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Providence Friars v Northeastern Huskies — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 17 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Providence Friars win
92.2%
Draw
0.0%
Northeastern Huskies win
7.8%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 71.02–55.24 71-55 0% 52% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Providence Friars to score 100+ 0.2% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.33
Providence Friars to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Providence Friars to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Providence Friars to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Northeastern Huskies to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.71× 283.36
Northeastern Huskies to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Northeastern Huskies to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Northeastern Huskies to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Providence Friars to win H1 78.5% 79.2% 56.4% 1.40× 1.26
Northeastern Huskies to win H1 18.3% 16.9% 39.9% 0.42× 5.91
H1 tied 3.2% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.87
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 73.5 89.8% 87.7% 85.6% 1.02× 1.14
H1 over 49.5 87.4% 87.7% 86.7% 1.01× 1.14
H1 under 69.5 80.9% 82.5% 76.2% 1.08× 1.21
H1 over 53.5 76.9% 77.4% 76.8% 1.01× 1.29
H1 under 66.5 71.7% 73.5% 67.1% 1.09× 1.36
H1 over 56.5 66.7% 67.4% 68.2% 0.99× 1.48
H1 under 64.5 64.6% 62.7% 60.7% 1.03× 1.59
H1 over 58.5 59.1% 58.2% 61.4% 0.95× 1.72
H1 under 62.5 56.9% 58.2% 53.7% 1.08× 1.72
H1 under 61.5 52.9% 52.6% 49.8% 1.06× 1.90
H1 over 60.5 51.1% 52.6% 53.9% 0.98× 1.90
H1 under 60.5 48.9% 47.4% 46.1% 1.03× 2.11
H1 over 61.5 47.1% 47.4% 50.2% 0.94× 2.11
H1 over 62.5 43.1% 41.8% 46.3% 0.90× 2.39
H1 under 58.5 40.9% 41.8% 38.6% 1.08× 2.39
H1 over 64.5 35.4% 37.3% 39.3% 0.95× 2.68
H1 under 56.5 33.3% 32.6% 31.8% 1.02× 3.07
H1 over 66.5 28.3% 26.5% 32.9% 0.81× 3.77
H1 under 53.5 23.1% 22.6% 23.2% 0.97× 4.43
H1 over 69.5 19.1% 17.5% 23.8% 0.73× 5.72
H1 under 49.5 12.6% 12.3% 13.3% 0.93× 8.14
H1 over 73.5 10.2% 12.3% 14.4% 0.85× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Providence Friars to win H2 79.9% 74.0% 56.0% 1.32× 1.35
Northeastern Huskies to win H2 17.1% 20.4% 40.6% 0.50× 4.90
H2 tied 3.0% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.36
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 54.5 88.0% 85.2% 88.0% 0.97× 1.17
H2 under 78.5 87.3% 85.2% 80.1% 1.06× 1.17
H2 over 58.5 78.2% 75.8% 79.6% 0.95× 1.32
H2 under 74.5 77.7% 75.8% 69.9% 1.08× 1.32
H2 over 61.5 68.7% 66.4% 71.3% 0.93× 1.51
H2 under 71.5 68.3% 66.4% 61.1% 1.09× 1.51
H2 over 63.5 61.5% 61.6% 65.3% 0.94× 1.62
H2 under 69.5 61.2% 61.6% 54.8% 1.12× 1.62
H2 over 65.5 54.0% 52.4% 58.8% 0.89× 1.91
H2 under 67.5 53.7% 52.4% 47.9% 1.09× 1.91
H2 over 66.5 50.2% 52.4% 55.4% 0.95× 1.91
H2 under 66.5 49.8% 47.6% 44.6% 1.07× 2.10
H2 under 65.5 46.0% 47.6% 41.2% 1.16× 2.10
