.9% | 66.7% | 67.8% | 0.98× | 1.50 |
| Villanova Wildcats +6.5 | 67.4% | 66.7% | 52.4% | 1.27× | 1.50 |
| Princeton Tigers +3.5 | 64.6% | 61.9% | 65.7% | 0.94× | 1.62 |
| Villanova Wildcats +5.5 | 64.1% | 61.9% | 50.3% | 1.23× | 1.62 |
| Princeton Tigers +2.5 | 61.1% | 61.9% | 63.3% | 0.98× | 1.62 |
| Villanova Wildcats +4.5 | 60.6% | 61.9% | 47.8% | 1.29× | 1.62 |
| Princeton Tigers +1.5 | 57.6% | 57.1% | 61.2% | 0.93× | 1.75 |
| Villanova Wildcats +3.5 | 57.0% | 57.1% | 45.8% | 1.25× | 1.75 |
| Villanova Wildcats +2.5 | 53.4% | 52.4% | 43.3% | 1.21× | 1.91 |
| Princeton Tigers −1.5 | 50.3% | 52.4% | 58.7% | 0.89× | 1.91 |
| Villanova Wildcats +1.5 | 49.7% | 47.6% | 41.3% | 1.15× | 2.10 |
| Princeton Tigers −2.5 | 46.6% | 47.6% | 56.7% | 0.84× | 2.10 |
| Villanova Wildcats −1.5 | 42.4% | 42.9% | 38.8% | 1.11× | 2.33 |
| Princeton Tigers −3.5 | 43.0% | 42.9% | 54.2% | 0.79× | 2.33 |
| Villanova Wildcats −2.5 | 38.9% | 38.1% | 36.7% | 1.04× | 2.63 |
| Princeton Tigers −4.5 | 39.4% | 38.1% | 52.2% | 0.73× | 2.63 |
| Villanova Wildcats −3.5 | 35.4% | 38.1% | 34.3% | 1.11× | 2.63 |
| Princeton Tigers −5.5 | 35.9% | 38.1% | 49.7% | 0.77× | 2.63 |
| Villanova Wildcats −4.5 | 32.1% | 33.3% | 32.2% | 1.03× | 3.01 |
| Princeton Tigers −6.5 | 32.6% | 33.3% | 47.6% | 0.70× | 3.01 |
| Princeton Tigers −7.5 | 29.4% | 28.4% | 44.8% | 0.63× | 3.53 |
| Villanova Wildcats −5.5 | 28.9% | 28.4% | 29.9% | 0.95× | 3.53 |
| Villanova Wildcats −6.5 | 25.9% | 28.4% | 27.7% | 1.02× | 3.53 |
| Princeton Tigers −8.5 | 26.3% | 28.4% | 42.0% | 0.68× | 3.53 |
| Villanova Wildcats −7.5 | 23.1% | 23.5% | 25.5% | 0.92× | 4.25 |
| Princeton Tigers −9.5 | 23.5% | 23.5% | 39.3% | 0.60× | 4.25 |
| Villanova Wildcats −8.5 | 20.4% | 23.5% | 23.5% | 1.00× | 4.25 |
| Princeton Tigers −10.5 | 20.8% | 23.5% | 36.8% | 0.64× | 4.25 |
| Villanova Wildcats −9.5 | 17.9% | 18.9% | 21.3% | 0.89× | 5.29 |
| Villanova Wildcats −10.5 | 15.7% | 18.9% | 19.6% | 0.96× | 5.30 |
| Princeton Tigers −12.5 | 16.0% | 18.9% | 32.1% | 0.59× | 5.30 |
| Villanova Wildcats −12.5 | 11.7% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 0.87× | 7.09 |
| Princeton Tigers −14.5 | 12.0% | 14.1% | 27.9% | 0.51× | 7.09 |
| Villanova Wildcats −14.5 | 8.5% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 0.67× | 11.25 |
| Princeton Tigers −16.5 | 8.8% | 8.9% | 24.3% | 0.37× | 11.25 |
| Villanova Wildcats −16.5 | 6.1% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 0.82× | 11.25 |
| Princeton Tigers −18.5 | 6.2% | 8.9% | 20.7% | 0.43× | 11.25 |
| Villanova Wildcats −18.5 | 4.2% | 2.6% | 8.9% | 0.29× | 38.72 |
| Princeton Tigers −20.5 | 4.3% | 2.6% | 18.0% | 0.14× | 38.72 |
