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Providence Friars v South Carolina Gamecocks — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 21 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Providence Friars win
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
South Carolina Gamecocks win
100.0%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 47.45–85.18 47-85 0% 62% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Carolina Gamecocks to score 100+ 7.1% 8.8% 0.5% 17.81× 11.37
Providence Friars to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.36
Providence Friars to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Providence Friars to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Providence Friars to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
South Carolina Gamecocks to score 110+ 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.25
South Carolina Gamecocks to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.35
South Carolina Gamecocks to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Carolina Gamecocks to win H1 97.2% 98.6% 39.9% 2.47× 1.01
Providence Friars to win H1 2.2% 3.9% 56.4% 0.07× 25.87
H1 tied 0.7% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.89
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 53.5 89.6% 87.7% 76.8% 1.14× 1.14
H1 under 77.5 89.8% 87.7% 91.6% 0.96× 1.14
H1 under 73.5 80.5% 82.5% 85.6% 0.96× 1.21
H1 over 57.5 79.6% 77.4% 64.8% 1.19× 1.29
H1 under 70.5 70.9% 73.5% 78.9% 0.93× 1.36
H1 over 60.5 69.3% 67.4% 53.9% 1.25× 1.48
H1 under 68.5 63.4% 62.7% 73.5% 0.85× 1.59
H1 over 62.5 61.5% 62.7% 46.3% 1.35× 1.59
H1 under 66.5 55.2% 58.2% 67.1% 0.87× 1.72
H1 over 64.5 53.2% 52.6% 39.3% 1.34× 1.90
H1 under 65.5 51.1% 52.6% 63.9% 0.82× 1.90
H1 over 65.5 48.9% 47.4% 36.1% 1.31× 2.11
H1 under 64.5 46.8% 47.4% 60.7% 0.78× 2.11
H1 over 66.5 44.8% 41.8% 32.9% 1.27× 2.39
H1 under 62.5 38.5% 37.3% 53.7% 0.69× 2.68
H1 over 68.5 36.6% 37.3% 26.5% 1.41× 2.68
H1 under 60.5 30.7% 32.6% 46.1% 0.71× 3.07
H1 over 70.5 29.1% 26.5% 21.1% 1.26× 3.77
H1 under 57.5 20.5% 22.6% 35.2% 0.64× 4.43
H1 over 73.5 19.5% 17.5% 14.4% 1.21× 5.72
H1 under 53.5 10.4% 12.3% 23.2% 0.53× 8.14
H1 over 77.5 10.2% 12.3% 8.4% 1.47× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Carolina Gamecocks to win H2 97.9% 95.6% 40.6% 2.36× 1.05
Providence Friars to win H2 1.6% 3.9% 56.0% 0.07× 25.37
H2 tied 0.5% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.38
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 59.5 89.1% 85.2% 77.0% 1.11× 1.17
H2 under 83.5 88.5% 85.2% 88.9% 0.96× 1.17
H2 over 63.5 79.2% 75.8% 65.3% 1.16× 1.32
H2 under 79.5 79.0% 75.8% 82.0% 0.92× 1.32
H2 over 66.5 69.3% 66.4% 55.4% 1.20× 1.51
H2 under 76.5 69.4% 66.4% 75.6% 0.88× 1.51
H2 over 68.5 61.8% 61.6% 48.7% 1.27× 1.62
H2 under 74.5 62.1% 61.6% 69.9% 0.88× 1.62
H2 over 70.5 53.8% 52.4% 42.2% 1.24× 1.91
H2 under 72.5 54.3% 52.4% 64.1% 0.82× 1.91
H2 under 71.5 50.2% 52.4% 61.1% 0.86× 1.91
H2 over 71.5 49.8% 47.6% 38.9% 1.23× 2.10