H2 over 67.5 46.3% 47.6% 52.1% 0.91× 2.10
H2 under 63.5 38.5% 38.4% 34.7% 1.11× 2.61
H2 over 69.5 38.8% 38.4% 45.2% 0.85× 2.61
H2 over 71.5 31.7% 33.6% 38.9% 0.87× 2.97
H2 under 61.5 31.3% 33.6% 28.7% 1.17× 2.97
H2 over 74.5 22.3% 24.2% 30.1% 0.81× 4.13
H2 under 58.5 21.8% 24.2% 20.4% 1.19× 4.13
H2 over 78.5 12.7% 14.8% 19.9% 0.74× 6.76
H2 under 54.5 12.0% 14.8% 12.0% 1.23× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Providence Friars leading at half time 78.5% 79.7% 56.4% 1.41× 1.25
Northeastern Huskies leading at half time 18.3% 17.0% 39.9% 0.43× 5.87
Level at half time 3.2% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.41
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Providence Friars +12.5 99.4% 97.4% 83.8% 1.16× 1.03
Providence Friars +14.5 99.6% 97.4% 86.7% 1.12× 1.03
Providence Friars +16.5 99.8% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
Providence Friars +18.5 99.9% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Providence Friars +20.5 99.9% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Providence Friars +4.5 96.2% 97.4% 67.8% 1.44× 1.03
Providence Friars +5.5 96.9% 97.4% 70.1% 1.39× 1.03
Providence Friars +6.5 97.5% 97.4% 72.3% 1.35× 1.03
Providence Friars +7.5 98.0% 97.4% 74.5% 1.31× 1.03
Providence Friars +8.5 98.4% 97.4% 76.5% 1.27× 1.03
Providence Friars +9.5 98.7% 97.4% 78.7% 1.24× 1.03
Providence Friars +10.5 99.0% 97.4% 80.4% 1.21× 1.03
Providence Friars +3.5 95.4% 97.4% 65.7% 1.48× 1.03
Providence Friars +2.5 94.5% 91.1% 63.3% 1.44× 1.10
Providence Friars +1.5 93.4% 91.1% 61.2% 1.49× 1.10
Providence Friars −1.5 90.6% 91.1% 58.7% 1.55× 1.10
Providence Friars −2.5 88.8% 85.9% 56.7% 1.51× 1.16
Providence Friars −3.5 86.8% 85.9% 54.2% 1.58× 1.16
Providence Friars −4.5 84.7% 81.1% 52.2% 1.56× 1.23
Providence Friars −5.5 82.3% 81.1% 49.7% 1.63× 1.23
Providence Friars −6.5 79.7% 76.5% 47.6% 1.61× 1.31
Providence Friars −7.5 77.0% 76.5% 44.8% 1.71× 1.31
Providence Friars −8.5 74.0% 71.6% 42.0% 1.71× 1.40
Providence Friars −9.5 70.9% 71.6% 39.3% 1.82× 1.40
Providence Friars −10.5 67.6% 66.7% 36.8% 1.81× 1.50
Northeastern Huskies +20.5 68.1% 66.7% 82.0% 0.81× 1.50
Providence Friars −12.5 60.7% 61.9% 32.1% 1.93× 1.62
Northeastern Huskies +18.5 61.3% 61.9% 79.3% 0.78× 1.62
Providence Friars −14.5 53.4% 52.4% 27.9% 1.88× 1.91
Northeastern Huskies +16.5 54.0% 52.4% 75.7% 0.69× 1.91
Northeastern Huskies +14.5 46.6% 47.6% 72.1% 0.66× 2.10
Providence Friars −16.5 46.0% 47.6% 24.3% 1.96× 2.10
Northeastern Huskies +12.5 39.3% 38.1% 67.9% 0.56× 2.63
Providence Friars −18.5 38.7% 38.1% 20.7% 1.84× 2.63
Northeastern Huskies +10.5 32.4% 33.3% 63.2% 0.53× 3.01
Providence Friars −20.5 31.9% 33.3% 18.0% 1.85× 3.01
Northeastern Huskies +9.5 29.1% 28.4% 60.7% 0.47× 3.53
Northeastern Huskies +8.5 26.0% 28.4% 58.0% 0.49× 3.53
Northeastern Huskies +7.5 23.0% 23.5% 55.2% 0.43× 4.25
Northeastern Huskies +6.5 20.3% 23.5% 52.4% 0.45× 4.25
Northeastern Huskies +5.5 17.7% 18.9% 50.3% 0.38× 5.29