| Villanova Wildcats −20.5 | 2.8% | 2.6% | 7.3% | 0.36× | 38.73 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 72.8% | 67.1% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.2% | 32.9% | 33.3% | 0.99× | 3.04 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 highest scoring | 34.7% | 31.9% | 31.2% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 33.0% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 16.9% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 15.4% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.02× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Princeton Tigers at HT / Princeton Tigers at FT | 37.8% | 37.8% | 48.3% | 0.78× | 2.65 |
| Villanova Wildcats at HT / Villanova Wildcats at FT | 31.6% | 33.2% | 30.1% | 1.10× | 3.01 |
| Villanova Wildcats at HT / Princeton Tigers at FT | 13.8% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 1.25× | 8.17 |
| Princeton Tigers at HT / Villanova Wildcats at FT | 12.4% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 1.49× | 8.17 |
| Level at HT / Princeton Tigers at FT | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.75 |
| Level at HT / Villanova Wildcats at FT | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.76 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Princeton Tigers to win | 54.0% | 51.0% | 59.9% | 0.85× | 1.96 |
| Villanova Wildcats to win | 46.0% | 49.0% | 40.1% | 1.22× | 2.04 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total points odd | 51.8% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Villanova Wildcats even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Princeton Tigers even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Villanova Wildcats odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Princeton Tigers odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 48.2% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 93.9% | 94.0% | 95.6% | 0.98× | 1.06 |
| Match to go to overtime | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.35× | 16.66 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Princeton Tigers to win Q1 | 48.6% | 47.6% | 54.7% | 0.87× | 2.10 |
| Villanova Wildcats to win Q1 | 45.3% | 47.6% | 40.4% | 1.18× | 2.10 |
| Q1 tied | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.11× | 18.31 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 over 24.5 | 88.2% | 87.4% | 81.8% | 1.07× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 40.5 | 88.0% | 87.4% | 89.9% | 0.97× | 1.14 |
| Q1 over 27.5 | 77.1% | 76.9% | 67.7% | 1.14× | 1.30 |
| Q1 under 37.5 | 76.8% | 76.9% | 81.6% | 0.94× | 1.30 |
| Q1 over 29.5 | 67.3% | 67.6% | 56.9% | 1.19× | 1.48 |
| Q1 under 35.5 | 66.9% | 67.6% | 73.2% | 0.92× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 31.5 | 56.1% | 58.6% | 46.0% | 1.27× | 1.71 |
| Q1 under 33.5 | 55.6% | 58.6% | 64.0% | 0.92× | 1.71 |
| Q1 over 32.5 | 50.2% | 52.7% | 40.9% | 1.29× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 32.5 | 49.8% | 47.3% | 59.1% | 0.80× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 33.5 | 44.4% | 41.4% | 36.0% | 1.15× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 31.5 | 43.9% | 41.4% | 54.0% | 0.77× | 2.42 |
