Quinnipiac Bobcats v UMBC Retrievers — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 8 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Quinnipiac Bobcats win
86.6%
Draw
0.0%
UMBC Retrievers win
13.4%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 64.03–51.37 | 64-51 0% | 55% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMBC Retrievers to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.71× | 283.36 |
| UMBC Retrievers to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.36 |
| UMBC Retrievers to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.36 |
| UMBC Retrievers to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.36 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.20× | 283.35 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.64× | 283.36 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.91× | 283.36 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.36 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac Bobcats to win H1 | 72.3% | 72.9% | 56.4% | 1.29× | 1.37 |
| UMBC Retrievers to win H1 | 23.9% | 21.4% | 39.9% | 0.54× | 4.67 |
| H1 tied | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.86 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 68.5 | 89.5% | 87.7% | 73.5% | 1.19× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 44.5 | 88.9% | 87.7% | 94.7% | 0.93× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 64.5 | 80.2% | 82.5% | 60.7% | 1.36× | 1.21 |
| H1 over 48.5 | 78.8% | 77.4% | 88.8% | 0.87× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 61.5 | 70.7% | 73.5% | 49.8% | 1.48× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 51.5 | 68.6% | 67.4% | 82.0% | 0.82× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 59.5 | 63.3% | 62.7% | 42.2% | 1.49× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 53.5 | 60.9% | 62.7% | 76.8% | 0.82× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 57.5 | 55.4% | 58.2% | 35.2% | 1.65× | 1.72 |
| H1 over 55.5 | 52.8% | 52.6% | 71.0% | 0.74× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 56.5 | 51.3% | 52.6% | 31.8% | 1.66× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 56.5 | 48.7% | 47.4% | 68.2% | 0.69× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 55.5 | 47.2% | 47.4% | 29.0% | 1.63× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 57.5 | 44.6% | 41.8% | 64.8% | 0.64× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 53.5 | 39.1% | 37.3% | 23.2% | 1.61× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 59.5 | 36.7% | 37.3% | 57.8% | 0.64× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 51.5 | 31.4% | 32.6% | 18.0% | 1.81× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 61.5 | 29.3% | 26.5% | 50.2% | 0.53× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 48.5 | 21.2% | 22.6% | 11.2% | 2.02× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 64.5 | 19.8% | 17.5% | 39.3% | 0.44× | 5.72 |
| H1 under 44.5 | 11.1% | 12.3% | 5.3% | 2.34× | 8.14 |
| H1 over 68.5 | 10.5% | 12.3% | 26.5% | 0.46× | 8.14 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac Bobcats to win H2 | 73.7% | 67.6% | 56.0% | 1.21× | 1.48 |
| UMBC Retrievers to win H2 | 22.8% | 26.9% | 40.6% | 0.66× | 3.72 |
