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Rice Owls v Texas Southern Tigers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 12 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Rice Owls win
99.7%
Draw
0.0%
Texas Southern Tigers win
0.3%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 83.44–53.29 83-53 0% 54% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rice Owls to score 100+ 4.9% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 282.40
Rice Owls to score 110+ 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.29
Rice Owls to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.35
Rice Owls to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Texas Southern Tigers to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.71× 283.36
Texas Southern Tigers to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Texas Southern Tigers to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Texas Southern Tigers to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rice Owls to win H1 93.9% 93.5% 56.4% 1.66× 1.07
Texas Southern Tigers to win H1 4.8% 3.9% 39.9% 0.10× 25.85
H1 tied 1.3% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.88
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 78.5 89.6% 87.7% 92.8% 0.95× 1.14
H1 over 54.5 88.1% 87.7% 74.0% 1.19× 1.14
H1 under 74.5 80.4% 82.5% 87.2% 0.95× 1.21
H1 over 58.5 77.8% 77.4% 61.4% 1.26× 1.29
H1 under 71.5 71.1% 73.5% 81.4% 0.90× 1.36
H1 over 61.5 67.7% 67.4% 50.2% 1.34× 1.48
H1 under 69.5 63.9% 62.7% 76.2% 0.82× 1.59
H1 over 63.5 60.0% 62.7% 42.9% 1.46× 1.59
H1 under 67.5 56.1% 58.2% 70.4% 0.83× 1.72
H1 over 65.5 52.0% 52.6% 36.1% 1.46× 1.90
H1 under 66.5 52.1% 52.6% 67.1% 0.78× 1.90
H1 under 65.5 48.0% 47.4% 63.9% 0.74× 2.11
H1 over 66.5 47.9% 47.4% 32.9% 1.44× 2.11
H1 over 67.5 43.9% 41.8% 29.6% 1.41× 2.39
H1 under 63.5 40.0% 37.3% 57.1% 0.65× 2.68
H1 over 69.5 36.1% 37.3% 23.8% 1.56× 2.68
H1 under 61.5 32.3% 32.6% 49.8% 0.65× 3.07
H1 over 71.5 28.9% 26.5% 18.6% 1.43× 3.77
H1 under 58.5 22.2% 22.6% 38.6% 0.58× 4.43
H1 over 74.5 19.6% 17.5% 12.8% 1.36× 5.72
H1 under 54.5 11.9% 12.3% 26.0% 0.47× 8.14
H1 over 78.5 10.4% 12.3% 7.2% 1.70× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rice Owls to win H2 95.0% 95.3% 56.0% 1.70× 1.05
Texas Southern Tigers to win H2 3.9% 3.9% 40.6% 0.10× 25.36
H2 tied 1.0% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.38
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 60.5 87.7% 85.2% 74.5% 1.14× 1.17
H2 under 84.5 88.0% 85.2% 90.3% 0.94× 1.17
H2 under 80.5 78.6% 75.8% 84.0% 0.90× 1.32
H2 over 64.5 77.6% 75.8% 62.1% 1.22× 1.32
H2 under 77.5 69.4% 66.4% 77.9% 0.85× 1.51
H2 over 67.5 67.9% 66.4% 52.1% 1.27× 1.51
H2 under 75.5 62.3% 61.6% 73.0% 0.84× 1.62
H2 over 69.5 60.6% 61.6% 45.2% 1.36× 1.62
H2 under 73.5 54.8% 52.4% 67.1% 0.78× 1.91
H2 over 71.5 52.9% 52.4% 38.9% 1.35× 1.91
H2 under 72.5 50.9% 52.4% 64.1% 0.82× 1.91
