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Quinnipiac Bobcats v Boston University Terriers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 14 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Quinnipiac Bobcats win
95.6%
Draw
0.0%
Boston University Terriers win
4.4%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 69.59–50.24 70-50 0% 55% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Quinnipiac Bobcats to score 100+ 0.1% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.34
Quinnipiac Bobcats to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Quinnipiac Bobcats to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Quinnipiac Bobcats to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Boston University Terriers to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.71× 283.36
Boston University Terriers to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Boston University Terriers to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Boston University Terriers to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Quinnipiac Bobcats to win H1 82.7% 83.6% 56.4% 1.48× 1.20
Boston University Terriers to win H1 14.5% 10.9% 39.9% 0.27× 9.21
H1 tied 2.8% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.87
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 46.5 89.5% 87.7% 92.3% 0.95× 1.14
H1 under 70.5 89.1% 87.7% 78.9% 1.11× 1.14
H1 over 50.5 79.7% 77.4% 84.5% 0.92× 1.29
H1 under 66.5 79.5% 77.4% 67.1% 1.15× 1.29
H1 over 53.5 69.7% 67.4% 76.8% 0.88× 1.48
H1 under 63.5 69.8% 67.4% 57.1% 1.18× 1.48
H1 under 61.5 62.3% 62.7% 49.8% 1.26× 1.59
H1 over 55.5 62.0% 62.7% 71.0% 0.88× 1.59
H1 over 57.5 53.9% 52.6% 64.8% 0.81× 1.90
H1 under 59.5 54.3% 52.6% 42.2% 1.25× 1.90
H1 under 58.5 50.2% 52.6% 38.6% 1.36× 1.90
H1 over 58.5 49.8% 47.4% 61.4% 0.77× 2.11
H1 under 57.5 46.1% 47.4% 35.2% 1.35× 2.11
H1 over 59.5 45.7% 47.4% 57.8% 0.82× 2.11
H1 under 55.5 38.0% 37.3% 29.0% 1.29× 2.68
H1 over 61.5 37.7% 37.3% 50.2% 0.74× 2.68
H1 under 53.5 30.3% 32.6% 23.2% 1.41× 3.07
H1 over 63.5 30.2% 32.6% 42.9% 0.76× 3.07
H1 under 50.5 20.3% 22.6% 15.5% 1.46× 4.43
H1 over 66.5 20.5% 22.6% 32.9% 0.69× 4.43
H1 under 46.5 10.5% 12.3% 7.7% 1.60× 8.14
H1 over 70.5 10.9% 12.3% 21.1% 0.58× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Quinnipiac Bobcats to win H2 84.2% 79.6% 56.0% 1.42× 1.26
Boston University Terriers to win H2 13.2% 14.8% 40.6% 0.36× 6.77
H2 tied 2.5% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.37
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 76.5 88.9% 85.2% 75.6% 1.13× 1.17
H2 over 52.5 87.7% 85.2% 91.3% 0.93× 1.17
H2 under 72.5 79.8% 75.8% 64.1% 1.18× 1.32