H2 under 70.5 46.2% 47.6% 57.8% 0.82× 2.10
H2 over 72.5 45.7% 47.6% 36.0% 1.32× 2.10
H2 under 68.5 38.2% 38.4% 51.3% 0.75× 2.61
H2 over 74.5 37.9% 38.4% 30.1% 1.28× 2.61
H2 under 66.5 30.7% 33.6% 44.6% 0.75× 2.97
H2 over 76.5 30.6% 33.6% 24.4% 1.38× 2.97
H2 under 63.5 20.8% 24.2% 34.7% 0.70× 4.13
H2 over 79.5 21.0% 24.2% 18.0% 1.35× 4.13
H2 over 83.5 11.5% 14.8% 11.1% 1.33× 6.76
H2 under 59.5 10.9% 14.8% 23.0% 0.64× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Carolina Gamecocks leading at half time 97.2% 98.5% 39.9% 2.47× 1.02
Providence Friars leading at half time 2.2% 3.8% 56.4% 0.07× 26.43
Level at half time 0.7% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.45
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Carolina Gamecocks +1.5 100.0% 97.4% 41.3% 2.36× 1.03
South Carolina Gamecocks −1.5 99.9% 97.4% 38.8% 2.51× 1.03
South Carolina Gamecocks +2.5 100.0% 97.4% 43.3% 2.25× 1.03
South Carolina Gamecocks −2.5 99.9% 97.4% 36.7% 2.66× 1.03
South Carolina Gamecocks +3.5 100.0% 97.4% 45.8% 2.13× 1.03
South Carolina Gamecocks −3.5 99.9% 97.4% 34.3% 2.84× 1.03
South Carolina Gamecocks +4.5 100.0% 97.4% 47.8% 2.04× 1.03
South Carolina Gamecocks −4.5 99.8% 97.4% 32.2% 3.02× 1.03
South Carolina Gamecocks +5.5 100.0% 97.4% 50.3% 1.94× 1.03
South Carolina Gamecocks −5.5 99.8% 97.4% 29.9% 3.26× 1.03
South Carolina Gamecocks +6.5 100.0% 97.4% 52.4% 1.86× 1.03
South Carolina Gamecocks −6.5 99.7% 97.4% 27.7% 3.51× 1.03
South Carolina Gamecocks +7.5 100.0% 97.4% 55.2% 1.76× 1.03
South Carolina Gamecocks −7.5 99.6% 97.4% 25.5% 3.82× 1.03
South Carolina Gamecocks +8.5 100.0% 97.4% 58.0% 1.68× 1.03
South Carolina Gamecocks −8.5 99.4% 97.4% 23.5% 4.14× 1.03
South Carolina Gamecocks +9.5 100.0% 97.4% 60.7% 1.61× 1.03
South Carolina Gamecocks +10.5 100.0% 97.4% 63.2% 1.54× 1.03
South Carolina Gamecocks +12.5 100.0% 97.4% 67.9% 1.44× 1.03
South Carolina Gamecocks +14.5 100.0% 97.4% 72.1% 1.35× 1.03
South Carolina Gamecocks +16.5 100.0% 97.4% 75.7% 1.29× 1.03
South Carolina Gamecocks +18.5 100.0% 97.4% 79.3% 1.23× 1.03
South Carolina Gamecocks +20.5 100.0% 97.4% 82.0% 1.19× 1.03
South Carolina Gamecocks −9.5 99.3% 97.4% 21.3% 4.57× 1.03
South Carolina Gamecocks −10.5 99.0% 97.4% 19.6% 4.97× 1.03
South Carolina Gamecocks −12.5 98.5% 97.4% 16.2% 6.00× 1.03
South Carolina Gamecocks −14.5 97.6% 97.4% 13.3% 7.35× 1.03
South Carolina Gamecocks −16.5 96.3% 97.4% 10.9% 8.96× 1.03
South Carolina Gamecocks −18.5 94.6% 91.1% 8.9% 10.21× 1.10
South Carolina Gamecocks −20.5 92.2% 91.1% 7.3% 12.53× 1.10
Providence Friars +20.5 7.8% 8.9% 92.7% 0.10× 11.25
Providence Friars +18.5 5.4% 8.9% 91.1% 0.10× 11.25
Providence Friars +9.5 0.7% 2.6% 78.7% 0.03× 38.74
Providence Friars +10.5 1.0% 2.6% 80.4% 0.03× 38.74
Providence Friars +12.5 1.5% 2.6% 83.8% 0.03× 38.73
Providence Friars +14.5 2.4% 2.6% 86.7% 0.03× 38.73
Providence Friars +16.5 3.7% 2.6% 89.1% 0.03× 38.73
Providence Friars −1.5 0.0% 2.6% 58.7% 0.04× 38.74
Providence Friars +1.5 0.1% 2.6% 61.2% 0.04× 38.74
Providence Friars −2.5 0.0% 2.6% 56.7% 0.05× 38.74