Northeastern Huskies +4.5 15.3% 18.9% 47.8% 0.39× 5.30
Northeastern Huskies +3.5 13.2% 14.1% 45.8% 0.31× 7.09
Northeastern Huskies +2.5 11.2% 14.1% 43.3% 0.33× 7.09
Northeastern Huskies +1.5 9.4% 8.9% 41.3% 0.22× 11.25
Northeastern Huskies −1.5 6.6% 8.9% 38.8% 0.23× 11.25
Northeastern Huskies −2.5 5.5% 8.9% 36.7% 0.24× 11.25
Northeastern Huskies −3.5 4.6% 2.6% 34.3% 0.08× 38.72
Northeastern Huskies −4.5 3.8% 2.6% 32.2% 0.08× 38.73
Northeastern Huskies −5.5 3.1% 2.6% 29.9% 0.09× 38.73
Northeastern Huskies −6.5 2.5% 2.6% 27.7% 0.09× 38.73
Northeastern Huskies −7.5 2.0% 2.6% 25.5% 0.10× 38.73
Northeastern Huskies −8.5 1.6% 2.6% 23.5% 0.11× 38.73
Northeastern Huskies −9.5 1.3% 2.6% 21.3% 0.12× 38.74
Northeastern Huskies −10.5 1.0% 2.6% 19.6% 0.13× 38.74
Northeastern Huskies −12.5 0.6% 2.6% 16.2% 0.16× 38.74
Northeastern Huskies −14.5 0.4% 2.6% 13.3% 0.19× 38.74
Northeastern Huskies −16.5 0.2% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.74
Northeastern Huskies −18.5 0.1% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.74
Northeastern Huskies −20.5 0.1% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 71.5% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 28.5% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.2% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.4% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.4% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 15.9% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Providence Friars at HT / Providence Friars at FT 75.8% 78.0% 48.3% 1.62× 1.28
Northeastern Huskies at HT / Providence Friars at FT 13.5% 12.2% 9.8% 1.25× 8.17
Northeastern Huskies at HT / Northeastern Huskies at FT 4.8% 2.1% 30.1% 0.07× 47.71
Level at HT / Providence Friars at FT 2.8% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.74
Providence Friars at HT / Northeastern Huskies at FT 2.6% 2.1% 8.2% 0.26× 47.75
Level at HT / Northeastern Huskies at FT 0.4% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.78
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Providence Friars to win 92.2% 90.6% 59.9% 1.51× 1.10
Northeastern Huskies to win 7.8% 9.4% 40.1% 0.23× 10.64
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Providence Friars even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Northeastern Huskies even 50.3% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Total points odd 50.7% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Providence Friars odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Northeastern Huskies odd 49.7% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 49.3% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 96.6% 97.0% 95.6% 1.02× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 3.4% 3.0% 4.4% 0.67× 33.43
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Providence Friars to win Q1 68.9% 72.3% 54.7% 1.32× 1.38
Northeastern Huskies to win Q1 25.9% 22.4% 40.4% 0.55× 4.47
Q1 tied 5.2% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.33