H2 over 56.5 77.4% 75.8% 84.1% 0.90× 1.32
H2 under 69.5 70.6% 72.2% 54.8% 1.32× 1.39
H2 over 59.5 67.3% 66.4% 77.0% 0.86× 1.51
H2 under 67.5 63.5% 61.6% 47.9% 1.29× 1.62
H2 over 61.5 59.8% 57.3% 71.3% 0.80× 1.74
H2 under 65.5 55.9% 57.3% 41.2% 1.39× 1.74
H2 over 63.5 52.0% 52.4% 65.3% 0.80× 1.91
H2 under 64.5 52.0% 52.4% 37.9% 1.38× 1.91
H2 under 63.5 48.0% 47.6% 34.7% 1.37× 2.10
H2 over 64.5 48.0% 47.6% 62.1% 0.77× 2.10
H2 over 65.5 44.1% 42.7% 58.8% 0.73× 2.34
H2 under 61.5 40.2% 42.7% 28.7% 1.48× 2.35
H2 over 67.5 36.5% 38.4% 52.1% 0.74× 2.61
H2 under 59.5 32.7% 33.6% 23.0% 1.46× 2.97
H2 over 69.5 29.4% 27.8% 45.2% 0.62× 3.59
H2 under 56.5 22.6% 24.2% 15.9% 1.53× 4.13
H2 over 72.5 20.2% 24.2% 36.0% 0.67× 4.13
H2 under 52.5 12.3% 14.8% 8.7% 1.70× 6.76
H2 over 76.5 11.1% 14.8% 24.4% 0.61× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Quinnipiac Bobcats leading at half time 82.7% 83.3% 56.4% 1.48× 1.20
Boston University Terriers leading at half time 14.5% 10.4% 39.9% 0.26× 9.63
Level at half time 2.8% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.42
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Quinnipiac Bobcats +9.5 99.4% 97.4% 78.7% 1.24× 1.03
Quinnipiac Bobcats +10.5 99.6% 97.4% 80.4% 1.21× 1.03
Quinnipiac Bobcats +12.5 99.7% 97.4% 83.8% 1.16× 1.03
Quinnipiac Bobcats +14.5 99.9% 97.4% 86.7% 1.12× 1.03
Quinnipiac Bobcats +16.5 99.9% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
Quinnipiac Bobcats +18.5 100.0% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Quinnipiac Bobcats +20.5 100.0% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Quinnipiac Bobcats +1.5 96.4% 97.4% 61.2% 1.59× 1.03
Quinnipiac Bobcats +2.5 97.0% 97.4% 63.3% 1.54× 1.03
Quinnipiac Bobcats +3.5 97.6% 97.4% 65.7% 1.48× 1.03
Quinnipiac Bobcats +4.5 98.1% 97.4% 67.8% 1.44× 1.03
Quinnipiac Bobcats +5.5 98.5% 97.4% 70.1% 1.39× 1.03
Quinnipiac Bobcats +6.5 98.8% 97.4% 72.3% 1.35× 1.03
Quinnipiac Bobcats +7.5 99.1% 97.4% 74.5% 1.31× 1.03
Quinnipiac Bobcats +8.5 99.3% 97.4% 76.5% 1.27× 1.03
Quinnipiac Bobcats −1.5 94.5% 91.1% 58.7% 1.55× 1.10
Quinnipiac Bobcats −2.5 93.3% 91.1% 56.7% 1.61× 1.10
Quinnipiac Bobcats −3.5 91.9% 91.1% 54.2% 1.68× 1.10
Quinnipiac Bobcats −4.5 90.3% 91.1% 52.2% 1.75× 1.10
Quinnipiac Bobcats −5.5 88.5% 85.9% 49.7% 1.73× 1.16
Quinnipiac Bobcats −6.5 86.5% 85.9% 47.6% 1.80× 1.16
Quinnipiac Bobcats −7.5 84.3% 81.1% 44.8% 1.81× 1.23
Quinnipiac Bobcats −8.5 81.8% 81.1% 42.0% 1.93× 1.23
Quinnipiac Bobcats −9.5 79.2% 76.5% 39.3% 1.95× 1.31
Quinnipiac Bobcats −10.5 76.4% 76.5% 36.8% 2.08× 1.31
Quinnipiac Bobcats −12.5 70.2% 71.6% 32.1% 2.23× 1.40
Quinnipiac Bobcats −14.5 63.3% 61.9% 27.9% 2.22× 1.62