Providence Friars +2.5 0.1% 2.6% 63.3% 0.04× 38.74
Providence Friars −3.5 0.0% 2.6% 54.2% 0.05× 38.74
Providence Friars +3.5 0.1% 2.6% 65.7% 0.04× 38.74
Providence Friars −4.5 0.0% 2.6% 52.2% 0.05× 38.74
Providence Friars +4.5 0.2% 2.6% 67.8% 0.04× 38.74
Providence Friars −5.5 0.0% 2.6% 49.7% 0.05× 38.74
Providence Friars +5.5 0.2% 2.6% 70.1% 0.04× 38.74
Providence Friars −6.5 0.0% 2.6% 47.6% 0.05× 38.74
Providence Friars +6.5 0.3% 2.6% 72.3% 0.04× 38.74
Providence Friars −7.5 0.0% 2.6% 44.8% 0.06× 38.74
Providence Friars +7.5 0.4% 2.6% 74.5% 0.03× 38.74
Providence Friars −8.5 0.0% 2.6% 42.0% 0.06× 38.74
Providence Friars +8.5 0.6% 2.6% 76.5% 0.03× 38.74
Providence Friars −9.5 0.0% 2.6% 39.3% 0.07× 38.74
Providence Friars −10.5 0.0% 2.6% 36.8% 0.07× 38.74
Providence Friars −12.5 0.0% 2.6% 32.1% 0.08× 38.74
Providence Friars −14.5 0.0% 2.6% 27.9% 0.09× 38.74
Providence Friars −16.5 0.0% 2.6% 24.3% 0.11× 38.74
Providence Friars −18.5 0.0% 2.6% 20.7% 0.12× 38.74
Providence Friars −20.5 0.0% 2.6% 18.0% 0.14× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 72.9% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 27.1% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.8% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 33.0% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 16.9% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 15.3% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Carolina Gamecocks at HT / South Carolina Gamecocks at FT 97.2% 98.4% 30.1% 3.26× 1.02
Providence Friars at HT / South Carolina Gamecocks at FT 2.1% 2.1% 8.2% 0.26× 47.76
Level at HT / South Carolina Gamecocks at FT 0.7% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.78
Providence Friars at HT / Providence Friars at FT 0.0% 2.1% 48.3% 0.04× 47.79
Level at HT / Providence Friars at FT 0.0% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.79
South Carolina Gamecocks at HT / Providence Friars at FT 0.0% 2.1% 9.8% 0.21× 47.79
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Carolina Gamecocks to win 100.0% 97.5% 40.1% 2.43× 1.03
Providence Friars to win 0.0% 2.5% 59.9% 0.04× 39.98
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Providence Friars even 50.9% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
South Carolina Gamecocks even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Total points odd 50.0% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Providence Friars odd 49.1% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
South Carolina Gamecocks odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 50.0% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 99.5% 97.0% 95.6% 1.02× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 0.5% 3.0% 4.4% 0.67× 33.63
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Carolina Gamecocks to win Q1 89.3% 92.0% 40.4% 2.28× 1.09
Providence Friars to win Q1 8.1% 5.5% 54.7% 0.10× 18.28
Q1 tied 2.6% 4.2% 4.9% 0.85× 24.03
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 41.5 90.7% 91.1% 91.9% 0.99× 1.10