H2 over 72.5 49.1% 47.6% 36.0% 1.32× 2.10
H2 under 71.5 47.1% 47.6% 61.1% 0.78× 2.10
H2 over 73.5 45.2% 47.6% 32.9% 1.45× 2.10
H2 under 69.5 39.4% 38.4% 54.8% 0.70× 2.61
H2 over 75.5 37.7% 38.4% 27.0% 1.42× 2.61
H2 under 67.5 32.1% 33.6% 47.9% 0.70× 2.97
H2 over 77.5 30.6% 33.6% 22.1% 1.52× 2.97
H2 under 64.5 22.4% 24.2% 37.9% 0.64× 4.13
H2 over 80.5 21.4% 24.2% 16.0% 1.52× 4.13
H2 under 60.5 12.3% 14.8% 25.5% 0.58× 6.76
H2 over 84.5 12.0% 14.8% 9.7% 1.52× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rice Owls leading at half time 93.9% 94.1% 56.4% 1.67× 1.06
Texas Southern Tigers leading at half time 4.8% 3.8% 39.9% 0.10× 26.39
Level at half time 1.3% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.44
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rice Owls −1.5 99.5% 97.4% 58.7% 1.66× 1.03
Rice Owls +1.5 99.7% 97.4% 61.2% 1.59× 1.03
Rice Owls −2.5 99.4% 97.4% 56.7% 1.72× 1.03
Rice Owls +2.5 99.8% 97.4% 63.3% 1.54× 1.03
Rice Owls +3.5 99.9% 97.4% 65.7% 1.48× 1.03
Rice Owls +4.5 99.9% 97.4% 67.8% 1.44× 1.03
Rice Owls +5.5 99.9% 97.4% 70.1% 1.39× 1.03
Rice Owls +6.5 99.9% 97.4% 72.3% 1.35× 1.03
Rice Owls +7.5 100.0% 97.4% 74.5% 1.31× 1.03
Rice Owls +8.5 100.0% 97.4% 76.5% 1.27× 1.03
Rice Owls +9.5 100.0% 97.4% 78.7% 1.24× 1.03
Rice Owls +10.5 100.0% 97.4% 80.4% 1.21× 1.03
Rice Owls +12.5 100.0% 97.4% 83.8% 1.16× 1.03
Rice Owls +14.5 100.0% 97.4% 86.7% 1.12× 1.03
Rice Owls +16.5 100.0% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
Rice Owls +18.5 100.0% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Rice Owls +20.5 100.0% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Rice Owls −3.5 99.1% 97.4% 54.2% 1.80× 1.03
Rice Owls −4.5 98.9% 97.4% 52.2% 1.87× 1.03
Rice Owls −5.5 98.6% 97.4% 49.7% 1.96× 1.03
Rice Owls −6.5 98.2% 97.4% 47.6% 2.05× 1.03
Rice Owls −7.5 97.7% 97.4% 44.8% 2.18× 1.03
Rice Owls −8.5 97.2% 97.4% 42.0% 2.32× 1.03
Rice Owls −9.5 96.5% 97.4% 39.3% 2.48× 1.03
Rice Owls −10.5 95.8% 97.4% 36.8% 2.65× 1.03
Rice Owls −12.5 93.8% 91.1% 32.1% 2.84× 1.10
Rice Owls −14.5 91.3% 91.1% 27.9% 3.27× 1.10
Rice Owls −16.5 88.0% 85.9% 24.3% 3.54× 1.16
Rice Owls −18.5 84.0% 81.1% 20.7% 3.92× 1.23
Rice Owls −20.5 79.2% 76.5% 18.0% 4.25× 1.31
Texas Southern Tigers +20.5 20.8% 23.5% 82.0% 0.29× 4.25
Texas Southern Tigers +18.5 16.0% 18.9% 79.3% 0.24× 5.30
Texas Southern Tigers +16.5 12.0% 14.1% 75.7% 0.19× 7.09
Texas Southern Tigers +14.5 8.7% 8.9% 72.1% 0.12× 11.25
Texas Southern Tigers +12.5 6.2% 8.9% 67.9% 0.13× 11.25
Texas Southern Tigers +3.5 0.9% 2.6% 45.8% 0.06× 38.74
Texas Southern Tigers +4.5 1.1% 2.6% 47.8% 0.05× 38.74
Texas Southern Tigers +5.5 1.4% 2.6% 50.3% 0.05× 38.73
Texas Southern Tigers +6.5 1.8% 2.6% 52.4% 0.05× 38.73
Texas Southern Tigers +7.5 2.3% 2.6% 55.2% 0.05× 38.73
Texas Southern Tigers +8.5 2.8% 2.6% 58.0% 0.04× 38.73
Texas Southern Tigers +9.5 3.5% 2.6% 60.7% 0.04× 38.73
Texas Southern Tigers +10.5 4.2% 2.6% 63.2% 0.04× 38.72