| H2 tied | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.36 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 over 49.5 | 88.7% | 85.2% | 95.0% | 0.90× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 73.5 | 87.8% | 85.2% | 67.1% | 1.27× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 53.5 | 78.8% | 75.8% | 89.7% | 0.85× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 69.5 | 78.3% | 75.8% | 54.8% | 1.38× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 56.5 | 69.1% | 66.4% | 84.1% | 0.79× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 66.5 | 68.8% | 66.4% | 44.6% | 1.49× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 58.5 | 61.7% | 61.6% | 79.6% | 0.77× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 64.5 | 61.6% | 61.6% | 37.9% | 1.63× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 60.5 | 54.0% | 52.4% | 74.5% | 0.70× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 62.5 | 53.9% | 52.4% | 31.7% | 1.65× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 61.5 | 50.0% | 52.4% | 71.3% | 0.73× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 61.5 | 50.0% | 47.6% | 28.7% | 1.66× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 60.5 | 46.0% | 47.6% | 25.5% | 1.87× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 62.5 | 46.1% | 47.6% | 68.3% | 0.70× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 58.5 | 38.3% | 38.4% | 20.4% | 1.88× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 64.5 | 38.4% | 38.4% | 62.1% | 0.62× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 56.5 | 30.9% | 33.6% | 15.9% | 2.12× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 66.5 | 31.2% | 33.6% | 55.4% | 0.61× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 53.5 | 21.2% | 24.2% | 10.3% | 2.34× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 69.5 | 21.7% | 24.2% | 45.2% | 0.54× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 73.5 | 12.2% | 14.8% | 32.9% | 0.45× | 6.76 |
| H2 under 49.5 | 11.4% | 14.8% | 5.0% | 2.94× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac Bobcats leading at half time | 72.3% | 73.5% | 56.4% | 1.30× | 1.36 |
| UMBC Retrievers leading at half time | 23.9% | 21.0% | 39.9% | 0.53× | 4.77 |
| Level at half time | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.41 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac Bobcats +16.5 | 99.5% | 97.4% | 89.1% | 1.09× | 1.03 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats +18.5 | 99.7% | 97.4% | 91.1% | 1.07× | 1.03 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats +20.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 92.7% | 1.05× | 1.03 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats +7.5 | 96.1% | 97.4% | 74.5% | 1.31× | 1.03 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats +8.5 | 96.8% | 97.4% | 76.5% | 1.27× | 1.03 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats +9.5 | 97.4% | 97.4% | 78.7% | 1.24× | 1.03 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats +10.5 | 98.0% | 97.4% | 80.4% | 1.21× | 1.03 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats +12.5 | 98.7% | 97.4% | 83.8% | 1.16× | 1.03 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats +14.5 | 99.2% | 97.4% | 86.7% | 1.12× | 1.03 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats +6.5 | 95.3% | 97.4% | 72.3% | 1.35× | 1.03 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats +5.5 | 94.3% | 91.1% | 70.1% | 1.30× | 1.10 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats +4.5 | 93.1% | 91.1% | 67.8% | 1.34× | 1.10 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats +2.5 | 90.3% | 91.1% | 63.3% | 1.44× | 1.10 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats +3.5 | 91.8% | 91.1% | 65.7% | 1.39× | 1.10 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats +1.5 | 88.6% | 85.9% | 61.2% | 1.40× | 1.16 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats −1.5 | 84.3% | 81.1% | 58.7% | 1.38× | 1.23 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats −2.5 | 81.8% | 81.1% | 56.7% | 1.43× | 1.23 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats −3.5 | 79.0% | 76.5% | 54.2% | 1.41× | 1.31 |