| Q1 over 35.5 | 33.1% | 32.4% | 26.8% | 1.21× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 29.5 | 32.7% | 32.4% | 43.1% | 0.75× | 3.08 |
| Q1 over 37.5 | 23.2% | 23.1% | 18.4% | 1.26× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 27.5 | 22.9% | 23.1% | 32.3% | 0.71× | 4.33 |
| Q1 over 40.5 | 12.0% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 1.25× | 7.95 |
| Q1 under 24.5 | 11.8% | 12.6% | 18.2% | 0.69× | 7.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Princeton Tigers to win Q2 | 48.6% | 47.0% | 52.9% | 0.89× | 2.13 |
| Villanova Wildcats to win Q2 | 45.4% | 47.0% | 41.5% | 1.13× | 2.13 |
| Q2 tied | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 1.07× | 16.49 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 40.5 | 88.9% | 87.3% | 90.8% | 0.96× | 1.15 |
| Q2 over 24.5 | 87.2% | 87.3% | 80.7% | 1.08× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 37.5 | 78.3% | 76.8% | 82.3% | 0.93× | 1.30 |
| Q2 over 27.5 | 75.6% | 76.8% | 66.7% | 1.15× | 1.30 |
| Q2 under 35.5 | 68.7% | 67.4% | 74.6% | 0.90× | 1.49 |
| Q2 over 29.5 | 65.5% | 67.4% | 55.8% | 1.21× | 1.49 |
| Q2 under 33.5 | 57.6% | 58.2% | 65.6% | 0.89× | 1.72 |
| Q2 over 31.5 | 54.1% | 52.7% | 44.3% | 1.19× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 32.5 | 51.8% | 52.7% | 60.8% | 0.87× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 32.5 | 48.2% | 47.3% | 39.2% | 1.21× | 2.11 |
| Q2 under 31.5 | 45.9% | 47.3% | 55.7% | 0.85× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 33.5 | 42.4% | 41.8% | 34.4% | 1.22× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 29.5 | 34.5% | 32.6% | 44.2% | 0.74× | 3.06 |
| Q2 over 35.5 | 31.3% | 32.6% | 25.4% | 1.29× | 3.06 |
| Q2 under 27.5 | 24.4% | 23.2% | 33.3% | 0.70× | 4.31 |
| Q2 over 37.5 | 21.7% | 23.2% | 17.7% | 1.31× | 4.31 |
| Q2 under 24.5 | 12.8% | 12.7% | 19.3% | 0.66× | 7.89 |
| Q2 over 40.5 | 11.1% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 1.38× | 7.90 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Princeton Tigers to win Q3 | 48.8% | 47.6% | 53.3% | 0.89× | 2.10 |
| Villanova Wildcats to win Q3 | 45.3% | 47.5% | 41.8% | 1.14× | 2.10 |
| Q3 tied | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 1.07× | 18.96 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 43.5 | 87.7% | 87.2% | 90.2% | 0.97× | 1.15 |
| Q3 over 27.5 | 87.2% | 87.2% | 80.0% | 1.09× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 40.5 | 76.7% | 77.3% | 81.9% | 0.94× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 30.5 | 76.0% | 77.3% | 66.8% | 1.16× | 1.29 |
| Q3 under 38.5 | 67.1% | 67.8% | 73.9% | 0.92× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 32.5 | 66.2% | 67.8% | 56.1% | 1.21× | 1.48 |
| Q3 under 36.5 | 56.2% | 58.4% | 64.6% | 0.90× | 1.71 |