Boston University Terriers +20.5 59.1% 57.1% 82.0% 0.70× 1.75
Quinnipiac Bobcats −16.5 56.0% 57.1% 24.3% 2.35× 1.75
Boston University Terriers +18.5 51.6% 52.4% 79.3% 0.66× 1.91
Quinnipiac Bobcats −18.5 48.4% 47.6% 20.7% 2.30× 2.10
Boston University Terriers +16.5 44.0% 42.9% 75.7% 0.57× 2.33
Quinnipiac Bobcats −20.5 40.9% 42.9% 18.0% 2.39× 2.33
Boston University Terriers +14.5 36.7% 38.1% 72.1% 0.53× 2.63
Boston University Terriers +12.5 29.8% 28.4% 67.9% 0.42× 3.53
Boston University Terriers +10.5 23.6% 23.5% 63.2% 0.37× 4.25
Boston University Terriers +9.5 20.8% 23.5% 60.7% 0.39× 4.25
Boston University Terriers +8.5 18.2% 18.9% 58.0% 0.33× 5.29
Boston University Terriers +7.5 15.7% 18.9% 55.2% 0.34× 5.30
Boston University Terriers +6.5 13.5% 14.1% 52.4% 0.27× 7.09
Boston University Terriers +5.5 11.5% 14.1% 50.3% 0.28× 7.09
Boston University Terriers +3.5 8.1% 8.9% 45.8% 0.19× 11.25
Boston University Terriers +4.5 9.7% 8.9% 47.8% 0.19× 11.25
Boston University Terriers +2.5 6.7% 8.9% 43.3% 0.21× 11.25
Boston University Terriers +1.5 5.5% 8.9% 41.3% 0.22× 11.25
Boston University Terriers −1.5 3.6% 2.6% 38.8% 0.07× 38.73
Boston University Terriers −2.5 3.0% 2.6% 36.7% 0.07× 38.73
Boston University Terriers −3.5 2.4% 2.6% 34.3% 0.08× 38.73
Boston University Terriers −4.5 1.9% 2.6% 32.2% 0.08× 38.73
Boston University Terriers −5.5 1.5% 2.6% 29.9% 0.09× 38.73
Boston University Terriers −6.5 1.2% 2.6% 27.7% 0.09× 38.74
Boston University Terriers −7.5 0.9% 2.6% 25.5% 0.10× 38.74
Boston University Terriers −8.5 0.7% 2.6% 23.5% 0.11× 38.74
Boston University Terriers −9.5 0.6% 2.6% 21.3% 0.12× 38.74
Boston University Terriers −10.5 0.4% 2.6% 19.6% 0.13× 38.74
Boston University Terriers −12.5 0.3% 2.6% 16.2% 0.16× 38.74
Boston University Terriers −14.5 0.1% 2.6% 13.3% 0.19× 38.74
Boston University Terriers −16.5 0.1% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.74
Boston University Terriers −18.5 0.0% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.74
Boston University Terriers −20.5 0.0% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 70.9% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 29.1% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.0% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.2% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.7% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 16.2% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Quinnipiac Bobcats at HT / Quinnipiac Bobcats at FT 81.2% 84.5% 48.3% 1.75× 1.18
Boston University Terriers at HT / Quinnipiac Bobcats at FT 11.8% 12.2% 9.8% 1.25× 8.18