Q1 over 25.5 87.0% 87.4% 77.6% 1.13× 1.14
Q1 under 38.5 80.7% 82.8% 84.8% 0.98× 1.21
Q1 over 28.5 74.7% 72.7% 62.7% 1.16× 1.38
Q1 under 36.5 71.3% 72.7% 77.4% 0.94× 1.38
Q1 over 30.5 63.9% 61.7% 51.2% 1.20× 1.62
Q1 under 34.5 60.1% 61.7% 68.5% 0.90× 1.62
Q1 under 33.5 54.1% 52.7% 64.0% 0.82× 1.90
Q1 over 32.5 52.0% 52.7% 40.9% 1.29× 1.90
Q1 under 32.5 48.0% 47.3% 59.1% 0.80× 2.11
Q1 over 33.5 45.9% 47.3% 36.0% 1.31× 2.11
Q1 over 34.5 39.9% 38.3% 31.5% 1.21× 2.61
Q1 under 30.5 36.1% 38.3% 48.8% 0.78× 2.61
Q1 over 36.5 28.7% 27.3% 22.6% 1.21× 3.66
Q1 under 28.5 25.3% 27.3% 37.3% 0.73× 3.67
Q1 over 38.5 19.3% 17.2% 15.2% 1.13× 5.83
Q1 under 25.5 13.0% 12.6% 22.4% 0.56× 7.95
Q1 over 41.5 9.3% 8.9% 8.1% 1.11× 11.21
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Carolina Gamecocks to win Q2 88.6% 92.3% 41.5% 2.23× 1.08
Providence Friars to win Q2 8.8% 6.1% 52.9% 0.12× 16.45
Q2 tied 2.7% 4.4% 5.7% 0.77× 22.96
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 over 24.5 89.0% 87.3% 80.7% 1.08× 1.15
Q2 under 40.5 88.9% 87.3% 90.8% 0.96× 1.15
Q2 over 27.5 77.8% 76.8% 66.7% 1.15× 1.30
Q2 under 37.5 77.8% 76.8% 82.3% 0.93× 1.30
Q2 over 29.5 67.6% 67.4% 55.8% 1.21× 1.49
Q2 under 35.5 67.8% 67.4% 74.6% 0.90× 1.49
Q2 under 33.5 56.2% 58.2% 65.6% 0.89× 1.72
Q2 over 31.5 56.0% 58.2% 44.3% 1.31× 1.72
Q2 under 32.5 50.1% 52.7% 60.8% 0.87× 1.90
Q2 over 32.5 49.9% 47.3% 39.2% 1.21× 2.11
Q2 under 31.5 44.0% 41.8% 55.7% 0.75× 2.39
Q2 over 33.5 43.8% 41.8% 34.4% 1.22× 2.39
Q2 under 29.5 32.4% 32.6% 44.2% 0.74× 3.06
Q2 over 35.5 32.2% 32.6% 25.4% 1.29× 3.06
Q2 under 27.5 22.2% 23.2% 33.3% 0.70× 4.31
Q2 over 37.5 22.2% 23.2% 17.7% 1.31× 4.31
Q2 under 24.5 11.0% 12.7% 19.3% 0.66× 7.90
Q2 over 40.5 11.1% 12.7% 9.2% 1.38× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Carolina Gamecocks to win Q3 90.7% 94.1% 41.8% 2.25× 1.06
Providence Friars to win Q3 7.0% 5.3% 53.3% 0.10× 18.94
Q3 tied 2.3% 4.3% 4.9% 0.86× 23.51
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 44.5 90.4% 90.8% 92.1% 0.99× 1.10
Q3 over 28.5 86.2% 87.2% 76.4% 1.14× 1.15
Q3 under 41.5 80.6% 82.3% 85.1% 0.97× 1.22
Q3 over 31.5 73.7% 71.8% 61.6% 1.17× 1.39
Q3 under 39.5 71.4% 71.8% 77.9% 0.92× 1.39
Q3 over 33.5 63.0% 61.9% 50.9% 1.22× 1.61
Q3 under 37.5 60.5% 61.9% 69.7% 0.89× 1.61
Q3 under 36.5 54.7% 52.3% 64.6% 0.81× 1.91
Q3 over 35.5 51.3% 52.3% 40.3% 1.30× 1.91
Q3 under 35.5 48.7% 47.7% 59.7% 0.80× 2.10
Q3 over 36.5 45.3% 47.7% 35.4% 1.35× 2.10
Q3 over 37.5 39.5% 38.1% 30.3% 1.26× 2.63
Q3 under 33.5 37.0% 38.1% 49.1% 0.78× 2.63
Q3 over 39.5 28.6% 28.2% 22.1% 1.28× 3.55
Q3 under 31.5 26.3% 28.2% 38.4% 0.73× 3.55
Q3 over 41.5 19.4% 17.7% 14.9% 1.19× 5.65
Q3 under 28.5 13.8% 12.8% 23.6% 0.54× 7.83
Q3 over 44.5 9.6% 9.2% 7.9% 1.17× 10.93
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Carolina Gamecocks to win Q4 90.3% 85.1% 41.5% 2.05× 1.18
Providence Friars to win Q4 7.4% 5.8% 52.8% 0.11× 17.22
Q4 tied 2.3% 5.2% 5.7% 0.91× 19.34
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 44.5 88.9% 85.6% 90.6% 0.95× 1.17