| Q3 over 34.5 | 55.2% | 58.4% | 45.4% | 1.29× | 1.71 |
| Q3 under 35.5 | 50.5% | 52.3% | 59.7% | 0.88× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 35.5 | 49.5% | 47.7% | 40.3% | 1.18× | 2.10 |
| Q3 under 34.5 | 44.8% | 41.6% | 54.6% | 0.76× | 2.40 |
| Q3 over 36.5 | 43.8% | 41.6% | 35.4% | 1.17× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 32.5 | 33.8% | 32.2% | 43.9% | 0.73× | 3.10 |
| Q3 over 38.5 | 32.9% | 32.2% | 26.1% | 1.23× | 3.10 |
| Q3 under 30.5 | 24.1% | 22.7% | 33.2% | 0.69× | 4.40 |
| Q3 over 40.5 | 23.3% | 22.7% | 18.1% | 1.25× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 27.5 | 12.8% | 12.8% | 20.0% | 0.64× | 7.83 |
| Q3 over 43.5 | 12.3% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 1.30× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Princeton Tigers to win Q4 | 48.8% | 47.6% | 52.8% | 0.90× | 2.10 |
| Villanova Wildcats to win Q4 | 45.4% | 47.6% | 41.5% | 1.15× | 2.10 |
| Q4 tied | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.02× | 17.25 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 over 27.5 | 86.0% | 85.6% | 78.9% | 1.09× | 1.17 |
| Q4 under 43.5 | 86.1% | 85.6% | 88.6% | 0.97× | 1.17 |
| Q4 under 40.5 | 75.2% | 76.9% | 80.6% | 0.95× | 1.30 |
| Q4 over 30.5 | 75.0% | 76.9% | 66.3% | 1.16× | 1.30 |
| Q4 under 38.5 | 65.9% | 67.4% | 73.1% | 0.92× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 32.5 | 65.7% | 67.4% | 55.4% | 1.22× | 1.48 |
| Q4 under 36.5 | 55.5% | 58.4% | 64.3% | 0.91× | 1.71 |
| Q4 over 34.5 | 55.3% | 58.4% | 45.6% | 1.28× | 1.71 |
| Q4 under 35.5 | 50.1% | 52.5% | 59.4% | 0.88× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 35.5 | 49.9% | 47.5% | 40.6% | 1.17× | 2.11 |
| Q4 under 34.5 | 44.7% | 41.6% | 54.4% | 0.76× | 2.40 |
| Q4 over 36.5 | 44.5% | 41.6% | 35.7% | 1.17× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 32.5 | 34.3% | 32.6% | 44.6% | 0.73× | 3.07 |
| Q4 over 38.5 | 34.1% | 32.6% | 26.9% | 1.21× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 30.5 | 25.0% | 23.1% | 33.7% | 0.68× | 4.33 |
| Q4 over 40.5 | 24.8% | 23.1% | 19.4% | 1.19× | 4.33 |
| Q4 under 27.5 | 14.0% | 14.4% | 21.1% | 0.68× | 6.95 |
| Q4 over 43.5 | 13.9% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 1.26× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villanova Wildcats under 77.5 | 86.4% | 83.9% | 87.2% | 0.96× | 1.19 |
| Princeton Tigers under 78.5 | 85.5% | 83.9% | 79.4% | 1.06× | 1.19 |
| Villanova Wildcats over 57.5 | 85.2% | 83.9% | 65.1% | 1.29× | 1.19 |
| Princeton Tigers over 58.5 | 84.8% | 80.7% | 74.7% | 1.08× | 1.24 |
| Villanova Wildcats under 74.5 | 78.1% | 75.1% | 82.3% | 0.91× | 1.33 |
| Princeton Tigers over 61.5 | 76.3% | 75.1% | 66.9% | 1.12× | 1.33 |
| Princeton Tigers under 75.5 | 77.1% | 75.1% | 73.2% | 1.03× | 1.33 |
| Villanova Wildcats over 60.5 | 76.5% | 75.1% | 55.6% | 1.35× | 1.33 |