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 over 22.5 88.7% 87.4% 88.8% 0.98× 1.14
Q1 under 38.5 88.1% 87.4% 84.8% 1.03× 1.14
Q1 over 25.5 77.6% 76.9% 77.6% 0.99× 1.30
Q1 under 35.5 76.9% 76.9% 73.2% 1.05× 1.30
Q1 over 27.5 67.7% 67.6% 67.7% 1.00× 1.48
Q1 under 33.5 66.9% 67.6% 64.0% 1.06× 1.48
Q1 over 29.5 56.3% 58.6% 56.9% 1.03× 1.71
Q1 under 31.5 55.6% 58.6% 54.0% 1.09× 1.71
Q1 over 30.5 50.4% 52.7% 51.2% 1.03× 1.90
Q1 under 30.5 49.6% 47.3% 48.8% 0.97× 2.11
Q1 over 31.5 44.4% 41.4% 46.0% 0.90× 2.42
Q1 under 29.5 43.7% 41.4% 43.1% 0.96× 2.42
Q1 over 33.5 33.1% 32.4% 36.0% 0.90× 3.08
Q1 under 27.5 32.3% 32.4% 32.3% 1.00× 3.08
Q1 over 35.5 23.1% 23.1% 26.8% 0.86× 4.33
Q1 under 25.5 22.4% 23.1% 22.4% 1.03× 4.33
Q1 over 38.5 11.9% 12.6% 15.2% 0.83× 7.95
Q1 under 22.5 11.3% 12.6% 11.2% 1.12× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Providence Friars to win Q2 68.4% 68.4% 52.9% 1.29× 1.46
Northeastern Huskies to win Q2 26.5% 27.7% 41.5% 0.67× 3.61
Q2 tied 5.2% 6.1% 5.7% 1.06× 16.50
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 38.5 89.1% 87.3% 85.6% 1.02× 1.15
Q2 over 22.5 87.8% 87.3% 87.4% 1.00× 1.15
Q2 under 35.5 78.3% 76.8% 74.6% 1.03× 1.30
Q2 over 25.5 76.1% 76.8% 76.2% 1.01× 1.30
Q2 under 33.5 68.6% 67.4% 65.6% 1.03× 1.49
Q2 over 27.5 65.9% 67.4% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
Q2 under 31.5 57.4% 58.2% 55.7% 1.04× 1.72
Q2 over 29.5 54.4% 52.7% 55.8% 0.94× 1.90
Q2 under 30.5 51.5% 52.7% 50.1% 1.05× 1.90
Q2 over 30.5 48.5% 47.3% 49.9% 0.95× 2.11
Q2 under 29.5 45.6% 47.3% 44.2% 1.07× 2.11
Q2 over 31.5 42.6% 41.8% 44.3% 0.94× 2.39
Q2 under 27.5 34.1% 32.6% 33.3% 0.98× 3.06
Q2 over 33.5 31.4% 32.6% 34.4% 0.95× 3.06
Q2 under 25.5 23.9% 23.2% 23.8% 0.98× 4.31
Q2 over 35.5 21.7% 23.2% 25.4% 0.91× 4.31
Q2 under 22.5 12.3% 12.7% 12.6% 1.01× 7.89
Q2 over 38.5 10.9% 12.7% 14.4% 0.88× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Providence Friars to win Q3 70.2% 73.0% 53.3% 1.37× 1.37
Northeastern Huskies to win Q3 24.8% 22.5% 41.8% 0.54× 4.44
Q3 tied 5.0% 4.3% 4.9% 0.87× 23.42
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 41.5 88.4% 87.2% 85.1% 1.03× 1.15
Q3 over 25.5 87.2% 87.2% 86.9% 1.00× 1.15
Q3 under 38.5 77.7% 77.3% 73.9% 1.05× 1.29
Q3 over 28.5 75.7% 77.3% 76.4% 1.01× 1.29
Q3 under 36.5 68.1% 67.8% 64.6% 1.05× 1.48
Q3 over 30.5 65.6% 67.8% 66.8% 1.01× 1.48
Q3 under 34.5 57.2% 58.4% 54.6% 1.07× 1.71
Q3 over 32.5 54.4% 52.3% 56.1% 0.93× 1.91
Q3 under 33.5 51.4% 52.3% 49.1% 1.07× 1.91
Q3 over 33.5 48.6% 47.7% 50.9% 0.94× 2.10
Q3 under 32.5 45.6% 47.7% 43.9% 1.09× 2.10
Q3 over 34.5 42.8% 41.6% 45.4% 0.92× 2.40
Q3 under 30.5 34.4% 32.2% 33.2% 0.97× 3.10
Q3 over 36.5 31.9% 32.2% 35.4% 0.91× 3.11
Q3 under 28.5 24.3% 22.7% 23.6% 0.96× 4.40
Q3 over 38.5 22.3% 22.7% 26.1% 0.87× 4.40
Q3 under 25.5 12.8% 12.8% 13.1% 0.98× 7.83
Q3 over 41.5 11.6% 12.8% 14.9% 0.86× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Providence Friars to win Q4 69.8% 60.7% 52.8% 1.15× 1.65
Northeastern Huskies to win Q4 25.3% 33.3% 41.5% 0.80× 3.01