Texas Southern Tigers +1.5 0.5% 2.6% 41.3% 0.06× 38.74
Texas Southern Tigers −1.5 0.3% 2.6% 38.8% 0.07× 38.74
Texas Southern Tigers +2.5 0.6% 2.6% 43.3% 0.06× 38.74
Texas Southern Tigers −2.5 0.2% 2.6% 36.7% 0.07× 38.74
Texas Southern Tigers −3.5 0.1% 2.6% 34.3% 0.08× 38.74
Texas Southern Tigers −4.5 0.1% 2.6% 32.2% 0.08× 38.74
Texas Southern Tigers −5.5 0.1% 2.6% 29.9% 0.09× 38.74
Texas Southern Tigers −6.5 0.1% 2.6% 27.7% 0.09× 38.74
Texas Southern Tigers −7.5 0.0% 2.6% 25.5% 0.10× 38.74
Texas Southern Tigers −8.5 0.0% 2.6% 23.5% 0.11× 38.74
Texas Southern Tigers −9.5 0.0% 2.6% 21.3% 0.12× 38.74
Texas Southern Tigers −10.5 0.0% 2.6% 19.6% 0.13× 38.74
Texas Southern Tigers −12.5 0.0% 2.6% 16.2% 0.16× 38.74
Texas Southern Tigers −14.5 0.0% 2.6% 13.3% 0.19× 38.74
Texas Southern Tigers −16.5 0.0% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.74
Texas Southern Tigers −18.5 0.0% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.74
Texas Southern Tigers −20.5 0.0% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 73.1% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 26.9% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.8% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 33.1% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 16.8% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 15.3% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rice Owls at HT / Rice Owls at FT 93.8% 94.1% 48.3% 1.95× 1.06
Texas Southern Tigers at HT / Rice Owls at FT 4.6% 2.1% 9.8% 0.21× 47.71
Rice Owls at HT / Texas Southern Tigers at FT 0.1% 2.1% 8.2% 0.26× 47.79
Level at HT / Rice Owls at FT 1.2% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.77
Texas Southern Tigers at HT / Texas Southern Tigers at FT 0.2% 2.1% 30.1% 0.07× 47.79
Level at HT / Texas Southern Tigers at FT 0.0% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.79
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rice Owls to win 99.7% 97.5% 59.9% 1.63× 1.03
Texas Southern Tigers to win 0.3% 2.5% 40.1% 0.06× 39.89
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rice Owls even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Texas Southern Tigers even 50.4% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Total points odd 50.1% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Rice Owls odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Texas Southern Tigers odd 49.6% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 49.9% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 99.3% 97.0% 95.6% 1.02× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 0.7% 3.0% 4.4% 0.67× 33.62
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rice Owls to win Q1 84.4% 85.9% 54.7% 1.57× 1.16
Texas Southern Tigers to win Q1 12.2% 11.3% 40.4% 0.28× 8.86
Q1 tied 3.4% 4.2% 4.9% 0.85× 23.99
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 41.5 89.3% 87.4% 91.9% 0.95× 1.14