| Villanova Wildcats under 72.5 | 71.3% | 70.7% | 78.2% | 0.90× | 1.41 |
| Princeton Tigers under 73.5 | 70.4% | 70.7% | 68.5% | 1.03× | 1.41 |
| Princeton Tigers over 63.5 | 69.4% | 66.4% | 61.5% | 1.08× | 1.51 |
| Villanova Wildcats over 62.5 | 69.4% | 66.4% | 49.0% | 1.35× | 1.51 |
| Villanova Wildcats under 70.5 | 63.7% | 61.2% | 73.7% | 0.83× | 1.63 |
| Princeton Tigers under 71.5 | 62.8% | 61.2% | 63.0% | 0.97× | 1.63 |
| Princeton Tigers over 65.5 | 61.7% | 61.2% | 55.3% | 1.11× | 1.63 |
| Villanova Wildcats over 64.5 | 61.5% | 61.2% | 43.2% | 1.42× | 1.63 |
| Villanova Wildcats under 68.5 | 55.4% | 57.1% | 68.6% | 0.83× | 1.75 |
| Princeton Tigers over 67.5 | 53.6% | 52.3% | 48.7% | 1.07× | 1.91 |
| Princeton Tigers under 69.5 | 54.7% | 52.3% | 57.4% | 0.91× | 1.91 |
| Villanova Wildcats over 66.5 | 53.1% | 52.3% | 37.3% | 1.40× | 1.91 |
| Villanova Wildcats under 67.5 | 51.1% | 52.3% | 65.6% | 0.80× | 1.91 |
| Princeton Tigers under 68.5 | 50.6% | 52.3% | 54.4% | 0.96× | 1.91 |
| Princeton Tigers over 68.5 | 49.4% | 47.7% | 45.6% | 1.05× | 2.09 |
| Villanova Wildcats under 66.5 | 46.9% | 47.7% | 62.7% | 0.76× | 2.09 |
| Villanova Wildcats over 67.5 | 48.9% | 47.7% | 34.4% | 1.39× | 2.09 |
| Princeton Tigers under 67.5 | 46.4% | 47.7% | 51.3% | 0.93× | 2.09 |
| Princeton Tigers over 69.5 | 45.3% | 47.7% | 42.6% | 1.12× | 2.09 |
| Villanova Wildcats over 68.5 | 44.6% | 42.9% | 31.4% | 1.37× | 2.33 |
| Princeton Tigers under 65.5 | 38.3% | 38.8% | 44.7% | 0.87× | 2.58 |
| Villanova Wildcats under 64.5 | 38.5% | 38.8% | 56.9% | 0.68× | 2.58 |
| Villanova Wildcats over 70.5 | 36.3% | 38.8% | 26.3% | 1.47× | 2.58 |
| Princeton Tigers over 71.5 | 37.2% | 38.8% | 37.0% | 1.05× | 2.58 |
| Princeton Tigers under 63.5 | 30.6% | 33.6% | 38.5% | 0.87× | 2.98 |
| Villanova Wildcats under 62.5 | 30.6% | 33.6% | 51.0% | 0.66× | 2.98 |
| Villanova Wildcats over 72.5 | 28.7% | 29.3% | 21.8% | 1.34× | 3.42 |
| Princeton Tigers over 73.5 | 29.6% | 29.3% | 31.5% | 0.93× | 3.42 |
| Princeton Tigers under 61.5 | 23.7% | 24.9% | 33.1% | 0.75× | 4.02 |
| Princeton Tigers over 75.5 | 22.9% | 24.9% | 26.8% | 0.93× | 4.02 |
| Villanova Wildcats under 60.5 | 23.5% | 24.9% | 44.4% | 0.56× | 4.02 |
| Villanova Wildcats over 74.5 | 21.9% | 24.9% | 17.7% | 1.40× | 4.02 |
| Princeton Tigers under 58.5 | 15.2% | 19.3% | 25.3% | 0.76× | 5.18 |
| Princeton Tigers over 78.5 | 14.5% | 16.1% | 20.6% | 0.78× | 6.21 |
| Villanova Wildcats under 57.5 | 14.8% | 16.1% | 34.9% | 0.46× | 6.21 |
| Villanova Wildcats over 77.5 | 13.6% | 16.1% | 12.8% | 1.26× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 115.5 points | 91.0% | 88.8% | 78.8% | 1.13× | 1.13 |
| Under 155.5 points | 90.7% | 88.8% | 90.7% | 0.98× | 1.13 |
| Over 120.5 points | 84.3% | 80.6% | 69.8% | 1.15× | 1.24 |
| Under 150.5 points | 83.8% | 80.6% | 86.1% | 0.94× | 1.24 |
| Over 125.5 points | 74.9% | 70.8% | 59.5% | 1.19× | 1.41 |