Q4 tied 4.9% 5.2% 5.7% 0.91× 19.28
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 41.5 86.8% 85.6% 83.6% 1.02× 1.17
Q4 over 25.5 86.0% 85.6% 86.1% 0.99× 1.17
Q4 under 38.5 76.1% 76.9% 73.1% 1.05× 1.30
Q4 over 28.5 74.7% 71.5% 75.1% 0.95× 1.40
Q4 under 36.5 66.8% 67.4% 64.3% 1.05× 1.48
Q4 over 30.5 65.1% 67.4% 66.3% 1.02× 1.48
Q4 under 34.5 56.4% 58.4% 54.4% 1.07× 1.71
Q4 over 32.5 54.5% 52.5% 55.4% 0.95× 1.91
Q4 under 33.5 50.9% 52.5% 49.6% 1.06× 1.91
Q4 over 33.5 49.1% 47.5% 50.4% 0.94× 2.11
Q4 under 32.5 45.5% 47.5% 44.6% 1.07× 2.11
Q4 over 34.5 43.6% 41.6% 45.6% 0.91× 2.40
Q4 under 30.5 34.9% 32.6% 33.7% 0.97× 3.07
Q4 over 36.5 33.2% 32.6% 35.7% 0.91× 3.07
Q4 under 28.5 25.3% 28.5% 24.9% 1.14× 3.51
Q4 over 38.5 23.9% 23.1% 26.9% 0.86× 4.33
Q4 under 25.5 14.0% 14.4% 13.9% 1.04× 6.95
Q4 over 41.5 13.2% 14.4% 16.4% 0.88× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Northeastern Huskies under 66.5 88.5% 83.9% 62.7% 1.34× 1.19
Northeastern Huskies over 46.5 86.4% 83.9% 89.7% 0.94× 1.19
Providence Friars over 61.5 85.4% 83.9% 66.9% 1.25× 1.19
Providence Friars under 81.5 85.8% 83.9% 84.6% 0.99× 1.19
Northeastern Huskies under 63.5 80.8% 80.7% 53.9% 1.50× 1.24
Providence Friars over 64.5 76.8% 75.1% 58.4% 1.29× 1.33
Providence Friars under 78.5 77.4% 75.1% 79.4% 0.95× 1.33
Northeastern Huskies over 49.5 76.4% 75.1% 85.1% 0.88× 1.33
Northeastern Huskies under 61.5 74.2% 70.7% 47.9% 1.48× 1.41
Providence Friars under 76.5 70.5% 70.7% 75.4% 0.94× 1.41
Providence Friars over 66.5 69.9% 66.4% 51.8% 1.28× 1.51
Northeastern Huskies over 51.5 68.4% 66.4% 81.0% 0.82× 1.51
Northeastern Huskies under 59.5 66.6% 66.4% 41.2% 1.61× 1.51
Providence Friars over 68.5 62.1% 61.2% 45.6% 1.34× 1.63
Providence Friars under 74.5 62.9% 61.2% 70.7% 0.87× 1.63
Northeastern Huskies over 53.5 59.7% 57.1% 76.3% 0.75× 1.75
Northeastern Huskies under 57.5 58.2% 57.1% 34.9% 1.64× 1.75
Providence Friars over 70.5 53.8% 52.3% 39.7% 1.32× 1.91
Providence Friars under 72.5 54.6% 52.3% 65.7% 0.80× 1.91
Northeastern Huskies under 56.5 53.7% 52.3% 32.0% 1.63× 1.91
Providence Friars under 71.5 50.4% 52.3% 63.0% 0.83× 1.91
Northeastern Huskies over 55.5 50.8% 52.3% 70.8% 0.74× 1.91
Providence Friars over 71.5 49.6% 47.7% 37.0% 1.29× 2.09
Northeastern Huskies under 55.5 49.2% 47.7% 29.2% 1.63× 2.09
Providence Friars under 70.5 46.2% 47.7% 60.3% 0.79× 2.09
Providence Friars over 72.5 45.4% 47.7% 34.3% 1.39× 2.09
Northeastern Huskies over 56.5 46.3% 47.7% 68.0% 0.70× 2.09
Northeastern Huskies over 57.5 41.8% 42.9% 65.1% 0.66× 2.33
Northeastern Huskies under 53.5 40.3% 42.9% 23.7% 1.81× 2.33
Providence Friars under 68.5 37.9% 38.8% 54.4% 0.71× 2.58
Providence Friars over 74.5 37.1% 38.8% 29.3% 1.33× 2.58
Northeastern Huskies over 59.5 33.4% 33.6% 58.8% 0.57× 2.98
Northeastern Huskies under 51.5 31.6% 33.6% 19.0% 1.77× 2.98
Providence Friars under 66.5 30.1% 33.6% 48.2% 0.70× 2.98
Providence Friars over 76.5 29.5% 29.3% 24.6% 1.19× 3.42
Northeastern Huskies over 61.5 25.8% 29.3% 52.1% 0.56× 3.42