Q4 over 28.5 84.9% 82.0% 75.1% 1.09× 1.22
Q4 under 41.5 78.8% 76.9% 83.6% 0.92× 1.30
Q4 over 31.5 72.8% 71.5% 61.1% 1.17× 1.40
Q4 under 39.5 69.9% 67.4% 77.0% 0.88× 1.48
Q4 over 33.5 62.7% 61.4% 50.4% 1.22× 1.63
Q4 under 37.5 59.5% 58.4% 68.8% 0.85× 1.71
Q4 under 36.5 54.0% 52.5% 64.3% 0.82× 1.91
Q4 over 35.5 51.6% 52.5% 40.6% 1.29× 1.91
Q4 under 35.5 48.4% 47.5% 59.4% 0.80× 2.11
Q4 over 36.5 46.0% 47.5% 35.7% 1.33× 2.11
Q4 over 37.5 40.5% 41.6% 31.2% 1.33× 2.40
Q4 under 33.5 37.3% 38.6% 49.6% 0.78× 2.59
Q4 over 39.5 30.1% 32.6% 23.0% 1.41× 3.07
Q4 under 31.5 27.2% 28.5% 38.9% 0.73× 3.51
Q4 over 41.5 21.2% 23.1% 16.4% 1.41× 4.33
Q4 under 28.5 15.1% 18.0% 24.9% 0.72× 5.56
Q4 over 44.5 11.1% 14.4% 9.4% 1.53× 6.96
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Providence Friars over 41.5 92.0% 86.5% 98.1% 0.88× 1.16
Providence Friars under 61.5 91.2% 86.4% 33.1% 2.61× 1.16
South Carolina Gamecocks under 96.5 87.2% 83.9% 99.2% 0.85× 1.19
South Carolina Gamecocks over 76.5 85.4% 83.9% 14.2% 5.91× 1.19
Providence Friars under 58.5 84.5% 80.7% 25.3% 3.19× 1.24
Providence Friars over 44.5 77.9% 75.1% 96.7% 0.78× 1.33
Providence Friars under 56.5 78.5% 75.1% 20.5% 3.67× 1.33
South Carolina Gamecocks under 93.5 79.1% 75.1% 98.8% 0.76× 1.33
South Carolina Gamecocks over 79.5 76.6% 75.1% 10.3% 7.27× 1.33
South Carolina Gamecocks under 91.5 72.3% 70.7% 98.2% 0.72× 1.41
Providence Friars under 54.5 71.2% 70.7% 16.2% 4.38× 1.41
South Carolina Gamecocks over 81.5 69.3% 66.4% 8.0% 8.27× 1.51
Providence Friars over 46.5 67.7% 66.4% 95.2% 0.70× 1.51
South Carolina Gamecocks under 89.5 64.5% 61.2% 97.6% 0.63× 1.63
Providence Friars under 52.5 62.6% 61.2% 12.3% 4.96× 1.63
South Carolina Gamecocks over 83.5 61.2% 61.2% 6.1% 10.11× 1.63
Providence Friars under 51.5 57.9% 57.1% 10.7% 5.31× 1.75
Providence Friars over 48.5 57.2% 57.1% 93.3% 0.61× 1.75
South Carolina Gamecocks under 87.5 56.1% 57.1% 96.6% 0.59× 1.75
Providence Friars under 50.5 53.0% 52.3% 9.2% 5.69× 1.91
South Carolina Gamecocks over 85.5 52.6% 52.3% 4.5% 11.57× 1.91
South Carolina Gamecocks under 86.5 51.7% 52.3% 96.1% 0.54× 1.91
Providence Friars over 50.5 47.0% 47.7% 90.8% 0.53× 2.09
South Carolina Gamecocks under 85.5 47.4% 47.7% 95.5% 0.50× 2.09
South Carolina Gamecocks over 86.5 48.3% 47.7% 3.9% 12.18× 2.09
South Carolina Gamecocks over 87.5 43.9% 42.9% 3.4% 12.79× 2.33
Providence Friars under 48.5 42.8% 42.9% 6.7% 6.44× 2.33
Providence Friars over 51.5 42.1% 42.9% 89.3% 0.48× 2.33
South Carolina Gamecocks under 83.5 38.8% 38.8% 93.9% 0.41× 2.58
Providence Friars over 52.5 37.4% 38.8% 87.7% 0.44× 2.58
South Carolina Gamecocks over 89.5 35.5% 38.8% 2.4% 15.84× 2.58
Providence Friars under 46.5 32.3% 33.6% 4.8% 7.02× 2.98
South Carolina Gamecocks under 81.5 30.7% 33.6% 92.0% 0.37× 2.98
Providence Friars over 54.5 28.8% 29.3% 83.8% 0.35× 3.42
South Carolina Gamecocks over 91.5 27.7% 29.3% 1.8% 15.88× 3.42
South Carolina Gamecocks under 79.5 23.4% 24.9% 89.7% 0.28× 4.02