Quinnipiac Bobcats at HT / Boston University Terriers at FT 1.5% 2.1% 8.2% 0.26× 47.77
Level at HT / Quinnipiac Bobcats at FT 2.6% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.75
Boston University Terriers at HT / Boston University Terriers at FT 2.7% 2.1% 30.1% 0.07× 47.75
Level at HT / Boston University Terriers at FT 0.2% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.79
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Quinnipiac Bobcats to win 95.6% 97.4% 59.9% 1.63× 1.03
Boston University Terriers to win 4.4% 2.6% 40.1% 0.06× 38.72
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Quinnipiac Bobcats even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Boston University Terriers even 50.6% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Total points odd 50.5% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Quinnipiac Bobcats odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Boston University Terriers odd 49.4% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 49.5% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 97.3% 97.0% 95.6% 1.02× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 2.7% 3.0% 4.4% 0.67× 33.48
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Quinnipiac Bobcats to win Q1 72.4% 73.8% 54.7% 1.35× 1.36
Boston University Terriers to win Q1 22.7% 22.1% 40.4% 0.55× 4.53
Q1 tied 4.9% 4.2% 4.9% 0.85× 23.93
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 37.5 88.9% 87.4% 81.6% 1.07× 1.14
Q1 over 21.5 88.6% 87.4% 91.5% 0.96× 1.14
Q1 under 34.5 77.9% 76.9% 68.5% 1.12× 1.30
Q1 over 24.5 77.2% 76.9% 81.8% 0.94× 1.30
Q1 under 32.5 68.0% 67.6% 59.1% 1.14× 1.48
Q1 over 26.5 67.1% 67.6% 72.9% 0.93× 1.48
Q1 under 30.5 56.6% 58.6% 48.8% 1.20× 1.71
Q1 over 28.5 55.5% 58.6% 62.7% 0.94× 1.71
Q1 under 29.5 50.6% 52.7% 43.1% 1.22× 1.90
Q1 over 29.5 49.4% 47.3% 56.9% 0.83× 2.11
Q1 under 28.5 44.5% 41.4% 37.3% 1.11× 2.42
Q1 over 30.5 43.4% 41.4% 51.2% 0.81× 2.42
Q1 under 26.5 32.9% 32.4% 27.1% 1.20× 3.08
Q1 over 32.5 32.0% 32.4% 40.9% 0.79× 3.08
Q1 under 24.5 22.8% 23.1% 18.2% 1.27× 4.33
Q1 over 34.5 22.1% 23.1% 31.5% 0.73× 4.33
Q1 under 21.5 11.4% 12.6% 8.5% 1.49× 7.95
Q1 over 37.5 11.1% 12.6% 18.4% 0.68× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Quinnipiac Bobcats to win Q2 71.8% 75.1% 52.9% 1.42× 1.33
Boston University Terriers to win Q2 23.3% 20.1% 41.5% 0.48× 4.99
Q2 tied 4.9% 4.4% 5.7% 0.77× 22.87
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 37.5 89.7% 87.3% 82.3% 1.06× 1.15
Q2 over 21.5 87.7% 87.3% 90.2% 0.97× 1.15
Q2 under 34.5 79.3% 76.8% 70.1% 1.10× 1.30
Q2 over 24.5 75.8% 76.8% 80.7% 0.95× 1.30
Q2 under 32.5 69.7% 67.4% 60.8% 1.11× 1.48