| UMBC Retrievers +20.5 | 79.7% | 76.5% | 82.0% | 0.93× | 1.31 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats −4.5 | 76.0% | 76.5% | 52.2% | 1.47× | 1.31 |
| UMBC Retrievers +18.5 | 73.9% | 71.6% | 79.3% | 0.90× | 1.40 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats −5.5 | 72.9% | 71.6% | 49.7% | 1.44× | 1.40 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats −6.5 | 69.6% | 66.7% | 47.6% | 1.40× | 1.50 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats −7.5 | 66.1% | 66.7% | 44.8% | 1.49× | 1.50 |
| UMBC Retrievers +16.5 | 67.3% | 66.7% | 75.7% | 0.88× | 1.50 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats −8.5 | 62.5% | 61.9% | 42.0% | 1.48× | 1.62 |
| UMBC Retrievers +14.5 | 60.1% | 61.9% | 72.1% | 0.86× | 1.62 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats −9.5 | 58.8% | 57.1% | 39.3% | 1.45× | 1.75 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats −10.5 | 55.1% | 57.1% | 36.8% | 1.55× | 1.75 |
| UMBC Retrievers +12.5 | 52.6% | 52.4% | 67.9% | 0.77× | 1.91 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats −12.5 | 47.4% | 47.6% | 32.1% | 1.48× | 2.10 |
| UMBC Retrievers +10.5 | 44.9% | 42.9% | 63.2% | 0.68× | 2.33 |
| UMBC Retrievers +9.5 | 41.2% | 42.9% | 60.7% | 0.71× | 2.33 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats −14.5 | 39.9% | 38.1% | 27.9% | 1.37× | 2.63 |
| UMBC Retrievers +8.5 | 37.5% | 38.1% | 58.0% | 0.66× | 2.63 |
| UMBC Retrievers +7.5 | 33.9% | 33.3% | 55.2% | 0.60× | 3.01 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats −16.5 | 32.7% | 33.3% | 24.3% | 1.37× | 3.01 |
| UMBC Retrievers +6.5 | 30.4% | 33.3% | 52.4% | 0.63× | 3.01 |
| UMBC Retrievers +5.5 | 27.1% | 28.4% | 50.3% | 0.56× | 3.53 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats −18.5 | 26.1% | 28.4% | 20.7% | 1.37× | 3.53 |
| UMBC Retrievers +4.5 | 24.0% | 23.5% | 47.8% | 0.49× | 4.25 |
| UMBC Retrievers +3.5 | 21.0% | 23.5% | 45.8% | 0.51× | 4.25 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats −20.5 | 20.3% | 23.5% | 18.0% | 1.31× | 4.25 |
| UMBC Retrievers +2.5 | 18.2% | 18.9% | 43.3% | 0.44× | 5.29 |
| UMBC Retrievers +1.5 | 15.7% | 18.9% | 41.3% | 0.46× | 5.30 |
| UMBC Retrievers −1.5 | 11.4% | 14.1% | 38.8% | 0.36× | 7.09 |
| UMBC Retrievers −2.5 | 9.7% | 8.9% | 36.7% | 0.24× | 11.25 |
| UMBC Retrievers −3.5 | 8.2% | 8.9% | 34.3% | 0.26× | 11.25 |
| UMBC Retrievers −4.5 | 6.9% | 8.9% | 32.2% | 0.28× | 11.25 |
| UMBC Retrievers −5.5 | 5.7% | 8.9% | 29.9% | 0.30× | 11.25 |
| UMBC Retrievers −6.5 | 4.7% | 2.6% | 27.7% | 0.09× | 38.72 |
| UMBC Retrievers −7.5 | 3.9% | 2.6% | 25.5% | 0.10× | 38.73 |
| UMBC Retrievers −8.5 | 3.2% | 2.6% | 23.5% | 0.11× | 38.73 |
| UMBC Retrievers −9.5 | 2.6% | 2.6% | 21.3% | 0.12× | 38.73 |
| UMBC Retrievers −10.5 | 2.0% | 2.6% | 19.6% | 0.13× | 38.73 |
| UMBC Retrievers −12.5 | 1.3% | 2.6% | 16.2% | 0.16× | 38.74 |
| UMBC Retrievers −14.5 | 0.8% | 2.6% | 13.3% | 0.19× | 38.74 |
| UMBC Retrievers −16.5 | 0.5% | 2.6% | 10.9% | 0.24× | 38.74 |
| UMBC Retrievers −18.5 | 0.3% | 2.6% | 8.9% | 0.29× | 38.74 |
| UMBC Retrievers −20.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 7.3% | 0.35× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 70.1% | 67.0% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 29.9% | 33.0% | 33.3% | 0.99× | 3.04 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 highest scoring | 33.6% | 31.9% | 31.2% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 31.9% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 18.0% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 16.5% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.02× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac Bobcats at HT / Quinnipiac Bobcats at FT | 68.0% | 68.3% | 48.3% | 1.41× | 1.47 |