| Under 145.5 points | 74.5% | 70.8% | 79.5% | 0.89× | 1.41 |
| Over 128.5 points | 68.2% | 65.9% | 52.8% | 1.25× | 1.52 |
| Under 142.5 points | 67.6% | 65.9% | 75.1% | 0.88× | 1.52 |
| Over 130.5 points | 63.3% | 61.5% | 48.3% | 1.27× | 1.63 |
| Under 140.5 points | 62.7% | 61.5% | 71.8% | 0.86× | 1.63 |
| Over 132.5 points | 58.2% | 56.5% | 44.0% | 1.28× | 1.77 |
| Under 138.5 points | 57.6% | 56.5% | 67.9% | 0.83× | 1.77 |
| Over 134.5 points | 52.9% | 52.3% | 39.8% | 1.31× | 1.91 |
| Under 136.5 points | 52.4% | 52.3% | 64.2% | 0.81× | 1.91 |
| Over 135.5 points | 50.2% | 52.3% | 37.6% | 1.39× | 1.91 |
| Under 135.5 points | 49.8% | 47.7% | 62.4% | 0.76× | 2.10 |
| Under 134.5 points | 47.1% | 47.7% | 60.2% | 0.79× | 2.10 |
| Over 136.5 points | 47.6% | 47.7% | 35.8% | 1.33× | 2.10 |
| Over 138.5 points | 42.4% | 43.5% | 32.1% | 1.36× | 2.30 |
| Under 132.5 points | 41.8% | 43.5% | 56.0% | 0.78× | 2.30 |
| Over 140.5 points | 37.3% | 38.5% | 28.2% | 1.36× | 2.60 |
| Under 130.5 points | 36.7% | 38.5% | 51.7% | 0.75× | 2.60 |
| Under 128.5 points | 31.8% | 34.1% | 47.2% | 0.72× | 2.93 |
| Over 142.5 points | 32.4% | 34.1% | 24.9% | 1.37× | 2.93 |
| Under 125.5 points | 25.1% | 29.2% | 40.5% | 0.72× | 3.43 |
| Over 145.5 points | 25.5% | 29.2% | 20.5% | 1.42× | 3.43 |
| Over 150.5 points | 16.2% | 19.4% | 13.9% | 1.39× | 5.15 |
| Under 120.5 points | 15.7% | 19.4% | 30.2% | 0.64× | 5.15 |
| Under 115.5 points | 9.0% | 11.2% | 21.2% | 0.53× | 8.96 |
| Over 155.5 points | 9.3% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 1.20× | 8.96 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Princeton Tigers to win both halves | 22.5% | 23.1% | 36.0% | 0.64× | 4.34 |
| Villanova Wildcats to win both halves | 17.8% | 18.9% | 20.4% | 0.93× | 5.30 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Princeton Tigers by 1-5 | 18.0% | 16.8% | 10.2% | 1.64× | 5.97 |
| Villanova Wildcats by 1-5 | 17.1% | 16.8% | 10.2% | 1.65× | 5.97 |
| Princeton Tigers by 6-10 | 15.2% | 16.8% | 12.9% | 1.30× | 5.97 |
| Villanova Wildcats by 6-10 | 13.3% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 1.20× | 8.11 |
| Princeton Tigers by 11-15 | 10.5% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 1.14× | 8.11 |
| Villanova Wildcats by 11-15 | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 0.98× | 13.40 |
| Princeton Tigers by 16-20 | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 0.93× | 13.40 |
| Villanova Wildcats by 16-20 | 4.4% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 0.43× | 49.29 |
| Princeton Tigers by 21-25 | 2.8% | 2.0% | 5.4% | 0.38× | 49.30 |
| Villanova Wildcats by 21-25 | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 0.76× | 49.31 |
| Princeton Tigers by 26+ | 1.5% | 2.0% | 12.6% | 0.16× | 49.31 |
| Villanova Wildcats by 26+ | 0.9% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 0.44× | 49.32 |