Q2 over 26.5 65.3% 67.4% 71.6% 0.94× 1.49
Q2 under 30.5 58.4% 58.2% 50.1% 1.16× 1.72
Q2 over 28.5 53.6% 52.7% 61.2% 0.86× 1.90
Q2 under 29.5 52.4% 52.7% 44.2% 1.19× 1.90
Q2 over 29.5 47.6% 47.3% 55.8% 0.85× 2.11
Q2 under 28.5 46.4% 47.3% 38.8% 1.22× 2.11
Q2 over 30.5 41.6% 41.8% 49.9% 0.84× 2.39
Q2 under 26.5 34.7% 32.6% 28.4% 1.15× 3.06
Q2 over 32.5 30.3% 32.6% 39.2% 0.83× 3.06
Q2 under 24.5 24.2% 23.2% 19.3% 1.21× 4.31
Q2 over 34.5 20.7% 23.2% 29.9% 0.78× 4.31
Q2 under 21.5 12.3% 12.7% 9.8% 1.30× 7.89
Q2 over 37.5 10.3% 12.7% 17.7% 0.72× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Quinnipiac Bobcats to win Q3 73.8% 73.1% 53.3% 1.37× 1.37
Boston University Terriers to win Q3 21.6% 22.4% 41.8% 0.54× 4.47
Q3 tied 4.7% 4.3% 4.9% 0.86× 23.43
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 40.5 89.5% 87.2% 81.9% 1.07× 1.15
Q3 over 24.5 86.8% 87.2% 89.9% 0.97× 1.15
Q3 under 37.5 79.1% 77.3% 69.7% 1.11× 1.29
Q3 over 27.5 74.8% 71.8% 80.0% 0.90× 1.39
Q3 under 35.5 69.7% 67.8% 59.7% 1.14× 1.48
Q3 over 29.5 64.5% 62.0% 71.8% 0.86× 1.61
Q3 under 33.5 58.8% 58.4% 49.1% 1.19× 1.71
Q3 over 31.5 52.9% 52.3% 61.6% 0.85× 1.91
Q3 under 32.5 53.0% 52.3% 43.9% 1.19× 1.91
Q3 under 31.5 47.1% 47.7% 38.4% 1.24× 2.10
Q3 over 32.5 47.0% 47.7% 56.1% 0.85× 2.10
Q3 over 33.5 41.2% 41.6% 50.9% 0.82× 2.40
Q3 under 29.5 35.5% 38.0% 28.2% 1.35× 2.63
Q3 over 35.5 30.3% 32.2% 40.3% 0.80× 3.11
Q3 under 27.5 25.2% 28.2% 20.0% 1.41× 3.55
Q3 over 37.5 20.9% 22.7% 30.3% 0.75× 4.40
Q3 under 24.5 13.2% 12.8% 10.1% 1.27× 7.83
Q3 over 40.5 10.5% 12.8% 18.1% 0.70× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Quinnipiac Bobcats to win Q4 73.4% 66.3% 52.8% 1.26× 1.51
Boston University Terriers to win Q4 22.0% 29.0% 41.5% 0.70× 3.45
Q4 tied 4.6% 5.2% 5.7% 0.91× 19.29
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 40.5 87.9% 85.6% 80.6% 1.06× 1.17
Q4 over 24.5 85.5% 85.6% 89.0% 0.96× 1.17
Q4 under 37.5 77.5% 76.9% 68.8% 1.12× 1.30
Q4 over 27.5 73.8% 71.5% 78.9% 0.91× 1.40
Q4 under 35.5 68.4% 67.4% 59.4% 1.14× 1.48
Q4 over 29.5 64.0% 61.4% 70.8% 0.87× 1.63
Q4 under 33.5 57.9% 58.4% 49.6% 1.18× 1.71
Q4 over 31.5 53.1% 52.5% 61.1% 0.86× 1.91
Q4 under 32.5 52.4% 52.5% 44.6% 1.18× 1.91
Q4 over 32.5 47.6% 47.5% 55.4% 0.86× 2.11
Q4 under 31.5 46.9% 47.5% 38.9% 1.22× 2.11
Q4 over 33.5 42.1% 41.6% 50.4% 0.83× 2.40
Q4 under 29.5 36.0% 38.6% 29.2% 1.32× 2.59
Q4 over 35.5 31.6% 32.6% 40.6% 0.80× 3.07
Q4 under 27.5 26.2% 28.5% 21.1% 1.35× 3.51
Q4 over 37.5 22.5% 23.1% 31.2% 0.74× 4.33
Q4 under 24.5 14.5% 14.4% 11.0% 1.31× 6.95
Q4 over 40.5 12.1% 14.4% 19.4% 0.74× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston University Terriers over 42.5 91.0% 86.4% 94.8% 0.91× 1.16