Q1 over 25.5 87.7% 87.4% 77.6% 1.13× 1.14
Q1 under 38.5 78.7% 76.9% 84.8% 0.91× 1.30
Q1 over 28.5 76.0% 76.9% 62.7% 1.23× 1.30
Q1 under 36.5 69.0% 67.6% 77.4% 0.87× 1.48
Q1 over 30.5 65.7% 67.6% 51.2% 1.32× 1.48
Q1 under 34.5 57.8% 58.6% 68.5% 0.86× 1.71
Q1 over 32.5 54.1% 52.7% 40.9% 1.29× 1.90
Q1 under 33.5 51.9% 52.7% 64.0% 0.82× 1.90
Q1 over 33.5 48.1% 47.3% 36.0% 1.31× 2.11
Q1 under 32.5 45.9% 47.3% 59.1% 0.80× 2.11
Q1 over 34.5 42.2% 41.4% 31.5% 1.31× 2.42
Q1 under 30.5 34.3% 32.4% 48.8% 0.67× 3.08
Q1 over 36.5 31.0% 32.4% 22.6% 1.44× 3.08
Q1 under 28.5 24.0% 23.1% 37.3% 0.62× 4.33
Q1 over 38.5 21.3% 23.1% 15.2% 1.52× 4.33
Q1 under 25.5 12.3% 12.6% 22.4% 0.56× 7.95
Q1 over 41.5 10.7% 12.6% 8.1% 1.56× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rice Owls to win Q2 83.6% 85.1% 52.9% 1.61× 1.18
Texas Southern Tigers to win Q2 12.9% 7.6% 41.5% 0.18× 13.09
Q2 tied 3.5% 4.4% 5.7% 0.77× 22.93
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 41.5 90.2% 90.8% 92.7% 0.98× 1.10
Q2 over 25.5 86.6% 87.3% 76.2% 1.15× 1.15
Q2 under 38.5 80.1% 83.0% 85.6% 0.97× 1.21
Q2 over 28.5 74.3% 72.0% 61.2% 1.18× 1.39
Q2 under 36.5 70.8% 72.0% 78.7% 0.91× 1.39
Q2 over 30.5 63.8% 60.7% 49.9% 1.22× 1.65
Q2 under 34.5 59.8% 58.2% 70.1% 0.83× 1.72
Q2 under 33.5 53.9% 52.7% 65.6% 0.80× 1.90
Q2 over 32.5 52.1% 52.7% 39.2% 1.34× 1.90
Q2 under 32.5 47.9% 47.3% 60.8% 0.78× 2.11
Q2 over 33.5 46.1% 47.3% 34.4% 1.38× 2.11
Q2 over 34.5 40.2% 41.8% 29.9% 1.40× 2.39
Q2 under 30.5 36.2% 39.3% 50.1% 0.78× 2.55
Q2 over 36.5 29.2% 28.0% 21.3% 1.32× 3.57
Q2 under 28.5 25.7% 28.0% 38.8% 0.72× 3.57
Q2 over 38.5 19.9% 17.0% 14.4% 1.18× 5.88
Q2 under 25.5 13.4% 12.7% 23.8% 0.53× 7.89
Q2 over 41.5 9.8% 9.2% 7.3% 1.26× 10.83
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rice Owls to win Q3 85.9% 87.1% 53.3% 1.63× 1.15
Texas Southern Tigers to win Q3 11.0% 11.2% 41.8% 0.27× 8.94
Q3 tied 3.1% 4.3% 4.9% 0.86× 23.48
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 44.5 88.9% 87.2% 92.1% 0.95× 1.15
Q3 over 28.5 86.9% 87.2% 76.4% 1.14× 1.15
Q3 under 41.5 78.4% 77.3% 85.1% 0.91× 1.29
Q3 over 31.5 75.1% 77.3% 61.6% 1.25× 1.29
Q3 under 39.5 68.9% 67.8% 77.9% 0.87× 1.48
Q3 over 33.5 65.0% 62.0% 50.9% 1.22× 1.61
Q3 under 37.5 58.0% 58.4% 69.7% 0.84× 1.71
Q3 over 35.5 53.6% 52.3% 40.3% 1.30× 1.91
Q3 under 36.5 52.2% 52.3% 64.6% 0.81× 1.91
Q3 over 36.5 47.8% 47.7% 35.4% 1.35× 2.10
Q3 under 35.5 46.4% 47.7% 59.7% 0.80× 2.10
Q3 over 37.5 42.0% 41.6% 30.3% 1.37× 2.40
Q3 under 33.5 35.0% 38.0% 49.1% 0.78× 2.63
Q3 over 39.5 31.1% 32.2% 22.1% 1.46× 3.11
Q3 under 31.5 24.9% 22.7% 38.4% 0.59× 4.40
Q3 over 41.5 21.6% 22.7% 14.9% 1.53× 4.40
Q3 under 28.5 13.1% 12.8% 23.6% 0.54× 7.83
Q3 over 44.5 11.1% 12.8% 7.9% 1.63× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rice Owls to win Q4 85.4% 83.2% 52.8% 1.57× 1.20
Texas Southern Tigers to win Q4 11.5% 17.6% 41.5% 0.42× 5.68