| UMBC Retrievers at HT / Quinnipiac Bobcats at FT | 15.6% | 15.4% | 9.8% | 1.58× | 6.47 |
| UMBC Retrievers at HT / UMBC Retrievers at FT | 8.3% | 8.3% | 30.1% | 0.27× | 12.08 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats at HT / UMBC Retrievers at FT | 4.4% | 2.1% | 8.2% | 0.26× | 47.72 |
| Level at HT / Quinnipiac Bobcats at FT | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.74 |
| Level at HT / UMBC Retrievers at FT | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.78 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac Bobcats to win | 86.6% | 85.5% | 59.9% | 1.43× | 1.17 |
| UMBC Retrievers to win | 13.4% | 14.5% | 40.1% | 0.36× | 6.90 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMBC Retrievers even | 50.5% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 51.1% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| UMBC Retrievers odd | 49.5% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 48.9% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 95.7% | 97.0% | 95.6% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Match to go to overtime | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 0.68× | 33.36 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac Bobcats to win Q1 | 64.0% | 64.9% | 54.7% | 1.19× | 1.54 |
| UMBC Retrievers to win Q1 | 30.3% | 30.3% | 40.4% | 0.75× | 3.30 |
| Q1 tied | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.11× | 18.32 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 under 36.5 | 89.3% | 87.4% | 77.4% | 1.13× | 1.14 |
| Q1 over 20.5 | 88.2% | 87.4% | 93.7% | 0.93× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 33.5 | 78.5% | 76.9% | 64.0% | 1.20× | 1.30 |
| Q1 over 23.5 | 76.5% | 76.9% | 85.4% | 0.90× | 1.30 |
| Q1 under 31.5 | 68.8% | 67.6% | 54.0% | 1.25× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 25.5 | 66.3% | 67.6% | 77.6% | 0.87× | 1.48 |
| Q1 under 29.5 | 57.4% | 58.6% | 43.1% | 1.36× | 1.71 |
| Q1 over 27.5 | 54.6% | 52.7% | 67.7% | 0.78× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 28.5 | 51.4% | 52.7% | 37.3% | 1.41× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 28.5 | 48.6% | 47.3% | 62.7% | 0.76× | 2.11 |
| Q1 under 27.5 | 45.4% | 47.3% | 32.3% | 1.47× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 29.5 | 42.6% | 41.4% | 56.9% | 0.73× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 25.5 | 33.7% | 32.4% | 22.4% | 1.45× | 3.08 |
| Q1 over 31.5 | 31.2% | 32.4% | 46.0% | 0.70× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 23.5 | 23.5% | 23.1% | 14.6% | 1.58× | 4.33 |
| Q1 over 33.5 | 21.5% | 23.1% | 36.0% | 0.64× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 20.5 | 11.8% | 12.6% | 6.3% | 1.99× | 7.95 |
| Q1 over 36.5 | 10.7% | 12.6% | 22.6% | 0.56× | 7.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac Bobcats to win Q2 | 63.6% | 61.9% | 52.9% | 1.17× | 1.62 |
| UMBC Retrievers to win Q2 | 30.9% | 31.8% | 41.5% | 0.77× | 3.15 |
| Q2 tied | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 1.07× | 16.50 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 36.5 | 90.0% | 90.8% | 78.7% | 1.15× | 1.10 |
| Q2 over 20.5 | 87.2% | 87.3% | 92.7% | 0.94× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 33.5 | 79.8% | 76.8% | 65.6% | 1.17× | 1.30 |
| Q2 over 23.5 | 75.1% | 76.8% | 84.6% | 0.91× | 1.30 |
| Q2 under 31.5 | 70.3% | 72.0% | 55.7% | 1.29× | 1.39 |
| Q2 over 25.5 | 64.6% | 60.7% | 76.2% | 0.80× | 1.65 |
| Q2 under 29.5 | 59.2% | 58.2% | 44.2% | 1.32× | 1.72 |