Boston University Terriers under 62.5 89.6% 83.9% 51.0% 1.65× 1.19
Quinnipiac Bobcats under 80.5 86.1% 83.9% 82.9% 1.01× 1.19
Quinnipiac Bobcats over 60.5 85.4% 83.9% 69.5% 1.21× 1.19
Boston University Terriers under 59.5 82.1% 80.7% 41.2% 1.96× 1.24
Quinnipiac Bobcats under 77.5 77.8% 75.1% 77.4% 0.97× 1.33
Boston University Terriers over 45.5 79.2% 75.1% 91.3% 0.82× 1.33
Quinnipiac Bobcats over 63.5 76.7% 75.1% 61.5% 1.22× 1.33
Boston University Terriers under 57.5 75.5% 75.1% 34.9% 2.16× 1.33
Quinnipiac Bobcats under 75.5 71.0% 70.7% 73.2% 0.97× 1.41
Boston University Terriers over 47.5 70.1% 70.7% 88.4% 0.80× 1.41
Quinnipiac Bobcats over 65.5 69.7% 66.4% 55.3% 1.20× 1.51
Boston University Terriers under 55.5 67.7% 66.4% 29.2% 2.27× 1.51
Quinnipiac Bobcats under 73.5 63.3% 61.2% 68.5% 0.89× 1.63
Quinnipiac Bobcats over 67.5 61.8% 61.2% 48.7% 1.26× 1.63
Boston University Terriers over 49.5 60.4% 61.2% 85.1% 0.72× 1.63
Boston University Terriers under 53.5 58.9% 57.1% 23.7% 2.41× 1.75
Quinnipiac Bobcats under 71.5 55.0% 57.1% 63.0% 0.91× 1.75
Boston University Terriers under 52.5 54.2% 52.3% 21.5% 2.43× 1.91
Quinnipiac Bobcats over 69.5 53.5% 52.3% 42.6% 1.23× 1.91
Quinnipiac Bobcats under 70.5 50.8% 52.3% 60.3% 0.87× 1.91
Boston University Terriers over 51.5 50.6% 52.3% 81.0% 0.65× 1.91
Quinnipiac Bobcats over 70.5 49.2% 47.7% 39.7% 1.20× 2.09
Boston University Terriers under 51.5 49.4% 47.7% 19.0% 2.51× 2.09
Quinnipiac Bobcats under 69.5 46.5% 47.7% 57.4% 0.83× 2.09
Boston University Terriers over 52.5 45.8% 47.7% 78.5% 0.61× 2.09
Quinnipiac Bobcats over 71.5 45.0% 42.9% 37.0% 1.16× 2.33
Boston University Terriers over 53.5 41.1% 42.9% 76.3% 0.56× 2.33
Quinnipiac Bobcats under 67.5 38.2% 38.8% 51.3% 0.76× 2.58
Boston University Terriers under 49.5 39.6% 38.8% 14.9% 2.60× 2.58
Quinnipiac Bobcats over 73.5 36.7% 38.8% 31.5% 1.23× 2.58
Boston University Terriers over 55.5 32.3% 33.6% 70.8% 0.47× 2.98
Quinnipiac Bobcats under 65.5 30.3% 33.6% 44.7% 0.75× 2.98
Quinnipiac Bobcats over 75.5 29.0% 29.3% 26.8% 1.09× 3.42
Boston University Terriers under 47.5 29.9% 29.3% 11.6% 2.52× 3.42
Boston University Terriers over 57.5 24.5% 24.9% 65.1% 0.38× 4.02
Quinnipiac Bobcats under 63.5 23.3% 24.9% 38.5% 0.65× 4.02
Quinnipiac Bobcats over 77.5 22.2% 24.9% 22.6% 1.10× 4.02
Boston University Terriers under 45.5 20.8% 24.9% 8.7% 2.87× 4.02
Boston University Terriers over 59.5 17.9% 19.3% 58.8% 0.33× 5.18
Quinnipiac Bobcats under 60.5 14.6% 16.1% 30.5% 0.53× 6.21
Quinnipiac Bobcats over 80.5 13.9% 16.1% 17.1% 0.94× 6.21
Boston University Terriers over 62.5 10.4% 16.1% 49.0% 0.33× 6.21