Q4 tied 3.1% 5.2% 5.7% 0.91× 19.32
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 44.5 87.3% 85.6% 90.6% 0.95× 1.17
Q4 over 28.5 85.7% 85.6% 75.1% 1.14× 1.17
Q4 under 41.5 76.8% 76.9% 83.6% 0.92× 1.30
Q4 over 31.5 74.2% 71.5% 61.1% 1.17× 1.40
Q4 under 39.5 67.6% 67.4% 77.0% 0.88× 1.48
Q4 over 33.5 64.5% 61.4% 50.4% 1.22× 1.63
Q4 under 37.5 57.2% 58.4% 68.8% 0.85× 1.71
Q4 over 35.5 53.8% 52.5% 40.6% 1.29× 1.91
Q4 under 36.5 51.7% 52.5% 64.3% 0.82× 1.91
Q4 over 36.5 48.3% 47.5% 35.7% 1.33× 2.11
Q4 under 35.5 46.2% 47.5% 59.4% 0.80× 2.11
Q4 over 37.5 42.8% 41.6% 31.2% 1.33× 2.40
Q4 under 33.5 35.5% 38.6% 49.6% 0.78× 2.59
Q4 over 39.5 32.4% 32.6% 23.0% 1.41× 3.07
Q4 under 31.5 25.8% 28.5% 38.9% 0.73× 3.51
Q4 over 41.5 23.2% 23.1% 16.4% 1.41× 4.33
Q4 under 28.5 14.3% 14.4% 24.9% 0.58× 6.95
Q4 over 44.5 12.7% 14.4% 9.4% 1.53× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Texas Southern Tigers over 44.5 88.9% 83.9% 92.5% 0.91× 1.19
Texas Southern Tigers under 64.5 87.8% 83.9% 56.9% 1.48× 1.19
Rice Owls under 94.5 87.0% 83.9% 96.7% 0.87× 1.19
Rice Owls over 74.5 83.9% 80.7% 29.3% 2.76× 1.24
Texas Southern Tigers under 61.5 79.8% 75.1% 47.9% 1.57× 1.33
Rice Owls under 91.5 79.1% 75.1% 95.1% 0.79× 1.33
Texas Southern Tigers over 47.5 78.7% 75.1% 88.4% 0.85× 1.33
Rice Owls over 77.5 74.9% 70.7% 22.6% 3.13× 1.41
Rice Owls under 89.5 72.6% 70.7% 93.9% 0.75× 1.41
Texas Southern Tigers under 59.5 73.0% 70.7% 41.2% 1.72× 1.41
Texas Southern Tigers over 49.5 70.7% 70.7% 85.1% 0.83× 1.41
Rice Owls over 79.5 67.7% 66.4% 18.7% 3.55× 1.51
Rice Owls under 87.5 65.1% 66.4% 92.3% 0.72× 1.51
Texas Southern Tigers under 57.5 65.1% 66.4% 34.9% 1.91× 1.51
Texas Southern Tigers over 51.5 61.9% 61.2% 81.0% 0.76× 1.63
Rice Owls over 81.5 59.8% 57.1% 15.4% 3.70× 1.75
Rice Owls under 85.5 57.0% 57.1% 90.2% 0.63× 1.75
Texas Southern Tigers under 55.5 56.5% 57.1% 29.2% 1.95× 1.75
Rice Owls over 83.5 51.4% 52.3% 12.3% 4.24× 1.91
Rice Owls under 84.5 52.8% 52.3% 88.9% 0.59× 1.91
Texas Southern Tigers over 53.5 52.7% 52.3% 76.3% 0.68× 1.91
Texas Southern Tigers under 54.5 51.9% 52.3% 26.5% 1.97× 1.91
Rice Owls under 83.5 48.6% 47.7% 87.7% 0.54× 2.09
Rice Owls over 84.5 47.2% 47.7% 11.1% 4.31× 2.09
Texas Southern Tigers under 53.5 47.3% 47.7% 23.7% 2.01× 2.09
Texas Southern Tigers over 54.5 48.1% 47.7% 73.5% 0.65× 2.09
Texas Southern Tigers over 55.5 43.5% 42.9% 70.8% 0.61× 2.33
Rice Owls over 85.5 43.0% 42.9% 9.8% 4.38× 2.33
Rice Owls under 81.5 40.2% 42.9% 84.6% 0.51× 2.33
Texas Southern Tigers under 51.5 38.1% 38.8% 19.0% 2.04× 2.58
Rice Owls over 87.5 34.9% 33.6% 7.7% 4.38× 2.98
Texas Southern Tigers over 57.5 34.9% 33.6% 65.1% 0.52× 2.98
Rice Owls under 79.5 32.3% 33.6% 81.3% 0.41× 2.98
Texas Southern Tigers under 49.5 29.3% 29.3% 14.9% 1.96× 3.42
Rice Owls over 89.5 27.4% 29.3% 6.1% 4.77× 3.42
Texas Southern Tigers over 59.5 27.0% 29.3% 58.8% 0.50× 3.42