| Q2 under 28.5 | 53.2% | 52.7% | 38.8% | 1.36× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 27.5 | 52.8% | 52.7% | 66.7% | 0.79× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 27.5 | 47.2% | 47.3% | 33.3% | 1.42× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 28.5 | 46.8% | 47.3% | 61.2% | 0.77× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 29.5 | 40.8% | 41.8% | 55.8% | 0.75× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 25.5 | 35.4% | 39.3% | 23.8% | 1.65× | 2.55 |
| Q2 over 31.5 | 29.7% | 28.0% | 44.3% | 0.63× | 3.57 |
| Q2 under 23.5 | 24.9% | 23.2% | 15.4% | 1.51× | 4.31 |
| Q2 over 33.5 | 20.2% | 23.2% | 34.4% | 0.67× | 4.31 |
| Q2 under 20.5 | 12.8% | 12.7% | 7.3% | 1.74× | 7.89 |
| Q2 over 36.5 | 10.0% | 9.2% | 21.3% | 0.43× | 10.82 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac Bobcats to win Q3 | 65.1% | 66.6% | 53.3% | 1.25× | 1.50 |
| UMBC Retrievers to win Q3 | 29.5% | 28.9% | 41.8% | 0.69× | 3.46 |
| Q3 tied | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 1.07× | 18.97 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 39.5 | 90.0% | 90.8% | 77.9% | 1.17× | 1.10 |
| Q3 over 23.5 | 86.0% | 87.2% | 92.2% | 0.95× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 36.5 | 80.1% | 82.3% | 64.6% | 1.27× | 1.22 |
| Q3 over 26.5 | 73.6% | 71.8% | 83.8% | 0.86× | 1.39 |
| Q3 under 34.5 | 70.9% | 71.8% | 54.6% | 1.31× | 1.39 |
| Q3 over 28.5 | 63.1% | 62.0% | 76.4% | 0.81× | 1.61 |
| Q3 under 32.5 | 60.2% | 61.9% | 43.9% | 1.41× | 1.62 |
| Q3 under 31.5 | 54.4% | 52.3% | 38.4% | 1.36× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 30.5 | 51.5% | 52.3% | 66.8% | 0.78× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 30.5 | 48.5% | 47.7% | 33.2% | 1.44× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 31.5 | 45.6% | 47.7% | 61.6% | 0.77× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 32.5 | 39.8% | 38.1% | 56.1% | 0.68× | 2.63 |
| Q3 under 28.5 | 36.9% | 38.1% | 23.6% | 1.61× | 2.63 |
| Q3 over 34.5 | 29.1% | 28.2% | 45.4% | 0.62× | 3.55 |
| Q3 under 26.5 | 26.4% | 28.2% | 16.2% | 1.74× | 3.55 |
| Q3 over 36.5 | 19.9% | 17.7% | 35.4% | 0.50× | 5.65 |
| Q3 under 23.5 | 14.0% | 12.8% | 7.8% | 1.64× | 7.83 |
| Q3 over 39.5 | 10.0% | 9.2% | 22.1% | 0.42× | 10.87 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac Bobcats to win Q4 | 64.8% | 57.9% | 52.8% | 1.10× | 1.73 |
| UMBC Retrievers to win Q4 | 29.9% | 33.4% | 41.5% | 0.80× | 2.99 |
| Q4 tied | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.02× | 17.26 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 39.5 | 88.5% | 85.6% | 77.0% | 1.11× | 1.17 |
| Q4 over 23.5 | 84.7% | 82.0% | 91.2% | 0.90× | 1.22 |
| Q4 under 36.5 | 78.5% | 76.9% | 64.3% | 1.20× | 1.30 |
| Q4 over 26.5 | 72.7% | 71.5% | 82.6% | 0.87× | 1.40 |
| Q4 under 34.5 | 69.5% | 67.4% | 54.4% | 1.24× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 28.5 | 62.7% | 61.4% | 75.1% | 0.82× | 1.63 |
| Q4 under 32.5 | 59.2% | 58.4% | 44.6% | 1.31× | 1.71 |
| Q4 under 31.5 | 53.8% | 52.5% | 38.9% | 1.35× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 30.5 | 51.8% | 52.5% | 66.3% | 0.79× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 30.5 | 48.2% | 47.5% | 33.7% | 1.41× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 31.5 | 46.2% | 47.5% | 61.1% | 0.78× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 32.5 | 40.8% | 41.6% | 55.4% | 0.75× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 28.5 | 37.3% | 38.6% | 24.9% | 1.55× | 2.59 |
| Q4 over 34.5 | 30.5% | 32.6% | 45.6% | 0.71× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 26.5 | 27.3% | 28.5% | 17.4% | 1.64× | 3.51 |