Boston University Terriers under 42.5 9.0% 13.6% 5.2% 2.62× 7.36
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 102.5 points 94.1% 88.8% 94.3% 0.94× 1.13
Under 142.5 points 92.4% 88.8% 75.1% 1.18× 1.13
Over 107.5 points 87.3% 85.0% 90.2% 0.94× 1.18
Under 137.5 points 86.2% 85.0% 66.2% 1.28× 1.18
Over 112.5 points 76.9% 75.6% 83.6% 0.90× 1.32
Under 132.5 points 77.0% 75.6% 56.0% 1.35× 1.32
Under 129.5 points 70.2% 70.8% 49.5% 1.43× 1.41
Over 115.5 points 69.2% 65.9% 78.8% 0.84× 1.52
Under 127.5 points 65.1% 65.9% 44.9% 1.47× 1.52
Over 117.5 points 63.6% 61.5% 75.3% 0.82× 1.63
Under 125.5 points 59.6% 56.5% 40.5% 1.39× 1.77
Over 119.5 points 57.8% 56.5% 71.6% 0.79× 1.77
Under 123.5 points 53.9% 52.3% 36.7% 1.43× 1.91
Over 121.5 points 51.9% 52.3% 67.7% 0.77× 1.91
Under 122.5 points 51.0% 52.3% 34.4% 1.52× 1.91
Over 122.5 points 49.0% 47.7% 65.6% 0.73× 2.10
Under 121.5 points 48.1% 47.7% 32.3% 1.48× 2.10
Over 123.5 points 46.1% 47.7% 63.3% 0.75× 2.10
Under 119.5 points 42.2% 43.5% 28.4% 1.53× 2.30
Over 125.5 points 40.4% 43.5% 59.5% 0.73× 2.30
Under 117.5 points 36.4% 38.5% 24.7% 1.56× 2.60
Over 127.5 points 34.9% 34.1% 55.1% 0.62× 2.93
Under 115.5 points 30.9% 34.1% 21.2% 1.61× 2.93
Over 129.5 points 29.8% 29.2% 50.5% 0.58× 3.43
Under 112.5 points 23.1% 24.4% 16.4% 1.49× 4.10
Over 132.5 points 23.0% 24.4% 44.0% 0.55× 4.10
Over 137.5 points 13.8% 15.0% 33.8% 0.44× 6.68
Under 107.5 points 12.7% 15.0% 9.8% 1.52× 6.69
Over 142.5 points 7.6% 11.2% 24.9% 0.45× 8.97
Under 102.5 points 5.9% 11.2% 5.7% 1.94× 8.97
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Quinnipiac Bobcats to win both halves 68.3% 66.9% 36.0% 1.86× 1.50
Boston University Terriers to win both halves 0.9% 3.0% 20.4% 0.15× 33.79
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Quinnipiac Bobcats by 26+ 23.9% 24.0% 12.6% 1.91× 4.16
Quinnipiac Bobcats by 16-20 18.8% 16.8% 8.0% 2.08× 5.97
Quinnipiac Bobcats by 11-15 16.7% 16.8% 10.8% 1.55× 5.97
Quinnipiac Bobcats by 21-25 17.0% 16.8% 5.4% 3.11× 5.97
Quinnipiac Bobcats by 6-10 12.1% 12.3% 12.9% 0.95× 8.11
Quinnipiac Bobcats by 1-5 7.1% 7.5% 10.2% 0.73× 13.40
Boston University Terriers by 1-5 2.9% 2.0% 10.2% 0.20× 49.30
Boston University Terriers by 6-10 1.1% 2.0% 10.3% 0.20× 49.32
Boston University Terriers by 11-15 0.3% 2.0% 7.6% 0.27× 49.33
Boston University Terriers by 16-20 0.1% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.33
Boston University Terriers by 21-25 0.0% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.33
Boston University Terriers by 26+ 0.0% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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