Rice Owls under 77.5 25.1% 29.3% 77.4% 0.38× 3.42
Rice Owls over 91.5 20.9% 24.9% 4.9% 5.09× 4.02
Texas Southern Tigers under 47.5 21.3% 24.9% 11.6% 2.14× 4.02
Texas Southern Tigers over 61.5 20.2% 24.9% 52.1% 0.48× 4.02
Rice Owls under 74.5 16.1% 19.3% 70.7% 0.27× 5.18
Rice Owls over 94.5 13.0% 16.1% 3.3% 4.87× 6.21
Texas Southern Tigers over 64.5 12.2% 16.1% 43.2% 0.37× 6.21
Texas Southern Tigers under 44.5 11.1% 16.1% 7.5% 2.15× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 118.5 points 92.8% 88.8% 73.6% 1.21× 1.13
Under 158.5 points 92.0% 88.8% 92.7% 0.96× 1.13
Over 123.5 points 85.7% 85.0% 63.3% 1.34× 1.18
Under 153.5 points 85.7% 85.0% 89.0% 0.96× 1.18
Under 148.5 points 76.6% 75.6% 83.7% 0.90× 1.32
Over 128.5 points 75.4% 75.6% 52.8% 1.43× 1.32
Under 145.5 points 69.8% 65.9% 79.5% 0.83× 1.52
Over 131.5 points 68.0% 65.9% 46.1% 1.43× 1.52
Under 143.5 points 64.9% 61.5% 76.7% 0.80× 1.63
Over 133.5 points 62.6% 61.5% 42.0% 1.46× 1.63
Under 141.5 points 59.6% 56.5% 73.4% 0.77× 1.77
Over 135.5 points 57.1% 56.5% 37.6% 1.50× 1.77
Under 139.5 points 54.1% 52.3% 69.9% 0.75× 1.91
Over 137.5 points 51.5% 52.3% 33.8% 1.55× 1.91
Under 138.5 points 51.3% 52.3% 67.9% 0.77× 1.91
Under 137.5 points 48.5% 47.7% 66.2% 0.72× 2.10
Over 138.5 points 48.7% 47.7% 32.1% 1.49× 2.10
Over 139.5 points 45.9% 47.7% 30.1% 1.58× 2.10
Under 135.5 points 42.9% 43.5% 62.4% 0.70× 2.30
Over 141.5 points 40.4% 43.5% 26.6% 1.64× 2.30
Under 133.5 points 37.4% 38.5% 58.0% 0.66× 2.60
Over 143.5 points 35.1% 38.5% 23.3% 1.65× 2.60
Under 131.5 points 32.0% 34.1% 53.9% 0.63× 2.93
Over 145.5 points 30.2% 34.1% 20.5% 1.67× 2.93
Under 128.5 points 24.6% 24.4% 47.2% 0.52× 4.10
Over 148.5 points 23.4% 24.4% 16.3% 1.49× 4.10
Under 123.5 points 14.3% 15.0% 36.7% 0.41× 6.68
Over 153.5 points 14.3% 15.0% 11.0% 1.36× 6.68
Over 158.5 points 8.0% 11.2% 7.3% 1.53× 8.96
Under 118.5 points 7.2% 11.2% 26.4% 0.42× 8.97
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rice Owls to win both halves 89.1% 86.4% 36.0% 2.40× 1.16
Texas Southern Tigers to win both halves 0.1% 3.0% 20.4% 0.15× 33.85
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rice Owls by 26+ 63.8% 68.3% 12.6% 5.41× 1.47
Rice Owls by 21-25 15.3% 16.8% 5.4% 3.11× 5.97
Rice Owls by 16-20 10.6% 12.3% 8.0% 1.53× 8.11
Rice Owls by 11-15 6.0% 7.5% 10.8% 0.69× 13.40
Rice Owls by 1-5 1.1% 2.0% 10.2% 0.20× 49.32
Rice Owls by 6-10 2.8% 2.0% 12.9% 0.16× 49.30
Texas Southern Tigers by 1-5 0.3% 2.0% 10.2% 0.20× 49.33
Texas Southern Tigers by 6-10 0.1% 2.0% 10.3% 0.20× 49.33
Texas Southern Tigers by 11-15 0.0% 2.0% 7.6% 0.27× 49.33
Texas Southern Tigers by 16-20 0.0% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.33
Texas Southern Tigers by 21-25 0.0% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.33
Texas Southern Tigers by 26+ 0.0% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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