| Q4 over 36.5 | 21.5% | 23.1% | 35.7% | 0.65× | 4.33 |
| Q4 under 23.5 | 15.3% | 18.0% | 8.8% | 2.03× | 5.56 |
| Q4 over 39.5 | 11.5% | 14.4% | 23.0% | 0.62× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMBC Retrievers under 63.5 | 89.5% | 83.9% | 53.9% | 1.56× | 1.19 |
| UMBC Retrievers over 43.5 | 89.0% | 83.9% | 93.7% | 0.90× | 1.19 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats under 75.5 | 87.4% | 83.9% | 73.2% | 1.15× | 1.19 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats over 55.5 | 84.0% | 80.7% | 81.6% | 0.99× | 1.24 |
| UMBC Retrievers under 60.5 | 82.2% | 80.7% | 44.4% | 1.82× | 1.24 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats under 72.5 | 79.6% | 75.1% | 65.7% | 1.14× | 1.33 |
| UMBC Retrievers over 46.5 | 77.6% | 75.1% | 89.7% | 0.84× | 1.33 |
| UMBC Retrievers under 58.5 | 75.7% | 75.1% | 37.9% | 1.98× | 1.33 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats over 58.5 | 74.9% | 70.7% | 74.7% | 0.95× | 1.41 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats under 70.5 | 73.0% | 70.7% | 60.3% | 1.17× | 1.41 |
| UMBC Retrievers over 48.5 | 68.8% | 66.4% | 86.7% | 0.77× | 1.51 |
| UMBC Retrievers under 56.5 | 68.1% | 66.4% | 32.0% | 2.08× | 1.51 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats over 60.5 | 67.6% | 66.4% | 69.5% | 0.96× | 1.51 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats under 68.5 | 65.5% | 66.4% | 54.4% | 1.22× | 1.51 |
| UMBC Retrievers under 54.5 | 59.5% | 57.1% | 26.5% | 2.16× | 1.75 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats over 62.5 | 59.6% | 57.1% | 64.3% | 0.89× | 1.75 |
| UMBC Retrievers over 50.5 | 59.4% | 57.1% | 83.1% | 0.69× | 1.75 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats under 66.5 | 57.4% | 57.1% | 48.2% | 1.19× | 1.75 |
| UMBC Retrievers under 53.5 | 54.9% | 52.3% | 23.7% | 2.20× | 1.91 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats over 64.5 | 51.1% | 52.3% | 58.4% | 0.89× | 1.91 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats under 65.5 | 53.1% | 52.3% | 44.7% | 1.17× | 1.91 |
| UMBC Retrievers under 52.5 | 50.2% | 52.3% | 21.5% | 2.43× | 1.91 |
| UMBC Retrievers over 52.5 | 49.8% | 47.7% | 78.5% | 0.61× | 2.09 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats under 64.5 | 48.9% | 47.7% | 41.6% | 1.15× | 2.09 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats over 65.5 | 46.9% | 47.7% | 55.3% | 0.86× | 2.09 |
| UMBC Retrievers over 53.5 | 45.1% | 47.7% | 76.3% | 0.63× | 2.09 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats over 66.5 | 42.6% | 42.9% | 51.8% | 0.83× | 2.33 |
| UMBC Retrievers over 54.5 | 40.5% | 42.9% | 73.5% | 0.58× | 2.33 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats under 62.5 | 40.4% | 42.9% | 35.7% | 1.20× | 2.33 |
| UMBC Retrievers under 50.5 | 40.6% | 42.9% | 16.9% | 2.54× | 2.33 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats over 68.5 | 34.5% | 33.6% | 45.6% | 0.74× | 2.98 |
| UMBC Retrievers over 56.5 | 31.9% | 33.6% | 68.0% | 0.49× | 2.98 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats under 60.5 | 32.4% | 33.6% | 30.5% | 1.10× | 2.98 |
| UMBC Retrievers under 48.5 | 31.2% | 33.6% | 13.3% | 2.53× | 2.98 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats over 70.5 | 27.0% | 29.3% | 39.7% | 0.74× | 3.42 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats under 58.5 | 25.1% | 29.3% | 25.3% | 1.16× | 3.42 |
| UMBC Retrievers over 58.5 | 24.3% | 24.9% | 62.1% | 0.40× | 4.02 |
| UMBC Retrievers under 46.5 | 22.4% | 24.9% | 10.3% | 2.42× | 4.02 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats over 72.5 | 20.4% | 24.9% | 34.3% | 0.72× | 4.02 |