Providence Friars under 44.5 22.1% 24.9% 3.3% 7.46× 4.02
Providence Friars over 56.5 21.5% 24.9% 79.5% 0.31× 4.02
South Carolina Gamecocks over 93.5 20.9% 24.9% 1.2% 21.03× 4.02
Providence Friars over 58.5 15.5% 19.3% 74.7% 0.26× 5.18
South Carolina Gamecocks under 76.5 14.6% 16.1% 85.8% 0.19× 6.21
South Carolina Gamecocks over 96.5 12.8% 16.1% 0.8% 20.57× 6.21
Providence Friars over 61.5 8.8% 13.6% 66.9% 0.20× 7.37
Providence Friars under 41.5 8.0% 13.5% 1.9% 7.27× 7.38
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 117.5 points 94.3% 88.8% 75.3% 1.18× 1.13
Under 157.5 points 93.8% 88.8% 92.1% 0.96× 1.13
Under 152.5 points 88.2% 85.0% 88.1% 0.97× 1.18
Over 122.5 points 87.2% 85.0% 65.6% 1.30× 1.18
Under 147.5 points 79.7% 75.6% 82.3% 0.92× 1.32
Over 127.5 points 76.1% 75.6% 55.1% 1.37× 1.32
Under 144.5 points 73.0% 70.8% 78.1% 0.91× 1.41
Over 130.5 points 67.8% 65.9% 48.3% 1.36× 1.52
Under 142.5 points 67.9% 65.9% 75.1% 0.88× 1.52
Under 140.5 points 62.4% 61.5% 71.8% 0.86× 1.63
Over 132.5 points 61.9% 61.5% 44.0% 1.40× 1.63
Under 138.5 points 56.6% 56.5% 67.9% 0.83× 1.77
Over 134.5 points 55.7% 56.5% 39.8% 1.42× 1.77
Under 137.5 points 53.6% 52.3% 66.2% 0.79× 1.91
Under 136.5 points 50.5% 52.3% 64.2% 0.81× 1.91
Over 136.5 points 49.5% 47.7% 35.8% 1.33× 2.10
Over 137.5 points 46.4% 47.7% 33.8% 1.41× 2.10
Under 134.5 points 44.3% 43.5% 60.2% 0.72× 2.30
Over 138.5 points 43.4% 43.5% 32.1% 1.36× 2.30
Under 132.5 points 38.1% 38.5% 56.0% 0.69× 2.60
Over 140.5 points 37.6% 38.5% 28.2% 1.36× 2.60
Under 130.5 points 32.2% 34.1% 51.7% 0.66× 2.93
Over 142.5 points 32.1% 34.1% 24.9% 1.37× 2.93
Over 144.5 points 27.0% 29.2% 21.9% 1.33× 3.43
Under 127.5 points 23.9% 24.4% 44.9% 0.54× 4.10
Over 147.5 points 20.3% 24.4% 17.7% 1.37× 4.10
Under 122.5 points 12.8% 15.0% 34.4% 0.43× 6.69
Over 152.5 points 11.8% 15.0% 11.9% 1.26× 6.69
Over 157.5 points 6.2% 11.2% 7.9% 1.41× 8.97
Under 117.5 points 5.7% 11.2% 24.7% 0.45× 8.97
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Carolina Gamecocks to win both halves 95.0% 96.0% 20.4% 4.72× 1.04
Providence Friars to win both halves 0.0% 3.0% 36.0% 0.08× 33.85
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
South Carolina Gamecocks by 26+ 82.9% 82.9% 4.6% 17.98× 1.21
South Carolina Gamecocks by 21-25 9.3% 7.5% 2.7% 2.79× 13.40
South Carolina Gamecocks by 16-20 4.8% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.29
South Carolina Gamecocks by 6-10 0.7% 2.0% 10.3% 0.20× 49.32
South Carolina Gamecocks by 11-15 2.0% 2.0% 7.6% 0.27× 49.31
Providence Friars by 1-5 0.0% 2.0% 10.2% 0.20× 49.33
South Carolina Gamecocks by 1-5 0.2% 2.0% 10.2% 0.20× 49.33
Providence Friars by 6-10 0.0% 2.0% 12.9% 0.16× 49.33
Providence Friars by 11-15 0.0% 2.0% 10.8% 0.19× 49.33
Providence Friars by 16-20 0.0% 2.0% 8.0% 0.25× 49.33
Providence Friars by 21-25 0.0% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.33
Providence Friars by 26+ 0.0% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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