Providence Friars under 64.5 23.2% 24.9% 41.6% 0.60× 4.02
Providence Friars over 78.5 22.6% 24.9% 20.6% 1.21× 4.02
Northeastern Huskies under 49.5 23.6% 24.9% 14.9% 1.67× 4.02
Northeastern Huskies over 63.5 19.2% 19.3% 46.1% 0.42× 5.18
Providence Friars under 61.5 14.6% 16.1% 33.1% 0.49× 6.21
Providence Friars over 81.5 14.2% 16.1% 15.4% 1.04× 6.21
Northeastern Huskies under 46.5 13.6% 16.1% 10.3% 1.56× 6.21
Northeastern Huskies over 66.5 11.5% 16.1% 37.3% 0.43× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 107.5 points 92.4% 88.8% 90.2% 0.99× 1.13
Under 147.5 points 91.6% 88.8% 82.3% 1.08× 1.13
Over 112.5 points 85.3% 85.0% 83.6% 1.02× 1.18
Under 142.5 points 85.2% 85.0% 75.1% 1.13× 1.18
Under 137.5 points 76.1% 75.6% 66.2% 1.14× 1.32
Over 117.5 points 75.2% 75.6% 75.3% 1.00× 1.32
Under 134.5 points 69.3% 65.9% 60.2% 1.10× 1.52
Over 120.5 points 67.9% 65.9% 69.8% 0.94× 1.52
Under 132.5 points 64.4% 61.5% 56.0% 1.10× 1.63
Over 122.5 points 62.7% 61.5% 65.6% 0.94× 1.63
Under 130.5 points 59.1% 56.5% 51.7% 1.09× 1.77
Over 124.5 points 57.3% 56.5% 61.5% 0.92× 1.77
Under 128.5 points 53.7% 52.3% 47.2% 1.11× 1.91
Over 126.5 points 51.8% 52.3% 57.4% 0.91× 1.91
Under 127.5 points 51.0% 52.3% 44.9% 1.17× 1.91
Over 127.5 points 49.0% 47.7% 55.1% 0.87× 2.10
Under 126.5 points 48.2% 47.7% 42.6% 1.12× 2.10
Over 128.5 points 46.3% 47.7% 52.8% 0.90× 2.10
Under 124.5 points 42.7% 43.5% 38.5% 1.13× 2.30
Over 130.5 points 40.9% 43.5% 48.3% 0.90× 2.30
Under 122.5 points 37.3% 38.5% 34.4% 1.12× 2.60
Over 132.5 points 35.6% 38.5% 44.0% 0.87× 2.60
Under 120.5 points 32.1% 34.1% 30.2% 1.13× 2.93
Over 134.5 points 30.7% 34.1% 39.8% 0.86× 2.93
Under 117.5 points 24.9% 24.4% 24.7% 0.99× 4.10
Over 137.5 points 23.9% 24.4% 33.8% 0.72× 4.10
Under 112.5 points 14.7% 15.0% 16.4% 0.91× 6.68
Over 142.5 points 14.8% 15.0% 24.9% 0.60× 6.68
Over 147.5 points 8.4% 11.2% 17.7% 0.63× 8.96
Under 107.5 points 7.6% 11.2% 9.8% 1.14× 8.97
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Providence Friars to win both halves 61.0% 60.6% 36.0% 1.68× 1.65
Northeastern Huskies to win both halves 1.9% 3.0% 20.4% 0.15× 33.73
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Providence Friars by 11-15 17.9% 16.8% 10.8% 1.55× 5.97
Providence Friars by 16-20 17.8% 16.8% 8.0% 2.08× 5.97
Providence Friars by 26+ 17.4% 16.8% 12.6% 1.33× 5.97
Providence Friars by 6-10 14.7% 12.3% 12.9% 0.95× 8.11
Providence Friars by 21-25 14.5% 12.3% 5.4% 2.29× 8.11
Providence Friars by 1-5 9.9% 7.5% 10.2% 0.73× 13.40
Northeastern Huskies by 1-5 4.7% 2.0% 10.2% 0.20× 49.29
Northeastern Huskies by 6-10 2.1% 2.0% 10.3% 0.20× 49.31
Northeastern Huskies by 11-15 0.7% 2.0% 7.6% 0.27× 49.32
Northeastern Huskies by 16-20 0.2% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.33
Northeastern Huskies by 21-25 0.1% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.33
Northeastern Huskies by 26+ 0.0% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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