| UMBC Retrievers over 60.5 | 17.8% | 19.3% | 55.6% | 0.35× | 5.18 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats under 55.5 | 16.0% | 19.3% | 18.5% | 1.05× | 5.18 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats over 75.5 | 12.6% | 16.1% | 26.8% | 0.60× | 6.21 |
| UMBC Retrievers over 63.5 | 10.5% | 16.1% | 46.1% | 0.35× | 6.21 |
| UMBC Retrievers under 43.5 | 11.0% | 16.1% | 6.3% | 2.54× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 98.5 points | 93.1% | 88.8% | 96.5% | 0.92× | 1.13 |
| Under 138.5 points | 92.9% | 88.8% | 67.9% | 1.31× | 1.13 |
| Under 133.5 points | 87.1% | 85.0% | 58.0% | 1.47× | 1.18 |
| Over 103.5 points | 85.6% | 85.0% | 93.6% | 0.91× | 1.18 |
| Under 128.5 points | 78.4% | 75.6% | 47.2% | 1.60× | 1.32 |
| Over 108.5 points | 74.7% | 70.8% | 88.9% | 0.80× | 1.41 |
| Under 125.5 points | 71.8% | 70.8% | 40.5% | 1.75× | 1.41 |
| Over 111.5 points | 66.8% | 65.9% | 85.1% | 0.77× | 1.52 |
| Under 123.5 points | 66.9% | 65.9% | 36.7% | 1.79× | 1.52 |
| Over 113.5 points | 61.2% | 61.5% | 81.9% | 0.75× | 1.63 |
| Under 121.5 points | 61.6% | 61.5% | 32.3% | 1.90× | 1.63 |
| Under 119.5 points | 56.1% | 56.5% | 28.4% | 1.99× | 1.77 |
| Over 115.5 points | 55.4% | 56.5% | 78.8% | 0.72× | 1.77 |
| Under 118.5 points | 53.2% | 52.3% | 26.4% | 1.98× | 1.91 |
| Under 117.5 points | 50.4% | 52.3% | 24.7% | 2.12× | 1.91 |
| Over 117.5 points | 49.6% | 47.7% | 75.3% | 0.63× | 2.10 |
| Over 118.5 points | 46.8% | 47.7% | 73.6% | 0.65× | 2.10 |
| Under 115.5 points | 44.6% | 43.5% | 21.2% | 2.06× | 2.30 |
| Over 119.5 points | 43.9% | 43.5% | 71.6% | 0.61× | 2.30 |
| Under 113.5 points | 38.8% | 38.5% | 18.1% | 2.13× | 2.60 |
| Over 121.5 points | 38.4% | 38.5% | 67.7% | 0.57× | 2.60 |
| Under 111.5 points | 33.2% | 34.1% | 14.9% | 2.28× | 2.93 |
| Over 123.5 points | 33.1% | 34.1% | 63.3% | 0.54× | 2.93 |
| Over 125.5 points | 28.2% | 29.2% | 59.5% | 0.49× | 3.43 |
| Under 108.5 points | 25.3% | 29.2% | 11.1% | 2.63× | 3.43 |
| Over 128.5 points | 21.6% | 24.4% | 52.8% | 0.46× | 4.10 |
| Under 103.5 points | 14.4% | 15.0% | 6.4% | 2.33× | 6.68 |
| Over 133.5 points | 12.9% | 15.0% | 42.0% | 0.36× | 6.69 |
| Under 98.5 points | 6.9% | 11.2% | 3.5% | 3.21× | 8.97 |
| Over 138.5 points | 7.1% | 11.2% | 32.1% | 0.35× | 8.97 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac Bobcats to win both halves | 50.8% | 50.4% | 36.0% | 1.40× | 1.99 |
| UMBC Retrievers to win both halves | 3.4% | 3.0% | 20.4% | 0.15× | 33.63 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac Bobcats by 11-15 | 18.8% | 16.8% | 10.8% | 1.55× | 5.97 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats by 6-10 | 17.8% | 16.8% | 12.9% | 1.30× | 5.97 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats by 16-20 | 16.0% | 16.8% | 8.0% | 2.08× | 5.97 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats by 1-5 | 13.7% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 1.21× | 8.11 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats by 21-25 | 10.9% | 12.3% | 5.4% | 2.29× | 8.11 |
| Quinnipiac Bobcats by 26+ | 9.4% | 7.5% | 12.6% | 0.59× | 13.40 |
| UMBC Retrievers by 1-5 | 7.6% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 0.73× | 13.40 |
| UMBC Retrievers by 6-10 | 3.7% | 2.0% | 10.3% | 0.20× | 49.30 |
| UMBC Retrievers by 11-15 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 7.6% | 0.27× | 49.32 |
| UMBC Retrievers by 16-20 | 0.5% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 0.43× | 49.32 |
| UMBC Retrievers by 21-25 | 0.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 0.76× | 49.33 |
| UMBC Retrievers by 26+ | 0.0% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 0.44× | 49.33 |